WINGSTOP INC (WING) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:WING • US9741551033

Current stock price

186.05 USD
-5.35 (-2.8%)
At close:
186.05 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This WING fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. WING Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • WING had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year WING had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years WING has always been profitable.
  • WING had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
WING Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFWING Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 25.13%, WING belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • WING's Return On Invested Capital of 23.15% is amongst the best of the industry. WING outperforms 93.65% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for WING is significantly above the industry average of 10.55%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 25.13%
ROE N/A
ROIC 23.15%
ROA(3y)19.63%
ROA(5y)17.7%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)23.65%
ROIC(5y)22.96%
WING Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICWING Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

  • WING's Profit Margin of 25.01% is amongst the best of the industry. WING outperforms 97.62% of its industry peers.
  • WING's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • WING has a Operating Margin of 27.58%. This is amongst the best in the industry. WING outperforms 93.65% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of WING has grown nicely.
  • WING has a better Gross Margin (86.22%) than 97.62% of its industry peers.
  • WING's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.58%
PM (TTM) 25.01%
GM 86.22%
OM growth 3Y1.6%
OM growth 5Y4.79%
PM growth 3Y19.11%
PM growth 5Y21.71%
GM growth 3Y1.98%
GM growth 5Y1.63%
WING Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsWING Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80

6

2. WING Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so WING is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for WING has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • WING has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for WING is higher compared to a year ago.
WING Yearly Shares OutstandingWING Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
WING Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsWING Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.93 indicates that WING is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • WING has a Altman-Z score of 2.93. This is in the better half of the industry: WING outperforms 73.81% of its industry peers.
  • WING has a debt to FCF ratio of 11.45. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as WING would need 11.45 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of WING (11.45) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 11.45
Altman-Z 2.93
ROIC/WACC2.96
WACC7.83%
WING Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFWING Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 3.26 indicates that WING has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 3.26, WING belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.44% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 3.26 indicates that WING has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • WING has a better Quick ratio (3.26) than 95.24% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.26
Quick Ratio 3.26
WING Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesWING Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

8

3. WING Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 10.57% over the past year.
  • WING shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 42.68% yearly.
  • WING shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 11.35%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 22.87% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.57%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y42.68%
EPS Q2Q%11.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.35%
Revenue growth 3Y24.92%
Revenue growth 5Y22.87%
Sales Q2Q%8.57%

3.2 Future

  • WING is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 22.03% yearly.
  • WING is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 14.79% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.17%
EPS Next 2Y21.27%
EPS Next 3Y23.3%
EPS Next 5Y22.03%
Revenue Next Year15.05%
Revenue Next 2Y15.56%
Revenue Next 3Y15.93%
Revenue Next 5Y14.79%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
WING Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesWING Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 500M 1B 1.5B
WING Yearly EPS VS EstimatesWING Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5 10 15

3

4. WING Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 45.60 indicates a quite expensive valuation of WING.
  • WING's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of WING to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.38), we can say WING is valued expensively.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 39.25, which means the current valuation is very expensive for WING.
  • WING's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • WING's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 38.20.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 45.6
Fwd PE 39.25
WING Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsWING Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 73.02% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than WING, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • WING's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 48.12
EV/EBITDA 28.73
WING Per share dataWING EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 20 -20 -30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • WING has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as WING's earnings are expected to grow with 23.30% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.82
PEG (5Y)1.07
EPS Next 2Y21.27%
EPS Next 3Y23.3%

3

5. WING Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • WING has a yearly dividend return of 0.67%, which is pretty low.
  • In the last 3 months the price of WING has falen by -32.67%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
  • WING's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.09.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.67, WING pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.67%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of WING decreases each year by -26.93%.
  • WING has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of WING decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-26.93%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
WING Yearly Dividends per shareWING Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3 4 5

5.3 Sustainability

  • WING pays out 18.58% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP18.58%
EPS Next 2Y21.27%
EPS Next 3Y23.3%
WING Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendWING Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
WING Dividend Payout.WING Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.WING Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

WING Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

WINGSTOP INC

NASDAQ:WING (4/16/2026, 4:33:19 PM)

