CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:CMG - US1696561059 - Common Stock
37.235 USD
+0.2 (+0.53%)
CMG gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. CMG scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. While showing a medium growth rate, CMG is valued expensive at the moment. These ratings could make CMG a good candidate for quality investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
CMG had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year CMG had a positive cash flow from operations.
CMG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
CMG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
CMG has a better Return On Assets (16.55%) than 93.98% of its industry peers.
CMG's Return On Equity of 47.69% is amongst the best of the industry. CMG outperforms 90.23% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 18.25%, CMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.98% of the companies in the same industry.
CMG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.89%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.39%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (18.25%) for CMG is above the 3 year average (16.89%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.55% | ||
| ROE | 47.69% | ||
| ROIC | 18.25% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
1.3 Margins
CMG's Profit Margin of 13.04% is amongst the best of the industry. CMG outperforms 82.71% of its industry peers.
CMG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
CMG's Operating Margin of 16.55% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMG outperforms 74.44% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
With a Gross Margin value of 30.89%, CMG is not doing good in the industry: 75.19% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.04% | ||
| GM | 30.89% |
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CMG is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for CMG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for CMG has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
CMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
CMG has an Altman-Z score of 7.05. This indicates that CMG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 7.05, CMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.73% of the companies in the same industry.
CMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.05 |
ROIC/WACC2.08
WACC8.76%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.54 indicates that CMG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of CMG (1.54) is better than 72.18% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.50 indicates that CMG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CMG's Quick ratio of 1.50 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMG outperforms 75.19% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.95% over the past year.
CMG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 31.99% yearly.
CMG shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.31%.
The Revenue has been growing by 15.16% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, CMG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.98% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, CMG will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.73% on average per year.
EPS Next Y3.62%
EPS Next 2Y4.31%
EPS Next 3Y8.81%
EPS Next 5Y12.98%
Revenue Next Year5.19%
Revenue Next 2Y7.41%
Revenue Next 3Y8.71%
Revenue Next 5Y10.73%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 32.10 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CMG.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as CMG.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.77. CMG is around the same levels.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 30.36, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CMG.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as CMG.
CMG is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.1 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.36 |
4.2 Price Multiples
68.42% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than CMG, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
61.65% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CMG, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 31.3 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 20.33 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of CMG may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)8.87
PEG (5Y)1
EPS Next 2Y4.31%
EPS Next 3Y8.81%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CMG does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
NYSE:CMG (12/31/2025, 11:30:05 AM)
37.235
+0.2 (+0.53%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.34%
Inst Owner Change1.77%
Ins Owners0.32%
Ins Owner Change-21.61%
Market Cap49.24B
Revenue(TTM)11.79B
Net Income(TTM)1.54B
Analysts79.51
Price Target44.76 (20.21%)
Short Float %2.49%
Short Ratio1.39
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)0.32%
Min EPS beat(2)0.31%
Max EPS beat(2)0.33%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)0.95%
Min EPS beat(4)0.31%
Max EPS beat(4)2.13%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)4.32%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)4.3%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)3.8%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.69%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.31%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.3%
PT rev (1m)-2.16%
PT rev (3m)-24.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.13%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-17.89%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.44%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.94%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.1 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.36 | ||
| P/S | 4.18 | ||
| P/FCF | 31.3 | ||
| P/OCF | 22.23 | ||
| P/B | 15.28 | ||
| P/tB | 15.39 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 20.33 |
EPS(TTM)1.16
EY3.12%
EPS(NY)1.23
Fwd EY3.29%
FCF(TTM)1.19
FCFY3.2%
OCF(TTM)1.68
OCFY4.5%
SpS8.91
BVpS2.44
TBVpS2.42
PEG (NY)8.87
PEG (5Y)1
Graham Number7.97
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.55% | ||
| ROE | 47.69% | ||
| ROCE | 23.99% | ||
| ROIC | 18.25% | ||
| ROICexc | 22.11% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.19% | ||
| OM | 16.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.04% | ||
| GM | 30.89% | ||
| FCFM | 13.35% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
ROICexc(3y)20.4%
ROICexc(5y)16.1%
ROICexgc(3y)20.47%
ROICexgc(5y)16.17%
ROCE(3y)22.21%
ROCE(5y)17.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y18.49%
ROICexgc growth 5Y16.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.54%
ROICexc growth 5Y16.87%
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.27
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 182.03% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.44% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 96.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | 102.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.05 |
F-Score7
WACC8.76%
ROIC/WACC2.08
Cap/Depr(3y)173.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)170.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.49%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.72%
Profit Quality(3y)97.3%
Profit Quality(5y)100.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
EPS Next Y3.62%
EPS Next 2Y4.31%
EPS Next 3Y8.81%
EPS Next 5Y12.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%
Revenue Next Year5.19%
Revenue Next 2Y7.41%
Revenue Next 3Y8.71%
Revenue Next 5Y10.73%
EBIT growth 1Y2.84%
EBIT growth 3Y32.8%
EBIT growth 5Y32.3%
EBIT Next Year19.99%
EBIT Next 3Y13.62%
EBIT Next 5Y14.79%
FCF growth 1Y13.4%
FCF growth 3Y21.65%
FCF growth 5Y31.27%
OCF growth 1Y15.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.97%
OCF growth 5Y23.88%
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC / CMG FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CMG.
What is the valuation status of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) is 32.1 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 15.28.
Can you provide the financial health for CMG stock?
The financial health rating of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) is 8 / 10.