CONOCOPHILLIPS (YCP.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
FRA:YCP - Deutsche Boerse Ag - US20825C1045 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR
YCP gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 63 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of YCP get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. YCP has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
YCP had positive earnings in the past year.
YCP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years YCP 4 years were profitable.
YCP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of YCP (7.51%) is better than 63.49% of its industry peers.
YCP has a Return On Equity of 14.22%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: YCP outperforms 53.97% of its industry peers.
YCP has a Return On Invested Capital (7.87%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for YCP is in line with the industry average of 12.53%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.87%) for YCP is well below the 3 year average (13.48%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that YCP had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.51% | ||
| ROE | 14.22% | ||
| ROIC | 7.87% |
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.78%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
YCP's Profit Margin of 16.83% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. YCP outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
YCP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 23.58%, YCP is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.73% of the companies in the same industry.
YCP's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of YCP (47.46%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
YCP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 23.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.83% | ||
| GM | 47.46% |
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
YCP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for YCP has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, YCP has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for YCP is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
YCP has an Altman-Z score of 2.76. This is not the best score and indicates that YCP is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
YCP has a Altman-Z score of 2.76. This is in the better half of the industry: YCP outperforms 79.37% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of YCP is 3.04, which is a good value as it means it would take YCP, 3.04 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
YCP has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.04. This is in the better half of the industry: YCP outperforms 76.19% of its industry peers.
YCP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.36. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.36, YCP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.49% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.36 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.04 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.76 |
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC7.94%
2.3 Liquidity
YCP has a Current Ratio of 1.29. This is a normal value and indicates that YCP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
YCP has a Current ratio (1.29) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
YCP has a Quick Ratio of 1.14. This is a normal value and indicates that YCP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
YCP's Quick ratio of 1.14 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. YCP outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.14 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for YCP have decreased strongly by -11.50% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, YCP shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 16.70% on average per year.
YCP shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.49%.
The Revenue has been growing by 11.04% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.5%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%-17.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.49%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%-3.72%
3.2 Future
YCP is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.57% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, YCP will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -3.28% on average per year.
EPS Next Y6.6%
EPS Next 2Y9.18%
EPS Next 3Y8.62%
EPS Next 5Y9.57%
Revenue Next Year10.73%
Revenue Next 2Y7.24%
Revenue Next 3Y5.39%
Revenue Next 5Y-3.28%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.63 indicates a reasonable valuation of YCP.
YCP's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
YCP is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 29.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.91, which indicates a very decent valuation of YCP.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of YCP is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.10. YCP is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.63 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.91 |
4.2 Price Multiples
YCP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
YCP's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.37 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.9 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
YCP's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.76
PEG (5Y)0.7
EPS Next 2Y9.18%
EPS Next 3Y8.62%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.52%, YCP has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
YCP's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 59.75.
YCP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.33.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.52% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of YCP grows each year by 17.10%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
YCP pays out 39.56% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of YCP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP39.56%
EPS Next 2Y9.18%
EPS Next 3Y8.62%
FRA:YCP (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
83.26
+0.79 (+0.96%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners82.74%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.08%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap105.94B
Analysts82.42
Price Target126.59 (52.04%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.52% |
Yearly Dividend2.74
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
DP39.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)7.11%
Min EPS beat(2)6.82%
Max EPS beat(2)7.4%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.46%
Max EPS beat(4)7.4%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)4.71%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.73%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)6.98%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.91%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.01%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.77%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.19%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.01%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.99%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.3%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.42%
PT rev (1m)-1.93%
PT rev (3m)-1.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.16%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.06%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.62%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.68%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.63 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.91 | ||
| P/S | 2.1 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.37 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.72 | ||
| P/B | 1.78 | ||
| P/tB | 1.78 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.9 |
EPS(TTM)7.16
EY8.6%
EPS(NY)7.63
Fwd EY9.16%
FCF(TTM)5.8
FCFY6.96%
OCF(TTM)14.57
OCFY17.5%
SpS39.63
BVpS46.91
TBVpS46.91
PEG (NY)1.76
PEG (5Y)0.7
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.51% | ||
| ROE | 14.22% | ||
| ROCE | 11.67% | ||
| ROIC | 7.87% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.33% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.33% | ||
| OM | 23.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.83% | ||
| GM | 47.46% | ||
| FCFM | 14.62% |
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.78%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)14.87%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)14.87%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)19.99%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-0.85%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.85%
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.45
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.36 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.04 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.03 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 126.24% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 22.14% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 16.01 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 89.41% | ||
| Profit Quality | 86.87% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.76 |
F-Score5
WACC7.94%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)132.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.37%
Profit Quality(3y)88.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.5%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%-17.5%
EPS Next Y6.6%
EPS Next 2Y9.18%
EPS Next 3Y8.62%
EPS Next 5Y9.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.49%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%-3.72%
Revenue Next Year10.73%
Revenue Next 2Y7.24%
Revenue Next 3Y5.39%
Revenue Next 5Y-3.28%
EBIT growth 1Y-15.51%
EBIT growth 3Y0.67%
EBIT growth 5Y12.6%
EBIT Next Year87.95%
EBIT Next 3Y17.91%
EBIT Next 5Y23.7%
FCF growth 1Y-8.16%
FCF growth 3Y-11.81%
FCF growth 5Y12.37%
OCF growth 1Y0.8%
OCF growth 3Y5.79%
OCF growth 5Y12.63%