LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:LPX - US5463471053 - Common Stock
82.01 USD
+0.51 (+0.63%)
82.01 USD
0 (0%)
Overall LPX gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated LPX against 9 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. LPX scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. LPX has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LPX was profitable.
LPX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years LPX has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years LPX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
LPX has a Return On Assets of 8.15%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LPX outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
LPX's Return On Equity of 12.42% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LPX outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 10.37%, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 24.24%. This is significantly above the industry average of 5.80%.
The 3 year average ROIC (24.24%) for LPX is well above the current ROIC(10.37%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.15% | ||
| ROE | 12.42% | ||
| ROIC | 10.37% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
1.3 Margins
LPX has a Profit Margin of 7.65%. This is in the better half of the industry: LPX outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LPX has declined.
LPX's Operating Margin of 11.98% is amongst the best of the industry. LPX outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LPX has grown nicely.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 23.60%, LPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.65% | ||
| GM | 23.6% |
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
LPX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for LPX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, LPX has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for LPX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
LPX has an Altman-Z score of 6.36. This indicates that LPX is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of LPX (6.36) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LPX is 2.43, which is a good value as it means it would take LPX, 2.43 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.43, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20 indicates that LPX is not too dependend on debt financing.
LPX has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.20. This is in the better half of the industry: LPX outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.36 |
ROIC/WACC1.25
WACC8.33%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.93 indicates that LPX has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of LPX (2.93) is better than 77.78% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.72 indicates that LPX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 1.72, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.72 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
LPX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -34.23%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 73.82% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, LPX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.29% in the last year.
LPX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.95% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, LPX will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.22% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, LPX will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.11% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-50.14%
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue Next Year-4.88%
Revenue Next 2Y1.48%
Revenue Next 3Y3.59%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 22.47, the valuation of LPX can be described as rather expensive.
LPX's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LPX is cheaper than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.31.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.01 indicates a rather expensive valuation of LPX.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LPX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.59, LPX is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.01 |
4.2 Price Multiples
LPX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
LPX's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 39.94 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.97 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of LPX may justify a higher PE ratio.
LPX's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.93% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.3
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LPX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.37%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.30, LPX has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.34, LPX's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.37% |
5.2 History
The dividend of LPX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 14.78%!
LPX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
LPX has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
LPX pays out 35.19% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of LPX is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP35.19%
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
82.01
+0.51 (+0.63%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners87.65%
Inst Owner Change0.33%
Ins Owners1.45%
Ins Owner Change0.01%
Market Cap5.71B
Revenue(TTM)2.82B
Net Income(TTM)216.00M
Analysts72
Price Target103.94 (26.74%)
Short Float %5.85%
Short Ratio4.32
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.37% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
DP35.19%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.47%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(4)18.86%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)14.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)54.74%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)42.76%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.24%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.13%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.04%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.64%
PT rev (1m)-3.87%
PT rev (3m)-3.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-36.47%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-53.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.81%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.98%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5.66%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.39%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.01 | ||
| P/S | 2.02 | ||
| P/FCF | 39.94 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.57 | ||
| P/B | 3.28 | ||
| P/tB | 3.38 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.97 |
EPS(TTM)3.65
EY4.45%
EPS(NY)4.55
Fwd EY5.55%
FCF(TTM)2.05
FCFY2.5%
OCF(TTM)6.05
OCFY7.37%
SpS40.52
BVpS24.97
TBVpS24.27
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.3
Graham Number45.29
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.15% | ||
| ROE | 12.42% | ||
| ROCE | 14.35% | ||
| ROIC | 10.37% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.98% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.28% | ||
| OM | 11.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.65% | ||
| GM | 23.6% | ||
| FCFM | 5.07% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
ROICexc(3y)28.99%
ROICexc(5y)41.73%
ROICexgc(3y)30.19%
ROICexgc(5y)44.61%
ROCE(3y)33.53%
ROCE(5y)46.2%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y40.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.01%
ROICexc growth 5Y42.51%
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.43 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 200% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 9.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 24.14 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 88.26% | ||
| Profit Quality | 66.2% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.72 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.36 |
F-Score6
WACC8.33%
ROIC/WACC1.25
Cap/Depr(3y)261.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)213.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
EPS Next Y-50.14%
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
Revenue Next Year-4.88%
Revenue Next 2Y1.48%
Revenue Next 3Y3.59%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-38.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-32.35%
EBIT growth 5Y51.74%
EBIT Next Year-16.98%
EBIT Next 3Y8.84%
EBIT Next 5Y11.54%
FCF growth 1Y184.62%
FCF growth 3Y-30.01%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y113.71%
OCF growth 3Y-25.87%
OCF growth 5Y30.64%
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP / LPX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for LPX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to LPX.
What is the valuation status of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
The financial health rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 9 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
The dividend rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 35.19%.