FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:YMM • US35969L1089

Current stock price

8.27 USD
+0.07 (+0.85%)
At close:
8.16 USD
-0.11 (-1.33%)
After Hours:

This YMM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. YMM Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year YMM was profitable.
  • YMM had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: YMM reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
YMM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYMM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B

1.2 Ratios

  • YMM has a better Return On Assets (9.95%) than 88.10% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of YMM (11.01%) is better than 64.29% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.78%, YMM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • YMM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.63%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.15%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (8.78%) for YMM is above the 3 year average (5.63%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.95%
ROE 11.01%
ROIC 8.78%
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.4%
ROE(3y)8.46%
ROE(5y)2.66%
ROIC(3y)5.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
YMM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYMM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 35.29%, YMM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • YMM's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of YMM (33.20%) is better than 90.48% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 63.02%, YMM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of YMM has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 33.2%
PM (TTM) 35.29%
GM 63.02%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y80.1%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y9.65%
GM growth 5Y5.16%
YMM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYMM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 -100

9

2. YMM Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • YMM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, YMM has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • The number of shares outstanding for YMM has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • There is no outstanding debt for YMM. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
YMM Yearly Shares OutstandingYMM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
YMM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYMM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 9.11 indicates that YMM is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • YMM's Altman-Z score of 9.11 is amongst the best of the industry. YMM outperforms 88.10% of its industry peers.
  • YMM has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 9.11
ROIC/WACC0.98
WACC8.95%
YMM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYMM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

  • YMM has a Current Ratio of 8.09. This indicates that YMM is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of YMM (8.09) is better than 97.62% of its industry peers.
  • YMM has a Quick Ratio of 8.09. This indicates that YMM is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of YMM (8.09) is better than 97.62% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 8.09
Quick Ratio 8.09
YMM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYMM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

8

3. YMM Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • YMM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 17.15%, which is quite good.
  • Measured over the past years, YMM shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 57.26% on average per year.
  • YMM shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 11.13%.
  • Measured over the past years, YMM shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 37.08% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.15%
EPS 3Y57.26%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.13%
Revenue growth 3Y22.87%
Revenue growth 5Y37.08%
Sales Q2Q%2.11%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, YMM will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 20.51% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, YMM will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 17.00% on average per year.
EPS Next Y6.8%
EPS Next 2Y14.04%
EPS Next 3Y20.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-6.76%
Revenue Next 2Y2.67%
Revenue Next 3Y6.78%
Revenue Next 5Y17%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
YMM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYMM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
YMM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYMM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4 6

5

4. YMM Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 12.34, which indicates a correct valuation of YMM.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, YMM is valued cheaper than 95.24% of the companies in the same industry.
  • YMM is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.78, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • YMM is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.63.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of YMM indicates a rather cheap valuation: YMM is cheaper than 97.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • YMM is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.54, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.34
Fwd PE 11.63
YMM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsYMM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
YMM Per share dataYMM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3 4 5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • YMM has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as YMM's earnings are expected to grow with 20.51% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.81
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.04%
EPS Next 3Y20.51%

2

5. YMM Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • YMM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.41%.
  • In the last 3 months the price of YMM has falen by -21.01%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.72, YMM pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, YMM is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.41%

5.2 History

  • YMM has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
YMM Yearly Dividends per shareYMM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2024 2025 2026 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y14.04%
EPS Next 3Y20.51%
YMM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYMM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B

YMM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR

NYSE:YMM (4/10/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 8.16 -0.11 (-1.33%)

8.27

+0.07 (+0.85%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)03-12
Earnings (Next)05-19
Inst Owners83.32%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.52%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap8.65B
Revenue(TTM)12.49B
Net Income(TTM)4.41B
Analysts78.95
Price Target13.14 (58.89%)
Short Float %38.52%
Short Ratio2.41
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.41%
Yearly Dividend0.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date04-08
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.6%
Max EPS beat(2)4.35%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.38%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.6%
Max EPS beat(4)10.37%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)7.72%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)15.84%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)23.5%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.9%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.61%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.47%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.61%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-30.42%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-48.8%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-34.79%
PT rev (1m)-4.79%
PT rev (3m)-10.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-8.81%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.32%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.55%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5.99%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.99%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-6.61%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-14.52%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.34
Fwd PE 11.63
P/S 4.73
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.48
P/tB 1.68
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.67
EY8.1%
EPS(NY)0.71
Fwd EY8.6%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS1.75
BVpS5.6
TBVpS4.93
PEG (NY)1.81
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number9.19
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.95%
ROE 11.01%
ROCE 10%
ROIC 8.78%
ROICexc 14.95%
ROICexgc 18.6%
OM 33.2%
PM (TTM) 35.29%
GM 63.02%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.4%
ROE(3y)8.46%
ROE(5y)2.66%
ROIC(3y)5.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.78%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)13.45%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)6.41%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y80.1%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y9.65%
GM growth 5Y5.16%
F-ScoreN/A
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 8.09
Quick Ratio 8.09
Altman-Z 9.11
F-ScoreN/A
WACC8.95%
ROIC/WACC0.98
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.15%
EPS 3Y57.26%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0.34%
EPS Next Y6.8%
EPS Next 2Y14.04%
EPS Next 3Y20.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.13%
Revenue growth 3Y22.87%
Revenue growth 5Y37.08%
Sales Q2Q%2.11%
Revenue Next Year-6.76%
Revenue Next 2Y2.67%
Revenue Next 3Y6.78%
Revenue Next 5Y17%
EBIT growth 1Y67.52%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year17.17%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR / YMM Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for YMM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to YMM.


What is the valuation status of FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR?

FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for YMM stock?

The financial health rating of FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) is 9 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for YMM stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) is expected to grow by 6.8% in the next year.