WINGSTOP INC (WING) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:WING • US9741551033

Current stock price

152.51 USD
+7.64 (+5.27%)
At close:
150.472 USD
-2.04 (-1.34%)
After Hours:

This WING fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. WING Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year WING was profitable.
  • WING had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years WING has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years WING always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
WING Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFWING Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

  • WING's Return On Assets of 25.13% is amongst the best of the industry. WING outperforms 97.62% of its industry peers.
  • WING has a better Return On Invested Capital (23.15%) than 93.65% of its industry peers.
  • WING had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 23.65%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.68%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 25.13%
ROE N/A
ROIC 23.15%
ROA(3y)19.63%
ROA(5y)17.7%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)23.65%
ROIC(5y)22.96%
WING Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICWING Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of WING (25.01%) is better than 97.62% of its industry peers.
  • WING's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 27.58%, WING belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.65% of the companies in the same industry.
  • WING's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of WING (86.22%) is better than 97.62% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of WING has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.58%
PM (TTM) 25.01%
GM 86.22%
OM growth 3Y1.6%
OM growth 5Y4.79%
PM growth 3Y19.11%
PM growth 5Y21.71%
GM growth 3Y1.98%
GM growth 5Y1.63%
WING Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsWING Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80

6

2. WING Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), WING is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for WING has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, WING has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, WING has a worse debt to assets ratio.
WING Yearly Shares OutstandingWING Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
WING Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsWING Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • WING has an Altman-Z score of 2.49. This is not the best score and indicates that WING is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.49, WING is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.46% of the companies in the same industry.
  • WING has a debt to FCF ratio of 11.45. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as WING would need 11.45 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • WING's Debt to FCF ratio of 11.45 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. WING outperforms 54.76% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 11.45
Altman-Z 2.49
ROIC/WACC3.01
WACC7.69%
WING Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFWING Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • WING has a Current Ratio of 3.26. This indicates that WING is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of WING (3.26) is better than 93.65% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 3.26 indicates that WING has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • WING has a Quick ratio of 3.26. This is amongst the best in the industry. WING outperforms 94.44% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.26
Quick Ratio 3.26
WING Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesWING Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

8

3. WING Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 10.57% over the past year.
  • WING shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 42.68% yearly.
  • WING shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 11.35%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 22.87% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.57%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y42.68%
EPS Q2Q%11.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.35%
Revenue growth 3Y24.92%
Revenue growth 5Y22.87%
Sales Q2Q%8.57%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.03% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, WING will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 14.79% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.9%
EPS Next 2Y21.94%
EPS Next 3Y23.81%
EPS Next 5Y22.03%
Revenue Next Year15.05%
Revenue Next 2Y15.56%
Revenue Next 3Y15.93%
Revenue Next 5Y14.79%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
WING Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesWING Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 500M 1B 1.5B
WING Yearly EPS VS EstimatesWING Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5 10 15

2

4. WING Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 37.38, the valuation of WING can be described as expensive.
  • WING's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.60, WING is valued a bit more expensive.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 31.98, which means the current valuation is very expensive for WING.
  • WING's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • WING's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 22.84.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 37.38
Fwd PE 31.98
WING Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsWING Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of WING indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: WING is more expensive than 73.81% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of WING is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 39.68
EV/EBITDA 23.95
WING Per share dataWING EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 20 -20 -30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates WING does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The excellent profitability rating of WING may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • WING's earnings are expected to grow with 23.81% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.21
PEG (5Y)0.88
EPS Next 2Y21.94%
EPS Next 3Y23.81%

3

5. WING Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.78%, WING is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • The stock price of WING dropped by -40.62% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.13, WING pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.90, WING's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.78%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of WING decreases each year by -26.93%.
  • WING has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • WING has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-26.93%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
WING Yearly Dividends per shareWING Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3 4 5

5.3 Sustainability

  • WING pays out 18.58% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP18.58%
EPS Next 2Y21.94%
EPS Next 3Y23.81%
WING Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendWING Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
WING Dividend Payout.WING Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.WING Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

WING Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

WINGSTOP INC

NASDAQ:WING (4/2/2026, 8:01:26 PM)

