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O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:ORLY - Nasdaq - US67103H1077 - Common Stock

1241.08  +24.29 (+2%)

After market: 1241.08 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall ORLY gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated ORLY against 119 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. ORLY has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. While showing a medium growth rate, ORLY is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ORLY had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ORLY had a positive cash flow from operations.
ORLY had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
ORLY had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
ORLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFORLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of ORLY (16.38%) is better than 93.97% of its industry peers.
ORLY has a Return On Invested Capital of 39.36%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ORLY outperforms 99.14% of its industry peers.
ORLY had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 40.15%. This is significantly above the industry average of 12.38%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 16.38%
ROE N/A
ROIC 39.36%
ROA(3y)17.53%
ROA(5y)16.14%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)40.15%
ROIC(5y)34.83%
ORLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICORLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1K -1K -2K -3K

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 14.52%, ORLY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.41% of the companies in the same industry.
ORLY's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 19.65%, ORLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.41% of the companies in the same industry.
ORLY's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of ORLY (51.21%) is better than 80.17% of its industry peers.
ORLY's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 19.65%
PM (TTM) 14.52%
GM 51.21%
OM growth 3Y-1.14%
OM growth 5Y1.16%
PM growth 3Y-0.57%
PM growth 5Y1.34%
GM growth 3Y-0.76%
GM growth 5Y-0.61%
ORLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsORLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30 40 50

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ORLY has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
ORLY has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, ORLY has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for ORLY is higher compared to a year ago.
ORLY Yearly Shares OutstandingORLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M
ORLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsORLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

ORLY has an Altman-Z score of 4.01. This indicates that ORLY is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 4.01, ORLY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.90% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ORLY is 2.74, which is a good value as it means it would take ORLY, 2.74 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
ORLY has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.74) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 2.74
Altman-Z 4.01
ROIC/WACC3.92
WACC10.04%
ORLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFORLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

ORLY has a Current Ratio of 0.70. This is a bad value and indicates that ORLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ORLY has a Current ratio of 0.70. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ORLY underperforms 93.10% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.10 indicates that ORLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ORLY has a worse Quick ratio (0.10) than 96.55% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.7
Quick Ratio 0.1
ORLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesORLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.51% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, ORLY shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 19.03% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.25% in the past year.
ORLY shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.64% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.51%
EPS 3Y17.8%
EPS 5Y19.03%
EPS Q2Q%6.39%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.25%
Revenue growth 3Y10.87%
Revenue growth 5Y10.64%
Sales Q2Q%3.83%

3.2 Future

ORLY is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 10.73% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.41% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y8.36%
EPS Next 2Y9.15%
EPS Next 3Y10.17%
EPS Next 5Y10.73%
Revenue Next Year5.11%
Revenue Next 2Y5.31%
Revenue Next 3Y5.54%
Revenue Next 5Y5.41%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ORLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesORLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
ORLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesORLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 20 40 60 80

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

ORLY is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 30.70.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as ORLY.
ORLY is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.29, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.07, the valuation of ORLY can be described as expensive.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as ORLY.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.44, ORLY is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 30.7
Fwd PE 27.07
ORLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsORLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 100 200 300

4.2 Price Multiples

ORLY's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. ORLY is more expensive than 61.21% of the companies in the same industry.
ORLY's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 36.62
EV/EBITDA 20.5
ORLY Per share dataORLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 100 200

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
ORLY has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.67
PEG (5Y)1.61
EPS Next 2Y9.15%
EPS Next 3Y10.17%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ORLY does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC

NASDAQ:ORLY (1/21/2025, 10:28:03 PM)

After market: 1241.08 0 (0%)

1241.08

+24.29 (+2%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)10-23 2024-10-23/amc
Earnings (Next)02-05 2025-02-05/amc
Inst Owners89.81%
Inst Owner Change-1.75%
Ins Owners0.52%
Ins Owner Change-4.73%
Market Cap71.65B
Analysts77.78
Price Target1328.18 (7.02%)
Short Float %1.81%
Short Ratio2.98
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.49%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.84%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.15%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.84%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.96%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.62%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)1.22%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.89%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.16%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.97%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.79%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.36%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.09%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.92%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.74%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.34%
PT rev (1m)0.36%
PT rev (3m)8.91%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.33%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.82%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.9%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.7%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 30.7
Fwd PE 27.07
P/S 4.36
P/FCF 36.62
P/OCF 24.36
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 20.5
EPS(TTM)40.42
EY3.26%
EPS(NY)45.85
Fwd EY3.69%
FCF(TTM)33.89
FCFY2.73%
OCF(TTM)50.95
OCFY4.11%
SpS284.86
BVpS-24.93
TBVpS-42.2
PEG (NY)3.67
PEG (5Y)1.61
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 16.38%
ROE N/A
ROCE 50.55%
ROIC 39.36%
ROICexc 40.08%
ROICexgc 47.66%
OM 19.65%
PM (TTM) 14.52%
GM 51.21%
FCFM 11.9%
ROA(3y)17.53%
ROA(5y)16.14%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)40.15%
ROIC(5y)34.83%
ROICexc(3y)41.92%
ROICexc(5y)36.4%
ROICexgc(3y)50.33%
ROICexgc(5y)43.52%
ROCE(3y)51.57%
ROCE(5y)44.74%
ROICexcg growth 3Y9.22%
ROICexcg growth 5Y2.7%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.21%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.73%
OM growth 3Y-1.14%
OM growth 5Y1.16%
PM growth 3Y-0.57%
PM growth 5Y1.34%
GM growth 3Y-0.76%
GM growth 5Y-0.61%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.13
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 2.74
Debt/EBITDA 1.46
Cap/Depr 218.06%
Cap/Sales 5.99%
Interest Coverage 16.02
Cash Conversion 79.87%
Profit Quality 81.92%
Current Ratio 0.7
Quick Ratio 0.1
Altman-Z 4.01
F-Score7
WACC10.04%
ROIC/WACC3.92
Cap/Depr(3y)179.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)183.64%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.53%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.76%
Profit Quality(3y)111.02%
Profit Quality(5y)109.21%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.51%
EPS 3Y17.8%
EPS 5Y19.03%
EPS Q2Q%6.39%
EPS Next Y8.36%
EPS Next 2Y9.15%
EPS Next 3Y10.17%
EPS Next 5Y10.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.25%
Revenue growth 3Y10.87%
Revenue growth 5Y10.64%
Sales Q2Q%3.83%
Revenue Next Year5.11%
Revenue Next 2Y5.31%
Revenue Next 3Y5.54%
Revenue Next 5Y5.41%
EBIT growth 1Y2.59%
EBIT growth 3Y9.6%
EBIT growth 5Y11.93%
EBIT Next Year16.32%
EBIT Next 3Y9.63%
EBIT Next 5Y7.87%
FCF growth 1Y-21.87%
FCF growth 3Y-5.08%
FCF growth 5Y10.64%
OCF growth 1Y-1.79%
OCF growth 3Y2.27%
OCF growth 5Y11.92%