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SPLUNK INC (SPLK) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:SPLK - US8486371045 - Common Stock

156.9 USD
+0.39 (+0.25%)
Last: 3/15/2024, 8:07:38 PM
156.92 USD
+0.02 (+0.01%)
After Hours: 3/15/2024, 8:07:38 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to SPLK. SPLK was compared to 281 industry peers in the Software industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of SPLK get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. SPLK is not priced too expensively while it is growing strongly. Keep and eye on this one!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year SPLK was profitable.
SPLK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
SPLK had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In multiple years SPLK reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
SPLK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSPLK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

SPLK's Return On Assets of 3.94% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SPLK outperforms 79.64% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of SPLK (35.62%) is better than 95.71% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 5.74%, SPLK belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.79% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.94%
ROE 35.62%
ROIC 5.74%
ROA(3y)-7.85%
ROA(5y)-9.04%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
SPLK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSPLK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 -200 -400 -600

1.3 Margins

SPLK's Profit Margin of 6.26% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SPLK outperforms 79.29% of its industry peers.
SPLK has a Operating Margin of 6.34%. This is in the better half of the industry: SPLK outperforms 76.07% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 79.80%, SPLK belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.79% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SPLK has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.34%
PM (TTM) 6.26%
GM 79.8%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.87%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
SPLK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSPLK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 80

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), SPLK is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, SPLK has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, SPLK has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for SPLK has been reduced compared to a year ago.
SPLK Yearly Shares OutstandingSPLK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
SPLK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSPLK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.98 indicates that SPLK is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.98, SPLK is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.14% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of SPLK is 3.15, which is a good value as it means it would take SPLK, 3.15 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
SPLK has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.15. This is in the better half of the industry: SPLK outperforms 68.93% of its industry peers.
SPLK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.20. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of SPLK (4.20) is worse than 85.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.2
Debt/FCF 3.15
Altman-Z 2.98
ROIC/WACC0.62
WACC9.33%
SPLK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSPLK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.62 indicates that SPLK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
SPLK has a Current ratio (1.62) which is in line with its industry peers.
SPLK has a Quick Ratio of 1.62. This is a normal value and indicates that SPLK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
SPLK has a Quick ratio (1.62) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 1.62
SPLK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSPLK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

SPLK shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 105.68%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 32.69% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, SPLK shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 15.38% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 18.51% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)105.68%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y32.69%
EPS Q2Q%48.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.38%
Revenue growth 3Y23.66%
Revenue growth 5Y18.51%
Sales Q2Q%18.79%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, SPLK will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.06% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 16.00% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y5.2%
EPS Next 2Y12.36%
EPS Next 3Y23.71%
EPS Next 5Y16.06%
Revenue Next Year15.29%
Revenue Next 2Y14.66%
Revenue Next 3Y14%
Revenue Next 5Y16%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
SPLK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSPLK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
SPLK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSPLK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 5 10

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 28.90 indicates a quite expensive valuation of SPLK.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of SPLK indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SPLK is cheaper than 79.64% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.41. SPLK is around the same levels.
SPLK is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.47.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SPLK is valued a bit cheaper than 75.36% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 35.40. SPLK is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.9
Fwd PE 27.47
SPLK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSPLK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SPLK is valued a bit cheaper than 66.07% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SPLK indicates a rather cheap valuation: SPLK is cheaper than 81.79% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 26.82
EV/EBITDA 76.39
SPLK Per share dataSPLK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates SPLK does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
SPLK's earnings are expected to grow with 23.71% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)5.56
PEG (5Y)0.88
EPS Next 2Y12.36%
EPS Next 3Y23.71%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for SPLK!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

SPLUNK INC

NASDAQ:SPLK (3/15/2024, 8:07:38 PM)

After market: 156.92 +0.02 (+0.01%)

156.9

+0.39 (+0.25%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)02-27 2024-02-27/amc
Earnings (Next)05-22 2024-05-22/amc
Inst Owners8.43%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.38%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap26.44B
Revenue(TTM)4.22B
Net Income(TTM)263.80M
Analysts66.32
Price Target153.96 (-1.87%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)41.29%
Min EPS beat(2)30.73%
Max EPS beat(2)51.85%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)93.63%
Min EPS beat(4)30.73%
Max EPS beat(4)236.74%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)107.12%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)109.14%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)118.87%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.85%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.65%
Max Revenue beat(2)14.06%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)14.06%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)6.3%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.84%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.4%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)11.63%
EPS NQ rev (3m)30.86%
EPS NY rev (1m)11.32%
EPS NY rev (3m)19.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.21%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.43%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.93%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.32%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.9
Fwd PE 27.47
P/S 6.27
P/FCF 26.82
P/OCF 26.22
P/B 35.7
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 76.39
EPS(TTM)5.43
EY3.46%
EPS(NY)5.71
Fwd EY3.64%
FCF(TTM)5.85
FCFY3.73%
OCF(TTM)5.98
OCFY3.81%
SpS25.02
BVpS4.4
TBVpS-4.41
PEG (NY)5.56
PEG (5Y)0.88
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.94%
ROE 35.62%
ROCE 6.47%
ROIC 5.74%
ROICexc 11.15%
ROICexgc 36.93%
OM 6.34%
PM (TTM) 6.26%
GM 79.8%
FCFM 23.38%
ROA(3y)-7.85%
ROA(5y)-9.04%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.87%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.2
Debt/FCF 3.15
Debt/EBITDA 8.73
Cap/Depr 25.62%
Cap/Sales 0.54%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 283.41%
Profit Quality 373.63%
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 1.62
Altman-Z 2.98
F-Score8
WACC9.33%
ROIC/WACC0.62
Cap/Depr(3y)22.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)55.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.72%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)105.68%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y32.69%
EPS Q2Q%48.04%
EPS Next Y5.2%
EPS Next 2Y12.36%
EPS Next 3Y23.71%
EPS Next 5Y16.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.38%
Revenue growth 3Y23.66%
Revenue growth 5Y18.51%
Sales Q2Q%18.79%
Revenue Next Year15.29%
Revenue Next 2Y14.66%
Revenue Next 3Y14%
Revenue Next 5Y16%
EBIT growth 1Y213.43%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year55.76%
EBIT Next 3Y18.62%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y130.72%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y29.25%
OCF growth 1Y124.28%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y27.74%

SPLUNK INC / SPLK FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SPLUNK INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SPLK.


Can you provide the valuation status for SPLUNK INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SPLUNK INC (SPLK). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of SPLK stock?

SPLUNK INC (SPLK) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


How financially healthy is SPLUNK INC?

The financial health rating of SPLUNK INC (SPLK) is 4 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for SPLUNK INC (SPLK) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SPLUNK INC (SPLK) is expected to grow by 5.2% in the next year.