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PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC-A (PTON) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:PTON - Nasdaq - US70614W1009 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

7.75  -0.32 (-3.97%)

After market: 7.7001 -0.05 (-0.64%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Overall PTON gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated PTON against 30 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. PTON has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. PTON is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

PTON had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year PTON had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years PTON always reported negative net income.
PTON had negative operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
PTON Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPTON Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -18.25%, PTON is not doing good in the industry: 73.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -18.25%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-47%
ROA(5y)-29.53%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
PTON Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPTON Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 -200 400 -400

1.3 Margins

PTON's Gross Margin of 45.52% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PTON outperforms 76.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PTON has remained more or less at the same level.
PTON does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.52%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y7.36%
GM growth 5Y1.28%
PTON Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPTON Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 -60

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

PTON does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for PTON has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
PTON has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, PTON has a worse debt to assets ratio.
PTON Yearly Shares OutstandingPTON Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
PTON Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPTON Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

PTON has an Altman-Z score of -1.73. This is a bad value and indicates that PTON is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of PTON (-1.73) is worse than 80.00% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PTON is 182.88, which is on the high side as it means it would take PTON, 182.88 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
PTON has a worse Debt to FCF ratio (182.88) than 63.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 182.88
Altman-Z -1.73
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.23%
PTON Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPTON Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B -2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.01 indicates that PTON has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.01, PTON is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.49 indicates that PTON should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
PTON has a Quick ratio of 1.49. This is in the better half of the industry: PTON outperforms 63.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.01
Quick Ratio 1.49
PTON Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPTON Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 58.82% over the past year.
The Revenue has decreased by -3.18% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, PTON shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 24.17% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)58.82%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.43%
Revenue growth 5Y24.17%
Sales Q2Q%-1.6%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 38.37% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, PTON will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.66% on average per year.
EPS Next Y76.26%
EPS Next 2Y35.58%
EPS Next 3Y23.59%
EPS Next 5Y38.37%
Revenue Next Year-8.03%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.57%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.82%
Revenue Next 5Y0.66%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
PTON Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPTON Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 1B 2B 3B 4B
PTON Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPTON Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 2 -2 4 -4 -6

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for PTON. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year PTON is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
PTON Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPTON Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of PTON indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: PTON is more expensive than 63.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 360.53
EV/EBITDA N/A
PTON Per share dataPTON EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as PTON's earnings are expected to grow with 23.59% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y35.58%
EPS Next 3Y23.59%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for PTON!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC-A

NASDAQ:PTON (1/31/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 7.7001 -0.05 (-0.64%)

7.75

-0.32 (-3.97%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)10-31 2024-10-31/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-06 2025-02-06/bmo
Inst Owners83.63%
Inst Owner Change4.53%
Ins Owners0.5%
Ins Owner Change6.59%
Market Cap2.96B
Analysts67.86
Price Target8.5 (9.68%)
Short Float %18.31%
Short Ratio3.67
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)36.64%
Min EPS beat(2)-26.72%
Max EPS beat(2)100%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)14.55%
Min EPS beat(4)-26.72%
Max EPS beat(4)100%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.85%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-46.37%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)-27.6%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.82%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.08%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.88%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.09%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.26%
PT rev (1m)14.78%
PT rev (3m)55.2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)7.61%
EPS NQ rev (3m)48.15%
EPS NY rev (1m)7.03%
EPS NY rev (3m)35.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.48%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.12%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 1.1
P/FCF 360.53
P/OCF 115.48
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.19
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.26
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.02
FCFY0.28%
OCF(TTM)0.07
OCFY0.87%
SpS7.05
BVpS-1.26
TBVpS-1.4
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -18.25%
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.52%
FCFM 0.3%
ROA(3y)-47%
ROA(5y)-29.53%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y7.36%
GM growth 5Y1.28%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.25
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 182.88
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 16.93%
Cap/Sales 0.65%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.01
Quick Ratio 1.49
Altman-Z -1.73
F-Score5
WACC8.23%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)106.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)220.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.36%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.58%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)58.82%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
EPS Next Y76.26%
EPS Next 2Y35.58%
EPS Next 3Y23.59%
EPS Next 5Y38.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.43%
Revenue growth 5Y24.17%
Sales Q2Q%-1.6%
Revenue Next Year-8.03%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.57%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.82%
Revenue Next 5Y0.66%
EBIT growth 1Y60.66%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year155.72%
EBIT Next 3Y37.25%
EBIT Next 5Y21.88%
FCF growth 1Y100.42%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y101.54%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A