CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:CMG - US1696561059 - Common Stock
30.43 USD
-0.13 (-0.43%)
Taking everything into account, CMG scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CMG was compared to 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making CMG a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. CMG is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate. These ratings would make CMG suitable for quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CMG was profitable.
CMG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
CMG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years CMG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
CMG has a Return On Assets of 16.55%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CMG outperforms 94.70% of its industry peers.
CMG has a Return On Equity of 47.69%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CMG outperforms 90.91% of its industry peers.
CMG's Return On Invested Capital of 18.25% is amongst the best of the industry. CMG outperforms 90.15% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CMG is significantly above the industry average of 10.77%.
The 3 year average ROIC (16.89%) for CMG is below the current ROIC(18.25%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.55% | ||
| ROE | 47.69% | ||
| ROIC | 18.25% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 13.04%, CMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.58% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 16.55%, CMG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.97% of the companies in the same industry.
CMG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
CMG has a Gross Margin of 30.89%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CMG underperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.04% | ||
| GM | 30.89% |
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
CMG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
CMG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, CMG has less shares outstanding
CMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.26 indicates that CMG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 6.26, CMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.64% of the companies in the same industry.
There is no outstanding debt for CMG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.26 |
ROIC/WACC2.07
WACC8.81%
2.3 Liquidity
CMG has a Current Ratio of 1.54. This is a normal value and indicates that CMG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CMG has a Current ratio of 1.54. This is in the better half of the industry: CMG outperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
CMG has a Quick Ratio of 1.50. This is a normal value and indicates that CMG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.50, CMG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
CMG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 6.95%.
CMG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 31.99% yearly.
CMG shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.31%.
CMG shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 15.16% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.98% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, CMG will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.73% on average per year.
EPS Next Y4.26%
EPS Next 2Y5.67%
EPS Next 3Y9.77%
EPS Next 5Y12.98%
Revenue Next Year5.65%
Revenue Next 2Y7.97%
Revenue Next 3Y9.12%
Revenue Next 5Y10.73%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 26.23, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CMG.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CMG is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.67, CMG is valued at the same level.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 24.17, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of CMG.
CMG's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 31.86. CMG is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.23 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.17 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CMG indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: CMG is more expensive than 63.64% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CMG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.12% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 25.94 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.86 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
CMG has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)6.15
PEG (5Y)0.82
EPS Next 2Y5.67%
EPS Next 3Y9.77%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CMG does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
NYSE:CMG (11/7/2025, 3:11:09 PM)
30.43
-0.13 (-0.43%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.32%
Inst Owner Change-1.65%
Ins Owners0.31%
Ins Owner Change-6.25%
Market Cap40.80B
Revenue(TTM)11.79B
Net Income(TTM)1.54B
Analysts80
Price Target54.93 (80.51%)
Short Float %2.06%
Short Ratio1.51
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)0.32%
Min EPS beat(2)0.31%
Max EPS beat(2)0.33%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)0.95%
Min EPS beat(4)0.31%
Max EPS beat(4)2.13%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)4.32%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)4.3%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)3.8%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.69%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.31%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.3%
PT rev (1m)-7.8%
PT rev (3m)-9.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.31%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.68%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.22%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.11%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.36%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.6%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.23 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.17 | ||
| P/S | 3.46 | ||
| P/FCF | 25.94 | ||
| P/OCF | 18.42 | ||
| P/B | 12.66 | ||
| P/tB | 12.75 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.86 |
EPS(TTM)1.16
EY3.81%
EPS(NY)1.26
Fwd EY4.14%
FCF(TTM)1.17
FCFY3.86%
OCF(TTM)1.65
OCFY5.43%
SpS8.79
BVpS2.4
TBVpS2.39
PEG (NY)6.15
PEG (5Y)0.82
Graham Number7.92
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.55% | ||
| ROE | 47.69% | ||
| ROCE | 23.99% | ||
| ROIC | 18.25% | ||
| ROICexc | 22.11% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.19% | ||
| OM | 16.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.04% | ||
| GM | 30.89% | ||
| FCFM | 13.35% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
ROICexc(3y)20.4%
ROICexc(5y)16.1%
ROICexgc(3y)20.47%
ROICexgc(5y)16.17%
ROCE(3y)22.21%
ROCE(5y)17.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y18.49%
ROICexgc growth 5Y16.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.54%
ROICexc growth 5Y16.87%
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.27
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 182.03% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.44% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 96.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | 102.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.26 |
F-Score7
WACC8.81%
ROIC/WACC2.07
Cap/Depr(3y)173.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)170.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.49%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.72%
Profit Quality(3y)97.3%
Profit Quality(5y)100.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
EPS Next Y4.26%
EPS Next 2Y5.67%
EPS Next 3Y9.77%
EPS Next 5Y12.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%
Revenue Next Year5.65%
Revenue Next 2Y7.97%
Revenue Next 3Y9.12%
Revenue Next 5Y10.73%
EBIT growth 1Y2.84%
EBIT growth 3Y32.8%
EBIT growth 5Y32.3%
EBIT Next Year27.06%
EBIT Next 3Y18.54%
EBIT Next 5Y14.79%
FCF growth 1Y13.4%
FCF growth 3Y21.65%
FCF growth 5Y31.27%
OCF growth 1Y15.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.97%
OCF growth 5Y23.88%
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC / CMG FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CMG.
What is the valuation status of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) is 26.23 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 12.66.
Can you provide the financial health for CMG stock?
The financial health rating of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) is 8 / 10.