CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:CMG - US1696561059 - Common Stock
33.61 USD
-0.33 (-0.97%)
33.55 USD
-0.06 (-0.18%)
CMG gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 131 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making CMG a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. CMG is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate. With these ratings, CMG could be worth investigating further for quality investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CMG was profitable.
In the past year CMG had a positive cash flow from operations.
CMG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years CMG had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
CMG's Return On Assets of 16.55% is amongst the best of the industry. CMG outperforms 93.89% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of CMG (47.69%) is better than 90.08% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 18.25%, CMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.84% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CMG is significantly above the industry average of 10.43%.
The 3 year average ROIC (16.89%) for CMG is below the current ROIC(18.25%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.55% | ||
| ROE | 47.69% | ||
| ROIC | 18.25% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 13.04%, CMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.44% of the companies in the same industry.
CMG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 16.55%, CMG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.05% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
With a Gross Margin value of 30.89%, CMG is not doing good in the industry: 75.57% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.04% | ||
| GM | 30.89% |
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CMG is creating value.
CMG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
CMG has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
CMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
CMG has an Altman-Z score of 6.64. This indicates that CMG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
CMG's Altman-Z score of 6.64 is amongst the best of the industry. CMG outperforms 90.08% of its industry peers.
CMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.64 |
ROIC/WACC2.08
WACC8.78%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.54 indicates that CMG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.54, CMG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.28% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.50 indicates that CMG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CMG (1.50) is better than 76.34% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.95% over the past year.
CMG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 31.99% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.31% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, CMG shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 15.16% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, CMG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.98% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, CMG will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.73% on average per year.
EPS Next Y3.81%
EPS Next 2Y4.38%
EPS Next 3Y8.79%
EPS Next 5Y12.98%
Revenue Next Year5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y7.46%
Revenue Next 3Y8.73%
Revenue Next 5Y10.73%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 28.97, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CMG.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CMG is on the same level as its industry peers.
CMG is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.34, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 27.36, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CMG.
CMG's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
CMG is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.56, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.97 | ||
| Fwd PE | 27.36 |
4.2 Price Multiples
CMG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. CMG is more expensive than 67.18% of the companies in the same industry.
61.83% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CMG, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 28.25 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.55 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
CMG has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)7.61
PEG (5Y)0.91
EPS Next 2Y4.38%
EPS Next 3Y8.79%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CMG does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
33.61
-0.33 (-0.97%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.34%
Inst Owner Change1.78%
Ins Owners0.32%
Ins Owner Change-5.07%
Market Cap44.44B
Revenue(TTM)11.79B
Net Income(TTM)1.54B
Analysts79.51
Price Target45.66 (35.85%)
Short Float %2.34%
Short Ratio1.32
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)0.32%
Min EPS beat(2)0.31%
Max EPS beat(2)0.33%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)0.95%
Min EPS beat(4)0.31%
Max EPS beat(4)2.13%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)4.32%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)4.3%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)3.8%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.69%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.31%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.3%
PT rev (1m)-16.88%
PT rev (3m)-24.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.14%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-17.89%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.44%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.75%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.17%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.56%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.43%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.97 | ||
| Fwd PE | 27.36 | ||
| P/S | 3.77 | ||
| P/FCF | 28.25 | ||
| P/OCF | 20.07 | ||
| P/B | 13.79 | ||
| P/tB | 13.89 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.55 |
EPS(TTM)1.16
EY3.45%
EPS(NY)1.23
Fwd EY3.65%
FCF(TTM)1.19
FCFY3.54%
OCF(TTM)1.68
OCFY4.98%
SpS8.91
BVpS2.44
TBVpS2.42
PEG (NY)7.61
PEG (5Y)0.91
Graham Number7.97
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.55% | ||
| ROE | 47.69% | ||
| ROCE | 23.99% | ||
| ROIC | 18.25% | ||
| ROICexc | 22.11% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.19% | ||
| OM | 16.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.04% | ||
| GM | 30.89% | ||
| FCFM | 13.35% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
ROICexc(3y)20.4%
ROICexc(5y)16.1%
ROICexgc(3y)20.47%
ROICexgc(5y)16.17%
ROCE(3y)22.21%
ROCE(5y)17.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y18.49%
ROICexgc growth 5Y16.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.54%
ROICexc growth 5Y16.87%
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.27
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 182.03% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.44% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 96.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | 102.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.64 |
F-Score7
WACC8.78%
ROIC/WACC2.08
Cap/Depr(3y)173.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)170.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.49%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.72%
Profit Quality(3y)97.3%
Profit Quality(5y)100.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
EPS Next Y3.81%
EPS Next 2Y4.38%
EPS Next 3Y8.79%
EPS Next 5Y12.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%
Revenue Next Year5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y7.46%
Revenue Next 3Y8.73%
Revenue Next 5Y10.73%
EBIT growth 1Y2.84%
EBIT growth 3Y32.8%
EBIT growth 5Y32.3%
EBIT Next Year20.14%
EBIT Next 3Y13.58%
EBIT Next 5Y14.79%
FCF growth 1Y13.4%
FCF growth 3Y21.65%
FCF growth 5Y31.27%
OCF growth 1Y15.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.97%
OCF growth 5Y23.88%
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC / CMG FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CMG.
What is the valuation status of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) is 28.97 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 13.79.
Can you provide the financial health for CMG stock?
The financial health rating of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) is 8 / 10.