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GREEN BRICK PARTNERS INC (GRBK) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:GRBK - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US3927091013 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

61.74  +1.23 (+2.03%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Taking everything into account, GRBK scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GRBK was compared to 66 industry peers in the Household Durables industry. GRBK has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. GRBK is not priced too expensively while it is growing strongly. Keep and eye on this one! These ratings would make GRBK suitable for growth investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GRBK had positive earnings in the past year.
GRBK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years GRBK has been profitable.
GRBK had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
GRBK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGRBK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of GRBK (16.83%) is better than 95.45% of its industry peers.
GRBK has a better Return On Equity (23.30%) than 86.36% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of GRBK (18.74%) is better than 93.94% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 16.83%
ROE 23.3%
ROIC 18.74%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GRBK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGRBK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

GRBK's Profit Margin of 18.04% is amongst the best of the industry. GRBK outperforms 96.97% of its industry peers.
GRBK's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GRBK's Operating Margin of 22.72% is amongst the best of the industry. GRBK outperforms 96.97% of its industry peers.
GRBK's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 33.52%, GRBK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.15% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GRBK has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.72%
PM (TTM) 18.04%
GM 33.52%
OM growth 3Y11.85%
OM growth 5Y22.39%
PM growth 3Y10%
PM growth 5Y19.47%
GM growth 3Y9.1%
GM growth 5Y9.43%
GRBK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGRBK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GRBK is creating value.
GRBK has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
GRBK Yearly Shares OutstandingGRBK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
GRBK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGRBK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

GRBK has an Altman-Z score of 6.05. This indicates that GRBK is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
GRBK has a better Altman-Z score (6.05) than 90.91% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GRBK is 17.70, which is on the high side as it means it would take GRBK, 17.70 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GRBK has a Debt to FCF ratio of 17.70. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GRBK outperforms 45.45% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.23 indicates that GRBK is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.23, GRBK is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.09% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.23
Debt/FCF 17.7
Altman-Z 6.05
ROIC/WACC2.11
WACC8.89%
GRBK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGRBK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 9.73 indicates that GRBK has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of GRBK (9.73) is better than 92.42% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.72 indicates that GRBK may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.72, GRBK is doing worse than 62.12% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 9.73
Quick Ratio 0.72
GRBK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGRBK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 37.30% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, GRBK shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 48.43% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 18.07% in the past year. This is quite good.
Measured over the past years, GRBK shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 21.53% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.3%
EPS 3Y31.35%
EPS 5Y48.43%
EPS Q2Q%46.2%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.07%
Revenue growth 3Y14.37%
Revenue growth 5Y21.53%
Sales Q2Q%25.96%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.77% on average over the next years.
GRBK is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 9.71% yearly.
EPS Next Y2.27%
EPS Next 2Y6.77%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.45%
Revenue Next 2Y9.71%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
GRBK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGRBK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
GRBK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGRBK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6 8

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 7.32, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of GRBK.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GRBK indicates a rather cheap valuation: GRBK is cheaper than 84.85% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 29.71, GRBK is valued rather cheaply.
GRBK is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.16.
81.82% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GRBK, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
GRBK's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.34.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.32
Fwd PE 7.16
GRBK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGRBK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

GRBK's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GRBK is cheaper than 78.79% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GRBK is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 60.61% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 127.51
EV/EBITDA 6.09
GRBK Per share dataGRBK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates GRBK does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
GRBK has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.23
PEG (5Y)0.15
EPS Next 2Y6.77%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for GRBK!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

GREEN BRICK PARTNERS INC

NYSE:GRBK (3/6/2025, 2:01:50 PM)

61.74

+1.23 (+2.03%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryHousehold Durables
Earnings (Last)02-26 2025-02-26/amc
Earnings (Next)04-29 2025-04-29/amc
Inst Owners78.58%
Inst Owner Change-25.28%
Ins Owners5.27%
Ins Owner Change-0.7%
Market Cap2.75B
Analysts47.5
Price Target71.4 (15.65%)
Short Float %3.02%
Short Ratio3.79
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.06
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.76%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.37%
Max EPS beat(2)12.39%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)13.13%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.37%
Max EPS beat(4)28.45%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)23.41%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)25.23%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)19.71%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.57%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.22%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.08%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.22%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.35%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)10.77%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)12.42%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)9.77%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.19%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.42%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.55%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.94%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.51%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.32
Fwd PE 7.16
P/S 1.31
P/FCF 127.51
P/OCF 106.03
P/B 1.69
P/tB 1.69
EV/EBITDA 6.09
EPS(TTM)8.43
EY13.65%
EPS(NY)8.62
Fwd EY13.96%
FCF(TTM)0.48
FCFY0.78%
OCF(TTM)0.58
OCFY0.94%
SpS47.17
BVpS36.53
TBVpS36.5
PEG (NY)3.23
PEG (5Y)0.15
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 16.83%
ROE 23.3%
ROCE 23.44%
ROIC 18.74%
ROICexc 20.14%
ROICexgc 20.69%
OM 22.72%
PM (TTM) 18.04%
GM 33.52%
FCFM 1.03%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y11.85%
OM growth 5Y22.39%
PM growth 3Y10%
PM growth 5Y19.47%
GM growth 3Y9.1%
GM growth 5Y9.43%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.93
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.23
Debt/FCF 17.7
Debt/EBITDA 0.79
Cap/Depr 89.47%
Cap/Sales 0.21%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 5.38%
Profit Quality 5.69%
Current Ratio 9.73
Quick Ratio 0.72
Altman-Z 6.05
F-Score7
WACC8.89%
ROIC/WACC2.11
Cap/Depr(3y)131.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)109.49%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.25%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.24%
Profit Quality(3y)36.44%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.3%
EPS 3Y31.35%
EPS 5Y48.43%
EPS Q2Q%46.2%
EPS Next Y2.27%
EPS Next 2Y6.77%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.07%
Revenue growth 3Y14.37%
Revenue growth 5Y21.53%
Sales Q2Q%25.96%
Revenue Next Year8.45%
Revenue Next 2Y9.71%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y34.27%
EBIT growth 3Y27.93%
EBIT growth 5Y48.75%
EBIT Next Year15.88%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-89.52%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-87.85%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A