101.7 USD
+0.19 (+0.19%)
101.684 USD
-0.02 (-0.02%)
Taking everything into account, ORLY scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ORLY was compared to 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. While ORLY has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. ORLY is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year ORLY was profitable.
In the past year ORLY had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years ORLY has been profitable.
In the past 5 years ORLY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
ORLY has a better Return On Assets (15.26%) than 92.62% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 34.84%, ORLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 99.18% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ORLY is significantly above the industry average of 11.71%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (34.84%) for ORLY is well below the 3 year average (40.10%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that ORLY had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.26% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 34.84% |
ROA(3y)16.72%
ROA(5y)16.75%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)40.1%
ROIC(5y)37.89%
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 14.22%, ORLY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.72% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ORLY has remained more or less at the same level.
ORLY has a better Operating Margin (19.30%) than 96.72% of its industry peers.
ORLY's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
ORLY's Gross Margin of 51.47% is amongst the best of the industry. ORLY outperforms 80.33% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ORLY has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.3% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.22% | ||
| GM | 51.47% |
OM growth 3Y-3.98%
OM growth 5Y0.56%
PM growth 3Y-4.2%
PM growth 5Y0.83%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), ORLY is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for ORLY has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for ORLY has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, ORLY has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
ORLY has an Altman-Z score of 4.39. This indicates that ORLY is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of ORLY (4.39) is better than 85.25% of its industry peers.
ORLY has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.79. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as ORLY would need 3.79 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.79, ORLY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.95% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.39 |
ROIC/WACC3.78
WACC9.22%
2.3 Liquidity
ORLY has a Current Ratio of 0.76. This is a bad value and indicates that ORLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ORLY has a Current ratio of 0.76. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ORLY underperforms 86.89% of its industry peers.
ORLY has a Quick Ratio of 0.76. This is a bad value and indicates that ORLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.11, ORLY is doing worse than 94.26% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.11 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.12% over the past year.
ORLY shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 17.85% yearly.
ORLY shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.19%.
The Revenue has been growing by 10.48% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.12%
EPS 3Y9.35%
EPS 5Y17.85%
EPS Q2Q%11.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.19%
Revenue growth 3Y7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.48%
Sales Q2Q%7.82%
3.2 Future
ORLY is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.79% yearly.
ORLY is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.86% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.95%
EPS Next 2Y11.73%
EPS Next 3Y11.33%
EPS Next 5Y9.79%
Revenue Next Year6.59%
Revenue Next 2Y6.68%
Revenue Next 3Y6.5%
Revenue Next 5Y5.86%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
ORLY is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 35.19.
ORLY's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
ORLY is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.31, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.05, ORLY can be considered very expensive at the moment.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as ORLY.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.59, ORLY is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.05 |
4.2 Price Multiples
ORLY's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. ORLY is more expensive than 60.66% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ORLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 54.93 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.66 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates ORLY does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The excellent profitability rating of ORLY may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.95
PEG (5Y)1.97
EPS Next 2Y11.73%
EPS Next 3Y11.33%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ORLY does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
101.7
+0.19 (+0.19%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners88.52%
Inst Owner Change1.43%
Ins Owners0.47%
Ins Owner Change-0.91%
Market Cap85.84B
Revenue(TTM)17.46B
Net Income(TTM)2.48B
Analysts80.54
Price Target111.96 (10.09%)
Short Float %1.35%
Short Ratio2.18
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.97%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.97%
Max EPS beat(2)0.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.36%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.04%
Max EPS beat(4)0.02%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.27%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.53%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)0.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.78%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.23%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.02%
PT rev (1m)-0.38%
PT rev (3m)3.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.58%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.25%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.05 | ||
| P/S | 4.92 | ||
| P/FCF | 54.93 | ||
| P/OCF | 31.18 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.66 |
EPS(TTM)2.89
EY2.84%
EPS(NY)3.38
Fwd EY3.33%
FCF(TTM)1.85
FCFY1.82%
OCF(TTM)3.26
OCFY3.21%
SpS20.69
BVpS-1.06
TBVpS-2.18
PEG (NY)2.95
PEG (5Y)1.97
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.26% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 44.53% | ||
| ROIC | 34.84% | ||
| ROICexc | 35.8% | ||
| ROICexgc | 41.08% | ||
| OM | 19.3% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.22% | ||
| GM | 51.47% | ||
| FCFM | 8.95% |
ROA(3y)16.72%
ROA(5y)16.75%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)40.1%
ROIC(5y)37.89%
ROICexc(3y)41.26%
ROICexc(5y)39.58%
ROICexgc(3y)49.25%
ROICexgc(5y)47.31%
ROCE(3y)51.25%
ROCE(5y)48.43%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.08%
ROICexc growth 5Y10.15%
OM growth 3Y-3.98%
OM growth 5Y0.56%
PM growth 3Y-4.2%
PM growth 5Y0.83%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.53 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 238.82% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.82% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 15.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 71.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | 62.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.39 |
F-Score7
WACC9.22%
ROIC/WACC3.78
Cap/Depr(3y)208.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)181.58%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.47%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.75%
Profit Quality(3y)96.76%
Profit Quality(5y)110.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.12%
EPS 3Y9.35%
EPS 5Y17.85%
EPS Q2Q%11.74%
EPS Next Y11.95%
EPS Next 2Y11.73%
EPS Next 3Y11.33%
EPS Next 5Y9.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.19%
Revenue growth 3Y7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.48%
Sales Q2Q%7.82%
Revenue Next Year6.59%
Revenue Next 2Y6.68%
Revenue Next 3Y6.5%
Revenue Next 5Y5.86%
EBIT growth 1Y4.31%
EBIT growth 3Y3.53%
EBIT growth 5Y11.1%
EBIT Next Year24.08%
EBIT Next 3Y13.01%
EBIT Next 5Y9.55%
FCF growth 1Y-34.46%
FCF growth 3Y-9.84%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y-16.9%
OCF growth 3Y-1.67%
OCF growth 5Y12.29%
O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC / ORLY FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for ORLY stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ORLY.
What is the valuation status for ORLY stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of ORLY stock?
O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the financial health of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) stock?
The financial health rating of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is 5 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is expected to grow by 11.95% in the next year.