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YPF S.A.-SPONSORED ADR (YPF) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:YPF - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US9842451000 - ADR - Currency: USD

39.32  +0.84 (+2.18%)

After market: 39.21 -0.11 (-0.28%)

Fundamental Rating

2

YPF gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 212 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of YPF have multiple concerns. YPF shows excellent growth, but is valued quite expensive already.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: YPF reported negative net income in multiple years.
YPF had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
YPF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYPF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1T -1T

1.2 Ratios

YPF's Return On Assets of -2.79% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. YPF is outperformed by 80.10% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of -7.37%, YPF is not doing good in the industry: 78.16% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
YPF has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.57%. This is in the lower half of the industry: YPF underperforms 66.02% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for YPF is significantly below the industry average of 28.73%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.57%) for YPF is above the 3 year average (3.29%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.79%
ROE -7.37%
ROIC 4.57%
ROA(3y)-0.47%
ROA(5y)-1.44%
ROE(3y)-1.99%
ROE(5y)-4.51%
ROIC(3y)3.29%
ROIC(5y)N/A
YPF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYPF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

YPF's Operating Margin of 9.81% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. YPF is outperformed by 67.48% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of YPF has declined.
The Gross Margin of YPF (25.32%) is worse than 64.08% of its industry peers.
YPF's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.81%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 25.32%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-16.72%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y39.65%
GM growth 5Y-0.01%
YPF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYPF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20 -20

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0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

YPF has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, YPF has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
YPF has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
YPF Yearly Shares OutstandingYPF Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M
YPF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYPF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5T 10T 15T 20T

2.2 Solvency

The Debt to FCF ratio of YPF is 73.83, which is on the high side as it means it would take YPF, 73.83 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
YPF has a Debt to FCF ratio of 73.83. This is in the lower half of the industry: YPF underperforms 66.02% of its industry peers.
YPF has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.72. This is a neutral value indicating YPF is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
YPF has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.72. This is in the lower half of the industry: YPF underperforms 66.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF 73.83
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
YPF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYPF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2T 4T 6T

2.3 Liquidity

YPF has a Current Ratio of 0.93. This is a bad value and indicates that YPF is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.93, YPF is doing worse than 68.45% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.71 indicates that YPF may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.71, YPF is not doing good in the industry: 70.39% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.93
Quick Ratio 0.71
YPF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYPF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1T 2T 3T

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7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for YPF have decreased strongly by -717.61% in the last year.
YPF shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 34.56%.
The Revenue has been growing by 32.60% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-717.61%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%2205.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.56%
Revenue growth 3Y32.6%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%238.1%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, YPF will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 18.05% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 43.02% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y104.14%
EPS Next 2Y71.11%
EPS Next 3Y-9.11%
EPS Next 5Y18.05%
Revenue Next Year17%
Revenue Next 2Y40.43%
Revenue Next 3Y45.45%
Revenue Next 5Y43.02%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
YPF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYPF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5T 10T 15T 20T
YPF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYPF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2K 4K 6K 8K

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0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
YPF Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsYPF Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 0 0 0 0

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
YPF Per share dataYPF EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share

4.3 Compensation for Growth

YPF's earnings are expected to decrease with -9.11% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y71.11%
EPS Next 3Y-9.11%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

YPF does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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YPF S.A.-SPONSORED ADR

NYSE:YPF (2/4/2025, 8:17:33 PM)

After market: 39.21 -0.11 (-0.28%)

39.32

+0.84 (+2.18%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-10 2024-11-10/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners5.08%
Inst Owner Change-17.32%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap15.47B
Analysts81.82
Price Target47.94 (21.92%)
Short Float %2.36%
Short Ratio1.7
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1600.38%
Min EPS beat(2)1070.91%
Max EPS beat(2)2129.86%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)606.6%
Min EPS beat(4)-416.15%
Max EPS beat(4)2129.86%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.56%
Min Revenue beat(2)-16.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.02%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-13.69%
Min Revenue beat(4)-52.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)14.75%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)284.99%
PT rev (3m)284.99%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.98%
EPS NQ rev (3m)87.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)114.12%
EPS NY rev (3m)114.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.98%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)20.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)14.45%
Revenue NY rev (3m)14.45%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S N/A
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)N/A
EYN/A
EPS(NY)N/A
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpSN/A
BVpSN/A
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.79%
ROE -7.37%
ROCE 6.29%
ROIC 4.57%
ROICexc 4.91%
ROICexgc 5.02%
OM 9.81%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 25.32%
FCFM 1%
ROA(3y)-0.47%
ROA(5y)-1.44%
ROE(3y)-1.99%
ROE(5y)-4.51%
ROIC(3y)3.29%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.48%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.55%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)4.53%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-24.16%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-24.05%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-16.72%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y39.65%
GM growth 5Y-0.01%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF 73.83
Debt/EBITDA 2.36
Cap/Depr 194.18%
Cap/Sales 29.23%
Interest Coverage 2.66
Cash Conversion 121.6%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.93
Quick Ratio 0.71
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score3
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)128.08%
Cap/Depr(5y)109.08%
Cap/Sales(3y)22.85%
Cap/Sales(5y)21.89%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-717.61%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%2205.16%
EPS Next Y104.14%
EPS Next 2Y71.11%
EPS Next 3Y-9.11%
EPS Next 5Y18.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.56%
Revenue growth 3Y32.6%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%238.1%
Revenue Next Year17%
Revenue Next 2Y40.43%
Revenue Next 3Y45.45%
Revenue Next 5Y43.02%
EBIT growth 1Y390.12%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y38.19%
EBIT Next Year3128.59%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-41.16%
FCF growth 3Y24.66%
FCF growth 5Y37.89%
OCF growth 1Y572.18%
OCF growth 3Y103.92%
OCF growth 5Y69.97%