B&G FOODS INC (BGS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:BGS • US05508R1068

Current stock price

4.97 USD
+0.13 (+2.69%)
At close:
4.9896 USD
+0.02 (+0.39%)
After Hours:

This BGS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. BGS Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • BGS had positive earnings in the past year.
  • BGS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years BGS reported 4 times negative net income.
  • Each year in the past 5 years BGS had a positive operating cash flow.
BGS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBGS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M -200M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -1.53%, BGS is not doing good in the industry: 60.92% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • With a Return On Equity value of -9.55%, BGS is not doing good in the industry: 62.07% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 5.55%, BGS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for BGS is in line with the industry average of 7.23%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.53%
ROE -9.55%
ROIC 5.55%
ROA(3y)-3.94%
ROA(5y)-2.07%
ROE(3y)-21.78%
ROE(5y)-11.87%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)5.35%
BGS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBGS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 10.04%, BGS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.01% of the companies in the same industry.
  • BGS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 21.81%, BGS is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.02% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BGS has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.04%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 21.81%
OM growth 3Y3.14%
OM growth 5Y-6.5%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.82%
GM growth 5Y-2.28%
BGS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBGS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

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3

2. BGS Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), BGS is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, BGS has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for BGS has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for BGS is higher compared to a year ago.
BGS Yearly Shares OutstandingBGS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
BGS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBGS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • BGS has an Altman-Z score of 1.39. This is a bad value and indicates that BGS is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • BGS has a Altman-Z score of 1.39. This is in the lower half of the industry: BGS underperforms 62.07% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of BGS is 27.56, which is on the high side as it means it would take BGS, 27.56 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • BGS has a Debt to FCF ratio (27.56) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • BGS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.30. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 4.30, BGS is doing worse than 85.06% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.3
Debt/FCF 27.56
Altman-Z 1.39
ROIC/WACC0.73
WACC7.6%
BGS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBGS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • BGS has a Current Ratio of 3.32. This indicates that BGS is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of BGS (3.32) is better than 86.21% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.43 indicates that BGS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.43, BGS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.32
Quick Ratio 1.43
BGS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBGS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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1

3. BGS Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • BGS shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -27.14%.
  • The earnings per share for BGS have been decreasing by -25.75% on average. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue has decreased by -5.37% in the past year.
  • BGS shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -1.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.14%
EPS 3Y-23.07%
EPS 5Y-25.75%
EPS Q2Q%-9.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.44%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-2.17%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, BGS will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.19% on average per year.
  • BGS is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -2.90% yearly.
EPS Next Y-0.7%
EPS Next 2Y15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.79%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.55%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.9%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
BGS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBGS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
BGS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBGS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.5 1 1.5 2

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7

4. BGS Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.75, the valuation of BGS can be described as very reasonable.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of BGS indicates a rather cheap valuation: BGS is cheaper than 85.06% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • BGS's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.60.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.81 indicates a reasonable valuation of BGS.
  • BGS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. BGS is cheaper than 88.51% of the companies in the same industry.
  • BGS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.84, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.75
Fwd PE 9.81
BGS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBGS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, BGS is valued a bit cheaper than 62.07% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, BGS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 94.25% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 5.62
EV/EBITDA 9.13
BGS Per share dataBGS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • BGS's earnings are expected to grow with 15.19% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. BGS Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 14.93%, BGS is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.44, BGS pays a better dividend. On top of this BGS pays more dividend than 98.85% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • BGS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.88.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 14.93%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of BGS decreases each year by -16.37%.
  • BGS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of BGS decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-16.37%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
BGS Yearly Dividends per shareBGS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of BGS are negative and hence is the payout ratio. BGS will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-140.09%
EPS Next 2Y15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
BGS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendBGS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M -200M

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BGS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

B&G FOODS INC

NYSE:BGS (4/2/2026, 8:09:42 PM)

After market: 4.9896 +0.02 (+0.39%)

4.97

+0.13 (+2.69%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)03-03
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners64.29%
Inst Owner Change-5.33%
Ins Owners3.72%
Ins Owner Change13.02%
Market Cap397.45M
Revenue(TTM)1.83B
Net Income(TTM)-43.26M
Analysts48.33
Price Target5.1 (2.62%)
Short Float %13.92%
Short Ratio4.65
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 14.93%
Yearly Dividend0.76
Dividend Growth(5Y)-16.37%
DP-140.09%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-31
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)12.98%
Min EPS beat(2)-7.59%
Max EPS beat(2)33.56%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.26%
Min EPS beat(4)-74.14%
Max EPS beat(4)33.56%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.59%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.61%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.25%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.99%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.78%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.02%
PT rev (1m)9.09%
PT rev (3m)11.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.66%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.66%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.43%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.43%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-7.23%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.23%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.75
Fwd PE 9.81
P/S 0.22
P/FCF 5.62
P/OCF 3.92
P/B 0.88
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.13
EPS(TTM)0.51
EY10.26%
EPS(NY)0.51
Fwd EY10.19%
FCF(TTM)0.88
FCFY17.8%
OCF(TTM)1.27
OCFY25.51%
SpS22.87
BVpS5.66
TBVpS-16.03
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.06
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.53%
ROE -9.55%
ROCE 7.03%
ROIC 5.55%
ROICexc 5.67%
ROICexgc 17.67%
OM 10.04%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 21.81%
FCFM 3.87%
ROA(3y)-3.94%
ROA(5y)-2.07%
ROE(3y)-21.78%
ROE(5y)-11.87%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)5.35%
ROICexc(3y)5.96%
ROICexc(5y)5.44%
ROICexgc(3y)19.22%
ROICexgc(5y)17.87%
ROCE(3y)7.41%
ROCE(5y)6.78%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.08%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y8.56%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.05%
OM growth 3Y3.14%
OM growth 5Y-6.5%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.82%
GM growth 5Y-2.28%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.65
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.3
Debt/FCF 27.56
Debt/EBITDA 7.79
Cap/Depr 46.28%
Cap/Sales 1.68%
Interest Coverage 1.23
Cash Conversion 40.59%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.32
Quick Ratio 1.43
Altman-Z 1.39
F-Score4
WACC7.6%
ROIC/WACC0.73
Cap/Depr(3y)41.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)40.76%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.45%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.5%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.14%
EPS 3Y-23.07%
EPS 5Y-25.75%
EPS Q2Q%-9.68%
EPS Next Y-0.7%
EPS Next 2Y15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.44%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-2.17%
Revenue Next Year-8.79%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.55%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.9%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-13.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.47%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.86%
EBIT Next Year33.19%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-31.46%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-22.61%
OCF growth 1Y-22.55%
OCF growth 3Y156.62%
OCF growth 5Y-18.47%

B&G FOODS INC / BGS Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for BGS stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to BGS.


What is the valuation status for BGS stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to B&G FOODS INC (BGS). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is B&G FOODS INC (BGS) stock?

B&G FOODS INC (BGS) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of B&G FOODS INC (BGS) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for B&G FOODS INC (BGS) is 9.75 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.88.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for BGS stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of B&G FOODS INC (BGS) is expected to decline by -0.7% in the next year.