91.21 USD
-0.26 (-0.28%)
91.15 USD
-0.06 (-0.07%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to ORLY. ORLY was compared to 123 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. While ORLY has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. ORLY is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year ORLY was profitable.
ORLY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years ORLY has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years ORLY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 15.26%, ORLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.50% of the companies in the same industry.
ORLY has a better Return On Invested Capital (34.84%) than 99.19% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ORLY is significantly above the industry average of 12.14%.
The 3 year average ROIC (40.10%) for ORLY is well above the current ROIC(34.84%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.26% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 34.84% |
ROA(3y)16.72%
ROA(5y)16.75%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)40.1%
ROIC(5y)37.89%
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 14.22%, ORLY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.75% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ORLY has remained more or less at the same level.
ORLY has a better Operating Margin (19.30%) than 96.75% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ORLY has remained more or less at the same level.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 51.47%, ORLY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.24% of the companies in the same industry.
ORLY's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.3% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.22% | ||
| GM | 51.47% |
OM growth 3Y-3.98%
OM growth 5Y0.56%
PM growth 3Y-4.2%
PM growth 5Y0.83%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), ORLY is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for ORLY has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
ORLY has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for ORLY has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
ORLY has an Altman-Z score of 4.08. This indicates that ORLY is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of ORLY (4.08) is better than 83.74% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ORLY is 3.79, which is a good value as it means it would take ORLY, 3.79 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.79, ORLY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.54% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.08 |
ROIC/WACC3.69
WACC9.43%
2.3 Liquidity
ORLY has a Current Ratio of 0.76. This is a bad value and indicates that ORLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ORLY's Current ratio of 0.76 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ORLY is outperformed by 86.99% of its industry peers.
ORLY has a Quick Ratio of 0.76. This is a bad value and indicates that ORLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ORLY has a worse Quick ratio (0.11) than 94.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.11 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.12% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 17.85% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.19% in the past year.
ORLY shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.48% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.12%
EPS 3Y9.35%
EPS 5Y17.85%
EPS Q2Q%11.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.19%
Revenue growth 3Y7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.48%
Sales Q2Q%7.82%
3.2 Future
ORLY is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.79% yearly.
ORLY is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.86% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.89%
EPS Next 2Y11.65%
EPS Next 3Y11.27%
EPS Next 5Y9.79%
Revenue Next Year6.6%
Revenue Next 2Y6.7%
Revenue Next 3Y6.53%
Revenue Next 5Y5.86%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 31.56, ORLY can be considered very expensive at the moment.
ORLY's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.51. ORLY is around the same levels.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.99, the valuation of ORLY can be described as expensive.
ORLY's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ORLY to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.13), we can say ORLY is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.99 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as ORLY.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ORLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 49.27 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.38 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates ORLY does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
ORLY has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.65
PEG (5Y)1.77
EPS Next 2Y11.65%
EPS Next 3Y11.27%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for ORLY!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
91.21
-0.26 (-0.28%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners87.87%
Inst Owner Change1.46%
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner Change-2.28%
Market Cap76.99B
Revenue(TTM)17.46B
Net Income(TTM)2.48B
Analysts81.67
Price Target112.18 (22.99%)
Short Float %1.45%
Short Ratio2.2
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.97%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.97%
Max EPS beat(2)0.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.36%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.04%
Max EPS beat(4)0.02%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.27%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.53%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)0.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.78%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.23%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.02%
PT rev (1m)0.19%
PT rev (3m)3.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.25%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.93%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.56%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.26%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.99 | ||
| P/S | 4.41 | ||
| P/FCF | 49.27 | ||
| P/OCF | 27.97 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.38 |
EPS(TTM)2.89
EY3.17%
EPS(NY)3.38
Fwd EY3.7%
FCF(TTM)1.85
FCFY2.03%
OCF(TTM)3.26
OCFY3.58%
SpS20.69
BVpS-1.06
TBVpS-2.18
PEG (NY)2.65
PEG (5Y)1.77
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.26% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 44.53% | ||
| ROIC | 34.84% | ||
| ROICexc | 35.8% | ||
| ROICexgc | 41.08% | ||
| OM | 19.3% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.22% | ||
| GM | 51.47% | ||
| FCFM | 8.95% |
ROA(3y)16.72%
ROA(5y)16.75%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)40.1%
ROIC(5y)37.89%
ROICexc(3y)41.26%
ROICexc(5y)39.58%
ROICexgc(3y)49.25%
ROICexgc(5y)47.31%
ROCE(3y)51.25%
ROCE(5y)48.43%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.08%
ROICexc growth 5Y10.15%
OM growth 3Y-3.98%
OM growth 5Y0.56%
PM growth 3Y-4.2%
PM growth 5Y0.83%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.53 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 238.82% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.82% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 15.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 71.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | 62.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.08 |
F-Score7
WACC9.43%
ROIC/WACC3.69
Cap/Depr(3y)208.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)181.58%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.47%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.75%
Profit Quality(3y)96.76%
Profit Quality(5y)110.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.12%
EPS 3Y9.35%
EPS 5Y17.85%
EPS Q2Q%11.74%
EPS Next Y11.89%
EPS Next 2Y11.65%
EPS Next 3Y11.27%
EPS Next 5Y9.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.19%
Revenue growth 3Y7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.48%
Sales Q2Q%7.82%
Revenue Next Year6.6%
Revenue Next 2Y6.7%
Revenue Next 3Y6.53%
Revenue Next 5Y5.86%
EBIT growth 1Y4.31%
EBIT growth 3Y3.53%
EBIT growth 5Y11.1%
EBIT Next Year24.72%
EBIT Next 3Y13.1%
EBIT Next 5Y9.55%
FCF growth 1Y-34.46%
FCF growth 3Y-9.84%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y-16.9%
OCF growth 3Y-1.67%
OCF growth 5Y12.29%
O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC / ORLY FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for ORLY stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ORLY.
Can you provide the valuation status for O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of ORLY stock?
O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ORLY stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is expected to grow by 11.89% in the next year.