CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:CMG • US1696561059
37.17 USD
+0.87 (+2.4%)
Last: Feb 17, 2026, 09:36 AM
CMG gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 126 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. CMG scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. CMG is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate. These ratings could make CMG a good candidate for quality investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year CMG was profitable.
- In the past year CMG had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years CMG has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years CMG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 17.07%, CMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.65% of the companies in the same industry.
- CMG's Return On Equity of 54.26% is amongst the best of the industry. CMG outperforms 92.06% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 19.21%, CMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.68% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CMG is significantly above the industry average of 10.54%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (19.21%) for CMG is above the 3 year average (18.35%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 17.07% | ||
| ROE | 54.26% | ||
| ROIC | 19.21% |
ROA(3y)16.34%
ROA(5y)14.36%
ROE(3y)45.45%
ROE(5y)40.55%
ROIC(3y)18.35%
ROIC(5y)16.21%
1.3 Margins
- CMG has a better Profit Margin (12.88%) than 81.75% of its industry peers.
- CMG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 16.46%, CMG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
- CMG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With a Gross Margin value of 30.62%, CMG is not doing good in the industry: 75.40% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- CMG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.46% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.88% | ||
| GM | 30.62% |
OM growth 3Y6.36%
OM growth 5Y24.67%
PM growth 3Y7.34%
PM growth 5Y16.72%
GM growth 3Y1.59%
GM growth 5Y4.89%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- CMG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for CMG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, CMG has less shares outstanding
- CMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 6.78 indicates that CMG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 6.78, CMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.06% of the companies in the same industry.
- There is no outstanding debt for CMG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.78 |
ROIC/WACC2.21
WACC8.68%
2.3 Liquidity
- CMG has a Current Ratio of 1.23. This is a normal value and indicates that CMG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.23, CMG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.32% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.19 indicates that CMG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- CMG has a better Quick ratio (1.19) than 61.90% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.23 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.19 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- CMG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 2.89%.
- Measured over the past years, CMG shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 40.17% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, CMG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.41% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 14.79% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.89%
EPS 3Y20.93%
EPS 5Y40.17%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.41%
Revenue growth 3Y11.36%
Revenue growth 5Y14.79%
Sales Q2Q%4.86%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.20% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.68% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y6.06%
EPS Next 2Y12.13%
EPS Next 3Y14.94%
EPS Next 5Y15.2%
Revenue Next Year9.76%
Revenue Next 2Y10.56%
Revenue Next 3Y11.75%
Revenue Next 5Y10.68%
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 32.04 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CMG.
- CMG's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- CMG's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.19.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.21 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CMG.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CMG is on the same level as its industry peers.
- CMG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 28.06.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.04 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.21 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CMG indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: CMG is more expensive than 69.05% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as CMG.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 33.44 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 19.59 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- The excellent profitability rating of CMG may justify a higher PE ratio.
- CMG's earnings are expected to grow with 14.94% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)5.29
PEG (5Y)0.8
EPS Next 2Y12.13%
EPS Next 3Y14.94%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for CMG!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
NYSE:CMG (2/17/2026, 9:36:08 AM)
37.17
+0.87 (+2.4%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-03 2026-02-03/amc
Earnings (Next)04-21 2026-04-21/amc
Inst Owners90.35%
Inst Owner Change-1.07%
Ins Owners0.24%
Ins Owner Change-20.38%
Market Cap48.41B
Revenue(TTM)11.93B
Net Income(TTM)1.54B
Analysts78.57
Price Target46.37 (24.75%)
Short Float %2.36%
Short Ratio1.63
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.88%
Min EPS beat(2)0.33%
Max EPS beat(2)3.43%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)1.55%
Min EPS beat(4)0.31%
Max EPS beat(4)3.43%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)4.1%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)5.23%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)3.7%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.35%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.35%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.35%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.07%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.26%
PT rev (1m)3.6%
PT rev (3m)-15.59%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-11.58%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.2%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.3%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.28%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.87%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.87%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.96%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.04 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.21 | ||
| P/S | 4.06 | ||
| P/FCF | 33.44 | ||
| P/OCF | 22.9 | ||
| P/B | 17.1 | ||
| P/tB | 17.24 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 19.59 |
EPS(TTM)1.16
EY3.12%
EPS(NY)1.23
Fwd EY3.31%
FCF(TTM)1.11
FCFY2.99%
OCF(TTM)1.62
OCFY4.37%
SpS9.16
BVpS2.17
TBVpS2.16
PEG (NY)5.29
PEG (5Y)0.8
Graham Number7.53
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 17.07% | ||
| ROE | 54.26% | ||
| ROCE | 25.15% | ||
| ROIC | 19.21% | ||
| ROICexc | 22.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.26% | ||
| OM | 16.46% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.88% | ||
| GM | 30.62% | ||
| FCFM | 12.14% |
ROA(3y)16.34%
ROA(5y)14.36%
ROE(3y)45.45%
ROE(5y)40.55%
ROIC(3y)18.35%
ROIC(5y)16.21%
ROICexc(3y)21.98%
ROICexc(5y)19.42%
ROICexgc(3y)22.06%
ROICexgc(5y)19.49%
ROCE(3y)24.03%
ROCE(5y)21.22%
ROICexgc growth 3Y7.85%
ROICexgc growth 5Y30.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.89%
ROICexc growth 5Y30.18%
OM growth 3Y6.36%
OM growth 5Y24.67%
PM growth 3Y7.34%
PM growth 5Y16.72%
GM growth 3Y1.59%
GM growth 5Y4.89%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.33
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 184.39% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.59% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 90.93% | ||
| Profit Quality | 94.26% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.23 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.78 |
F-Score7
WACC8.68%
ROIC/WACC2.21
Cap/Depr(3y)179.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)175.59%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.5%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.59%
Profit Quality(3y)97.43%
Profit Quality(5y)102.95%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.89%
EPS 3Y20.93%
EPS 5Y40.17%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y6.06%
EPS Next 2Y12.13%
EPS Next 3Y14.94%
EPS Next 5Y15.2%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.41%
Revenue growth 3Y11.36%
Revenue growth 5Y14.79%
Sales Q2Q%4.86%
Revenue Next Year9.76%
Revenue Next 2Y10.56%
Revenue Next 3Y11.75%
Revenue Next 5Y10.68%
EBIT growth 1Y1.03%
EBIT growth 3Y18.44%
EBIT growth 5Y43.1%
EBIT Next Year25.79%
EBIT Next 3Y19.34%
EBIT Next 5Y13.79%
FCF growth 1Y-4.23%
FCF growth 3Y19.7%
FCF growth 5Y37.88%
OCF growth 1Y0.42%
OCF growth 3Y16.9%
OCF growth 5Y26.07%
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC / CMG FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CMG.
Can you provide the valuation status for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What is the financial health of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
The financial health rating of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) is 8 / 10.