98.89 USD
-0.62 (-0.62%)
98.89 USD
0 (0%)
ORLY gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. ORLY scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. ORLY is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year ORLY was profitable.
ORLY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years ORLY has been profitable.
In the past 5 years ORLY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of ORLY (15.26%) is better than 92.62% of its industry peers.
ORLY's Return On Invested Capital of 34.84% is amongst the best of the industry. ORLY outperforms 99.18% of its industry peers.
ORLY had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 40.10%. This is significantly above the industry average of 11.71%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (34.84%) for ORLY is well below the 3 year average (40.10%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that ORLY had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.26% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 34.84% |
ROA(3y)16.72%
ROA(5y)16.75%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)40.1%
ROIC(5y)37.89%
1.3 Margins
ORLY has a better Profit Margin (14.22%) than 96.72% of its industry peers.
ORLY's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 19.30%, ORLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.72% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ORLY has remained more or less at the same level.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 51.47%, ORLY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.33% of the companies in the same industry.
ORLY's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.3% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.22% | ||
| GM | 51.47% |
OM growth 3Y-3.98%
OM growth 5Y0.56%
PM growth 3Y-4.2%
PM growth 5Y0.83%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ORLY has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
ORLY has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
ORLY has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, ORLY has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.33 indicates that ORLY is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
ORLY has a Altman-Z score of 4.33. This is amongst the best in the industry. ORLY outperforms 86.07% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ORLY is 3.79, which is a good value as it means it would take ORLY, 3.79 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ORLY (3.79) is better than 72.95% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.33 |
ROIC/WACC3.78
WACC9.22%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.76 indicates that ORLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ORLY has a worse Current ratio (0.76) than 86.89% of its industry peers.
ORLY has a Quick Ratio of 0.76. This is a bad value and indicates that ORLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ORLY's Quick ratio of 0.11 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ORLY is outperformed by 94.26% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.11 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.12% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, ORLY shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 17.85% on average per year.
ORLY shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.19%.
Measured over the past years, ORLY shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.48% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.12%
EPS 3Y9.35%
EPS 5Y17.85%
EPS Q2Q%11.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.19%
Revenue growth 3Y7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.48%
Sales Q2Q%7.82%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.79% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, ORLY will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.86% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.95%
EPS Next 2Y11.73%
EPS Next 3Y11.33%
EPS Next 5Y9.79%
Revenue Next Year6.59%
Revenue Next 2Y6.68%
Revenue Next 3Y6.5%
Revenue Next 5Y5.86%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 34.22 indicates a quite expensive valuation of ORLY.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as ORLY.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.46. ORLY is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 29.22, ORLY can be considered very expensive at the moment.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as ORLY.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 36.10. ORLY is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 29.22 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ORLY indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: ORLY is more expensive than 60.66% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as ORLY.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 53.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.19 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
ORLY has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.86
PEG (5Y)1.92
EPS Next 2Y11.73%
EPS Next 3Y11.33%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ORLY does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
98.89
-0.62 (-0.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners88.52%
Inst Owner Change1.43%
Ins Owners0.47%
Ins Owner Change-2.3%
Market Cap83.47B
Revenue(TTM)17.46B
Net Income(TTM)2.48B
Analysts80.54
Price Target111.96 (13.22%)
Short Float %1.48%
Short Ratio2.47
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.97%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.97%
Max EPS beat(2)0.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.36%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.04%
Max EPS beat(4)0.02%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.27%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.53%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)0.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.78%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.23%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.02%
PT rev (1m)-0.38%
PT rev (3m)3.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.58%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.25%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 29.22 | ||
| P/S | 4.78 | ||
| P/FCF | 53.41 | ||
| P/OCF | 30.32 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.19 |
EPS(TTM)2.89
EY2.92%
EPS(NY)3.38
Fwd EY3.42%
FCF(TTM)1.85
FCFY1.87%
OCF(TTM)3.26
OCFY3.3%
SpS20.69
BVpS-1.06
TBVpS-2.18
PEG (NY)2.86
PEG (5Y)1.92
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.26% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 44.53% | ||
| ROIC | 34.84% | ||
| ROICexc | 35.8% | ||
| ROICexgc | 41.08% | ||
| OM | 19.3% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.22% | ||
| GM | 51.47% | ||
| FCFM | 8.95% |
ROA(3y)16.72%
ROA(5y)16.75%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)40.1%
ROIC(5y)37.89%
ROICexc(3y)41.26%
ROICexc(5y)39.58%
ROICexgc(3y)49.25%
ROICexgc(5y)47.31%
ROCE(3y)51.25%
ROCE(5y)48.43%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.08%
ROICexc growth 5Y10.15%
OM growth 3Y-3.98%
OM growth 5Y0.56%
PM growth 3Y-4.2%
PM growth 5Y0.83%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.53 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 238.82% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.82% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 15.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 71.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | 62.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.33 |
F-Score7
WACC9.22%
ROIC/WACC3.78
Cap/Depr(3y)208.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)181.58%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.47%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.75%
Profit Quality(3y)96.76%
Profit Quality(5y)110.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.12%
EPS 3Y9.35%
EPS 5Y17.85%
EPS Q2Q%11.74%
EPS Next Y11.95%
EPS Next 2Y11.73%
EPS Next 3Y11.33%
EPS Next 5Y9.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.19%
Revenue growth 3Y7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.48%
Sales Q2Q%7.82%
Revenue Next Year6.59%
Revenue Next 2Y6.68%
Revenue Next 3Y6.5%
Revenue Next 5Y5.86%
EBIT growth 1Y4.31%
EBIT growth 3Y3.53%
EBIT growth 5Y11.1%
EBIT Next Year24.08%
EBIT Next 3Y13.01%
EBIT Next 5Y9.55%
FCF growth 1Y-34.46%
FCF growth 3Y-9.84%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y-16.9%
OCF growth 3Y-1.67%
OCF growth 5Y12.29%
O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC / ORLY FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for ORLY stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ORLY.
What is the valuation status for ORLY stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of ORLY stock?
O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the financial health of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) stock?
The financial health rating of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is 5 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is expected to grow by 11.95% in the next year.