O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:ORLY • US67103H1077

Current stock price

94.085 USD
+1.38 (+1.48%)
Last:

This ORLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. ORLY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ORLY had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ORLY had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ORLY has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ORLY had a positive operating cash flow.
ORLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFORLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • ORLY has a Return On Assets of 15.35%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ORLY outperforms 94.26% of its industry peers.
  • ORLY has a better Return On Invested Capital (34.93%) than 99.18% of its industry peers.
  • ORLY had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 37.91%. This is significantly above the industry average of 13.64%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 15.35%
ROE N/A
ROIC 34.93%
ROA(3y)16.1%
ROA(5y)16.79%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)37.91%
ROIC(5y)38.94%
ORLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICORLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1K -1K -2K -3K

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 14.27%, ORLY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ORLY's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of ORLY (19.46%) is better than 96.72% of its industry peers.
  • ORLY's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • ORLY has a better Gross Margin (51.59%) than 80.33% of its industry peers.
  • ORLY's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 19.46%
PM (TTM) 14.27%
GM 51.59%
OM growth 3Y-1.78%
OM growth 5Y-1.38%
PM growth 3Y-1.81%
PM growth 5Y-1.12%
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
ORLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsORLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

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5

2. ORLY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ORLY has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ORLY has less shares outstanding
  • ORLY has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • ORLY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
ORLY Yearly Shares OutstandingORLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
ORLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsORLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.11 indicates that ORLY is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • ORLY's Altman-Z score of 4.11 is amongst the best of the industry. ORLY outperforms 81.15% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of ORLY is 3.78, which is a good value as it means it would take ORLY, 3.78 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.78, ORLY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.49% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 3.78
Altman-Z 4.11
ROIC/WACC4.1
WACC8.53%
ORLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFORLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • ORLY has a Current Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that ORLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.77, ORLY is not doing good in the industry: 86.07% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.12 indicates that ORLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ORLY has a Quick ratio of 0.12. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ORLY underperforms 93.44% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.12
ORLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesORLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. ORLY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • ORLY shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 9.32%, which is quite good.
  • Measured over the past years, ORLY shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 13.56% on average per year.
  • ORLY shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.42%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 8.91% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.32%
EPS 3Y9.9%
EPS 5Y13.56%
EPS Q2Q%12.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.42%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y8.91%
Sales Q2Q%7.78%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, ORLY will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.72% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.73% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y11.03%
EPS Next 2Y10.79%
EPS Next 3Y10.52%
EPS Next 5Y9.72%
Revenue Next Year6.63%
Revenue Next 2Y6.42%
Revenue Next 3Y6.41%
Revenue Next 5Y5.73%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ORLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesORLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
ORLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesORLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6

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3

4. ORLY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ORLY is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 31.79.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as ORLY.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.53. ORLY is around the same levels.
  • ORLY is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.60.
  • ORLY's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • ORLY's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 37.95.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.79
Fwd PE 28.6
ORLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsORLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • ORLY's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • ORLY's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 49.41
EV/EBITDA 21
ORLY Per share dataORLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates ORLY does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The excellent profitability rating of ORLY may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.88
PEG (5Y)2.34
EPS Next 2Y10.79%
EPS Next 3Y10.52%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. ORLY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for ORLY!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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ORLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC

NASDAQ:ORLY (4/17/2026, 10:49:09 AM)

94.085

+1.38 (+1.48%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners88.63%
Inst Owner Change0.02%
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner Change-0.35%
Market Cap78.72B
Revenue(TTM)17.78B
Net Income(TTM)2.54B
Analysts81.11
Price Target107.19 (13.93%)
Short Float %2.01%
Short Ratio2.75
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.03%
Max EPS beat(2)0.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.04%
Max EPS beat(4)0.02%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.66%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.36%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.66%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.4%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.4%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.15%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.49%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.34%
PT rev (1m)-0.19%
PT rev (3m)-4.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.63%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.14%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.79
Fwd PE 28.6
P/S 4.43
P/FCF 49.41
P/OCF 28.5
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 21
EPS(TTM)2.96
EY3.15%
EPS(NY)3.29
Fwd EY3.5%
FCF(TTM)1.9
FCFY2.02%
OCF(TTM)3.3
OCFY3.51%
SpS21.25
BVpS-0.91
TBVpS-2.05
PEG (NY)2.88
PEG (5Y)2.34
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 15.35%
ROE N/A
ROCE 44.58%
ROIC 34.93%
ROICexc 35.83%
ROICexgc 40.96%
OM 19.46%
PM (TTM) 14.27%
GM 51.59%
FCFM 8.96%
ROA(3y)16.1%
ROA(5y)16.79%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)37.91%
ROIC(5y)38.94%
ROICexc(3y)39.1%
ROICexc(5y)40.34%
ROICexgc(3y)46.01%
ROICexgc(5y)47.97%
ROCE(3y)48.38%
ROCE(5y)49.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-6.91%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.49%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.09%
OM growth 3Y-1.78%
OM growth 5Y-1.38%
PM growth 3Y-1.81%
PM growth 5Y-1.12%
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.08
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 3.78
Debt/EBITDA 1.51
Cap/Depr 228.63%
Cap/Sales 6.57%
Interest Coverage 15.26
Cash Conversion 69.54%
Profit Quality 62.77%
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.12
Altman-Z 4.11
F-Score7
WACC8.53%
ROIC/WACC4.1
Cap/Depr(3y)232.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)197.71%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.35%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.26%
Profit Quality(3y)78.03%
Profit Quality(5y)96.15%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.32%
EPS 3Y9.9%
EPS 5Y13.56%
EPS Q2Q%12.1%
EPS Next Y11.03%
EPS Next 2Y10.79%
EPS Next 3Y10.52%
EPS Next 5Y9.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.42%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y8.91%
Sales Q2Q%7.78%
Revenue Next Year6.63%
Revenue Next 2Y6.42%
Revenue Next 3Y6.41%
Revenue Next 5Y5.73%
EBIT growth 1Y6.44%
EBIT growth 3Y5.35%
EBIT growth 5Y7.41%
EBIT Next Year22.65%
EBIT Next 3Y12.23%
EBIT Next 5Y9.07%
FCF growth 1Y-21.37%
FCF growth 3Y-14.9%
FCF growth 5Y-7.64%
OCF growth 1Y-9.43%
OCF growth 3Y-4.27%
OCF growth 5Y-0.53%

O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC / ORLY Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ORLY stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ORLY.


What is the valuation status of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) stock?

O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the valuation of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is 31.79 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -103.13.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ORLY stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is expected to grow by 11.03% in the next year.