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WATSCO INC (WSO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:WSO - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US9426222009 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

498.16  -7.48 (-1.48%)

Premarket: 500.16 +2 (+0.4%)

Fundamental Rating

6

WSO gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 48 industry peers in the Trading Companies & Distributors industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making WSO a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. WSO is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

WSO had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year WSO had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years WSO has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years WSO had a positive operating cash flow.
WSO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFWSO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 10.73%, WSO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.23% of the companies in the same industry.
WSO has a Return On Equity of 17.99%. This is in the better half of the industry: WSO outperforms 63.83% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 16.67%, WSO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.49% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for WSO is significantly above the industry average of 9.69%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (16.67%) for WSO is well below the 3 year average (22.74%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that WSO had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.73%
ROE 17.99%
ROIC 16.67%
ROA(3y)13.84%
ROA(5y)12.05%
ROE(3y)24.81%
ROE(5y)21.34%
ROIC(3y)22.74%
ROIC(5y)19.68%
WSO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICWSO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of WSO (6.49%) is better than 68.09% of its industry peers.
WSO's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 9.69%, WSO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.70% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of WSO has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 26.66%, WSO is doing worse than 63.83% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of WSO has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.69%
PM (TTM) 6.49%
GM 26.66%
OM growth 3Y11.03%
OM growth 5Y5.75%
PM growth 3Y12.04%
PM growth 5Y6.92%
GM growth 3Y4.18%
GM growth 5Y2.11%
WSO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsWSO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15 20 25

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), WSO is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for WSO has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, WSO has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for WSO has been reduced compared to a year ago.
WSO Yearly Shares OutstandingWSO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M
WSO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsWSO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

WSO has an Altman-Z score of 10.71. This indicates that WSO is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of WSO (10.71) is better than 93.62% of its industry peers.
WSO has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.02. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.02 years to pay back of all of its debts.
WSO's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.02 is amongst the best of the industry. WSO outperforms 93.62% of its industry peers.
WSO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.01, WSO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.36% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.02
Altman-Z 10.71
ROIC/WACC1.42
WACC11.71%
WSO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFWSO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.36 indicates that WSO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of WSO (3.36) is better than 85.11% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.65 indicates that WSO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
WSO has a Quick ratio of 1.65. This is in the better half of the industry: WSO outperforms 72.34% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.36
Quick Ratio 1.65
WSO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesWSO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for WSO have decreased strongly by -14.59% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 16.30% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
WSO shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.83%.
WSO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.88% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.59%
EPS 3Y25.69%
EPS 5Y16.3%
EPS Q2Q%-2.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.83%
Revenue growth 3Y12.95%
Revenue growth 5Y9.88%
Sales Q2Q%1.56%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.36% on average over the next years.
WSO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.59% yearly.
EPS Next Y-2.13%
EPS Next 2Y4.8%
EPS Next 3Y6.96%
EPS Next 5Y7.36%
Revenue Next Year2.78%
Revenue Next 2Y4.68%
Revenue Next 3Y5.27%
Revenue Next 5Y7.59%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
WSO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesWSO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
WSO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesWSO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5 10 15

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

WSO is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 38.50.
WSO's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. WSO is more expensive than 74.47% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of WSO to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.64), we can say WSO is valued slightly more expensively.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 33.20, which means the current valuation is very expensive for WSO.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, WSO is valued a bit more expensive than 70.21% of the companies in the same industry.
WSO is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.51, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 38.5
Fwd PE 33.2
WSO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsWSO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of WSO indicates a rather expensive valuation: WSO more expensive than 82.98% of the companies listed in the same industry.
WSO's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 34.63
EV/EBITDA 29.07
WSO Per share dataWSO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

WSO has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.36
EPS Next 2Y4.8%
EPS Next 3Y6.96%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.20%, WSO has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
WSO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.84. WSO pays more dividend than 89.36% of the companies in the same industry.
WSO's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.2%

5.2 History

The dividend of WSO is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 11.93%!
WSO has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
WSO has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.93%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
WSO Yearly Dividends per shareWSO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

