LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:LPX • US5463471053

Current stock price

75.68 USD
-0.84 (-1.1%)
Last:

This LPX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. LPX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • LPX had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year LPX had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years LPX has always been profitable.
  • LPX had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
LPX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLPX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.56%, LPX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LPX's Return On Equity of 8.43% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LPX outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.28%, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LPX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.52%. This is significantly above the industry average of 4.99%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (12.52%) for LPX is well above the current ROIC(8.28%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.56%
ROE 8.43%
ROIC 8.28%
ROA(3y)9.76%
ROA(5y)27.65%
ROE(3y)15%
ROE(5y)46.46%
ROIC(3y)12.52%
ROIC(5y)30.7%
LPX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLPX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60 80 100

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of LPX (5.39%) is better than 88.89% of its industry peers.
  • LPX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • LPX has a Operating Margin of 9.60%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LPX outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LPX has declined.
  • LPX has a Gross Margin of 21.78%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LPX outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LPX has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.6%
PM (TTM) 5.39%
GM 21.78%
OM growth 3Y-33.04%
OM growth 5Y-18.6%
PM growth 3Y-42.38%
PM growth 5Y-23.66%
GM growth 3Y-17.61%
GM growth 5Y-8.93%
LPX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLPX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40 50

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7

2. LPX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LPX is still creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for LPX remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for LPX has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, LPX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
LPX Yearly Shares OutstandingLPX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M
LPX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLPX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • LPX has an Altman-Z score of 6.04. This indicates that LPX is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 6.04, LPX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LPX has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.78. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LPX would need 3.78 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • LPX has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.78) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20 indicates that LPX is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.20, LPX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF 3.78
Altman-Z 6.04
ROIC/WACC0.96
WACC8.59%
LPX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLPX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.78 indicates that LPX has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • LPX's Current ratio of 2.78 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LPX outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.53 indicates that LPX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.53, LPX is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.56% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.78
Quick Ratio 1.53
LPX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLPX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. LPX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for LPX have decreased strongly by -54.86% in the last year.
  • LPX shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -9.40% yearly.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -7.86% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, LPX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.45% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-54.86%
EPS 3Y-38.87%
EPS 5Y-9.4%
EPS Q2Q%-97.09%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.86%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.1%
Revenue growth 5Y2.45%
Sales Q2Q%-16.74%

3.2 Future

  • LPX is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 25.50% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, LPX will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.65% on average per year.
EPS Next Y10.45%
EPS Next 2Y31.54%
EPS Next 3Y27%
EPS Next 5Y25.5%
Revenue Next Year-2.17%
Revenue Next 2Y4.31%
Revenue Next 3Y3.07%
Revenue Next 5Y6.65%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
LPX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLPX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 1B 2B 3B 4B
LPX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLPX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 5 10

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4

4. LPX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 28.56, the valuation of LPX can be described as expensive.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of LPX indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LPX is cheaper than 77.78% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of LPX to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.15), we can say LPX is valued inline with the index average.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.86, LPX can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LPX indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LPX is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.12. LPX is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.56
Fwd PE 25.86
LPX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLPX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as LPX.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as LPX.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 57.46
EV/EBITDA 13.34
LPX Per share dataLPX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • LPX has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as LPX's earnings are expected to grow with 27.00% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.73
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y31.54%
EPS Next 3Y27%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. LPX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • LPX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.61%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • LPX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.69.
  • LPX's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.61%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of LPX grows each year by 13.33%, which is quite nice.
  • LPX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of LPX decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.33%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
LPX Yearly Dividends per shareLPX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 53.42% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LPX. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of LPX is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP53.42%
EPS Next 2Y31.54%
EPS Next 3Y27%
LPX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLPX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B
LPX Dividend Payout.LPX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.LPX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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LPX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP

NYSE:LPX (4/28/2026, 2:18:49 PM)

75.68

-0.84 (-1.1%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)02-17
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners93.89%
Inst Owner Change1.14%
Ins Owners0.55%
Ins Owner Change-5%
Market Cap5.29B
Revenue(TTM)2.71B
Net Income(TTM)146.00M
Analysts74.12
Price Target101.58 (34.22%)
Short Float %8.48%
Short Ratio5.01
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.61%
Yearly Dividend1.11
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.33%
DP53.42%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date02-27
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)91.39%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(2)197.03%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)45.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(4)197.03%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)35.15%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)70.09%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)54.47%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.24%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.8%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.48%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.41%
PT rev (1m)-2.45%
PT rev (3m)-2.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-24.94%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-74.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.39%
EPS NY rev (3m)-21.42%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.26%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-14.33%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.28%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.56
Fwd PE 25.86
P/S 1.95
P/FCF 57.46
P/OCF 13.8
P/B 3.05
P/tB 3.12
EV/EBITDA 13.34
EPS(TTM)2.65
EY3.5%
EPS(NY)2.93
Fwd EY3.87%
FCF(TTM)1.32
FCFY1.74%
OCF(TTM)5.48
OCFY7.25%
SpS38.78
BVpS24.78
TBVpS24.28
PEG (NY)2.73
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.4397 (-49.21%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.56%
ROE 8.43%
ROCE 11.13%
ROIC 8.28%
ROICexc 9.46%
ROICexgc 9.63%
OM 9.6%
PM (TTM) 5.39%
GM 21.78%
FCFM 3.4%
ROA(3y)9.76%
ROA(5y)27.65%
ROE(3y)15%
ROE(5y)46.46%
ROIC(3y)12.52%
ROIC(5y)30.7%
ROICexc(3y)14.4%
ROICexc(5y)37.27%
ROICexgc(3y)14.79%
ROICexgc(5y)39.62%
ROCE(3y)16.83%
ROCE(5y)41.27%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-45.18%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-25.19%
ROICexc growth 3Y-44.62%
ROICexc growth 5Y-24.23%
OM growth 3Y-33.04%
OM growth 5Y-18.6%
PM growth 3Y-42.38%
PM growth 5Y-23.66%
GM growth 3Y-17.61%
GM growth 5Y-8.93%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.03
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF 3.78
Debt/EBITDA 0.86
Cap/Depr 200.69%
Cap/Sales 10.74%
Interest Coverage 18.57
Cash Conversion 94.57%
Profit Quality 63.01%
Current Ratio 2.78
Quick Ratio 1.53
Altman-Z 6.04
F-Score5
WACC8.59%
ROIC/WACC0.96
Cap/Depr(3y)221.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)239.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.56%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.77%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-54.86%
EPS 3Y-38.87%
EPS 5Y-9.4%
EPS Q2Q%-97.09%
EPS Next Y10.45%
EPS Next 2Y31.54%
EPS Next 3Y27%
EPS Next 5Y25.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.86%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.1%
Revenue growth 5Y2.45%
Sales Q2Q%-16.74%
Revenue Next Year-2.17%
Revenue Next 2Y4.31%
Revenue Next 3Y3.07%
Revenue Next 5Y6.65%
EBIT growth 1Y-52.29%
EBIT growth 3Y-40.47%
EBIT growth 5Y-16.6%
EBIT Next Year85.41%
EBIT Next 3Y43.33%
EBIT Next 5Y32.67%
FCF growth 1Y-78.2%
FCF growth 3Y-49.93%
FCF growth 5Y-30.85%
OCF growth 1Y-36.69%
OCF growth 3Y-30.58%
OCF growth 5Y-10.29%

LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP / LPX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for LPX stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to LPX.


Can you provide the valuation status for LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of LPX stock?

LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the financial health of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?

The financial health rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 7 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for LPX stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is expected to grow by 10.45% in the next year.