WINGSTOP INC (WING) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:WING • US9741551033
Current stock price
152.51 USD
+7.64 (+5.27%)
At close:
150.472 USD
-2.04 (-1.34%)
After Hours:
This WING fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. WING Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year WING was profitable.
- WING had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years WING has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years WING always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- WING's Return On Assets of 25.13% is amongst the best of the industry. WING outperforms 97.62% of its industry peers.
- WING has a better Return On Invested Capital (23.15%) than 93.65% of its industry peers.
- WING had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 23.65%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.68%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 25.13% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 23.15% |
ROA(3y)19.63%
ROA(5y)17.7%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)23.65%
ROIC(5y)22.96%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of WING (25.01%) is better than 97.62% of its industry peers.
- WING's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Operating Margin value of 27.58%, WING belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.65% of the companies in the same industry.
- WING's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- The Gross Margin of WING (86.22%) is better than 97.62% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of WING has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 27.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 25.01% | ||
| GM | 86.22% |
OM growth 3Y1.6%
OM growth 5Y4.79%
PM growth 3Y19.11%
PM growth 5Y21.71%
GM growth 3Y1.98%
GM growth 5Y1.63%
2. WING Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), WING is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for WING has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, WING has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, WING has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- WING has an Altman-Z score of 2.49. This is not the best score and indicates that WING is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.49, WING is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.46% of the companies in the same industry.
- WING has a debt to FCF ratio of 11.45. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as WING would need 11.45 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- WING's Debt to FCF ratio of 11.45 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. WING outperforms 54.76% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 11.45 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.49 |
ROIC/WACC3.01
WACC7.69%
2.3 Liquidity
- WING has a Current Ratio of 3.26. This indicates that WING is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of WING (3.26) is better than 93.65% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 3.26 indicates that WING has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- WING has a Quick ratio of 3.26. This is amongst the best in the industry. WING outperforms 94.44% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.26 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.26 |
3. WING Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 10.57% over the past year.
- WING shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 42.68% yearly.
- WING shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 11.35%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 22.87% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.57%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y42.68%
EPS Q2Q%11.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.35%
Revenue growth 3Y24.92%
Revenue growth 5Y22.87%
Sales Q2Q%8.57%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.03% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- Based on estimates for the next years, WING will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 14.79% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.9%
EPS Next 2Y21.94%
EPS Next 3Y23.81%
EPS Next 5Y22.03%
Revenue Next Year15.05%
Revenue Next 2Y15.56%
Revenue Next 3Y15.93%
Revenue Next 5Y14.79%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. WING Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 37.38, the valuation of WING can be described as expensive.
- WING's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.60, WING is valued a bit more expensive.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 31.98, which means the current valuation is very expensive for WING.
- WING's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- WING's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 22.84.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 31.98 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of WING indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: WING is more expensive than 73.81% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of WING is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 39.68 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.95 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates WING does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- The excellent profitability rating of WING may justify a higher PE ratio.
- WING's earnings are expected to grow with 23.81% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.21
PEG (5Y)0.88
EPS Next 2Y21.94%
EPS Next 3Y23.81%
5. WING Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.78%, WING is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- The stock price of WING dropped by -40.62% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.13, WING pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.90, WING's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.78% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of WING decreases each year by -26.93%.
- WING has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- WING has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-26.93%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- WING pays out 18.58% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP18.58%
EPS Next 2Y21.94%
EPS Next 3Y23.81%
WING Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
152.51
+7.64 (+5.27%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-18 2026-02-18/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29/bmo
Inst Owners132.4%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.63%
Ins Owner Change10.48%
Market Cap4.19B
Revenue(TTM)696.85M
Net Income(TTM)174.27M
Analysts83.24
Price Target329.28 (115.91%)
Short Float %12.85%
Short Ratio3.48
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.78% |
Yearly Dividend1.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)-26.93%
DP18.58%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-06 2026-03-06 (0.3)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)16.13%
Min EPS beat(2)15.05%
Max EPS beat(2)17.2%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.5%
Min EPS beat(4)12.57%
Max EPS beat(4)17.2%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)11.08%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)13.92%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)14.95%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.14%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.97%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.39%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.41%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.89%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.83%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.26%
PT rev (1m)-1.14%
PT rev (3m)-1.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.29%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.98%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.54%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.42%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.15%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.51%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.46%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 31.98 | ||
| P/S | 6.01 | ||
| P/FCF | 39.68 | ||
| P/OCF | 27.38 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.95 |
EPS(TTM)4.08
EY2.68%
EPS(NY)4.77
Fwd EY3.13%
FCF(TTM)3.84
FCFY2.52%
OCF(TTM)5.57
OCFY3.65%
SpS25.36
BVpS-26.81
TBVpS-31.05
PEG (NY)2.21
PEG (5Y)0.88
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 25.13% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 31.43% | ||
| ROIC | 23.15% | ||
| ROICexc | 34.12% | ||
| ROICexgc | 47.46% | ||
| OM | 27.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 25.01% | ||
| GM | 86.22% | ||
| FCFM | 15.16% |
ROA(3y)19.63%
ROA(5y)17.7%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)23.65%
ROIC(5y)22.96%
ROICexc(3y)37.81%
ROICexc(5y)36.93%
ROICexgc(3y)71.24%
ROICexgc(5y)83.71%
ROCE(3y)32.11%
ROCE(5y)31.17%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.29%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-21.78%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.4%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.5%
OM growth 3Y1.6%
OM growth 5Y4.79%
PM growth 3Y19.11%
PM growth 5Y21.71%
GM growth 3Y1.98%
GM growth 5Y1.63%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 11.45 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.57 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 189.25% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.81% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.68 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 70.46% | ||
| Profit Quality | 60.61% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.26 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.49 |
F-Score6
WACC7.69%
ROIC/WACC3.01
Cap/Depr(3y)254.71%
Cap/Depr(5y)267.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.12%
Profit Quality(3y)90.97%
Profit Quality(5y)84.13%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.57%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y42.68%
EPS Q2Q%11.11%
EPS Next Y16.9%
EPS Next 2Y21.94%
EPS Next 3Y23.81%
EPS Next 5Y22.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.35%
Revenue growth 3Y24.92%
Revenue growth 5Y22.87%
Sales Q2Q%8.57%
Revenue Next Year15.05%
Revenue Next 2Y15.56%
Revenue Next 3Y15.93%
Revenue Next 5Y14.79%
EBIT growth 1Y15.34%
EBIT growth 3Y26.92%
EBIT growth 5Y28.76%
EBIT Next Year51.8%
EBIT Next 3Y29.21%
EBIT Next 5Y22.57%
FCF growth 1Y-0.05%
FCF growth 3Y26.4%
FCF growth 5Y12.17%
OCF growth 1Y-2.88%
OCF growth 3Y26.15%
OCF growth 5Y18.49%
WINGSTOP INC / WING Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for WINGSTOP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to WING.
Can you provide the valuation status for WINGSTOP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to WINGSTOP INC (WING). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for WINGSTOP INC?
WINGSTOP INC (WING) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is WINGSTOP INC?
The financial health rating of WINGSTOP INC (WING) is 6 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for WINGSTOP INC (WING) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of WINGSTOP INC (WING) is expected to grow by 16.9% in the next year.