B&G FOODS INC (BGS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:BGS • US05508R1068
Current stock price
5.43 USD
+0.11 (+2.07%)
At close:
5.43 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This BGS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. BGS Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- BGS had positive earnings in the past year.
- BGS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- BGS had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years BGS had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- BGS's Return On Assets of -1.53% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BGS is outperformed by 60.92% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of BGS (-9.55%) is worse than 62.07% of its industry peers.
- BGS has a better Return On Invested Capital (5.55%) than 63.22% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for BGS is in line with the industry average of 6.76%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.53% | ||
| ROE | -9.55% | ||
| ROIC | 5.55% |
ROA(3y)-3.94%
ROA(5y)-2.07%
ROE(3y)-21.78%
ROE(5y)-11.87%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)5.35%
1.3 Margins
- BGS has a better Operating Margin (10.04%) than 77.01% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BGS has declined.
- BGS has a Gross Margin (21.81%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BGS has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.04% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 21.81% |
OM growth 3Y3.14%
OM growth 5Y-6.5%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.82%
GM growth 5Y-2.28%
2. BGS Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- BGS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, BGS has more shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, BGS has more shares outstanding
- BGS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.40, we must say that BGS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- With a Altman-Z score value of 1.40, BGS is not doing good in the industry: 63.22% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- BGS has a debt to FCF ratio of 27.56. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as BGS would need 27.56 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 27.56, BGS is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.87% of the companies in the same industry.
- BGS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.30. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- BGS has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (4.30) than 82.76% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.56 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.4 |
ROIC/WACC0.72
WACC7.72%
2.3 Liquidity
- BGS has a Current Ratio of 3.32. This indicates that BGS is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 3.32, BGS belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.21% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.43 indicates that BGS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- BGS has a Quick ratio of 1.43. This is in the better half of the industry: BGS outperforms 73.56% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 |
3. BGS Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- BGS shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -27.14%.
- BGS shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -25.75% yearly.
- The Revenue has decreased by -5.37% in the past year.
- BGS shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -1.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.14%
EPS 3Y-23.07%
EPS 5Y-25.75%
EPS Q2Q%-9.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.44%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-2.17%
3.2 Future
- BGS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 17.37% yearly.
- BGS is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.56% yearly.
EPS Next Y21.32%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y17.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-7.65%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.03%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. BGS Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 10.65, which indicates a very decent valuation of BGS.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, BGS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 80.46% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of BGS to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.87), we can say BGS is valued rather cheaply.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.78 indicates a reasonable valuation of BGS.
- 95.40% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than BGS, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.51, BGS is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.65 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.78 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, BGS is valued a bit cheaper than 62.07% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, BGS is valued cheaper than 93.10% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.17 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.29 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as BGS's earnings are expected to grow with 17.37% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.5
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y17.37%
5. BGS Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 13.84%, BGS is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.19, BGS pays a better dividend. On top of this BGS pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- BGS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.84% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of BGS decreases each year by -16.37%.
- BGS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- BGS has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-16.37%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- BGS has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-140.09%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y17.37%
BGS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
5.43
+0.11 (+2.07%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)03-03 2026-03-03/amc
Earnings (Next)05-04 2026-05-04/amc
Inst Owners64.34%
Inst Owner Change0.05%
Ins Owners4.67%
Ins Owner Change13.06%
Market Cap436.63M
Revenue(TTM)1.83B
Net Income(TTM)-43.26M
Analysts48.33
Price Target5.1 (-6.08%)
Short Float %18.14%
Short Ratio5.95
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.84% |
Yearly Dividend0.76
Dividend Growth(5Y)-16.37%
DP-140.09%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-31 2026-03-31 (0.19)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)12.98%
Min EPS beat(2)-7.59%
Max EPS beat(2)33.56%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.26%
Min EPS beat(4)-74.14%
Max EPS beat(4)33.56%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.59%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.61%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.25%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.99%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.78%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.02%
PT rev (1m)9.09%
PT rev (3m)11.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-23.66%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-13.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)22.18%
EPS NY rev (3m)22.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.8%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.64%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-6.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.07%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.65 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.78 | ||
| P/S | 0.24 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.17 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.31 | ||
| P/B | 0.96 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.29 |
EPS(TTM)0.51
EY9.39%
EPS(NY)0.62
Fwd EY11.39%
FCF(TTM)0.88
FCFY16.2%
OCF(TTM)1.26
OCFY23.22%
SpS22.74
BVpS5.63
TBVpS-15.94
PEG (NY)0.5
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.0396 (48.06%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.53% | ||
| ROE | -9.55% | ||
| ROCE | 7.03% | ||
| ROIC | 5.55% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.67% | ||
| ROICexgc | 17.67% | ||
| OM | 10.04% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 21.81% | ||
| FCFM | 3.87% |
ROA(3y)-3.94%
ROA(5y)-2.07%
ROE(3y)-21.78%
ROE(5y)-11.87%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)5.35%
ROICexc(3y)5.96%
ROICexc(5y)5.44%
ROICexgc(3y)19.22%
ROICexgc(5y)17.87%
ROCE(3y)7.41%
ROCE(5y)6.78%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.08%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y8.56%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.05%
OM growth 3Y3.14%
OM growth 5Y-6.5%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.82%
GM growth 5Y-2.28%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.65
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.56 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.79 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 46.28% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.23 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 40.59% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.4 |
F-Score4
WACC7.72%
ROIC/WACC0.72
Cap/Depr(3y)41.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)40.76%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.45%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.5%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.14%
EPS 3Y-23.07%
EPS 5Y-25.75%
EPS Q2Q%-9.68%
EPS Next Y21.32%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y17.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.44%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-2.17%
Revenue Next Year-7.65%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.03%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-13.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.47%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.86%
EBIT Next Year34.94%
EBIT Next 3Y12.63%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-31.46%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-22.61%
OCF growth 1Y-22.55%
OCF growth 3Y156.62%
OCF growth 5Y-18.47%
B&G FOODS INC / BGS Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for BGS stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to BGS.
What is the valuation status for BGS stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to B&G FOODS INC (BGS). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is B&G FOODS INC (BGS) stock?
B&G FOODS INC (BGS) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of B&G FOODS INC (BGS) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for B&G FOODS INC (BGS) is 10.65 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.96.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for BGS stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of B&G FOODS INC (BGS) is expected to grow by 21.32% in the next year.