91 USD
-0.79 (-0.86%)
91.1 USD
+0.1 (+0.11%)
Overall ORLY gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated ORLY against 123 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. ORLY has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. ORLY is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ORLY had positive earnings in the past year.
ORLY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
ORLY had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
ORLY had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 15.26%, ORLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 34.84%, ORLY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 99.19% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ORLY is significantly above the industry average of 12.18%.
The 3 year average ROIC (40.10%) for ORLY is well above the current ROIC(34.84%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.26% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 34.84% |
ROA(3y)16.72%
ROA(5y)16.75%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)40.1%
ROIC(5y)37.89%
1.3 Margins
ORLY's Profit Margin of 14.22% is amongst the best of the industry. ORLY outperforms 96.77% of its industry peers.
ORLY's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
ORLY's Operating Margin of 19.30% is amongst the best of the industry. ORLY outperforms 96.77% of its industry peers.
ORLY's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
ORLY has a better Gross Margin (51.47%) than 77.42% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ORLY has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.3% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.22% | ||
| GM | 51.47% |
OM growth 3Y-3.98%
OM growth 5Y0.56%
PM growth 3Y-4.2%
PM growth 5Y0.83%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), ORLY is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for ORLY has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, ORLY has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for ORLY has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
ORLY has an Altman-Z score of 4.07. This indicates that ORLY is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
ORLY's Altman-Z score of 4.07 is amongst the best of the industry. ORLY outperforms 84.68% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ORLY is 3.79, which is a good value as it means it would take ORLY, 3.79 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
ORLY has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.79) than 70.97% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.07 |
ROIC/WACC3.69
WACC9.44%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.76 indicates that ORLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.76, ORLY is not doing good in the industry: 87.90% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
ORLY has a Quick Ratio of 0.76. This is a bad value and indicates that ORLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of ORLY (0.11) is worse than 95.16% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.11 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.12% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 17.85% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, ORLY shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.19% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ORLY shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.48% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.12%
EPS 3Y9.35%
EPS 5Y17.85%
EPS Q2Q%11.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.19%
Revenue growth 3Y7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.48%
Sales Q2Q%7.82%
3.2 Future
ORLY is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.79% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, ORLY will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.86% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.89%
EPS Next 2Y11.63%
EPS Next 3Y11.25%
EPS Next 5Y9.79%
Revenue Next Year6.6%
Revenue Next 2Y6.69%
Revenue Next 3Y6.51%
Revenue Next 5Y5.86%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 31.49, the valuation of ORLY can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ORLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.39, ORLY is valued at the same level.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.94 indicates a quite expensive valuation of ORLY.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ORLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
ORLY is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.84, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.49 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.94 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as ORLY.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as ORLY.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 49.15 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.33 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates ORLY does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The excellent profitability rating of ORLY may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.65
PEG (5Y)1.76
EPS Next 2Y11.63%
EPS Next 3Y11.25%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for ORLY!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
91
-0.79 (-0.86%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners87.87%
Inst Owner Change1.46%
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner Change-2.28%
Market Cap76.81B
Revenue(TTM)17.46B
Net Income(TTM)2.48B
Analysts81.67
Price Target112.18 (23.27%)
Short Float %1.6%
Short Ratio2.56
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.97%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.97%
Max EPS beat(2)0.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.36%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.04%
Max EPS beat(4)0.02%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.27%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.53%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)0.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.78%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.23%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.02%
PT rev (1m)-0.19%
PT rev (3m)3.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.25%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.97%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.56%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.26%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.49 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.94 | ||
| P/S | 4.4 | ||
| P/FCF | 49.15 | ||
| P/OCF | 27.9 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.33 |
EPS(TTM)2.89
EY3.18%
EPS(NY)3.38
Fwd EY3.71%
FCF(TTM)1.85
FCFY2.03%
OCF(TTM)3.26
OCFY3.58%
SpS20.69
BVpS-1.06
TBVpS-2.18
PEG (NY)2.65
PEG (5Y)1.76
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.26% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 44.53% | ||
| ROIC | 34.84% | ||
| ROICexc | 35.8% | ||
| ROICexgc | 41.08% | ||
| OM | 19.3% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.22% | ||
| GM | 51.47% | ||
| FCFM | 8.95% |
ROA(3y)16.72%
ROA(5y)16.75%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)40.1%
ROIC(5y)37.89%
ROICexc(3y)41.26%
ROICexc(5y)39.58%
ROICexgc(3y)49.25%
ROICexgc(5y)47.31%
ROCE(3y)51.25%
ROCE(5y)48.43%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.08%
ROICexc growth 5Y10.15%
OM growth 3Y-3.98%
OM growth 5Y0.56%
PM growth 3Y-4.2%
PM growth 5Y0.83%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.53 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 238.82% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.82% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 15.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 71.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | 62.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.07 |
F-Score7
WACC9.44%
ROIC/WACC3.69
Cap/Depr(3y)208.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)181.58%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.47%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.75%
Profit Quality(3y)96.76%
Profit Quality(5y)110.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.12%
EPS 3Y9.35%
EPS 5Y17.85%
EPS Q2Q%11.74%
EPS Next Y11.89%
EPS Next 2Y11.63%
EPS Next 3Y11.25%
EPS Next 5Y9.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.19%
Revenue growth 3Y7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.48%
Sales Q2Q%7.82%
Revenue Next Year6.6%
Revenue Next 2Y6.69%
Revenue Next 3Y6.51%
Revenue Next 5Y5.86%
EBIT growth 1Y4.31%
EBIT growth 3Y3.53%
EBIT growth 5Y11.1%
EBIT Next Year24.72%
EBIT Next 3Y13.1%
EBIT Next 5Y9.55%
FCF growth 1Y-34.46%
FCF growth 3Y-9.84%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y-16.9%
OCF growth 3Y-1.67%
OCF growth 5Y12.29%
O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC / ORLY FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for ORLY stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ORLY.
What is the valuation status for ORLY stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of ORLY stock?
O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the financial health of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) stock?
The financial health rating of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is 5 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is expected to grow by 11.89% in the next year.