WALMART INC (WMT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:WMT • US9311421039

Current stock price

126.52 USD
+1.19 (+0.95%)
At close:
126.263 USD
-0.26 (-0.2%)
After Hours:

This WMT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. WMT Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year WMT was profitable.
  • In the past year WMT had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years WMT has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years WMT had a positive operating cash flow.
WMT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFWMT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 10B 20B 30B 40B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of WMT (7.69%) is better than 78.95% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 21.98%, WMT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
  • WMT has a Return On Invested Capital of 12.35%. This is amongst the best in the industry. WMT outperforms 81.58% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for WMT is significantly below the industry average of 28.44%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.69%
ROE 21.98%
ROIC 12.35%
ROA(3y)7.1%
ROA(5y)6.33%
ROE(3y)20.61%
ROE(5y)18.7%
ROIC(3y)12.82%
ROIC(5y)12.9%
WMT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICWMT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 3.07%, WMT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of WMT has grown nicely.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 4.18%, WMT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.05% of the companies in the same industry.
  • WMT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • WMT's Gross Margin of 24.93% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. WMT outperforms 57.89% of its industry peers.
  • WMT's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.18%
PM (TTM) 3.07%
GM 24.93%
OM growth 3Y1.39%
OM growth 5Y-2.8%
PM growth 3Y17.12%
PM growth 5Y4.91%
GM growth 3Y1.07%
GM growth 5Y0.08%
WMT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsWMT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5 10 15 20 25

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5

2. WMT Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so WMT is still creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for WMT has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, WMT has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, WMT has a worse debt to assets ratio.
WMT Yearly Shares OutstandingWMT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2B 4B 6B 8B
WMT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsWMT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 50B 100B 150B 200B 250B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 6.54 indicates that WMT is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • WMT has a Altman-Z score of 6.54. This is amongst the best in the industry. WMT outperforms 92.11% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of WMT is 3.45, which is a good value as it means it would take WMT, 3.45 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • WMT's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.45 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. WMT outperforms 68.42% of its industry peers.
  • WMT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.47. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • WMT has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.47. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: WMT outperforms 57.89% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.47
Debt/FCF 3.45
Altman-Z 6.54
ROIC/WACC1.42
WACC8.68%
WMT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFWMT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.3 Liquidity

  • WMT has a Current Ratio of 0.79. This is a bad value and indicates that WMT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • WMT's Current ratio of 0.79 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. WMT is outperformed by 84.21% of its industry peers.
  • WMT has a Quick Ratio of 0.79. This is a bad value and indicates that WMT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • WMT has a Quick ratio of 0.24. This is amonst the worse of the industry: WMT underperforms 84.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.79
Quick Ratio 0.24
WMT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesWMT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. WMT Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.58% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.49% on average over the past years.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.73% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, WMT shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.99% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.58%
EPS 3Y8.18%
EPS 5Y7.49%
EPS Q2Q%12.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.73%
Revenue growth 3Y5.27%
Revenue growth 5Y4.99%
Sales Q2Q%5.6%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.30% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • WMT is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.63% yearly.
EPS Next Y10.99%
EPS Next 2Y11.77%
EPS Next 3Y12.47%
EPS Next 5Y9.3%
Revenue Next Year5.04%
Revenue Next 2Y4.85%
Revenue Next 3Y4.81%
Revenue Next 5Y4.63%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
WMT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesWMT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 200B 400B 600B 800B 1T
WMT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesWMT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 1 2 3 4 5

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1

4. WMT Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 47.74, WMT can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of WMT indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: WMT is more expensive than 68.42% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.70, WMT is valued quite expensively.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 43.02, which means the current valuation is very expensive for WMT.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as WMT.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.84, WMT is valued quite expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 47.74
Fwd PE 43.02
WMT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsWMT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, WMT is valued a bit more expensive than 68.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, WMT is valued a bit more expensive than 68.42% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 67.57
EV/EBITDA 23.68
WMT Per share dataWMT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of WMT may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • WMT's earnings are expected to grow with 12.47% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)4.35
PEG (5Y)6.37
EPS Next 2Y11.77%
EPS Next 3Y12.47%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. WMT Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.79%, WMT is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.70, WMT pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, WMT's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.79%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of WMT has a limited annual growth rate of 5.41%.
  • WMT has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • WMT has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.41%
Div Incr Years21
Div Non Decr Years21
WMT Yearly Dividends per shareWMT Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