After market: 150.472 -2.04 (-1.34%)

152.51

+7.64 (+5.27%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-18
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners132.4%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.63%
Ins Owner Change10.48%
Market Cap4.19B
Revenue(TTM)696.85M
Net Income(TTM)174.27M
Analysts83.24
Price Target329.28 (115.91%)
Short Float %12.85%
Short Ratio3.48
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.78%
Yearly Dividend1.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)-26.93%
DP18.58%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-06
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)16.13%
Min EPS beat(2)15.05%
Max EPS beat(2)17.2%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.5%
Min EPS beat(4)12.57%
Max EPS beat(4)17.2%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)11.08%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)13.92%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)14.95%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.14%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.97%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.39%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.41%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.89%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.83%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.26%
PT rev (1m)-1.14%
PT rev (3m)-1.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.29%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.98%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.54%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.42%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.15%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.51%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.46%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 37.38
Fwd PE 31.98
P/S 6.01
P/FCF 39.68
P/OCF 27.38
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 23.95
EPS(TTM)4.08
EY2.68%
EPS(NY)4.77
Fwd EY3.13%
FCF(TTM)3.84
FCFY2.52%
OCF(TTM)5.57
OCFY3.65%
SpS25.36
BVpS-26.81
TBVpS-31.05
PEG (NY)2.21
PEG (5Y)0.88
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 25.13%
ROE N/A
ROCE 31.43%
ROIC 23.15%
ROICexc 34.12%
ROICexgc 47.46%
OM 27.58%
PM (TTM) 25.01%
GM 86.22%
FCFM 15.16%
ROA(3y)19.63%
ROA(5y)17.7%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)23.65%
ROIC(5y)22.96%
ROICexc(3y)37.81%
ROICexc(5y)36.93%
ROICexgc(3y)71.24%
ROICexgc(5y)83.71%
ROCE(3y)32.11%
ROCE(5y)31.17%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.29%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-21.78%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.4%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.5%
OM growth 3Y1.6%
OM growth 5Y4.79%
PM growth 3Y19.11%
PM growth 5Y21.71%
GM growth 3Y1.98%
GM growth 5Y1.63%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 11.45
Debt/EBITDA 5.57
Cap/Depr 189.25%
Cap/Sales 6.81%
Interest Coverage 3.68
Cash Conversion 70.46%
Profit Quality 60.61%
Current Ratio 3.26
Quick Ratio 3.26
Altman-Z 2.49
F-Score6
WACC7.69%
ROIC/WACC3.01
Cap/Depr(3y)254.71%
Cap/Depr(5y)267.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.12%
Profit Quality(3y)90.97%
Profit Quality(5y)84.13%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.57%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y42.68%
EPS Q2Q%11.11%
EPS Next Y16.9%
EPS Next 2Y21.94%
EPS Next 3Y23.81%
EPS Next 5Y22.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.35%
Revenue growth 3Y24.92%
Revenue growth 5Y22.87%
Sales Q2Q%8.57%
Revenue Next Year15.05%
Revenue Next 2Y15.56%
Revenue Next 3Y15.93%
Revenue Next 5Y14.79%
EBIT growth 1Y15.34%
EBIT growth 3Y26.92%
EBIT growth 5Y28.76%
EBIT Next Year51.8%
EBIT Next 3Y29.21%
EBIT Next 5Y22.57%
FCF growth 1Y-0.05%
FCF growth 3Y26.4%
FCF growth 5Y12.17%
OCF growth 1Y-2.88%
OCF growth 3Y26.15%
OCF growth 5Y18.49%

WINGSTOP INC / WING Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for WINGSTOP INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to WING.


Can you provide the valuation status for WINGSTOP INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to WINGSTOP INC (WING). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for WINGSTOP INC?

WINGSTOP INC (WING) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


How financially healthy is WINGSTOP INC?

The financial health rating of WINGSTOP INC (WING) is 6 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for WINGSTOP INC (WING) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of WINGSTOP INC (WING) is expected to grow by 16.9% in the next year.