EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:XOM - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US30231G1022 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
XOM gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 211 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of XOM get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. XOM is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing. Finally XOM also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year XOM was profitable.
XOM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
XOM had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years XOM had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.43%, XOM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.73% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 12.77%, XOM is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.33% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 8.12%, XOM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.90% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for XOM is significantly below the industry average of 28.75%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.43% | ||
| ROE | 12.77% | ||
| ROIC | 8.12% |
ROA(3y)10.7%
ROA(5y)6.43%
ROE(3y)19.64%
ROE(5y)11.66%
ROIC(3y)11.98%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 9.93%, XOM is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.61% of the companies in the same industry.
XOM's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
XOM has a worse Operating Margin (12.87%) than 60.78% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of XOM has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 29.53%, XOM is doing worse than 60.78% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of XOM has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.93% | ||
| GM | 29.53% |
OM growth 3Y11.67%
OM growth 5Y16.33%
PM growth 3Y6.04%
PM growth 5Y12.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.5%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
XOM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, XOM has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for XOM has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
XOM has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.12 indicates that XOM is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
XOM has a better Altman-Z score (4.12) than 85.29% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of XOM is 1.36, which is an excellent value as it means it would take XOM, only 1.36 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
XOM has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.36) than 81.86% of its industry peers.
XOM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.14. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
XOM's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.14 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. XOM outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.12 |
ROIC/WACC0.93
WACC8.7%
2.3 Liquidity
XOM has a Current Ratio of 1.31. This is a normal value and indicates that XOM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
XOM has a Current ratio (1.31) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.97 indicates that XOM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.97, XOM is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.59% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.31 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.97 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
XOM shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -18.17%.
Measured over the past years, XOM shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 26.13% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, XOM shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.36% in the last year.
XOM shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.83% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-18.17%
EPS 3Y13.13%
EPS 5Y26.13%
EPS Q2Q%-32.66%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.36%
Revenue growth 3Y7.03%
Revenue growth 5Y5.83%
Sales Q2Q%-1.09%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.31% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, XOM will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -6.52% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-4.39%
EPS Next 2Y7.61%
EPS Next 3Y9.63%
EPS Next 5Y10.31%
Revenue Next Year-4.58%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.58%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.82%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.52%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 14.21 indicates a correct valuation of XOM.
XOM's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 29.63, XOM is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 14.86, which indicates a correct valuation of XOM.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of XOM is on the same level as its industry peers.
XOM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.68.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.21 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.86 |
4.2 Price Multiples
XOM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as XOM.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.69 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.54 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.54
EPS Next 2Y7.61%
EPS Next 3Y9.63%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.66%, XOM has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
XOM's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 6.75.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.29, XOM pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.66% |
5.2 History
The dividend of XOM has a limited annual growth rate of 3.02%.
XOM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
XOM has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.02%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
49.60% of the earnings are spent on dividend by XOM. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of XOM is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP49.6%
EPS Next 2Y7.61%
EPS Next 3Y9.63%
110.69
-1.31 (-1.17%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners64.72%
Inst Owner Change-0.59%
Ins Owners0.05%
Ins Owner Change3.03%
Market Cap481.83B
Analysts75
Price Target132.05 (19.3%)
Short Float %0.92%
Short Ratio2.52
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.66% |
Yearly Dividend4.01
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.02%
DP49.6%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.57%
Min EPS beat(2)1.31%
Max EPS beat(2)5.83%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.61%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.24%
Max EPS beat(4)5.83%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)1.97%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.36%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)4.07%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.66%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.12%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.99%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.93%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.6%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.96%
PT rev (1m)-0.28%
PT rev (3m)-0.99%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-7.32%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-25.99%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.83%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.32%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.91%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.68%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.57%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.21 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.86 | ||
| P/S | 1.42 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.69 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.76 | ||
| P/B | 1.83 | ||
| P/tB | 1.83 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.54 |
EPS(TTM)7.79
EY7.04%
EPS(NY)7.45
Fwd EY6.73%
FCF(TTM)7.06
FCFY6.37%
OCF(TTM)12.64
OCFY11.42%
SpS77.93
BVpS60.58
TBVpS60.58
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.54
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.43% | ||
| ROE | 12.77% | ||
| ROCE | 11.4% | ||
| ROIC | 8.12% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.64% | ||
| OM | 12.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.93% | ||
| GM | 29.53% | ||
| FCFM | 9.05% |
ROA(3y)10.7%
ROA(5y)6.43%
ROE(3y)19.64%
ROE(5y)11.66%
ROIC(3y)11.98%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.18%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)13.18%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.83%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y9.55%
ROICexcg growth 5Y19.81%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.81%
OM growth 3Y11.67%
OM growth 5Y16.33%
PM growth 3Y6.04%
PM growth 5Y12.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.5%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.75
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.36 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.55 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 103.69% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.16% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 81.98% | ||
| Profit Quality | 91.2% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.31 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.97 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.12 |
F-Score5
WACC8.7%
ROIC/WACC0.93
Cap/Depr(3y)101.52%
Cap/Depr(5y)80.15%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.11%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.47%
Profit Quality(3y)96.28%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-18.17%
EPS 3Y13.13%
EPS 5Y26.13%
EPS Q2Q%-32.66%
EPS Next Y-4.39%
EPS Next 2Y7.61%
EPS Next 3Y9.63%
EPS Next 5Y10.31%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.36%
Revenue growth 3Y7.03%
Revenue growth 5Y5.83%
Sales Q2Q%-1.09%
Revenue Next Year-4.58%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.58%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.82%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.52%
EBIT growth 1Y-7.56%
EBIT growth 3Y19.52%
EBIT growth 5Y23.11%
EBIT Next Year45.04%
EBIT Next 3Y16.69%
EBIT Next 5Y14.48%
FCF growth 1Y-8.17%
FCF growth 3Y-5.2%
FCF growth 5Y41.81%
OCF growth 1Y-0.63%
OCF growth 3Y4.56%
OCF growth 5Y13.11%