73.86 USD
-0.33 (-0.44%)
73.86 USD
0 (0%)
XEL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 47 industry peers in the Electric Utilities industry. While XEL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. While showing a medium growth rate, XEL is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
XEL had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year XEL had a positive cash flow from operations.
XEL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years XEL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of 2.42%, XEL is not doing good in the industry: 70.21% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
XEL's Return On Equity of 9.04% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. XEL is outperformed by 65.96% of its industry peers.
XEL has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.84%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: XEL underperforms 85.11% of its industry peers.
XEL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.27%. This is in line with the industry average of 5.04%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.42% | ||
| ROE | 9.04% | ||
| ROIC | 2.84% |
ROA(3y)2.79%
ROA(5y)2.77%
ROE(3y)10.13%
ROE(5y)10.14%
ROIC(3y)3.27%
ROIC(5y)3.27%
1.3 Margins
XEL's Profit Margin of 13.46% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. XEL outperforms 48.94% of its industry peers.
XEL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
XEL has a Operating Margin of 18.53%. This is in the lower half of the industry: XEL underperforms 65.96% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of XEL has remained more or less at the same level.
XEL's Gross Margin of 92.94% is amongst the best of the industry. XEL outperforms 95.74% of its industry peers.
XEL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 18.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.46% | ||
| GM | 92.94% |
OM growth 3Y2.67%
OM growth 5Y-0.62%
PM growth 3Y6.6%
PM growth 5Y3.89%
GM growth 3Y0.42%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so XEL is destroying value.
XEL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for XEL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for XEL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.88, we must say that XEL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
XEL's Altman-Z score of 0.88 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. XEL outperforms 55.32% of its industry peers.
XEL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.64. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
XEL has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.64) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.43
WACC6.62%
2.3 Liquidity
XEL has a Current Ratio of 0.79. This is a bad value and indicates that XEL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.79, XEL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.94% of the companies in the same industry.
XEL has a Quick Ratio of 0.79. This is a bad value and indicates that XEL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
XEL's Quick ratio of 0.69 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. XEL outperforms 53.19% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.79 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
XEL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 2.82%.
Measured over the past 5 years, XEL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 5.68% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.38% in the past year.
XEL shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.12% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.82%
EPS 3Y5.54%
EPS 5Y5.68%
EPS Q2Q%-0.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.38%
Revenue growth 3Y0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y3.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.44%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.85% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.59% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y10.85%
EPS Next 2Y9.42%
EPS Next 3Y9.41%
EPS Next 5Y8.85%
Revenue Next Year3.22%
Revenue Next 2Y5.4%
Revenue Next 3Y6.18%
Revenue Next 5Y5.59%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 20.29 indicates a rather expensive valuation of XEL.
XEL's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. XEL is more expensive than 65.96% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of XEL to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.51), we can say XEL is valued slightly cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 17.73, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of XEL.
XEL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of XEL to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.13), we can say XEL is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.73 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of XEL indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: XEL is more expensive than 74.47% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.39 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.87
PEG (5Y)3.57
EPS Next 2Y9.42%
EPS Next 3Y9.41%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.84%, XEL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
XEL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.02.
XEL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.00.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.84% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of XEL grows each year by 6.45%, which is quite nice.
XEL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
XEL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.45%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
65.69% of the earnings are spent on dividend by XEL. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
XEL's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP65.69%
EPS Next 2Y9.42%
EPS Next 3Y9.41%
73.86
-0.33 (-0.44%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.24%
Inst Owner Change4.94%
Ins Owners0.14%
Ins Owner Change-0.94%
Market Cap43.69B
Revenue(TTM)14.23B
Net Income(TTM)1.92B
Analysts82.61
Price Target88.68 (20.06%)
Short Float %5.49%
Short Ratio6.29
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.84% |
Yearly Dividend2.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.45%
DP65.69%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.97%
Max EPS beat(2)14.67%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.52%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.55%
Max EPS beat(4)14.67%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.53%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.25%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.19%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-18.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.39%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-7.88%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.13%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.72%
PT rev (1m)-1.47%
PT rev (3m)12.46%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)6.77%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.04%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.33%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.71%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.82%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.2%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.73 | ||
| P/S | 3.07 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 9.63 | ||
| P/B | 2.06 | ||
| P/tB | 2.06 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.39 |
EPS(TTM)3.64
EY4.93%
EPS(NY)4.17
Fwd EY5.64%
FCF(TTM)-8.7
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)7.67
OCFY10.39%
SpS24.05
BVpS35.81
TBVpS35.81
PEG (NY)1.87
PEG (5Y)3.57
Graham Number54.15
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.42% | ||
| ROE | 9.04% | ||
| ROCE | 3.66% | ||
| ROIC | 2.84% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.88% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.88% | ||
| OM | 18.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.46% | ||
| GM | 92.94% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)2.79%
ROA(5y)2.77%
ROE(3y)10.13%
ROE(5y)10.14%
ROIC(3y)3.27%
ROIC(5y)3.27%
ROICexc(3y)3.28%
ROICexc(5y)3.28%
ROICexgc(3y)3.28%
ROICexgc(5y)3.28%
ROCE(3y)4.2%
ROCE(5y)4.2%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-3.22%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4%
ROICexc growth 3Y-3.22%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4%
OM growth 3Y2.67%
OM growth 5Y-0.62%
PM growth 3Y6.6%
PM growth 5Y3.89%
GM growth 3Y0.42%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.18
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.1 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 318.86% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 68.08% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.25 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.96% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.79 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.88 |
F-Score4
WACC6.62%
ROIC/WACC0.43
Cap/Depr(3y)221.93%
Cap/Depr(5y)222.34%
Cap/Sales(3y)42.1%
Cap/Sales(5y)40.89%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.82%
EPS 3Y5.54%
EPS 5Y5.68%
EPS Q2Q%-0.8%
EPS Next Y10.85%
EPS Next 2Y9.42%
EPS Next 3Y9.41%
EPS Next 5Y8.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.38%
Revenue growth 3Y0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y3.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.44%
Revenue Next Year3.22%
Revenue Next 2Y5.4%
Revenue Next 3Y6.18%
Revenue Next 5Y5.59%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.86%
EBIT growth 3Y2.7%
EBIT growth 5Y2.48%
EBIT Next Year110.64%
EBIT Next 3Y40.84%
EBIT Next 5Y26.07%
FCF growth 1Y-1083.68%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-11.33%
OCF growth 3Y28.47%
OCF growth 5Y7.3%
XCEL ENERGY INC / XEL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for XCEL ENERGY INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to XEL.
What is the valuation status for XEL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of XEL stock?
XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the financial health of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) stock?
The financial health rating of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) is 1 / 10.
Is the dividend of XCEL ENERGY INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 65.69%.