101.51 USD
+0.13 (+0.13%)
101.2 USD
-0.31 (-0.31%)
Overall ORLY gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated ORLY against 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. While ORLY has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. ORLY is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ORLY had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ORLY had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years ORLY has been profitable.
ORLY had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of ORLY (15.26%) is better than 92.62% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of ORLY (34.84%) is better than 99.18% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ORLY is significantly above the industry average of 11.80%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (34.84%) for ORLY is well below the 3 year average (40.10%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that ORLY had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.26% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 34.84% |
ROA(3y)16.72%
ROA(5y)16.75%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)40.1%
ROIC(5y)37.89%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of ORLY (14.22%) is better than 95.90% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ORLY has remained more or less at the same level.
ORLY has a better Operating Margin (19.30%) than 96.72% of its industry peers.
ORLY's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of ORLY (51.47%) is better than 80.33% of its industry peers.
ORLY's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.3% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.22% | ||
| GM | 51.47% |
OM growth 3Y-3.98%
OM growth 5Y0.56%
PM growth 3Y-4.2%
PM growth 5Y0.83%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), ORLY is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, ORLY has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for ORLY has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
ORLY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
ORLY has an Altman-Z score of 4.40. This indicates that ORLY is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
ORLY has a Altman-Z score of 4.40. This is amongst the best in the industry. ORLY outperforms 84.43% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ORLY is 3.79, which is a good value as it means it would take ORLY, 3.79 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
ORLY's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.79 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ORLY outperforms 72.13% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.4 |
ROIC/WACC3.79
WACC9.19%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.76 indicates that ORLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ORLY has a Current ratio of 0.76. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ORLY underperforms 86.89% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.11 indicates that ORLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of ORLY (0.11) is worse than 94.26% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.11 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.12% over the past year.
ORLY shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 17.85% yearly.
ORLY shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.19%.
ORLY shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.48% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.12%
EPS 3Y9.35%
EPS 5Y17.85%
EPS Q2Q%11.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.19%
Revenue growth 3Y7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.48%
Sales Q2Q%7.82%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.72% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, ORLY will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.78% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.95%
EPS Next 2Y11.73%
EPS Next 3Y11.33%
EPS Next 5Y9.72%
Revenue Next Year6.59%
Revenue Next 2Y6.68%
Revenue Next 3Y6.5%
Revenue Next 5Y5.78%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 35.12, the valuation of ORLY can be described as expensive.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as ORLY.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ORLY to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.15), we can say ORLY is valued slightly more expensively.
ORLY is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.00.
ORLY's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
ORLY is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 36.12, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.12 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ORLY is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 60.66% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
ORLY's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 55.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.74 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
ORLY has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.94
PEG (5Y)1.97
EPS Next 2Y11.73%
EPS Next 3Y11.33%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for ORLY!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
101.51
+0.13 (+0.13%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners88.52%
Inst Owner Change1.43%
Ins Owners0.47%
Ins Owner Change-0.91%
Market Cap86.13B
Revenue(TTM)17.46B
Net Income(TTM)2.48B
Analysts80.54
Price Target111.96 (10.29%)
Short Float %1.35%
Short Ratio2.18
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.97%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.97%
Max EPS beat(2)0.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.36%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.04%
Max EPS beat(4)0.02%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.27%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.53%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)0.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.78%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.23%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.02%
PT rev (1m)1.96%
PT rev (3m)3.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.46%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.52%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.58%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.25%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.12 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30 | ||
| P/S | 4.93 | ||
| P/FCF | 55.12 | ||
| P/OCF | 31.29 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.74 |
EPS(TTM)2.89
EY2.85%
EPS(NY)3.38
Fwd EY3.33%
FCF(TTM)1.84
FCFY1.81%
OCF(TTM)3.24
OCFY3.2%
SpS20.58
BVpS-1.05
TBVpS-2.17
PEG (NY)2.94
PEG (5Y)1.97
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.26% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 44.53% | ||
| ROIC | 34.84% | ||
| ROICexc | 35.8% | ||
| ROICexgc | 41.08% | ||
| OM | 19.3% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.22% | ||
| GM | 51.47% | ||
| FCFM | 8.95% |
ROA(3y)16.72%
ROA(5y)16.75%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)40.1%
ROIC(5y)37.89%
ROICexc(3y)41.26%
ROICexc(5y)39.58%
ROICexgc(3y)49.25%
ROICexgc(5y)47.31%
ROCE(3y)51.25%
ROCE(5y)48.43%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.08%
ROICexc growth 5Y10.15%
OM growth 3Y-3.98%
OM growth 5Y0.56%
PM growth 3Y-4.2%
PM growth 5Y0.83%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.53 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 238.82% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.82% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 15.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 71.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | 62.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.4 |
F-Score7
WACC9.19%
ROIC/WACC3.79
Cap/Depr(3y)208.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)181.58%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.47%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.75%
Profit Quality(3y)96.76%
Profit Quality(5y)110.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.12%
EPS 3Y9.35%
EPS 5Y17.85%
EPS Q2Q%11.74%
EPS Next Y11.95%
EPS Next 2Y11.73%
EPS Next 3Y11.33%
EPS Next 5Y9.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.19%
Revenue growth 3Y7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.48%
Sales Q2Q%7.82%
Revenue Next Year6.59%
Revenue Next 2Y6.68%
Revenue Next 3Y6.5%
Revenue Next 5Y5.78%
EBIT growth 1Y4.31%
EBIT growth 3Y3.53%
EBIT growth 5Y11.1%
EBIT Next Year24.08%
EBIT Next 3Y13.01%
EBIT Next 5Y9.47%
FCF growth 1Y-34.46%
FCF growth 3Y-9.84%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y-16.9%
OCF growth 3Y-1.67%
OCF growth 5Y12.29%
O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC / ORLY FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for ORLY stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ORLY.
What is the valuation status for ORLY stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of ORLY stock?
O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the financial health of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) stock?
The financial health rating of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is 5 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is expected to grow by 11.95% in the next year.