LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:LPX - US5463471053 - Common Stock
75.41 USD
-0.46 (-0.61%)
75.41 USD
0 (0%)
Overall LPX gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated LPX against 9 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making LPX a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. LPX has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
LPX had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year LPX had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years LPX has been profitable.
LPX had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
LPX has a Return On Assets of 11.18%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LPX outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of LPX (17.05%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of LPX (13.03%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
LPX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 24.24%. This is significantly above the industry average of 5.66%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (13.03%) for LPX is well below the 3 year average (24.24%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that LPX had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.18% | ||
| ROE | 17.05% | ||
| ROIC | 13.03% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
1.3 Margins
LPX has a Profit Margin of 10.31%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LPX outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
LPX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
LPX has a Operating Margin of 14.65%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LPX outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LPX has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of LPX (25.30%) is better than 77.78% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LPX has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.31% | ||
| GM | 25.3% |
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
LPX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
LPX has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, LPX has less shares outstanding
LPX has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.19 indicates that LPX is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
LPX has a Altman-Z score of 6.19. This is amongst the best in the industry. LPX outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
LPX has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.25. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.25 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1.25, LPX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20 indicates that LPX is not too dependend on debt financing.
LPX has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.20) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.25 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.19 |
ROIC/WACC1.55
WACC8.42%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.84 indicates that LPX has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
LPX has a Current ratio of 2.84. This is in the better half of the industry: LPX outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.67 indicates that LPX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.67, LPX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.84 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.67 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
LPX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -34.23%.
LPX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 73.82% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 13.95% in the past year. This is quite good.
Measured over the past years, LPX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.95% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.95%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, LPX will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.22% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.11% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-50.14%
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue Next Year-4.88%
Revenue Next 2Y1.48%
Revenue Next 3Y3.59%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 20.66, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of LPX.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LPX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of LPX to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.89), we can say LPX is valued slightly cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.56, LPX is valued correctly.
77.78% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LPX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.59, LPX is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.66 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.56 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of LPX indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: LPX is more expensive than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as LPX.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.89 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.47 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
LPX has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
LPX's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.93% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.28
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LPX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.48%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
In the last 3 months the price of LPX has falen by -24.22%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.83, LPX has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
LPX's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.44.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.48% |
5.2 History
The dividend of LPX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 14.80%!
LPX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
LPX has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.8%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
25.59% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LPX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of LPX is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP25.59%
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
75.41
-0.46 (-0.61%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners87.65%
Inst Owner Change0.83%
Ins Owners1.45%
Ins Owner Change0.01%
Market Cap5.25B
Revenue(TTM)2.94B
Net Income(TTM)297.00M
Analysts72
Price Target111.38 (47.7%)
Short Float %5.87%
Short Ratio4.61
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.48% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.8%
DP25.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.47%
Max EPS beat(2)6.47%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)14.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.47%
Max EPS beat(4)37.28%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)16.42%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)57.15%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)44.41%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.03%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.72%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.18%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.23%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.15%
PT rev (1m)3.02%
PT rev (3m)2.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.13%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-37.36%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.04%
EPS NY rev (3m)-34.22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.22%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.39%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.14%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.66 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.56 | ||
| P/S | 1.82 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.89 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.18 | ||
| P/B | 3.01 | ||
| P/tB | 3.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.47 |
EPS(TTM)3.65
EY4.84%
EPS(NY)4.55
Fwd EY6.04%
FCF(TTM)3.99
FCFY5.29%
OCF(TTM)7.41
OCFY9.83%
SpS41.37
BVpS25.01
TBVpS24.3
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.28
Graham Number45.32
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.18% | ||
| ROE | 17.05% | ||
| ROCE | 18.03% | ||
| ROIC | 13.03% | ||
| ROICexc | 15.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 15.58% | ||
| OM | 14.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.31% | ||
| GM | 25.3% | ||
| FCFM | 9.65% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
ROICexc(3y)28.99%
ROICexc(5y)41.73%
ROICexgc(3y)30.19%
ROICexgc(5y)44.61%
ROCE(3y)33.53%
ROCE(5y)46.2%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y40.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.01%
ROICexc growth 5Y42.51%
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.08
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.25 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.63 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 177.61% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 30.14 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 92.81% | ||
| Profit Quality | 93.6% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.84 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.19 |
F-Score5
WACC8.42%
ROIC/WACC1.55
Cap/Depr(3y)261.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)213.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
EPS Next Y-50.14%
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.95%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
Revenue Next Year-4.88%
Revenue Next 2Y1.48%
Revenue Next 3Y3.59%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-28.84%
EBIT growth 3Y-32.35%
EBIT growth 5Y51.74%
EBIT Next Year-16.98%
EBIT Next 3Y8.84%
EBIT Next 5Y11.54%
FCF growth 1Y240.4%
FCF growth 3Y-30.01%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y150.49%
OCF growth 3Y-25.87%
OCF growth 5Y30.64%
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP / LPX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for LPX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to LPX.
What is the valuation status of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
How financially healthy is LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
The financial health rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 9 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
The dividend rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 25.59%.