WINGSTOP INC (WING) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:WING • US9741551033
Current stock price
190 USD
+0.81 (+0.43%)
At close:
189.5 USD
-0.5 (-0.26%)
After Hours:
This WING fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. WING Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- WING had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year WING had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years WING has been profitable.
- WING had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- WING's Return On Assets of 25.13% is amongst the best of the industry. WING outperforms 97.62% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of WING (23.15%) is better than 93.65% of its industry peers.
- WING had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 23.65%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.55%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 25.13% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 23.15% |
ROA(3y)19.63%
ROA(5y)17.7%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)23.65%
ROIC(5y)22.96%
1.3 Margins
- WING's Profit Margin of 25.01% is amongst the best of the industry. WING outperforms 97.62% of its industry peers.
- WING's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Operating Margin value of 27.58%, WING belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.65% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of WING has grown nicely.
- WING's Gross Margin of 86.22% is amongst the best of the industry. WING outperforms 97.62% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of WING has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 27.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 25.01% | ||
| GM | 86.22% |
OM growth 3Y1.6%
OM growth 5Y4.79%
PM growth 3Y19.11%
PM growth 5Y21.71%
GM growth 3Y1.98%
GM growth 5Y1.63%
2. WING Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- WING has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, WING has less shares outstanding
- WING has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, WING has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- WING has an Altman-Z score of 2.90. This is not the best score and indicates that WING is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- WING has a better Altman-Z score (2.90) than 73.02% of its industry peers.
- WING has a debt to FCF ratio of 11.45. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as WING would need 11.45 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- WING has a Debt to FCF ratio (11.45) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 11.45 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.9 |
ROIC/WACC2.95
WACC7.85%
2.3 Liquidity
- WING has a Current Ratio of 3.26. This indicates that WING is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- WING's Current ratio of 3.26 is amongst the best of the industry. WING outperforms 94.44% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 3.26 indicates that WING has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- WING has a Quick ratio of 3.26. This is amongst the best in the industry. WING outperforms 95.24% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.26 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.26 |
3. WING Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- WING shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 10.57%, which is quite good.
- WING shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 42.68% yearly.
- WING shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 11.35%.
- WING shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 22.87% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.57%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y42.68%
EPS Q2Q%11.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.35%
Revenue growth 3Y24.92%
Revenue growth 5Y22.87%
Sales Q2Q%8.57%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, WING will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 22.03% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 14.79% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y16.17%
EPS Next 2Y21.27%
EPS Next 3Y23.3%
EPS Next 5Y22.03%
Revenue Next Year14.63%
Revenue Next 2Y15.24%
Revenue Next 3Y15.33%
Revenue Next 5Y14.79%
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. WING Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 46.57, which means the current valuation is very expensive for WING.
- WING's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.79. WING is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
- WING is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 40.09.
- WING's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- WING is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.88, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46.57 | ||
| Fwd PE | 40.09 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, WING is valued a bit more expensive than 73.02% of the companies in the same industry.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as WING.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 49.14 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 28.45 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates WING does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- WING has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- WING's earnings are expected to grow with 23.30% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.88
PEG (5Y)1.09
EPS Next 2Y21.27%
EPS Next 3Y23.3%
5. WING Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- WING has a yearly dividend return of 0.64%, which is pretty low.
- In the last 3 months the price of WING has falen by -29.99%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
- WING's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.04.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, WING's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.64% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of WING decreases each year by -26.93%.
- WING has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- The dividend of WING decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-26.93%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- WING pays out 18.58% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP18.58%
EPS Next 2Y21.27%
EPS Next 3Y23.3%
WING Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
190
+0.81 (+0.43%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-18 2026-02-18/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29/bmo
Inst Owners132.3%
Inst Owner Change-0.1%
Ins Owners0.7%
Ins Owner Change10.48%
Market Cap5.19B
Revenue(TTM)696.85M
Net Income(TTM)174.27M
Analysts83.24
Price Target302.81 (59.37%)
Short Float %13.16%
Short Ratio3.05
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.64% |
Yearly Dividend1.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)-26.93%
DP18.58%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-06 2026-03-06 (0.3)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)16.13%
Min EPS beat(2)15.05%
Max EPS beat(2)17.2%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.5%
Min EPS beat(4)12.57%
Max EPS beat(4)17.2%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)11.08%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)13.92%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)14.95%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.14%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.97%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.39%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.41%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.89%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.83%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.26%
PT rev (1m)-9.09%
PT rev (3m)-9.79%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.74%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.59%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.63%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.95%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.34%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.87%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.62%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46.57 | ||
| Fwd PE | 40.09 | ||
| P/S | 7.45 | ||
| P/FCF | 49.14 | ||
| P/OCF | 33.91 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 28.45 |
EPS(TTM)4.08
EY2.15%
EPS(NY)4.74
Fwd EY2.49%
FCF(TTM)3.87
FCFY2.03%
OCF(TTM)5.6
OCFY2.95%
SpS25.51
BVpS-26.97
TBVpS-31.23
PEG (NY)2.88
PEG (5Y)1.09
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 25.13% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 31.43% | ||
| ROIC | 23.15% | ||
| ROICexc | 34.12% | ||
| ROICexgc | 47.46% | ||
| OM | 27.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 25.01% | ||
| GM | 86.22% | ||
| FCFM | 15.16% |
ROA(3y)19.63%
ROA(5y)17.7%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)23.65%
ROIC(5y)22.96%
ROICexc(3y)37.81%
ROICexc(5y)36.93%
ROICexgc(3y)71.24%
ROICexgc(5y)83.71%
ROCE(3y)32.11%
ROCE(5y)31.17%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.29%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-21.78%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.4%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.5%
OM growth 3Y1.6%
OM growth 5Y4.79%
PM growth 3Y19.11%
PM growth 5Y21.71%
GM growth 3Y1.98%
GM growth 5Y1.63%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 11.45 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.57 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 189.25% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.81% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.68 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 70.46% | ||
| Profit Quality | 60.61% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.26 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.9 |
F-Score6
WACC7.85%
ROIC/WACC2.95
Cap/Depr(3y)254.71%
Cap/Depr(5y)267.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.12%
Profit Quality(3y)90.97%
Profit Quality(5y)84.13%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.57%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y42.68%
EPS Q2Q%11.11%
EPS Next Y16.17%
EPS Next 2Y21.27%
EPS Next 3Y23.3%
EPS Next 5Y22.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.35%
Revenue growth 3Y24.92%
Revenue growth 5Y22.87%
Sales Q2Q%8.57%
Revenue Next Year14.63%
Revenue Next 2Y15.24%
Revenue Next 3Y15.33%
Revenue Next 5Y14.79%
EBIT growth 1Y15.34%
EBIT growth 3Y26.92%
EBIT growth 5Y28.76%
EBIT Next Year49.58%
EBIT Next 3Y27.4%
EBIT Next 5Y22.57%
FCF growth 1Y-0.05%
FCF growth 3Y26.4%
FCF growth 5Y12.17%
OCF growth 1Y-2.88%
OCF growth 3Y26.15%
OCF growth 5Y18.49%
WINGSTOP INC / WING Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for WINGSTOP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to WING.
Can you provide the valuation status for WINGSTOP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to WINGSTOP INC (WING). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for WINGSTOP INC?
WINGSTOP INC (WING) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is WINGSTOP INC?
The financial health rating of WINGSTOP INC (WING) is 6 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for WINGSTOP INC (WING) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of WINGSTOP INC (WING) is expected to grow by 16.17% in the next year.