98.89 USD
-0.62 (-0.62%)
98.89 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to ORLY. ORLY was compared to 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. ORLY scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. ORLY is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year ORLY was profitable.
In the past year ORLY had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years ORLY has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years ORLY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
ORLY has a Return On Assets of 15.26%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ORLY outperforms 93.39% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 34.84%, ORLY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 99.17% of the companies in the same industry.
ORLY had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 40.10%. This is significantly above the industry average of 11.88%.
The 3 year average ROIC (40.10%) for ORLY is well above the current ROIC(34.84%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.26% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 34.84% |
ROA(3y)16.72%
ROA(5y)16.75%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)40.1%
ROIC(5y)37.89%
1.3 Margins
ORLY has a Profit Margin of 14.22%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ORLY outperforms 96.69% of its industry peers.
ORLY's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 19.30%, ORLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.69% of the companies in the same industry.
ORLY's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
ORLY's Gross Margin of 51.47% is amongst the best of the industry. ORLY outperforms 80.17% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ORLY has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.3% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.22% | ||
| GM | 51.47% |
OM growth 3Y-3.98%
OM growth 5Y0.56%
PM growth 3Y-4.2%
PM growth 5Y0.83%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ORLY has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, ORLY has less shares outstanding
ORLY has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for ORLY has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.31 indicates that ORLY is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of ORLY (4.31) is better than 85.95% of its industry peers.
ORLY has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.79. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as ORLY would need 3.79 years to pay back of all of its debts.
ORLY has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.79) than 71.90% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.31 |
ROIC/WACC3.69
WACC9.43%
2.3 Liquidity
ORLY has a Current Ratio of 0.76. This is a bad value and indicates that ORLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.76, ORLY is doing worse than 86.78% of the companies in the same industry.
ORLY has a Quick Ratio of 0.76. This is a bad value and indicates that ORLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of ORLY (0.11) is worse than 94.21% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.11 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
ORLY shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.12%.
Measured over the past years, ORLY shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 17.85% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, ORLY shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.19% in the last year.
ORLY shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.48% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.12%
EPS 3Y9.35%
EPS 5Y17.85%
EPS Q2Q%11.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.19%
Revenue growth 3Y7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.48%
Sales Q2Q%7.82%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.79% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, ORLY will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.86% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.89%
EPS Next 2Y11.63%
EPS Next 3Y11.25%
EPS Next 5Y9.79%
Revenue Next Year6.6%
Revenue Next 2Y6.69%
Revenue Next 3Y6.51%
Revenue Next 5Y5.86%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 34.22, which means the current valuation is very expensive for ORLY.
ORLY's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ORLY to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.49), we can say ORLY is valued slightly more expensively.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 29.27 indicates a quite expensive valuation of ORLY.
ORLY's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.69, ORLY is valued a bit more expensive.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 29.27 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ORLY is valued a bit more expensive than 60.33% of the companies in the same industry.
ORLY's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 53.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.05 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates ORLY does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The excellent profitability rating of ORLY may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.88
PEG (5Y)1.92
EPS Next 2Y11.63%
EPS Next 3Y11.25%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ORLY does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
98.89
-0.62 (-0.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners87.87%
Inst Owner Change1.46%
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner Change-2.28%
Market Cap83.47B
Revenue(TTM)17.46B
Net Income(TTM)2.48B
Analysts81.67
Price Target112.18 (13.44%)
Short Float %1.48%
Short Ratio2.47
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.97%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.97%
Max EPS beat(2)0.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.36%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.04%
Max EPS beat(4)0.02%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.27%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.53%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)0.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.78%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.23%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.02%
PT rev (1m)-0.19%
PT rev (3m)3.46%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.25%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.97%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.56%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 29.27 | ||
| P/S | 4.78 | ||
| P/FCF | 53.41 | ||
| P/OCF | 30.32 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.05 |
EPS(TTM)2.89
EY2.92%
EPS(NY)3.38
Fwd EY3.42%
FCF(TTM)1.85
FCFY1.87%
OCF(TTM)3.26
OCFY3.3%
SpS20.69
BVpS-1.06
TBVpS-2.18
PEG (NY)2.88
PEG (5Y)1.92
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.26% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 44.53% | ||
| ROIC | 34.84% | ||
| ROICexc | 35.8% | ||
| ROICexgc | 41.08% | ||
| OM | 19.3% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.22% | ||
| GM | 51.47% | ||
| FCFM | 8.95% |
ROA(3y)16.72%
ROA(5y)16.75%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)40.1%
ROIC(5y)37.89%
ROICexc(3y)41.26%
ROICexc(5y)39.58%
ROICexgc(3y)49.25%
ROICexgc(5y)47.31%
ROCE(3y)51.25%
ROCE(5y)48.43%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.08%
ROICexc growth 5Y10.15%
OM growth 3Y-3.98%
OM growth 5Y0.56%
PM growth 3Y-4.2%
PM growth 5Y0.83%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.53 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 238.82% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.82% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 15.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 71.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | 62.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.31 |
F-Score7
WACC9.43%
ROIC/WACC3.69
Cap/Depr(3y)208.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)181.58%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.47%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.75%
Profit Quality(3y)96.76%
Profit Quality(5y)110.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.12%
EPS 3Y9.35%
EPS 5Y17.85%
EPS Q2Q%11.74%
EPS Next Y11.89%
EPS Next 2Y11.63%
EPS Next 3Y11.25%
EPS Next 5Y9.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.19%
Revenue growth 3Y7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.48%
Sales Q2Q%7.82%
Revenue Next Year6.6%
Revenue Next 2Y6.69%
Revenue Next 3Y6.51%
Revenue Next 5Y5.86%
EBIT growth 1Y4.31%
EBIT growth 3Y3.53%
EBIT growth 5Y11.1%
EBIT Next Year24.72%
EBIT Next 3Y13.1%
EBIT Next 5Y9.55%
FCF growth 1Y-34.46%
FCF growth 3Y-9.84%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y-16.9%
OCF growth 3Y-1.67%
OCF growth 5Y12.29%
O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC / ORLY FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for ORLY stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ORLY.
What is the valuation status for ORLY stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of ORLY stock?
O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the financial health of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) stock?
The financial health rating of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is 5 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is expected to grow by 11.89% in the next year.