FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:YMM • US35969L1089

Current stock price

8.78 USD
-0.2 (-2.23%)
At close:
8.78 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This YMM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. YMM Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year YMM was profitable.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: YMM reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In multiple years YMM reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
YMM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYMM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B -4B

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 9.02%, YMM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • YMM has a Return On Equity of 10.14%. This is in the better half of the industry: YMM outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
  • YMM's Return On Invested Capital of 7.69% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. YMM outperforms 69.05% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.02%
ROE 10.14%
ROIC 7.69%
ROA(3y)4.72%
ROA(5y)-2.45%
ROE(3y)5.19%
ROE(5y)-2.65%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
YMM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYMM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of YMM (31.90%) is better than 97.62% of its industry peers.
  • YMM has a Operating Margin of 31.71%. This is amongst the best in the industry. YMM outperforms 88.10% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Gross Margin value of 60.44%, YMM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • YMM's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 31.71%
PM (TTM) 31.9%
GM 60.44%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.31%
GM growth 5Y4.51%
YMM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYMM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100

8

2. YMM Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), YMM is destroying value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for YMM. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
YMM Yearly Shares OutstandingYMM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
YMM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYMM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • YMM has an Altman-Z score of 8.64. This indicates that YMM is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • YMM's Altman-Z score of 8.64 is amongst the best of the industry. YMM outperforms 90.48% of its industry peers.
  • YMM has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 8.64
ROIC/WACC0.83
WACC9.22%
YMM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYMM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 6.26 indicates that YMM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of YMM (6.26) is better than 97.62% of its industry peers.
  • YMM has a Quick Ratio of 6.26. This indicates that YMM is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • YMM has a better Quick ratio (6.26) than 97.62% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 6.26
Quick Ratio 6.26
YMM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYMM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

5

3. YMM Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 15.92% over the past year.
  • YMM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 56.70% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.92%
EPS 3Y56.7%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-4.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%0.33%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, YMM will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 20.93% on average per year.
  • YMM is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 17.00% yearly.
EPS Next Y7.94%
EPS Next 2Y14.65%
EPS Next 3Y20.93%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.16%
Revenue Next 2Y6.57%
Revenue Next 3Y13.97%
Revenue Next 5Y17%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
YMM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYMM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
YMM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYMM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4 6

4

4. YMM Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 13.51, the valuation of YMM can be described as correct.
  • YMM's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. YMM is cheaper than 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.71, YMM is valued a bit cheaper.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.46, which indicates a correct valuation of YMM.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of YMM indicates a rather cheap valuation: YMM is cheaper than 97.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of YMM to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.83), we can say YMM is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.51
Fwd PE 12.46
YMM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsYMM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as YMM.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.88
YMM Per share dataYMM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3 4 5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as YMM's earnings are expected to grow with 20.93% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.7
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.65%
EPS Next 3Y20.93%

2

5. YMM Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.41%, YMM has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • The stock price of YMM dropped by -25.34% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
  • YMM's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.74.
  • YMM's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.91.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.41%

5.2 History

  • YMM is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
YMM Yearly Dividends per shareYMM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y14.65%
EPS Next 3Y20.93%
YMM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYMM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B -4B

YMM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR

NYSE:YMM (3/13/2026, 8:04:23 PM)

After market: 8.78 0 (0%)

8.78

-0.2 (-2.23%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)03-12
Earnings (Next)05-19
Inst Owners84.35%
Inst Owner Change2.37%
Ins Owners0.52%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap9.18B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)3.98B
Analysts81.05
Price Target13.94 (58.77%)
Short Float %41.73%
Short Ratio2.32
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.41%
Yearly Dividend0.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.38%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.6%
Max EPS beat(2)10.37%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.39%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.6%
Max EPS beat(4)10.37%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)9.42%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)18.06%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)-760.27%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)5.07%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.61%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.3%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.61%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-41.23%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-48.77%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-34.3%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-5.86%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.02%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.14%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.45%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.22%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.51
Fwd PE 12.46
P/S 5.08
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.61
P/tB 1.83
EV/EBITDA 10.88
EPS(TTM)0.65
EY7.4%
EPS(NY)0.7
Fwd EY8.03%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS1.73
BVpS5.44
TBVpS4.79
PEG (NY)1.7
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.92
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.02%
ROE 10.14%
ROCE 9.73%
ROIC 7.69%
ROICexc 10.11%
ROICexgc 11.92%
OM 31.71%
PM (TTM) 31.9%
GM 60.44%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)4.72%
ROA(5y)-2.45%
ROE(3y)5.19%
ROE(5y)-2.65%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.31%
GM growth 5Y4.51%
F-ScoreN/A
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 6.26
Quick Ratio 6.26
Altman-Z 8.64
F-ScoreN/A
WACC9.22%
ROIC/WACC0.83
Cap/Depr(3y)109.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.04%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.92%
EPS 3Y56.7%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-4.43%
EPS Next Y7.94%
EPS Next 2Y14.65%
EPS Next 3Y20.93%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%0.33%
Revenue Next Year-0.16%
Revenue Next 2Y6.57%
Revenue Next 3Y13.97%
Revenue Next 5Y17%
EBIT growth 1Y109.24%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year60.51%
EBIT Next 3Y32.31%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y33.46%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y30.86%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR / YMM Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for YMM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to YMM.


Can you provide the valuation status for FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) stock?

FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) stock?

The financial health rating of FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) is 8 / 10.