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COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:COST - US22160K1051 - Common Stock

953.4 USD
+2.42 (+0.25%)
Last: 1/15/2026, 10:01:01 AM
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, COST scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. COST was compared to 38 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. While COST has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. COST is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year COST was profitable.
  • COST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years COST has been profitable.
  • COST had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
COST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCOST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 10.03%, COST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.21% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 27.40%, COST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.21% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of COST (19.55%) is better than 97.37% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for COST is significantly below the industry average of 28.32%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (19.04%) for COST is below the current ROIC(19.55%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.03%
ROE 27.4%
ROIC 19.55%
ROA(3y)10.06%
ROA(5y)9.55%
ROE(3y)28.02%
ROE(5y)28.18%
ROIC(3y)19.04%
ROIC(5y)18.81%
COST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCOST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 2.96%, COST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
  • COST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • COST has a better Operating Margin (3.80%) than 65.79% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of COST has remained more or less at the same level.
  • The Gross Margin of COST (12.88%) is worse than 81.58% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of COST has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.8%
PM (TTM) 2.96%
GM 12.88%
OM growth 3Y2.67%
OM growth 5Y0.6%
PM growth 3Y4.55%
PM growth 5Y4.16%
GM growth 3Y1.87%
GM growth 5Y-0.47%
COST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCOST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • COST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, COST has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, COST has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, COST has an improved debt to assets ratio.
COST Yearly Shares OutstandingCOST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M
COST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCOST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 9.06 indicates that COST is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • COST's Altman-Z score of 9.06 is amongst the best of the industry. COST outperforms 94.74% of its industry peers.
  • COST has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.64. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.64 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 0.64, COST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.11% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.19 indicates that COST is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.19, COST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.05% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.19
Debt/FCF 0.64
Altman-Z 9.06
ROIC/WACC2.25
WACC8.69%
COST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCOST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.04 indicates that COST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • COST has a Current ratio of 1.04. This is in the lower half of the industry: COST underperforms 63.16% of its industry peers.
  • COST has a Quick Ratio of 1.04. This is a bad value and indicates that COST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • COST's Quick ratio of 0.53 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. COST outperforms 44.74% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.04
Quick Ratio 0.53
COST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCOST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 9.63% over the past year.
  • COST shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.76% yearly.
  • The Revenue has grown by 8.34% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • COST shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.54% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.63%
EPS 3Y11.13%
EPS 5Y15.76%
EPS Q2Q%11.39%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.34%
Revenue growth 3Y6.64%
Revenue growth 5Y10.54%
Sales Q2Q%8.3%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, COST will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.37% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, COST will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.09% on average per year.
EPS Next Y14.1%
EPS Next 2Y11.83%
EPS Next 3Y11.43%
EPS Next 5Y9.37%
Revenue Next Year8.07%
Revenue Next 2Y7.79%
Revenue Next 3Y7.59%
Revenue Next 5Y7.09%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
COST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCOST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 100B 200B 300B 400B 500B
COST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCOST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10 20 30 40

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 51.07, COST can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, COST is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 71.05% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • COST's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.33.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 41.87, COST can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, COST is valued a bit more expensive than 60.53% of the companies in the same industry.
  • COST is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.12, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 51.07
Fwd PE 41.87
COST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCOST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, COST is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 73.68% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, COST is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 63.16% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 46.93
EV/EBITDA 31.17
COST Per share dataCOST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 200 400 600

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of COST may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.62
PEG (5Y)3.24
EPS Next 2Y11.83%
EPS Next 3Y11.43%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • COST has a yearly dividend return of 0.57%, which is pretty low.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.76, COST pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, COST's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.57%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of COST is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.97%!
  • COST has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.97%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
COST Yearly Dividends per shareCOST Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15

5.3 Sustainability

  • 27.04% of the earnings are spent on dividend by COST. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • COST's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP27.04%
EPS Next 2Y11.83%
EPS Next 3Y11.43%
COST Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCOST Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B
COST Dividend Payout.COST Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.COST Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP

