PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC-A (PTON)

US70614W1009 - Common Stock

9.07  +0.24 (+2.72%)

After market: 9.1001 +0.03 (+0.33%)

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to PTON. PTON was compared to 31 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. Both the profitability and financial health of PTON have multiple concerns. While showing a medium growth rate, PTON is valued expensive at the moment.



1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year PTON has reported negative net income.
In the past year PTON had a positive cash flow from operations.
PTON had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years PTON reported 4 times negative operating cash flow.

1.2 Ratios

PTON has a worse Return On Assets (-18.25%) than 74.19% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -18.25%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-47%
ROA(5y)-29.53%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

PTON has a Gross Margin of 45.52%. This is in the better half of the industry: PTON outperforms 77.42% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PTON has remained more or less at the same level.
PTON does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.52%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y7.36%
GM growth 5Y1.28%

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

PTON does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for PTON has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, PTON has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for PTON is higher compared to a year ago.

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -1.64, we must say that PTON is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -1.64, PTON is doing worse than 83.87% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PTON is 182.88, which is on the high side as it means it would take PTON, 182.88 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
PTON has a Debt to FCF ratio of 182.88. This is in the lower half of the industry: PTON underperforms 64.52% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 182.88
Altman-Z -1.64
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.43%

2.3 Liquidity

PTON has a Current Ratio of 2.01. This indicates that PTON is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
PTON has a Current ratio of 2.01. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PTON outperforms 48.39% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.49 indicates that PTON should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
PTON has a better Quick ratio (1.49) than 64.52% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.01
Quick Ratio 1.49

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 58.82% over the past year.
PTON shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -3.18%.
Measured over the past years, PTON shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 24.17% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)58.82%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.43%
Revenue growth 5Y24.17%
Sales Q2Q%-1.6%

3.2 Future

PTON is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 38.37% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.66% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y74.46%
EPS Next 2Y34.55%
EPS Next 3Y22.61%
EPS Next 5Y38.37%
Revenue Next Year-8.14%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.51%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.92%
Revenue Next 5Y0.66%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

PTON reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year PTON is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A

4.2 Price Multiples

64.52% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than PTON, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 421.93
EV/EBITDA N/A

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PTON's earnings are expected to grow with 22.61% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y34.55%
EPS Next 3Y22.61%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

PTON does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC-A

NASDAQ:PTON (1/3/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 9.1001 +0.03 (+0.33%)

9.07

+0.24 (+2.72%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)10-31 2024-10-31/bmo
Earnings (Next)01-30 2025-01-30/amc
Inst Owners83.63%
Inst Owner Change-0.74%
Ins Owners0.5%
Ins Owner Change7.26%
Market Cap3.46B
Analysts67.86
Price Target7.41 (-18.3%)
Short Float %17.57%
Short Ratio3.25
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)36.64%
Min EPS beat(2)-26.72%
Max EPS beat(2)100%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)14.55%
Min EPS beat(4)-26.72%
Max EPS beat(4)100%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.85%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-46.37%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)-27.6%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.82%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.08%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.88%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.09%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.26%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)35.21%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)43.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.52%
EPS NY rev (3m)30.73%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.24%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 1.29
P/FCF 421.93
P/OCF 135.15
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.19
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.31
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.02
FCFY0.24%
OCF(TTM)0.07
OCFY0.74%
SpS7.05
BVpS-1.26
TBVpS-1.4
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -18.25%
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.52%
FCFM 0.3%
ROA(3y)-47%
ROA(5y)-29.53%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y7.36%
GM growth 5Y1.28%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.25
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 182.88
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 16.93%
Cap/Sales 0.65%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.01
Quick Ratio 1.49
Altman-Z -1.64
F-Score5
WACC8.43%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)106.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)220.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.36%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.58%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)58.82%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
EPS Next Y74.46%
EPS Next 2Y34.55%
EPS Next 3Y22.61%
EPS Next 5Y38.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.43%
Revenue growth 5Y24.17%
Sales Q2Q%-1.6%
Revenue Next Year-8.14%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.51%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.92%
Revenue Next 5Y0.66%
EBIT growth 1Y60.66%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year155.29%
EBIT Next 3Y37.44%
EBIT Next 5Y21.88%
FCF growth 1Y100.42%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y101.54%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A