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XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:XEL - US98389B1008 - Common Stock

76.25 USD
-0.08 (-0.1%)
Last: 1/28/2026, 2:30:07 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, XEL scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. XEL was compared to 46 industry peers in the Electric Utilities industry. XEL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. XEL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year XEL was profitable.
  • In the past year XEL had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • XEL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years XEL had a positive operating cash flow.
XEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFXEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 2.42%, XEL is not doing good in the industry: 69.57% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 9.04%, XEL is doing worse than 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.84%, XEL is not doing good in the industry: 84.78% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for XEL is in line with the industry average of 4.58%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.42%
ROE 9.04%
ROIC 2.84%
ROA(3y)2.79%
ROA(5y)2.77%
ROE(3y)10.13%
ROE(5y)10.14%
ROIC(3y)3.27%
ROIC(5y)3.27%
XEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICXEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

  • XEL has a Profit Margin (13.46%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • XEL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 18.53%, XEL is doing worse than 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • XEL's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • XEL's Gross Margin of 92.94% is amongst the best of the industry. XEL outperforms 95.65% of its industry peers.
  • XEL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 18.53%
PM (TTM) 13.46%
GM 92.94%
OM growth 3Y2.67%
OM growth 5Y-0.62%
PM growth 3Y6.6%
PM growth 5Y3.89%
GM growth 3Y0.42%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
XEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsXEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60 80

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), XEL is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, XEL has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, XEL has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for XEL is higher compared to a year ago.
XEL Yearly Shares OutstandingXEL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
XEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsXEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.89, we must say that XEL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • XEL has a Altman-Z score (0.89) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • XEL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.64. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • XEL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.64. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: XEL outperforms 41.30% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.64
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.89
ROIC/WACC0.42
WACC6.71%
XEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFXEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • XEL has a Current Ratio of 0.79. This is a bad value and indicates that XEL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • XEL has a Current ratio (0.79) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that XEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of XEL (0.69) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.79
Quick Ratio 0.69
XEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesXEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.82% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, XEL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 5.68% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.38% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.12% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.82%
EPS 3Y5.54%
EPS 5Y5.68%
EPS Q2Q%-0.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.38%
Revenue growth 3Y0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y3.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.44%

3.2 Future

  • XEL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.86% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, XEL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.80% on average per year.
EPS Next Y10.74%
EPS Next 2Y9.39%
EPS Next 3Y9.44%
EPS Next 5Y8.86%
Revenue Next Year3.2%
Revenue Next 2Y5.34%
Revenue Next 3Y6.12%
Revenue Next 5Y5.8%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
XEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesXEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B
XEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesXEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 2 3 4 5

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • XEL is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.95.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, XEL is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 65.22% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • XEL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 28.82.
  • XEL is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.31.
  • XEL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 25.95. XEL is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.95
Fwd PE 18.31
XEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsXEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, XEL is valued a bit more expensive than 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 13.65
XEL Per share dataXEL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.95
PEG (5Y)3.69
EPS Next 2Y9.39%
EPS Next 3Y9.44%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • XEL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.07%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.90, XEL has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, XEL pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.07%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of XEL grows each year by 6.45%, which is quite nice.
  • XEL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of XEL decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.45%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
XEL Yearly Dividends per shareXEL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 65.69% of the earnings are spent on dividend by XEL. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of XEL is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP65.69%
EPS Next 2Y9.39%
EPS Next 3Y9.44%
XEL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendXEL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B -2B
XEL Dividend Payout.XEL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.XEL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

XCEL ENERGY INC / XEL FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for XCEL ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to XEL.


What is the valuation status for XEL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of XEL stock?

XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the financial health of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) stock?

The financial health rating of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) is 1 / 10.


Is the dividend of XCEL ENERGY INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 65.69%.