HEALTHPEAK PROPERTIES INC (PEAK) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:PEAK • US42250P1030
Current stock price
17.1 USD
+0.35 (+2.09%)
At close:
17.1 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This PEAK fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. PEAK Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year PEAK was profitable.
- PEAK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- PEAK had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- PEAK had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- PEAK has a Return On Assets of 1.94%. This is in the better half of the industry: PEAK outperforms 65.60% of its industry peers.
- PEAK has a Return On Equity of 4.79%. This is in the better half of the industry: PEAK outperforms 68.80% of its industry peers.
- PEAK has a Return On Invested Capital (2.45%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- PEAK had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.14%. This is in line with the industry average of 3.13%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (2.14%) for PEAK is below the current ROIC(2.45%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.94% | ||
| ROE | 4.79% | ||
| ROIC | 2.45% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)6.66%
ROE(5y)5.35%
ROIC(3y)2.14%
ROIC(5y)1.89%
1.3 Margins
- PEAK has a Profit Margin of 13.95%. This is in the better half of the industry: PEAK outperforms 68.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PEAK has declined.
- With a Operating Margin value of 20.53%, PEAK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- PEAK's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- PEAK has a Gross Margin of 59.28%. This is in the lower half of the industry: PEAK underperforms 73.60% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PEAK has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 20.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.95% | ||
| GM | 59.28% |
OM growth 3Y15.69%
OM growth 5Y-5.54%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-30.94%
GM growth 3Y4.39%
GM growth 5Y-2.65%
2. PEAK Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- PEAK has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- PEAK has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, PEAK has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.34, we must say that PEAK is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- PEAK's Altman-Z score of 0.34 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PEAK is outperformed by 64.80% of its industry peers.
- PEAK has a debt to FCF ratio of 32.87. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as PEAK would need 32.87 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- PEAK has a Debt to FCF ratio of 32.87. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PEAK outperforms 52.00% of its industry peers.
- PEAK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.08. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.08, PEAK is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.60% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.87 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.34 |
ROIC/WACC0.37
WACC6.55%
2.3 Liquidity
- PEAK has a Current Ratio of 0.14. This is a bad value and indicates that PEAK is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- PEAK has a worse Current ratio (0.14) than 96.80% of its industry peers.
- PEAK has a Quick Ratio of 0.14. This is a bad value and indicates that PEAK is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.14, PEAK is not doing good in the industry: 96.80% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.14 |
3. PEAK Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for PEAK have decreased strongly by -38.86% in the last year.
- PEAK shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -23.30% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, PEAK shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.81% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, PEAK shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 12.86% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.86%
EPS 3Y-12.64%
EPS 5Y-23.3%
EPS Q2Q%1200%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.86%
Revenue growth 5Y12.86%
Sales Q2Q%5.56%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, PEAK will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -3.48% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.55% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-30.18%
EPS Next 2Y-0.06%
EPS Next 3Y-5.39%
EPS Next 5Y-3.48%
Revenue Next Year15.38%
Revenue Next 2Y10.7%
Revenue Next 3Y8.55%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. PEAK Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 30.54, PEAK can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- PEAK's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PEAK is cheaper than 61.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.53. PEAK is around the same levels.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 43.73, the valuation of PEAK can be described as expensive.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PEAK is valued a bit cheaper than 65.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- PEAK is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 37.95, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.54 | ||
| Fwd PE | 43.73 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- PEAK's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PEAK is cheaper than 62.40% of the companies in the same industry.
- PEAK's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 44.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- PEAK's earnings are expected to decrease with -5.39% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-0.06%
EPS Next 3Y-5.39%
5. PEAK Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- PEAK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.02%, which is a nice return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 7.71, PEAK pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- PEAK's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.02% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of PEAK decreases each year by -11.76%.
