CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:CMG - US1696561059 - Common Stock
40.36 USD
-0.23 (-0.57%)
40.32 USD
-0.04 (-0.1%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to CMG. CMG was compared to 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. CMG scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. CMG is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate. These ratings would make CMG suitable for quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- CMG had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year CMG had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years CMG has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years CMG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- CMG has a Return On Assets of 16.55%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CMG outperforms 93.98% of its industry peers.
- CMG has a Return On Equity of 47.69%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CMG outperforms 90.23% of its industry peers.
- CMG has a better Return On Invested Capital (18.25%) than 90.98% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CMG is significantly above the industry average of 10.34%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (18.25%) for CMG is above the 3 year average (16.89%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.55% | ||
| ROE | 47.69% | ||
| ROIC | 18.25% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
1.3 Margins
- CMG's Profit Margin of 13.04% is amongst the best of the industry. CMG outperforms 82.71% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
- The Operating Margin of CMG (16.55%) is better than 74.44% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
- CMG has a Gross Margin of 30.89%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CMG underperforms 73.68% of its industry peers.
- CMG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.04% | ||
| GM | 30.89% |
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CMG is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, CMG has less shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for CMG has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- CMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
- CMG has an Altman-Z score of 7.51. This indicates that CMG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 7.51, CMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.23% of the companies in the same industry.
- There is no outstanding debt for CMG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.51 |
ROIC/WACC2.08
WACC8.79%
2.3 Liquidity
- CMG has a Current Ratio of 1.54. This is a normal value and indicates that CMG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- CMG's Current ratio of 1.54 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMG outperforms 72.18% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.50 indicates that CMG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.50, CMG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.19% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.95% over the past year.
- Measured over the past years, CMG shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 31.99% on average per year.
- CMG shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.31%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 15.16% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.65% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, CMG will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.26% on average per year.
EPS Next Y3.62%
EPS Next 2Y4.31%
EPS Next 3Y8.81%
EPS Next 5Y11.65%
Revenue Next Year5.19%
Revenue Next 2Y7.41%
Revenue Next 3Y8.71%
Revenue Next 5Y10.26%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 34.79, the valuation of CMG can be described as expensive.
- CMG's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.54. CMG is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 32.90, CMG can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- CMG's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CMG to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.31), we can say CMG is valued slightly more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.79 | ||
| Fwd PE | 32.9 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 71.43% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than CMG, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as CMG.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 33.93 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.37 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- The excellent profitability rating of CMG may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)9.61
PEG (5Y)1.09
EPS Next 2Y4.31%
EPS Next 3Y8.81%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- CMG does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
40.36
-0.23 (-0.57%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)10-29 2025-10-29/amc
Earnings (Next)02-03 2026-02-03/amc
Inst Owners90.35%
Inst Owner Change-0.11%
Ins Owners0.24%
Ins Owner Change-21.36%
Market Cap53.37B
Revenue(TTM)11.79B
Net Income(TTM)1.54B
Analysts79.51
Price Target44.76 (10.9%)
Short Float %2.49%
Short Ratio1.39
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)0.32%
Min EPS beat(2)0.31%
Max EPS beat(2)0.33%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)0.95%
Min EPS beat(4)0.31%
Max EPS beat(4)2.13%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)4.32%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)4.3%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)3.8%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.69%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.31%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.3%
PT rev (1m)-1.97%
PT rev (3m)-24.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.14%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-17.79%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.18%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.87%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.79 | ||
| Fwd PE | 32.9 | ||
| P/S | 4.53 | ||
| P/FCF | 33.93 | ||
| P/OCF | 24.1 | ||
| P/B | 16.56 | ||
| P/tB | 16.68 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.37 |
EPS(TTM)1.16
EY2.87%
EPS(NY)1.23
Fwd EY3.04%
FCF(TTM)1.19
FCFY2.95%
OCF(TTM)1.68
OCFY4.15%
SpS8.91
BVpS2.44
TBVpS2.42
PEG (NY)9.61
PEG (5Y)1.09
Graham Number7.97
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.55% | ||
| ROE | 47.69% | ||
| ROCE | 23.99% | ||
| ROIC | 18.25% | ||
| ROICexc | 22.11% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.19% | ||
| OM | 16.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.04% | ||
| GM | 30.89% | ||
| FCFM | 13.35% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
ROICexc(3y)20.4%
ROICexc(5y)16.1%
ROICexgc(3y)20.47%
ROICexgc(5y)16.17%
ROCE(3y)22.21%
ROCE(5y)17.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y18.49%
ROICexgc growth 5Y16.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.54%
ROICexc growth 5Y16.87%
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.27
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 182.03% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.44% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 96.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | 102.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.51 |
F-Score7
WACC8.79%
ROIC/WACC2.08
Cap/Depr(3y)173.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)170.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.49%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.72%
Profit Quality(3y)97.3%
Profit Quality(5y)100.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
EPS Next Y3.62%
EPS Next 2Y4.31%
EPS Next 3Y8.81%
EPS Next 5Y11.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%
Revenue Next Year5.19%
Revenue Next 2Y7.41%
Revenue Next 3Y8.71%
Revenue Next 5Y10.26%
EBIT growth 1Y2.84%
EBIT growth 3Y32.8%
EBIT growth 5Y32.3%
EBIT Next Year19.99%
EBIT Next 3Y13.62%
EBIT Next 5Y14.79%
FCF growth 1Y13.4%
FCF growth 3Y21.65%
FCF growth 5Y31.27%
OCF growth 1Y15.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.97%
OCF growth 5Y23.88%
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC / CMG FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to CMG.
Can you provide the valuation status for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What is the financial health of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
The financial health rating of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) is 8 / 10.