O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:ORLY • US67103H1077

Current stock price

91.54 USD
-1.44 (-1.55%)
At close:
91.54 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This ORLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. ORLY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ORLY had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ORLY had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years ORLY has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years ORLY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
ORLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFORLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of ORLY (15.35%) is better than 94.35% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of ORLY (34.93%) is better than 99.19% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ORLY is significantly above the industry average of 13.59%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 15.35%
ROE N/A
ROIC 34.93%
ROA(3y)16.1%
ROA(5y)16.79%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)37.9%
ROIC(5y)38.94%
ORLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICORLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1K -1K -2K -3K

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of ORLY (14.27%) is better than 96.77% of its industry peers.
  • ORLY's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 19.46%, ORLY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.77% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ORLY has remained more or less at the same level.
  • ORLY's Gross Margin of 51.59% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ORLY outperforms 78.23% of its industry peers.
  • ORLY's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 19.46%
PM (TTM) 14.27%
GM 51.59%
OM growth 3Y-1.81%
OM growth 5Y-1.39%
PM growth 3Y-1.81%
PM growth 5Y-1.12%
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
ORLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsORLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

5

2. ORLY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ORLY is creating value.
  • ORLY has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ORLY has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for ORLY has been reduced compared to a year ago.
ORLY Yearly Shares OutstandingORLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
ORLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsORLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.08 indicates that ORLY is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • ORLY has a Altman-Z score of 4.08. This is amongst the best in the industry. ORLY outperforms 83.87% of its industry peers.
  • ORLY has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.78. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as ORLY would need 3.78 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • ORLY's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.78 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ORLY outperforms 71.77% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 3.78
Altman-Z 4.08
ROIC/WACC3.63
WACC9.63%
ORLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFORLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • ORLY has a Current Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that ORLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.77, ORLY is not doing good in the industry: 86.29% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.12 indicates that ORLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.12, ORLY is doing worse than 92.74% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.12
ORLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesORLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

5

3. ORLY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 9.32% over the past year.
  • ORLY shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 13.56% yearly.
  • ORLY shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.42%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 8.91% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.32%
EPS 3Y9.9%
EPS 5Y13.56%
EPS Q2Q%12.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.42%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y8.91%
Sales Q2Q%7.78%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.72% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, ORLY will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.73% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.03%
EPS Next 2Y10.79%
EPS Next 3Y10.52%
EPS Next 5Y9.72%
Revenue Next Year6.63%
Revenue Next 2Y6.42%
Revenue Next 3Y6.41%
Revenue Next 5Y5.73%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ORLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesORLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
ORLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesORLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6

2

4. ORLY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 30.93, which means the current valuation is very expensive for ORLY.
  • ORLY's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.70, ORLY is valued a bit more expensive.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.82 indicates a quite expensive valuation of ORLY.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ORLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.84. ORLY is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 30.93
Fwd PE 27.82
ORLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsORLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as ORLY.
  • ORLY's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 48.18
EV/EBITDA 20.79
ORLY Per share dataORLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • ORLY has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.8
PEG (5Y)2.28
EPS Next 2Y10.79%
EPS Next 3Y10.52%

0

5. ORLY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for ORLY!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

ORLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC

NASDAQ:ORLY (3/13/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 91.54 0 (0%)

91.54

-1.44 (-1.55%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)04-21
Inst Owners88.05%
Inst Owner Change0.93%
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner Change-0.35%
Market Cap76.76B
Revenue(TTM)17.78B
Net Income(TTM)2.54B
Analysts81.08
Price Target107.4 (17.33%)
Short Float %1.82%
Short Ratio2.42
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.03%
Max EPS beat(2)0.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.04%
Max EPS beat(4)0.02%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.66%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.36%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.66%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.4%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.4%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.15%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.49%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.34%
PT rev (1m)-2.67%
PT rev (3m)-4.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.33%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.52%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.12%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 30.93
Fwd PE 27.82
P/S 4.32
P/FCF 48.18
P/OCF 27.79
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 20.79
EPS(TTM)2.96
EY3.23%
EPS(NY)3.29
Fwd EY3.59%
FCF(TTM)1.9
FCFY2.08%
OCF(TTM)3.29
OCFY3.6%
SpS21.21
BVpS-0.91
TBVpS-2.04
PEG (NY)2.8
PEG (5Y)2.28
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 15.35%
ROE N/A
ROCE 44.58%
ROIC 34.93%
ROICexc 35.83%
ROICexgc 40.96%
OM 19.46%
PM (TTM) 14.27%
GM 51.59%
FCFM 8.96%
ROA(3y)16.1%
ROA(5y)16.79%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)37.9%
ROIC(5y)38.94%
ROICexc(3y)39.09%
ROICexc(5y)40.34%
ROICexgc(3y)45.85%
ROICexgc(5y)47.87%
ROCE(3y)48.37%
ROCE(5y)49.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-7.27%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.26%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.57%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.07%
OM growth 3Y-1.81%
OM growth 5Y-1.39%
PM growth 3Y-1.81%
PM growth 5Y-1.12%
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.08
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 3.78
Debt/EBITDA 1.51
Cap/Depr 228.63%
Cap/Sales 6.57%
Interest Coverage 15.26
Cash Conversion 69.54%
Profit Quality 62.77%
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.12
Altman-Z 4.08
F-Score7
WACC9.63%
ROIC/WACC3.63
Cap/Depr(3y)232.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)197.71%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.35%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.26%
Profit Quality(3y)78.03%
Profit Quality(5y)96.15%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.32%
EPS 3Y9.9%
EPS 5Y13.56%
EPS Q2Q%12.1%
EPS Next Y11.03%
EPS Next 2Y10.79%
EPS Next 3Y10.52%
EPS Next 5Y9.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.42%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y8.91%
Sales Q2Q%7.78%
Revenue Next Year6.63%
Revenue Next 2Y6.42%
Revenue Next 3Y6.41%
Revenue Next 5Y5.73%
EBIT growth 1Y6.44%
EBIT growth 3Y5.32%
EBIT growth 5Y7.4%
EBIT Next Year22.65%
EBIT Next 3Y12.23%
EBIT Next 5Y9.07%
FCF growth 1Y-21.37%
FCF growth 3Y-14.9%
FCF growth 5Y-7.64%
OCF growth 1Y-9.43%
OCF growth 3Y-4.27%
OCF growth 5Y-0.53%

O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC / ORLY Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ORLY stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ORLY.


Can you provide the valuation status for O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of ORLY stock?

O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ORLY stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is expected to grow by 11.03% in the next year.