YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:YUMC • US98850P1093

Current stock price

48.83 USD
+1.49 (+3.15%)
Last:

This YUMC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. YUMC Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • YUMC had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year YUMC had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • YUMC had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years YUMC always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
YUMC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYUMC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • YUMC has a Return On Assets of 8.62%. This is in the better half of the industry: YUMC outperforms 79.37% of its industry peers.
  • YUMC has a Return On Equity of 17.27%. This is in the better half of the industry: YUMC outperforms 75.40% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 11.31%, YUMC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for YUMC is in line with the industry average of 10.55%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (9.86%) for YUMC is below the current ROIC(11.31%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.62%
ROE 17.27%
ROIC 11.31%
ROA(3y)7.89%
ROA(5y)6.98%
ROE(3y)15.36%
ROE(5y)13.39%
ROIC(3y)9.86%
ROIC(5y)8.1%
YUMC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYUMC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

  • YUMC has a Profit Margin of 7.87%. This is in the better half of the industry: YUMC outperforms 69.84% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of YUMC has declined.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 11.25%, YUMC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.52% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of YUMC has grown nicely.
  • YUMC has a worse Gross Margin (41.32%) than 61.90% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of YUMC has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.25%
PM (TTM) 7.87%
GM 41.32%
OM growth 3Y12.55%
OM growth 5Y4.92%
PM growth 3Y19.46%
PM growth 5Y-3.66%
GM growth 3Y-0.92%
GM growth 5Y-0.82%
YUMC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYUMC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

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7

2. YUMC Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), YUMC is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for YUMC has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, YUMC has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for YUMC has been reduced compared to a year ago.
YUMC Yearly Shares OutstandingYUMC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M
YUMC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYUMC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • YUMC has an Altman-Z score of 3.60. This indicates that YUMC is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.60, YUMC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of YUMC is 0.10, which is an excellent value as it means it would take YUMC, only 0.10 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.10, YUMC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.02 indicates that YUMC is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • YUMC has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.02. This is amongst the best in the industry. YUMC outperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF 0.1
Altman-Z 3.6
ROIC/WACC1.51
WACC7.51%
YUMC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYUMC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • YUMC has a Current Ratio of 1.05. This is a normal value and indicates that YUMC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.05, YUMC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.35% of the companies in the same industry.
  • YUMC has a Quick Ratio of 1.05. This is a bad value and indicates that YUMC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.85, YUMC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.24% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 0.85
YUMC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYUMC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. YUMC Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • YUMC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 8.15%, which is quite good.
  • Measured over the past years, YUMC shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 10.35% on average per year.
  • YUMC shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.37%.
  • YUMC shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.38% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.15%
EPS 3Y33.89%
EPS 5Y10.35%
EPS Q2Q%33.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.37%
Revenue growth 3Y7.23%
Revenue growth 5Y7.38%
Sales Q2Q%15.98%

3.2 Future

  • YUMC is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 17.44% yearly.
  • YUMC is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.39% yearly.
EPS Next Y17.83%
EPS Next 2Y15.17%
EPS Next 3Y13.71%
EPS Next 5Y17.44%
Revenue Next Year8.22%
Revenue Next 2Y7.03%
Revenue Next 3Y5.98%
Revenue Next 5Y7.39%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
YUMC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYUMC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B
YUMC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYUMC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2 4 6 8

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5

4. YUMC Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 19.38, the valuation of YUMC can be described as rather expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, YUMC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.05% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of YUMC to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.91), we can say YUMC is valued slightly cheaper.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.45, YUMC is valued correctly.
  • 69.05% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than YUMC, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • YUMC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 21.99.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.38
Fwd PE 16.45
YUMC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsYUMC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 78.57% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than YUMC, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • 69.05% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than YUMC, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.53
EV/EBITDA 8.18
YUMC Per share dataYUMC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • YUMC's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of YUMC may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • YUMC's earnings are expected to grow with 13.71% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.09
PEG (5Y)1.87
EPS Next 2Y15.17%
EPS Next 3Y13.71%

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6

5. YUMC Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • YUMC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.01%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.05, YUMC pays a better dividend. On top of this YUMC pays more dividend than 80.95% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • YUMC's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.01%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of YUMC grows each year by 32.22%, which is quite nice.
  • YUMC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • As YUMC did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.22%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years5
YUMC Yearly Dividends per shareYUMC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

