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FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:YMM - US35969L1089 - ADR

11.615 USD
+0.1 (+0.82%)
Last: 12/8/2025, 11:25:02 AM
Fundamental Rating

6

We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to YMM. YMM was compared to 43 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. YMM has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. YMM is not overvalued while it is showing excellent growth. This is an interesting combination. These ratings would make YMM suitable for growth investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year YMM was profitable.
In multiple years YMM reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: YMM reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
YMM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYMM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B -4B

1.2 Ratios

YMM's Return On Assets of 9.81% is amongst the best of the industry. YMM outperforms 90.70% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 10.65%, YMM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.44% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.80%, YMM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.42% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.81%
ROE 10.65%
ROIC 7.8%
ROA(3y)4.72%
ROA(5y)-2.45%
ROE(3y)5.19%
ROE(5y)-2.65%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
YMM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYMM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

YMM has a better Profit Margin (34.40%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 32.44%, YMM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.37% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 61.36%, YMM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.09% of the companies in the same industry.
YMM's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 32.44%
PM (TTM) 34.4%
GM 61.36%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.31%
GM growth 5Y4.51%
YMM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYMM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100

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9

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

YMM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for YMM remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, YMM has less shares outstanding
YMM has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
YMM Yearly Shares OutstandingYMM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
YMM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYMM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

YMM has an Altman-Z score of 16.01. This indicates that YMM is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 16.01, YMM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.35% of the companies in the same industry.
YMM has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 16.01
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC8.85%
YMM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYMM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

YMM has a Current Ratio of 8.89. This indicates that YMM is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of YMM (8.89) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
YMM has a Quick Ratio of 8.89. This indicates that YMM is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
YMM's Quick ratio of 8.89 is amongst the best of the industry. YMM outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 8.89
Quick Ratio 8.89
YMM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYMM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

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7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 92.74% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, YMM shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 33.22%.
YMM shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 35.36% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)92.74%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-23.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)33.22%
Revenue growth 3Y34.13%
Revenue growth 5Y35.36%
Sales Q2Q%677.43%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 24.96% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
YMM is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 17.14% yearly.
EPS Next Y40.44%
EPS Next 2Y25.61%
EPS Next 3Y24.4%
EPS Next 5Y24.96%
Revenue Next Year12.31%
Revenue Next 2Y10.62%
Revenue Next 3Y11.67%
Revenue Next 5Y17.14%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
YMM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYMM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
YMM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYMM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4 6

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5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

YMM is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.15.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of YMM indicates a rather cheap valuation: YMM is cheaper than 83.72% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of YMM to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.49), we can say YMM is valued slightly cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.94, the valuation of YMM can be described as correct.
YMM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. YMM is cheaper than 88.37% of the companies in the same industry.
YMM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.69.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.15
Fwd PE 15.94
YMM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsYMM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, YMM is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 62.79% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 21.2
YMM Per share dataYMM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3 4 5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

YMM's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as YMM's earnings are expected to grow with 24.40% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.45
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.61%
EPS Next 3Y24.4%

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2

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.16%, YMM has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
YMM's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.60.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.16, YMM pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.31.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.16%

5.2 History

YMM does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
YMM Yearly Dividends per shareYMM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y25.61%
EPS Next 3Y24.4%
YMM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYMM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B -4B

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FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR

NYSE:YMM (12/8/2025, 11:25:02 AM)

11.615

+0.1 (+0.82%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)11-17 2025-11-17/bmo
Earnings (Next)03-03 2026-03-03/amc
Inst Owners82.44%
Inst Owner Change8.79%
Ins Owners0.52%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap12.15B
Revenue(TTM)11.24B
Net Income(TTM)4.18B
Analysts82.11
Price Target14.8 (27.42%)
Short Float %50.94%
Short Ratio3.41
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.16%
Yearly Dividend0.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date10-10 2025-10-10 (0.096)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)7.39%
Min EPS beat(2)4.4%
Max EPS beat(2)10.37%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)7.93%
Min EPS beat(4)0.4%
Max EPS beat(4)16.54%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)14.72%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)33.31%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)-771.95%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)5.07%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-19.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-84.59%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.07%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-19.77%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)91%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)222.99%
PT rev (1m)-6.77%
PT rev (3m)-5.84%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.59%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.98%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.84%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.59%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.15
Fwd PE 15.94
P/S 7.07
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 2.19
P/tB 2.4
EV/EBITDA 21.2
EPS(TTM)0.64
EY5.51%
EPS(NY)0.73
Fwd EY6.27%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS1.64
BVpS5.3
TBVpS4.83
PEG (NY)0.45
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.74
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.81%
ROE 10.65%
ROCE 9.87%
ROIC 7.8%
ROICexc 7.8%
ROICexgc 8.54%
OM 32.44%
PM (TTM) 34.4%
GM 61.36%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)4.72%
ROA(5y)-2.45%
ROE(3y)5.19%
ROE(5y)-2.65%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.31%
GM growth 5Y4.51%
F-ScoreN/A
Asset Turnover0.29
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 8.89
Quick Ratio 8.89
Altman-Z 16.01
F-ScoreN/A
WACC8.85%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)108.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.8%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.04%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)92.74%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-23.65%
EPS Next Y40.44%
EPS Next 2Y25.61%
EPS Next 3Y24.4%
EPS Next 5Y24.96%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)33.22%
Revenue growth 3Y34.13%
Revenue growth 5Y35.36%
Sales Q2Q%677.43%
Revenue Next Year12.31%
Revenue Next 2Y10.62%
Revenue Next 3Y11.67%
Revenue Next 5Y17.14%
EBIT growth 1Y169.57%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year60.04%
EBIT Next 3Y36.57%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y33.41%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y30.84%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR / YMM FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for YMM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to YMM.


What is the valuation status for YMM stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) stock?

FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for YMM stock?

The financial health rating of FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) is 9 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) is expected to grow by 40.44% in the next year.