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EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:XOM - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US30231G1022 - Common Stock

111.47  -0.85 (-0.76%)

After market: 111.5 +0.03 (+0.03%)

Fundamental Rating

4

XOM gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While XOM has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. XOM does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year XOM was profitable.
In the past year XOM had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years XOM 4 years were profitable.
XOM had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
XOM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFXOM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20B -20B 40B 60B

1.2 Ratios

XOM has a Return On Assets of 7.30%. This is in the better half of the industry: XOM outperforms 64.56% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of XOM (12.55%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of XOM (8.20%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
XOM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 11.59%. This is significantly below the industry average of 28.71%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.3%
ROE 12.55%
ROIC 8.2%
ROA(3y)10.49%
ROA(5y)5.74%
ROE(3y)19.94%
ROE(5y)10.61%
ROIC(3y)11.59%
ROIC(5y)N/A
XOM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICXOM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

XOM has a Profit Margin of 9.92%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: XOM outperforms 44.66% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of XOM has grown nicely.
With a Operating Margin value of 13.07%, XOM is not doing good in the industry: 60.19% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of XOM has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 29.95%, XOM is doing worse than 60.19% of the companies in the same industry.
XOM's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.07%
PM (TTM) 9.92%
GM 29.95%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y13.6%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y7.6%
GM growth 3Y1.08%
GM growth 5Y0.22%
XOM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsXOM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20 30

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

XOM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, XOM has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for XOM has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
XOM has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
XOM Yearly Shares OutstandingXOM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B
XOM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsXOM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100B 200B 300B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.07 indicates that XOM is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of XOM (4.07) is better than 85.92% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of XOM is 1.30, which is an excellent value as it means it would take XOM, only 1.30 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
XOM has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.30. This is amongst the best in the industry. XOM outperforms 83.50% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.14 indicates that XOM is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of XOM (0.14) is better than 75.24% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.14
Debt/FCF 1.3
Altman-Z 4.07
ROIC/WACC0.94
WACC8.76%
XOM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFXOM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50B 100B 150B 200B

2.3 Liquidity

XOM has a Current Ratio of 1.35. This is a normal value and indicates that XOM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
XOM has a Current ratio (1.35) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.01 indicates that XOM should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.01, XOM is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.09% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.35
Quick Ratio 1.01
XOM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesXOM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B 80B

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for XOM have decreased strongly by -17.62% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, XOM shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 14.30% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, XOM shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -1.82% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.68% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-17.62%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y14.3%
EPS Q2Q%-15.42%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.82%
Revenue growth 3Y23.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.68%
Sales Q2Q%-0.82%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, XOM will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 1.07% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -5.10% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-15.32%
EPS Next 2Y-8.36%
EPS Next 3Y0.03%
EPS Next 5Y1.07%
Revenue Next Year1.12%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.26%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.95%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.1%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
XOM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesXOM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 100B 200B 300B 400B
XOM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesXOM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 10

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

XOM is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.96.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of XOM is on the same level as its industry peers.
XOM's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.29.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 13.94, which indicates a correct valuation of XOM.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as XOM.
XOM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.44.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.96
Fwd PE 13.94
XOM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsXOM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as XOM.
XOM's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.95
EV/EBITDA 7.38
XOM Per share dataXOM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.91
EPS Next 2Y-8.36%
EPS Next 3Y0.03%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

XOM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.56%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.39, XOM has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, XOM pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.56%

5.2 History

The dividend of XOM has a limited annual growth rate of 2.65%.
XOM has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
XOM has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.65%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
XOM Yearly Dividends per shareXOM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

47.99% of the earnings are spent on dividend by XOM. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of XOM is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP47.99%
EPS Next 2Y-8.36%
EPS Next 3Y0.03%
XOM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendXOM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20B -20B 40B
XOM Dividend Payout.XOM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.XOM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

EXXON MOBIL CORP

NYSE:XOM (1/21/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 111.5 +0.03 (+0.03%)

111.47

-0.85 (-0.76%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-01 2024-11-01/bmo
Earnings (Next)01-31 2025-01-31/amc
Inst Owners64.72%
Inst Owner Change-0.26%
Ins Owners0.05%
Ins Owner Change3.13%
Market Cap489.92B
Analysts75.15
Price Target132.41 (18.79%)
Short Float %0.92%
Short Ratio2.55
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.56%
Yearly Dividend3.71
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.65%
DP47.99%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.43%
Min EPS beat(2)1.31%
Max EPS beat(2)5.55%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.88%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.24%
Max EPS beat(4)10.91%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)1.51%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.27%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)12.71%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.93%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.27%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.22%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.12%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.99%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.67%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.24%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.12%
PT rev (1m)-0.76%
PT rev (3m)-0.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-22.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.52%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.06%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.96
Fwd PE 13.94
P/S 1.44
P/FCF 14.95
P/OCF 8.67
P/B 1.82
P/tB 1.82
EV/EBITDA 7.38
EPS(TTM)8.6
EY7.72%
EPS(NY)7.99
Fwd EY7.17%
FCF(TTM)7.46
FCFY6.69%
OCF(TTM)12.85
OCFY11.53%
SpS77.33
BVpS61.11
TBVpS61.11
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.91
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.3%
ROE 12.55%
ROCE 11.33%
ROIC 8.2%
ROICexc 8.81%
ROICexgc 8.81%
OM 13.07%
PM (TTM) 9.92%
GM 29.95%
FCFM 9.64%
ROA(3y)10.49%
ROA(5y)5.74%
ROE(3y)19.94%
ROE(5y)10.61%
ROIC(3y)11.59%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.69%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.69%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.05%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y19.4%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y19.4%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y13.6%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y7.6%
GM growth 3Y1.08%
GM growth 5Y0.22%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.14
Debt/FCF 1.3
Debt/EBITDA 0.53
Cap/Depr 96.34%
Cap/Sales 6.97%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 81.82%
Profit Quality 97.26%
Current Ratio 1.35
Quick Ratio 1.01
Altman-Z 4.07
F-Score5
WACC8.76%
ROIC/WACC0.94
Cap/Depr(3y)86.49%
Cap/Depr(5y)85.05%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.18%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.95%
Profit Quality(3y)118.04%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-17.62%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y14.3%
EPS Q2Q%-15.42%
EPS Next Y-15.32%
EPS Next 2Y-8.36%
EPS Next 3Y0.03%
EPS Next 5Y1.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.82%
Revenue growth 3Y23.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.68%
Sales Q2Q%-0.82%
Revenue Next Year1.12%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.26%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.95%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.1%
EBIT growth 1Y-20.61%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y17.79%
EBIT Next Year34.46%
EBIT Next 3Y14.69%
EBIT Next 5Y9.6%
FCF growth 1Y-44.99%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y15.27%
OCF growth 1Y-25.98%
OCF growth 3Y55.7%
OCF growth 5Y8.98%