GREEN BRICK PARTNERS INC (GRBK) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:GRBK - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US3927091013 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall GRBK gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated GRBK against 63 industry peers in the Household Durables industry. GRBK gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. GRBK has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate. These ratings would make GRBK suitable for quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GRBK had positive earnings in the past year.
GRBK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years GRBK has been profitable.
Of the past 5 years GRBK 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 16.30%, GRBK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.83% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of GRBK (21.91%) is better than 85.71% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 18.76%, GRBK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.24% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GRBK is significantly above the industry average of 10.55%.
The 3 year average ROIC (18.27%) for GRBK is below the current ROIC(18.76%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.3% | ||
| ROE | 21.91% | ||
| ROIC | 18.76% |
ROA(3y)16.36%
ROA(5y)14.79%
ROE(3y)24.06%
ROE(5y)22.34%
ROIC(3y)18.27%
ROIC(5y)16.1%
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 17.24%, GRBK belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.83% of the companies in the same industry.
GRBK's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 22.34%, GRBK belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.83% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GRBK has grown nicely.
GRBK has a better Gross Margin (33.08%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GRBK has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.34% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 17.24% | ||
| GM | 33.08% |
OM growth 3Y11.85%
OM growth 5Y22.39%
PM growth 3Y9.99%
PM growth 5Y19.48%
GM growth 3Y9.1%
GM growth 5Y9.43%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GRBK is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GRBK has less shares outstanding
GRBK has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GRBK has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
GRBK has an Altman-Z score of 6.37. This indicates that GRBK is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
GRBK has a better Altman-Z score (6.37) than 90.48% of its industry peers.
GRBK has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.73. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as GRBK would need 3.73 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.73, GRBK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.08% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20 indicates that GRBK is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of GRBK (0.20) is better than 65.08% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.37 |
ROIC/WACC2.2
WACC8.54%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 9.23 indicates that GRBK has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
GRBK's Current ratio of 9.23 is amongst the best of the industry. GRBK outperforms 92.06% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.51 indicates that GRBK may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.51, GRBK is not doing good in the industry: 74.60% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 9.23 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 25.64% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, GRBK shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 48.43% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 21.22% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
GRBK shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 21.53% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)25.64%
EPS 3Y31.35%
EPS 5Y48.43%
EPS Q2Q%-8.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.22%
Revenue growth 3Y14.37%
Revenue growth 5Y21.53%
Sales Q2Q%11.24%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GRBK will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -6.13% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, GRBK will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.96% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-14.36%
EPS Next 2Y-6.13%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.69%
Revenue Next 2Y3.96%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 7.66 indicates a rather cheap valuation of GRBK.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GRBK is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 76.19% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GRBK to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.29), we can say GRBK is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.54, the valuation of GRBK can be described as reasonable.
71.43% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GRBK, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GRBK to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.74), we can say GRBK is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.66 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.54 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GRBK is valued a bit cheaper than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as GRBK.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 31.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.22 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of GRBK may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as GRBK's earnings are expected to decrease with -6.13% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.16
EPS Next 2Y-6.13%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for GRBK!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
63.41
-1.44 (-2.22%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryHousehold Durables
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners78.8%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners6.26%
Ins Owner Change2.11%
Market Cap2.79B
Analysts76
Price Target72.42 (14.21%)
Short Float %3.13%
Short Ratio4.76
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly Dividend0.06
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.8%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.79%
Max EPS beat(2)12.39%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)6.92%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.79%
Max EPS beat(4)28.45%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)9.71%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)21.52%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)19.19%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.17%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.08%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.22%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.35%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.79%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)10.96%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)9.97%
PT rev (1m)1.43%
PT rev (3m)1.43%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.05%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.25%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.66 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.54 | ||
| P/S | 1.3 | ||
| P/FCF | 31.12 | ||
| P/OCF | 29.75 | ||
| P/B | 1.65 | ||
| P/tB | 1.65 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.22 |
EPS(TTM)8.28
EY13.06%
EPS(NY)7.43
Fwd EY11.71%
FCF(TTM)2.04
FCFY3.21%
OCF(TTM)2.13
OCFY3.36%
SpS48.92
BVpS38.49
TBVpS38.47
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.16
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.3% | ||
| ROE | 21.91% | ||
| ROCE | 23.47% | ||
| ROIC | 18.76% | ||
| ROICexc | 19.76% | ||
| ROICexgc | 20.18% | ||
| OM | 22.34% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 17.24% | ||
| GM | 33.08% | ||
| FCFM | 4.16% |
ROA(3y)16.36%
ROA(5y)14.79%
ROE(3y)24.06%
ROE(5y)22.34%
ROIC(3y)18.27%
ROIC(5y)16.1%
ROICexc(3y)19.75%
ROICexc(5y)17.23%
ROICexgc(3y)20.31%
ROICexgc(5y)17.78%
ROCE(3y)22.96%
ROCE(5y)20.2%
ROICexcg growth 3Y8.62%
ROICexcg growth 5Y23.72%
ROICexc growth 3Y8.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y23.92%
OM growth 3Y11.85%
OM growth 5Y22.39%
PM growth 3Y9.99%
PM growth 5Y19.48%
GM growth 3Y9.1%
GM growth 5Y9.43%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.95
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.73 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.69 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 80.19% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.19% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 19.3% | ||
| Profit Quality | 24.16% | ||
| Current Ratio | 9.23 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.37 |
F-Score8
WACC8.54%
ROIC/WACC2.2
Cap/Depr(3y)131.52%
Cap/Depr(5y)109.51%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.25%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.24%
Profit Quality(3y)36.44%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)25.64%
EPS 3Y31.35%
EPS 5Y48.43%
EPS Q2Q%-8.24%
EPS Next Y-14.36%
EPS Next 2Y-6.13%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.22%
Revenue growth 3Y14.37%
Revenue growth 5Y21.53%
Sales Q2Q%11.24%
Revenue Next Year-1.69%
Revenue Next 2Y3.96%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y28.31%
EBIT growth 3Y27.93%
EBIT growth 5Y48.74%
EBIT Next Year-1.74%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-65.07%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-63.9%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A