FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:YMM • US35969L1089

Current stock price

8.255 USD
+0.04 (+0.55%)
Last:

This YMM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. YMM Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • YMM had positive earnings in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years YMM 4 years were profitable.
  • In multiple years YMM reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
YMM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYMM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of YMM (9.95%) is better than 88.10% of its industry peers.
  • YMM has a better Return On Equity (11.01%) than 64.29% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.78%, YMM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • YMM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.63%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.15%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (8.78%) for YMM is above the 3 year average (5.63%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.95%
ROE 11.01%
ROIC 8.78%
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.4%
ROE(3y)8.46%
ROE(5y)2.66%
ROIC(3y)5.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
YMM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYMM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 35.29%, YMM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of YMM has grown nicely.
  • The Operating Margin of YMM (33.20%) is better than 90.48% of its industry peers.
  • The Gross Margin of YMM (63.02%) is better than 73.81% of its industry peers.
  • YMM's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 33.2%
PM (TTM) 35.29%
GM 63.02%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y80.1%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y9.65%
GM growth 5Y5.16%
YMM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYMM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 -100

9

2. YMM Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • YMM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, YMM has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • YMM has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • YMM has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
YMM Yearly Shares OutstandingYMM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
YMM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYMM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 9.20 indicates that YMM is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 9.20, YMM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.48% of the companies in the same industry.
  • YMM has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 9.2
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC8.88%
YMM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYMM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 8.09 indicates that YMM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 8.09, YMM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 8.09 indicates that YMM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Quick ratio value of 8.09, YMM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 8.09
Quick Ratio 8.09
YMM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYMM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

8

3. YMM Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • YMM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 17.15%, which is quite good.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 57.26% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue has grown by 11.13% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • Measured over the past years, YMM shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 37.08% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.15%
EPS 3Y57.26%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.13%
Revenue growth 3Y22.87%
Revenue growth 5Y37.08%
Sales Q2Q%2.11%

3.2 Future

  • YMM is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 20.51% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, YMM will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 17.00% on average per year.
EPS Next Y6.8%
EPS Next 2Y14.04%
EPS Next 3Y20.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-6.76%
Revenue Next 2Y2.67%
Revenue Next 3Y6.78%
Revenue Next 5Y17%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
YMM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYMM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
YMM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYMM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4 6

5

4. YMM Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 12.51 indicates a correct valuation of YMM.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of YMM indicates a rather cheap valuation: YMM is cheaper than 95.24% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.17. YMM is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.71, which indicates a very decent valuation of YMM.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, YMM is valued cheaper than 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • YMM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.05.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.51
Fwd PE 11.71
YMM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsYMM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
YMM Per share dataYMM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3 4 5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates YMM does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The decent profitability rating of YMM may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as YMM's earnings are expected to grow with 20.51% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.84
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.04%
EPS Next 3Y20.51%

2

5. YMM Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • YMM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.41%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • In the last 3 months the price of YMM has falen by -27.02%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
  • YMM's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.72.
  • YMM's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.41%

5.2 History

  • YMM has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
YMM Yearly Dividends per shareYMM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2024 2025 2026 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y14.04%
EPS Next 3Y20.51%
YMM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYMM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B

YMM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR

NYSE:YMM (4/6/2026, 10:54:04 AM)

8.255

+0.04 (+0.55%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)03-12
Earnings (Next)05-19
Inst Owners84.35%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.52%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap8.63B
Revenue(TTM)12.49B
Net Income(TTM)4.41B
Analysts78.95
Price Target13.27 (60.75%)
Short Float %38.52%
Short Ratio2.41
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.41%
Yearly Dividend0.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date04-08
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.6%
Max EPS beat(2)4.35%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.38%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.6%
Max EPS beat(4)10.37%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)7.72%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)15.84%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)23.5%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.9%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.61%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.47%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.61%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-30.42%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-48.8%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-34.79%
PT rev (1m)-4.79%
PT rev (3m)-10.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-8.81%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.32%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.55%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5.99%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.99%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-6.61%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-14.52%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.51
Fwd PE 11.71
P/S 4.77
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.49
P/tB 1.69
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.66
EY8%
EPS(NY)0.7
Fwd EY8.54%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS1.73
BVpS5.55
TBVpS4.89
PEG (NY)1.84
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number9.08
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.95%
ROE 11.01%
ROCE 10%
ROIC 8.78%
ROICexc 14.95%
ROICexgc 18.6%
OM 33.2%
PM (TTM) 35.29%
GM 63.02%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.4%
ROE(3y)8.46%
ROE(5y)2.66%
ROIC(3y)5.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.78%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)13.45%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)6.41%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y80.1%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y9.65%
GM growth 5Y5.16%
F-ScoreN/A
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 8.09
Quick Ratio 8.09
Altman-Z 9.2
F-ScoreN/A
WACC8.88%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.15%
EPS 3Y57.26%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0.34%
EPS Next Y6.8%
EPS Next 2Y14.04%
EPS Next 3Y20.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.13%
Revenue growth 3Y22.87%
Revenue growth 5Y37.08%
Sales Q2Q%2.11%
Revenue Next Year-6.76%
Revenue Next 2Y2.67%
Revenue Next 3Y6.78%
Revenue Next 5Y17%
EBIT growth 1Y67.52%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year17.17%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR / YMM Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for YMM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to YMM.


What is the valuation status of FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR?

FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for YMM stock?

The financial health rating of FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) is 9 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for YMM stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) is expected to grow by 6.8% in the next year.