CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:CMG - US1696561059 - Common Stock
38.87 USD
+0.25 (+0.65%)
38.87 USD
0 (0%)
Overall CMG gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated CMG against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. CMG gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. While showing a medium growth rate, CMG is valued expensive at the moment. These ratings would make CMG suitable for quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CMG was profitable.
CMG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years CMG has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years CMG had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
CMG's Return On Assets of 16.55% is amongst the best of the industry. CMG outperforms 93.98% of its industry peers.
CMG has a Return On Equity of 47.69%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CMG outperforms 90.23% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 18.25%, CMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.98% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CMG is significantly above the industry average of 10.39%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (18.25%) for CMG is above the 3 year average (16.89%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.55% | ||
| ROE | 47.69% | ||
| ROIC | 18.25% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 13.04%, CMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.71% of the companies in the same industry.
CMG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
CMG's Operating Margin of 16.55% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMG outperforms 74.44% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 30.89%, CMG is doing worse than 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.04% | ||
| GM | 30.89% |
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CMG is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for CMG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, CMG has less shares outstanding
There is no outstanding debt for CMG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 7.26 indicates that CMG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 7.26, CMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.23% of the companies in the same industry.
CMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.26 |
ROIC/WACC2.07
WACC8.82%
2.3 Liquidity
CMG has a Current Ratio of 1.54. This is a normal value and indicates that CMG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CMG has a better Current ratio (1.54) than 72.18% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.50 indicates that CMG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CMG (1.50) is better than 75.19% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.95% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, CMG shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 31.99% on average per year.
CMG shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.31%.
Measured over the past years, CMG shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 15.16% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.98% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.73% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y3.62%
EPS Next 2Y4.31%
EPS Next 3Y8.81%
EPS Next 5Y12.98%
Revenue Next Year5.19%
Revenue Next 2Y7.41%
Revenue Next 3Y8.71%
Revenue Next 5Y10.73%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 33.51, CMG can be considered very expensive at the moment.
CMG's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.92, CMG is valued a bit more expensive.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 31.69 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CMG.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CMG is on the same level as its industry peers.
CMG is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.57, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 31.69 |
4.2 Price Multiples
CMG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. CMG is more expensive than 69.17% of the companies in the same industry.
60.15% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CMG, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 32.67 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.24 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates CMG does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
CMG has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)9.26
PEG (5Y)1.05
EPS Next 2Y4.31%
EPS Next 3Y8.81%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for CMG!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
38.87
+0.25 (+0.65%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.35%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.24%
Ins Owner Change-21.61%
Market Cap51.40B
Revenue(TTM)11.79B
Net Income(TTM)1.54B
Analysts79.51
Price Target44.76 (15.15%)
Short Float %2.49%
Short Ratio1.39
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)0.32%
Min EPS beat(2)0.31%
Max EPS beat(2)0.33%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)0.95%
Min EPS beat(4)0.31%
Max EPS beat(4)2.13%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)4.32%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)4.3%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)3.8%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.69%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.31%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.3%
PT rev (1m)-2.16%
PT rev (3m)-24.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.14%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-17.79%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.18%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.87%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 31.69 | ||
| P/S | 4.36 | ||
| P/FCF | 32.67 | ||
| P/OCF | 23.21 | ||
| P/B | 15.95 | ||
| P/tB | 16.06 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.24 |
EPS(TTM)1.16
EY2.98%
EPS(NY)1.23
Fwd EY3.16%
FCF(TTM)1.19
FCFY3.06%
OCF(TTM)1.68
OCFY4.31%
SpS8.91
BVpS2.44
TBVpS2.42
PEG (NY)9.26
PEG (5Y)1.05
Graham Number7.97
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.55% | ||
| ROE | 47.69% | ||
| ROCE | 23.99% | ||
| ROIC | 18.25% | ||
| ROICexc | 22.11% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.19% | ||
| OM | 16.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.04% | ||
| GM | 30.89% | ||
| FCFM | 13.35% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
ROICexc(3y)20.4%
ROICexc(5y)16.1%
ROICexgc(3y)20.47%
ROICexgc(5y)16.17%
ROCE(3y)22.21%
ROCE(5y)17.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y18.49%
ROICexgc growth 5Y16.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.54%
ROICexc growth 5Y16.87%
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.27
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 182.03% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.44% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 96.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | 102.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.26 |
F-Score7
WACC8.82%
ROIC/WACC2.07
Cap/Depr(3y)173.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)170.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.49%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.72%
Profit Quality(3y)97.3%
Profit Quality(5y)100.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
EPS Next Y3.62%
EPS Next 2Y4.31%
EPS Next 3Y8.81%
EPS Next 5Y12.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%
Revenue Next Year5.19%
Revenue Next 2Y7.41%
Revenue Next 3Y8.71%
Revenue Next 5Y10.73%
EBIT growth 1Y2.84%
EBIT growth 3Y32.8%
EBIT growth 5Y32.3%
EBIT Next Year19.99%
EBIT Next 3Y13.62%
EBIT Next 5Y14.79%
FCF growth 1Y13.4%
FCF growth 3Y21.65%
FCF growth 5Y31.27%
OCF growth 1Y15.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.97%
OCF growth 5Y23.88%
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC / CMG FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to CMG.
Can you provide the valuation status for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What is the financial health of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
The financial health rating of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) is 8 / 10.