EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:XOM - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US30231G1022 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
XOM gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 212 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of XOM get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. XOM is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
XOM had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year XOM had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years XOM 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years XOM always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.43%, XOM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.64% of the companies in the same industry.
XOM's Return On Equity of 12.77% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. XOM outperforms 63.21% of its industry peers.
XOM's Return On Invested Capital of 8.12% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. XOM outperforms 63.21% of its industry peers.
XOM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 11.97%. This is significantly below the industry average of 27.43%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.43% | ||
| ROE | 12.77% | ||
| ROIC | 8.12% |
ROA(3y)10.7%
ROA(5y)6.43%
ROE(3y)19.64%
ROE(5y)11.66%
ROIC(3y)11.97%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
XOM has a Profit Margin (9.93%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of XOM has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 12.87%, XOM is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.45% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of XOM has grown nicely.
XOM's Gross Margin of 29.53% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. XOM is outperformed by 60.85% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of XOM has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.93% | ||
| GM | 29.53% |
OM growth 3Y11.67%
OM growth 5Y16.33%
PM growth 3Y6.04%
PM growth 5Y12.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.5%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so XOM is still creating some value.
XOM has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, XOM has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for XOM has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.04 indicates that XOM is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
XOM has a Altman-Z score of 4.04. This is amongst the best in the industry. XOM outperforms 88.21% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of XOM is 1.36, which is an excellent value as it means it would take XOM, only 1.36 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1.36, XOM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.26% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.14 indicates that XOM is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.14, XOM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.06% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.04 |
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC10.21%
2.3 Liquidity
XOM has a Current Ratio of 1.31. This is a normal value and indicates that XOM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
XOM has a Current ratio of 1.31. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: XOM outperforms 58.96% of its industry peers.
XOM has a Quick Ratio of 1.31. This is a bad value and indicates that XOM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.97, XOM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.30% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.31 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.97 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
XOM shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -18.17%.
XOM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 26.13% yearly.
Looking at the last year, XOM shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.36% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.83% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-18.17%
EPS 3Y13.13%
EPS 5Y26.13%
EPS Q2Q%-32.66%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.36%
Revenue growth 3Y7.03%
Revenue growth 5Y5.83%
Sales Q2Q%-1.09%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, XOM will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.87% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -6.52% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-11.59%
EPS Next 2Y3.8%
EPS Next 3Y9.22%
EPS Next 5Y9.87%
Revenue Next Year-4.44%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.63%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.85%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.52%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 13.52 indicates a correct valuation of XOM.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as XOM.
XOM is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.29, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.30 indicates a correct valuation of XOM.
XOM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.32, XOM is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.3 |
4.2 Price Multiples
XOM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of XOM indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: XOM is cheaper than 60.38% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.83 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.17 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.52
EPS Next 2Y3.8%
EPS Next 3Y9.22%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.70%, XOM has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
XOM's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 7.41.
XOM's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.51.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.7% |
5.2 History
The dividend of XOM has a limited annual growth rate of 3.02%.
XOM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
XOM has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.02%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
49.60% of the earnings are spent on dividend by XOM. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of XOM is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP49.6%
EPS Next 2Y3.8%
EPS Next 3Y9.22%
105.35
-1.57 (-1.47%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners65.74%
Inst Owner Change0.32%
Ins Owners0.07%
Ins Owner Change3.03%
Market Cap455.67B
Analysts75.63
Price Target131.2 (24.54%)
Short Float %1.09%
Short Ratio3
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.7% |
Yearly Dividend4.01
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.02%
DP49.6%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.57%
Min EPS beat(2)1.31%
Max EPS beat(2)5.83%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.61%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.24%
Max EPS beat(4)5.83%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)1.97%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.36%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)4.07%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.66%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.12%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.99%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.93%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.6%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.96%
PT rev (1m)-0.22%
PT rev (3m)-0.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.43%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.96%
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.53%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.95%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.87%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.67%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.82%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.3 | ||
| P/S | 1.34 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.83 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.28 | ||
| P/B | 1.73 | ||
| P/tB | 1.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.17 |
EPS(TTM)7.79
EY7.39%
EPS(NY)6.89
Fwd EY6.54%
FCF(TTM)7.1
FCFY6.74%
OCF(TTM)12.72
OCFY12.07%
SpS78.43
BVpS60.97
TBVpS60.97
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.52
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.43% | ||
| ROE | 12.77% | ||
| ROCE | 11.4% | ||
| ROIC | 8.12% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.64% | ||
| OM | 12.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.93% | ||
| GM | 29.53% | ||
| FCFM | 9.05% |
ROA(3y)10.7%
ROA(5y)6.43%
ROE(3y)19.64%
ROE(5y)11.66%
ROIC(3y)11.97%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.17%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)13.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.83%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y9.55%
ROICexcg growth 5Y19.81%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.81%
OM growth 3Y11.67%
OM growth 5Y16.33%
PM growth 3Y6.04%
PM growth 5Y12.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.5%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.75
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.36 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.55 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 103.69% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.16% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 22.99 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 81.98% | ||
| Profit Quality | 91.2% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.31 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.97 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.04 |
F-Score5
WACC10.21%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)101.52%
Cap/Depr(5y)80.15%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.11%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.47%
Profit Quality(3y)96.28%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-18.17%
EPS 3Y13.13%
EPS 5Y26.13%
EPS Q2Q%-32.66%
EPS Next Y-11.59%
EPS Next 2Y3.8%
EPS Next 3Y9.22%
EPS Next 5Y9.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.36%
Revenue growth 3Y7.03%
Revenue growth 5Y5.83%
Sales Q2Q%-1.09%
Revenue Next Year-4.44%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.63%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.85%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.52%
EBIT growth 1Y-7.56%
EBIT growth 3Y19.52%
EBIT growth 5Y23.11%
EBIT Next Year39.5%
EBIT Next 3Y17.96%
EBIT Next 5Y14.07%
FCF growth 1Y-8.17%
FCF growth 3Y-5.2%
FCF growth 5Y41.81%
OCF growth 1Y-0.63%
OCF growth 3Y4.56%
OCF growth 5Y13.11%