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GREEN BRICK PARTNERS INC (GRBK) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:GRBK - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US3927091013 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

61.54  -1.2 (-1.91%)

After market: 61.54 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

7

GRBK gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 67 industry peers in the Household Durables industry. While GRBK belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. GRBK is growing strongly while it also seems undervalued. This is an interesting combination With these ratings, GRBK could be worth investigating further for value and growth investing!.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GRBK had positive earnings in the past year.
GRBK had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years GRBK has been profitable.
In multiple years GRBK reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
GRBK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGRBK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

GRBK has a Return On Assets of 16.02%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GRBK outperforms 93.85% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of GRBK (22.88%) is better than 84.62% of its industry peers.
GRBK's Return On Invested Capital of 18.15% is amongst the best of the industry. GRBK outperforms 93.85% of its industry peers.
GRBK had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.66%. This is above the industry average of 11.99%.
The 3 year average ROIC (16.66%) for GRBK is below the current ROIC(18.15%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 16.02%
ROE 22.88%
ROIC 18.15%
ROA(3y)15.21%
ROA(5y)12.77%
ROE(3y)23.54%
ROE(5y)19.92%
ROIC(3y)16.66%
ROIC(5y)13.47%
GRBK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGRBK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

GRBK's Profit Margin of 17.55% is amongst the best of the industry. GRBK outperforms 95.38% of its industry peers.
GRBK's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 21.91%, GRBK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.92% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GRBK has grown nicely.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 32.85%, GRBK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.62% of the companies in the same industry.
GRBK's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.91%
PM (TTM) 17.55%
GM 32.85%
OM growth 3Y16.89%
OM growth 5Y11.5%
PM growth 3Y10.81%
PM growth 5Y13.88%
GM growth 3Y8.66%
GM growth 5Y4.51%
GRBK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGRBK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30

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6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GRBK is creating value.
GRBK has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GRBK has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GRBK has an improved debt to assets ratio.
GRBK Yearly Shares OutstandingGRBK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
GRBK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGRBK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

GRBK has an Altman-Z score of 5.89. This indicates that GRBK is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
GRBK has a better Altman-Z score (5.89) than 84.62% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22 indicates that GRBK is not too dependend on debt financing.
GRBK has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.22. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GRBK outperforms 58.46% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 5.89
ROIC/WACC2.08
WACC8.74%
GRBK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGRBK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

GRBK has a Current Ratio of 7.00. This indicates that GRBK is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Current ratio value of 7.00, GRBK belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.32 indicates that GRBK may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.32, GRBK is not doing good in the industry: 93.85% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 7
Quick Ratio 0.32
GRBK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGRBK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

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8

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GRBK shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 34.15%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 42.64% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, GRBK shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.71% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, GRBK shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 23.31% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)34.15%
EPS 3Y40.16%
EPS 5Y42.64%
EPS Q2Q%26.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.71%
Revenue growth 3Y22.12%
Revenue growth 5Y23.31%
Sales Q2Q%24.99%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, GRBK will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.46% on average per year.
GRBK is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 12.28% yearly.
EPS Next Y35.14%
EPS Next 2Y18.49%
EPS Next 3Y16.46%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year15.43%
Revenue Next 2Y12.62%
Revenue Next 3Y12.28%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
GRBK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGRBK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
GRBK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGRBK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6 8

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8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 7.99, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of GRBK.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GRBK indicates a rather cheap valuation: GRBK is cheaper than 83.08% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GRBK is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.39, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.14, the valuation of GRBK can be described as very cheap.
83.08% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GRBK, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
GRBK's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.37.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.99
Fwd PE 7.14
GRBK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGRBK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

GRBK's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GRBK is cheaper than 76.92% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.96
GRBK Per share dataGRBK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

GRBK's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of GRBK may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as GRBK's earnings are expected to grow with 16.46% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)0.19
EPS Next 2Y18.49%
EPS Next 3Y16.46%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for GRBK!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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GREEN BRICK PARTNERS INC

NYSE:GRBK (1/28/2025, 5:19:58 PM)

After market: 61.54 0 (0%)

61.54

-1.2 (-1.91%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryHousehold Durables
Earnings (Last)10-30 2024-10-30/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners78.84%
Inst Owner Change-0.13%
Ins Owners5.34%
Ins Owner Change-1.51%
Market Cap2.74B
Analysts48.89
Price Target75.48 (22.65%)
Short Float %2.55%
Short Ratio3.13
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.06
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.81%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)11.04%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.37%
Max EPS beat(2)28.45%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)6.9%
Min EPS beat(4)-12.53%
Max EPS beat(4)28.45%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)22%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)24.59%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)18.35%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.22%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.35%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.96%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.64%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.35%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)13.24%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)13.18%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)9.18%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)7.25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)12.43%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)8.52%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.21%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.99
Fwd PE 7.14
P/S 1.38
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.8
P/tB 1.8
EV/EBITDA 6.96
EPS(TTM)7.7
EY12.51%
EPS(NY)8.62
Fwd EY14.01%
FCF(TTM)-0.65
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.5
OCFYN/A
SpS44.54
BVpS34.17
TBVpS34.15
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)0.19
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 16.02%
ROE 22.88%
ROCE 23.04%
ROIC 18.15%
ROICexc 18.95%
ROICexgc 19.48%
OM 21.91%
PM (TTM) 17.55%
GM 32.85%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)15.21%
ROA(5y)12.77%
ROE(3y)23.54%
ROE(5y)19.92%
ROIC(3y)16.66%
ROIC(5y)13.47%
ROICexc(3y)17.98%
ROICexc(5y)14.37%
ROICexgc(3y)18.53%
ROICexgc(5y)14.85%
ROCE(3y)21.24%
ROCE(5y)17.16%
ROICexcg growth 3Y17.65%
ROICexcg growth 5Y16.01%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.21%
ROICexc growth 5Y16.29%
OM growth 3Y16.89%
OM growth 5Y11.5%
PM growth 3Y10.81%
PM growth 5Y13.88%
GM growth 3Y8.66%
GM growth 5Y4.51%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.91
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.78
Cap/Depr 135.96%
Cap/Sales 0.33%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 7
Quick Ratio 0.32
Altman-Z 5.89
F-Score5
WACC8.74%
ROIC/WACC2.08
Cap/Depr(3y)126.33%
Cap/Depr(5y)108.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.26%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)34.15%
EPS 3Y40.16%
EPS 5Y42.64%
EPS Q2Q%26.92%
EPS Next Y35.14%
EPS Next 2Y18.49%
EPS Next 3Y16.46%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.71%
Revenue growth 3Y22.12%
Revenue growth 5Y23.31%
Sales Q2Q%24.99%
Revenue Next Year15.43%
Revenue Next 2Y12.62%
Revenue Next 3Y12.28%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y30.69%
EBIT growth 3Y42.75%
EBIT growth 5Y37.49%
EBIT Next Year39.02%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-155.61%
FCF growth 3Y85.42%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-141.91%
OCF growth 3Y82.43%
OCF growth 5YN/A