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ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING-SP ADR (BABA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:BABA - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US01609W1027 - ADR

85.38  +0.26 (+0.31%)

After market: 85.8 +0.42 (+0.49%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, BABA scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. BABA was compared to 32 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. BABA has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. BABA has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year BABA was profitable.
BABA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
BABA had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years BABA had a positive operating cash flow.
BABA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBABA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50B 100B 150B 200B

1.2 Ratios

BABA has a Return On Assets of 4.87%. This is in the better half of the industry: BABA outperforms 61.29% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of BABA (9.00%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.07%, BABA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.29% of the companies in the same industry.
BABA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.45%. This is below the industry average of 11.22%.
The 3 year average ROIC (6.45%) for BABA is below the current ROIC(7.07%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.87%
ROE 9%
ROIC 7.07%
ROA(3y)4.1%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)7.31%
ROE(5y)11.55%
ROIC(3y)6.45%
ROIC(5y)6.42%
BABA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBABA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.92%, BABA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.65% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of BABA has declined.
BABA's Operating Margin of 12.07% is amongst the best of the industry. BABA outperforms 87.10% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BABA has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 38.20%, BABA is doing worse than 61.29% of the companies in the same industry.
BABA's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.07%
PM (TTM) 8.92%
GM 38.2%
OM growth 3Y1.1%
OM growth 5Y-3.71%
PM growth 3Y-26.05%
PM growth 5Y-18.28%
GM growth 3Y-3.16%
GM growth 5Y-3.83%
BABA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBABA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), BABA is destroying value.
BABA has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, BABA has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for BABA is higher compared to a year ago.
BABA Yearly Shares OutstandingBABA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
BABA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBABA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500B 1T 1.5T

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.46 indicates that BABA is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of BABA (2.46) is better than 61.29% of its industry peers.
BABA has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.23. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as BABA would need 2.23 years to pay back of all of its debts.
BABA's Debt to FCF ratio of 2.23 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BABA outperforms 67.74% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.18 indicates that BABA is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.18, BABA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.29% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.18
Debt/FCF 2.23
Altman-Z 2.46
ROIC/WACC0.95
WACC7.41%
BABA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBABA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200B 400B 600B 800B

2.3 Liquidity

BABA has a Current Ratio of 1.37. This is a normal value and indicates that BABA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BABA has a Current ratio (1.37) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.37 indicates that BABA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of BABA (1.37) is better than 64.52% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.37
Quick Ratio 1.37
BABA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBABA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200B 400B 600B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for BABA have decreased by -3.75% in the last year.
BABA shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 10.09% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.14% in the past year.
BABA shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 20.09% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.75%
EPS 3Y-1.58%
EPS 5Y10.09%
EPS Q2Q%-3.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.14%
Revenue growth 3Y9.48%
Revenue growth 5Y20.09%
Sales Q2Q%5.21%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, BABA will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 1.20% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.67% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y3.25%
EPS Next 2Y7.84%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
EPS Next 5Y1.2%
Revenue Next Year6.28%
Revenue Next 2Y7.55%
Revenue Next 3Y7.67%
Revenue Next 5Y6.67%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
BABA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBABA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 500B 1T
BABA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBABA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 20 40 60 80

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.30, the valuation of BABA can be described as very reasonable.
BABA's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. BABA is cheaper than 74.19% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.29. BABA is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.64, the valuation of BABA can be described as very reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of BABA indicates a rather cheap valuation: BABA is cheaper than 80.65% of the companies listed in the same industry.
BABA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.44.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.3
Fwd PE 8.64
BABA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBABA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

BABA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. BABA is cheaper than 74.19% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of BABA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: BABA is cheaper than 64.52% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 16.4
EV/EBITDA 6.78
BABA Per share dataBABA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
BABA has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.17
PEG (5Y)1.02
EPS Next 2Y7.84%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%

2

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

BABA has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.19%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
BABA's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 5.56.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, BABA's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.19%

5.2 History

BABA does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
BABA Yearly Dividends per shareBABA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5.3 Sustainability

54.53% of the earnings are spent on dividend by BABA. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP54.53%
EPS Next 2Y7.84%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
BABA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendBABA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50B 100B 150B
BABA Dividend Payout.BABA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.BABA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING-SP ADR

NYSE:BABA (1/21/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 85.8 +0.42 (+0.49%)

85.38

+0.26 (+0.31%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)11-15 2024-11-15/bmo
Earnings (Next)01-29 2025-01-29/amc
Inst Owners15.24%
Inst Owner Change-1.34%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap203.24B
Analysts82.59
Price Target124.25 (45.53%)
Short Float %1.58%
Short Ratio2.67
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.19%
Yearly Dividend0.9
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP54.53%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.51%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.76%
Max EPS beat(2)5.79%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.17%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.01%
Max EPS beat(4)5.79%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)5.5%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)6.01%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)4.26%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.6%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.25%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.95%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.69%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.25%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.97%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.79%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.74%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.6%
PT rev (1m)-0.03%
PT rev (3m)12.9%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.68%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.3
Fwd PE 8.64
P/S 1.54
P/FCF 16.4
P/OCF 9.7
P/B 1.56
P/tB 2.21
EV/EBITDA 6.78
EPS(TTM)8.29
EY9.71%
EPS(NY)9.88
Fwd EY11.57%
FCF(TTM)5.21
FCFY6.1%
OCF(TTM)8.8
OCFY10.3%
SpS55.27
BVpS54.81
TBVpS38.57
PEG (NY)3.17
PEG (5Y)1.02
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.87%
ROE 9%
ROCE 8.81%
ROIC 7.07%
ROICexc 10.03%
ROICexgc 14.41%
OM 12.07%
PM (TTM) 8.92%
GM 38.2%
FCFM 9.42%
ROA(3y)4.1%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)7.31%
ROE(5y)11.55%
ROIC(3y)6.45%
ROIC(5y)6.42%
ROICexc(3y)10.57%
ROICexc(5y)10.27%
ROICexgc(3y)16.93%
ROICexgc(5y)17.44%
ROCE(3y)8.04%
ROCE(5y)8%
ROICexcg growth 3Y9.15%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-1.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.34%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.21%
OM growth 3Y1.1%
OM growth 5Y-3.71%
PM growth 3Y-26.05%
PM growth 5Y-18.28%
GM growth 3Y-3.16%
GM growth 5Y-3.83%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.55
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.18
Debt/FCF 2.23
Debt/EBITDA 1.06
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 95.32%
Profit Quality 105.56%
Current Ratio 1.37
Quick Ratio 1.37
Altman-Z 2.46
F-Score5
WACC7.41%
ROIC/WACC0.95
Cap/Depr(3y)86.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.05%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.73%
Profit Quality(3y)186.71%
Profit Quality(5y)155.24%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.75%
EPS 3Y-1.58%
EPS 5Y10.09%
EPS Q2Q%-3.65%
EPS Next Y3.25%
EPS Next 2Y7.84%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
EPS Next 5Y1.2%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.14%
Revenue growth 3Y9.48%
Revenue growth 5Y20.09%
Sales Q2Q%5.21%
Revenue Next Year6.28%
Revenue Next 2Y7.55%
Revenue Next 3Y7.67%
Revenue Next 5Y6.67%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.4%
EBIT growth 3Y10.68%
EBIT growth 5Y15.63%
EBIT Next Year23.44%
EBIT Next 3Y14%
EBIT Next 5Y12.3%
FCF growth 1Y-29.99%
FCF growth 3Y-7.42%
FCF growth 5Y8.11%
OCF growth 1Y-0.76%
OCF growth 3Y-7.64%
OCF growth 5Y3.88%