B&G FOODS INC (BGS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:BGS • US05508R1068
Current stock price
5.42 USD
-0.07 (-1.28%)
At close:
5.3956 USD
-0.02 (-0.45%)
After Hours:
This BGS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. BGS Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year BGS was profitable.
- BGS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years BGS reported 4 times negative net income.
- Each year in the past 5 years BGS had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- BGS has a worse Return On Assets (-1.53%) than 61.63% of its industry peers.
- BGS's Return On Equity of -9.55% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BGS is outperformed by 61.63% of its industry peers.
- BGS has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.55%. This is in the better half of the industry: BGS outperforms 63.95% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for BGS is in line with the industry average of 6.80%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.53% | ||
| ROE | -9.55% | ||
| ROIC | 5.55% |
ROA(3y)-3.94%
ROA(5y)-2.07%
ROE(3y)-21.78%
ROE(5y)-11.87%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)5.35%
1.3 Margins
- BGS has a better Operating Margin (10.04%) than 76.74% of its industry peers.
- BGS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- The Gross Margin of BGS (21.81%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BGS has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.04% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 21.81% |
OM growth 3Y3.14%
OM growth 5Y-6.5%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.82%
GM growth 5Y-2.28%
2. BGS Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BGS is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, BGS has more shares outstanding
- BGS has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- BGS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.40, we must say that BGS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- With a Altman-Z score value of 1.40, BGS is not doing good in the industry: 60.47% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of BGS is 27.56, which is on the high side as it means it would take BGS, 27.56 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- BGS's Debt to FCF ratio of 27.56 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. BGS outperforms 53.49% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 4.30 is on the high side and indicates that BGS has dependencies on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of BGS (4.30) is worse than 82.56% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.56 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.4 |
ROIC/WACC0.72
WACC7.72%
2.3 Liquidity
- BGS has a Current Ratio of 3.32. This indicates that BGS is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- BGS has a better Current ratio (3.32) than 87.21% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.43 indicates that BGS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.43, BGS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.26% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 |
3. BGS Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- BGS shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -27.14%.
- Measured over the past years, BGS shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -25.75% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, BGS shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -5.37% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.46% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.14%
EPS 3Y-23.07%
EPS 5Y-25.75%
EPS Q2Q%-9.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.44%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-2.17%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, BGS will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.37% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to decrease by -1.56% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y21.32%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y17.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-7.65%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.03%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. BGS Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 10.63 indicates a reasonable valuation of BGS.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, BGS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 80.23% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.78. BGS is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
- BGS is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.76.
- BGS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. BGS is cheaper than 95.35% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.54, BGS is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.63 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.76 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- BGS's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. BGS is cheaper than 62.79% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, BGS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.02% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.16 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.33 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- BGS's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- BGS's earnings are expected to grow with 17.37% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.5
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y17.37%
5. BGS Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- BGS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 13.84%, which is a nice return.
- BGS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.22. BGS pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- BGS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.83.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.84% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of BGS decreases each year by -16.37%.
- BGS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- The dividend of BGS decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-16.37%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- BGS has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-140.09%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y17.37%
BGS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
5.42
-0.07 (-1.28%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)03-03 2026-03-03/amc
Earnings (Next)05-04 2026-05-04/amc
Inst Owners64.34%
Inst Owner Change0.05%
Ins Owners4.67%
Ins Owner Change13.06%
Market Cap435.82M
Revenue(TTM)1.83B
Net Income(TTM)-43.26M
Analysts48.33
Price Target5.1 (-5.9%)
Short Float %13.92%
Short Ratio4.65
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.84% |
Yearly Dividend0.76
Dividend Growth(5Y)-16.37%
DP-140.09%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-31 2026-03-31 (0.19)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)12.98%
Min EPS beat(2)-7.59%
Max EPS beat(2)33.56%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.26%
Min EPS beat(4)-74.14%
Max EPS beat(4)33.56%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.59%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.61%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.25%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.99%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.78%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.02%
PT rev (1m)9.09%
PT rev (3m)11.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-23.66%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-13.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)22.18%
EPS NY rev (3m)22.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.8%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.64%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-6.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.07%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.63 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.76 | ||
| P/S | 0.24 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.16 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.3 | ||
| P/B | 0.96 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.33 |
EPS(TTM)0.51
EY9.41%
EPS(NY)0.62
Fwd EY11.42%
FCF(TTM)0.88
FCFY16.23%
OCF(TTM)1.26
OCFY23.27%
SpS22.74
BVpS5.63
TBVpS-15.94
PEG (NY)0.5
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.04
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.53% | ||
| ROE | -9.55% | ||
| ROCE | 7.03% | ||
| ROIC | 5.55% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.67% | ||
| ROICexgc | 17.67% | ||
| OM | 10.04% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 21.81% | ||
| FCFM | 3.87% |
ROA(3y)-3.94%
ROA(5y)-2.07%
ROE(3y)-21.78%
ROE(5y)-11.87%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)5.35%
ROICexc(3y)5.96%
ROICexc(5y)5.44%
ROICexgc(3y)19.22%
ROICexgc(5y)17.87%
ROCE(3y)7.41%
ROCE(5y)6.78%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.08%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y8.56%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.05%
OM growth 3Y3.14%
OM growth 5Y-6.5%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.82%
GM growth 5Y-2.28%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.65
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.56 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.79 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 46.28% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.23 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 40.59% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.4 |
F-Score4
WACC7.72%
ROIC/WACC0.72
Cap/Depr(3y)41.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)40.76%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.45%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.5%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.14%
EPS 3Y-23.07%
EPS 5Y-25.75%
EPS Q2Q%-9.68%
EPS Next Y21.32%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y17.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.44%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-2.17%
Revenue Next Year-7.65%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.03%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-13.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.47%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.86%
EBIT Next Year34.94%
EBIT Next 3Y12.63%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-31.46%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-22.61%
OCF growth 1Y-22.55%
OCF growth 3Y156.62%
OCF growth 5Y-18.47%
B&G FOODS INC / BGS Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for BGS stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to BGS.
What is the valuation status for BGS stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to B&G FOODS INC (BGS). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is B&G FOODS INC (BGS) stock?
B&G FOODS INC (BGS) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of B&G FOODS INC (BGS) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for B&G FOODS INC (BGS) is 10.63 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.96.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for BGS stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of B&G FOODS INC (BGS) is expected to grow by 21.32% in the next year.