NASDAQ:COST (1/15/2026, 10:01:01 AM)

953.4

+2.42 (+0.25%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)12-11
Earnings (Next)03-04
Inst Owners71.58%
Inst Owner Change0.53%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change0.67%
Market Cap422.53B
Revenue(TTM)280.39B
Net Income(TTM)8.30B
Analysts78.6
Price Target1048.64 (9.99%)
Short Float %1.52%
Short Ratio2.55
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.57%
Yearly Dividend4.93
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.97%
DP27.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.23%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.82%
Max EPS beat(2)3.28%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.64%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.04%
Max EPS beat(4)3.28%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)1.31%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)0.06%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)0.25%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.94%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.05%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.92%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.99%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.84%
PT rev (1m)-2.11%
PT rev (3m)-3.23%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.38%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.48%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.46%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.52%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.26%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 51.07
Fwd PE 41.87
P/S 1.51
P/FCF 46.93
P/OCF 28.62
P/B 13.94
P/tB 13.94
EV/EBITDA 31.17
EPS(TTM)18.67
EY1.96%
EPS(NY)22.77
Fwd EY2.39%
FCF(TTM)20.31
FCFY2.13%
OCF(TTM)33.31
OCFY3.49%
SpS632.68
BVpS68.38
TBVpS68.38
PEG (NY)3.62
PEG (5Y)3.24
Graham Number169.48
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.03%
ROE 27.4%
ROCE 25.99%
ROIC 19.55%
ROICexc 33.67%
ROICexgc 33.67%
OM 3.8%
PM (TTM) 2.96%
GM 12.88%
FCFM 3.21%
ROA(3y)10.06%
ROA(5y)9.55%
ROE(3y)28.02%
ROE(5y)28.18%
ROIC(3y)19.04%
ROIC(5y)18.81%
ROICexc(3y)30.66%
ROICexc(5y)30.26%
ROICexgc(3y)32.07%
ROICexgc(5y)31.88%
ROCE(3y)25.3%
ROCE(5y)25%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.66%
ROICexgc growth 5Y2.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y3.91%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.68%
OM growth 3Y2.67%
OM growth 5Y0.6%
PM growth 3Y4.55%
PM growth 5Y4.16%
GM growth 3Y1.87%
GM growth 5Y-0.47%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover3.39
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.19
Debt/FCF 0.64
Debt/EBITDA 0.43
Cap/Depr 232.73%
Cap/Sales 2.05%
Interest Coverage 101.43
Cash Conversion 112.48%
Profit Quality 108.44%
Current Ratio 1.04
Quick Ratio 0.53
Altman-Z 9.06
F-Score7
WACC8.69%
ROIC/WACC2.25
Cap/Depr(3y)215.11%
Cap/Depr(5y)210.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.88%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.84%
Profit Quality(3y)97.98%
Profit Quality(5y)92.22%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.63%
EPS 3Y11.13%
EPS 5Y15.76%
EPS Q2Q%11.39%
EPS Next Y14.1%
EPS Next 2Y11.83%
EPS Next 3Y11.43%
EPS Next 5Y9.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.34%
Revenue growth 3Y6.64%
Revenue growth 5Y10.54%
Sales Q2Q%8.3%
Revenue Next Year8.07%
Revenue Next 2Y7.79%
Revenue Next 3Y7.59%
Revenue Next 5Y7.09%
EBIT growth 1Y12.14%
EBIT growth 3Y9.49%
EBIT growth 5Y11.2%
EBIT Next Year38.32%
EBIT Next 3Y18.66%
EBIT Next 5Y13.78%
FCF growth 1Y2.27%
FCF growth 3Y30.81%
FCF growth 5Y5.31%
OCF growth 1Y12.62%
OCF growth 3Y21.73%
OCF growth 5Y8.52%

COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP / COST FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for COST stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to COST.


What is the valuation status of COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) stock?

COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for COST stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) is expected to grow by 14.1% in the next year.


Is the dividend of COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 27.04%.