CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:CMG - US1696561059 - Common Stock
30.52 USD
-0.24 (-0.78%)
Overall CMG gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated CMG against 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making CMG a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. CMG is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate. These ratings would make CMG suitable for quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
CMG had positive earnings in the past year.
CMG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years CMG has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years CMG had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 16.55%, CMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.94% of the companies in the same industry.
CMG has a better Return On Equity (47.69%) than 89.39% of its industry peers.
CMG has a Return On Invested Capital of 18.25%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CMG outperforms 90.15% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CMG is significantly above the industry average of 10.59%.
The 3 year average ROIC (16.89%) for CMG is below the current ROIC(18.25%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.55% | ||
| ROE | 47.69% | ||
| ROIC | 18.25% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 13.04%, CMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.58% of the companies in the same industry.
CMG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 16.55%, CMG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
CMG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 30.89%, CMG is doing worse than 75.76% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.04% | ||
| GM | 30.89% |
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
CMG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CMG has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, CMG has less shares outstanding
There is no outstanding debt for CMG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
2.2 Solvency
CMG has an Altman-Z score of 6.28. This indicates that CMG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
CMG's Altman-Z score of 6.28 is amongst the best of the industry. CMG outperforms 89.39% of its industry peers.
CMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.28 |
ROIC/WACC2.08
WACC8.77%
2.3 Liquidity
CMG has a Current Ratio of 1.54. This is a normal value and indicates that CMG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.54, CMG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.48% of the companies in the same industry.
CMG has a Quick Ratio of 1.50. This is a normal value and indicates that CMG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CMG has a Quick ratio of 1.50. This is in the better half of the industry: CMG outperforms 77.27% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.95% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, CMG shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 31.99% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, CMG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.31% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 15.16% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.98% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, CMG will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.73% on average per year.
EPS Next Y4.26%
EPS Next 2Y5.67%
EPS Next 3Y9.77%
EPS Next 5Y12.98%
Revenue Next Year5.65%
Revenue Next 2Y7.97%
Revenue Next 3Y9.12%
Revenue Next 5Y10.73%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 26.31, CMG can be considered very expensive at the moment.
CMG's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.51. CMG is around the same levels.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.24 indicates a rather expensive valuation of CMG.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CMG is on the same level as its industry peers.
CMG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 34.98, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.24 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CMG indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: CMG is more expensive than 63.64% of the companies listed in the same industry.
CMG's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CMG is cheaper than 62.12% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 26.01 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.98 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates CMG does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
CMG has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)6.17
PEG (5Y)0.82
EPS Next 2Y5.67%
EPS Next 3Y9.77%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CMG does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
NYSE:CMG (11/19/2025, 9:44:09 AM)
30.52
-0.24 (-0.78%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.32%
Inst Owner Change2.24%
Ins Owners0.31%
Ins Owner Change-6.47%
Market Cap40.92B
Revenue(TTM)11.79B
Net Income(TTM)1.54B
Analysts80
Price Target54.93 (79.98%)
Short Float %2.19%
Short Ratio1.24
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)0.32%
Min EPS beat(2)0.31%
Max EPS beat(2)0.33%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)0.95%
Min EPS beat(4)0.31%
Max EPS beat(4)2.13%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)4.32%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)4.3%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)3.8%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.69%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.31%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.3%
PT rev (1m)-7.8%
PT rev (3m)-9.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-16.6%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-17.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.17%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.05%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.95%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.44%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.68%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.24 | ||
| P/S | 3.47 | ||
| P/FCF | 26.01 | ||
| P/OCF | 18.48 | ||
| P/B | 12.7 | ||
| P/tB | 12.79 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.98 |
EPS(TTM)1.16
EY3.8%
EPS(NY)1.26
Fwd EY4.12%
FCF(TTM)1.17
FCFY3.84%
OCF(TTM)1.65
OCFY5.41%
SpS8.79
BVpS2.4
TBVpS2.39
PEG (NY)6.17
PEG (5Y)0.82
Graham Number7.92
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.55% | ||
| ROE | 47.69% | ||
| ROCE | 23.99% | ||
| ROIC | 18.25% | ||
| ROICexc | 22.11% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.19% | ||
| OM | 16.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.04% | ||
| GM | 30.89% | ||
| FCFM | 13.35% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
ROICexc(3y)20.4%
ROICexc(5y)16.1%
ROICexgc(3y)20.47%
ROICexgc(5y)16.17%
ROCE(3y)22.21%
ROCE(5y)17.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y18.49%
ROICexgc growth 5Y16.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.54%
ROICexc growth 5Y16.87%
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.27
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 182.03% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.44% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 96.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | 102.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.28 |
F-Score7
WACC8.77%
ROIC/WACC2.08
Cap/Depr(3y)173.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)170.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.49%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.72%
Profit Quality(3y)97.3%
Profit Quality(5y)100.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
EPS Next Y4.26%
EPS Next 2Y5.67%
EPS Next 3Y9.77%
EPS Next 5Y12.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%
Revenue Next Year5.65%
Revenue Next 2Y7.97%
Revenue Next 3Y9.12%
Revenue Next 5Y10.73%
EBIT growth 1Y2.84%
EBIT growth 3Y32.8%
EBIT growth 5Y32.3%
EBIT Next Year27.06%
EBIT Next 3Y18.54%
EBIT Next 5Y14.79%
FCF growth 1Y13.4%
FCF growth 3Y21.65%
FCF growth 5Y31.27%
OCF growth 1Y15.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.97%
OCF growth 5Y23.88%
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC / CMG FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CMG.
What is the valuation status of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) is 26.31 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 12.7.
Can you provide the financial health for CMG stock?
The financial health rating of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) is 8 / 10.