LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:LPX - US5463471053 - Common Stock
92.05 USD
+7.57 (+8.96%)
92.02 USD
-0.03 (-0.03%)
Taking everything into account, LPX scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. LPX was compared to 9 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. LPX gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. LPX is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LPX was profitable.
In the past year LPX had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years LPX has been profitable.
LPX had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of LPX (8.15%) is better than 88.89% of its industry peers.
LPX's Return On Equity of 12.42% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LPX outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 10.37%, LPX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LPX is significantly above the industry average of 5.94%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (10.37%) for LPX is well below the 3 year average (24.24%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that LPX had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.15% | ||
| ROE | 12.42% | ||
| ROIC | 10.37% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
1.3 Margins
LPX has a Profit Margin of 7.65%. This is in the better half of the industry: LPX outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LPX has declined.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 11.98%, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
LPX has a better Gross Margin (23.60%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
LPX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.65% | ||
| GM | 23.6% |
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
LPX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for LPX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, LPX has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for LPX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.84 indicates that LPX is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 6.84, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.43. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LPX would need 2.43 years to pay back of all of its debts.
LPX's Debt to FCF ratio of 2.43 is amongst the best of the industry. LPX outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20 indicates that LPX is not too dependend on debt financing.
LPX has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.20. This is in the better half of the industry: LPX outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.84 |
ROIC/WACC1.22
WACC8.52%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.93 indicates that LPX has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of LPX (2.93) is better than 77.78% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.72 indicates that LPX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 1.72, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.72 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
LPX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -34.23%.
LPX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 73.82% yearly.
Looking at the last year, LPX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.29% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.95% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
3.2 Future
LPX is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.22% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, LPX will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.11% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-53.98%
EPS Next 2Y-18.75%
EPS Next 3Y-3.26%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue Next Year-6.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.34%
Revenue Next 3Y2.74%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 25.22 indicates a quite expensive valuation of LPX.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LPX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
LPX is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.75 indicates a rather expensive valuation of LPX.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LPX is valued a bit cheaper than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LPX to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.92), we can say LPX is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as LPX.
LPX's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 44.83 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.51 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
LPX has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
LPX's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.26% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.34
EPS Next 2Y-18.75%
EPS Next 3Y-3.26%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LPX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.33%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
LPX's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 2.64.
LPX's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.92.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.33% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of LPX grows each year by 14.78%, which is quite nice.
LPX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
The dividend of LPX decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
35.19% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LPX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
LPX's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP35.19%
EPS Next 2Y-18.75%
EPS Next 3Y-3.26%
92.05
+7.57 (+8.96%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners91.85%
Inst Owner Change-0.1%
Ins Owners0.67%
Ins Owner Change-1.9%
Market Cap6.41B
Revenue(TTM)2.82B
Net Income(TTM)216.00M
Analysts72.5
Price Target103.76 (12.72%)
Short Float %7.54%
Short Ratio5.1
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.33% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
DP35.19%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.47%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(4)18.86%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)14.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)54.74%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)42.76%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.24%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.13%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.01%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.66%
PT rev (1m)-0.17%
PT rev (3m)-4.03%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-38.85%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-78.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.82%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.35%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.92%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.77%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.75 | ||
| P/S | 2.27 | ||
| P/FCF | 44.83 | ||
| P/OCF | 15.23 | ||
| P/B | 3.69 | ||
| P/tB | 3.79 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.51 |
EPS(TTM)3.65
EY3.97%
EPS(NY)3.88
Fwd EY4.21%
FCF(TTM)2.05
FCFY2.23%
OCF(TTM)6.05
OCFY6.57%
SpS40.52
BVpS24.97
TBVpS24.27
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.34
Graham Number45.29
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.15% | ||
| ROE | 12.42% | ||
| ROCE | 14.35% | ||
| ROIC | 10.37% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.98% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.28% | ||
| OM | 11.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.65% | ||
| GM | 23.6% | ||
| FCFM | 5.07% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
ROICexc(3y)28.99%
ROICexc(5y)41.73%
ROICexgc(3y)30.19%
ROICexgc(5y)44.61%
ROCE(3y)33.53%
ROCE(5y)46.2%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y40.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.01%
ROICexc growth 5Y42.51%
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.43 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 200% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 9.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 24.14 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 88.26% | ||
| Profit Quality | 66.2% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.72 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.84 |
F-Score6
WACC8.52%
ROIC/WACC1.22
Cap/Depr(3y)261.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)213.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
EPS Next Y-53.98%
EPS Next 2Y-18.75%
EPS Next 3Y-3.26%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
Revenue Next Year-6.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.34%
Revenue Next 3Y2.74%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-38.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-32.35%
EBIT growth 5Y51.74%
EBIT Next Year-20.88%
EBIT Next 3Y7%
EBIT Next 5Y11.54%
FCF growth 1Y184.62%
FCF growth 3Y-30.01%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y113.71%
OCF growth 3Y-25.87%
OCF growth 5Y30.64%
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP / LPX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for LPX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to LPX.
What is the valuation status for LPX stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for LPX stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 25.22 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.69.
Is the dividend of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 35.19%.