WEST FRASER TIMBER CO LTD (WFG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:WFG - CA9528451052 - Common Stock
61.5 USD
+0.36 (+0.59%)
62.12 USD
+0.62 (+1.01%)
Taking everything into account, WFG scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. WFG was compared to 9 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. While WFG seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. WFG is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
WFG had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year WFG had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years WFG reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years WFG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of WFG (-2.89%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
WFG's Return On Equity of -3.74% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. WFG outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.89% | ||
| ROE | -3.74% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)5.99%
ROA(5y)12.01%
ROE(3y)7.85%
ROE(5y)17.08%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
WFG's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 25.57%, WFG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
WFG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
WFG does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 25.57% |
OM growth 3Y-63.89%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-18.87%
GM growth 5Y3.49%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
WFG does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
WFG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
WFG has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for WFG has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.90 indicates that WFG is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of WFG (2.90) is better than 77.78% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of WFG is 26.92, which is on the high side as it means it would take WFG, 26.92 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 26.92, WFG is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.44% of the companies in the same industry.
WFG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.05. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.05, WFG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.05 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 26.92 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.9 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.61%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.39 indicates that WFG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
WFG has a Current ratio of 2.39. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: WFG outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
WFG has a Quick Ratio of 1.32. This is a normal value and indicates that WFG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 1.32, WFG perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.56% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.32 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for WFG have decreased strongly by -167.74% in the last year.
Looking at the last year, WFG shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -9.23% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 10.92% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-167.74%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-155.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.23%
Revenue growth 3Y-16.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.92%
Sales Q2Q%-9.05%
3.2 Future
WFG is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 118.50% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.70% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-1856.41%
EPS Next 2Y84.97%
EPS Next 3Y253.71%
EPS Next 5Y118.5%
Revenue Next Year-10.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 3Y2.2%
Revenue Next 5Y2.7%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
WFG reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 240.36, WFG can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of WFG is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 36.59. WFG is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 240.36 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, WFG is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 77.78% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
WFG's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 403.29 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.93 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A more expensive valuation may be justified as WFG's earnings are expected to grow with 253.71% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y84.97%
EPS Next 3Y253.71%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
WFG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.15%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.38, WFG pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
WFG's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.40.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.15% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of WFG grows each year by 15.82%, which is quite nice.
WFG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
The dividend of WFG decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.82%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
WFG has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
The dividend of WFG is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP-41.13%
EPS Next 2Y84.97%
EPS Next 3Y253.71%
61.5
+0.36 (+0.59%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners51.45%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.95%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.84B
Revenue(TTM)5.70B
Net Income(TTM)-248.00M
Analysts80
Price Target68.3 (11.06%)
Short Float %3.3%
Short Ratio7.25
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.15% |
Yearly Dividend1.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.82%
DP-41.13%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-132.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-146.07%
Max EPS beat(2)-118.82%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-445.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-1486.14%
Max EPS beat(4)-29.39%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-259.45%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-260.16%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-191.85%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.67%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.79%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.75%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.15%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.23%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.04%
PT rev (1m)-3.09%
PT rev (3m)-4.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-379.65%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3111.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)-380.92%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2390.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-6.84%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-13.99%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.86%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.99%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 240.36 | ||
| P/S | 0.85 | ||
| P/FCF | 403.29 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.97 | ||
| P/B | 0.73 | ||
| P/tB | 1.17 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.93 |
EPS(TTM)-3.32
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.26
Fwd EY0.42%
FCF(TTM)0.15
FCFY0.25%
OCF(TTM)5.6
OCFY9.11%
SpS72.47
BVpS84.17
TBVpS52.52
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.89% | ||
| ROE | -3.74% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 25.57% | ||
| FCFM | 0.21% |
ROA(3y)5.99%
ROA(5y)12.01%
ROE(3y)7.85%
ROE(5y)17.08%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-63.89%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-18.87%
GM growth 5Y3.49%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.66
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.05 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 26.92 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.12 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 79.74% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.52% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 153.13% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.9 |
F-Score4
WACC7.61%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)85.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.03%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.73%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.07%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-167.74%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-155.34%
EPS Next Y-1856.41%
EPS Next 2Y84.97%
EPS Next 3Y253.71%
EPS Next 5Y118.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.23%
Revenue growth 3Y-16.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.92%
Sales Q2Q%-9.05%
Revenue Next Year-10.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 3Y2.2%
Revenue Next 5Y2.7%
EBIT growth 1Y-580.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-69.77%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year410.48%
EBIT Next 3Y135.05%
EBIT Next 5Y73.79%
FCF growth 1Y-88.78%
FCF growth 3Y-60.93%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-23.44%
OCF growth 3Y-42.91%
OCF growth 5Y50.12%
WEST FRASER TIMBER CO LTD / WFG FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of WEST FRASER TIMBER CO LTD (WFG) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to WFG.
What is the valuation status for WFG stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to WEST FRASER TIMBER CO LTD (WFG). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for WEST FRASER TIMBER CO LTD?
WEST FRASER TIMBER CO LTD (WFG) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the financial health of WEST FRASER TIMBER CO LTD (WFG) stock?
The financial health rating of WEST FRASER TIMBER CO LTD (WFG) is 5 / 10.