WINGSTOP INC (WING) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:WING • US9741551033

Current stock price

165.16 USD
-7.81 (-4.52%)
Last:

This WING fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. WING Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • WING had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year WING had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years WING has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years WING always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
WING Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFWING Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

  • WING has a Return On Assets of 25.13%. This is amongst the best in the industry. WING outperforms 97.62% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 23.15%, WING belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.65% of the companies in the same industry.
  • WING had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 23.65%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.55%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 25.13%
ROE N/A
ROIC 23.15%
ROA(3y)19.63%
ROA(5y)17.7%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)23.65%
ROIC(5y)22.96%
WING Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICWING Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

  • WING's Profit Margin of 25.01% is amongst the best of the industry. WING outperforms 97.62% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of WING has grown nicely.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 27.58%, WING belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.65% of the companies in the same industry.
  • WING's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of WING (86.22%) is better than 97.62% of its industry peers.
  • WING's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.58%
PM (TTM) 25.01%
GM 86.22%
OM growth 3Y1.6%
OM growth 5Y4.79%
PM growth 3Y19.11%
PM growth 5Y21.71%
GM growth 3Y1.98%
GM growth 5Y1.63%
WING Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsWING Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80

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6

2. WING Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), WING is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, WING has less shares outstanding
  • WING has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, WING has a worse debt to assets ratio.
WING Yearly Shares OutstandingWING Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
WING Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsWING Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.72 indicates that WING is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of WING (2.72) is better than 69.84% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of WING is 11.45, which is on the high side as it means it would take WING, 11.45 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • WING has a Debt to FCF ratio (11.45) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 11.45
Altman-Z 2.72
ROIC/WACC2.96
WACC7.81%
WING Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFWING Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • WING has a Current Ratio of 3.26. This indicates that WING is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • WING has a better Current ratio (3.26) than 94.44% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 3.26 indicates that WING has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • WING has a Quick ratio of 3.26. This is amongst the best in the industry. WING outperforms 95.24% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.26
Quick Ratio 3.26
WING Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesWING Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

8

3. WING Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 10.57% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, WING shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 42.68% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, WING shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 11.35% in the last year.
  • WING shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 22.87% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.57%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y42.68%
EPS Q2Q%11.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.35%
Revenue growth 3Y24.92%
Revenue growth 5Y22.87%
Sales Q2Q%8.57%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 21.45% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • WING is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 14.02% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.17%
EPS Next 2Y21.27%
EPS Next 3Y23.3%
EPS Next 5Y21.45%
Revenue Next Year14.63%
Revenue Next 2Y15.24%
Revenue Next 3Y15.33%
Revenue Next 5Y14.02%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
WING Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesWING Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 500M 1B 1.5B
WING Yearly EPS VS EstimatesWING Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5 10 15

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2

4. WING Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 40.48 indicates a quite expensive valuation of WING.
  • WING's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • WING is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.91, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.85, WING can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as WING.
  • WING's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 21.99.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 40.48
Fwd PE 34.85
WING Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsWING Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 76.19% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than WING, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as WING.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 42.72
EV/EBITDA 26.41
WING Per share dataWING EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 20 -20 -30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates WING does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The excellent profitability rating of WING may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as WING's earnings are expected to grow with 23.30% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.5
PEG (5Y)0.95
EPS Next 2Y21.27%
EPS Next 3Y23.3%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

3

5. WING Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • WING has a yearly dividend return of 0.64%, which is pretty low.
  • The stock price of WING dropped by -34.83% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.05, WING pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.64, WING pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.64%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of WING decreases each year by -26.93%.
  • WING has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • WING has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-26.93%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
WING Yearly Dividends per shareWING Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3 4 5

5.3 Sustainability

  • WING pays out 18.58% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP18.58%
EPS Next 2Y21.27%
EPS Next 3Y23.3%
WING Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendWING Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
WING Dividend Payout.WING Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.WING Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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WING Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

WINGSTOP INC

NASDAQ:WING (4/29/2026, 2:16:09 PM)

