LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:LPX - US5463471053 - Common Stock
84.6 USD
+0.39 (+0.46%)
84.6 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to LPX. LPX was compared to 9 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. LPX has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. LPX does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
LPX had positive earnings in the past year.
LPX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years LPX has always been profitable.
LPX had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 8.15%, LPX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX's Return On Equity of 12.42% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LPX outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
LPX has a better Return On Invested Capital (10.37%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
LPX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 24.24%. This is significantly above the industry average of 5.94%.
The 3 year average ROIC (24.24%) for LPX is well above the current ROIC(10.37%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.15% | ||
| ROE | 12.42% | ||
| ROIC | 10.37% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 7.65%, LPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 11.98%, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 23.60%, LPX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LPX has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.65% | ||
| GM | 23.6% |
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LPX is creating value.
LPX has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
LPX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for LPX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.48 indicates that LPX is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 6.48, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.43. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LPX would need 2.43 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LPX (2.43) is better than 88.89% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20 indicates that LPX is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.20, LPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.48 |
ROIC/WACC1.23
WACC8.45%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.93 indicates that LPX has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
LPX has a better Current ratio (2.93) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.72 indicates that LPX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
LPX has a better Quick ratio (1.72) than 88.89% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.72 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
LPX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -34.23%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 73.82% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
LPX shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -3.29%.
LPX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.95% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.22% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.11% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-53.12%
EPS Next 2Y-18.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue Next Year-6.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.34%
Revenue Next 3Y2.74%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 23.18, LPX is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LPX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.34, LPX is valued at the same level.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.75, LPX is valued on the expensive side.
77.78% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LPX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.56. LPX is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.18 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as LPX.
LPX's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 41.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.36 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of LPX may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as LPX's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.31% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.31
EPS Next 2Y-18.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LPX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.36%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.49, LPX has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.31, LPX's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.36% |
5.2 History
The dividend of LPX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 14.78%!
LPX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
The dividend of LPX decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
LPX pays out 35.19% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
LPX's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP35.19%
EPS Next 2Y-18.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
84.6
+0.39 (+0.46%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners91.94%
Inst Owner Change0.34%
Ins Owners0.67%
Ins Owner Change0.01%
Market Cap5.89B
Revenue(TTM)2.82B
Net Income(TTM)216.00M
Analysts72
Price Target103.94 (22.86%)
Short Float %6.58%
Short Ratio4.67
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.36% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
DP35.19%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.47%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(4)18.86%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)14.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)54.74%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)42.76%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.24%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.13%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.04%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.64%
PT rev (1m)-6.68%
PT rev (3m)-3.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-44.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-71.14%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.99%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.43%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.57%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.39%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.77%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.18 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.75 | ||
| P/S | 2.09 | ||
| P/FCF | 41.2 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.99 | ||
| P/B | 3.39 | ||
| P/tB | 3.49 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.36 |
EPS(TTM)3.65
EY4.31%
EPS(NY)3.89
Fwd EY4.6%
FCF(TTM)2.05
FCFY2.43%
OCF(TTM)6.05
OCFY7.15%
SpS40.52
BVpS24.97
TBVpS24.27
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.31
Graham Number45.29
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.15% | ||
| ROE | 12.42% | ||
| ROCE | 14.35% | ||
| ROIC | 10.37% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.98% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.28% | ||
| OM | 11.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.65% | ||
| GM | 23.6% | ||
| FCFM | 5.07% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
ROICexc(3y)28.99%
ROICexc(5y)41.73%
ROICexgc(3y)30.19%
ROICexgc(5y)44.61%
ROCE(3y)33.53%
ROCE(5y)46.2%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y40.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.01%
ROICexc growth 5Y42.51%
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.43 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 200% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 9.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 24.14 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 88.26% | ||
| Profit Quality | 66.2% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.72 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.48 |
F-Score6
WACC8.45%
ROIC/WACC1.23
Cap/Depr(3y)261.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)213.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
EPS Next Y-53.12%
EPS Next 2Y-18.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
Revenue Next Year-6.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.34%
Revenue Next 3Y2.74%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-38.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-32.35%
EBIT growth 5Y51.74%
EBIT Next Year-20.69%
EBIT Next 3Y6.6%
EBIT Next 5Y11.54%
FCF growth 1Y184.62%
FCF growth 3Y-30.01%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y113.71%
OCF growth 3Y-25.87%
OCF growth 5Y30.64%
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP / LPX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for LPX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to LPX.
What is the valuation status of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
The financial health rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 9 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
The dividend rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 35.19%.