XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:XEL • US98389B1008

Current stock price

80.45 USD
-1.93 (-2.34%)
At close:
80.45 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This XEL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. XEL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year XEL was profitable.
  • XEL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • XEL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years XEL had a positive operating cash flow.
XEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFXEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B -6B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 2.48%, XEL is not doing good in the industry: 63.83% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • XEL has a Return On Equity of 8.55%. This is in the lower half of the industry: XEL underperforms 63.83% of its industry peers.
  • XEL has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.00%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: XEL underperforms 82.98% of its industry peers.
  • XEL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.13%. This is in line with the industry average of 4.52%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.48%
ROE 8.55%
ROIC 3%
ROA(3y)2.67%
ROA(5y)2.72%
ROE(3y)9.51%
ROE(5y)9.83%
ROIC(3y)3.13%
ROIC(5y)3.21%
XEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICXEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

  • XEL's Profit Margin of 13.76% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. XEL outperforms 51.06% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of XEL has remained more or less at the same level.
  • XEL has a worse Operating Margin (19.63%) than 61.70% of its industry peers.
  • XEL's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • XEL's Gross Margin of 92.83% is amongst the best of the industry. XEL outperforms 95.74% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of XEL has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 19.63%
PM (TTM) 13.76%
GM 92.83%
OM growth 3Y7.36%
OM growth 5Y1.34%
PM growth 3Y6.66%
PM growth 5Y1.48%
GM growth 3Y2.09%
GM growth 5Y-0.19%
XEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsXEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80

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1

2. XEL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so XEL is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for XEL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for XEL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for XEL is higher compared to a year ago.
XEL Yearly Shares OutstandingXEL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
XEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsXEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • XEL has an Altman-Z score of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that XEL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of XEL (0.96) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.47 is on the high side and indicates that XEL has dependencies on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.47, XEL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.06% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.47
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.96
ROIC/WACC0.45
WACC6.66%
XEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFXEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.71 indicates that XEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.71, XEL is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.68% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.60 indicates that XEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of XEL (0.60) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.71
Quick Ratio 0.6
XEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesXEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. XEL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • XEL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 8.62%, which is quite good.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.34% on average over the past years.
  • The Revenue has grown by 9.14% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • Measured over the past years, XEL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.94% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.62%
EPS 3Y6.04%
EPS 5Y6.34%
EPS Q2Q%17.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.14%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.42%
Revenue growth 5Y4.94%
Sales Q2Q%14.13%

3.2 Future

  • XEL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.30% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, XEL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.98% on average per year.
EPS Next Y9.94%
EPS Next 2Y9.86%
EPS Next 3Y9.84%
EPS Next 5Y9.3%
Revenue Next Year6.1%
Revenue Next 2Y7.09%
Revenue Next 3Y7.52%
Revenue Next 5Y6.98%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
XEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesXEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B
XEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesXEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 2 3 4 5

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2

4. XEL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 21.28, XEL is valued on the expensive side.
  • XEL's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of XEL to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.18), we can say XEL is valued slightly cheaper.
  • XEL is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.36.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of XEL is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of XEL to the average of the S&P500 Index (37.96), we can say XEL is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.28
Fwd PE 19.36
XEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsXEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, XEL is valued a bit more expensive than 70.21% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.22
XEL Per share dataXEL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates XEL does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.14
PEG (5Y)3.36
EPS Next 2Y9.86%
EPS Next 3Y9.84%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. XEL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • XEL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.95%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • XEL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 2.75.
  • XEL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.95%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of XEL has a limited annual growth rate of 5.83%.
  • XEL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • XEL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.83%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
XEL Yearly Dividends per shareXEL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 63.53% of the earnings are spent on dividend by XEL. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • XEL's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP63.53%
EPS Next 2Y9.86%
EPS Next 3Y9.84%
XEL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendXEL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B -4B -6B
XEL Dividend Payout.XEL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.XEL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

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XEL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

XCEL ENERGY INC

NASDAQ:XEL (4/13/2026, 8:01:50 PM)

After market: 80.45 0 (0%)

80.45

-1.93 (-2.34%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners92.17%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.16%
Ins Owner Change7.38%
Market Cap50.19B
Revenue(TTM)14.67B
Net Income(TTM)2.02B
Analysts84.35
Price Target91.21 (13.37%)
Short Float %4.11%
Short Ratio5.14
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.95%
Yearly Dividend2.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.83%
DP63.53%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.57%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.97%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.18%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.55%
Max EPS beat(4)14.67%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.02%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.5%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.3%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.73%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.08%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.38%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.39%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.4%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.61%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.36%
PT rev (1m)0.96%
PT rev (3m)2.86%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.29%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.34%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.26%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.14%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.68%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.29%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.45%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.28
Fwd PE 19.36
P/S 3.42
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 12.29
P/B 2.13
P/tB 2.13
EV/EBITDA 14.22
EPS(TTM)3.78
EY4.7%
EPS(NY)4.16
Fwd EY5.17%
FCF(TTM)-10.94
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)6.54
OCFY8.13%
SpS23.51
BVpS37.84
TBVpS37.84
PEG (NY)2.14
PEG (5Y)3.36
Graham Number56.73
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.48%
ROE 8.55%
ROCE 3.88%
ROIC 3%
ROICexc 3.01%
ROICexgc 3.01%
OM 19.63%
PM (TTM) 13.76%
GM 92.83%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.67%
ROA(5y)2.72%
ROE(3y)9.51%
ROE(5y)9.83%
ROIC(3y)3.13%
ROIC(5y)3.21%
ROICexc(3y)3.14%
ROICexc(5y)3.22%
ROICexgc(3y)3.14%
ROICexgc(5y)3.22%
ROCE(3y)4.02%
ROCE(5y)4.13%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.32%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.01%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.01%
OM growth 3Y7.36%
OM growth 5Y1.34%
PM growth 3Y6.66%
PM growth 5Y1.48%
GM growth 3Y2.09%
GM growth 5Y-0.19%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.18
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.47
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 5.81
Cap/Depr 353.93%
Cap/Sales 74.36%
Interest Coverage 2.28
Cash Conversion 68.5%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.71
Quick Ratio 0.6
Altman-Z 0.96
F-Score5
WACC6.66%
ROIC/WACC0.45
Cap/Depr(3y)279.37%
Cap/Depr(5y)241.55%
Cap/Sales(3y)56.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)46.45%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.62%
EPS 3Y6.04%
EPS 5Y6.34%
EPS Q2Q%17.28%
EPS Next Y9.94%
EPS Next 2Y9.86%
EPS Next 3Y9.84%
EPS Next 5Y9.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.14%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.42%
Revenue growth 5Y4.94%
Sales Q2Q%14.13%
Revenue Next Year6.1%
Revenue Next 2Y7.09%
Revenue Next 3Y7.52%
Revenue Next 5Y6.98%
EBIT growth 1Y20.66%
EBIT growth 3Y5.84%
EBIT growth 5Y6.35%
EBIT Next Year119.74%
EBIT Next 3Y42.93%
EBIT Next 5Y26.21%
FCF growth 1Y-150.64%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-12.02%
OCF growth 3Y1.26%
OCF growth 5Y7.47%

XCEL ENERGY INC / XEL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for XCEL ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to XEL.


What is the valuation status for XEL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for XCEL ENERGY INC?

XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


How financially healthy is XCEL ENERGY INC?

The financial health rating of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) is 1 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for XCEL ENERGY INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) is expected to grow by 9.94% in the next year.