MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:MELI • US58733R1023
Current stock price
1773.96 USD
-19.24 (-1.07%)
At close:
1773.95 USD
-0.01 (0%)
After Hours:
This MELI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MELI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year MELI was profitable.
- In the past year MELI had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years MELI has been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years MELI had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- MELI has a better Return On Assets (4.68%) than 67.74% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of MELI (29.59%) is better than 93.55% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 16.97%, MELI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.32% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MELI is significantly above the industry average of 8.75%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (21.88%) for MELI is well above the current ROIC(16.97%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 29.59% | ||
| ROIC | 16.97% |
ROA(3y)5.96%
ROA(5y)4.44%
ROE(3y)35.22%
ROE(5y)27.5%
ROIC(3y)21.88%
ROIC(5y)17.77%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of MELI (6.91%) is better than 74.19% of its industry peers.
- MELI's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Operating Margin value of 11.08%, MELI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.65% of the companies in the same industry.
- MELI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- MELI has a Gross Margin of 44.50%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MELI outperforms 58.06% of its industry peers.
- MELI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.08% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.91% | ||
| GM | 44.5% |
OM growth 3Y3.76%
OM growth 5Y28.09%
PM growth 3Y15.63%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.64%
GM growth 5Y0.68%
2. MELI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- MELI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, MELI has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
- The number of shares outstanding for MELI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, MELI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- MELI has an Altman-Z score of 2.76. This is not the best score and indicates that MELI is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of MELI (2.76) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- MELI has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.85. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.85 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of MELI (0.85) is better than 83.87% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.68 indicates that MELI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- MELI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.68. This is in the lower half of the industry: MELI underperforms 61.29% of its industry peers.
- Although MELI's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.68 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.76 |
ROIC/WACC1.86
WACC9.11%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.17 indicates that MELI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- MELI has a Current ratio of 1.17. This is in the lower half of the industry: MELI underperforms 74.19% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.15 indicates that MELI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.15, MELI is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.16% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.17 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.15 |
3. MELI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- MELI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 4.51%.
- Measured over the past years, MELI shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 60.44% on average per year.
- MELI shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 39.06%.
- MELI shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 48.70% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.51%
EPS 3Y60.44%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12.53%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)39.06%
Revenue growth 3Y38.91%
Revenue growth 5Y48.7%
Sales Q2Q%44.56%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, MELI will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 35.40% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 19.27% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y35.36%
EPS Next 2Y36.63%
EPS Next 3Y37.07%
EPS Next 5Y35.4%
Revenue Next Year34.11%
Revenue Next 2Y29.11%
Revenue Next 3Y25.17%
Revenue Next 5Y19.27%
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. MELI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 45.02, the valuation of MELI can be described as expensive.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as MELI.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.86. MELI is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 33.26, which means the current valuation is very expensive for MELI.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MELI indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: MELI is more expensive than 64.52% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- MELI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 37.39.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 45.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 33.26 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as MELI.
- 80.65% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MELI, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.35 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.44 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- MELI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- MELI has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as MELI's earnings are expected to grow with 37.07% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y36.63%
EPS Next 3Y37.07%
5. MELI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for MELI!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
MELI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
1773.96
-19.24 (-1.07%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)02-24 2026-02-24/amc
Earnings (Next)05-07 2026-05-07
Inst Owners82.77%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap89.94B
Revenue(TTM)28.89B
Net Income(TTM)2.00B
Analysts83.87
Price Target2598.08 (46.46%)
Short Float %2.27%
Short Ratio1.76
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.17%
Min EPS beat(2)-12.64%
Max EPS beat(2)-5.7%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-4.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-15.3%
Max EPS beat(4)14.99%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)5.59%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)3.94%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)6.86%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.61%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.44%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.59%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)3%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.83%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.26%
PT rev (1m)-8.98%
PT rev (3m)-9.17%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-8.71%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-19.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)-8.86%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.56%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.24%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.45%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.47%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 45.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 33.26 | ||
| P/S | 3.11 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.35 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.42 | ||
| P/B | 13.33 | ||
| P/tB | 13.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.44 |
EPS(TTM)39.4
EY2.22%
EPS(NY)53.33
Fwd EY3.01%
FCF(TTM)212.49
FCFY11.98%
OCF(TTM)238.97
OCFY13.47%
SpS569.88
BVpS133.1
TBVpS129.23
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number343.5
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 29.59% | ||
| ROCE | 22.81% | ||
| ROIC | 16.97% | ||
| ROICexc | 30.8% | ||
| ROICexgc | 31.6% | ||
| OM | 11.08% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.91% | ||
| GM | 44.5% | ||
| FCFM | 37.29% |
ROA(3y)5.96%
ROA(5y)4.44%
ROE(3y)35.22%
ROE(5y)27.5%
ROIC(3y)21.88%
ROIC(5y)17.77%
ROICexc(3y)229.5%
ROICexc(5y)162.58%
ROICexgc(3y)538.3%
ROICexgc(5y)354.16%
ROCE(3y)29.4%
ROCE(5y)23.88%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-33.3%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.99%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y3.76%
OM growth 5Y28.09%
PM growth 3Y15.63%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.64%
GM growth 5Y0.68%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.68
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.68 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.85 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.14 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 164.18% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.24 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 301.47% | ||
| Profit Quality | 539.46% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.17 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.15 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.76 |
F-Score5
WACC9.11%
ROIC/WACC1.86
Cap/Depr(3y)133.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)162.49%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.05%
Cap/Sales(5y)5%
Profit Quality(3y)459.33%
Profit Quality(5y)464.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.51%
EPS 3Y60.44%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12.53%
EPS Next Y35.36%
EPS Next 2Y36.63%
EPS Next 3Y37.07%
EPS Next 5Y35.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)39.06%
Revenue growth 3Y38.91%
Revenue growth 5Y48.7%
Sales Q2Q%44.56%
Revenue Next Year34.11%
Revenue Next 2Y29.11%
Revenue Next 3Y25.17%
Revenue Next 5Y19.27%
EBIT growth 1Y21.66%
EBIT growth 3Y44.14%
EBIT growth 5Y90.47%
EBIT Next Year54.93%
EBIT Next 3Y39.18%
EBIT Next 5Y30.45%
FCF growth 1Y52.64%
FCF growth 3Y63.06%
FCF growth 5Y63.03%
OCF growth 1Y53.02%
OCF growth 3Y60.33%
OCF growth 5Y59.26%
MERCADOLIBRE INC / MELI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MELI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to MELI.
What is the valuation status for MELI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) stock?
MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is MERCADOLIBRE INC?
The financial health rating of MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) is 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for MERCADOLIBRE INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) is expected to grow by 35.36% in the next year.