MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:MELI • US58733R1023
Current stock price
1791.99 USD
-47.29 (-2.57%)
At close:
1786.31 USD
-5.68 (-0.32%)
After Hours:
This MELI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MELI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- MELI had positive earnings in the past year.
- MELI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- MELI had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years MELI had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of MELI (4.68%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 29.59%, MELI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 16.97%, MELI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MELI is significantly above the industry average of 8.83%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (16.97%) for MELI is well below the 3 year average (21.88%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MELI had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 29.59% | ||
| ROIC | 16.97% |
ROA(3y)5.96%
ROA(5y)4.44%
ROE(3y)35.22%
ROE(5y)27.5%
ROIC(3y)21.88%
ROIC(5y)17.77%
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 6.91%, MELI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MELI has grown nicely.
- MELI has a better Operating Margin (11.08%) than 80.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MELI has grown nicely.
- With a Gross Margin value of 44.50%, MELI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- MELI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.08% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.91% | ||
| GM | 44.5% |
OM growth 3Y3.76%
OM growth 5Y28.09%
PM growth 3Y15.63%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.64%
GM growth 5Y0.68%
2. MELI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MELI is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, MELI has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
- The number of shares outstanding for MELI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for MELI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- MELI has an Altman-Z score of 2.81. This is not the best score and indicates that MELI is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- MELI has a Altman-Z score of 2.81. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MELI outperforms 56.67% of its industry peers.
- MELI has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.85. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.85 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 0.85, MELI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.68 indicates that MELI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of MELI (0.68) is worse than 63.33% of its industry peers.
- Although MELI's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.68 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.81 |
ROIC/WACC1.84
WACC9.22%
2.3 Liquidity
- MELI has a Current Ratio of 1.17. This is a normal value and indicates that MELI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of MELI (1.17) is worse than 73.33% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.15 indicates that MELI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.15, MELI is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.17 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.15 |
3. MELI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.51% over the past year.
- MELI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 60.44% yearly.
- The Revenue has grown by 39.06% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
- The Revenue has been growing by 48.70% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.51%
EPS 3Y60.44%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12.53%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)39.06%
Revenue growth 3Y38.91%
Revenue growth 5Y48.7%
Sales Q2Q%44.56%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 36.40% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- Based on estimates for the next years, MELI will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 23.62% on average per year.
EPS Next Y35.36%
EPS Next 2Y36.63%
EPS Next 3Y37.07%
EPS Next 5Y36.4%
Revenue Next Year34.82%
Revenue Next 2Y29.4%
Revenue Next 3Y25.73%
Revenue Next 5Y23.62%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. MELI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 45.48, the valuation of MELI can be described as expensive.
- MELI's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- MELI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.91.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 33.60 indicates a quite expensive valuation of MELI.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MELI is valued a bit more expensive than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.99, MELI is valued quite expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 45.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 33.6 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as MELI.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MELI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.43 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.27 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- MELI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The excellent profitability rating of MELI may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as MELI's earnings are expected to grow with 37.07% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y36.63%
EPS Next 3Y37.07%
5. MELI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for MELI!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
MELI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
1791.99
-47.29 (-2.57%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)02-24 2026-02-24/amc
Earnings (Next)05-07 2026-05-07
Inst Owners82.77%
Inst Owner Change-0.1%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap90.85B
Revenue(TTM)28.89B
Net Income(TTM)2.00B
Analysts83.87
Price Target2564.08 (43.09%)
Short Float %2.18%
Short Ratio1.93
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.17%
Min EPS beat(2)-12.64%
Max EPS beat(2)-5.7%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-4.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-15.3%
Max EPS beat(4)14.99%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)5.59%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)3.94%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)6.86%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.61%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.44%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.59%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)3%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.83%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.26%
PT rev (1m)-10.17%
PT rev (3m)-10.44%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.48%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-18.76%
EPS NY rev (1m)-8.86%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.56%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.24%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.23%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.46%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.73%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 45.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 33.6 | ||
| P/S | 3.14 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.43 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.5 | ||
| P/B | 13.46 | ||
| P/tB | 13.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.27 |
EPS(TTM)39.4
EY2.2%
EPS(NY)53.33
Fwd EY2.98%
FCF(TTM)212.49
FCFY11.86%
OCF(TTM)238.97
OCFY13.34%
SpS569.88
BVpS133.1
TBVpS129.23
PEG (NY)1.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number343.497 (-80.83%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 29.59% | ||
| ROCE | 22.81% | ||
| ROIC | 16.97% | ||
| ROICexc | 30.8% | ||
| ROICexgc | 31.6% | ||
| OM | 11.08% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.91% | ||
| GM | 44.5% | ||
| FCFM | 37.29% |
ROA(3y)5.96%
ROA(5y)4.44%
ROE(3y)35.22%
ROE(5y)27.5%
ROIC(3y)21.88%
ROIC(5y)17.77%
ROICexc(3y)229.5%
ROICexc(5y)162.58%
ROICexgc(3y)538.3%
ROICexgc(5y)354.16%
ROCE(3y)29.4%
ROCE(5y)23.88%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-33.3%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.99%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y3.76%
OM growth 5Y28.09%
PM growth 3Y15.63%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.64%
GM growth 5Y0.68%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.68
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.68 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.85 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.14 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 164.18% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.24 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 301.47% | ||
| Profit Quality | 539.46% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.17 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.15 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.81 |
F-Score5
WACC9.22%
ROIC/WACC1.84
Cap/Depr(3y)133.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)162.49%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.05%
Cap/Sales(5y)5%
Profit Quality(3y)459.33%
Profit Quality(5y)464.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.51%
EPS 3Y60.44%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12.53%
EPS Next Y35.36%
EPS Next 2Y36.63%
EPS Next 3Y37.07%
EPS Next 5Y36.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)39.06%
Revenue growth 3Y38.91%
Revenue growth 5Y48.7%
Sales Q2Q%44.56%
Revenue Next Year34.82%
Revenue Next 2Y29.4%
Revenue Next 3Y25.73%
Revenue Next 5Y23.62%
EBIT growth 1Y21.66%
EBIT growth 3Y44.14%
EBIT growth 5Y90.47%
EBIT Next Year54.93%
EBIT Next 3Y39.18%
EBIT Next 5Y36.51%
FCF growth 1Y52.64%
FCF growth 3Y63.06%
FCF growth 5Y63.03%
OCF growth 1Y53.02%
OCF growth 3Y60.33%
OCF growth 5Y59.26%
MERCADOLIBRE INC / MELI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MELI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to MELI.
What is the valuation status for MELI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) stock?
MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is MERCADOLIBRE INC?
The financial health rating of MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) is 5 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for MERCADOLIBRE INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) is expected to grow by 35.36% in the next year.