B&G FOODS INC (BGS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:BGS • US05508R1068
Current stock price
5.42 USD
-0.07 (-1.28%)
At close:
5.3956 USD
-0.02 (-0.45%)
After Hours:
This BGS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. BGS Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year BGS was profitable.
- In the past year BGS had a positive cash flow from operations.
- BGS had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years BGS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- With a Return On Assets value of -1.53%, BGS is not doing good in the industry: 61.63% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- BGS's Return On Equity of -9.55% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BGS is outperformed by 61.63% of its industry peers.
- BGS has a better Return On Invested Capital (5.55%) than 63.95% of its industry peers.
- BGS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.85%. This is in line with the industry average of 6.80%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.53% | ||
| ROE | -9.55% | ||
| ROIC | 5.55% |
ROA(3y)-3.94%
ROA(5y)-2.07%
ROE(3y)-21.78%
ROE(5y)-11.87%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)5.35%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 10.04%, BGS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.74% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BGS has declined.
- The Gross Margin of BGS (21.81%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- BGS's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.04% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 21.81% |
OM growth 3Y3.14%
OM growth 5Y-6.5%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.82%
GM growth 5Y-2.28%
2. BGS Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), BGS is destroying value.
- BGS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for BGS has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, BGS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.40, we must say that BGS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.40, BGS is doing worse than 62.79% of the companies in the same industry.
- BGS has a debt to FCF ratio of 27.56. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as BGS would need 27.56 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- BGS has a Debt to FCF ratio of 27.56. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: BGS outperforms 53.49% of its industry peers.
- BGS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.30. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- BGS has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (4.30) than 83.72% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.56 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.4 |
ROIC/WACC0.72
WACC7.72%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 3.32 indicates that BGS has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- BGS has a Current ratio of 3.32. This is amongst the best in the industry. BGS outperforms 87.21% of its industry peers.
- BGS has a Quick Ratio of 1.43. This is a normal value and indicates that BGS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- BGS has a better Quick ratio (1.43) than 74.42% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 |
3. BGS Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for BGS have decreased strongly by -27.14% in the last year.
- BGS shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -25.75% yearly.
- The Revenue has decreased by -5.37% in the past year.
- Measured over the past years, BGS shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.46% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.14%
EPS 3Y-23.07%
EPS 5Y-25.75%
EPS Q2Q%-9.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.44%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-2.17%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, BGS will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.19% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, BGS will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -1.56% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-0.7%
EPS Next 2Y15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-7.65%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.03%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. BGS Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.63, the valuation of BGS can be described as very reasonable.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, BGS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 80.23% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.78, BGS is valued rather cheaply.
- BGS is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.70.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of BGS indicates a rather cheap valuation: BGS is cheaper than 83.72% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.54. BGS is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.63 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.7 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, BGS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.79% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of BGS indicates a rather cheap valuation: BGS is cheaper than 94.19% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.13 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.34 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as BGS's earnings are expected to grow with 15.19% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. BGS Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 14.59%, BGS is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.24, BGS pays a better dividend. On top of this BGS pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- BGS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 14.59% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of BGS decreases each year by -16.37%.
- BGS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- BGS has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-16.37%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- The earnings of BGS are negative and hence is the payout ratio. BGS will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-140.09%
EPS Next 2Y15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
BGS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
5.42
-0.07 (-1.28%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)03-03 2026-03-03/amc
Earnings (Next)05-04 2026-05-04/amc
Inst Owners64.29%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners3.72%
Ins Owner Change13.02%
Market Cap433.44M
Revenue(TTM)1.83B
Net Income(TTM)-43.26M
Analysts48.33
Price Target5.1 (-5.9%)
Short Float %13.92%
Short Ratio4.65
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 14.59% |
Yearly Dividend0.76
Dividend Growth(5Y)-16.37%
DP-140.09%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-31 2026-03-31 (0.19)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)12.98%
Min EPS beat(2)-7.59%
Max EPS beat(2)33.56%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.26%
Min EPS beat(4)-74.14%
Max EPS beat(4)33.56%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.59%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.61%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.25%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.99%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.78%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.02%
PT rev (1m)9.09%
PT rev (3m)11.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-13.52%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-13.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.64%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.64%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-6.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.07%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.63 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.7 | ||
| P/S | 0.24 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.13 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.27 | ||
| P/B | 0.96 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.34 |
EPS(TTM)0.51
EY9.41%
EPS(NY)0.51
Fwd EY9.34%
FCF(TTM)0.88
FCFY16.32%
OCF(TTM)1.27
OCFY23.39%
SpS22.87
BVpS5.66
TBVpS-16.03
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.06
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.53% | ||
| ROE | -9.55% | ||
| ROCE | 7.03% | ||
| ROIC | 5.55% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.67% | ||
| ROICexgc | 17.67% | ||
| OM | 10.04% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 21.81% | ||
| FCFM | 3.87% |
ROA(3y)-3.94%
ROA(5y)-2.07%
ROE(3y)-21.78%
ROE(5y)-11.87%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)5.35%
ROICexc(3y)5.96%
ROICexc(5y)5.44%
ROICexgc(3y)19.22%
ROICexgc(5y)17.87%
ROCE(3y)7.41%
ROCE(5y)6.78%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.08%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y8.56%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.05%
OM growth 3Y3.14%
OM growth 5Y-6.5%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.82%
GM growth 5Y-2.28%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.65
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.56 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.79 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 46.28% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.23 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 40.59% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.4 |
F-Score4
WACC7.72%
ROIC/WACC0.72
Cap/Depr(3y)41.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)40.76%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.45%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.5%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.14%
EPS 3Y-23.07%
EPS 5Y-25.75%
EPS Q2Q%-9.68%
EPS Next Y-0.7%
EPS Next 2Y15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.44%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-2.17%
Revenue Next Year-7.65%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.03%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-13.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.47%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.86%
EBIT Next Year33.19%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-31.46%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-22.61%
OCF growth 1Y-22.55%
OCF growth 3Y156.62%
OCF growth 5Y-18.47%
B&G FOODS INC / BGS Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for BGS stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to BGS.
What is the valuation status for BGS stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to B&G FOODS INC (BGS). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is B&G FOODS INC (BGS) stock?
B&G FOODS INC (BGS) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of B&G FOODS INC (BGS) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for B&G FOODS INC (BGS) is 10.63 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.96.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for BGS stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of B&G FOODS INC (BGS) is expected to decline by -0.7% in the next year.