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YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:YUMC - US98850P1093 - Common Stock

47.2 USD
-0.35 (-0.74%)
Last: 1/20/2026, 9:30:01 AM
Fundamental Rating

6

Taking everything into account, YUMC scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. YUMC was compared to 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. YUMC has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. YUMC has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • YUMC had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year YUMC had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years YUMC has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years YUMC always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
YUMC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYUMC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • YUMC has a better Return On Assets (8.19%) than 78.20% of its industry peers.
  • YUMC's Return On Equity of 15.88% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. YUMC outperforms 72.93% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 10.78%, YUMC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.94% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for YUMC is below the industry average of 10.34%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (10.78%) for YUMC is above the 3 year average (8.01%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.19%
ROE 15.88%
ROIC 10.78%
ROA(3y)6.27%
ROA(5y)6.7%
ROE(3y)11.88%
ROE(5y)12.46%
ROIC(3y)8.01%
ROIC(5y)7.07%
YUMC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYUMC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

  • YUMC's Profit Margin of 7.81% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. YUMC outperforms 68.42% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of YUMC has remained more or less at the same level.
  • YUMC's Operating Margin of 11.18% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. YUMC outperforms 62.41% of its industry peers.
  • YUMC's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • YUMC has a worse Gross Margin (41.58%) than 60.90% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of YUMC has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.18%
PM (TTM) 7.81%
GM 41.58%
OM growth 3Y10.45%
OM growth 5Y1.23%
PM growth 3Y-7.08%
PM growth 5Y-0.16%
GM growth 3Y-0.12%
GM growth 5Y-0.93%
YUMC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYUMC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), YUMC is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, YUMC has less shares outstanding
  • YUMC has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for YUMC has been reduced compared to a year ago.
YUMC Yearly Shares OutstandingYUMC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M
YUMC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYUMC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • YUMC has an Altman-Z score of 3.71. This indicates that YUMC is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • YUMC has a better Altman-Z score (3.71) than 82.71% of its industry peers.
  • YUMC has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.09. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.09 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of YUMC (0.09) is better than 93.23% of its industry peers.
  • YUMC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of YUMC (0.01) is better than 87.22% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.09
Altman-Z 3.71
ROIC/WACC1.44
WACC7.47%
YUMC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYUMC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.32 indicates that YUMC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.32, YUMC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • YUMC has a Quick Ratio of 1.15. This is a normal value and indicates that YUMC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • YUMC has a Quick ratio of 1.15. This is in the better half of the industry: YUMC outperforms 63.91% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 1.15
YUMC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYUMC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.14% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, YUMC shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.39% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, YUMC shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.29% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.19% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.14%
EPS 3Y24.41%
EPS 5Y4.39%
EPS Q2Q%-1.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y4.68%
Revenue growth 5Y5.19%
Sales Q2Q%4.4%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.58% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, YUMC will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.72% on average per year.
EPS Next Y8.4%
EPS Next 2Y11.85%
EPS Next 3Y11.82%
EPS Next 5Y16.58%
Revenue Next Year2.94%
Revenue Next 2Y4.34%
Revenue Next 3Y4.75%
Revenue Next 5Y6.72%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
YUMC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYUMC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B
YUMC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYUMC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2 4 6 8

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 19.50 indicates a rather expensive valuation of YUMC.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of YUMC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: YUMC is cheaper than 71.43% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of YUMC to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.38), we can say YUMC is valued slightly cheaper.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.19 indicates a correct valuation of YUMC.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of YUMC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: YUMC is cheaper than 71.43% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.29. YUMC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.5
Fwd PE 16.19
YUMC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsYUMC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of YUMC indicates a rather cheap valuation: YUMC is cheaper than 83.46% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of YUMC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: YUMC is cheaper than 76.69% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 18.13
EV/EBITDA 7.79
YUMC Per share dataYUMC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates YUMC does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • YUMC has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.32
PEG (5Y)4.45
EPS Next 2Y11.85%
EPS Next 3Y11.82%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.01%, YUMC has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • YUMC's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.19.
  • YUMC's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.84.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.01%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of YUMC has a limited annual growth rate of 5.67%.
  • YUMC has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • YUMC has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.67%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years4
YUMC Yearly Dividends per shareYUMC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

