LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:LPX - US5463471053 - Common Stock
84.21 USD
+2.02 (+2.46%)
84.21 USD
0 (0%)
LPX gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 9 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. LPX gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. LPX has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LPX was profitable.
LPX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years LPX has always been profitable.
LPX had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
LPX has a Return On Assets of 8.15%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LPX outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
LPX has a better Return On Equity (12.42%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
LPX has a Return On Invested Capital of 10.37%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LPX outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LPX is significantly above the industry average of 5.94%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (10.37%) for LPX is well below the 3 year average (24.24%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that LPX had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.15% | ||
| ROE | 12.42% | ||
| ROIC | 10.37% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
1.3 Margins
LPX has a Profit Margin of 7.65%. This is in the better half of the industry: LPX outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
LPX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 11.98%, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of LPX (23.60%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
LPX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.65% | ||
| GM | 23.6% |
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LPX is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for LPX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for LPX has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for LPX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.48 indicates that LPX is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
LPX has a better Altman-Z score (6.48) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LPX is 2.43, which is a good value as it means it would take LPX, 2.43 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
LPX's Debt to FCF ratio of 2.43 is amongst the best of the industry. LPX outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20 indicates that LPX is not too dependend on debt financing.
LPX's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.20 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LPX outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.48 |
ROIC/WACC1.23
WACC8.45%
2.3 Liquidity
LPX has a Current Ratio of 2.93. This indicates that LPX is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 2.93, LPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.72 indicates that LPX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.72, LPX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.72 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
LPX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -34.23%.
LPX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 73.82% yearly.
LPX shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -3.29%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.95% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
3.2 Future
LPX is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.22% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.11% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-53.12%
EPS Next 2Y-18.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue Next Year-6.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.34%
Revenue Next 3Y2.74%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 23.07 indicates a rather expensive valuation of LPX.
77.78% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LPX, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.46, LPX is valued at the same level.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 21.65, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of LPX.
77.78% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LPX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LPX to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.10), we can say LPX is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.65 |
4.2 Price Multiples
LPX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of LPX is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 41.01 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.36 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of LPX may justify a higher PE ratio.
LPX's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.31% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.31
EPS Next 2Y-18.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LPX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.36%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.49, LPX has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, LPX's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.36% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of LPX grows each year by 14.78%, which is quite nice.
LPX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
LPX has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
35.19% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LPX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of LPX is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP35.19%
EPS Next 2Y-18.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
84.21
+2.02 (+2.46%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners91.94%
Inst Owner Change0.33%
Ins Owners0.67%
Ins Owner Change0.01%
Market Cap5.86B
Revenue(TTM)2.82B
Net Income(TTM)216.00M
Analysts72
Price Target103.94 (23.43%)
Short Float %6.58%
Short Ratio4.67
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.36% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
DP35.19%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.47%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(4)18.86%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)14.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)54.74%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)42.76%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.24%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.13%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.04%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.64%
PT rev (1m)-6.68%
PT rev (3m)-3.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-44.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-71.14%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.99%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.43%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.57%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.39%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.77%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.65 | ||
| P/S | 2.08 | ||
| P/FCF | 41.01 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.93 | ||
| P/B | 3.37 | ||
| P/tB | 3.47 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.36 |
EPS(TTM)3.65
EY4.33%
EPS(NY)3.89
Fwd EY4.62%
FCF(TTM)2.05
FCFY2.44%
OCF(TTM)6.05
OCFY7.18%
SpS40.52
BVpS24.97
TBVpS24.27
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.31
Graham Number45.29
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.15% | ||
| ROE | 12.42% | ||
| ROCE | 14.35% | ||
| ROIC | 10.37% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.98% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.28% | ||
| OM | 11.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.65% | ||
| GM | 23.6% | ||
| FCFM | 5.07% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
ROICexc(3y)28.99%
ROICexc(5y)41.73%
ROICexgc(3y)30.19%
ROICexgc(5y)44.61%
ROCE(3y)33.53%
ROCE(5y)46.2%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y40.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.01%
ROICexc growth 5Y42.51%
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.43 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 200% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 9.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 24.14 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 88.26% | ||
| Profit Quality | 66.2% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.72 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.48 |
F-Score6
WACC8.45%
ROIC/WACC1.23
Cap/Depr(3y)261.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)213.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
EPS Next Y-53.12%
EPS Next 2Y-18.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
Revenue Next Year-6.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.34%
Revenue Next 3Y2.74%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-38.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-32.35%
EBIT growth 5Y51.74%
EBIT Next Year-20.69%
EBIT Next 3Y6.6%
EBIT Next 5Y11.54%
FCF growth 1Y184.62%
FCF growth 3Y-30.01%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y113.71%
OCF growth 3Y-25.87%
OCF growth 5Y30.64%
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP / LPX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for LPX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to LPX.
What is the valuation status of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
The financial health rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 9 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
The dividend rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 35.19%.