LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:LPX • US5463471053

Current stock price

75.31 USD
+0.61 (+0.82%)
At close:
75.3 USD
-0.01 (-0.01%)
Pre-Market:

This LPX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. LPX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year LPX was profitable.
  • In the past year LPX had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years LPX has been profitable.
  • LPX had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
LPX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLPX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 5.56%, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LPX has a Return On Equity of 8.43%. This is in the better half of the industry: LPX outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of LPX (8.28%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • LPX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.52%. This is significantly above the industry average of 4.99%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (12.52%) for LPX is well above the current ROIC(8.28%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.56%
ROE 8.43%
ROIC 8.28%
ROA(3y)9.76%
ROA(5y)27.65%
ROE(3y)15%
ROE(5y)46.46%
ROIC(3y)12.52%
ROIC(5y)30.7%
LPX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLPX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60 80 100

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 5.39%, LPX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LPX has declined.
  • LPX's Operating Margin of 9.60% is amongst the best of the industry. LPX outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
  • LPX's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • LPX's Gross Margin of 21.78% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LPX outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
  • LPX's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.6%
PM (TTM) 5.39%
GM 21.78%
OM growth 3Y-33.04%
OM growth 5Y-18.6%
PM growth 3Y-42.38%
PM growth 5Y-23.66%
GM growth 3Y-17.61%
GM growth 5Y-8.93%
LPX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLPX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40 50

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7

2. LPX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LPX is still creating some value.
  • LPX has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • LPX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for LPX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
LPX Yearly Shares OutstandingLPX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M
LPX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLPX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 5.98 indicates that LPX is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 5.98, LPX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LPX has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.78. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LPX would need 3.78 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • LPX has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.78. This is in the better half of the industry: LPX outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20 indicates that LPX is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • LPX has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.20. This is in the better half of the industry: LPX outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF 3.78
Altman-Z 5.98
ROIC/WACC0.96
WACC8.58%
LPX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLPX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • LPX has a Current Ratio of 2.78. This indicates that LPX is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of LPX (2.78) is better than 77.78% of its industry peers.
  • LPX has a Quick Ratio of 1.53. This is a normal value and indicates that LPX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.53, LPX is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.56% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.78
Quick Ratio 1.53
LPX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLPX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. LPX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • LPX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -54.86%.
  • LPX shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -9.40% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, LPX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -7.86% in the last year.
  • LPX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.45% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-54.86%
EPS 3Y-38.87%
EPS 5Y-9.4%
EPS Q2Q%-97.09%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.86%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.1%
Revenue growth 5Y2.45%
Sales Q2Q%-16.74%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, LPX will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 25.50% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.65% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y10.45%
EPS Next 2Y31.54%
EPS Next 3Y27%
EPS Next 5Y25.5%
Revenue Next Year-2.17%
Revenue Next 2Y4.31%
Revenue Next 3Y3.07%
Revenue Next 5Y6.65%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
LPX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLPX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 1B 2B 3B 4B
LPX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLPX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 5 10

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4

4. LPX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 28.42 indicates a quite expensive valuation of LPX.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LPX is valued a bit cheaper than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LPX's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.42.
  • LPX is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.73.
  • LPX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LPX is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.29, LPX is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.42
Fwd PE 25.73
LPX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLPX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • LPX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of LPX is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 57.18
EV/EBITDA 13.13
LPX Per share dataLPX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • LPX has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • LPX's earnings are expected to grow with 27.00% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.72
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y31.54%
EPS Next 3Y27%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. LPX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • LPX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.61%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.69, LPX pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • LPX's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.61%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of LPX grows each year by 13.33%, which is quite nice.
  • LPX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • LPX has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.33%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
LPX Yearly Dividends per shareLPX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 53.42% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LPX. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • LPX's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP53.42%
EPS Next 2Y31.54%
EPS Next 3Y27%
LPX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLPX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B
LPX Dividend Payout.LPX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.LPX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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LPX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP

