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TMX GROUP LTD (X.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:X - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA87262K1057 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

50.29  +0.12 (+0.24%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, X scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. X was compared to 83 industry peers in the Capital Markets industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of X get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. X is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

X had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year X had a positive cash flow from operations.
X had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years X had a positive operating cash flow.
X.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFX.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

With a decent Return On Assets value of 1.20%, X is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.57% of the companies in the same industry.
X has a Return On Equity of 10.52%. This is in the better half of the industry: X outperforms 78.38% of its industry peers.
X has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.37%. This is amongst the best in the industry. X outperforms 82.43% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for X is below the industry average of 8.84%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.2%
ROE 10.52%
ROIC 6.37%
ROA(3y)0.91%
ROA(5y)0.81%
ROE(3y)10.93%
ROE(5y)9.94%
ROIC(3y)6.82%
ROIC(5y)6.67%
X.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICX.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 16.20%, X is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.27% of the companies in the same industry.
X's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
X has a Operating Margin of 21.61%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: X outperforms 47.30% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of X has declined.
X has a better Gross Margin (49.12%) than 68.92% of its industry peers.
X's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.61%
PM (TTM) 16.2%
GM 49.12%
OM growth 3Y-23.88%
OM growth 5Y-8.28%
PM growth 3Y-20.89%
PM growth 5Y-5.37%
GM growth 3Y-19.68%
GM growth 5Y-6.72%
X.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsX.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60 80

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

X has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for X has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for X is higher compared to a year ago.
X.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingX.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
X.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsX.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

X has an Altman-Z score of 0.42. This is a bad value and indicates that X is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
X has a Altman-Z score (0.42) which is in line with its industry peers.
X has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.94. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as X would need 3.94 years to pay back of all of its debts.
X has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.94. This is in the better half of the industry: X outperforms 72.97% of its industry peers.
X has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.42. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.42, X is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.05% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.42
Debt/FCF 3.94
Altman-Z 0.42
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
X.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFX.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.01 indicates that X should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
X has a Current ratio (1.01) which is in line with its industry peers.
X has a Quick Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that X is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
X has a Quick ratio (1.01) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.01
Quick Ratio 1.01
X.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesX.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

X shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 15.65%, which is quite good.
The earnings per share for X have been decreasing by -20.37% on average. This is quite bad
X shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.56%.
X shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 20.71% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.65%
EPS 3Y-37.96%
EPS 5Y-20.37%
EPS Q2Q%29.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.56%
Revenue growth 3Y42.16%
Revenue growth 5Y20.71%
Sales Q2Q%30.45%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.77% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.73% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y14.97%
EPS Next 2Y12.89%
EPS Next 3Y10.77%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year11.16%
Revenue Next 2Y8.64%
Revenue Next 3Y7.73%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
X.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesX.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
X.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesX.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 29.58 indicates a quite expensive valuation of X.
X's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. X is more expensive than 60.81% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 29.62. X is around the same levels.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.73, X can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of X is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.70, X is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 29.58
Fwd PE 25.73
X.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsX.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as X.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of X indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: X is cheaper than 74.32% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 25.42
EV/EBITDA 19.3
X.CA Per share dataX.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.98
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.89%
EPS Next 3Y10.77%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.59%, X has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.58, X pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, X is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.59%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of X grows each year by 8.27%, which is quite nice.
X has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
X has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.27%
Div Incr Years9
Div Non Decr Years21
X.CA Yearly Dividends per shareX.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6

5.3 Sustainability

X pays out 43.22% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
X's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP43.22%
EPS Next 2Y12.89%
EPS Next 3Y10.77%
X.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendX.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M
X.CA Dividend Payout.X.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.X.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

TMX GROUP LTD

TSX:X (2/21/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

50.29

+0.12 (+0.24%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)02-03 2025-02-03/amc
Earnings (Next)04-30 2025-04-30
Inst Owners55.78%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.15%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap13.97B
Analysts72.86
Price Target53.3 (5.99%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.59%
Yearly Dividend0.75
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.27%
DP43.22%
Div Incr Years9
Div Non Decr Years21
Ex-Date02-21 2025-02-21 (0.2)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)5.77%
Min EPS beat(2)3.27%
Max EPS beat(2)8.27%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.24%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.67%
Max EPS beat(4)8.27%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)1.11%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)1.02%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)1.33%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.63%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.18%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.45%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.16%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.18%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.45%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)17.56%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)33.51%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)26.4%
PT rev (1m)10%
PT rev (3m)18.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.14%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.09%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.43%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.64%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.81%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 29.58
Fwd PE 25.73
P/S 4.7
P/FCF 25.42
P/OCF 22.41
P/B 3.05
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 19.3
EPS(TTM)1.7
EY3.38%
EPS(NY)1.95
Fwd EY3.89%
FCF(TTM)1.98
FCFY3.93%
OCF(TTM)2.24
OCFY4.46%
SpS10.7
BVpS16.47
TBVpS-9.85
PEG (NY)1.98
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.2%
ROE 10.52%
ROCE 8.28%
ROIC 6.37%
ROICexc 6.74%
ROICexgc 8227.74%
OM 21.61%
PM (TTM) 16.2%
GM 49.12%
FCFM 18.49%
ROA(3y)0.91%
ROA(5y)0.81%
ROE(3y)10.93%
ROE(5y)9.94%
ROIC(3y)6.82%
ROIC(5y)6.67%
ROICexc(3y)7.34%
ROICexc(5y)7.13%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.89%
ROCE(5y)8.74%
ROICexcg growth 3Y238.12%
ROICexcg growth 5Y119.32%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.59%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.49%
OM growth 3Y-23.88%
OM growth 5Y-8.28%
PM growth 3Y-20.89%
PM growth 5Y-5.37%
GM growth 3Y-19.68%
GM growth 5Y-6.72%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.07
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.42
Debt/FCF 3.94
Debt/EBITDA 2.4
Cap/Depr 44.5%
Cap/Sales 2.48%
Interest Coverage 7.66
Cash Conversion 77.16%
Profit Quality 114.16%
Current Ratio 1.01
Quick Ratio 1.01
Altman-Z 0.42
F-Score7
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)49.36%
Cap/Depr(5y)58.08%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.5%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.8%
Profit Quality(3y)105.19%
Profit Quality(5y)110.84%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.65%
EPS 3Y-37.96%
EPS 5Y-20.37%
EPS Q2Q%29.73%
EPS Next Y14.97%
EPS Next 2Y12.89%
EPS Next 3Y10.77%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.56%
Revenue growth 3Y42.16%
Revenue growth 5Y20.71%
Sales Q2Q%30.45%
Revenue Next Year11.16%
Revenue Next 2Y8.64%
Revenue Next 3Y7.73%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y17.83%
EBIT growth 3Y8.22%
EBIT growth 5Y10.72%
EBIT Next Year28.39%
EBIT Next 3Y13.04%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y19.58%
FCF growth 3Y12.1%
FCF growth 5Y13.93%
OCF growth 1Y18.77%
OCF growth 3Y12.2%
OCF growth 5Y12.63%