After market: 186.05 0 (0%)

186.05

-5.35 (-2.8%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-18
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners132.3%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.7%
Ins Owner Change10.48%
Market Cap5.08B
Revenue(TTM)696.85M
Net Income(TTM)174.27M
Analysts83.24
Price Target308.85 (66%)
Short Float %13.16%
Short Ratio3.05
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.67%
Yearly Dividend1.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)-26.93%
DP18.58%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-06
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)16.13%
Min EPS beat(2)15.05%
Max EPS beat(2)17.2%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.5%
Min EPS beat(4)12.57%
Max EPS beat(4)17.2%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)11.08%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)13.92%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)14.95%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.14%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.97%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.39%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.41%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.89%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.83%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.26%
PT rev (1m)-7.27%
PT rev (3m)-7.67%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.62%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.22%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.63%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.15%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.4%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.15%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.51%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.46%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 45.6
Fwd PE 39.25
P/S 7.29
P/FCF 48.12
P/OCF 33.21
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 28.73
EPS(TTM)4.08
EY2.19%
EPS(NY)4.74
Fwd EY2.55%
FCF(TTM)3.87
FCFY2.08%
OCF(TTM)5.6
OCFY3.01%
SpS25.51
BVpS-26.97
TBVpS-31.23
PEG (NY)2.82
PEG (5Y)1.07
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 25.13%
ROE N/A
ROCE 31.43%
ROIC 23.15%
ROICexc 34.12%
ROICexgc 47.46%
OM 27.58%
PM (TTM) 25.01%
GM 86.22%
FCFM 15.16%
ROA(3y)19.63%
ROA(5y)17.7%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)23.65%
ROIC(5y)22.96%
ROICexc(3y)37.81%
ROICexc(5y)36.93%
ROICexgc(3y)71.24%
ROICexgc(5y)83.71%
ROCE(3y)32.11%
ROCE(5y)31.17%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.29%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-21.78%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.4%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.5%
OM growth 3Y1.6%
OM growth 5Y4.79%
PM growth 3Y19.11%
PM growth 5Y21.71%
GM growth 3Y1.98%
GM growth 5Y1.63%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 11.45
Debt/EBITDA 5.57
Cap/Depr 189.25%
Cap/Sales 6.81%
Interest Coverage 3.68
Cash Conversion 70.46%
Profit Quality 60.61%
Current Ratio 3.26
Quick Ratio 3.26
Altman-Z 2.93
F-Score6
WACC7.83%
ROIC/WACC2.96
Cap/Depr(3y)254.71%
Cap/Depr(5y)267.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.12%
Profit Quality(3y)90.97%
Profit Quality(5y)84.13%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.57%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y42.68%
EPS Q2Q%11.11%
EPS Next Y16.17%
EPS Next 2Y21.27%
EPS Next 3Y23.3%
EPS Next 5Y22.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.35%
Revenue growth 3Y24.92%
Revenue growth 5Y22.87%
Sales Q2Q%8.57%
Revenue Next Year15.05%
Revenue Next 2Y15.56%
Revenue Next 3Y15.93%
Revenue Next 5Y14.79%
EBIT growth 1Y15.34%
EBIT growth 3Y26.92%
EBIT growth 5Y28.76%
EBIT Next Year49.58%
EBIT Next 3Y27.4%
EBIT Next 5Y22.57%
FCF growth 1Y-0.05%
FCF growth 3Y26.4%
FCF growth 5Y12.17%
OCF growth 1Y-2.88%
OCF growth 3Y26.15%
OCF growth 5Y18.49%

WINGSTOP INC / WING Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for WINGSTOP INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to WING.


Can you provide the valuation status for WINGSTOP INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to WINGSTOP INC (WING). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for WINGSTOP INC?

WINGSTOP INC (WING) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


How financially healthy is WINGSTOP INC?

The financial health rating of WINGSTOP INC (WING) is 6 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for WINGSTOP INC (WING) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of WINGSTOP INC (WING) is expected to grow by 16.17% in the next year.