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PDD HOLDINGS INC (PDD) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:PDD - Nasdaq - US7223041028 - ADR - Currency: USD

114.05  +8.81 (+8.37%)

Premarket: 106.25 -7.8 (-6.84%)

Fundamental Rating

8

We assign a fundamental rating of 8 out of 10 to PDD. PDD was compared to 32 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making PDD a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. An interesting combination arises when we look at growth and value: PDD is growing strongly while it also seems undervalued. With these ratings, PDD could be worth investigating further for value and growth and quality investing!.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year PDD was profitable.
PDD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years PDD reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years PDD always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
PDD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPDD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20B 40B 60B 80B

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 23.19%, PDD belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 38.87%, PDD belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.77% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of PDD (31.27%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PDD is significantly above the industry average of 11.22%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (31.27%) for PDD is above the 3 year average (17.97%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 23.19%
ROE 38.87%
ROIC 31.27%
ROA(3y)11.61%
ROA(5y)4.23%
ROE(3y)23.06%
ROE(5y)5.8%
ROIC(3y)17.97%
ROIC(5y)N/A
PDD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPDD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

PDD has a Profit Margin of 29.10%. This is amongst the best in the industry. PDD outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
PDD has a Operating Margin of 28.28%. This is amongst the best in the industry. PDD outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 62.06%, PDD belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.87% of the companies in the same industry.
PDD's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 28.28%
PM (TTM) 29.1%
GM 62.06%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.16%
PDD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPDD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50

9

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PDD is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for PDD has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
PDD has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, PDD has an improved debt to assets ratio.
PDD Yearly Shares OutstandingPDD Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
PDD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPDD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100B 200B 300B

2.2 Solvency

PDD has an Altman-Z score of 6.21. This indicates that PDD is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
PDD's Altman-Z score of 6.21 is amongst the best of the industry. PDD outperforms 80.65% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PDD is 0.04, which is an excellent value as it means it would take PDD, only 0.04 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
PDD has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.04) than 93.55% of its industry peers.
PDD has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.02. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.02, PDD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.42% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF 0.04
Altman-Z 6.21
ROIC/WACC4.4
WACC7.1%
PDD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPDD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50B 100B 150B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.15 indicates that PDD has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.15, PDD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.97% of the companies in the same industry.
PDD has a Quick Ratio of 2.15. This indicates that PDD is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 2.15, PDD belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.87% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.15
Quick Ratio 2.15
PDD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPDD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50B 100B 150B 200B 250B

8

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 113.90% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, PDD shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 87.39%.
The Revenue has been growing by 79.96% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)113.9%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%60.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)87.39%
Revenue growth 3Y60.86%
Revenue growth 5Y79.96%
Sales Q2Q%44.33%

3.2 Future

PDD is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 23.38% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, PDD will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 26.33% on average per year.
EPS Next Y79.31%
EPS Next 2Y42.48%
EPS Next 3Y35.55%
EPS Next 5Y23.38%
Revenue Next Year67.68%
Revenue Next 2Y44.72%
Revenue Next 3Y36.02%
Revenue Next 5Y26.33%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
PDD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPDD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 200B 400B 600B 800B
PDD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPDD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 20 40 60 80 100

9

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 10.36, which indicates a very decent valuation of PDD.
77.42% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PDD, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
PDD is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.47, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.79, the valuation of PDD can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PDD is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.10% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PDD to the average of the S&P500 Index (92.74), we can say PDD is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.36
Fwd PE 8.79
PDD Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPDD Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

PDD's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. PDD is cheaper than 80.65% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of PDD indicates a rather cheap valuation: PDD is cheaper than 80.65% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.88
EV/EBITDA 5.68
PDD Per share dataPDD EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PDD has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PDD's earnings are expected to grow with 35.55% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.13
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y42.48%
EPS Next 3Y35.55%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

PDD does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

PDD HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:PDD (2/4/2025, 8:00:32 PM)

Premarket: 106.25 -7.8 (-6.84%)

114.05

+8.81 (+8.37%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)11-21 2024-11-21/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners33.94%
Inst Owner Change-0.94%
Ins Owners0%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap158.39B
Analysts83.33
Price Target153.98 (35.01%)
Short Float %7.39%
Short Ratio2.63
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)5.62%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.97%
Max EPS beat(2)18.22%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)41.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.97%
Max EPS beat(4)103.72%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)39.96%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)67.48%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)139.85%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.04%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.17%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.91%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.17%
Max Revenue beat(4)13.61%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)9.08%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)10.13%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)8.34%
PT rev (1m)-0.08%
PT rev (3m)-9.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-22.91%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.14%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.67%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.08%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.61%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.36
Fwd PE 8.79
P/S 3.09
P/FCF 8.88
P/OCF 8.88
P/B 4.12
P/tB 4.12
EV/EBITDA 5.68
EPS(TTM)11.01
EY9.65%
EPS(NY)12.97
Fwd EY11.37%
FCF(TTM)12.84
FCFY11.26%
OCF(TTM)12.84
OCFY11.26%
SpS36.95
BVpS27.66
TBVpS27.65
PEG (NY)0.13
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 23.19%
ROE 38.87%
ROCE 36.69%
ROIC 31.27%
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 28.28%
PM (TTM) 29.1%
GM 62.06%
FCFM 34.74%
ROA(3y)11.61%
ROA(5y)4.23%
ROE(3y)23.06%
ROE(5y)5.8%
ROIC(3y)17.97%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)21.08%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.16%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.8
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF 0.04
Debt/EBITDA 0.05
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 121.94%
Profit Quality 119.4%
Current Ratio 2.15
Quick Ratio 2.15
Altman-Z 6.21
F-Score6
WACC7.1%
ROIC/WACC4.4
Cap/Depr(3y)107.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)66.71%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.41%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.88%
Profit Quality(3y)211.95%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)113.9%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%60.12%
EPS Next Y79.31%
EPS Next 2Y42.48%
EPS Next 3Y35.55%
EPS Next 5Y23.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)87.39%
Revenue growth 3Y60.86%
Revenue growth 5Y79.96%
Sales Q2Q%44.33%
Revenue Next Year67.68%
Revenue Next 2Y44.72%
Revenue Next 3Y36.02%
Revenue Next 5Y26.33%
EBIT growth 1Y131.69%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year100.73%
EBIT Next 3Y46%
EBIT Next 5Y18.09%
FCF growth 1Y237.02%
FCF growth 3Y49.24%
FCF growth 5Y64.62%
OCF growth 1Y237.02%
OCF growth 3Y49.47%
OCF growth 5Y64.71%