FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:YMM • US35969L1089

Current stock price

8.355 USD
+0.25 (+3.02%)
Last:

This YMM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. YMM Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • YMM had positive earnings in the past year.
  • YMM had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In multiple years YMM reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
YMM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYMM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B

1.2 Ratios

  • YMM has a better Return On Assets (9.95%) than 88.10% of its industry peers.
  • YMM's Return On Equity of 11.01% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. YMM outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
  • YMM's Return On Invested Capital of 8.78% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. YMM outperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for YMM is in line with the industry average of 7.15%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (8.78%) for YMM is above the 3 year average (5.63%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.95%
ROE 11.01%
ROIC 8.78%
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.4%
ROE(3y)8.46%
ROE(5y)2.66%
ROIC(3y)5.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
YMM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYMM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

  • YMM's Profit Margin of 35.29% is amongst the best of the industry. YMM outperforms 97.62% of its industry peers.
  • YMM's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • YMM's Operating Margin of 33.20% is amongst the best of the industry. YMM outperforms 90.48% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 63.02%, YMM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • YMM's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 33.2%
PM (TTM) 35.29%
GM 63.02%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y80.1%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y9.65%
GM growth 5Y5.16%
YMM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYMM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 -100

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

9

2. YMM Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so YMM is destroying value.
  • YMM has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • YMM has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • There is no outstanding debt for YMM. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
YMM Yearly Shares OutstandingYMM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
YMM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYMM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 9.13 indicates that YMM is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of YMM (9.13) is better than 90.48% of its industry peers.
  • There is no outstanding debt for YMM. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 9.13
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC8.91%
YMM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYMM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

  • YMM has a Current Ratio of 8.09. This indicates that YMM is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • YMM has a Current ratio of 8.09. This is amongst the best in the industry. YMM outperforms 97.62% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 8.09 indicates that YMM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Quick ratio value of 8.09, YMM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 8.09
Quick Ratio 8.09
YMM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYMM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

8

3. YMM Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • YMM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 17.15%, which is quite good.
  • YMM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 57.26% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, YMM shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 11.13% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 37.08% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.15%
EPS 3Y57.26%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.13%
Revenue growth 3Y22.87%
Revenue growth 5Y37.08%
Sales Q2Q%2.11%

3.2 Future

  • YMM is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 20.51% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 17.00% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y6.8%
EPS Next 2Y14.04%
EPS Next 3Y20.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-6.76%
Revenue Next 2Y2.67%
Revenue Next 3Y6.78%
Revenue Next 5Y17%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
YMM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYMM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
YMM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYMM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4 6

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

5

4. YMM Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 12.66, the valuation of YMM can be described as correct.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of YMM indicates a rather cheap valuation: YMM is cheaper than 95.24% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • YMM's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.21.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.79, the valuation of YMM can be described as very reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, YMM is valued cheaper than 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.10. YMM is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.66
Fwd PE 11.79
YMM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsYMM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
YMM Per share dataYMM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3 4 5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of YMM may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • YMM's earnings are expected to grow with 20.51% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.86
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.04%
EPS Next 3Y20.51%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

2

5. YMM Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.41%, YMM has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • In the last 3 months the price of YMM has falen by -21.78%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.72, YMM pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • YMM's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.41%

5.2 History

  • YMM has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
YMM Yearly Dividends per shareYMM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2024 2025 2026 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y14.04%
EPS Next 3Y20.51%
YMM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYMM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

YMM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR

NYSE:YMM (4/8/2026, 2:42:59 PM)

8.355

+0.25 (+3.02%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)03-12
Earnings (Next)05-19
Inst Owners84.35%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.52%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap8.74B
Revenue(TTM)12.49B
Net Income(TTM)4.41B
Analysts78.95
Price Target13.27 (58.83%)
Short Float %38.52%
Short Ratio2.41
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.41%
Yearly Dividend0.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date04-08
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.6%
Max EPS beat(2)4.35%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.38%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.6%
Max EPS beat(4)10.37%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)7.72%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)15.84%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)23.5%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.9%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.61%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.47%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.61%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-30.42%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-48.8%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-34.79%
PT rev (1m)-4.79%
PT rev (3m)-10.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-8.81%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.32%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.55%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5.99%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.99%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-6.61%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-14.52%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.66
Fwd PE 11.79
P/S 4.8
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.5
P/tB 1.7
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.66
EY7.9%
EPS(NY)0.71
Fwd EY8.48%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS1.74
BVpS5.58
TBVpS4.91
PEG (NY)1.86
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number9.1
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.95%
ROE 11.01%
ROCE 10%
ROIC 8.78%
ROICexc 14.95%
ROICexgc 18.6%
OM 33.2%
PM (TTM) 35.29%
GM 63.02%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.4%
ROE(3y)8.46%
ROE(5y)2.66%
ROIC(3y)5.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.78%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)13.45%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)6.41%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y80.1%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y9.65%
GM growth 5Y5.16%
F-ScoreN/A
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 8.09
Quick Ratio 8.09
Altman-Z 9.13
F-ScoreN/A
WACC8.91%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.15%
EPS 3Y57.26%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0.34%
EPS Next Y6.8%
EPS Next 2Y14.04%
EPS Next 3Y20.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.13%
Revenue growth 3Y22.87%
Revenue growth 5Y37.08%
Sales Q2Q%2.11%
Revenue Next Year-6.76%
Revenue Next 2Y2.67%
Revenue Next 3Y6.78%
Revenue Next 5Y17%
EBIT growth 1Y67.52%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year17.17%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR / YMM Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for YMM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to YMM.


What is the valuation status of FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR?

FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for YMM stock?

The financial health rating of FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) is 9 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for YMM stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) is expected to grow by 6.8% in the next year.