LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:LPX - US5463471053 - Common Stock
90.14 USD
-0.12 (-0.13%)
90.14 USD
0 (0%)
Overall LPX gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated LPX against 10 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. LPX has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. LPX has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
LPX had positive earnings in the past year.
LPX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years LPX has always been profitable.
LPX had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 11.18%, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of LPX (17.05%) is better than 70.00% of its industry peers.
LPX's Return On Invested Capital of 13.03% is amongst the best of the industry. LPX outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LPX is significantly above the industry average of 5.72%.
The 3 year average ROIC (24.24%) for LPX is well above the current ROIC(13.03%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.18% | ||
| ROE | 17.05% | ||
| ROIC | 13.03% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 10.31%, LPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LPX has declined.
LPX has a better Operating Margin (14.65%) than 90.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LPX has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 25.30%, LPX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.31% | ||
| GM | 25.3% |
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LPX is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LPX has less shares outstanding
LPX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for LPX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.87 indicates that LPX is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
LPX has a better Altman-Z score (6.87) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
LPX has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.25. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.25 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.25, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
LPX has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.20) than 80.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.25 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.87 |
ROIC/WACC1.56
WACC8.33%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.84 indicates that LPX has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.84, LPX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.67 indicates that LPX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.67, LPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.84 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.67 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for LPX have decreased strongly by -24.20% in the last year.
LPX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 73.82% yearly.
Looking at the last year, LPX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -1.47% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, LPX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.95% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-24.2%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-52.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.47%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-7.25%
3.2 Future
LPX is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.22% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.11% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-47.49%
EPS Next 2Y-10.5%
EPS Next 3Y-1.29%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue Next Year-4.51%
Revenue Next 2Y1.36%
Revenue Next 3Y3.32%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.99, LPX is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LPX is valued a bit cheaper than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.40. LPX is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.17, LPX is valued on the expensive side.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LPX indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LPX is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.94. LPX is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.99 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.17 |
4.2 Price Multiples
LPX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. LPX is more expensive than 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 22.58 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.33 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
LPX has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.27
EPS Next 2Y-10.5%
EPS Next 3Y-1.29%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LPX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.24%.
LPX's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 4.75.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.38, LPX's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.24% |
5.2 History
The dividend of LPX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 14.78%!
LPX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
LPX has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
25.59% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LPX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of LPX is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP25.59%
EPS Next 2Y-10.5%
EPS Next 3Y-1.29%
90.14
-0.12 (-0.13%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners87.65%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.45%
Ins Owner Change0.45%
Market Cap6.28B
Analysts67.14
Price Target108.12 (19.95%)
Short Float %5.02%
Short Ratio3.77
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.24% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
DP25.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.47%
Max EPS beat(2)6.47%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)14.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.47%
Max EPS beat(4)37.28%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)16.42%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)57.15%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)44.41%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.03%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.72%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.18%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.23%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.15%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-1.55%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-61.06%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.15%
EPS NY rev (3m)-30.73%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-9.86%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.05%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.99 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.17 | ||
| P/S | 2.18 | ||
| P/FCF | 22.58 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.17 | ||
| P/B | 3.6 | ||
| P/tB | 3.71 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.33 |
EPS(TTM)4.51
EY5%
EPS(NY)4.7
Fwd EY5.22%
FCF(TTM)3.99
FCFY4.43%
OCF(TTM)7.41
OCFY8.22%
SpS41.37
BVpS25.01
TBVpS24.3
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.27
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.18% | ||
| ROE | 17.05% | ||
| ROCE | 18.03% | ||
| ROIC | 13.03% | ||
| ROICexc | 15.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 15.58% | ||
| OM | 14.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.31% | ||
| GM | 25.3% | ||
| FCFM | 9.65% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
ROICexc(3y)28.99%
ROICexc(5y)41.73%
ROICexgc(3y)30.19%
ROICexgc(5y)44.61%
ROCE(3y)33.53%
ROCE(5y)46.2%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-39.19%
ROICexcg growth 5Y40.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.01%
ROICexc growth 5Y42.51%
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.08
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.25 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.63 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 177.61% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 30.14 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 92.81% | ||
| Profit Quality | 93.6% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.84 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.87 |
F-Score5
WACC8.33%
ROIC/WACC1.56
Cap/Depr(3y)261.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)213.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-24.2%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-52.63%
EPS Next Y-47.49%
EPS Next 2Y-10.5%
EPS Next 3Y-1.29%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.47%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-7.25%
Revenue Next Year-4.51%
Revenue Next 2Y1.36%
Revenue Next 3Y3.32%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-28.84%
EBIT growth 3Y-32.35%
EBIT growth 5Y51.74%
EBIT Next Year-16.98%
EBIT Next 3Y8.84%
EBIT Next 5Y11.54%
FCF growth 1Y240.4%
FCF growth 3Y-30.01%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y150.49%
OCF growth 3Y-25.87%
OCF growth 5Y30.64%