COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:COST • US22160K1051
Current stock price
1011.15 USD
-3.23 (-0.32%)
At close:
1009.85 USD
-1.3 (-0.13%)
After Hours:
This COST fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. COST Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year COST was profitable.
- COST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years COST has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years COST always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 10.22%, COST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.49% of the companies in the same industry.
- With an excellent Return On Equity value of 26.64%, COST belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.49% of the companies in the same industry.
- COST has a better Return On Invested Capital (19.20%) than 97.30% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for COST is significantly below the industry average of 34.78%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (19.20%) for COST is above the 3 year average (19.04%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.22% | ||
| ROE | 26.64% | ||
| ROIC | 19.2% |
ROA(3y)10.06%
ROA(5y)9.55%
ROE(3y)28.02%
ROE(5y)28.18%
ROIC(3y)19.04%
ROIC(5y)18.81%
1.3 Margins
- COST has a Profit Margin of 2.99%. This is in the better half of the industry: COST outperforms 70.27% of its industry peers.
- COST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- COST's Operating Margin of 3.82% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COST outperforms 64.86% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of COST has remained more or less at the same level.
- With a Gross Margin value of 12.93%, COST is not doing good in the industry: 83.78% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of COST has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.99% | ||
| GM | 12.93% |
OM growth 3Y2.67%
OM growth 5Y0.6%
PM growth 3Y4.55%
PM growth 5Y4.16%
GM growth 3Y1.87%
GM growth 5Y-0.47%
2. COST Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so COST is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for COST remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for COST has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- COST has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- COST has an Altman-Z score of 9.53. This indicates that COST is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of COST (9.53) is better than 97.30% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of COST is 0.63, which is an excellent value as it means it would take COST, only 0.63 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- COST's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.63 is amongst the best of the industry. COST outperforms 86.49% of its industry peers.
- COST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.18. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- COST's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.18 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COST outperforms 72.97% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.18 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.63 | ||
| Altman-Z | 9.53 |
ROIC/WACC2.18
WACC8.82%
2.3 Liquidity
- COST has a Current Ratio of 1.06. This is a normal value and indicates that COST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.06, COST is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.54% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.59 indicates that COST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.59, COST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.35% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.06 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.59 |
3. COST Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- COST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 12.26%, which is quite good.
- COST shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.76% yearly.
- COST shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 8.40%.
- COST shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.54% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.26%
EPS 3Y11.13%
EPS 5Y15.76%
EPS Q2Q%13.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.4%
Revenue growth 3Y6.64%
Revenue growth 5Y10.54%
Sales Q2Q%9.22%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, COST will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.64% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.21% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y14.74%
EPS Next 2Y12.28%
EPS Next 3Y11.8%
EPS Next 5Y9.64%
Revenue Next Year8.59%
Revenue Next 2Y8.14%
Revenue Next 3Y8.18%
Revenue Next 5Y7.21%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. COST Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 52.58, which means the current valuation is very expensive for COST.
- COST's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. COST is more expensive than 72.97% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.42. COST is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 44.05, COST can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of COST is on the same level as its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.29, COST is valued quite expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 52.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 44.05 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, COST is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 70.27% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as COST.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 49.3 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 32.34 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of COST may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.57
PEG (5Y)3.34
EPS Next 2Y12.28%
EPS Next 3Y11.8%
5. COST Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.58%, COST is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.77, COST pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, COST's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.58% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of COST is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.97%!
- COST has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- COST has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.97%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- 33.01% of the earnings are spent on dividend by COST. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of COST is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP33.01%
EPS Next 2Y12.28%
EPS Next 3Y11.8%
COST Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
1011.15
-3.23 (-0.32%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)03-05 2026-03-05/amc
Earnings (Next)05-28 2026-05-28/amc
Inst Owners72.25%
Inst Owner Change1.5%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change-1.23%
Market Cap448.60B
Revenue(TTM)286.26B
Net Income(TTM)8.55B
Analysts79.09
Price Target1091.15 (7.91%)
Short Float %1.42%
Short Ratio3.21
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.58% |
Yearly Dividend4.93
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.97%
DP33.01%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date05-01 2026-05-01 (1.47)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.87%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)3.28%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(4)3.28%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.35%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.14%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.12%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.76%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.94%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.53%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.72%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.92%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.87%
PT rev (1m)2.21%
PT rev (3m)4.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.55%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.44%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.45%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.52%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 52.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 44.05 | ||
| P/S | 1.57 | ||
| P/FCF | 49.3 | ||
| P/OCF | 29.88 | ||
| P/B | 13.98 | ||
| P/tB | 13.98 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 32.34 |
EPS(TTM)19.23
EY1.9%
EPS(NY)22.96
Fwd EY2.27%
FCF(TTM)20.51
FCFY2.03%
OCF(TTM)33.84
OCFY3.35%
SpS645.25
BVpS72.33
TBVpS72.33
PEG (NY)3.57
PEG (5Y)3.34
Graham Number176.899 (-82.51%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.22% | ||
| ROE | 26.64% | ||
| ROCE | 25.52% | ||
| ROIC | 19.2% | ||
| ROICexc | 33.42% | ||
| ROICexgc | 33.42% | ||
| OM | 3.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.99% | ||
| GM | 12.93% | ||
| FCFM | 3.18% |
ROA(3y)10.06%
ROA(5y)9.55%
ROE(3y)28.02%
ROE(5y)28.18%
ROIC(3y)19.04%
ROIC(5y)18.81%
ROICexc(3y)30.66%
ROICexc(5y)30.26%
ROICexgc(3y)32.07%
ROICexgc(5y)31.88%
ROCE(3y)25.3%
ROCE(5y)25%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.66%
ROICexgc growth 5Y2.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y3.91%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.68%
OM growth 3Y2.67%
OM growth 5Y0.6%
PM growth 3Y4.55%
PM growth 5Y4.16%
GM growth 3Y1.87%
GM growth 5Y-0.47%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover3.42
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.18 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.63 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.42 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 234.6% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.07% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 107.26 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 111.52% | ||
| Profit Quality | 106.43% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.06 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.59 | ||
| Altman-Z | 9.53 |
F-Score7
WACC8.82%
ROIC/WACC2.18
Cap/Depr(3y)215.11%
Cap/Depr(5y)210.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.88%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.84%
Profit Quality(3y)97.98%
Profit Quality(5y)92.22%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.26%
EPS 3Y11.13%
EPS 5Y15.76%
EPS Q2Q%13.93%
EPS Next Y14.74%
EPS Next 2Y12.28%
EPS Next 3Y11.8%
EPS Next 5Y9.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.4%
Revenue growth 3Y6.64%
Revenue growth 5Y10.54%
Sales Q2Q%9.22%
Revenue Next Year8.59%
Revenue Next 2Y8.14%
Revenue Next 3Y8.18%
Revenue Next 5Y7.21%
EBIT growth 1Y12.19%
EBIT growth 3Y9.49%
EBIT growth 5Y11.2%
EBIT Next Year37.85%
EBIT Next 3Y19.15%
EBIT Next 5Y13.92%
FCF growth 1Y46.73%
FCF growth 3Y30.81%
FCF growth 5Y5.31%
OCF growth 1Y40.97%
OCF growth 3Y21.73%
OCF growth 5Y8.52%
COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP / COST Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for COST stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to COST.
What is the valuation status of COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP?
COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) is 52.58 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 13.98.
Can you provide the financial health for COST stock?
The financial health rating of COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) is 7 / 10.