YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:YUMC • US98850P1093

Current stock price

49.75 USD
+0.37 (+0.75%)
Last:

This YUMC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. YUMC Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • YUMC had positive earnings in the past year.
  • YUMC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • YUMC had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years YUMC always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
YUMC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYUMC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 8.62%, YUMC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.37% of the companies in the same industry.
  • YUMC has a Return On Equity of 17.27%. This is in the better half of the industry: YUMC outperforms 75.40% of its industry peers.
  • YUMC has a better Return On Invested Capital (11.31%) than 73.81% of its industry peers.
  • YUMC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 9.86%. This is in line with the industry average of 10.55%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (11.31%) for YUMC is above the 3 year average (9.86%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.62%
ROE 17.27%
ROIC 11.31%
ROA(3y)7.89%
ROA(5y)6.98%
ROE(3y)15.36%
ROE(5y)13.39%
ROIC(3y)9.86%
ROIC(5y)8.1%
YUMC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYUMC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of YUMC (7.87%) is better than 69.84% of its industry peers.
  • YUMC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • YUMC has a Operating Margin (11.25%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • YUMC's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of YUMC (41.32%) is worse than 61.90% of its industry peers.
  • YUMC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.25%
PM (TTM) 7.87%
GM 41.32%
OM growth 3Y12.55%
OM growth 5Y4.92%
PM growth 3Y19.46%
PM growth 5Y-3.66%
GM growth 3Y-0.92%
GM growth 5Y-0.82%
YUMC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYUMC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

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7

2. YUMC Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so YUMC is still creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, YUMC has less shares outstanding
  • YUMC has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • YUMC has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
YUMC Yearly Shares OutstandingYUMC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M
YUMC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYUMC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.68 indicates that YUMC is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.68, YUMC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of YUMC is 0.10, which is an excellent value as it means it would take YUMC, only 0.10 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • YUMC has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.10. This is amongst the best in the industry. YUMC outperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.02 indicates that YUMC is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of YUMC (0.02) is better than 85.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF 0.1
Altman-Z 3.68
ROIC/WACC1.51
WACC7.51%
YUMC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYUMC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.05 indicates that YUMC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • YUMC's Current ratio of 1.05 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. YUMC outperforms 56.35% of its industry peers.
  • YUMC has a Quick Ratio of 1.05. This is a bad value and indicates that YUMC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.85, YUMC is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.24% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 0.85
YUMC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYUMC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. YUMC Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 8.15% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 10.35% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • Looking at the last year, YUMC shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.37% in the last year.
  • YUMC shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.38% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.15%
EPS 3Y33.89%
EPS 5Y10.35%
EPS Q2Q%33.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.37%
Revenue growth 3Y7.23%
Revenue growth 5Y7.38%
Sales Q2Q%15.98%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, YUMC will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.44% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.39% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y17.83%
EPS Next 2Y15.17%
EPS Next 3Y13.71%
EPS Next 5Y17.44%
Revenue Next Year8.22%
Revenue Next 2Y7.05%
Revenue Next 3Y5.93%
Revenue Next 5Y7.39%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
YUMC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYUMC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B
YUMC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYUMC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2 4 6 8

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6

4. YUMC Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 19.74 indicates a rather expensive valuation of YUMC.
  • 68.25% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than YUMC, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of YUMC to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.38), we can say YUMC is valued slightly cheaper.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.75 indicates a correct valuation of YUMC.
  • 70.63% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than YUMC, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.20, YUMC is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.74
Fwd PE 16.75
YUMC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsYUMC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of YUMC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: YUMC is cheaper than 77.78% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • 68.25% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than YUMC, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.91
EV/EBITDA 8.58
YUMC Per share dataYUMC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • YUMC's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of YUMC may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as YUMC's earnings are expected to grow with 13.71% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.11
PEG (5Y)1.91
EPS Next 2Y15.17%
EPS Next 3Y13.71%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. YUMC Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • YUMC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.01%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.09, YUMC pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, YUMC has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.01%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of YUMC is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 32.22%!
  • YUMC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • As YUMC did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.22%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years5
YUMC Yearly Dividends per shareYUMC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

