COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:COST • US22160K1051
Current stock price
1003.7 USD
-2.11 (-0.21%)
At close:
1003 USD
-0.7 (-0.07%)
After Hours:
This COST fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. COST Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- COST had positive earnings in the past year.
- COST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years COST has always been profitable.
- In the past 5 years COST always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- COST has a Return On Assets of 10.22%. This is amongst the best in the industry. COST outperforms 86.49% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of COST (26.64%) is better than 86.49% of its industry peers.
- COST's Return On Invested Capital of 19.20% is amongst the best of the industry. COST outperforms 97.30% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for COST is significantly below the industry average of 34.78%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (19.20%) for COST is above the 3 year average (19.04%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.22% | ||
| ROE | 26.64% | ||
| ROIC | 19.2% |
ROA(3y)10.06%
ROA(5y)9.55%
ROE(3y)28.02%
ROE(5y)28.18%
ROIC(3y)19.04%
ROIC(5y)18.81%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of COST (2.99%) is better than 70.27% of its industry peers.
- COST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- COST has a better Operating Margin (3.82%) than 64.86% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of COST has remained more or less at the same level.
- COST's Gross Margin of 12.93% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. COST is outperformed by 83.78% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of COST has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.99% | ||
| GM | 12.93% |
OM growth 3Y2.67%
OM growth 5Y0.6%
PM growth 3Y4.55%
PM growth 5Y4.16%
GM growth 3Y1.87%
GM growth 5Y-0.47%
2. COST Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so COST is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for COST remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
- COST has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for COST has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- COST has an Altman-Z score of 9.50. This indicates that COST is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of COST (9.50) is better than 97.30% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of COST is 0.63, which is an excellent value as it means it would take COST, only 0.63 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- COST's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.63 is amongst the best of the industry. COST outperforms 86.49% of its industry peers.
- COST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.18. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.18, COST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.97% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.18 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.63 | ||
| Altman-Z | 9.5 |
ROIC/WACC2.18
WACC8.81%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.06 indicates that COST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- COST's Current ratio of 1.06 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. COST outperforms 40.54% of its industry peers.
- COST has a Quick Ratio of 1.06. This is a bad value and indicates that COST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- COST has a Quick ratio (0.59) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.06 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.59 |
3. COST Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 12.26% over the past year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 15.76% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
- Looking at the last year, COST shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.40% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 10.54% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.26%
EPS 3Y11.13%
EPS 5Y15.76%
EPS Q2Q%13.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.4%
Revenue growth 3Y6.64%
Revenue growth 5Y10.54%
Sales Q2Q%9.22%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, COST will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.44% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.18% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y14.74%
EPS Next 2Y12.28%
EPS Next 3Y11.8%
EPS Next 5Y9.44%
Revenue Next Year8.59%
Revenue Next 2Y8.14%
Revenue Next 3Y8.18%
Revenue Next 5Y7.18%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. COST Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- COST is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 52.19.
- 72.97% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than COST, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of COST to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.79), we can say COST is valued expensively.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 43.72, COST can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of COST is on the same level as its industry peers.
- COST is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.88, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 52.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 43.72 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, COST is valued a bit more expensive than 72.97% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of COST is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 48.94 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 32.16 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of COST may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.54
PEG (5Y)3.31
EPS Next 2Y12.28%
EPS Next 3Y11.8%
5. COST Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.53%, COST is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.78, COST pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- With a Dividend Yield of 0.53, COST pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.53% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of COST grows each year by 7.97%, which is quite nice.
- COST has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- COST has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.97%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- 33.01% of the earnings are spent on dividend by COST. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of COST is growing around the same rate as the earnings are growing. If this keeps up the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP33.01%
EPS Next 2Y12.28%
EPS Next 3Y11.8%
COST Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
1003.7
-2.11 (-0.21%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)03-05 2026-03-05/amc
Earnings (Next)05-28 2026-05-28/amc
Inst Owners72.25%
Inst Owner Change0.06%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change-0.35%
Market Cap445.29B
Revenue(TTM)286.26B
Net Income(TTM)8.55B
Analysts79.09
Price Target1091.15 (8.71%)
Short Float %1.42%
Short Ratio3.21
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.53% |
Yearly Dividend4.93
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.97%
DP33.01%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date05-01 2026-05-01 (1.47)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.87%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)3.28%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(4)3.28%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.35%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.14%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.12%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.76%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.94%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.53%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.72%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.92%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.87%
PT rev (1m)2.21%
PT rev (3m)4.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.32%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.71%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.44%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.31%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.79%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.51%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 52.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 43.72 | ||
| P/S | 1.56 | ||
| P/FCF | 48.94 | ||
| P/OCF | 29.66 | ||
| P/B | 13.88 | ||
| P/tB | 13.88 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 32.16 |
EPS(TTM)19.23
EY1.92%
EPS(NY)22.96
Fwd EY2.29%
FCF(TTM)20.51
FCFY2.04%
OCF(TTM)33.84
OCFY3.37%
SpS645.25
BVpS72.33
TBVpS72.33
PEG (NY)3.54
PEG (5Y)3.31
Graham Number176.899 (-82.38%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.22% | ||
| ROE | 26.64% | ||
| ROCE | 25.52% | ||
| ROIC | 19.2% | ||
| ROICexc | 33.42% | ||
| ROICexgc | 33.42% | ||
| OM | 3.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.99% | ||
| GM | 12.93% | ||
| FCFM | 3.18% |
ROA(3y)10.06%
ROA(5y)9.55%
ROE(3y)28.02%
ROE(5y)28.18%
ROIC(3y)19.04%
ROIC(5y)18.81%
ROICexc(3y)30.66%
ROICexc(5y)30.26%
ROICexgc(3y)32.07%
ROICexgc(5y)31.88%
ROCE(3y)25.3%
ROCE(5y)25%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.66%
ROICexgc growth 5Y2.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y3.91%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.68%
OM growth 3Y2.67%
OM growth 5Y0.6%
PM growth 3Y4.55%
PM growth 5Y4.16%
GM growth 3Y1.87%
GM growth 5Y-0.47%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover3.42
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.18 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.63 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.42 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 234.6% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.07% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 107.26 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 111.52% | ||
| Profit Quality | 106.43% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.06 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.59 | ||
| Altman-Z | 9.5 |
F-Score7
WACC8.81%
ROIC/WACC2.18
Cap/Depr(3y)215.11%
Cap/Depr(5y)210.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.88%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.84%
Profit Quality(3y)97.98%
Profit Quality(5y)92.22%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.26%
EPS 3Y11.13%
EPS 5Y15.76%
EPS Q2Q%13.93%
EPS Next Y14.74%
EPS Next 2Y12.28%
EPS Next 3Y11.8%
EPS Next 5Y9.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.4%
Revenue growth 3Y6.64%
Revenue growth 5Y10.54%
Sales Q2Q%9.22%
Revenue Next Year8.59%
Revenue Next 2Y8.14%
Revenue Next 3Y8.18%
Revenue Next 5Y7.18%
EBIT growth 1Y12.19%
EBIT growth 3Y9.49%
EBIT growth 5Y11.2%
EBIT Next Year37.85%
EBIT Next 3Y19.15%
EBIT Next 5Y13.81%
FCF growth 1Y46.73%
FCF growth 3Y30.81%
FCF growth 5Y5.31%
OCF growth 1Y40.97%
OCF growth 3Y21.73%
OCF growth 5Y8.52%
COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP / COST Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for COST stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to COST.
What is the valuation status of COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP?
COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) is 52.19 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 13.88.
Can you provide the financial health for COST stock?
The financial health rating of COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) is 7 / 10.