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Tuesday’s session kept the headline indexes relatively contained, but internal participation continued to soften. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq remain in short-term pullback mode below their fast moving averages, while small caps are busy retesting a key breakout zone. Longer-term trends are still constructive, yet the breadth “engine” is clearly running less efficiently than it did earlier in December.

A messy, shutdown-delayed jobs print pushed unemployment to a four-year high, oil slid to fresh multi-year lows, and energy stocks took the punch. Meanwhile, an AI-infrastructure permitting push in the House helped keep the Nasdaq afloat, though the market’s tolerance for debt-funded AI buildouts is clearly thinning.

Major ETFs are still holding key support on the weekly timeframe, but participation under the surface continues to fade. Monday’s session showed a still-negative advance/decline split and a noticeable rise in “hard down” movers (>4%), while fewer stocks remain above short-term moving averages. The tape is not breaking yet, but it’s getting thinner.

Monday’s tape felt like markets were pacing in the hallway before a doctor’s appointment: slightly red, slightly tense, and absolutely obsessed with the next data print. Oracle kept sliding on “more AI capex” anxiety, while Tesla ripped higher on Cathie Wood’s megaphone? plus a handful of single-stock soap operas stole the show.

Friday delivered a clear “risk-off” breadth reset: decliners overwhelmed advancers and downside volatility picked up, on heavier-than-average volume. Yet beneath the one-day damage, participation across key moving-average measures and longer timeframes remains broadly constructive, suggesting more of a cooling phase than a trend break.

A late-week mood swing around AI spending slammed tech and dragged the major indexes off record highs. Broadcom’s guidance nuance got punished, Oracle’s OpenAI data-center noise didn’t help, and suddenly “AI” felt less like a love story and more like a capex therapy session.

Thursday’s session looked more like a controlled handoff than a reversal: IWM broke out convincingly, SPY kept grinding near the highs, and QQQ cooled off under resistance.

Oracle’s earnings miss punched the Nasdaq in the nose, but the broader market basically shrugged and rotated into “normal economy” winners, pushing the Dow and S&P 500 to fresh records. Under the hood, the message felt consistent: investors still love AI… they just want proof it pays.

U.S. equities extended Tuesday’s rebound on Wednesday, with small caps taking the lead and breadth strengthening across most horizons. The damage from Monday’s sell-off is now largely repaired, and medium- to long-term participation remains firmly constructive, although SPY and QQQ still need decisive breakouts from their short-term ranges.

The Fed delivered a widely expected rate cut to 3.50–3.75%, stocks and Treasuries rallied, and the dollar slipped. AI-linked power play GE Vernova stole the show, while lawsuits hit major chipmakers and Oracle wiped away some of the post-Fed euphoria with a 6.5% after-hours slide.

On Wednesday, shares of GE Vernova (NYSE: GEV) jumped roughly 16% in one trading session. That kind of move in a large, established industrial name doesn’t happen by accident...

After Monday’s risk-off session, Tuesday brought a modest rebound with the Russell 2000 pushing into new high territory while SPY and QQQ hover just below resistance. Breadth metrics ticked back toward neutral-to-positive, keeping the medium-term uptrend intact even as rotation and short-term noise continue under the surface.

On the eve of a closely watched Fed rate cut, stocks barely moved, but under the surface, JPMorgan’s cost warning rattled the Dow, silver finally smashed through $60 an ounce, and Exxon doubled down on fossil-fuel cash flows. I walk through what actually mattered yesterday and what I’ll be watching when the Fed steps up to the mic tonight.

After Friday’s first signs of fatigue, Monday’s session brought another day of weak participation while the major U.S. indices hovered near record highs. Short- and medium-term breadth ticked lower again, but the majority of stocks still trade above key moving averages and new lows remain limited. The current breadth trend remains neutral with a slight positive bias, but the cushion is getting thinner.

Stocks slipped from record levels on Monday as investors shifted into “wait-and-see” mode ahead of Wednesday’s Fed decision. At the same time, Hollywood turned into a live-fire M&A battlefield, with Paramount Skydance crashing Netflix’s party for Warner Bros. Discovery and IBM writing a big AI-data check for Confluent.

U.S. indices finished the week parked right under resistance with only a mild negative breadth day on Friday. Under the surface, participation remains broad and trend metrics are still strong, but the post-selloff rebound is clearly shifting from “surge” to “digestion,” especially in small caps.

Friday’s session ended in the green again, capping a quietly positive week for US equities. But under the surface, the market spent most of the day digesting three things: a cooler-but-not-too-cool inflation print, a small rebound in consumer sentiment, and Netflix’s jumbo bid for Warner Bros. Discovery that could reshape the streaming landscape for years.

After a powerful breadth surge in the previous session, Thursday’s action cooled but remained net positive. Major indexes are pressing into resistance zones while most breadth gauges hold above the 50% line, pointing to a healthy uptrend that is starting to look extended rather than euphoric.

Wall Street’s headline indices barely moved on Thursday, but under the surface the story was loud and clear: U.S. consumers are trading down hard, discount retailers are loving it, and Meta is finally putting its metaverse on a diet. All of this is playing out against a backdrop of ultra-low jobless claims, a weaker dollar and growing confidence that the Fed will cut rates next week.

After Monday’s wobble at resistance, Wednesday’s session delivered the broad-based follow-through that was missing on Tuesday. Advances outnumbered declines three to one, participation above key moving averages ticked higher again, and small caps (IWM) finally caught up with the large-cap indices. The intermediate trend in market breadth moves back into clearly positive territory, albeit with major indices still pressing against overhead resistance zones.

A surprise drop in private-sector jobs pushed rate-cut expectations even higher and lifted stocks, even as fresh doubts about enterprise AI spending knocked Microsoft lower. Under the surface, chipmakers, retailers, and high-growth software names showed just how narrow and rotational this market still is.

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