VALVOLINE INC (VVV) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:VVV • US92047W1018
Current stock price
32.61 USD
-0.62 (-1.87%)
At close:
32.61 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This VVV fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. VVV Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year VVV was profitable.
- In the past year VVV had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years VVV has been profitable.
- Of the past 5 years VVV 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- VVV's Return On Assets of 2.54% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VVV outperforms 55.28% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of VVV (28.06%) is better than 84.55% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of VVV (6.64%) is better than 62.60% of its industry peers.
- VVV had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 11.31%. This is in line with the industry average of 13.24%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (11.31%) for VVV is well above the current ROIC(6.64%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.54% | ||
| ROE | 28.06% | ||
| ROIC | 6.64% |
ROA(3y)21.9%
ROA(5y)18.26%
ROE(3y)291.62%
ROE(5y)265.15%
ROIC(3y)11.31%
ROIC(5y)9.35%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 4.91%, VVV is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.24% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of VVV has declined.
- The Operating Margin of VVV (15.39%) is better than 93.50% of its industry peers.
- VVV's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 38.58%, VVV is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.28% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VVV has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.39% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.91% | ||
| GM | 38.58% |
OM growth 3Y6.87%
OM growth 5Y6.08%
PM growth 3Y-28.93%
PM growth 5Y-22.32%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.44%
2. VVV Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), VVV is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for VVV has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for VVV has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, VVV has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.64, we must say that VVV is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- With a Altman-Z score value of 1.64, VVV is not doing good in the industry: 63.41% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- VVV has a debt to FCF ratio of 28.80. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as VVV would need 28.80 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- VVV's Debt to FCF ratio of 28.80 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VVV outperforms 42.28% of its industry peers.
- VVV has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.31. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- VVV has a Debt to Equity ratio of 5.31. This is in the lower half of the industry: VVV underperforms 79.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.31 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 28.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.64 |
ROIC/WACC0.87
WACC7.62%
2.3 Liquidity
- VVV has a Current Ratio of 0.70. This is a bad value and indicates that VVV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of VVV (0.70) is worse than 91.06% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.57 indicates that VVV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.57, VVV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.97% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.7 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.57 |
3. VVV Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- VVV shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 1.88%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.32% on average over the past years.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.90% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 18.66% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.88%
EPS 3Y-9.48%
EPS 5Y1.32%
EPS Q2Q%15.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.9%
Revenue growth 3Y11.43%
Revenue growth 5Y18.66%
Sales Q2Q%11.47%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, VVV will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.58% on average per year.
- VVV is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.13% yearly.
EPS Next Y8.69%
EPS Next 2Y13.26%
EPS Next 3Y15.58%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year19.56%
Revenue Next 2Y14.94%
Revenue Next 3Y13.13%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. VVV Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- VVV is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.01.
- VVV's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. VVV is cheaper than 69.11% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.64, VVV is valued a bit cheaper.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.09, VVV is valued correctly.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VVV is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.36, VVV is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.01 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.09 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- VVV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
- VVV's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 71.83 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.53 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- VVV has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as VVV's earnings are expected to grow with 15.58% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.3
PEG (5Y)15.2
EPS Next 2Y13.26%
EPS Next 3Y15.58%
5. VVV Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- VVV has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.43%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.80, VVV pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- VVV's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.80.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.43% |
5.2 History
- VVV has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DP0%
EPS Next 2Y13.26%
EPS Next 3Y15.58%
VVV Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
32.61
-0.62 (-1.87%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Industry Strength37.89
Industry Growth52.8
Earnings (Last)02-04 2026-02-04/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-07 2026-05-07/bmo
Inst Owners116.97%
Inst Owner Change0.23%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change5.12%
Market Cap4.15B
Revenue(TTM)1.76B
Net Income(TTM)86.30M
Analysts79.05
Price Target42.62 (30.7%)
Short Float %11.66%
Short Ratio8.29
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.43% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.76%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.75%
Max EPS beat(2)12.27%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.04%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.75%
Max EPS beat(4)12.27%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.07%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)0.92%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.44%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.64%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.66%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-12.55%
PT rev (1m)-0.56%
PT rev (3m)6.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.25%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.08%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.97%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.38%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.01 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.09 | ||
| P/S | 2.36 | ||
| P/FCF | 71.83 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.94 | ||
| P/B | 13.5 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.53 |
EPS(TTM)1.63
EY5%
EPS(NY)2.03
Fwd EY6.22%
FCF(TTM)0.45
FCFY1.39%
OCF(TTM)2.52
OCFY7.73%
SpS13.81
BVpS2.42
TBVpS-7.83
PEG (NY)2.3
PEG (5Y)15.2
Graham Number9.41304 (-71.13%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.54% | ||
| ROE | 28.06% | ||
| ROCE | 8.91% | ||
| ROIC | 6.64% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.8% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.13% | ||
| OM | 15.39% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.91% | ||
| GM | 38.58% | ||
| FCFM | 3.29% |
ROA(3y)21.9%
ROA(5y)18.26%
ROE(3y)291.62%
ROE(5y)265.15%
ROIC(3y)11.31%
ROIC(5y)9.35%
ROICexc(3y)12.73%
ROICexc(5y)10.28%
ROICexgc(3y)19.68%
ROICexgc(5y)15.39%
ROCE(3y)15.17%
ROCE(5y)12.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y25.94%
ROICexgc growth 5Y22.17%
ROICexc growth 3Y22.53%
ROICexc growth 5Y20.78%
OM growth 3Y6.87%
OM growth 5Y6.08%
PM growth 3Y-28.93%
PM growth 5Y-22.32%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.44%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.31 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 28.8 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.13 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 210.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 14.96% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 81.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | 66.98% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.7 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.57 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.64 |
F-Score6
WACC7.62%
ROIC/WACC0.87
Cap/Depr(3y)210.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)194.73%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.88%
EPS 3Y-9.48%
EPS 5Y1.32%
EPS Q2Q%15.62%
EPS Next Y8.69%
EPS Next 2Y13.26%
EPS Next 3Y15.58%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.9%
Revenue growth 3Y11.43%
Revenue growth 5Y18.66%
Sales Q2Q%11.47%
Revenue Next Year19.56%
Revenue Next 2Y14.94%
Revenue Next 3Y13.13%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-16.35%
EBIT growth 3Y19.09%
EBIT growth 5Y25.88%
EBIT Next Year53.62%
EBIT Next 3Y24.16%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y129.63%
FCF growth 3Y-37.03%
FCF growth 5Y-29.68%
OCF growth 1Y2729.51%
OCF growth 3Y1.5%
OCF growth 5Y-4.39%
VALVOLINE INC / VVV Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for VALVOLINE INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to VVV.
What is the valuation status of VALVOLINE INC (VVV) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to VALVOLINE INC (VVV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of VVV stock?
VALVOLINE INC (VVV) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for VVV stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for VALVOLINE INC (VVV) is 20.01 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 13.5.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for VVV stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VALVOLINE INC (VVV) is expected to grow by 8.69% in the next year.