74 USD
-0.26 (-0.35%)
74 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to XEL. XEL was compared to 46 industry peers in the Electric Utilities industry. While XEL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. While showing a medium growth rate, XEL is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
XEL had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year XEL had a positive cash flow from operations.
XEL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
XEL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of 2.42%, XEL is not doing good in the industry: 69.57% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
XEL has a worse Return On Equity (9.04%) than 65.22% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of XEL (2.84%) is worse than 84.78% of its industry peers.
XEL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.27%. This is in line with the industry average of 4.58%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.42% | ||
| ROE | 9.04% | ||
| ROIC | 2.84% |
ROA(3y)2.79%
ROA(5y)2.77%
ROE(3y)10.13%
ROE(5y)10.14%
ROIC(3y)3.27%
ROIC(5y)3.27%
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 13.46%, XEL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.83% of the companies in the same industry.
XEL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of XEL (18.53%) is worse than 65.22% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of XEL has remained more or less at the same level.
XEL has a Gross Margin of 92.94%. This is amongst the best in the industry. XEL outperforms 95.65% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of XEL has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 18.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.46% | ||
| GM | 92.94% |
OM growth 3Y2.67%
OM growth 5Y-0.62%
PM growth 3Y6.6%
PM growth 5Y3.89%
GM growth 3Y0.42%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
XEL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for XEL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
XEL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, XEL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
XEL has an Altman-Z score of 0.88. This is a bad value and indicates that XEL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
XEL has a Altman-Z score of 0.88. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: XEL outperforms 56.52% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.64 is on the high side and indicates that XEL has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of XEL (1.64) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.43
WACC6.65%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.79 indicates that XEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
XEL has a Current ratio (0.79) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
XEL has a Quick Ratio of 0.79. This is a bad value and indicates that XEL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
XEL has a Quick ratio (0.69) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.79 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.82% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.68% on average over the past years.
XEL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.38%.
XEL shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.12% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.82%
EPS 3Y5.54%
EPS 5Y5.68%
EPS Q2Q%-0.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.38%
Revenue growth 3Y0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y3.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.44%
3.2 Future
XEL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.86% yearly.
XEL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.80% yearly.
EPS Next Y10.85%
EPS Next 2Y9.42%
EPS Next 3Y9.41%
EPS Next 5Y8.86%
Revenue Next Year3.22%
Revenue Next 2Y5.4%
Revenue Next 3Y6.18%
Revenue Next 5Y5.8%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
XEL is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.33.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, XEL is valued a bit more expensive than 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
XEL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.19.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.76 indicates a rather expensive valuation of XEL.
XEL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of XEL to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.92), we can say XEL is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.33 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.76 |
4.2 Price Multiples
XEL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. XEL is more expensive than 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.43 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates XEL does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)1.87
PEG (5Y)3.58
EPS Next 2Y9.42%
EPS Next 3Y9.41%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.11%, XEL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.46, XEL has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
XEL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.92.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.11% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of XEL grows each year by 6.45%, which is quite nice.
XEL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
The dividend of XEL decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.45%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
XEL pays out 65.69% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
XEL's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP65.69%
EPS Next 2Y9.42%
EPS Next 3Y9.41%
74
-0.26 (-0.35%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.29%
Inst Owner Change0.1%
Ins Owners0.14%
Ins Owner Change-0.83%
Market Cap43.77B
Revenue(TTM)14.23B
Net Income(TTM)1.92B
Analysts82.61
Price Target88.68 (19.84%)
Short Float %5.49%
Short Ratio6.29
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.11% |
Yearly Dividend2.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.45%
DP65.69%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.97%
Max EPS beat(2)14.67%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.52%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.55%
Max EPS beat(4)14.67%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.53%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.25%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.19%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-18.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.39%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-7.88%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.13%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.72%
PT rev (1m)-1.47%
PT rev (3m)7.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)13.81%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.02%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.33%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.65%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.22%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.33 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.76 | ||
| P/S | 3.08 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 9.65 | ||
| P/B | 2.07 | ||
| P/tB | 2.07 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.43 |
EPS(TTM)3.64
EY4.92%
EPS(NY)4.17
Fwd EY5.63%
FCF(TTM)-8.7
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)7.67
OCFY10.37%
SpS24.05
BVpS35.81
TBVpS35.81
PEG (NY)1.87
PEG (5Y)3.58
Graham Number54.15
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.42% | ||
| ROE | 9.04% | ||
| ROCE | 3.66% | ||
| ROIC | 2.84% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.88% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.88% | ||
| OM | 18.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.46% | ||
| GM | 92.94% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)2.79%
ROA(5y)2.77%
ROE(3y)10.13%
ROE(5y)10.14%
ROIC(3y)3.27%
ROIC(5y)3.27%
ROICexc(3y)3.28%
ROICexc(5y)3.28%
ROICexgc(3y)3.28%
ROICexgc(5y)3.28%
ROCE(3y)4.2%
ROCE(5y)4.2%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-3.22%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4%
ROICexc growth 3Y-3.22%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4%
OM growth 3Y2.67%
OM growth 5Y-0.62%
PM growth 3Y6.6%
PM growth 5Y3.89%
GM growth 3Y0.42%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.18
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.1 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 318.86% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 68.08% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.25 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.96% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.79 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.88 |
F-Score4
WACC6.65%
ROIC/WACC0.43
Cap/Depr(3y)221.93%
Cap/Depr(5y)222.34%
Cap/Sales(3y)42.1%
Cap/Sales(5y)40.89%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.82%
EPS 3Y5.54%
EPS 5Y5.68%
EPS Q2Q%-0.8%
EPS Next Y10.85%
EPS Next 2Y9.42%
EPS Next 3Y9.41%
EPS Next 5Y8.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.38%
Revenue growth 3Y0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y3.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.44%
Revenue Next Year3.22%
Revenue Next 2Y5.4%
Revenue Next 3Y6.18%
Revenue Next 5Y5.8%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.86%
EBIT growth 3Y2.7%
EBIT growth 5Y2.48%
EBIT Next Year110.64%
EBIT Next 3Y40.84%
EBIT Next 5Y26.07%
FCF growth 1Y-1083.68%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-11.33%
OCF growth 3Y28.47%
OCF growth 5Y7.3%
XCEL ENERGY INC / XEL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for XCEL ENERGY INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to XEL.
What is the valuation status for XEL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of XEL stock?
XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the financial health of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) stock?
The financial health rating of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) is 1 / 10.
Is the dividend of XCEL ENERGY INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 65.69%.