  • 38.00% of the earnings are spent on dividend by YUMC. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of YUMC is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP38%
EPS Next 2Y15.17%
EPS Next 3Y13.71%
YUMC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYUMC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M
YUMC Dividend Payout.YUMC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.YUMC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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YUMC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:YUMC (4/16/2026, 9:49:55 AM)

49.75

+0.37 (+0.75%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners74.69%
Inst Owner Change0.09%
Ins Owners0.39%
Ins Owner Change4.5%
Market Cap17.57B
Revenue(TTM)11.80B
Net Income(TTM)929.00M
Analysts84
Price Target63.58 (27.8%)
Short Float %1.38%
Short Ratio2.52
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.01%
Yearly Dividend0.96
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.22%
DP38%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date03-04
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)5.3%
Min EPS beat(2)0.39%
Max EPS beat(2)10.21%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)2.11%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.21%
Max EPS beat(4)10.21%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.43%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)10.72%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)293.3%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.73%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.45%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.73%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.33%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.62%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.87%
PT rev (1m)-0.08%
PT rev (3m)7.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.49%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.02%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.86%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.45%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.74
Fwd PE 16.75
P/S 1.49
P/FCF 20.91
P/OCF 11.98
P/B 3.27
P/tB 5.38
EV/EBITDA 8.58
EPS(TTM)2.52
EY5.07%
EPS(NY)2.97
Fwd EY5.97%
FCF(TTM)2.38
FCFY4.78%
OCF(TTM)4.15
OCFY8.35%
SpS33.41
BVpS15.23
TBVpS9.26
PEG (NY)1.11
PEG (5Y)1.91
Graham Number29.3896 (-40.93%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.62%
ROE 17.27%
ROCE 15.54%
ROIC 11.31%
ROICexc 13.49%
ROICexgc 19.11%
OM 11.25%
PM (TTM) 7.87%
GM 41.32%
FCFM 7.12%
ROA(3y)7.89%
ROA(5y)6.98%
ROE(3y)15.36%
ROE(5y)13.39%
ROIC(3y)9.86%
ROIC(5y)8.1%
ROICexc(3y)12.45%
ROICexc(5y)10.83%
ROICexgc(3y)17.53%
ROICexgc(5y)15.82%
ROCE(3y)13.65%
ROCE(5y)11.19%
ROICexgc growth 3Y13.67%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y16.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.81%
OM growth 3Y12.55%
OM growth 5Y4.92%
PM growth 3Y19.46%
PM growth 5Y-3.66%
GM growth 3Y-0.92%
GM growth 5Y-0.82%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.09
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF 0.1
Debt/EBITDA 0.05
Cap/Depr 139.73%
Cap/Sales 5.31%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 82.59%
Profit Quality 90.42%
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 0.85
Altman-Z 3.68
F-Score6
WACC7.51%
ROIC/WACC1.51
Cap/Depr(3y)148.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)138.18%
Cap/Sales(3y)6%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.42%
Profit Quality(3y)87.02%
Profit Quality(5y)94.35%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.15%
EPS 3Y33.89%
EPS 5Y10.35%
EPS Q2Q%33.33%
EPS Next Y17.83%
EPS Next 2Y15.17%
EPS Next 3Y13.71%
EPS Next 5Y17.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.37%
Revenue growth 3Y7.23%
Revenue growth 5Y7.38%
Sales Q2Q%15.98%
Revenue Next Year8.22%
Revenue Next 2Y7.05%
Revenue Next 3Y5.93%
Revenue Next 5Y7.39%
EBIT growth 1Y10.49%
EBIT growth 3Y20.68%
EBIT growth 5Y12.67%
EBIT Next Year55.46%
EBIT Next 3Y21.33%
EBIT Next 5Y16.45%
FCF growth 1Y17.65%
FCF growth 3Y4.6%
FCF growth 5Y3.86%
OCF growth 1Y3.31%
OCF growth 3Y1.23%
OCF growth 5Y5.65%

YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC / YUMC Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to YUMC.


Can you provide the valuation status for YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC?

YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) is expected to grow by 17.83% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) stock?

The dividend rating of YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 38%.