CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CMG • US1696561059

Current stock price

32.94 USD
+0.3 (+0.92%)
At close:
33.0011 USD
+0.06 (+0.19%)
After Hours:

This CMG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

9

1. CMG Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CMG had positive earnings in the past year.
  • CMG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • CMG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • CMG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CMG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCMG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • CMG has a Return On Assets of 17.07%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CMG outperforms 94.44% of its industry peers.
  • CMG's Return On Equity of 54.26% is amongst the best of the industry. CMG outperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.
  • CMG has a Return On Invested Capital of 19.21%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CMG outperforms 91.27% of its industry peers.
  • CMG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 18.35%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.59%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (19.21%) for CMG is above the 3 year average (18.35%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 17.07%
ROE 54.26%
ROIC 19.21%
ROA(3y)16.34%
ROA(5y)14.36%
ROE(3y)45.45%
ROE(5y)40.55%
ROIC(3y)18.35%
ROIC(5y)16.21%
CMG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCMG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 12.88%, CMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
  • CMG has a better Operating Margin (16.46%) than 73.81% of its industry peers.
  • CMG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • CMG's Gross Margin of 30.62% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CMG is outperformed by 76.19% of its industry peers.
  • CMG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.46%
PM (TTM) 12.88%
GM 30.62%
OM growth 3Y6.36%
OM growth 5Y24.67%
PM growth 3Y7.34%
PM growth 5Y16.72%
GM growth 3Y1.59%
GM growth 5Y4.89%
CMG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCMG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

8

2. CMG Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CMG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • CMG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, CMG has less shares outstanding
  • CMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
CMG Yearly Shares OutstandingCMG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B
CMG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCMG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

  • CMG has an Altman-Z score of 6.32. This indicates that CMG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 6.32, CMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 6.32
ROIC/WACC2.16
WACC8.9%
CMG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCMG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CMG has a Current Ratio of 1.23. This is a normal value and indicates that CMG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CMG has a Current ratio of 1.23. This is in the better half of the industry: CMG outperforms 61.90% of its industry peers.
  • CMG has a Quick Ratio of 1.19. This is a normal value and indicates that CMG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CMG's Quick ratio of 1.19 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMG outperforms 63.49% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.23
Quick Ratio 1.19
CMG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCMG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. CMG Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.89% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 40.17% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • Looking at the last year, CMG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.41% in the last year.
  • CMG shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 14.79% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.89%
EPS 3Y20.93%
EPS 5Y40.17%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.41%
Revenue growth 3Y11.36%
Revenue growth 5Y14.79%
Sales Q2Q%4.86%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CMG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.20% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.68% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-0.68%
EPS Next 2Y8.89%
EPS Next 3Y12.22%
EPS Next 5Y15.2%
Revenue Next Year8.86%
Revenue Next 2Y9.95%
Revenue Next 3Y10.58%
Revenue Next 5Y10.68%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
CMG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCMG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
CMG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCMG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 1 2 3

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

2

4. CMG Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 28.40 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CMG.
  • CMG's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.73. CMG is around the same levels.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.59 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CMG.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CMG is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.72, CMG is valued a bit more expensive.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.4
Fwd PE 28.59
CMG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCMG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CMG indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: CMG is more expensive than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • CMG's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 29.64
EV/EBITDA 17.53
CMG Per share dataCMG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The excellent profitability rating of CMG may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • CMG's earnings are expected to grow with 12.22% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.71
EPS Next 2Y8.89%
EPS Next 3Y12.22%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. CMG Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CMG does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

CMG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC

NYSE:CMG (3/19/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 33.0011 +0.06 (+0.19%)

32.94

+0.3 (+0.92%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)04-21
Inst Owners91.07%
Inst Owner Change-1.13%
Ins Owners0.27%
Ins Owner Change-10.51%
Market Cap42.90B
Revenue(TTM)11.93B
Net Income(TTM)1.54B
Analysts78.6
Price Target45.61 (38.46%)
Short Float %3.13%
Short Ratio2.32
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.88%
Min EPS beat(2)0.33%
Max EPS beat(2)3.43%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)1.55%
Min EPS beat(4)0.31%
Max EPS beat(4)3.43%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)4.1%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)5.23%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)3.7%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.35%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.35%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.35%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.07%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.26%
PT rev (1m)-1.63%
PT rev (3m)-0.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.15%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.36%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.96%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.82%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.83%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.4
Fwd PE 28.59
P/S 3.6
P/FCF 29.64
P/OCF 20.29
P/B 15.16
P/tB 15.27
EV/EBITDA 17.53
EPS(TTM)1.16
EY3.52%
EPS(NY)1.15
Fwd EY3.5%
FCF(TTM)1.11
FCFY3.37%
OCF(TTM)1.62
OCFY4.93%
SpS9.16
BVpS2.17
TBVpS2.16
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.71
Graham Number7.53
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 17.07%
ROE 54.26%
ROCE 25.15%
ROIC 19.21%
ROICexc 22.19%
ROICexgc 22.26%
OM 16.46%
PM (TTM) 12.88%
GM 30.62%
FCFM 12.14%
ROA(3y)16.34%
ROA(5y)14.36%
ROE(3y)45.45%
ROE(5y)40.55%
ROIC(3y)18.35%
ROIC(5y)16.21%
ROICexc(3y)21.98%
ROICexc(5y)19.42%
ROICexgc(3y)22.06%
ROICexgc(5y)19.49%
ROCE(3y)24.03%
ROCE(5y)21.22%
ROICexgc growth 3Y7.85%
ROICexgc growth 5Y30.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.89%
ROICexc growth 5Y30.18%
OM growth 3Y6.36%
OM growth 5Y24.67%
PM growth 3Y7.34%
PM growth 5Y16.72%
GM growth 3Y1.59%
GM growth 5Y4.89%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.33
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 184.39%
Cap/Sales 5.59%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 90.93%
Profit Quality 94.26%
Current Ratio 1.23
Quick Ratio 1.19
Altman-Z 6.32
F-Score7
WACC8.9%
ROIC/WACC2.16
Cap/Depr(3y)179.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)175.59%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.5%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.59%
Profit Quality(3y)97.43%
Profit Quality(5y)102.95%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.89%
EPS 3Y20.93%
EPS 5Y40.17%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-0.68%
EPS Next 2Y8.89%
EPS Next 3Y12.22%
EPS Next 5Y15.2%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.41%
Revenue growth 3Y11.36%
Revenue growth 5Y14.79%
Sales Q2Q%4.86%
Revenue Next Year8.86%
Revenue Next 2Y9.95%
Revenue Next 3Y10.58%
Revenue Next 5Y10.68%
EBIT growth 1Y1.03%
EBIT growth 3Y18.44%
EBIT growth 5Y43.1%
EBIT Next Year18.38%
EBIT Next 3Y16.14%
EBIT Next 5Y13.79%
FCF growth 1Y-4.23%
FCF growth 3Y19.7%
FCF growth 5Y37.88%
OCF growth 1Y0.42%
OCF growth 3Y16.9%
OCF growth 5Y26.07%

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC / CMG Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to CMG.


Can you provide the valuation status for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What is the financial health of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?

The financial health rating of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) is 8 / 10.