CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:CMG - US1696561059 - Common Stock
41.525 USD
-0.09 (-0.2%)
CMG gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 134 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. CMG has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. CMG is valued quite expensively, but it does show have an excellent growth rating. These ratings would make CMG suitable for growth and quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CMG was profitable.
In the past year CMG had a positive cash flow from operations.
CMG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years CMG had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of CMG (16.64%) is better than 94.78% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of CMG (43.70%) is better than 90.30% of its industry peers.
CMG's Return On Invested Capital of 18.27% is amongst the best of the industry. CMG outperforms 90.30% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CMG is significantly above the industry average of 10.67%.
The 3 year average ROIC (16.89%) for CMG is below the current ROIC(18.27%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.64% | ||
| ROE | 43.7% | ||
| ROIC | 18.27% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
1.3 Margins
CMG has a better Profit Margin (13.32%) than 82.84% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
CMG has a Operating Margin of 16.88%. This is in the better half of the industry: CMG outperforms 73.88% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of CMG (31.11%) is worse than 74.63% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.88% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.32% | ||
| GM | 31.11% |
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CMG is creating value.
CMG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for CMG has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
CMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
CMG has an Altman-Z score of 8.08. This indicates that CMG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of CMG (8.08) is better than 90.30% of its industry peers.
CMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 8.08 |
ROIC/WACC2.12
WACC8.62%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.65 indicates that CMG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of CMG (1.65) is better than 75.37% of its industry peers.
CMG has a Quick Ratio of 1.62. This is a normal value and indicates that CMG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CMG (1.62) is better than 78.36% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.65 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.62 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
CMG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 9.43%, which is quite good.
CMG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 31.99% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 8.57% in the past year. This is quite good.
Measured over the past years, CMG shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 15.16% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.43%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%-2.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.57%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%3.04%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, CMG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 14.95% on average per year.
CMG is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 11.40% yearly.
EPS Next Y8.8%
EPS Next 2Y12.75%
EPS Next 3Y14.3%
EPS Next 5Y14.95%
Revenue Next Year7.19%
Revenue Next 2Y9.82%
Revenue Next 3Y10.45%
Revenue Next 5Y11.4%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
CMG is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 36.43.
CMG's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.57, CMG is valued a bit more expensive.
CMG is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.97.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as CMG.
CMG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 23.09.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 28.97 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CMG is valued a bit more expensive than 71.64% of the companies in the same industry.
CMG's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 37.98 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.27 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates CMG does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
CMG has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
CMG's earnings are expected to grow with 14.30% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)4.14
PEG (5Y)1.14
EPS Next 2Y12.75%
EPS Next 3Y14.3%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CMG does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
NYSE:CMG (10/23/2025, 9:50:09 AM)
41.525
-0.09 (-0.2%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.32%
Inst Owner Change-0.08%
Ins Owners0.31%
Ins Owner Change-6.25%
Market Cap55.68B
Revenue(TTM)11.58B
Net Income(TTM)1.54B
Analysts81.95
Price Target59.58 (43.48%)
Short Float %1.96%
Short Ratio1.22
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.22%
Min EPS beat(2)0.31%
Max EPS beat(2)2.13%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)2.36%
Min EPS beat(4)0.31%
Max EPS beat(4)5.96%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)5.1%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)4.46%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)4.4%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.53%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.22%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.2%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.3%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.2%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-2.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.93%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.36%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.02%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 28.97 | ||
| P/S | 4.81 | ||
| P/FCF | 37.98 | ||
| P/OCF | 26.62 | ||
| P/B | 15.78 | ||
| P/tB | 15.88 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.27 |
EPS(TTM)1.14
EY2.75%
EPS(NY)1.43
Fwd EY3.45%
FCF(TTM)1.09
FCFY2.63%
OCF(TTM)1.56
OCFY3.76%
SpS8.63
BVpS2.63
TBVpS2.61
PEG (NY)4.14
PEG (5Y)1.14
Graham Number8.22
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.64% | ||
| ROE | 43.7% | ||
| ROCE | 24.02% | ||
| ROIC | 18.27% | ||
| ROICexc | 22.56% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.64% | ||
| OM | 16.88% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.32% | ||
| GM | 31.11% | ||
| FCFM | 12.66% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
ROICexc(3y)20.4%
ROICexc(5y)16.1%
ROICexgc(3y)20.47%
ROICexgc(5y)16.17%
ROCE(3y)22.21%
ROCE(5y)17.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y18.49%
ROICexgc growth 5Y16.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.54%
ROICexc growth 5Y16.87%
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.25
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 180.67% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.41% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 90.9% | ||
| Profit Quality | 95.07% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.65 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.62 | ||
| Altman-Z | 8.08 |
F-Score7
WACC8.62%
ROIC/WACC2.12
Cap/Depr(3y)173.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)170.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.49%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.72%
Profit Quality(3y)97.3%
Profit Quality(5y)100.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.43%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%-2.94%
EPS Next Y8.8%
EPS Next 2Y12.75%
EPS Next 3Y14.3%
EPS Next 5Y14.95%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.57%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%3.04%
Revenue Next Year7.19%
Revenue Next 2Y9.82%
Revenue Next 3Y10.45%
Revenue Next 5Y11.4%
EBIT growth 1Y7.95%
EBIT growth 3Y32.8%
EBIT growth 5Y32.3%
EBIT Next Year27.06%
EBIT Next 3Y18.54%
EBIT Next 5Y16.36%
FCF growth 1Y17.2%
FCF growth 3Y21.65%
FCF growth 5Y31.27%
OCF growth 1Y16.79%
OCF growth 3Y17.97%
OCF growth 5Y23.88%