165.16

-7.81 (-4.52%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Industry Strength28.57
Industry Growth43.48
Earnings (Last)04-29
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners132.3%
Inst Owner Change0.47%
Ins Owners0.7%
Ins Owner Change10.48%
Market Cap4.51B
Revenue(TTM)696.85M
Net Income(TTM)174.27M
Analysts83.24
Price Target302.81 (83.34%)
Short Float %13.61%
Short Ratio2.97
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.64%
Yearly Dividend1.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)-26.93%
DP18.58%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-06
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)16.13%
Min EPS beat(2)15.05%
Max EPS beat(2)17.2%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.5%
Min EPS beat(4)12.57%
Max EPS beat(4)17.2%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)11.08%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)13.92%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)14.95%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.14%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.97%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.39%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.41%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.89%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.83%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.26%
PT rev (1m)-9.09%
PT rev (3m)-9.79%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.62%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.63%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.89%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.87%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.45%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 40.48
Fwd PE 34.85
P/S 6.48
P/FCF 42.72
P/OCF 29.48
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 26.41
EPS(TTM)4.08
EY2.47%
EPS(NY)4.74
Fwd EY2.87%
FCF(TTM)3.87
FCFY2.34%
OCF(TTM)5.6
OCFY3.39%
SpS25.51
BVpS-26.97
TBVpS-31.23
PEG (NY)2.5
PEG (5Y)0.95
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 25.13%
ROE N/A
ROCE 31.43%
ROIC 23.15%
ROICexc 34.12%
ROICexgc 47.46%
OM 27.58%
PM (TTM) 25.01%
GM 86.22%
FCFM 15.16%
ROA(3y)19.63%
ROA(5y)17.7%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)23.65%
ROIC(5y)22.96%
ROICexc(3y)37.81%
ROICexc(5y)36.93%
ROICexgc(3y)71.24%
ROICexgc(5y)83.71%
ROCE(3y)32.11%
ROCE(5y)31.17%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.29%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-21.78%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.4%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.5%
OM growth 3Y1.6%
OM growth 5Y4.79%
PM growth 3Y19.11%
PM growth 5Y21.71%
GM growth 3Y1.98%
GM growth 5Y1.63%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 11.45
Debt/EBITDA 5.57
Cap/Depr 189.25%
Cap/Sales 6.81%
Interest Coverage 3.68
Cash Conversion 70.46%
Profit Quality 60.61%
Current Ratio 3.26
Quick Ratio 3.26
Altman-Z 2.72
F-Score6
WACC7.81%
ROIC/WACC2.96
Cap/Depr(3y)254.71%
Cap/Depr(5y)267.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.12%
Profit Quality(3y)90.97%
Profit Quality(5y)84.13%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.57%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y42.68%
EPS Q2Q%11.11%
EPS Next Y16.17%
EPS Next 2Y21.27%
EPS Next 3Y23.3%
EPS Next 5Y21.45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.35%
Revenue growth 3Y24.92%
Revenue growth 5Y22.87%
Sales Q2Q%8.57%
Revenue Next Year14.63%
Revenue Next 2Y15.24%
Revenue Next 3Y15.33%
Revenue Next 5Y14.02%
EBIT growth 1Y15.34%
EBIT growth 3Y26.92%
EBIT growth 5Y28.76%
EBIT Next Year49.58%
EBIT Next 3Y27.4%
EBIT Next 5Y20.77%
FCF growth 1Y-0.05%
FCF growth 3Y26.4%
FCF growth 5Y12.17%
OCF growth 1Y-2.88%
OCF growth 3Y26.15%
OCF growth 5Y18.49%

WINGSTOP INC / WING Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for WINGSTOP INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to WING.


Can you provide the valuation status for WINGSTOP INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to WINGSTOP INC (WING). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for WINGSTOP INC?

WINGSTOP INC (WING) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


How financially healthy is WINGSTOP INC?

The financial health rating of WINGSTOP INC (WING) is 6 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for WINGSTOP INC (WING) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of WINGSTOP INC (WING) is expected to grow by 16.17% in the next year.