5.3 Sustainability

WSO pays out 84.75% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
WSO's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP84.75%
EPS Next 2Y4.8%
EPS Next 3Y6.96%
WSO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendWSO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
WSO Dividend Payout.WSO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.WSO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

WATSCO INC

NYSE:WSO (1/23/2025, 8:33:22 PM)

Premarket: 500.16 +2 (+0.4%)

498.16

-7.48 (-1.48%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryTrading Companies & Distributors
Earnings (Last)10-23 2024-10-23/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-12 2025-02-12/amc
Inst Owners107.27%
Inst Owner Change-0.55%
Ins Owners0.63%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap22.88B
Analysts68.42
Price Target499.3 (0.23%)
Short Float %6.82%
Short Ratio11.44
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.2%
Yearly Dividend8.71
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.93%
DP84.75%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-Date01-17 2025-01-17 (2.7)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-8.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.69%
Max EPS beat(2)-5.12%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-9.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-15.46%
Max EPS beat(4)-5.12%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)4.46%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)8.62%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)11.98%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.68%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.98%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.55%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.68%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.8%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.09%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.71%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.64%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)3.59%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.95%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.64%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.39%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 38.5
Fwd PE 33.2
P/S 3.06
P/FCF 34.63
P/OCF 33.03
P/B 8.49
P/tB 11.29
EV/EBITDA 29.07
EPS(TTM)12.94
EY2.6%
EPS(NY)15
Fwd EY3.01%
FCF(TTM)14.39
FCFY2.89%
OCF(TTM)15.08
OCFY3.03%
SpS162.59
BVpS58.71
TBVpS44.11
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.36
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.73%
ROE 17.99%
ROCE 20.19%
ROIC 16.67%
ROICexc 19.69%
ROICexgc 25.28%
OM 9.69%
PM (TTM) 6.49%
GM 26.66%
FCFM 8.85%
ROA(3y)13.84%
ROA(5y)12.05%
ROE(3y)24.81%
ROE(5y)21.34%
ROIC(3y)22.74%
ROIC(5y)19.68%
ROICexc(3y)24.16%
ROICexc(5y)20.89%
ROICexgc(3y)32.45%
ROICexgc(5y)28.64%
ROCE(3y)27.54%
ROCE(5y)23.83%
ROICexcg growth 3Y5.49%
ROICexcg growth 5Y3.25%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.16%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.36%
OM growth 3Y11.03%
OM growth 5Y5.75%
PM growth 3Y12.04%
PM growth 5Y6.92%
GM growth 3Y4.18%
GM growth 5Y2.11%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.65
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.02
Debt/EBITDA 0.02
Cap/Depr 80.06%
Cap/Sales 0.43%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 90.72%
Profit Quality 136.26%
Current Ratio 3.36
Quick Ratio 1.65
Altman-Z 10.71
F-Score5
WACC11.71%
ROIC/WACC1.42
Cap/Depr(3y)101.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.03%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.46%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.42%
Profit Quality(3y)95.96%
Profit Quality(5y)127.83%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.59%
EPS 3Y25.69%
EPS 5Y16.3%
EPS Q2Q%-2.99%
EPS Next Y-2.13%
EPS Next 2Y4.8%
EPS Next 3Y6.96%
EPS Next 5Y7.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.83%
Revenue growth 3Y12.95%
Revenue growth 5Y9.88%
Sales Q2Q%1.56%
Revenue Next Year2.78%
Revenue Next 2Y4.68%
Revenue Next 3Y5.27%
Revenue Next 5Y7.59%
EBIT growth 1Y-9.37%
EBIT growth 3Y25.41%
EBIT growth 5Y16.2%
EBIT Next Year-2.96%
EBIT Next 3Y6.99%
EBIT Next 5Y6.98%
FCF growth 1Y86.9%
FCF growth 3Y0.54%
FCF growth 5Y27.97%
OCF growth 1Y78.21%
OCF growth 3Y1.69%
OCF growth 5Y26.92%