TMX GROUP LTD (X.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:X • CA87262K1057

Current stock price

48.58 CAD
-1.06 (-2.14%)
Last:

This X.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. X.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year X was profitable.
  • In the past year X had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years X has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years X always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
X.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFX.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • X has a Return On Assets (0.82%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • X has a better Return On Equity (8.74%) than 61.54% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.77%, X is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.08% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for X is below the industry average of 10.97%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (7.77%) for X is above the 3 year average (7.12%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.82%
ROE 8.74%
ROIC 7.77%
ROA(3y)0.86%
ROA(5y)0.82%
ROE(3y)9.31%
ROE(5y)10.13%
ROIC(3y)7.12%
ROIC(5y)7%
X.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICX.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 14.23%, X is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.97% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of X has declined.
  • X has a Operating Margin of 26.38%. This is in the better half of the industry: X outperforms 65.38% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of X has declined.
  • X has a Gross Margin of 58.76%. This is in the better half of the industry: X outperforms 71.79% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of X has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 26.38%
PM (TTM) 14.23%
GM 58.76%
OM growth 3Y-2.73%
OM growth 5Y-8.85%
PM growth 3Y-21.23%
PM growth 5Y-12.2%
GM growth 3Y-0.63%
GM growth 5Y-6.97%
X.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsX.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80

5

2. X.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • X has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, X has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for X has been reduced compared to a year ago.
X.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingX.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
X.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsX.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

  • X has an Altman-Z score of 0.34. This is a bad value and indicates that X is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of X (0.34) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of X is 3.35, which is a good value as it means it would take X, 3.35 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of X (3.35) is better than 62.82% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that X is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • X has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.35. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: X outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF 3.35
Altman-Z 0.34
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
X.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFX.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.00 indicates that X should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • X has a Current ratio (1.00) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.00 indicates that X should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • X has a Quick ratio (1.00) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1
Quick Ratio 1
X.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesX.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

6

3. X.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • X shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 24.71%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, X shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 12.51% on average per year.
  • X shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -1.69%.
  • X shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 23.29% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.71%
EPS 3Y14.18%
EPS 5Y12.51%
EPS Q2Q%25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.69%
Revenue growth 3Y16.16%
Revenue growth 5Y23.29%
Sales Q2Q%16.4%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, X will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.74% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, X will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 9.08% on average per year.
EPS Next Y10.78%
EPS Next 2Y10.36%
EPS Next 3Y11.74%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.81%
Revenue Next 2Y8.18%
Revenue Next 3Y9.08%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
X.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesX.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
X.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesX.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

2

4. X.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 22.92 indicates a rather expensive valuation of X.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, X is valued a bit more expensive than 71.79% of the companies in the same industry.
  • X's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 25.23.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 20.69, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of X.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, X is valued a bit cheaper than 60.26% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.28, X is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.92
Fwd PE 20.69
X.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsX.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as X.
  • X's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. X is cheaper than 73.08% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 21
EV/EBITDA 16.06
X.CA Per share dataX.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)2.13
PEG (5Y)1.83
EPS Next 2Y10.36%
EPS Next 3Y11.74%

6

5. X.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.74%, X has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.20, X has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, X has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.74%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of X is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 9.02%!
  • X has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • X has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.02%
Div Incr Years9
Div Non Decr Years21
X.CA Yearly Dividends per shareX.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

  • X pays out 56.19% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • X's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP56.19%
EPS Next 2Y10.36%
EPS Next 3Y11.74%
X.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendX.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
X.CA Dividend Payout.X.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.X.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

X.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

TMX GROUP LTD

TSX:X (3/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

48.58

-1.06 (-2.14%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners57.06%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.15%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap13.52B
Revenue(TTM)2.92B
Net Income(TTM)415.70M
Analysts80
Price Target62.48 (28.61%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.74%
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.02%
DP56.19%
Div Incr Years9
Div Non Decr Years21
Ex-Date02-20
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.76%
Min EPS beat(2)5.49%
Max EPS beat(2)8.02%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.78%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.64%
Max EPS beat(4)8.02%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)3.01%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)1.71%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.1%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.16%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.2%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.43%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)11.94%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)25.31%
PT rev (1m)-2.2%
PT rev (3m)-2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.26%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.21%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.24%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.82%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.92%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.48%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.48%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.92
Fwd PE 20.69
P/S 4.62
P/FCF 21
P/OCF 17.67
P/B 2.84
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.06
EPS(TTM)2.12
EY4.36%
EPS(NY)2.35
Fwd EY4.83%
FCF(TTM)2.31
FCFY4.76%
OCF(TTM)2.75
OCFY5.66%
SpS10.5
BVpS17.1
TBVpS-9.21
PEG (NY)2.13
PEG (5Y)1.83
Graham Number28.56
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.82%
ROE 8.74%
ROCE 10.14%
ROIC 7.77%
ROICexc 8.33%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 26.38%
PM (TTM) 14.23%
GM 58.76%
FCFM 22.02%
ROA(3y)0.86%
ROA(5y)0.82%
ROE(3y)9.31%
ROE(5y)10.13%
ROIC(3y)7.12%
ROIC(5y)7%
ROICexc(3y)7.62%
ROICexc(5y)7.52%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)9.3%
ROCE(5y)9.16%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y3.77%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.65%
OM growth 3Y-2.73%
OM growth 5Y-8.85%
PM growth 3Y-21.23%
PM growth 5Y-12.2%
GM growth 3Y-0.63%
GM growth 5Y-6.97%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.06
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF 3.35
Debt/EBITDA 1.73
Cap/Depr 67.07%
Cap/Sales 4.15%
Interest Coverage 8.58
Cash Conversion 80.36%
Profit Quality 154.82%
Current Ratio 1
Quick Ratio 1
Altman-Z 0.34
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)56.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.78%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.32%
Profit Quality(3y)132.71%
Profit Quality(5y)117.13%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.71%
EPS 3Y14.18%
EPS 5Y12.51%
EPS Q2Q%25%
EPS Next Y10.78%
EPS Next 2Y10.36%
EPS Next 3Y11.74%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.69%
Revenue growth 3Y16.16%
Revenue growth 5Y23.29%
Sales Q2Q%16.4%
Revenue Next Year9.81%
Revenue Next 2Y8.18%
Revenue Next 3Y9.08%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y20.04%
EBIT growth 3Y13%
EBIT growth 5Y12.39%
EBIT Next Year24.52%
EBIT Next 3Y15.48%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y17.08%
FCF growth 3Y17.95%
FCF growth 5Y13.28%
OCF growth 1Y22.68%
OCF growth 3Y19.86%
OCF growth 5Y13.16%

TMX GROUP LTD / X.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TMX GROUP LTD?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to X.CA.


What is the valuation status for X stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to TMX GROUP LTD (X.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is TMX GROUP LTD (X.CA) stock?

TMX GROUP LTD (X.CA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


How financially healthy is TMX GROUP LTD?

The financial health rating of TMX GROUP LTD (X.CA) is 5 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for TMX GROUP LTD?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TMX GROUP LTD (X.CA) is expected to grow by 10.78% in the next year.