LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:LPX - US5463471053 - Common Stock
84.21 USD
+2.02 (+2.46%)
84.21 USD
0 (0%)
Overall LPX gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated LPX against 9 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making LPX a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. LPX does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
LPX had positive earnings in the past year.
LPX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years LPX has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years LPX had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 8.15%, LPX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 12.42%, LPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX's Return On Invested Capital of 10.37% is amongst the best of the industry. LPX outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LPX is significantly above the industry average of 5.94%.
The 3 year average ROIC (24.24%) for LPX is well above the current ROIC(10.37%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.15% | ||
| ROE | 12.42% | ||
| ROIC | 10.37% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
1.3 Margins
LPX has a better Profit Margin (7.65%) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LPX has declined.
LPX has a Operating Margin of 11.98%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LPX outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
LPX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
LPX's Gross Margin of 23.60% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LPX outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
LPX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.65% | ||
| GM | 23.6% |
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LPX is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LPX has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, LPX has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, LPX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
LPX has an Altman-Z score of 6.48. This indicates that LPX is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
LPX has a better Altman-Z score (6.48) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
LPX has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.43. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LPX would need 2.43 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.43, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20 indicates that LPX is not too dependend on debt financing.
LPX's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.20 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LPX outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.48 |
ROIC/WACC1.23
WACC8.45%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.93 indicates that LPX has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of LPX (2.93) is better than 77.78% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.72 indicates that LPX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.72, LPX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.72 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for LPX have decreased strongly by -34.23% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 73.82% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
LPX shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -3.29%.
Measured over the past years, LPX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.95% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, LPX will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.22% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, LPX will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.11% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-53.12%
EPS Next 2Y-18.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue Next Year-6.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.34%
Revenue Next 3Y2.74%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 23.07, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of LPX.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LPX is valued a bit cheaper than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of LPX to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.49), we can say LPX is valued inline with the index average.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.65 indicates a rather expensive valuation of LPX.
LPX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LPX is cheaper than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.69, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.65 |
4.2 Price Multiples
LPX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
LPX's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 41.01 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.36 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of LPX may justify a higher PE ratio.
LPX's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.31% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.31
EPS Next 2Y-18.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LPX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.36%.
LPX's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 5.49.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.36, LPX pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.31.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.36% |
5.2 History
The dividend of LPX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 14.78%!
LPX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
LPX has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
LPX pays out 35.19% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of LPX is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP35.19%
EPS Next 2Y-18.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
84.21
+2.02 (+2.46%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners91.94%
Inst Owner Change0.34%
Ins Owners0.67%
Ins Owner Change0.01%
Market Cap5.86B
Revenue(TTM)2.82B
Net Income(TTM)216.00M
Analysts72
Price Target103.94 (23.43%)
Short Float %6.58%
Short Ratio4.67
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.36% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
DP35.19%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.47%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(4)18.86%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)14.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)54.74%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)42.76%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.24%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.13%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.04%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.64%
PT rev (1m)-6.68%
PT rev (3m)-3.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-44.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-71.14%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.99%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.43%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.57%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.39%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.77%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.65 | ||
| P/S | 2.08 | ||
| P/FCF | 41.01 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.93 | ||
| P/B | 3.37 | ||
| P/tB | 3.47 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.36 |
EPS(TTM)3.65
EY4.33%
EPS(NY)3.89
Fwd EY4.62%
FCF(TTM)2.05
FCFY2.44%
OCF(TTM)6.05
OCFY7.18%
SpS40.52
BVpS24.97
TBVpS24.27
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.31
Graham Number45.29
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.15% | ||
| ROE | 12.42% | ||
| ROCE | 14.35% | ||
| ROIC | 10.37% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.98% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.28% | ||
| OM | 11.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.65% | ||
| GM | 23.6% | ||
| FCFM | 5.07% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
ROICexc(3y)28.99%
ROICexc(5y)41.73%
ROICexgc(3y)30.19%
ROICexgc(5y)44.61%
ROCE(3y)33.53%
ROCE(5y)46.2%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y40.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.01%
ROICexc growth 5Y42.51%
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.43 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 200% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 9.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 24.14 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 88.26% | ||
| Profit Quality | 66.2% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.72 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.48 |
F-Score6
WACC8.45%
ROIC/WACC1.23
Cap/Depr(3y)261.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)213.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
EPS Next Y-53.12%
EPS Next 2Y-18.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
Revenue Next Year-6.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.34%
Revenue Next 3Y2.74%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-38.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-32.35%
EBIT growth 5Y51.74%
EBIT Next Year-20.69%
EBIT Next 3Y6.6%
EBIT Next 5Y11.54%
FCF growth 1Y184.62%
FCF growth 3Y-30.01%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y113.71%
OCF growth 3Y-25.87%
OCF growth 5Y30.64%
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP / LPX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for LPX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to LPX.
What is the valuation status of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
The financial health rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 9 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
The dividend rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 35.19%.