CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG)
US1696561059 - Common Stock
CMG gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 135 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. CMG scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. CMG shows excellent growth, but is valued quite expensive already. This makes CMG very considerable for growth and quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CMG was profitable.
In the past year CMG had a positive cash flow from operations.
CMG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years CMG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
CMG's Return On Assets of 16.47% is amongst the best of the industry. CMG outperforms 96.27% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of CMG (41.08%) is better than 93.28% of its industry peers.
CMG's Return On Invested Capital of 18.07% is amongst the best of the industry. CMG outperforms 91.79% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CMG is above the industry average of 10.46%.
The 3 year average ROIC (14.38%) for CMG is below the current ROIC(18.07%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.47% | ||
| ROE | 41.08% | ||
| ROIC | 18.07% |
ROA(3y)12.69%
ROA(5y)10.17%
ROE(3y)35.51%
ROE(5y)28.99%
ROIC(3y)14.38%
ROIC(5y)11.23%
1.3 Margins
CMG's Profit Margin of 13.51% is amongst the best of the industry. CMG outperforms 82.09% of its industry peers.
CMG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
CMG's Operating Margin of 17.27% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMG outperforms 73.88% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 31.86%, CMG is doing worse than 73.88% of the companies in the same industry.
CMG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 17.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.51% | ||
| GM | 31.86% |
OM growth 3Y43.55%
OM growth 5Y17.44%
PM growth 3Y27.93%
PM growth 5Y27.95%
GM growth 3Y8.6%
GM growth 5Y3.83%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
CMG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
CMG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, CMG has less shares outstanding
There is no outstanding debt for CMG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
2.2 Solvency
CMG has an Altman-Z score of 11.33. This indicates that CMG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
CMG has a Altman-Z score of 11.33. This is amongst the best in the industry. CMG outperforms 97.76% of its industry peers.
There is no outstanding debt for CMG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 11.33 |
ROIC/WACC1.99
WACC9.07%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.62 indicates that CMG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CMG's Current ratio of 1.62 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMG outperforms 77.61% of its industry peers.
CMG has a Quick Ratio of 1.57. This is a normal value and indicates that CMG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CMG's Quick ratio of 1.57 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMG outperforms 77.61% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.57 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
CMG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 26.71%, which is quite impressive.
CMG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 38.26% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 15.19% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing by 15.20% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.71%
EPS 3Y61.16%
EPS 5Y38.26%
EPS Q2Q%18.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.19%
Revenue growth 3Y18.15%
Revenue growth 5Y15.2%
Sales Q2Q%13.01%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 20.75% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
CMG is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 14.15% yearly.
EPS Next Y25.41%
EPS Next 2Y21.52%
EPS Next 3Y20.83%
EPS Next 5Y20.75%
Revenue Next Year14.98%
Revenue Next 2Y14.11%
Revenue Next 3Y13.93%
Revenue Next 5Y14.15%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 57.42, the valuation of CMG can be described as expensive.
CMG's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
CMG is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 29.20, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 46.79, the valuation of CMG can be described as expensive.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CMG is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 60.45% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
CMG is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.00, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 57.42 | ||
| Fwd PE | 46.79 |
4.2 Price Multiples
CMG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. CMG is more expensive than 75.37% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as CMG.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 67.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 35.68 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates CMG does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
CMG has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
CMG's earnings are expected to grow with 20.83% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.26
PEG (5Y)1.5
EPS Next 2Y21.52%
EPS Next 3Y20.83%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CMG does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC
NYSE:CMG (11/22/2024, 8:04:00 PM)
After market: 62.1 +0.09 (+0.15%)62.01
+2.03 (+3.38%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners
Inst Owner Change
Ins Owners
Ins Owner Change
Market Cap84.49B
Analysts
Price Target
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Dividend Growth(5Y)
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Div Incr Years
Div Non Decr Years
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Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)
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Revenue NQ rev (1m)
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Revenue NY rev (1m)
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Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 57.42 | ||
| Fwd PE | 46.79 | ||
| P/S | |||
| P/FCF | |||
| P/OCF | |||
| P/B | |||
| P/tB | |||
| EV/EBITDA |
EPS(TTM)
EY
EPS(NY)
Fwd EY
FCF(TTM)
FCFY
OCF(TTM)
OCFY
SpS
BVpS
TBVpS
PEG (NY)2.26
PEG (5Y)1.5
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.47% | ||
| ROE | 41.08% | ||
| ROCE | |||
| ROIC | |||
| ROICexc | |||
| ROICexgc | |||
| OM | 17.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.51% | ||
| GM | 31.86% | ||
| FCFM |
ROA(3y)
ROA(5y)
ROE(3y)
ROE(5y)
ROIC(3y)
ROIC(5y)
ROICexc(3y)
ROICexc(5y)
ROICexgc(3y)
ROICexgc(5y)
ROCE(3y)
ROCE(5y)
ROICexcg growth 3Y
ROICexcg growth 5Y
ROICexc growth 3Y
ROICexc growth 5Y
OM growth 3Y
OM growth 5Y
PM growth 3Y
PM growth 5Y
GM growth 3Y
GM growth 5Y
F-Score
Asset Turnover1.22
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | |||
| Debt/EBITDA | |||
| Cap/Depr | |||
| Cap/Sales | |||
| Interest Coverage | |||
| Cash Conversion | |||
| Profit Quality | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.57 | ||
| Altman-Z |
F-Score
WACC
ROIC/WACC
Cap/Depr(3y)
Cap/Depr(5y)
Cap/Sales(3y)
Cap/Sales(5y)
Profit Quality(3y)
Profit Quality(5y)
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.71%
EPS 3Y61.16%
EPS 5Y
EPS Q2Q%
EPS Next Y25.41%
EPS Next 2Y
EPS Next 3Y
EPS Next 5Y
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.19%
Revenue growth 3Y18.15%
Revenue growth 5Y
Sales Q2Q%
Revenue Next Year
Revenue Next 2Y
Revenue Next 3Y
Revenue Next 5Y
EBIT growth 1Y
EBIT growth 3Y
EBIT growth 5Y
EBIT Next Year
EBIT Next 3Y
EBIT Next 5Y
FCF growth 1Y
FCF growth 3Y
FCF growth 5Y
OCF growth 1Y
OCF growth 3Y
OCF growth 5Y