  • 36.39% of the earnings are spent on dividend by YUMC. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • YUMC's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP36.39%
EPS Next 2Y11.85%
EPS Next 3Y11.82%
YUMC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYUMC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M
YUMC Dividend Payout.YUMC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.YUMC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:YUMC (1/20/2026, 9:30:01 AM)

47.2

-0.35 (-0.74%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)11-04
Earnings (Next)02-04
Inst Owners76.9%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners0.37%
Ins Owner Change3.96%
Market Cap17.06B
Revenue(TTM)11.57B
Net Income(TTM)904.00M
Analysts84
Price Target59.15 (25.32%)
Short Float %1.63%
Short Ratio4.36
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.01%
Yearly Dividend0.63
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.67%
DP36.39%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.28%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.95%
Max EPS beat(2)0.39%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)0%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.21%
Max EPS beat(4)1.77%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)10.47%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)7.88%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)287.31%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.07%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.35%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.35%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.34%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.41%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.34%
PT rev (1m)0.28%
PT rev (3m)0.23%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.34%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.32%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.15%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.25%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.33%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.65%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.5
Fwd PE 16.19
P/S 1.47
P/FCF 18.13
P/OCF 11.31
P/B 3
P/tB 4.71
EV/EBITDA 7.79
EPS(TTM)2.42
EY5.13%
EPS(NY)2.92
Fwd EY6.18%
FCF(TTM)2.6
FCFY5.52%
OCF(TTM)4.17
OCFY8.84%
SpS32.01
BVpS15.75
TBVpS10.02
PEG (NY)2.32
PEG (5Y)4.45
Graham Number29.28
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.19%
ROE 15.88%
ROCE 14.78%
ROIC 10.78%
ROICexc 14.26%
ROICexgc 20.74%
OM 11.18%
PM (TTM) 7.81%
GM 41.58%
FCFM 8.13%
ROA(3y)6.27%
ROA(5y)6.7%
ROE(3y)11.88%
ROE(5y)12.46%
ROIC(3y)8.01%
ROIC(5y)7.07%
ROICexc(3y)10.81%
ROICexc(5y)10.5%
ROICexgc(3y)15.53%
ROICexgc(5y)15.57%
ROCE(3y)11.07%
ROCE(5y)9.74%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.41%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.9%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y-7.31%
OM growth 3Y10.45%
OM growth 5Y1.23%
PM growth 3Y-7.08%
PM growth 5Y-0.16%
GM growth 3Y-0.12%
GM growth 5Y-0.93%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.05
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.09
Debt/EBITDA 0.04
Cap/Depr 124.89%
Cap/Sales 4.9%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 86.32%
Profit Quality 104.09%
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 1.15
Altman-Z 3.71
F-Score7
WACC7.47%
ROIC/WACC1.44
Cap/Depr(3y)139.21%
Cap/Depr(5y)128.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.6%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.37%
Profit Quality(3y)112.23%
Profit Quality(5y)94%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.14%
EPS 3Y24.41%
EPS 5Y4.39%
EPS Q2Q%-1.3%
EPS Next Y8.4%
EPS Next 2Y11.85%
EPS Next 3Y11.82%
EPS Next 5Y16.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y4.68%
Revenue growth 5Y5.19%
Sales Q2Q%4.4%
Revenue Next Year2.94%
Revenue Next 2Y4.34%
Revenue Next 3Y4.75%
Revenue Next 5Y6.72%
EBIT growth 1Y12.05%
EBIT growth 3Y15.62%
EBIT growth 5Y6.49%
EBIT Next Year54.31%
EBIT Next 3Y21.42%
EBIT Next 5Y17.68%
FCF growth 1Y25.63%
FCF growth 3Y17.33%
FCF growth 5Y-0.98%
OCF growth 1Y6.35%
OCF growth 3Y7.85%
OCF growth 5Y3.67%

YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC / YUMC FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to YUMC.


Can you provide the valuation status for YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) stock?

YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC?

The financial health rating of YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) is 8 / 10.


Is the dividend of YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 36.39%.