O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:ORLY • US67103H1077
Current stock price
91.54 USD
-1.44 (-1.55%)
At close:
91.54 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This ORLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ORLY Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- ORLY had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year ORLY had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years ORLY has always been profitable.
- In the past 5 years ORLY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of ORLY (15.35%) is better than 94.35% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of ORLY (34.93%) is better than 99.19% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ORLY is significantly above the industry average of 13.59%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.35% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 34.93% |
ROA(3y)16.1%
ROA(5y)16.79%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)37.9%
ROIC(5y)38.94%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of ORLY (14.27%) is better than 96.77% of its industry peers.
- ORLY's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Operating Margin value of 19.46%, ORLY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.77% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ORLY has remained more or less at the same level.
- ORLY's Gross Margin of 51.59% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ORLY outperforms 78.23% of its industry peers.
- ORLY's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.46% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.27% | ||
| GM | 51.59% |
OM growth 3Y-1.81%
OM growth 5Y-1.39%
PM growth 3Y-1.81%
PM growth 5Y-1.12%
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
2. ORLY Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ORLY is creating value.
- ORLY has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for ORLY has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for ORLY has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 4.08 indicates that ORLY is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- ORLY has a Altman-Z score of 4.08. This is amongst the best in the industry. ORLY outperforms 83.87% of its industry peers.
- ORLY has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.78. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as ORLY would need 3.78 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- ORLY's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.78 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ORLY outperforms 71.77% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.78 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.08 |
ROIC/WACC3.63
WACC9.63%
2.3 Liquidity
- ORLY has a Current Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that ORLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 0.77, ORLY is not doing good in the industry: 86.29% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.12 indicates that ORLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.12, ORLY is doing worse than 92.74% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.12 |
3. ORLY Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 9.32% over the past year.
- ORLY shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 13.56% yearly.
- ORLY shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.42%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 8.91% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.32%
EPS 3Y9.9%
EPS 5Y13.56%
EPS Q2Q%12.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.42%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y8.91%
Sales Q2Q%7.78%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.72% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, ORLY will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.73% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.03%
EPS Next 2Y10.79%
EPS Next 3Y10.52%
EPS Next 5Y9.72%
Revenue Next Year6.63%
Revenue Next 2Y6.42%
Revenue Next 3Y6.41%
Revenue Next 5Y5.73%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. ORLY Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 30.93, which means the current valuation is very expensive for ORLY.
- ORLY's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.70, ORLY is valued a bit more expensive.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.82 indicates a quite expensive valuation of ORLY.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ORLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.84. ORLY is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 27.82 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as ORLY.
- ORLY's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 48.18 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 20.79 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- ORLY has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.8
PEG (5Y)2.28
EPS Next 2Y10.79%
EPS Next 3Y10.52%
5. ORLY Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for ORLY!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
ORLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
91.54
-1.44 (-1.55%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-04 2026-02-04/amc
Earnings (Next)04-21 2026-04-21
Inst Owners88.05%
Inst Owner Change0.93%
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner Change-0.35%
Market Cap76.76B
Revenue(TTM)17.78B
Net Income(TTM)2.54B
Analysts81.08
Price Target107.4 (17.33%)
Short Float %1.82%
Short Ratio2.42
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.03%
Max EPS beat(2)0.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.04%
Max EPS beat(4)0.02%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.66%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.36%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.66%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.4%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.4%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.15%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.49%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.34%
PT rev (1m)-2.67%
PT rev (3m)-4.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.33%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.52%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.12%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 27.82 | ||
| P/S | 4.32 | ||
| P/FCF | 48.18 | ||
| P/OCF | 27.79 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 20.79 |
EPS(TTM)2.96
EY3.23%
EPS(NY)3.29
Fwd EY3.59%
FCF(TTM)1.9
FCFY2.08%
OCF(TTM)3.29
OCFY3.6%
SpS21.21
BVpS-0.91
TBVpS-2.04
PEG (NY)2.8
PEG (5Y)2.28
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.35% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 44.58% | ||
| ROIC | 34.93% | ||
| ROICexc | 35.83% | ||
| ROICexgc | 40.96% | ||
| OM | 19.46% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.27% | ||
| GM | 51.59% | ||
| FCFM | 8.96% |
ROA(3y)16.1%
ROA(5y)16.79%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)37.9%
ROIC(5y)38.94%
ROICexc(3y)39.09%
ROICexc(5y)40.34%
ROICexgc(3y)45.85%
ROICexgc(5y)47.87%
ROCE(3y)48.37%
ROCE(5y)49.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-7.27%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.26%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.57%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.07%
OM growth 3Y-1.81%
OM growth 5Y-1.39%
PM growth 3Y-1.81%
PM growth 5Y-1.12%
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.08
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.78 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.51 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 228.63% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.57% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 15.26 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 69.54% | ||
| Profit Quality | 62.77% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.12 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.08 |
F-Score7
WACC9.63%
ROIC/WACC3.63
Cap/Depr(3y)232.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)197.71%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.35%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.26%
Profit Quality(3y)78.03%
Profit Quality(5y)96.15%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.32%
EPS 3Y9.9%
EPS 5Y13.56%
EPS Q2Q%12.1%
EPS Next Y11.03%
EPS Next 2Y10.79%
EPS Next 3Y10.52%
EPS Next 5Y9.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.42%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y8.91%
Sales Q2Q%7.78%
Revenue Next Year6.63%
Revenue Next 2Y6.42%
Revenue Next 3Y6.41%
Revenue Next 5Y5.73%
EBIT growth 1Y6.44%
EBIT growth 3Y5.32%
EBIT growth 5Y7.4%
EBIT Next Year22.65%
EBIT Next 3Y12.23%
EBIT Next 5Y9.07%
FCF growth 1Y-21.37%
FCF growth 3Y-14.9%
FCF growth 5Y-7.64%
OCF growth 1Y-9.43%
OCF growth 3Y-4.27%
OCF growth 5Y-0.53%
O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC / ORLY Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for ORLY stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ORLY.
Can you provide the valuation status for O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of ORLY stock?
O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ORLY stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is expected to grow by 11.03% in the next year.