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SPLUNK INC (SPLK) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:SPLK - US8486371045 - Common Stock

156.9 USD
+0.39 (+0.25%)
Last: 3/15/2024, 8:07:38 PM
156.92 USD
+0.02 (+0.01%)
After Hours: 3/15/2024, 8:07:38 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, SPLK scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. SPLK was compared to 276 industry peers in the Software industry. SPLK has an average financial health and profitability rating. SPLK is not overvalued while it is showing excellent growth. This is an interesting combination.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

SPLK had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year SPLK had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years SPLK reported 4 times negative net income.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: SPLK reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
SPLK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSPLK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.94%, SPLK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.64% of the companies in the same industry.
SPLK's Return On Equity of 35.62% is amongst the best of the industry. SPLK outperforms 95.71% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of SPLK (5.74%) is better than 81.79% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.94%
ROE 35.62%
ROIC 5.74%
ROA(3y)-7.85%
ROA(5y)-9.04%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
SPLK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSPLK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 -200 -400 -600

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of SPLK (6.26%) is better than 79.29% of its industry peers.
SPLK's Operating Margin of 6.34% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SPLK outperforms 76.07% of its industry peers.
SPLK's Gross Margin of 79.80% is amongst the best of the industry. SPLK outperforms 81.79% of its industry peers.
SPLK's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.34%
PM (TTM) 6.26%
GM 79.8%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.87%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
SPLK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSPLK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 80

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

SPLK has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for SPLK has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
SPLK has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
SPLK has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SPLK Yearly Shares OutstandingSPLK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
SPLK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSPLK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

SPLK has an Altman-Z score of 2.98. This is not the best score and indicates that SPLK is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.98, SPLK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.14% of the companies in the same industry.
SPLK has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.15. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as SPLK would need 3.15 years to pay back of all of its debts.
SPLK's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.15 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SPLK outperforms 68.93% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 4.20 is on the high side and indicates that SPLK has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of SPLK (4.20) is worse than 85.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.2
Debt/FCF 3.15
Altman-Z 2.98
ROIC/WACC0.62
WACC9.33%
SPLK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSPLK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.62 indicates that SPLK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.62, SPLK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.93% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.62 indicates that SPLK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
SPLK has a Quick ratio of 1.62. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: SPLK outperforms 50.36% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 1.62
SPLK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSPLK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 105.68% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 32.69% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue has grown by 15.38% in the past year. This is quite good.
SPLK shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.51% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)105.68%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y32.69%
EPS Q2Q%48.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.38%
Revenue growth 3Y23.66%
Revenue growth 5Y18.51%
Sales Q2Q%18.79%

3.2 Future

SPLK is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.06% yearly.
SPLK is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 16.00% yearly.
EPS Next Y5.2%
EPS Next 2Y12.36%
EPS Next 3Y23.71%
EPS Next 5Y16.06%
Revenue Next Year15.29%
Revenue Next 2Y14.66%
Revenue Next 3Y14%
Revenue Next 5Y16%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
SPLK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSPLK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
SPLK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSPLK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 5 10

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 28.90, SPLK can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SPLK is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.64% of the companies are valued more expensively.
SPLK is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.87, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.47 indicates a quite expensive valuation of SPLK.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SPLK is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 75.36% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.46, SPLK is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.9
Fwd PE 27.47
SPLK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSPLK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SPLK is valued a bit cheaper than 66.07% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SPLK indicates a rather cheap valuation: SPLK is cheaper than 81.79% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 26.82
EV/EBITDA 76.39
SPLK Per share dataSPLK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as SPLK's earnings are expected to grow with 23.71% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)5.56
PEG (5Y)0.88
EPS Next 2Y12.36%
EPS Next 3Y23.71%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for SPLK!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

SPLUNK INC

NASDAQ:SPLK (3/15/2024, 8:07:38 PM)

After market: 156.92 +0.02 (+0.01%)

156.9

+0.39 (+0.25%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)02-27 2024-02-27/amc
Earnings (Next)05-22 2024-05-22/amc
Inst Owners8.43%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.38%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap26.44B
Revenue(TTM)4.22B
Net Income(TTM)263.80M
Analysts66.32
Price Target153.96 (-1.87%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)41.29%
Min EPS beat(2)30.73%
Max EPS beat(2)51.85%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)93.63%
Min EPS beat(4)30.73%
Max EPS beat(4)236.74%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)107.12%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)109.14%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)118.87%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.85%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.65%
Max Revenue beat(2)14.06%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)14.06%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)6.3%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.84%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.4%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)11.63%
EPS NQ rev (3m)30.86%
EPS NY rev (1m)11.32%
EPS NY rev (3m)19.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.21%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.43%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.93%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.32%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.9
Fwd PE 27.47
P/S 6.27
P/FCF 26.82
P/OCF 26.22
P/B 35.7
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 76.39
EPS(TTM)5.43
EY3.46%
EPS(NY)5.71
Fwd EY3.64%
FCF(TTM)5.85
FCFY3.73%
OCF(TTM)5.98
OCFY3.81%
SpS25.02
BVpS4.4
TBVpS-4.41
PEG (NY)5.56
PEG (5Y)0.88
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.94%
ROE 35.62%
ROCE 6.47%
ROIC 5.74%
ROICexc 11.15%
ROICexgc 36.93%
OM 6.34%
PM (TTM) 6.26%
GM 79.8%
FCFM 23.38%
ROA(3y)-7.85%
ROA(5y)-9.04%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.87%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.2
Debt/FCF 3.15
Debt/EBITDA 8.73
Cap/Depr 25.62%
Cap/Sales 0.54%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 283.41%
Profit Quality 373.63%
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 1.62
Altman-Z 2.98
F-Score8
WACC9.33%
ROIC/WACC0.62
Cap/Depr(3y)22.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)55.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.72%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)105.68%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y32.69%
EPS Q2Q%48.04%
EPS Next Y5.2%
EPS Next 2Y12.36%
EPS Next 3Y23.71%
EPS Next 5Y16.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.38%
Revenue growth 3Y23.66%
Revenue growth 5Y18.51%
Sales Q2Q%18.79%
Revenue Next Year15.29%
Revenue Next 2Y14.66%
Revenue Next 3Y14%
Revenue Next 5Y16%
EBIT growth 1Y213.43%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year55.76%
EBIT Next 3Y18.62%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y130.72%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y29.25%
OCF growth 1Y124.28%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y27.74%

SPLUNK INC / SPLK FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SPLUNK INC (SPLK) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SPLK.


What is the valuation status of SPLUNK INC (SPLK) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SPLUNK INC (SPLK). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for SPLUNK INC?

SPLUNK INC (SPLK) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of SPLUNK INC (SPLK) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SPLUNK INC (SPLK) is 28.9 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 35.7.


What is the earnings growth outlook for SPLUNK INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SPLUNK INC (SPLK) is expected to grow by 5.2% in the next year.