- PEAK has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-11.76%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- PEAK pays out 215.92% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The Dividend Rate of PEAK has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP215.92%
EPS Next 2Y-0.06%
EPS Next 3Y-5.39%
PEAK Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
17.1
+0.35 (+2.09%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)02-08 2024-02-08/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners117.78%
Inst Owner Change-1.11%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap9.36B
Revenue(TTM)2.18B
Net Income(TTM)304.29M
Analysts78.18
Price Target22.19 (29.77%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.02% |
Yearly Dividend1.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)-11.76%
DP215.92%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)34.48%
Min EPS beat(2)25.88%
Max EPS beat(2)43.09%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)50.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.64%
Max EPS beat(4)149.96%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)80.62%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)65.46%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)81.29%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.62%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.62%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.54%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.7%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-8.89%
PT rev (1m)-1.34%
PT rev (3m)2.46%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-15.62%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)-12.55%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)6.65%
Revenue NY rev (3m)16.7%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.54 | ||
| Fwd PE | 43.73 | ||
| P/S | 4.29 | ||
| P/FCF | 44.73 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.78 | ||
| P/B | 1.47 | ||
| P/tB | 1.55 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.46 |
EPS(TTM)0.56
EY3.27%
EPS(NY)0.39
Fwd EY2.29%
FCF(TTM)0.38
FCFY2.24%
OCF(TTM)1.75
OCFY10.22%
SpS3.99
BVpS11.61
TBVpS11.03
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.94% | ||
| ROE | 4.79% | ||
| ROCE | 3.1% | ||
| ROIC | 2.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.47% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.68% | ||
| OM | 20.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.95% | ||
| GM | 59.28% | ||
| FCFM | 9.59% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)6.66%
ROE(5y)5.35%
ROIC(3y)2.14%
ROIC(5y)1.89%
ROICexc(3y)2.16%
ROICexc(5y)1.9%
ROICexgc(3y)2.33%
ROICexgc(5y)2.05%
ROCE(3y)2.71%
ROCE(5y)2.39%
ROICexgc growth 3Y28.26%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.6%
ROICexc growth 3Y28.51%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.28%
OM growth 3Y15.69%
OM growth 5Y-5.54%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-30.94%
GM growth 3Y4.39%
GM growth 5Y-2.65%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.14
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.87 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.74 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 99.62% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 34.25% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.38 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.85% | ||
| Profit Quality | 68.75% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.14 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.34 |
F-Score6
WACC6.55%
ROIC/WACC0.37
Cap/Depr(3y)183.97%
Cap/Depr(5y)234.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)65.04%
Cap/Sales(5y)98.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.86%
EPS 3Y-12.64%
EPS 5Y-23.3%
EPS Q2Q%1200%
EPS Next Y-30.18%
EPS Next 2Y-0.06%
EPS Next 3Y-5.39%
EPS Next 5Y-3.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.86%
Revenue growth 5Y12.86%
Sales Q2Q%5.56%
Revenue Next Year15.38%
Revenue Next 2Y10.7%
Revenue Next 3Y8.55%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y13.63%
EBIT growth 3Y27.09%
EBIT growth 5Y6.6%
EBIT Next Year208.15%
EBIT Next 3Y49.06%
EBIT Next 5Y31.97%
FCF growth 1Y249.96%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y6.21%
OCF growth 3Y8.03%
OCF growth 5Y2.41%
HEALTHPEAK PROPERTIES INC / PEAK Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HEALTHPEAK PROPERTIES INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to PEAK.
What is the valuation status of HEALTHPEAK PROPERTIES INC (PEAK) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to HEALTHPEAK PROPERTIES INC (PEAK). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is HEALTHPEAK PROPERTIES INC (PEAK) stock?
HEALTHPEAK PROPERTIES INC (PEAK) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for PEAK stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HEALTHPEAK PROPERTIES INC (PEAK) is 30.54 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.47.
How financially healthy is HEALTHPEAK PROPERTIES INC?
The financial health rating of HEALTHPEAK PROPERTIES INC (PEAK) is 1 / 10.