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XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:XEL - US98389B1008 - Common Stock

80.585 USD
-1.53 (-1.86%)
Last: 12/1/2025, 1:40:03 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Overall XEL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated XEL against 48 industry peers in the Electric Utilities industry. XEL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. XEL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

XEL had positive earnings in the past year.
XEL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years XEL has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years XEL had a positive operating cash flow.
XEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFXEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of 2.42%, XEL is not doing good in the industry: 70.83% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
XEL has a worse Return On Equity (9.04%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.84%, XEL is not doing good in the industry: 87.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
XEL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.27%. This is in line with the industry average of 4.92%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.42%
ROE 9.04%
ROIC 2.84%
ROA(3y)2.79%
ROA(5y)2.77%
ROE(3y)10.13%
ROE(5y)10.14%
ROIC(3y)3.27%
ROIC(5y)3.27%
XEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICXEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

With a Profit Margin value of 13.46%, XEL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of XEL has grown nicely.
XEL has a Operating Margin of 18.53%. This is in the lower half of the industry: XEL underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
XEL's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of XEL (92.94%) is better than 93.75% of its industry peers.
XEL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 18.53%
PM (TTM) 13.46%
GM 92.94%
OM growth 3Y2.67%
OM growth 5Y-0.62%
PM growth 3Y6.6%
PM growth 5Y3.89%
GM growth 3Y0.42%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
XEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsXEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60 80

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so XEL is destroying value.
XEL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
XEL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
XEL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
XEL Yearly Shares OutstandingXEL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
XEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsXEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

XEL has an Altman-Z score of 0.93. This is a bad value and indicates that XEL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.93, XEL is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.08% of the companies in the same industry.
XEL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.64. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
XEL has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.64) than 64.58% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.64
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.93
ROIC/WACC0.43
WACC6.68%
XEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFXEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.79 indicates that XEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
XEL has a Current ratio of 0.79. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: XEL outperforms 47.92% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that XEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.69, XEL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.08% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.79
Quick Ratio 0.69
XEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesXEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.82% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.68% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.38% in the past year.
XEL shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.12% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.82%
EPS 3Y5.54%
EPS 5Y5.68%
EPS Q2Q%-0.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.38%
Revenue growth 3Y0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y3.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.44%

3.2 Future

XEL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.85% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, XEL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.59% on average per year.
EPS Next Y10.81%
EPS Next 2Y9.35%
EPS Next 3Y9.32%
EPS Next 5Y8.85%
Revenue Next Year2.38%
Revenue Next 2Y4.82%
Revenue Next 3Y5.52%
Revenue Next 5Y5.59%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
XEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesXEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B
XEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesXEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 2 3 4 5

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 22.14, the valuation of XEL can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, XEL is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 75.00% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.31. XEL is around the same levels.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.37 indicates a rather expensive valuation of XEL.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, XEL is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 68.75% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of XEL to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.56), we can say XEL is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.14
Fwd PE 19.37
XEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsXEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, XEL is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 75.00% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.25
XEL Per share dataXEL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates XEL does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.05
PEG (5Y)3.9
EPS Next 2Y9.35%
EPS Next 3Y9.32%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

XEL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.84%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
XEL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.33.
XEL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.32.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.84%

5.2 History

The dividend of XEL is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 6.45%!
XEL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
XEL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.45%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
XEL Yearly Dividends per shareXEL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

XEL pays out 65.69% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of XEL is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP65.69%
EPS Next 2Y9.35%
EPS Next 3Y9.32%
XEL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendXEL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B -2B
XEL Dividend Payout.XEL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.XEL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

XCEL ENERGY INC

NASDAQ:XEL (12/1/2025, 1:40:03 PM)

80.585

-1.53 (-1.86%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Earnings (Last)10-30 2025-10-30/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-04 2026-02-04/amc
Inst Owners90.66%
Inst Owner Change4.92%
Ins Owners0.14%
Ins Owner Change-0.86%
Market Cap47.67B
Revenue(TTM)14.23B
Net Income(TTM)1.92B
Analysts82.61
Price Target90 (11.68%)
Short Float %3.7%
Short Ratio4.26
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.84%
Yearly Dividend2.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.45%
DP65.69%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date09-15 2025-09-15 (0.57)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.97%
Max EPS beat(2)14.67%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.52%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.55%
Max EPS beat(4)14.67%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.53%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.25%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.19%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-18.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.39%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-7.88%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.13%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.72%
PT rev (1m)9.16%
PT rev (3m)14.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)7.09%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.16%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.53%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.71%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.14
Fwd PE 19.37
P/S 3.35
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 10.5
P/B 2.25
P/tB 2.25
EV/EBITDA 14.25
EPS(TTM)3.64
EY4.52%
EPS(NY)4.16
Fwd EY5.16%
FCF(TTM)-8.7
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)7.67
OCFY9.52%
SpS24.05
BVpS35.81
TBVpS35.81
PEG (NY)2.05
PEG (5Y)3.9
Graham Number54.15
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.42%
ROE 9.04%
ROCE 3.66%
ROIC 2.84%
ROICexc 2.88%
ROICexgc 2.88%
OM 18.53%
PM (TTM) 13.46%
GM 92.94%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.79%
ROA(5y)2.77%
ROE(3y)10.13%
ROE(5y)10.14%
ROIC(3y)3.27%
ROIC(5y)3.27%
ROICexc(3y)3.28%
ROICexc(5y)3.28%
ROICexgc(3y)3.28%
ROICexgc(5y)3.28%
ROCE(3y)4.2%
ROCE(5y)4.2%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-3.22%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4%
ROICexc growth 3Y-3.22%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4%
OM growth 3Y2.67%
OM growth 5Y-0.62%
PM growth 3Y6.6%
PM growth 5Y3.89%
GM growth 3Y0.42%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.18
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.64
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 6.1
Cap/Depr 318.86%
Cap/Sales 68.08%
Interest Coverage 2.25
Cash Conversion 79.96%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.79
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 0.93
F-Score4
WACC6.68%
ROIC/WACC0.43
Cap/Depr(3y)221.93%
Cap/Depr(5y)222.34%
Cap/Sales(3y)42.1%
Cap/Sales(5y)40.89%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.82%
EPS 3Y5.54%
EPS 5Y5.68%
EPS Q2Q%-0.8%
EPS Next Y10.81%
EPS Next 2Y9.35%
EPS Next 3Y9.32%
EPS Next 5Y8.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.38%
Revenue growth 3Y0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y3.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.44%
Revenue Next Year2.38%
Revenue Next 2Y4.82%
Revenue Next 3Y5.52%
Revenue Next 5Y5.59%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.86%
EBIT growth 3Y2.7%
EBIT growth 5Y2.48%
EBIT Next Year112.39%
EBIT Next 3Y38.49%
EBIT Next 5Y26.07%
FCF growth 1Y-1083.68%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-11.33%
OCF growth 3Y28.47%
OCF growth 5Y7.3%

XCEL ENERGY INC / XEL FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for XCEL ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to XEL.


What is the valuation status of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) stock?

XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


How financially healthy is XCEL ENERGY INC?

The financial health rating of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) is 1 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for XEL stock?

The dividend rating of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 65.69%.