B&G FOODS INC (BGS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:BGS • US05508R1068
5.24 USD
-0.02 (-0.38%)
At close: Mar 13, 2026
5.26 USD
+0.02 (+0.38%)
After Hours: 3/13/2026, 5:19:07 PM
This BGS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
Taking everything into account, BGS scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. BGS was compared to 88 industry peers in the Food Products industry. BGS has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. BGS is valued quite cheap, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. BGS Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- BGS had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year BGS had a positive cash flow from operations.
- BGS had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years BGS had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- With a Return On Assets value of -1.53%, BGS is not doing good in the industry: 60.23% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- With a Return On Equity value of -9.55%, BGS is not doing good in the industry: 62.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 5.55%, BGS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.77% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for BGS is in line with the industry average of 7.13%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.53% | ||
| ROE | -9.55% | ||
| ROIC | 5.55% |
ROA(3y)-3.94%
ROA(5y)-2.07%
ROE(3y)-21.78%
ROE(5y)-11.87%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)5.35%
1.3 Margins
- BGS has a Operating Margin of 10.04%. This is in the better half of the industry: BGS outperforms 77.27% of its industry peers.
- BGS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- BGS has a Gross Margin of 21.81%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: BGS outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BGS has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.04% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 21.81% |
OM growth 3Y3.14%
OM growth 5Y-6.5%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.82%
GM growth 5Y-2.28%
2. BGS Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BGS is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, BGS has more shares outstanding
- BGS has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, BGS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- BGS has an Altman-Z score of 1.40. This is a bad value and indicates that BGS is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- BGS has a Altman-Z score of 1.40. This is in the lower half of the industry: BGS underperforms 61.36% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of BGS is 27.56, which is on the high side as it means it would take BGS, 27.56 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- BGS has a Debt to FCF ratio (27.56) which is in line with its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 4.30 is on the high side and indicates that BGS has dependencies on debt financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 4.30, BGS is not doing good in the industry: 85.23% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.56 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.4 |
ROIC/WACC0.72
WACC7.66%
2.3 Liquidity
- BGS has a Current Ratio of 3.32. This indicates that BGS is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- BGS's Current ratio of 3.32 is amongst the best of the industry. BGS outperforms 85.23% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.43 indicates that BGS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- BGS has a Quick ratio of 1.43. This is in the better half of the industry: BGS outperforms 76.14% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 |
3. BGS Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for BGS have decreased strongly by -27.14% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, BGS shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -25.75% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, BGS shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -5.37% in the last year.
- BGS shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -1.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.14%
EPS 3Y-23.07%
EPS 5Y-25.75%
EPS Q2Q%-9.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.44%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-2.17%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.19% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- BGS is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.65% yearly.
EPS Next Y-0.7%
EPS Next 2Y15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.65%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. BGS Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.27, the valuation of BGS can be described as very reasonable.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of BGS indicates a rather cheap valuation: BGS is cheaper than 81.82% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- BGS's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.71.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.35, the valuation of BGS can be described as very reasonable.
- 86.36% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than BGS, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- BGS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.27 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.35 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, BGS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.64% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, BGS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 92.05% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.92 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.27 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- BGS's earnings are expected to grow with 15.19% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. BGS Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- BGS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 13.97%, which is a nice return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.30, BGS pays a better dividend. On top of this BGS pays more dividend than 98.86% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, BGS pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.97% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of BGS decreases each year by -16.37%.
- BGS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- The dividend of BGS decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-16.37%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- The earnings of BGS are negative and hence is the payout ratio. BGS will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-140.09%
EPS Next 2Y15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
BGS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
5.24
-0.02 (-0.38%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)03-03 2026-03-03/amc
Earnings (Next)05-04 2026-05-04/amc
Inst Owners64.29%
Inst Owner Change-5.33%
Ins Owners3.72%
Ins Owner Change6.64%
Market Cap419.10M
Revenue(TTM)1.83B
Net Income(TTM)-43.26M
Analysts48.33
Price Target4.67 (-10.88%)
Short Float %14.14%
Short Ratio5.44
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.97% |
Yearly Dividend0.76
Dividend Growth(5Y)-16.37%
DP-140.09%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-31 2026-03-31 (0.19)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)12.98%
Min EPS beat(2)-7.59%
Max EPS beat(2)33.56%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.26%
Min EPS beat(4)-74.14%
Max EPS beat(4)33.56%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.59%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.61%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.25%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.99%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.78%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.02%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.16%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.16%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.27 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.35 | ||
| P/S | 0.23 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.92 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.13 | ||
| P/B | 0.93 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.27 |
EPS(TTM)0.51
EY9.73%
EPS(NY)0.51
Fwd EY9.66%
FCF(TTM)0.88
FCFY16.88%
OCF(TTM)1.27
OCFY24.19%
SpS22.86
BVpS5.66
TBVpS-16.03
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.06
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.53% | ||
| ROE | -9.55% | ||
| ROCE | 7.03% | ||
| ROIC | 5.55% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.67% | ||
| ROICexgc | 17.67% | ||
| OM | 10.04% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 21.81% | ||
| FCFM | 3.87% |
ROA(3y)-3.94%
ROA(5y)-2.07%
ROE(3y)-21.78%
ROE(5y)-11.87%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)5.35%
ROICexc(3y)5.96%
ROICexc(5y)5.44%
ROICexgc(3y)19.22%
ROICexgc(5y)17.87%
ROCE(3y)7.41%
ROCE(5y)6.78%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.08%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y8.56%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.05%
OM growth 3Y3.14%
OM growth 5Y-6.5%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.82%
GM growth 5Y-2.28%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.65
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.56 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.79 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 46.28% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.23 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 40.59% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.4 |
F-Score4
WACC7.66%
ROIC/WACC0.72
Cap/Depr(3y)41.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)40.76%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.45%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.5%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.14%
EPS 3Y-23.07%
EPS 5Y-25.75%
EPS Q2Q%-9.68%
EPS Next Y-0.7%
EPS Next 2Y15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.44%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-2.17%
Revenue Next Year-1.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.65%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-13.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.47%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.86%
EBIT Next Year33.19%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-31.46%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-22.61%
OCF growth 1Y-22.55%
OCF growth 3Y156.62%
OCF growth 5Y-18.47%
B&G FOODS INC / BGS FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for BGS stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to BGS.
What is the valuation status for BGS stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to B&G FOODS INC (BGS). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of BGS stock?
B&G FOODS INC (BGS) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
How financially healthy is B&G FOODS INC?
The financial health rating of B&G FOODS INC (BGS) is 3 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for B&G FOODS INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of B&G FOODS INC (BGS) is expected to decline by -0.7% in the next year.