XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:XEL • US98389B1008
Current stock price
81.63 USD
-0.28 (-0.34%)
At close:
81.63 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This XEL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. XEL Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- XEL had positive earnings in the past year.
- XEL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years XEL has been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years XEL had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- XEL has a worse Return On Assets (2.48%) than 65.22% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 8.55%, XEL is doing worse than 67.39% of the companies in the same industry.
- XEL has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.00%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: XEL underperforms 80.43% of its industry peers.
- XEL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.13%. This is in line with the industry average of 4.49%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.48% | ||
| ROE | 8.55% | ||
| ROIC | 3% |
ROA(3y)2.67%
ROA(5y)2.72%
ROE(3y)9.51%
ROE(5y)9.83%
ROIC(3y)3.13%
ROIC(5y)3.21%
1.3 Margins
- With a Profit Margin value of 13.76%, XEL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- XEL's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- XEL has a Operating Margin (19.63%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- XEL's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- XEL has a Gross Margin of 92.83%. This is amongst the best in the industry. XEL outperforms 95.65% of its industry peers.
- XEL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.63% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.76% | ||
| GM | 92.83% |
OM growth 3Y7.36%
OM growth 5Y1.34%
PM growth 3Y6.66%
PM growth 5Y1.48%
GM growth 3Y2.09%
GM growth 5Y-0.19%
2. XEL Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- XEL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- XEL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- XEL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- XEL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.96, we must say that XEL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- XEL has a Altman-Z score (0.96) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.47 is on the high side and indicates that XEL has dependencies on debt financing.
- XEL has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.47) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.96 |
ROIC/WACC0.45
WACC6.67%
2.3 Liquidity
- XEL has a Current Ratio of 0.71. This is a bad value and indicates that XEL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- XEL's Current ratio of 0.71 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. XEL outperforms 45.65% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.60 indicates that XEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- XEL's Quick ratio of 0.60 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. XEL outperforms 52.17% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.71 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.6 |
3. XEL Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 8.62% over the past year.
- Measured over the past 5 years, XEL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 6.34% on average per year.
- The Revenue has grown by 9.14% in the past year. This is quite good.
- XEL shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.94% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.62%
EPS 3Y6.04%
EPS 5Y6.34%
EPS Q2Q%17.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.14%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.42%
Revenue growth 5Y4.94%
Sales Q2Q%14.13%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.30% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, XEL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.98% on average per year.
EPS Next Y10.03%
EPS Next 2Y9.92%
EPS Next 3Y9.76%
EPS Next 5Y9.3%
Revenue Next Year5.79%
Revenue Next 2Y6.9%
Revenue Next 3Y7.42%
Revenue Next 5Y6.98%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. XEL Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 21.60, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of XEL.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of XEL indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: XEL is more expensive than 63.04% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- XEL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 25.96.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.63, the valuation of XEL can be described as rather expensive.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of XEL is on the same level as its industry peers.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of XEL to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.04), we can say XEL is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.63 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- XEL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. XEL is more expensive than 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.17 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)2.15
PEG (5Y)3.41
EPS Next 2Y9.92%
EPS Next 3Y9.76%
5. XEL Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- XEL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.07%.
- XEL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.87.
- XEL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.91.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.07% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of XEL has a limited annual growth rate of 5.83%.
- XEL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- The dividend of XEL decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.83%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- 63.53% of the earnings are spent on dividend by XEL. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- XEL's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP63.53%
EPS Next 2Y9.92%
EPS Next 3Y9.76%
XEL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
81.63
-0.28 (-0.34%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Earnings (Last)02-05 2026-02-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-22 2026-04-22
Inst Owners92.13%
Inst Owner Change2.41%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change7.38%
Market Cap50.93B
Revenue(TTM)14.67B
Net Income(TTM)2.02B
Analysts84.35
Price Target90.35 (10.68%)
Short Float %4.18%
Short Ratio5.15
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.07% |
Yearly Dividend2.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.83%
DP63.53%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-13 2026-03-13 (0.5925)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.57%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.97%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.18%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.55%
Max EPS beat(4)14.67%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.02%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.5%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.3%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.73%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.08%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.38%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.39%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.4%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.61%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.36%
PT rev (1m)1.21%
PT rev (3m)0.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.57%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.59%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.71%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.61%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.12%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.63 | ||
| P/S | 3.47 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 12.47 | ||
| P/B | 2.16 | ||
| P/tB | 2.16 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.17 |
EPS(TTM)3.78
EY4.63%
EPS(NY)4.16
Fwd EY5.1%
FCF(TTM)-10.94
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)6.54
OCFY8.02%
SpS23.51
BVpS37.84
TBVpS37.84
PEG (NY)2.15
PEG (5Y)3.41
Graham Number56.73
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.48% | ||
| ROE | 8.55% | ||
| ROCE | 3.88% | ||
| ROIC | 3% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.01% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.01% | ||
| OM | 19.63% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.76% | ||
| GM | 92.83% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)2.67%
ROA(5y)2.72%
ROE(3y)9.51%
ROE(5y)9.83%
ROIC(3y)3.13%
ROIC(5y)3.21%
ROICexc(3y)3.14%
ROICexc(5y)3.22%
ROICexgc(3y)3.14%
ROICexgc(5y)3.22%
ROCE(3y)4.02%
ROCE(5y)4.13%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.32%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.01%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.01%
OM growth 3Y7.36%
OM growth 5Y1.34%
PM growth 3Y6.66%
PM growth 5Y1.48%
GM growth 3Y2.09%
GM growth 5Y-0.19%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.18
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.81 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 353.93% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 74.36% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.28 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 68.5% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.71 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.6 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.96 |
F-Score5
WACC6.67%
ROIC/WACC0.45
Cap/Depr(3y)279.37%
Cap/Depr(5y)241.55%
Cap/Sales(3y)56.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)46.45%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.62%
EPS 3Y6.04%
EPS 5Y6.34%
EPS Q2Q%17.28%
EPS Next Y10.03%
EPS Next 2Y9.92%
EPS Next 3Y9.76%
EPS Next 5Y9.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.14%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.42%
Revenue growth 5Y4.94%
Sales Q2Q%14.13%
Revenue Next Year5.79%
Revenue Next 2Y6.9%
Revenue Next 3Y7.42%
Revenue Next 5Y6.98%
EBIT growth 1Y20.66%
EBIT growth 3Y5.84%
EBIT growth 5Y6.35%
EBIT Next Year118.56%
EBIT Next 3Y42.57%
EBIT Next 5Y26.21%
FCF growth 1Y-150.64%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-12.02%
OCF growth 3Y1.26%
OCF growth 5Y7.47%
XCEL ENERGY INC / XEL Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for XCEL ENERGY INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to XEL.
What is the valuation status for XEL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of XEL stock?
XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the financial health of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) stock?
The financial health rating of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) is 1 / 10.
Is the dividend of XCEL ENERGY INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 63.53%.