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OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:OTLY - Nasdaq - US67421J2078 - ADR - Currency: USD

9.3  +0.01 (+0.11%)

Fundamental Rating

1

Overall OTLY gets a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10. We evaluated OTLY against 89 industry peers in the Food Products industry. OTLY may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. While showing a medium growth rate, OTLY is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

OTLY had negative earnings in the past year.
OTLY had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years OTLY always reported negative net income.
OTLY had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
OTLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOTLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -100M -200M -300M -400M

1.2 Ratios

OTLY has a Return On Assets of -44.46%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: OTLY underperforms 84.27% of its industry peers.
OTLY has a Return On Equity of -178.33%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: OTLY underperforms 84.27% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -44.46%
ROE -178.33%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
OTLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOTLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -20 -40 -60 -80 -100

1.3 Margins

The Gross Margin of OTLY (25.81%) is better than 62.92% of its industry peers.
OTLY's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for OTLY so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 25.81%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y5.23%
GM growth 5Y-2.54%
OTLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOTLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

OTLY does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
OTLY has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
OTLY Yearly Shares OutstandingOTLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
OTLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOTLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -2.16, we must say that OTLY is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -2.16, OTLY is doing worse than 79.78% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.66 indicates that OTLY is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.66, OTLY is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.70% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -2.16
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.25%
OTLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOTLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.62 indicates that OTLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
OTLY has a worse Current ratio (0.62) than 85.39% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.47 indicates that OTLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.47, OTLY is not doing good in the industry: 75.28% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.62
Quick Ratio 0.47
OTLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOTLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for OTLY have decreased strongly by -337.31% in the last year.
OTLY shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.15%.
The Revenue has been growing by 32.20% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-337.31%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-220%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.15%
Revenue growth 3Y8.59%
Revenue growth 5Y32.2%
Sales Q2Q%4.99%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.91% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.80% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-2.17%
EPS Next 2Y8.3%
EPS Next 3Y10.8%
EPS Next 5Y14.91%
Revenue Next Year1.32%
Revenue Next 2Y3.7%
Revenue Next 3Y4.73%
Revenue Next 5Y5.8%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
OTLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOTLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
OTLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOTLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

OTLY reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for OTLY. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
OTLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOTLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
OTLY Per share dataOTLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.3%
EPS Next 3Y10.8%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

OTLY does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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OATLY GROUP AB

NASDAQ:OTLY (4/25/2025, 4:30:02 PM)

9.3

+0.01 (+0.11%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)02-12 2025-02-12/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2025-04-30/bmo
Inst Owners61.6%
Inst Owner Change-2.41%
Ins Owners1.75%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap278.33M
Analysts78.67
Price Target23.78 (155.7%)
Short Float %N/A
Short Ratio1.38
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)18.02%
Min EPS beat(2)6.08%
Max EPS beat(2)29.97%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-43.79%
Min EPS beat(4)-219.7%
Max EPS beat(4)29.97%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)0.11%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.09%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.63%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.46%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.63%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.59%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.69%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.68%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-21.54%
PT rev (3m)1142.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1859.5%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1820.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)14.93%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1519.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.4%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.9%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.09%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.34
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.21
P/tB 2.72
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-2.93
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-2.99
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-5.49
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-3.95
OCFYN/A
SpS27.18
BVpS7.67
TBVpS3.42
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -44.46%
ROE -178.33%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 25.81%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y5.23%
GM growth 5Y-2.54%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 87.62%
Cap/Sales 5.65%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.62
Quick Ratio 0.47
Altman-Z -2.16
F-Score4
WACC7.25%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)214.22%
Cap/Depr(5y)551.51%
Cap/Sales(3y)14.12%
Cap/Sales(5y)23.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-337.31%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-220%
EPS Next Y-2.17%
EPS Next 2Y8.3%
EPS Next 3Y10.8%
EPS Next 5Y14.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.15%
Revenue growth 3Y8.59%
Revenue growth 5Y32.2%
Sales Q2Q%4.99%
Revenue Next Year1.32%
Revenue Next 2Y3.7%
Revenue Next 3Y4.73%
Revenue Next 5Y5.8%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.09%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year104.07%
EBIT Next 3Y34.81%
EBIT Next 5Y23.52%
FCF growth 1Y43.14%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y42.33%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A