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SPLUNK INC (SPLK) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NASDAQ:SPLK - US8486371045 - Common Stock

156.9 USD
+0.39 (+0.25%)
Last: 3/15/2024, 8:07:38 PM
156.92 USD
+0.02 (+0.01%)
After Hours: 3/15/2024, 8:07:38 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to SPLK. SPLK was compared to 280 industry peers in the Software industry. SPLK has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. SPLK is not overvalued while it is showing excellent growth. This is an interesting combination.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year SPLK was profitable.
SPLK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years SPLK reported 4 times negative net income.
In multiple years SPLK reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
SPLK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSPLK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

With a decent Return On Assets value of 3.94%, SPLK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.64% of the companies in the same industry.
SPLK has a Return On Equity of 35.62%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SPLK outperforms 95.71% of its industry peers.
SPLK has a better Return On Invested Capital (5.74%) than 81.79% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.94%
ROE 35.62%
ROIC 5.74%
ROA(3y)-7.85%
ROA(5y)-9.04%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
SPLK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSPLK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 -200 -400 -600

1.3 Margins

SPLK's Profit Margin of 6.26% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SPLK outperforms 79.29% of its industry peers.
SPLK's Operating Margin of 6.34% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SPLK outperforms 76.07% of its industry peers.
SPLK's Gross Margin of 79.80% is amongst the best of the industry. SPLK outperforms 81.79% of its industry peers.
SPLK's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.34%
PM (TTM) 6.26%
GM 79.8%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.87%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
SPLK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSPLK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 80

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SPLK is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, SPLK has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for SPLK has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, SPLK has an improved debt to assets ratio.
SPLK Yearly Shares OutstandingSPLK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
SPLK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSPLK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.98 indicates that SPLK is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
SPLK has a Altman-Z score (2.98) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of SPLK is 3.15, which is a good value as it means it would take SPLK, 3.15 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
SPLK has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.15. This is in the better half of the industry: SPLK outperforms 68.93% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 4.20 is on the high side and indicates that SPLK has dependencies on debt financing.
SPLK's Debt to Equity ratio of 4.20 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SPLK is outperformed by 85.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.2
Debt/FCF 3.15
Altman-Z 2.98
ROIC/WACC0.62
WACC9.33%
SPLK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSPLK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.62 indicates that SPLK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
SPLK's Current ratio of 1.62 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. SPLK outperforms 48.93% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.62 indicates that SPLK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
SPLK has a Quick ratio (1.62) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 1.62
SPLK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSPLK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 105.68% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, SPLK shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 32.69% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 15.38% in the past year. This is quite good.
Measured over the past years, SPLK shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.51% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)105.68%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y32.69%
EPS Q2Q%48.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.38%
Revenue growth 3Y23.66%
Revenue growth 5Y18.51%
Sales Q2Q%18.79%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.06% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
SPLK is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 16.00% yearly.
EPS Next Y5.2%
EPS Next 2Y12.36%
EPS Next 3Y23.71%
EPS Next 5Y16.06%
Revenue Next Year15.29%
Revenue Next 2Y14.66%
Revenue Next 3Y14%
Revenue Next 5Y16%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
SPLK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSPLK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
SPLK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSPLK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 5 10

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 28.90, SPLK can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SPLK is valued a bit cheaper than 79.64% of the companies in the same industry.
SPLK's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.38.
SPLK is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.47.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SPLK is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 75.36% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SPLK to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.86), we can say SPLK is valued slightly more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.9
Fwd PE 27.47
SPLK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSPLK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

SPLK's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SPLK is cheaper than 66.07% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SPLK indicates a rather cheap valuation: SPLK is cheaper than 81.79% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 26.82
EV/EBITDA 76.39
SPLK Per share dataSPLK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
SPLK's earnings are expected to grow with 23.71% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)5.56
PEG (5Y)0.88
EPS Next 2Y12.36%
EPS Next 3Y23.71%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for SPLK!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

SPLUNK INC

NASDAQ:SPLK (3/15/2024, 8:07:38 PM)

After market: 156.92 +0.02 (+0.01%)

156.9

+0.39 (+0.25%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)02-27 2024-02-27/amc
Earnings (Next)05-22 2024-05-22/amc
Inst Owners8.43%
Inst Owner Change-100%
Ins Owners1.38%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap26.44B
Analysts66.32
Price Target153.96 (-1.87%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)41.29%
Min EPS beat(2)30.73%
Max EPS beat(2)51.85%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)93.63%
Min EPS beat(4)30.73%
Max EPS beat(4)236.74%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)107.12%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)109.14%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)118.87%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.85%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.65%
Max Revenue beat(2)14.06%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)14.06%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)6.3%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.84%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.4%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)11.63%
EPS NQ rev (3m)30.86%
EPS NY rev (1m)11.32%
EPS NY rev (3m)19.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.21%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.43%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.93%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.32%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.9
Fwd PE 27.47
P/S 6.27
P/FCF 26.82
P/OCF 26.22
P/B 35.7
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 76.39
EPS(TTM)5.43
EY3.46%
EPS(NY)5.71
Fwd EY3.64%
FCF(TTM)5.85
FCFY3.73%
OCF(TTM)5.98
OCFY3.81%
SpS25.02
BVpS4.4
TBVpS-4.41
PEG (NY)5.56
PEG (5Y)0.88
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.94%
ROE 35.62%
ROCE 6.47%
ROIC 5.74%
ROICexc 11.15%
ROICexgc 36.93%
OM 6.34%
PM (TTM) 6.26%
GM 79.8%
FCFM 23.38%
ROA(3y)-7.85%
ROA(5y)-9.04%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.87%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.2
Debt/FCF 3.15
Debt/EBITDA 8.73
Cap/Depr 25.62%
Cap/Sales 0.54%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 283.41%
Profit Quality 373.63%
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 1.62
Altman-Z 2.98
F-Score8
WACC9.33%
ROIC/WACC0.62
Cap/Depr(3y)22.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)55.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.72%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)105.68%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y32.69%
EPS Q2Q%48.04%
EPS Next Y5.2%
EPS Next 2Y12.36%
EPS Next 3Y23.71%
EPS Next 5Y16.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.38%
Revenue growth 3Y23.66%
Revenue growth 5Y18.51%
Sales Q2Q%18.79%
Revenue Next Year15.29%
Revenue Next 2Y14.66%
Revenue Next 3Y14%
Revenue Next 5Y16%
EBIT growth 1Y213.43%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year55.76%
EBIT Next 3Y18.62%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y130.72%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y29.25%
OCF growth 1Y124.28%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y27.74%