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WEST FRASER TIMBER CO LTD (WFG) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:WFG - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA9528451052 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

78.84  -1.39 (-1.73%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall WFG gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated WFG against 9 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. While WFG has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. WFG has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year WFG was profitable.
WFG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years WFG reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
WFG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
WFG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFWFG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

WFG's Return On Assets of -0.06% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. WFG outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of -0.07%, WFG perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.56% of the companies in the same industry.
WFG has a Return On Invested Capital (1.09%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.06%
ROE -0.07%
ROIC 1.09%
ROA(3y)5.99%
ROA(5y)12.01%
ROE(3y)7.85%
ROE(5y)17.08%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
WFG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICWFG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 1.75%, WFG is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.56% of the companies in the same industry.
WFG's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of WFG (29.80%) is better than 88.89% of its industry peers.
WFG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.75%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 29.8%
OM growth 3Y-63.89%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-18.87%
GM growth 5Y3.49%
WFG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsWFG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40 50

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so WFG is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for WFG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
WFG has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for WFG has been reduced compared to a year ago.
WFG Yearly Shares OutstandingWFG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
WFG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsWFG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 3.76 indicates that WFG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
WFG has a Altman-Z score of 3.76. This is in the better half of the industry: WFG outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
WFG has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.21. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.21 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.21, WFG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that WFG is not too dependend on debt financing.
With an excellent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.00, WFG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 1.21
Altman-Z 3.76
ROIC/WACC0.14
WACC7.68%
WFG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFWFG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.97 indicates that WFG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
WFG has a Current ratio (1.97) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.06 indicates that WFG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
WFG has a Quick ratio (1.06) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.97
Quick Ratio 1.06
WFG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesWFG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

WFG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 131.75%, which is quite impressive.
The earnings per share for WFG have been decreasing by -70.74% on average. This is quite bad
WFG shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -4.34%.
WFG shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.92% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)131.75%
EPS 3Y-70.74%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%104.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.34%
Revenue growth 3Y-16.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.92%
Sales Q2Q%-7.2%

3.2 Future

WFG is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 69.61% yearly.
WFG is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.62% yearly.
EPS Next Y611.15%
EPS Next 2Y281.06%
EPS Next 3Y142.88%
EPS Next 5Y69.61%
Revenue Next Year5.89%
Revenue Next 2Y7.47%
Revenue Next 3Y5.9%
Revenue Next 5Y4.62%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
WFG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesWFG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
WFG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesWFG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 5 10 15 20 25

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 117.67, the valuation of WFG can be described as expensive.
WFG's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
WFG's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 29.63.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 16.55, which indicates a correct valuation of WFG.
WFG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. WFG is cheaper than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of WFG to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.68), we can say WFG is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 117.67
Fwd PE 16.55
WFG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsWFG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than WFG, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, WFG is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 36.24
EV/EBITDA 9.11
WFG Per share dataWFG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

WFG's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
WFG's earnings are expected to grow with 142.88% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.19
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y281.06%
EPS Next 3Y142.88%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.64%, WFG has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
WFG's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.20.
WFG's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.29.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.64%

5.2 History

The dividend of WFG is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 15.82%!
WFG has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
The dividend of WFG decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.82%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
WFG Yearly Dividends per shareWFG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

WFG has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
The dividend of WFG is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP-2020%
EPS Next 2Y281.06%
EPS Next 3Y142.88%
WFG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendWFG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B

WEST FRASER TIMBER CO LTD

NYSE:WFG (2/21/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

78.84

-1.39 (-1.73%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)02-12 2025-02-12/amc
Earnings (Next)04-21 2025-04-21/amc
Inst Owners46.15%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.78%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap6.31B
Analysts82
Price Target80.66 (2.31%)
Short Float %1.54%
Short Ratio4.83
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.64%
Yearly Dividend1.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.82%
DP-2020%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)28.92%
Min EPS beat(2)-76.59%
Max EPS beat(2)134.44%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)38.94%
Min EPS beat(4)-76.59%
Max EPS beat(4)134.44%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-74.87%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-95.57%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-70.94%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.29%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.94%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.31%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.75%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.73%
PT rev (1m)-0.15%
PT rev (3m)6.21%
EPS NQ rev (1m)58.18%
EPS NQ rev (3m)53.54%
EPS NY rev (1m)27.18%
EPS NY rev (3m)27.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.47%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.23%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 117.67
Fwd PE 16.55
P/S 1.02
P/FCF 36.24
P/OCF 9.54
P/B 0.91
P/tB 1.43
EV/EBITDA 9.11
EPS(TTM)0.67
EY0.85%
EPS(NY)4.76
Fwd EY6.04%
FCF(TTM)2.18
FCFY2.76%
OCF(TTM)8.26
OCFY10.48%
SpS77.18
BVpS86.94
TBVpS55.21
PEG (NY)0.19
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.06%
ROE -0.07%
ROCE 1.38%
ROIC 1.09%
ROICexc 1.19%
ROICexgc 1.84%
OM 1.75%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 29.8%
FCFM 2.82%
ROA(3y)5.99%
ROA(5y)12.01%
ROE(3y)7.85%
ROE(5y)17.08%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-69.33%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-69.12%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-63.89%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-18.87%
GM growth 5Y3.49%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.7
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 1.21
Debt/EBITDA 0.02
Cap/Depr 88.71%
Cap/Sales 7.89%
Interest Coverage 4
Cash Conversion 100.61%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.97
Quick Ratio 1.06
Altman-Z 3.76
F-Score7
WACC7.68%
ROIC/WACC0.14
Cap/Depr(3y)85.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.03%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.73%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.07%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)131.75%
EPS 3Y-70.74%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%104.37%
EPS Next Y611.15%
EPS Next 2Y281.06%
EPS Next 3Y142.88%
EPS Next 5Y69.61%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.34%
Revenue growth 3Y-16.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.92%
Sales Q2Q%-7.2%
Revenue Next Year5.89%
Revenue Next 2Y7.47%
Revenue Next 3Y5.9%
Revenue Next 5Y4.62%
EBIT growth 1Y2260%
EBIT growth 3Y-69.77%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year5276.24%
EBIT Next 3Y316.83%
EBIT Next 5Y139.57%
FCF growth 1Y262.5%
FCF growth 3Y-60.93%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y25.9%
OCF growth 3Y-42.91%
OCF growth 5Y50.12%