LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:LPX - US5463471053 - Common Stock
91.99 USD
+0.65 (+0.71%)
91.99 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to LPX. LPX was compared to 9 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. LPX gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. LPX does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- LPX had positive earnings in the past year.
- LPX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years LPX has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years LPX had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- LPX has a Return On Assets of 8.15%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LPX outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
- With a decent Return On Equity value of 12.42%, LPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- LPX's Return On Invested Capital of 10.37% is amongst the best of the industry. LPX outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
- LPX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 24.24%. This is significantly above the industry average of 5.94%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (24.24%) for LPX is well above the current ROIC(10.37%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.15% | ||
| ROE | 12.42% | ||
| ROIC | 10.37% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 7.65%, LPX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LPX has declined.
- LPX has a Operating Margin of 11.98%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LPX outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
- LPX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 23.60%, LPX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LPX has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.65% | ||
| GM | 23.6% |
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- LPX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, LPX has less shares outstanding
- LPX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, LPX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 6.81 indicates that LPX is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- LPX has a better Altman-Z score (6.81) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
- LPX has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.43. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LPX would need 2.43 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- LPX has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.43) than 88.89% of its industry peers.
- LPX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.20, LPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.81 |
ROIC/WACC1.22
WACC8.52%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.93 indicates that LPX has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of LPX (2.93) is better than 77.78% of its industry peers.
- LPX has a Quick Ratio of 1.72. This is a normal value and indicates that LPX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- LPX's Quick ratio of 1.72 is amongst the best of the industry. LPX outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.72 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- LPX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -34.23%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 73.82% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- Looking at the last year, LPX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.29% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, LPX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.95% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.22% on average over the next years.
- LPX is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.11% yearly.
EPS Next Y-53.98%
EPS Next 2Y-18.75%
EPS Next 3Y-3.26%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue Next Year-6.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.34%
Revenue Next 3Y2.74%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 25.20, the valuation of LPX can be described as expensive.
- LPX's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LPX is cheaper than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.30. LPX is around the same levels.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 23.74, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of LPX.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LPX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- LPX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 24.04.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.2 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.74 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as LPX.
- LPX's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 44.8 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.4 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- LPX has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- LPX's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.26% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.34
EPS Next 2Y-18.75%
EPS Next 3Y-3.26%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- LPX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.33%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- LPX's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 2.64.
- Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.92, LPX is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.33% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of LPX grows each year by 14.78%, which is quite nice.
- LPX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- LPX has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- LPX pays out 35.19% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- LPX's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP35.19%
EPS Next 2Y-18.75%
EPS Next 3Y-3.26%
91.99
+0.65 (+0.71%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)11-05 2025-11-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Inst Owners91.85%
Inst Owner Change-0.1%
Ins Owners0.67%
Ins Owner Change-1.9%
Market Cap6.41B
Revenue(TTM)2.82B
Net Income(TTM)216.00M
Analysts72.5
Price Target103.76 (12.79%)
Short Float %7.54%
Short Ratio5.1
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.33% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
DP35.19%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.47%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(4)18.86%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)14.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)54.74%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)42.76%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.24%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.13%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.01%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.66%
PT rev (1m)-0.17%
PT rev (3m)-4.03%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-38.85%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-78.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.82%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.35%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.92%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.77%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.2 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.74 | ||
| P/S | 2.27 | ||
| P/FCF | 44.8 | ||
| P/OCF | 15.22 | ||
| P/B | 3.68 | ||
| P/tB | 3.79 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.4 |
EPS(TTM)3.65
EY3.97%
EPS(NY)3.88
Fwd EY4.21%
FCF(TTM)2.05
FCFY2.23%
OCF(TTM)6.05
OCFY6.57%
SpS40.52
BVpS24.97
TBVpS24.27
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.34
Graham Number45.29
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.15% | ||
| ROE | 12.42% | ||
| ROCE | 14.35% | ||
| ROIC | 10.37% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.98% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.28% | ||
| OM | 11.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.65% | ||
| GM | 23.6% | ||
| FCFM | 5.07% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
ROICexc(3y)28.99%
ROICexc(5y)41.73%
ROICexgc(3y)30.19%
ROICexgc(5y)44.61%
ROCE(3y)33.53%
ROCE(5y)46.2%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y40.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.01%
ROICexc growth 5Y42.51%
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.43 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 200% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 9.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 24.14 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 88.26% | ||
| Profit Quality | 66.2% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.72 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.81 |
F-Score6
WACC8.52%
ROIC/WACC1.22
Cap/Depr(3y)261.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)213.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
EPS Next Y-53.98%
EPS Next 2Y-18.75%
EPS Next 3Y-3.26%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
Revenue Next Year-6.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.34%
Revenue Next 3Y2.74%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-38.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-32.35%
EBIT growth 5Y51.74%
EBIT Next Year-20.88%
EBIT Next 3Y7%
EBIT Next 5Y11.54%
FCF growth 1Y184.62%
FCF growth 3Y-30.01%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y113.71%
OCF growth 3Y-25.87%
OCF growth 5Y30.64%
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP / LPX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for LPX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to LPX.
What is the valuation status for LPX stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for LPX stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 25.2 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.68.
Is the dividend of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 35.19%.