LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:LPX • US5463471053
Current stock price
76.97 USD
+4.46 (+6.15%)
At close:
76.9055 USD
-0.06 (-0.08%)
After Hours:
This LPX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. LPX Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- LPX had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year LPX had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years LPX has always been profitable.
- In the past 5 years LPX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- LPX has a better Return On Assets (5.56%) than 88.89% of its industry peers.
- LPX has a Return On Equity of 8.43%. This is in the better half of the industry: LPX outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
- LPX's Return On Invested Capital of 8.28% is amongst the best of the industry. LPX outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LPX is significantly above the industry average of 4.99%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (12.52%) for LPX is well above the current ROIC(8.28%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.56% | ||
| ROE | 8.43% | ||
| ROIC | 8.28% |
ROA(3y)9.76%
ROA(5y)27.65%
ROE(3y)15%
ROE(5y)46.46%
ROIC(3y)12.52%
ROIC(5y)30.7%
1.3 Margins
- With an excellent Profit Margin value of 5.39%, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LPX has declined.
- LPX has a better Operating Margin (9.60%) than 88.89% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LPX has declined.
- LPX's Gross Margin of 21.78% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LPX outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
- LPX's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.39% | ||
| GM | 21.78% |
OM growth 3Y-33.04%
OM growth 5Y-18.6%
PM growth 3Y-42.38%
PM growth 5Y-23.66%
GM growth 3Y-17.61%
GM growth 5Y-8.93%
2. LPX Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LPX is still creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for LPX remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for LPX has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- LPX has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- LPX has an Altman-Z score of 5.85. This indicates that LPX is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- LPX has a better Altman-Z score (5.85) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
- LPX has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.78. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LPX would need 3.78 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.78, LPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20 indicates that LPX is not too dependend on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.20, LPX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.78 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.85 |
ROIC/WACC0.96
WACC8.6%
2.3 Liquidity
- LPX has a Current Ratio of 2.78. This indicates that LPX is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- LPX's Current ratio of 2.78 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LPX outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.53 indicates that LPX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- LPX's Quick ratio of 1.53 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LPX outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.78 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.53 |
3. LPX Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for LPX have decreased strongly by -54.86% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, LPX shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -9.40% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, LPX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -7.86% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.45% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-54.86%
EPS 3Y-38.87%
EPS 5Y-9.4%
EPS Q2Q%-97.09%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.86%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.1%
Revenue growth 5Y2.45%
Sales Q2Q%-16.74%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 25.50% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.65% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y10.45%
EPS Next 2Y31.54%
EPS Next 3Y27%
EPS Next 5Y25.5%
Revenue Next Year-2.1%
Revenue Next 2Y4.55%
Revenue Next 3Y3.93%
Revenue Next 5Y6.65%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. LPX Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 29.05, which means the current valuation is very expensive for LPX.
- 77.78% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LPX, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- LPX is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.87, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.30 indicates a quite expensive valuation of LPX.
- 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LPX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.51, LPX is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.05 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.3 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- LPX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
- LPX's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 58.44 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.64 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- LPX has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as LPX's earnings are expected to grow with 27.00% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.78
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y31.54%
EPS Next 3Y27%
5. LPX Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.58%, LPX has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- LPX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.68.
- LPX's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.58% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of LPX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 13.33%!
- LPX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- The dividend of LPX decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.33%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- 53.42% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LPX. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- The dividend of LPX is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP53.42%
EPS Next 2Y31.54%
EPS Next 3Y27%
LPX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
76.97
+4.46 (+6.15%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-06 2026-05-06
Inst Owners93.89%
Inst Owner Change0.02%
Ins Owners0.55%
Ins Owner Change-5%
Market Cap5.38B
Revenue(TTM)2.71B
Net Income(TTM)146.00M
Analysts74.12
Price Target102.77 (33.52%)
Short Float %8.53%
Short Ratio5.1
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.58% |
Yearly Dividend1.11
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.33%
DP53.42%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date02-27 2026-02-27 (0.3)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)91.39%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(2)197.03%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)45.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(4)197.03%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)35.15%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)70.09%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)54.47%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.24%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.8%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.48%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.41%
PT rev (1m)-1.31%
PT rev (3m)-0.96%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-30.42%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-77.42%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.39%
EPS NY rev (3m)-24.47%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-14.96%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.82%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.05 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.3 | ||
| P/S | 1.98 | ||
| P/FCF | 58.44 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.04 | ||
| P/B | 3.11 | ||
| P/tB | 3.17 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.64 |
EPS(TTM)2.65
EY3.44%
EPS(NY)2.93
Fwd EY3.8%
FCF(TTM)1.32
FCFY1.71%
OCF(TTM)5.48
OCFY7.12%
SpS38.78
BVpS24.78
TBVpS24.28
PEG (NY)2.78
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.4397 (-50.06%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.56% | ||
| ROE | 8.43% | ||
| ROCE | 11.13% | ||
| ROIC | 8.28% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.46% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.63% | ||
| OM | 9.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.39% | ||
| GM | 21.78% | ||
| FCFM | 3.4% |
ROA(3y)9.76%
ROA(5y)27.65%
ROE(3y)15%
ROE(5y)46.46%
ROIC(3y)12.52%
ROIC(5y)30.7%
ROICexc(3y)14.4%
ROICexc(5y)37.27%
ROICexgc(3y)14.79%
ROICexgc(5y)39.62%
ROCE(3y)16.83%
ROCE(5y)41.27%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-45.18%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-25.19%
ROICexc growth 3Y-44.62%
ROICexc growth 5Y-24.23%
OM growth 3Y-33.04%
OM growth 5Y-18.6%
PM growth 3Y-42.38%
PM growth 5Y-23.66%
GM growth 3Y-17.61%
GM growth 5Y-8.93%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.03
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.78 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.86 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 200.69% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.74% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 18.57 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 94.57% | ||
| Profit Quality | 63.01% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.78 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.85 |
F-Score5
WACC8.6%
ROIC/WACC0.96
Cap/Depr(3y)221.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)239.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.56%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.77%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-54.86%
EPS 3Y-38.87%
EPS 5Y-9.4%
EPS Q2Q%-97.09%
EPS Next Y10.45%
EPS Next 2Y31.54%
EPS Next 3Y27%
EPS Next 5Y25.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.86%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.1%
Revenue growth 5Y2.45%
Sales Q2Q%-16.74%
Revenue Next Year-2.1%
Revenue Next 2Y4.55%
Revenue Next 3Y3.93%
Revenue Next 5Y6.65%
EBIT growth 1Y-52.29%
EBIT growth 3Y-40.47%
EBIT growth 5Y-16.6%
EBIT Next Year85.41%
EBIT Next 3Y43.33%
EBIT Next 5Y32.67%
FCF growth 1Y-78.2%
FCF growth 3Y-49.93%
FCF growth 5Y-30.85%
OCF growth 1Y-36.69%
OCF growth 3Y-30.58%
OCF growth 5Y-10.29%
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP / LPX Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for LPX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to LPX.
Can you provide the valuation status for LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of LPX stock?
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
The financial health rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for LPX stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is expected to grow by 10.45% in the next year.