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UNITED STATES STEEL CORP (X) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:X - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US9129091081 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

36.53  -0.01 (-0.03%)

After market: 36.71 +0.18 (+0.49%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to X. X was compared to 152 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. X has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. X is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year X was profitable.
X had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: X reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years X always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
X Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of X (1.90%) is better than 62.07% of its industry peers.
X has a Return On Equity of 3.39%. This is in the better half of the industry: X outperforms 63.45% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of X (0.98%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for X is significantly above the industry average of 8.75%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (0.98%) for X is well below the 3 year average (15.70%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that X had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.9%
ROE 3.39%
ROIC 0.98%
ROA(3y)13.59%
ROA(5y)5.14%
ROE(3y)26.38%
ROE(5y)6.59%
ROIC(3y)15.7%
ROIC(5y)N/A
X Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

X has a better Profit Margin (2.41%) than 65.52% of its industry peers.
X's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
X's Operating Margin of 1.27% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. X outperforms 44.14% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of X has declined.
The Gross Margin of X (10.33%) is worse than 60.00% of its industry peers.
X's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.27%
PM (TTM) 2.41%
GM 10.33%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.13%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-8.82%
GM growth 3Y70.69%
GM growth 5Y-0.69%
X Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), X is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, X has less shares outstanding
X has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for X is higher compared to a year ago.
X Yearly Shares OutstandingX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
X Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

X has an Altman-Z score of 2.00. This is not the best score and indicates that X is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.00, X perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.38% of the companies in the same industry.
X has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
X's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.35 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. X is outperformed by 67.59% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2
ROIC/WACC0.1
WACC9.53%
X Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

X has a Current Ratio of 1.67. This is a normal value and indicates that X is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
X has a worse Current ratio (1.67) than 67.59% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.08 indicates that X should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
X has a Quick ratio of 1.08. This is in the lower half of the industry: X underperforms 63.45% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.67
Quick Ratio 1.08
X Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

X shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -41.73%.
Measured over the past years, X shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.46% on average per year.
The Revenue for X has decreased by -10.81% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.95% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-41.73%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-2.46%
EPS Q2Q%-60%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.81%
Revenue growth 3Y22.83%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-13.04%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -8.29% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.23% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-49.71%
EPS Next 2Y-24.02%
EPS Next 3Y-8.29%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-11.57%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.99%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.53%
Revenue Next 5Y0.23%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
X Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5B 10B 15B 20B
X Yearly EPS VS EstimatesX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 5 -5 10

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 12.64 indicates a correct valuation of X.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, X is valued cheaper than 82.76% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.51. X is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.29, X is valued correctly.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of X indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: X is cheaper than 64.14% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of X to the average of the S&P500 Index (93.88), we can say X is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.64
Fwd PE 13.29
X Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

63.45% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than X, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.63
X Per share dataX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

X's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.29% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-24.02%
EPS Next 3Y-8.29%

2

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.54%, X is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.17, X has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, X's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.54%

5.2 History

The dividend of X decreases each year by -27.06%.
X has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
The dividend of X decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-27.06%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
X Yearly Dividends per shareX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

X's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP0%
EPS Next 2Y-24.02%
EPS Next 3Y-8.29%
X Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B 2B 3B 4B

UNITED STATES STEEL CORP

NYSE:X (1/30/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 36.71 +0.18 (+0.49%)

36.53

-0.01 (-0.03%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)10-31 2024-10-31/amc
Earnings (Next)01-30 2025-01-30/amc
Inst Owners89.58%
Inst Owner Change-0.04%
Ins Owners1.46%
Ins Owner Change-0.37%
Market Cap8.23B
Analysts80
Price Target43.12 (18.04%)
Short Float %7.68%
Short Ratio2.31
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.54%
Yearly Dividend0.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)-27.06%
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)11.74%
Min EPS beat(2)7.65%
Max EPS beat(2)15.83%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)38.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.66%
Max EPS beat(4)140.32%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)29.22%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)17.77%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)19.16%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.21%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.41%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.3%
Max Revenue beat(4)8%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.45%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.69%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.42%
PT rev (1m)-0.85%
PT rev (3m)0.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-69.33%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.91%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.35%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.72%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.64
Fwd PE 13.29
P/S 0.51
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 7.48
P/B 0.71
P/tB 0.8
EV/EBITDA 9.63
EPS(TTM)2.89
EY7.91%
EPS(NY)2.75
Fwd EY7.52%
FCF(TTM)-5.86
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.89
OCFY13.37%
SpS72.28
BVpS51.42
TBVpS45.46
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.9%
ROE 3.39%
ROCE 1.2%
ROIC 0.98%
ROICexc 1.09%
ROICexgc 1.2%
OM 1.27%
PM (TTM) 2.41%
GM 10.33%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)13.59%
ROA(5y)5.14%
ROE(3y)26.38%
ROE(5y)6.59%
ROIC(3y)15.7%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)19.55%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)22.22%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)19.27%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-14.66%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-16.05%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.13%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-8.82%
GM growth 3Y70.69%
GM growth 5Y-0.69%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.79
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 3.66
Cap/Depr 267.89%
Cap/Sales 14.86%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 99.1%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.67
Quick Ratio 1.08
Altman-Z 2
F-Score4
WACC9.53%
ROIC/WACC0.1
Cap/Depr(3y)204.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)185.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.81%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-41.73%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-2.46%
EPS Q2Q%-60%
EPS Next Y-49.71%
EPS Next 2Y-24.02%
EPS Next 3Y-8.29%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.81%
Revenue growth 3Y22.83%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-13.04%
Revenue Next Year-11.57%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.99%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.53%
Revenue Next 5Y0.23%
EBIT growth 1Y-81.16%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-3.58%
EBIT Next Year12.83%
EBIT Next 3Y21.36%
EBIT Next 5Y14.42%
FCF growth 1Y-148.96%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-74.03%
OCF growth 3Y147.81%
OCF growth 5Y17.49%