B&G FOODS INC (BGS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:BGS • US05508R1068
Current stock price
5.39 USD
+0.12 (+2.28%)
Last:
This BGS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. BGS Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- BGS had positive earnings in the past year.
- BGS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- BGS had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years BGS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -1.53%, BGS is doing worse than 60.92% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -9.55%, BGS is doing worse than 62.07% of the companies in the same industry.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 5.55%, BGS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.22% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for BGS is in line with the industry average of 6.78%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.53% | ||
| ROE | -9.55% | ||
| ROIC | 5.55% |
ROA(3y)-3.94%
ROA(5y)-2.07%
ROE(3y)-21.78%
ROE(5y)-11.87%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)5.35%
1.3 Margins
- BGS has a Operating Margin of 10.04%. This is in the better half of the industry: BGS outperforms 77.01% of its industry peers.
- BGS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- BGS has a Gross Margin (21.81%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BGS has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.04% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 21.81% |
OM growth 3Y3.14%
OM growth 5Y-6.5%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.82%
GM growth 5Y-2.28%
2. BGS Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- BGS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- BGS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for BGS has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, BGS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- BGS has an Altman-Z score of 1.40. This is a bad value and indicates that BGS is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- BGS's Altman-Z score of 1.40 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BGS is outperformed by 62.07% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of BGS is 27.56, which is on the high side as it means it would take BGS, 27.56 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of BGS (27.56) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- BGS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.30. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- BGS's Debt to Equity ratio of 4.30 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BGS is outperformed by 82.76% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.56 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.4 |
ROIC/WACC0.72
WACC7.69%
2.3 Liquidity
- BGS has a Current Ratio of 3.32. This indicates that BGS is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of BGS (3.32) is better than 86.21% of its industry peers.
- BGS has a Quick Ratio of 1.43. This is a normal value and indicates that BGS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of BGS (1.43) is better than 72.41% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 |
3. BGS Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- BGS shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -27.14%.
- Measured over the past years, BGS shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -25.75% on average per year.
- The Revenue has decreased by -5.37% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.46% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.14%
EPS 3Y-23.07%
EPS 5Y-25.75%
EPS Q2Q%-9.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.44%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-2.17%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 17.37% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, BGS will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -1.56% on average per year.
EPS Next Y21.32%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y17.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-6.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.03%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. BGS Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.57, the valuation of BGS can be described as reasonable.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, BGS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.61% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.47, BGS is valued rather cheaply.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.71, the valuation of BGS can be described as very reasonable.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, BGS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 95.40% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.62. BGS is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.57 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.71 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of BGS indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: BGS is cheaper than 62.07% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- 86.21% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than BGS, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.13 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.28 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as BGS's earnings are expected to grow with 17.37% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.5
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y17.37%
5. BGS Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 14.29%, BGS is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- BGS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.22. BGS pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, BGS pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 14.29% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of BGS decreases each year by -16.37%.
- BGS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- BGS has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-16.37%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- The earnings of BGS are negative and hence is the payout ratio. BGS will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-140.09%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y17.37%
BGS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
NYSE:BGS (4/24/2026, 1:44:34 PM)
5.39
+0.12 (+2.28%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)03-03 2026-03-03/amc
Earnings (Next)05-13 2026-05-13/amc
Inst Owners64.34%
Inst Owner Change-0.5%
Ins Owners4.67%
Ins Owner Change13.06%
Market Cap433.41M
Revenue(TTM)1.83B
Net Income(TTM)-43.26M
Analysts48.33
Price Target5.1 (-5.38%)
Short Float %18.14%
Short Ratio5.95
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 14.29% |
Yearly Dividend0.76
Dividend Growth(5Y)-16.37%
DP-140.09%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-31 2026-03-31 (0.19)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)12.98%
Min EPS beat(2)-7.59%
Max EPS beat(2)33.56%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.26%
Min EPS beat(4)-74.14%
Max EPS beat(4)33.56%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.59%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.61%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.25%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.99%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.78%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.02%
PT rev (1m)9.09%
PT rev (3m)11.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-23.66%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-13.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)22.18%
EPS NY rev (3m)22.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.22%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.64%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.56%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.85%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.57 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.71 | ||
| P/S | 0.24 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.13 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.27 | ||
| P/B | 0.96 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.28 |
EPS(TTM)0.51
EY9.46%
EPS(NY)0.62
Fwd EY11.48%
FCF(TTM)0.88
FCFY16.32%
OCF(TTM)1.26
OCFY23.39%
SpS22.74
BVpS5.63
TBVpS-15.94
PEG (NY)0.5
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.0396 (49.16%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.53% | ||
| ROE | -9.55% | ||
| ROCE | 7.03% | ||
| ROIC | 5.55% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.67% | ||
| ROICexgc | 17.67% | ||
| OM | 10.04% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 21.81% | ||
| FCFM | 3.87% |
ROA(3y)-3.94%
ROA(5y)-2.07%
ROE(3y)-21.78%
ROE(5y)-11.87%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)5.35%
ROICexc(3y)5.96%
ROICexc(5y)5.44%
ROICexgc(3y)19.22%
ROICexgc(5y)17.87%
ROCE(3y)7.41%
ROCE(5y)6.78%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.08%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y8.56%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.05%
OM growth 3Y3.14%
OM growth 5Y-6.5%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.82%
GM growth 5Y-2.28%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.65
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.56 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.79 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 46.28% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.23 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 40.59% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.4 |
F-Score4
WACC7.69%
ROIC/WACC0.72
Cap/Depr(3y)41.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)40.76%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.45%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.5%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.14%
EPS 3Y-23.07%
EPS 5Y-25.75%
EPS Q2Q%-9.68%
EPS Next Y21.32%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y17.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.44%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-2.17%
Revenue Next Year-6.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.03%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-13.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.47%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.86%
EBIT Next Year34.94%
EBIT Next 3Y12.63%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-31.46%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-22.61%
OCF growth 1Y-22.55%
OCF growth 3Y156.62%
OCF growth 5Y-18.47%
B&G FOODS INC / BGS Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for BGS stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to BGS.
What is the valuation status for BGS stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to B&G FOODS INC (BGS). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is B&G FOODS INC (BGS) stock?
B&G FOODS INC (BGS) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of B&G FOODS INC (BGS) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for B&G FOODS INC (BGS) is 10.57 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.96.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for BGS stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of B&G FOODS INC (BGS) is expected to grow by 21.32% in the next year.