WEST FRASER TIMBER CO LTD (WFG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:WFG - CA9528451052 - Common Stock
59.72 USD
+1.66 (+2.86%)
59.72 USD
0 (0%)
WFG gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 9 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. WFG scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. WFG is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
WFG had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year WFG had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: WFG reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years WFG had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
WFG has a Return On Assets of -2.89%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: WFG outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
WFG has a Return On Equity of -3.74%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: WFG outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.89% | ||
| ROE | -3.74% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)5.99%
ROA(5y)12.01%
ROE(3y)7.85%
ROE(5y)17.08%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of WFG has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 25.57%, WFG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of WFG has grown nicely.
WFG does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 25.57% |
OM growth 3Y-63.89%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-18.87%
GM growth 5Y3.49%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
WFG does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for WFG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for WFG has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
WFG has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
WFG has an Altman-Z score of 2.87. This is not the best score and indicates that WFG is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
WFG has a Altman-Z score of 2.87. This is in the better half of the industry: WFG outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of WFG is 26.92, which is on the high side as it means it would take WFG, 26.92 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of WFG (26.92) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
WFG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.05. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With an excellent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.05, WFG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.05 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 26.92 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.87 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.7%
2.3 Liquidity
WFG has a Current Ratio of 2.39. This indicates that WFG is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
WFG's Current ratio of 2.39 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. WFG outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
WFG has a Quick Ratio of 1.32. This is a normal value and indicates that WFG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
WFG's Quick ratio of 1.32 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. WFG outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.32 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for WFG have decreased strongly by -167.74% in the last year.
WFG shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -9.23%.
The Revenue has been growing by 10.92% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-167.74%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-155.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.23%
Revenue growth 3Y-16.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.92%
Sales Q2Q%-9.05%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, WFG will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 118.50% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.70% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-1856.41%
EPS Next 2Y84.97%
EPS Next 3Y253.71%
EPS Next 5Y118.5%
Revenue Next Year-10.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 3Y2.2%
Revenue Next 5Y2.7%
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
WFG reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 233.41, which means the current valuation is very expensive for WFG.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as WFG.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.46, WFG is valued quite expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 233.41 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of WFG indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: WFG is more expensive than 77.78% of the companies listed in the same industry.
WFG's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 391.61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.54 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A more expensive valuation may be justified as WFG's earnings are expected to grow with 253.71% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y84.97%
EPS Next 3Y253.71%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.15%, WFG has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
In the last 3 months the price of WFG has falen by -21.37%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
WFG's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 5.87.
WFG's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.42.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.15% |
5.2 History
The dividend of WFG is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 15.82%!
WFG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
The dividend of WFG decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.82%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of WFG are negative and hence is the payout ratio. WFG will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
WFG's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP-41.13%
EPS Next 2Y84.97%
EPS Next 3Y253.71%
59.72
+1.66 (+2.86%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners51.45%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.95%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.70B
Revenue(TTM)5.70B
Net Income(TTM)-248.00M
Analysts80
Price Target68.3 (14.37%)
Short Float %3.3%
Short Ratio7.25
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.15% |
Yearly Dividend1.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.82%
DP-41.13%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-132.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-146.07%
Max EPS beat(2)-118.82%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-445.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-1486.14%
Max EPS beat(4)-29.39%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-259.45%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-260.16%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-191.85%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.67%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.79%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.75%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.15%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.23%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.04%
PT rev (1m)-3.09%
PT rev (3m)-4.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-379.65%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3111.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)-380.92%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2390.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-6.84%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-13.99%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.86%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.99%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 233.41 | ||
| P/S | 0.82 | ||
| P/FCF | 391.61 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.66 | ||
| P/B | 0.71 | ||
| P/tB | 1.14 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.54 |
EPS(TTM)-3.32
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.26
Fwd EY0.43%
FCF(TTM)0.15
FCFY0.26%
OCF(TTM)5.6
OCFY9.38%
SpS72.47
BVpS84.17
TBVpS52.52
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.89% | ||
| ROE | -3.74% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 25.57% | ||
| FCFM | 0.21% |
ROA(3y)5.99%
ROA(5y)12.01%
ROE(3y)7.85%
ROE(5y)17.08%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-63.89%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-18.87%
GM growth 5Y3.49%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.66
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.05 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 26.92 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.12 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 79.74% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.52% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 153.13% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.87 |
F-Score4
WACC7.7%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)85.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.03%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.73%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.07%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-167.74%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-155.34%
EPS Next Y-1856.41%
EPS Next 2Y84.97%
EPS Next 3Y253.71%
EPS Next 5Y118.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.23%
Revenue growth 3Y-16.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.92%
Sales Q2Q%-9.05%
Revenue Next Year-10.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 3Y2.2%
Revenue Next 5Y2.7%
EBIT growth 1Y-580.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-69.77%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year410.48%
EBIT Next 3Y135.05%
EBIT Next 5Y73.79%
FCF growth 1Y-88.78%
FCF growth 3Y-60.93%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-23.44%
OCF growth 3Y-42.91%
OCF growth 5Y50.12%
WEST FRASER TIMBER CO LTD / WFG FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of WEST FRASER TIMBER CO LTD (WFG) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to WFG.
What is the valuation status for WFG stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to WEST FRASER TIMBER CO LTD (WFG). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for WEST FRASER TIMBER CO LTD?
WEST FRASER TIMBER CO LTD (WFG) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the financial health of WEST FRASER TIMBER CO LTD (WFG) stock?
The financial health rating of WEST FRASER TIMBER CO LTD (WFG) is 5 / 10.