101.7 USD
+0.19 (+0.19%)
101.684 USD
-0.02 (-0.02%)
Overall ORLY gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated ORLY against 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. ORLY has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. ORLY is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ORLY had positive earnings in the past year.
ORLY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
ORLY had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
ORLY had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
ORLY has a better Return On Assets (15.26%) than 92.62% of its industry peers.
ORLY has a better Return On Invested Capital (34.84%) than 99.18% of its industry peers.
ORLY had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 40.10%. This is significantly above the industry average of 11.71%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (34.84%) for ORLY is well below the 3 year average (40.10%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that ORLY had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.26% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 34.84% |
ROA(3y)16.72%
ROA(5y)16.75%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)40.1%
ROIC(5y)37.89%
1.3 Margins
ORLY's Profit Margin of 14.22% is amongst the best of the industry. ORLY outperforms 96.72% of its industry peers.
ORLY's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
ORLY has a Operating Margin of 19.30%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ORLY outperforms 96.72% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ORLY has remained more or less at the same level.
ORLY has a better Gross Margin (51.47%) than 80.33% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ORLY has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.3% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.22% | ||
| GM | 51.47% |
OM growth 3Y-3.98%
OM growth 5Y0.56%
PM growth 3Y-4.2%
PM growth 5Y0.83%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ORLY is creating value.
ORLY has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for ORLY has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for ORLY has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.40 indicates that ORLY is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
ORLY has a Altman-Z score of 4.40. This is amongst the best in the industry. ORLY outperforms 85.25% of its industry peers.
ORLY has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.79. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as ORLY would need 3.79 years to pay back of all of its debts.
ORLY has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.79. This is in the better half of the industry: ORLY outperforms 72.95% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.4 |
ROIC/WACC3.78
WACC9.22%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.76 indicates that ORLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.76, ORLY is not doing good in the industry: 86.89% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
ORLY has a Quick Ratio of 0.76. This is a bad value and indicates that ORLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ORLY has a Quick ratio of 0.11. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ORLY underperforms 94.26% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.11 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
ORLY shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.12%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 17.85% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
ORLY shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.19%.
The Revenue has been growing by 10.48% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.12%
EPS 3Y9.35%
EPS 5Y17.85%
EPS Q2Q%11.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.19%
Revenue growth 3Y7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.48%
Sales Q2Q%7.82%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.72% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, ORLY will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.78% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.95%
EPS Next 2Y11.73%
EPS Next 3Y11.33%
EPS Next 5Y9.72%
Revenue Next Year6.59%
Revenue Next 2Y6.68%
Revenue Next 3Y6.5%
Revenue Next 5Y5.78%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 35.19, which means the current valuation is very expensive for ORLY.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ORLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ORLY to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.31), we can say ORLY is valued slightly more expensively.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.05, ORLY can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ORLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ORLY to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.59), we can say ORLY is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.05 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ORLY is valued a bit more expensive than 60.66% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as ORLY.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 55.22 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.74 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
ORLY has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.95
PEG (5Y)1.97
EPS Next 2Y11.73%
EPS Next 3Y11.33%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ORLY does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
101.7
+0.19 (+0.19%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners88.52%
Inst Owner Change1.43%
Ins Owners0.47%
Ins Owner Change-0.91%
Market Cap85.84B
Revenue(TTM)17.46B
Net Income(TTM)2.48B
Analysts80.54
Price Target111.96 (10.09%)
Short Float %1.35%
Short Ratio2.18
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.97%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.97%
Max EPS beat(2)0.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.36%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.04%
Max EPS beat(4)0.02%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.27%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.53%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)0.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.78%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.23%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.02%
PT rev (1m)1.96%
PT rev (3m)3.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.46%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.52%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.58%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.25%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.05 | ||
| P/S | 4.94 | ||
| P/FCF | 55.22 | ||
| P/OCF | 31.35 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.74 |
EPS(TTM)2.89
EY2.84%
EPS(NY)3.38
Fwd EY3.33%
FCF(TTM)1.84
FCFY1.81%
OCF(TTM)3.24
OCFY3.19%
SpS20.58
BVpS-1.05
TBVpS-2.17
PEG (NY)2.95
PEG (5Y)1.97
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.26% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 44.53% | ||
| ROIC | 34.84% | ||
| ROICexc | 35.8% | ||
| ROICexgc | 41.08% | ||
| OM | 19.3% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.22% | ||
| GM | 51.47% | ||
| FCFM | 8.95% |
ROA(3y)16.72%
ROA(5y)16.75%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)40.1%
ROIC(5y)37.89%
ROICexc(3y)41.26%
ROICexc(5y)39.58%
ROICexgc(3y)49.25%
ROICexgc(5y)47.31%
ROCE(3y)51.25%
ROCE(5y)48.43%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.08%
ROICexc growth 5Y10.15%
OM growth 3Y-3.98%
OM growth 5Y0.56%
PM growth 3Y-4.2%
PM growth 5Y0.83%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.53 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 238.82% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.82% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 15.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 71.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | 62.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.4 |
F-Score7
WACC9.22%
ROIC/WACC3.78
Cap/Depr(3y)208.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)181.58%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.47%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.75%
Profit Quality(3y)96.76%
Profit Quality(5y)110.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.12%
EPS 3Y9.35%
EPS 5Y17.85%
EPS Q2Q%11.74%
EPS Next Y11.95%
EPS Next 2Y11.73%
EPS Next 3Y11.33%
EPS Next 5Y9.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.19%
Revenue growth 3Y7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.48%
Sales Q2Q%7.82%
Revenue Next Year6.59%
Revenue Next 2Y6.68%
Revenue Next 3Y6.5%
Revenue Next 5Y5.78%
EBIT growth 1Y4.31%
EBIT growth 3Y3.53%
EBIT growth 5Y11.1%
EBIT Next Year24.08%
EBIT Next 3Y13.01%
EBIT Next 5Y9.47%
FCF growth 1Y-34.46%
FCF growth 3Y-9.84%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y-16.9%
OCF growth 3Y-1.67%
OCF growth 5Y12.29%
O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC / ORLY FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for ORLY stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ORLY.
What is the valuation status for ORLY stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of ORLY stock?
O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the financial health of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) stock?
The financial health rating of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is 5 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is expected to grow by 11.95% in the next year.