SPLUNK INC (SPLK) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:SPLK • US8486371045
Current stock price
156.9 USD
+0.39 (+0.25%)
At close:
156.92 USD
+0.02 (+0.01%)
After Hours:
This SPLK fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SPLK Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- SPLK had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year SPLK had a positive cash flow from operations.
- SPLK had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: SPLK reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
- SPLK has a better Return On Assets (3.94%) than 79.64% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Equity value of 35.62%, SPLK belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- SPLK has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.74%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SPLK outperforms 81.79% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.94% | ||
| ROE | 35.62% | ||
| ROIC | 5.74% |
ROA(3y)-7.85%
ROA(5y)-9.04%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 6.26%, SPLK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.29% of the companies in the same industry.
- With a decent Operating Margin value of 6.34%, SPLK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.07% of the companies in the same industry.
- SPLK has a better Gross Margin (79.80%) than 81.79% of its industry peers.
- SPLK's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.34% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.26% | ||
| GM | 79.8% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.87%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
2. SPLK Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SPLK is destroying value.
- SPLK has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, SPLK has more shares outstanding
- SPLK has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- SPLK has an Altman-Z score of 2.98. This is not the best score and indicates that SPLK is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- SPLK has a Altman-Z score (2.98) which is in line with its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SPLK is 3.15, which is a good value as it means it would take SPLK, 3.15 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SPLK (3.15) is better than 68.93% of its industry peers.
- SPLK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.20. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 4.20, SPLK is not doing good in the industry: 85.71% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.15 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.98 |
ROIC/WACC0.62
WACC9.33%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.62 indicates that SPLK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of SPLK (1.62) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.62 indicates that SPLK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- SPLK has a Quick ratio (1.62) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.62 |
3. SPLK Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- SPLK shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 105.68%, which is quite impressive.
- SPLK shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 32.69% yearly.
- SPLK shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 15.38%.
- Measured over the past years, SPLK shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.51% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)105.68%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y32.69%
EPS Q2Q%48.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.38%
Revenue growth 3Y23.66%
Revenue growth 5Y18.51%
Sales Q2Q%18.79%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.06% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, SPLK will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 16.00% on average per year.
EPS Next Y5.2%
EPS Next 2Y12.36%
EPS Next 3Y23.71%
EPS Next 5Y16.06%
Revenue Next Year15.29%
Revenue Next 2Y14.66%
Revenue Next 3Y14%
Revenue Next 5Y16%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. SPLK Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 28.90, the valuation of SPLK can be described as expensive.
- SPLK's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SPLK is cheaper than 79.64% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.33, SPLK is valued at the same level.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.47 indicates a quite expensive valuation of SPLK.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SPLK is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 75.36% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SPLK to the average of the S&P500 Index (38.16), we can say SPLK is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 27.47 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SPLK indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SPLK is cheaper than 66.07% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SPLK is valued cheaper than 81.79% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 26.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 76.39 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as SPLK's earnings are expected to grow with 23.71% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)5.56
PEG (5Y)0.88
EPS Next 2Y12.36%
EPS Next 3Y23.71%
5. SPLK Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- SPLK does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
SPLK Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
156.9
+0.39 (+0.25%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)02-27 2024-02-27/amc
Earnings (Next)05-22 2024-05-22/amc
Inst Owners8.43%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.38%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap26.44B
Revenue(TTM)4.22B
Net Income(TTM)263.80M
Analysts66.32
Price Target153.96 (-1.87%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)41.29%
Min EPS beat(2)30.73%
Max EPS beat(2)51.85%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)93.63%
Min EPS beat(4)30.73%
Max EPS beat(4)236.74%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)107.12%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)109.14%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)118.87%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.85%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.65%
Max Revenue beat(2)14.06%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)14.06%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)6.3%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.84%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.4%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)11.63%
EPS NQ rev (3m)30.86%
EPS NY rev (1m)11.32%
EPS NY rev (3m)19.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.21%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.43%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.93%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.32%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 27.47 | ||
| P/S | 6.27 | ||
| P/FCF | 26.82 | ||
| P/OCF | 26.22 | ||
| P/B | 35.7 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 76.39 |
EPS(TTM)5.43
EY3.46%
EPS(NY)5.71
Fwd EY3.64%
FCF(TTM)5.85
FCFY3.73%
OCF(TTM)5.98
OCFY3.81%
SpS25.02
BVpS4.4
TBVpS-4.41
PEG (NY)5.56
PEG (5Y)0.88
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.94% | ||
| ROE | 35.62% | ||
| ROCE | 6.47% | ||
| ROIC | 5.74% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.15% | ||
| ROICexgc | 36.93% | ||
| OM | 6.34% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.26% | ||
| GM | 79.8% | ||
| FCFM | 23.38% |
ROA(3y)-7.85%
ROA(5y)-9.04%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.87%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.15 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 25.62% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.54% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 283.41% | ||
| Profit Quality | 373.63% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.62 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.98 |
F-Score8
WACC9.33%
ROIC/WACC0.62
Cap/Depr(3y)22.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)55.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.72%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)105.68%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y32.69%
EPS Q2Q%48.04%
EPS Next Y5.2%
EPS Next 2Y12.36%
EPS Next 3Y23.71%
EPS Next 5Y16.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.38%
Revenue growth 3Y23.66%
Revenue growth 5Y18.51%
Sales Q2Q%18.79%
Revenue Next Year15.29%
Revenue Next 2Y14.66%
Revenue Next 3Y14%
Revenue Next 5Y16%
EBIT growth 1Y213.43%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year55.76%
EBIT Next 3Y18.62%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y130.72%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y29.25%
OCF growth 1Y124.28%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y27.74%
SPLUNK INC / SPLK Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SPLUNK INC (SPLK) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SPLK.
What is the valuation status for SPLK stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SPLUNK INC (SPLK). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is SPLUNK INC (SPLK) stock?
SPLUNK INC (SPLK) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for SPLK stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SPLUNK INC (SPLK) is 28.9 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 35.7.
Can you provide the financial health for SPLK stock?
The financial health rating of SPLUNK INC (SPLK) is 4 / 10.