NYSE:LPX (4/24/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

Premarket: 75.3 -0.01 (-0.01%)

75.31

+0.61 (+0.82%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)02-17
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners93.89%
Inst Owner Change1.14%
Ins Owners0.55%
Ins Owner Change-5%
Market Cap5.26B
Revenue(TTM)2.71B
Net Income(TTM)146.00M
Analysts74.12
Price Target101.58 (34.88%)
Short Float %8.53%
Short Ratio5.1
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.61%
Yearly Dividend1.11
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.33%
DP53.42%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date02-27
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)91.39%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(2)197.03%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)45.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.24%
Max EPS beat(4)197.03%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)35.15%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)70.09%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)54.47%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.24%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.8%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.48%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.41%
PT rev (1m)-2.45%
PT rev (3m)-2.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-24.94%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-74.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.39%
EPS NY rev (3m)-21.42%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.26%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-14.33%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.28%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.42
Fwd PE 25.73
P/S 1.94
P/FCF 57.18
P/OCF 13.73
P/B 3.04
P/tB 3.1
EV/EBITDA 13.13
EPS(TTM)2.65
EY3.52%
EPS(NY)2.93
Fwd EY3.89%
FCF(TTM)1.32
FCFY1.75%
OCF(TTM)5.48
OCFY7.28%
SpS38.78
BVpS24.78
TBVpS24.28
PEG (NY)2.72
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.4397 (-48.96%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.56%
ROE 8.43%
ROCE 11.13%
ROIC 8.28%
ROICexc 9.46%
ROICexgc 9.63%
OM 9.6%
PM (TTM) 5.39%
GM 21.78%
FCFM 3.4%
ROA(3y)9.76%
ROA(5y)27.65%
ROE(3y)15%
ROE(5y)46.46%
ROIC(3y)12.52%
ROIC(5y)30.7%
ROICexc(3y)14.4%
ROICexc(5y)37.27%
ROICexgc(3y)14.79%
ROICexgc(5y)39.62%
ROCE(3y)16.83%
ROCE(5y)41.27%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-45.18%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-25.19%
ROICexc growth 3Y-44.62%
ROICexc growth 5Y-24.23%
OM growth 3Y-33.04%
OM growth 5Y-18.6%
PM growth 3Y-42.38%
PM growth 5Y-23.66%
GM growth 3Y-17.61%
GM growth 5Y-8.93%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.03
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF 3.78
Debt/EBITDA 0.86
Cap/Depr 200.69%
Cap/Sales 10.74%
Interest Coverage 18.57
Cash Conversion 94.57%
Profit Quality 63.01%
Current Ratio 2.78
Quick Ratio 1.53
Altman-Z 5.98
F-Score5
WACC8.58%
ROIC/WACC0.96
Cap/Depr(3y)221.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)239.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.56%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.77%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-54.86%
EPS 3Y-38.87%
EPS 5Y-9.4%
EPS Q2Q%-97.09%
EPS Next Y10.45%
EPS Next 2Y31.54%
EPS Next 3Y27%
EPS Next 5Y25.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.86%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.1%
Revenue growth 5Y2.45%
Sales Q2Q%-16.74%
Revenue Next Year-2.17%
Revenue Next 2Y4.31%
Revenue Next 3Y3.07%
Revenue Next 5Y6.65%
EBIT growth 1Y-52.29%
EBIT growth 3Y-40.47%
EBIT growth 5Y-16.6%
EBIT Next Year85.41%
EBIT Next 3Y43.33%
EBIT Next 5Y32.67%
FCF growth 1Y-78.2%
FCF growth 3Y-49.93%
FCF growth 5Y-30.85%
OCF growth 1Y-36.69%
OCF growth 3Y-30.58%
OCF growth 5Y-10.29%

LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP / LPX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for LPX stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to LPX.


Can you provide the valuation status for LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of LPX stock?

LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the financial health of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?

The financial health rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 7 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for LPX stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is expected to grow by 10.45% in the next year.