  • WMT pays out 34.29% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of WMT is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP34.29%
EPS Next 2Y11.77%
EPS Next 3Y12.47%
WMT Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendWMT Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
WMT Dividend Payout.WMT Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.WMT Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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WMT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

WALMART INC

NASDAQ:WMT (3/13/2026, 8:03:31 PM)

After market: 126.263 -0.26 (-0.2%)

126.52

+1.19 (+0.95%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)05-13
Inst Owners38.72%
Inst Owner Change1.29%
Ins Owners0.33%
Ins Owner Change-1.19%
Market Cap1.01T
Revenue(TTM)713.16B
Net Income(TTM)21.89B
Analysts84.08
Price Target136.43 (7.83%)
Short Float %2.36%
Short Ratio3.13
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.79%
Yearly Dividend0.94
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.41%
DP34.29%
Div Incr Years21
Div Non Decr Years21
Ex-Date05-08
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.54%
Min EPS beat(2)0.91%
Max EPS beat(2)2.17%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.3%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.16%
Max EPS beat(4)4.88%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)3.05%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)4.1%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)4.29%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.87%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.16%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.55%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.18%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.16%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.38%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.13%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.23%
PT rev (1m)8.85%
PT rev (3m)12.88%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.54%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.33%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.86%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.54%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.15%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 47.74
Fwd PE 43.02
P/S 1.41
P/FCF 67.57
P/OCF 24.26
P/B 10.12
P/tB 14.23
EV/EBITDA 23.68
EPS(TTM)2.65
EY2.09%
EPS(NY)2.94
Fwd EY2.32%
FCF(TTM)1.87
FCFY1.48%
OCF(TTM)5.22
OCFY4.12%
SpS89.48
BVpS12.5
TBVpS8.89
PEG (NY)4.35
PEG (5Y)6.37
Graham Number27.3
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.69%
ROE 21.98%
ROCE 16.83%
ROIC 12.35%
ROICexc 13.11%
ROICexgc 15.72%
OM 4.18%
PM (TTM) 3.07%
GM 24.93%
FCFM 2.09%
ROA(3y)7.1%
ROA(5y)6.33%
ROE(3y)20.61%
ROE(5y)18.7%
ROIC(3y)12.82%
ROIC(5y)12.9%
ROICexc(3y)13.61%
ROICexc(5y)13.81%
ROICexgc(3y)16.77%
ROICexgc(5y)17.12%
ROCE(3y)17.19%
ROCE(5y)17.18%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.17%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.76%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.86%
OM growth 3Y1.39%
OM growth 5Y-2.8%
PM growth 3Y17.12%
PM growth 5Y4.91%
GM growth 3Y1.07%
GM growth 5Y0.08%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover2.51
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.47
Debt/FCF 3.45
Debt/EBITDA 1.07
Cap/Depr 187.58%
Cap/Sales 3.74%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 94.41%
Profit Quality 68.16%
Current Ratio 0.79
Quick Ratio 0.24
Altman-Z 6.54
F-Score7
WACC8.68%
ROIC/WACC1.42
Cap/Depr(3y)181.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)164.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.47%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.09%
Profit Quality(3y)76.93%
Profit Quality(5y)85.58%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.58%
EPS 3Y8.18%
EPS 5Y7.49%
EPS Q2Q%12.12%
EPS Next Y10.99%
EPS Next 2Y11.77%
EPS Next 3Y12.47%
EPS Next 5Y9.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.73%
Revenue growth 3Y5.27%
Revenue growth 5Y4.99%
Sales Q2Q%5.6%
Revenue Next Year5.04%
Revenue Next 2Y4.85%
Revenue Next 3Y4.81%
Revenue Next 5Y4.63%
EBIT growth 1Y1.63%
EBIT growth 3Y6.73%
EBIT growth 5Y2.05%
EBIT Next Year59.89%
EBIT Next 3Y23.19%
EBIT Next 5Y15.03%
FCF growth 1Y17.88%
FCF growth 3Y7.58%
FCF growth 5Y-10.38%
OCF growth 1Y14.05%
OCF growth 3Y12.96%
OCF growth 5Y2.87%

WALMART INC / WMT Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for WMT stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to WMT.


What is the valuation status of WALMART INC (WMT) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to WALMART INC (WMT). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of WMT stock?

WALMART INC (WMT) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is WALMART INC?

The financial health rating of WALMART INC (WMT) is 5 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for WALMART INC (WMT) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of WALMART INC (WMT) is expected to grow by 10.99% in the next year.