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VINTAGE WINE ESTATES INC (VWE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:VWE - Nasdaq - US92747V1061 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

0.0262  -0.03 (-49.52%)

After market: 0.0141 -0.01 (-46.18%)

Fundamental Rating

1

VWE gets a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 32 industry peers in the Beverages industry. Both the profitability and financial health of VWE have multiple concerns. VWE is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

VWE had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year VWE has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years VWE reported 4 times negative net income.
In multiple years VWE reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
VWE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVWE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -50M -100M -150M

1.2 Ratios

VWE has a Return On Assets of -29.15%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: VWE underperforms 84.85% of its industry peers.
VWE's Return On Equity of -162.52% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VWE is outperformed by 87.88% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -29.15%
ROE -162.52%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-11.06%
ROA(5y)-8.49%
ROE(3y)-36.01%
ROE(5y)-25.76%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
VWE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVWE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -20 -40 -60 -80 -100

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 14.55%, VWE is doing worse than 90.91% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VWE has declined.
VWE does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 14.55%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.25%
GM growth 5YN/A
VWE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVWE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -200 -400 -600 -800 -1K

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

VWE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for VWE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
VWE has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
VWE Yearly Shares OutstandingVWE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
VWE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVWE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -1.10, we must say that VWE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
VWE's Altman-Z score of -1.10 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VWE is outperformed by 78.79% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.65 is on the high side and indicates that VWE has dependencies on debt financing.
VWE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.65. This is amonst the worse of the industry: VWE underperforms 81.82% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.65
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -1.1
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC4.12%
VWE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVWE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

VWE has a Current Ratio of 0.67. This is a bad value and indicates that VWE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
VWE's Current ratio of 0.67 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VWE is outperformed by 84.85% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.31 indicates that VWE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
VWE's Quick ratio of 0.31 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VWE is outperformed by 87.88% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.31
VWE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVWE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for VWE have decreased strongly by -139.58% in the last year.
The Revenue for VWE has decreased by -17.99% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing by 14.25% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-139.58%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-156.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.99%
Revenue growth 3Y14.25%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-34.27%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 67.94% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
VWE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 15.79% yearly.
EPS Next Y-117.95%
EPS Next 2Y-10.57%
EPS Next 3Y90.78%
EPS Next 5Y67.94%
Revenue Next Year-7.38%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.47%
Revenue Next 3Y14.13%
Revenue Next 5Y15.79%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
VWE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVWE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
VWE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVWE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1 -1 -2

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for VWE. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for VWE. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
VWE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVWE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
VWE Per share dataVWE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

VWE's earnings are expected to grow with 90.78% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-10.57%
EPS Next 3Y90.78%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

VWE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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VINTAGE WINE ESTATES INC

NASDAQ:VWE (8/1/2024, 8:00:03 PM)

After market: 0.0141 -0.01 (-46.18%)

0.0262

-0.03 (-49.52%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)07-18 2024-07-18/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners0.36%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners45.99%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap1.65M
Analysts80
Price Target1.02 (3793.13%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-16.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)-26.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)-6.67%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.35%
Min Revenue beat(4)-26.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)19.73%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.4%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.01
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.02
P/tB 0.03
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.19
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.23
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.23
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.07
OCFYN/A
SpS3.91
BVpS1.37
TBVpS1.01
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -29.15%
ROE -162.52%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 14.55%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-11.06%
ROA(5y)-8.49%
ROE(3y)-36.01%
ROE(5y)-25.76%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.25%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.51
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.65
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 42.5%
Cap/Sales 4.12%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.31
Altman-Z -1.1
F-Score2
WACC4.12%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)168.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)10.24%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-139.58%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-156.83%
EPS Next Y-117.95%
EPS Next 2Y-10.57%
EPS Next 3Y90.78%
EPS Next 5Y67.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.99%
Revenue growth 3Y14.25%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-34.27%
Revenue Next Year-7.38%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.47%
Revenue Next 3Y14.13%
Revenue Next 5Y15.79%
EBIT growth 1Y-21.73%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year111.97%
EBIT Next 3Y32.57%
EBIT Next 5Y24.1%
FCF growth 1Y-151.22%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-153.09%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A