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UNITED STATES STEEL CORP (X) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:X - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US9129091081 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

38.87  -1.35 (-3.36%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to X. X was compared to 150 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. There are concerns on the financial health of X while its profitability can be described as average. While showing a medium growth rate, X is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year X was profitable.
In the past year X had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years X 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years X had a positive operating cash flow.
X Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of X (1.90%) is better than 62.68% of its industry peers.
X's Return On Equity of 3.39% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. X outperforms 64.08% of its industry peers.
X's Return On Invested Capital of 1.04% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. X outperforms 45.07% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for X is in line with the industry average of 8.67%.
The 3 year average ROIC (7.54%) for X is well above the current ROIC(1.04%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.9%
ROE 3.39%
ROIC 1.04%
ROA(3y)6.42%
ROA(5y)6.6%
ROE(3y)12.06%
ROE(5y)10.35%
ROIC(3y)7.54%
ROIC(5y)N/A
X Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of X (2.41%) is better than 63.38% of its industry peers.
X's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 1.27%, X is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.77% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of X has declined.
X has a worse Gross Margin (10.33%) than 60.56% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of X has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.27%
PM (TTM) 2.41%
GM 10.33%
OM growth 3Y-64.66%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-50.78%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-28.65%
GM growth 5Y7.55%
X Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

X has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for X has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for X has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, X has about the same debt to assets ratio.
X Yearly Shares OutstandingX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
X Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

X has an Altman-Z score of 2.05. This is not the best score and indicates that X is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.05, X perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.07% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that X is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.35, X is not doing good in the industry: 66.90% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.05
ROIC/WACC0.12
WACC9.02%
X Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.67 indicates that X should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
X has a Current ratio of 1.67. This is in the lower half of the industry: X underperforms 66.20% of its industry peers.
X has a Quick Ratio of 1.08. This is a normal value and indicates that X is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.08, X is doing worse than 62.68% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.67
Quick Ratio 1.08
X Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for X have decreased strongly by -56.09% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 97.25% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, X shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -13.37% in the last year.
X shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.87% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-56.09%
EPS 3Y-46.24%
EPS 5Y97.25%
EPS Q2Q%-119.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-8.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.87%
Sales Q2Q%-15.32%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.14% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
X is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.74% yearly.
EPS Next Y-21.3%
EPS Next 2Y28.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.14%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.63%
Revenue Next 2Y4.39%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.46%
Revenue Next 5Y2.74%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
X Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5B 10B 15B 20B
X Yearly EPS VS EstimatesX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 5 -5 10

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 18.60, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of X.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, X is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.24% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 29.98, X is valued a bit cheaper.
X is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.63.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as X.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.66. X is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.6
Fwd PE 23.63
X Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, X is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.68% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.38
X Per share dataX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as X's earnings are expected to grow with 16.14% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.19
EPS Next 2Y28.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.14%

2

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.51%, X is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.21, X has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.30, X's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.51%

5.2 History

The dividend of X decreases each year by -27.06%.
X has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
X has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-27.06%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
X Yearly Dividends per shareX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y28.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.14%
X Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B 3B 4B

UNITED STATES STEEL CORP

NYSE:X (3/3/2025, 3:12:09 PM)

38.87

-1.35 (-3.36%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)01-30 2025-01-30/amc
Earnings (Next)07-30 2025-07-30/amc
Inst Owners96.69%
Inst Owner Change4.39%
Ins Owners1.43%
Ins Owner Change6.58%
Market Cap8.75B
Analysts78.89
Price Target40.19 (3.4%)
Short Float %5.96%
Short Ratio1.69
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.51%
Yearly Dividend0.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)-27.06%
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date02-10 2025-02-10 (0.05)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)11.74%
Min EPS beat(2)7.65%
Max EPS beat(2)15.83%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)38.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.66%
Max EPS beat(4)140.32%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)29.22%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)17.77%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)19.16%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.21%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.41%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.3%
Max Revenue beat(4)8%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.45%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.69%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.42%
PT rev (1m)0.32%
PT rev (3m)-7.59%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-167%
EPS NY rev (1m)-28.49%
EPS NY rev (3m)-39.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.34%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.72%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.16%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.6
Fwd PE 23.63
P/S 0.54
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 7.96
P/B 0.76
P/tB 0.86
EV/EBITDA 10.38
EPS(TTM)2.09
EY5.38%
EPS(NY)1.64
Fwd EY4.23%
FCF(TTM)-5.86
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.88
OCFY12.57%
SpS72.26
BVpS51.41
TBVpS45.45
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.19
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.9%
ROE 3.39%
ROCE 1.2%
ROIC 1.04%
ROICexc 1.16%
ROICexgc 1.27%
OM 1.27%
PM (TTM) 2.41%
GM 10.33%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)6.42%
ROA(5y)6.6%
ROE(3y)12.06%
ROE(5y)10.35%
ROIC(3y)7.54%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)9.58%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.79%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.71%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-71.13%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-70.71%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-64.66%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-50.78%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-28.65%
GM growth 5Y7.55%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.79
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 3.66
Cap/Depr 267.89%
Cap/Sales 14.86%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 99.1%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.67
Quick Ratio 1.08
Altman-Z 2.05
F-Score4
WACC9.02%
ROIC/WACC0.12
Cap/Depr(3y)251.79%
Cap/Depr(5y)195.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.8%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-56.09%
EPS 3Y-46.24%
EPS 5Y97.25%
EPS Q2Q%-119.4%
EPS Next Y-21.3%
EPS Next 2Y28.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.14%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-8.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.87%
Sales Q2Q%-15.32%
Revenue Next Year3.63%
Revenue Next 2Y4.39%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.46%
Revenue Next 5Y2.74%
EBIT growth 1Y-81.16%
EBIT growth 3Y-67.59%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year326.52%
EBIT Next 3Y80.05%
EBIT Next 5Y44.96%
FCF growth 1Y-1168.27%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-55.39%
OCF growth 3Y-39.21%
OCF growth 5Y6.15%