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OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:OTLY - Nasdaq - US67421J1088 - ADR - Currency: USD

10.64  +1.03 (+10.72%)

After market: 10.5015 -0.14 (-1.3%)

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to OTLY. OTLY was compared to 91 industry peers in the Food Products industry. OTLY may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. While showing a medium growth rate, OTLY is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

OTLY had negative earnings in the past year.
OTLY had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years OTLY always reported negative net income.
OTLY had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
OTLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOTLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -100M -200M -300M -400M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -44.46%, OTLY is not doing good in the industry: 87.06% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
OTLY has a worse Return On Equity (-178.33%) than 87.06% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -44.46%
ROE -178.33%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
OTLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOTLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -20 -40 -60 -80 -100

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 25.81%, OTLY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.18% of the companies in the same industry.
OTLY's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for OTLY so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 25.81%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y5.23%
GM growth 5Y-2.54%
OTLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOTLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

OTLY does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
OTLY has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
OTLY Yearly Shares OutstandingOTLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
OTLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOTLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

OTLY has an Altman-Z score of 3.10. This indicates that OTLY is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
OTLY's Altman-Z score of 3.10 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OTLY outperforms 71.76% of its industry peers.
OTLY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.66. This is a neutral value indicating OTLY is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
OTLY has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.66) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.1
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC6.97%
OTLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOTLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.62 indicates that OTLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.62, OTLY is doing worse than 89.41% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.47 indicates that OTLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
OTLY has a Quick ratio of 0.47. This is amonst the worse of the industry: OTLY underperforms 82.35% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.62
Quick Ratio 0.47
OTLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOTLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

OTLY shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -337.31%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.15% in the past year.
OTLY shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 32.20% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-337.31%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-220%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.15%
Revenue growth 3Y8.59%
Revenue growth 5Y32.2%
Sales Q2Q%4.99%

3.2 Future

OTLY is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.91% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.80% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-20.1%
EPS Next 2Y3.52%
EPS Next 3Y14.79%
EPS Next 5Y14.91%
Revenue Next Year3.98%
Revenue Next 2Y5.39%
Revenue Next 3Y4.86%
Revenue Next 5Y5.8%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
OTLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOTLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
OTLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOTLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10

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0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for OTLY. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year OTLY is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
OTLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOTLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
OTLY Per share dataOTLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 -1 -2 -3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

OTLY's earnings are expected to grow with 14.79% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y3.52%
EPS Next 3Y14.79%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for OTLY!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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OATLY GROUP AB

NASDAQ:OTLY (2/28/2025, 8:06:44 PM)

After market: 10.5015 -0.14 (-1.3%)

10.64

+1.03 (+10.72%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)02-12 2025-02-12/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners61.6%
Inst Owner Change0.14%
Ins Owners1.75%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap6.35B
Analysts77.5
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %5.14%
Short Ratio8.45
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)18.02%
Min EPS beat(2)6.08%
Max EPS beat(2)29.97%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-43.79%
Min EPS beat(4)-219.7%
Max EPS beat(4)29.97%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)0.11%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.09%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.63%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.46%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.63%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.59%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.69%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.68%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1890.85%
PT rev (3m)1560.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1859.5%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1820.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1804.92%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1803.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.4%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.35%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.75%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 7.81
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 27.67
P/tB 62
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-2.93
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-3.52
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.28
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.2
OCFYN/A
SpS1.36
BVpS0.38
TBVpS0.17
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -44.46%
ROE -178.33%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 25.81%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y5.23%
GM growth 5Y-2.54%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 87.62%
Cap/Sales 5.65%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.62
Quick Ratio 0.47
Altman-Z 3.1
F-Score4
WACC6.97%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)214.22%
Cap/Depr(5y)551.51%
Cap/Sales(3y)14.12%
Cap/Sales(5y)23.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-337.31%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-220%
EPS Next Y-20.1%
EPS Next 2Y3.52%
EPS Next 3Y14.79%
EPS Next 5Y14.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.15%
Revenue growth 3Y8.59%
Revenue growth 5Y32.2%
Sales Q2Q%4.99%
Revenue Next Year3.98%
Revenue Next 2Y5.39%
Revenue Next 3Y4.86%
Revenue Next 5Y5.8%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.94%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year100.12%
EBIT Next 3Y40.72%
EBIT Next 5Y23.52%
FCF growth 1Y43.14%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y42.33%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A