LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:LPX - US5463471053 - Common Stock
83.09 USD
+1.25 (+1.53%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to LPX. LPX was compared to 9 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. LPX gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. LPX is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LPX was profitable.
LPX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
LPX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years LPX had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
LPX's Return On Assets of 8.15% is amongst the best of the industry. LPX outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 12.42%, LPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX has a better Return On Invested Capital (10.37%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LPX is significantly above the industry average of 5.80%.
The 3 year average ROIC (24.24%) for LPX is well above the current ROIC(10.37%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.15% | ||
| ROE | 12.42% | ||
| ROIC | 10.37% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
1.3 Margins
LPX has a better Profit Margin (7.65%) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LPX has declined.
LPX has a better Operating Margin (11.98%) than 88.89% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LPX has grown nicely.
LPX has a better Gross Margin (23.60%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
LPX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.65% | ||
| GM | 23.6% |
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LPX is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LPX has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, LPX has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, LPX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.37 indicates that LPX is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of LPX (6.37) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
LPX has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.43. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LPX would need 2.43 years to pay back of all of its debts.
LPX has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.43) than 88.89% of its industry peers.
LPX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.20, LPX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.37 |
ROIC/WACC1.24
WACC8.4%
2.3 Liquidity
LPX has a Current Ratio of 2.93. This indicates that LPX is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
LPX has a Current ratio of 2.93. This is in the better half of the industry: LPX outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.72 indicates that LPX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
LPX's Quick ratio of 1.72 is amongst the best of the industry. LPX outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.72 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
LPX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -34.23%.
Measured over the past years, LPX shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 73.82% on average per year.
LPX shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -3.29%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.95% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, LPX will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.22% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.11% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-50.14%
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue Next Year-4.88%
Revenue Next 2Y1.48%
Revenue Next 3Y3.59%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 22.76, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of LPX.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of LPX indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LPX is cheaper than 77.78% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of LPX to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.15), we can say LPX is valued inline with the index average.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.25, the valuation of LPX can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LPX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LPX to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.22), we can say LPX is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.25 |
4.2 Price Multiples
LPX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
LPX's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 40.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.02 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
LPX has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
LPX's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.93% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.31
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.37%, LPX has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
LPX's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 5.65.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, LPX's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.37% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of LPX grows each year by 14.78%, which is quite nice.
LPX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
LPX has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
LPX pays out 35.19% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of LPX is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP35.19%
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
NYSE:LPX (12/3/2025, 1:45:40 PM)
83.09
+1.25 (+1.53%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners87.65%
Inst Owner Change0.33%
Ins Owners1.45%
Ins Owner Change0.01%
Market Cap5.79B
Revenue(TTM)2.82B
Net Income(TTM)216.00M
Analysts72
Price Target103.94 (25.09%)
Short Float %6.58%
Short Ratio4.67
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.37% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
DP35.19%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.47%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(4)18.86%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)14.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)54.74%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)42.76%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.24%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.13%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.04%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.64%
PT rev (1m)-3.87%
PT rev (3m)-3.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-51%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-63.31%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.81%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.98%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5.91%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.39%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.25 | ||
| P/S | 2.05 | ||
| P/FCF | 40.46 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.74 | ||
| P/B | 3.33 | ||
| P/tB | 3.42 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.02 |
EPS(TTM)3.65
EY4.39%
EPS(NY)4.55
Fwd EY5.48%
FCF(TTM)2.05
FCFY2.47%
OCF(TTM)6.05
OCFY7.28%
SpS40.52
BVpS24.97
TBVpS24.27
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.31
Graham Number45.29
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.15% | ||
| ROE | 12.42% | ||
| ROCE | 14.35% | ||
| ROIC | 10.37% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.98% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.28% | ||
| OM | 11.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.65% | ||
| GM | 23.6% | ||
| FCFM | 5.07% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
ROICexc(3y)28.99%
ROICexc(5y)41.73%
ROICexgc(3y)30.19%
ROICexgc(5y)44.61%
ROCE(3y)33.53%
ROCE(5y)46.2%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y40.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.01%
ROICexc growth 5Y42.51%
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.43 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 200% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 9.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 24.14 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 88.26% | ||
| Profit Quality | 66.2% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.72 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.37 |
F-Score6
WACC8.4%
ROIC/WACC1.24
Cap/Depr(3y)261.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)213.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
EPS Next Y-50.14%
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
Revenue Next Year-4.88%
Revenue Next 2Y1.48%
Revenue Next 3Y3.59%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-38.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-32.35%
EBIT growth 5Y51.74%
EBIT Next Year-16.98%
EBIT Next 3Y8.84%
EBIT Next 5Y11.54%
FCF growth 1Y184.62%
FCF growth 3Y-30.01%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y113.71%
OCF growth 3Y-25.87%
OCF growth 5Y30.64%
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP / LPX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for LPX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to LPX.
What is the valuation status of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
The financial health rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 9 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
The dividend rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 35.19%.