LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:LPX • US5463471053
Current stock price
76.52 USD
+1.21 (+1.61%)
At close:
76.52 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This LPX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. LPX Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year LPX was profitable.
- In the past year LPX had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years LPX has always been profitable.
- In the past 5 years LPX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of LPX (5.56%) is better than 88.89% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of LPX (8.43%) is better than 77.78% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.28%, LPX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LPX is significantly above the industry average of 4.99%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (12.52%) for LPX is well above the current ROIC(8.28%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.56% | ||
| ROE | 8.43% | ||
| ROIC | 8.28% |
ROA(3y)9.76%
ROA(5y)27.65%
ROE(3y)15%
ROE(5y)46.46%
ROIC(3y)12.52%
ROIC(5y)30.7%
1.3 Margins
- LPX has a better Profit Margin (5.39%) than 88.89% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LPX has declined.
- The Operating Margin of LPX (9.60%) is better than 88.89% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LPX has declined.
- With a Gross Margin value of 21.78%, LPX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.56% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LPX has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.39% | ||
| GM | 21.78% |
OM growth 3Y-33.04%
OM growth 5Y-18.6%
PM growth 3Y-42.38%
PM growth 5Y-23.66%
GM growth 3Y-17.61%
GM growth 5Y-8.93%
2. LPX Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LPX is still creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for LPX remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, LPX has less shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for LPX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- LPX has an Altman-Z score of 5.98. This indicates that LPX is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 5.98, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of LPX is 3.78, which is a good value as it means it would take LPX, 3.78 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of LPX (3.78) is better than 77.78% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20 indicates that LPX is not too dependend on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.20, LPX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.78 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.98 |
ROIC/WACC0.96
WACC8.59%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.78 indicates that LPX has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- LPX has a Current ratio of 2.78. This is in the better half of the industry: LPX outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
- LPX has a Quick Ratio of 1.53. This is a normal value and indicates that LPX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.53, LPX is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.56% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.78 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.53 |
3. LPX Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- LPX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -54.86%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -9.40% on average over the past years.
- LPX shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -7.86%.
- Measured over the past years, LPX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.45% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-54.86%
EPS 3Y-38.87%
EPS 5Y-9.4%
EPS Q2Q%-97.09%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.86%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.1%
Revenue growth 5Y2.45%
Sales Q2Q%-16.74%
3.2 Future
- LPX is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 25.50% yearly.
- LPX is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.65% yearly.
EPS Next Y10.45%
EPS Next 2Y31.54%
EPS Next 3Y27%
EPS Next 5Y25.5%
Revenue Next Year-2.17%
Revenue Next 2Y4.31%
Revenue Next 3Y3.07%
Revenue Next 5Y6.65%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. LPX Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 28.88 indicates a quite expensive valuation of LPX.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LPX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- LPX's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.35.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 26.14, which means the current valuation is very expensive for LPX.
- 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LPX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- LPX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 22.23.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.14 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as LPX.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as LPX.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 58.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.13 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates LPX does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- LPX has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- LPX's earnings are expected to grow with 27.00% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.76
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y31.54%
EPS Next 3Y27%
5. LPX Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.61%, LPX has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.69, LPX pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- LPX's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.61% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of LPX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 13.33%!
- LPX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- The dividend of LPX decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.33%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- 53.42% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LPX. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- LPX's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP53.42%
EPS Next 2Y31.54%
EPS Next 3Y27%
LPX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
76.52
+1.21 (+1.61%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-06 2026-05-06
Inst Owners93.89%
Inst Owner Change1.14%
Ins Owners0.55%
Ins Owner Change-5%
Market Cap5.34B
Revenue(TTM)2.71B
Net Income(TTM)146.00M
Analysts74.12
Price Target101.58 (32.75%)
Short Float %8.53%
Short Ratio5.1
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.61% |
Yearly Dividend1.11
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.33%
DP53.42%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date02-27 2026-02-27 (0.3)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)91.39%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(2)197.03%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)45.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(4)197.03%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)35.15%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)70.09%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)54.47%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.24%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.8%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.48%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.41%
PT rev (1m)-2.45%
PT rev (3m)-2.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-24.94%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-74.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.39%
EPS NY rev (3m)-21.42%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.26%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-14.33%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.28%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.14 | ||
| P/S | 1.97 | ||
| P/FCF | 58.1 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.96 | ||
| P/B | 3.09 | ||
| P/tB | 3.15 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.13 |
EPS(TTM)2.65
EY3.46%
EPS(NY)2.93
Fwd EY3.82%
FCF(TTM)1.32
FCFY1.72%
OCF(TTM)5.48
OCFY7.17%
SpS38.78
BVpS24.78
TBVpS24.28
PEG (NY)2.76
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.4397 (-49.77%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.56% | ||
| ROE | 8.43% | ||
| ROCE | 11.13% | ||
| ROIC | 8.28% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.46% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.63% | ||
| OM | 9.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.39% | ||
| GM | 21.78% | ||
| FCFM | 3.4% |
ROA(3y)9.76%
ROA(5y)27.65%
ROE(3y)15%
ROE(5y)46.46%
ROIC(3y)12.52%
ROIC(5y)30.7%
ROICexc(3y)14.4%
ROICexc(5y)37.27%
ROICexgc(3y)14.79%
ROICexgc(5y)39.62%
ROCE(3y)16.83%
ROCE(5y)41.27%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-45.18%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-25.19%
ROICexc growth 3Y-44.62%
ROICexc growth 5Y-24.23%
OM growth 3Y-33.04%
OM growth 5Y-18.6%
PM growth 3Y-42.38%
PM growth 5Y-23.66%
GM growth 3Y-17.61%
GM growth 5Y-8.93%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.03
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.78 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.86 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 200.69% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.74% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 18.57 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 94.57% | ||
| Profit Quality | 63.01% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.78 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.98 |
F-Score5
WACC8.59%
ROIC/WACC0.96
Cap/Depr(3y)221.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)239.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.56%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.77%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-54.86%
EPS 3Y-38.87%
EPS 5Y-9.4%
EPS Q2Q%-97.09%
EPS Next Y10.45%
EPS Next 2Y31.54%
EPS Next 3Y27%
EPS Next 5Y25.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.86%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.1%
Revenue growth 5Y2.45%
Sales Q2Q%-16.74%
Revenue Next Year-2.17%
Revenue Next 2Y4.31%
Revenue Next 3Y3.07%
Revenue Next 5Y6.65%
EBIT growth 1Y-52.29%
EBIT growth 3Y-40.47%
EBIT growth 5Y-16.6%
EBIT Next Year85.41%
EBIT Next 3Y43.33%
EBIT Next 5Y32.67%
FCF growth 1Y-78.2%
FCF growth 3Y-49.93%
FCF growth 5Y-30.85%
OCF growth 1Y-36.69%
OCF growth 3Y-30.58%
OCF growth 5Y-10.29%
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP / LPX Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for LPX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to LPX.
Can you provide the valuation status for LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of LPX stock?
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
The financial health rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for LPX stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is expected to grow by 10.45% in the next year.