MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:MELI • US58733R1023
Current stock price
1773.96 USD
-19.24 (-1.07%)
At close:
1773.95 USD
-0.01 (0%)
After Hours:
This MELI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MELI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- MELI had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year MELI had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years MELI has been profitable.
- MELI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- MELI's Return On Assets of 4.68% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MELI outperforms 67.74% of its industry peers.
- MELI has a Return On Equity of 29.59%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MELI outperforms 93.55% of its industry peers.
- MELI's Return On Invested Capital of 16.97% is amongst the best of the industry. MELI outperforms 90.32% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MELI is significantly above the industry average of 8.75%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (21.88%) for MELI is well above the current ROIC(16.97%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 29.59% | ||
| ROIC | 16.97% |
ROA(3y)5.96%
ROA(5y)4.44%
ROE(3y)35.22%
ROE(5y)27.5%
ROIC(3y)21.88%
ROIC(5y)17.77%
1.3 Margins
- MELI's Profit Margin of 6.91% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MELI outperforms 74.19% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MELI has grown nicely.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 11.08%, MELI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.65% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MELI has grown nicely.
- MELI has a Gross Margin (44.50%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MELI has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.08% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.91% | ||
| GM | 44.5% |
OM growth 3Y3.76%
OM growth 5Y28.09%
PM growth 3Y15.63%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.64%
GM growth 5Y0.68%
2. MELI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MELI is creating value.
- MELI has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, MELI has more shares outstanding
- MELI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- MELI has an Altman-Z score of 2.76. This is not the best score and indicates that MELI is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With a Altman-Z score value of 2.76, MELI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.06% of the companies in the same industry.
- MELI has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.85. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.85 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of MELI (0.85) is better than 83.87% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.68 indicates that MELI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- MELI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.68. This is in the lower half of the industry: MELI underperforms 61.29% of its industry peers.
- Although MELI's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.68 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.76 |
ROIC/WACC1.86
WACC9.11%
2.3 Liquidity
- MELI has a Current Ratio of 1.17. This is a normal value and indicates that MELI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- MELI's Current ratio of 1.17 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MELI is outperformed by 74.19% of its industry peers.
- MELI has a Quick Ratio of 1.15. This is a normal value and indicates that MELI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- MELI's Quick ratio of 1.15 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MELI outperforms 45.16% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.17 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.15 |
3. MELI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- MELI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 4.51%.
- MELI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 60.44% yearly.
- MELI shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 39.06%.
- MELI shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 48.70% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.51%
EPS 3Y60.44%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12.53%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)39.06%
Revenue growth 3Y38.91%
Revenue growth 5Y48.7%
Sales Q2Q%44.56%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 35.40% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- MELI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 19.27% yearly.
EPS Next Y35.36%
EPS Next 2Y36.63%
EPS Next 3Y37.07%
EPS Next 5Y35.4%
Revenue Next Year34.11%
Revenue Next 2Y29.11%
Revenue Next 3Y25.17%
Revenue Next 5Y19.27%
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. MELI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 45.02, which means the current valuation is very expensive for MELI.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MELI is on the same level as its industry peers.
- MELI is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.78, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 33.26 indicates a quite expensive valuation of MELI.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MELI is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 64.52% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.54. MELI is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 45.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 33.26 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- MELI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of MELI indicates a rather cheap valuation: MELI is cheaper than 80.65% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.35 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.44 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- MELI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The excellent profitability rating of MELI may justify a higher PE ratio.
- MELI's earnings are expected to grow with 37.07% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y36.63%
EPS Next 3Y37.07%
5. MELI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- MELI does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
MELI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
1773.96
-19.24 (-1.07%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)02-24 2026-02-24/amc
Earnings (Next)05-07 2026-05-07
Inst Owners82.77%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap89.94B
Revenue(TTM)28.89B
Net Income(TTM)2.00B
Analysts83.87
Price Target2598.08 (46.46%)
Short Float %2.27%
Short Ratio1.76
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.17%
Min EPS beat(2)-12.64%
Max EPS beat(2)-5.7%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-4.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-15.3%
Max EPS beat(4)14.99%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)5.59%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)3.94%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)6.86%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.61%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.44%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.59%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)3%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.83%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.26%
PT rev (1m)-8.98%
PT rev (3m)-9.17%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-8.71%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-19.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)-8.86%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.56%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.24%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.45%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.47%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 45.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 33.26 | ||
| P/S | 3.11 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.35 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.42 | ||
| P/B | 13.33 | ||
| P/tB | 13.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.44 |
EPS(TTM)39.4
EY2.22%
EPS(NY)53.33
Fwd EY3.01%
FCF(TTM)212.49
FCFY11.98%
OCF(TTM)238.97
OCFY13.47%
SpS569.88
BVpS133.1
TBVpS129.23
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number343.5
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 29.59% | ||
| ROCE | 22.81% | ||
| ROIC | 16.97% | ||
| ROICexc | 30.8% | ||
| ROICexgc | 31.6% | ||
| OM | 11.08% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.91% | ||
| GM | 44.5% | ||
| FCFM | 37.29% |
ROA(3y)5.96%
ROA(5y)4.44%
ROE(3y)35.22%
ROE(5y)27.5%
ROIC(3y)21.88%
ROIC(5y)17.77%
ROICexc(3y)229.5%
ROICexc(5y)162.58%
ROICexgc(3y)538.3%
ROICexgc(5y)354.16%
ROCE(3y)29.4%
ROCE(5y)23.88%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-33.3%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.99%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y3.76%
OM growth 5Y28.09%
PM growth 3Y15.63%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.64%
GM growth 5Y0.68%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.68
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.68 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.85 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.14 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 164.18% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.24 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 301.47% | ||
| Profit Quality | 539.46% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.17 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.15 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.76 |
F-Score5
WACC9.11%
ROIC/WACC1.86
Cap/Depr(3y)133.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)162.49%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.05%
Cap/Sales(5y)5%
Profit Quality(3y)459.33%
Profit Quality(5y)464.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.51%
EPS 3Y60.44%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12.53%
EPS Next Y35.36%
EPS Next 2Y36.63%
EPS Next 3Y37.07%
EPS Next 5Y35.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)39.06%
Revenue growth 3Y38.91%
Revenue growth 5Y48.7%
Sales Q2Q%44.56%
Revenue Next Year34.11%
Revenue Next 2Y29.11%
Revenue Next 3Y25.17%
Revenue Next 5Y19.27%
EBIT growth 1Y21.66%
EBIT growth 3Y44.14%
EBIT growth 5Y90.47%
EBIT Next Year54.93%
EBIT Next 3Y39.18%
EBIT Next 5Y30.45%
FCF growth 1Y52.64%
FCF growth 3Y63.06%
FCF growth 5Y63.03%
OCF growth 1Y53.02%
OCF growth 3Y60.33%
OCF growth 5Y59.26%
MERCADOLIBRE INC / MELI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MELI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to MELI.
What is the valuation status for MELI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) stock?
MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is MERCADOLIBRE INC?
The financial health rating of MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) is 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for MERCADOLIBRE INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) is expected to grow by 35.36% in the next year.