LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:LPX - US5463471053 - Common Stock
82.01 USD
+0.51 (+0.63%)
82.01 USD
0 (0%)
LPX gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 9 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. LPX gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. LPX has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
LPX had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year LPX had a positive cash flow from operations.
LPX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
LPX had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 8.15%, LPX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 12.42%, LPX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX has a Return On Invested Capital of 10.37%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LPX outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LPX is significantly above the industry average of 5.80%.
The 3 year average ROIC (24.24%) for LPX is well above the current ROIC(10.37%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.15% | ||
| ROE | 12.42% | ||
| ROIC | 10.37% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of LPX (7.65%) is better than 77.78% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LPX has declined.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 11.98%, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LPX has grown nicely.
LPX's Gross Margin of 23.60% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LPX outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LPX has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.65% | ||
| GM | 23.6% |
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LPX is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LPX has less shares outstanding
LPX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
LPX has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.36 indicates that LPX is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 6.36, LPX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.43. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LPX would need 2.43 years to pay back of all of its debts.
LPX has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.43) than 88.89% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20 indicates that LPX is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.20, LPX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.36 |
ROIC/WACC1.25
WACC8.31%
2.3 Liquidity
LPX has a Current Ratio of 2.93. This indicates that LPX is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
LPX's Current ratio of 2.93 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LPX outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
LPX has a Quick Ratio of 1.72. This is a normal value and indicates that LPX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of LPX (1.72) is better than 88.89% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.72 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for LPX have decreased strongly by -34.23% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, LPX shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 73.82% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, LPX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.29% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.95% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, LPX will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.22% on average per year.
LPX is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.11% yearly.
EPS Next Y-50.14%
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue Next Year-4.88%
Revenue Next 2Y1.48%
Revenue Next 3Y3.59%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 22.47 indicates a rather expensive valuation of LPX.
LPX's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LPX is cheaper than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.15. LPX is around the same levels.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.01, the valuation of LPX can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LPX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
LPX is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 36.12, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.01 |
4.2 Price Multiples
LPX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of LPX is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 39.94 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.97 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of LPX may justify a higher PE ratio.
LPX's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.93% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.3
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LPX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.50%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
LPX's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 6.38.
LPX's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.41.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% |
5.2 History
The dividend of LPX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 14.78%!
LPX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
The dividend of LPX decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
LPX pays out 35.19% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of LPX is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP35.19%
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
82.01
+0.51 (+0.63%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners87.65%
Inst Owner Change0.33%
Ins Owners1.45%
Ins Owner Change0.01%
Market Cap5.71B
Revenue(TTM)2.82B
Net Income(TTM)216.00M
Analysts72
Price Target103.94 (26.74%)
Short Float %5.85%
Short Ratio4.32
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
DP35.19%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.47%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(4)18.86%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)14.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)54.74%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)42.76%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.24%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.13%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.04%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.64%
PT rev (1m)-3.87%
PT rev (3m)-3.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-36.47%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-53.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.81%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.98%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5.66%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.39%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.01 | ||
| P/S | 2.02 | ||
| P/FCF | 39.94 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.57 | ||
| P/B | 3.28 | ||
| P/tB | 3.38 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.97 |
EPS(TTM)3.65
EY4.45%
EPS(NY)4.55
Fwd EY5.55%
FCF(TTM)2.05
FCFY2.5%
OCF(TTM)6.05
OCFY7.37%
SpS40.52
BVpS24.97
TBVpS24.27
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.3
Graham Number45.29
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.15% | ||
| ROE | 12.42% | ||
| ROCE | 14.35% | ||
| ROIC | 10.37% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.98% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.28% | ||
| OM | 11.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.65% | ||
| GM | 23.6% | ||
| FCFM | 5.07% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
ROICexc(3y)28.99%
ROICexc(5y)41.73%
ROICexgc(3y)30.19%
ROICexgc(5y)44.61%
ROCE(3y)33.53%
ROCE(5y)46.2%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y40.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.01%
ROICexc growth 5Y42.51%
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.43 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 200% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 9.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 24.14 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 88.26% | ||
| Profit Quality | 66.2% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.72 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.36 |
F-Score6
WACC8.31%
ROIC/WACC1.25
Cap/Depr(3y)261.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)213.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
EPS Next Y-50.14%
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
Revenue Next Year-4.88%
Revenue Next 2Y1.48%
Revenue Next 3Y3.59%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-38.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-32.35%
EBIT growth 5Y51.74%
EBIT Next Year-16.98%
EBIT Next 3Y8.84%
EBIT Next 5Y11.54%
FCF growth 1Y184.62%
FCF growth 3Y-30.01%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y113.71%
OCF growth 3Y-25.87%
OCF growth 5Y30.64%
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP / LPX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for LPX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to LPX.
What is the valuation status of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
The financial health rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 9 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
The dividend rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 35.19%.