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O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:ORLY - US67103H1077 - Common Stock

94.7 USD
+1.06 (+1.13%)
Last: 1/16/2026, 8:00:02 PM
94.8 USD
+0.1 (+0.11%)
After Hours: 1/16/2026, 8:00:02 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to ORLY. ORLY was compared to 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. While ORLY has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. ORLY is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ORLY had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ORLY had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ORLY has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ORLY had a positive operating cash flow.
ORLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFORLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 15.26%, ORLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.39% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ORLY has a Return On Invested Capital of 34.84%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ORLY outperforms 99.17% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ORLY is significantly above the industry average of 12.37%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (34.84%) for ORLY is well below the 3 year average (40.10%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that ORLY had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 15.26%
ROE N/A
ROIC 34.84%
ROA(3y)16.72%
ROA(5y)16.75%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)40.1%
ROIC(5y)37.89%
ORLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICORLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1K -1K -2K -3K

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of ORLY (14.22%) is better than 96.69% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ORLY has remained more or less at the same level.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 19.30%, ORLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.69% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ORLY has remained more or less at the same level.
  • ORLY has a Gross Margin of 51.47%. This is in the better half of the industry: ORLY outperforms 78.51% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ORLY has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 19.3%
PM (TTM) 14.22%
GM 51.47%
OM growth 3Y-3.98%
OM growth 5Y0.56%
PM growth 3Y-4.2%
PM growth 5Y0.83%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
ORLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsORLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40 50

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ORLY is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ORLY has less shares outstanding
  • ORLY has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • ORLY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
ORLY Yearly Shares OutstandingORLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
ORLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsORLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.18 indicates that ORLY is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 4.18, ORLY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.47% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of ORLY is 3.79, which is a good value as it means it would take ORLY, 3.79 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.79, ORLY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.90% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 3.79
Altman-Z 4.18
ROIC/WACC3.63
WACC9.59%
ORLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFORLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • ORLY has a Current Ratio of 0.76. This is a bad value and indicates that ORLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ORLY's Current ratio of 0.76 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ORLY is outperformed by 86.78% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.11 indicates that ORLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ORLY has a worse Quick ratio (0.11) than 95.04% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.76
Quick Ratio 0.11
ORLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesORLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.12% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 17.85% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • Looking at the last year, ORLY shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.19% in the last year.
  • ORLY shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.48% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.12%
EPS 3Y9.35%
EPS 5Y17.85%
EPS Q2Q%11.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.19%
Revenue growth 3Y7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.48%
Sales Q2Q%7.82%

3.2 Future

  • ORLY is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.79% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.86% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y11.89%
EPS Next 2Y11.65%
EPS Next 3Y11.27%
EPS Next 5Y9.79%
Revenue Next Year6.6%
Revenue Next 2Y6.7%
Revenue Next 3Y6.54%
Revenue Next 5Y5.86%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ORLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesORLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
ORLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesORLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 32.77, ORLY can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ORLY is valued a bit cheaper than 62.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.38. ORLY is around the same levels.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.03 indicates a quite expensive valuation of ORLY.
  • ORLY's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ORLY to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.29), we can say ORLY is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.77
Fwd PE 28.03
ORLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsORLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • ORLY's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ORLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 51.15
EV/EBITDA 22.14
ORLY Per share dataORLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates ORLY does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The excellent profitability rating of ORLY may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.76
PEG (5Y)1.84
EPS Next 2Y11.65%
EPS Next 3Y11.27%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • ORLY does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC

NASDAQ:ORLY (1/16/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 94.8 +0.1 (+0.11%)

94.7

+1.06 (+1.13%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)10-22
Earnings (Next)02-04
Inst Owners87.95%
Inst Owner Change0.37%
Ins Owners0.47%
Ins Owner Change-2.28%
Market Cap79.94B
Revenue(TTM)17.46B
Net Income(TTM)2.48B
Analysts82.16
Price Target111.81 (18.07%)
Short Float %1.45%
Short Ratio2.2
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.97%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.97%
Max EPS beat(2)0.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.36%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.04%
Max EPS beat(4)0.02%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.27%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.53%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)0.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.78%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.23%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.02%
PT rev (1m)-0.33%
PT rev (3m)1.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.23%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.71%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.93%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.04%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.56%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.23%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.77
Fwd PE 28.03
P/S 4.58
P/FCF 51.15
P/OCF 29.04
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 22.14
EPS(TTM)2.89
EY3.05%
EPS(NY)3.38
Fwd EY3.57%
FCF(TTM)1.85
FCFY1.95%
OCF(TTM)3.26
OCFY3.44%
SpS20.69
BVpS-1.06
TBVpS-2.18
PEG (NY)2.76
PEG (5Y)1.84
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 15.26%
ROE N/A
ROCE 44.53%
ROIC 34.84%
ROICexc 35.8%
ROICexgc 41.08%
OM 19.3%
PM (TTM) 14.22%
GM 51.47%
FCFM 8.95%
ROA(3y)16.72%
ROA(5y)16.75%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)40.1%
ROIC(5y)37.89%
ROICexc(3y)41.26%
ROICexc(5y)39.58%
ROICexgc(3y)49.25%
ROICexgc(5y)47.31%
ROCE(3y)51.25%
ROCE(5y)48.43%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.08%
ROICexc growth 5Y10.15%
OM growth 3Y-3.98%
OM growth 5Y0.56%
PM growth 3Y-4.2%
PM growth 5Y0.83%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 3.79
Debt/EBITDA 1.53
Cap/Depr 238.82%
Cap/Sales 6.82%
Interest Coverage 15.19
Cash Conversion 71.15%
Profit Quality 62.91%
Current Ratio 0.76
Quick Ratio 0.11
Altman-Z 4.18
F-Score7
WACC9.59%
ROIC/WACC3.63
Cap/Depr(3y)208.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)181.58%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.47%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.75%
Profit Quality(3y)96.76%
Profit Quality(5y)110.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.12%
EPS 3Y9.35%
EPS 5Y17.85%
EPS Q2Q%11.74%
EPS Next Y11.89%
EPS Next 2Y11.65%
EPS Next 3Y11.27%
EPS Next 5Y9.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.19%
Revenue growth 3Y7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.48%
Sales Q2Q%7.82%
Revenue Next Year6.6%
Revenue Next 2Y6.7%
Revenue Next 3Y6.54%
Revenue Next 5Y5.86%
EBIT growth 1Y4.31%
EBIT growth 3Y3.53%
EBIT growth 5Y11.1%
EBIT Next Year24.72%
EBIT Next 3Y13.1%
EBIT Next 5Y9.55%
FCF growth 1Y-34.46%
FCF growth 3Y-9.84%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y-16.9%
OCF growth 3Y-1.67%
OCF growth 5Y12.29%

O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC / ORLY FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ORLY stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ORLY.


Can you provide the valuation status for O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of ORLY stock?

O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ORLY stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is expected to grow by 11.89% in the next year.