  • YUMC pays out 38.00% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of YUMC is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP38%
EPS Next 2Y15.17%
EPS Next 3Y13.71%
YUMC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYUMC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M
YUMC Dividend Payout.YUMC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.YUMC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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YUMC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:YUMC (4/29/2026, 12:24:43 PM)

48.83

+1.49 (+3.15%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Industry StrengthN/A
Industry GrowthN/A
Earnings (Last)04-29
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners74.69%
Inst Owner Change0.07%
Ins Owners0.39%
Ins Owner Change4.5%
Market Cap17.24B
Revenue(TTM)11.80B
Net Income(TTM)929.00M
Analysts84
Price Target63.54 (30.12%)
Short Float %1.37%
Short Ratio2.84
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.01%
Yearly Dividend0.96
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.22%
DP38%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date03-04
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)5.3%
Min EPS beat(2)0.39%
Max EPS beat(2)10.21%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)2.11%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.21%
Max EPS beat(4)10.21%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.43%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)10.72%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)293.3%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.73%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.45%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.73%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.33%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.62%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.87%
PT rev (1m)-0.15%
PT rev (3m)7.41%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.87%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.34%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.38
Fwd PE 16.45
P/S 1.46
P/FCF 20.53
P/OCF 11.76
P/B 3.21
P/tB 5.28
EV/EBITDA 8.18
EPS(TTM)2.52
EY5.16%
EPS(NY)2.97
Fwd EY6.08%
FCF(TTM)2.38
FCFY4.87%
OCF(TTM)4.15
OCFY8.5%
SpS33.41
BVpS15.23
TBVpS9.26
PEG (NY)1.09
PEG (5Y)1.87
Graham Number29.3896 (-39.81%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.62%
ROE 17.27%
ROCE 15.54%
ROIC 11.31%
ROICexc 13.49%
ROICexgc 19.11%
OM 11.25%
PM (TTM) 7.87%
GM 41.32%
FCFM 7.12%
ROA(3y)7.89%
ROA(5y)6.98%
ROE(3y)15.36%
ROE(5y)13.39%
ROIC(3y)9.86%
ROIC(5y)8.1%
ROICexc(3y)12.45%
ROICexc(5y)10.83%
ROICexgc(3y)17.53%
ROICexgc(5y)15.82%
ROCE(3y)13.65%
ROCE(5y)11.19%
ROICexgc growth 3Y13.67%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y16.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.81%
OM growth 3Y12.55%
OM growth 5Y4.92%
PM growth 3Y19.46%
PM growth 5Y-3.66%
GM growth 3Y-0.92%
GM growth 5Y-0.82%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.09
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF 0.1
Debt/EBITDA 0.05
Cap/Depr 139.73%
Cap/Sales 5.31%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 82.59%
Profit Quality 90.42%
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 0.85
Altman-Z 3.6
F-Score6
WACC7.51%
ROIC/WACC1.51
Cap/Depr(3y)148.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)138.18%
Cap/Sales(3y)6%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.42%
Profit Quality(3y)87.02%
Profit Quality(5y)94.35%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.15%
EPS 3Y33.89%
EPS 5Y10.35%
EPS Q2Q%33.33%
EPS Next Y17.83%
EPS Next 2Y15.17%
EPS Next 3Y13.71%
EPS Next 5Y17.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.37%
Revenue growth 3Y7.23%
Revenue growth 5Y7.38%
Sales Q2Q%15.98%
Revenue Next Year8.22%
Revenue Next 2Y7.03%
Revenue Next 3Y5.98%
Revenue Next 5Y7.39%
EBIT growth 1Y10.49%
EBIT growth 3Y20.68%
EBIT growth 5Y12.67%
EBIT Next Year55.46%
EBIT Next 3Y21.33%
EBIT Next 5Y16.45%
FCF growth 1Y17.65%
FCF growth 3Y4.6%
FCF growth 5Y3.86%
OCF growth 1Y3.31%
OCF growth 3Y1.23%
OCF growth 5Y5.65%

YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC / YUMC Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to YUMC.


Can you provide the valuation status for YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC?

YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) is expected to grow by 17.83% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) stock?

The dividend rating of YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 38%.