VALVOLINE INC (VVV) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:VVV • US92047W1018

Current stock price

33.42 USD
-1.23 (-3.55%)
At close:
33.42 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This VVV fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. VVV Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year VVV was profitable.
  • VVV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years VVV has been profitable.
  • VVV had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
VVV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVVV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.54%, VVV is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VVV has a Return On Equity of 28.06%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VVV outperforms 86.18% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.64%, VVV is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.04% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for VVV is in line with the industry average of 13.16%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (11.31%) for VVV is well above the current ROIC(6.64%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.54%
ROE 28.06%
ROIC 6.64%
ROA(3y)21.9%
ROA(5y)18.26%
ROE(3y)291.62%
ROE(5y)265.15%
ROIC(3y)11.31%
ROIC(5y)9.35%
VVV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVVV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200 -200 400 -400 600

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of VVV (4.91%) is better than 76.42% of its industry peers.
  • VVV's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • VVV's Operating Margin of 15.39% is amongst the best of the industry. VVV outperforms 93.50% of its industry peers.
  • VVV's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • VVV's Gross Margin of 38.58% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VVV outperforms 56.91% of its industry peers.
  • VVV's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.39%
PM (TTM) 4.91%
GM 38.58%
OM growth 3Y6.87%
OM growth 5Y6.08%
PM growth 3Y-28.93%
PM growth 5Y-22.32%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.44%
VVV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVVV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80

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3

2. VVV Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • VVV has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, VVV has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, VVV has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for VVV has been reduced compared to a year ago.
VVV Yearly Shares OutstandingVVV Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
VVV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVVV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.70, we must say that VVV is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • VVV has a Altman-Z score (1.70) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of VVV is 28.80, which is on the high side as it means it would take VVV, 28.80 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of VVV (28.80) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.31 is on the high side and indicates that VVV has dependencies on debt financing.
  • VVV has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (5.31) than 77.24% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.31
Debt/FCF 28.8
Altman-Z 1.7
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC7.69%
VVV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVVV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • VVV has a Current Ratio of 0.70. This is a bad value and indicates that VVV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • VVV's Current ratio of 0.70 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VVV is outperformed by 87.80% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.57 indicates that VVV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.57, VVV is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.59% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.7
Quick Ratio 0.57
VVV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVVV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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6

3. VVV Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.88% over the past year.
  • VVV shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 1.32% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, VVV shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.90% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, VVV shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.66% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.88%
EPS 3Y-9.48%
EPS 5Y1.32%
EPS Q2Q%15.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.9%
Revenue growth 3Y11.43%
Revenue growth 5Y18.66%
Sales Q2Q%11.47%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, VVV will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.58% on average per year.
  • VVV is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.07% yearly.
EPS Next Y8.6%
EPS Next 2Y13.26%
EPS Next 3Y15.58%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year19.5%
Revenue Next 2Y14.94%
Revenue Next 3Y13.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
VVV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVVV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
VVV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVVV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5 2

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4

4. VVV Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 20.50, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of VVV.
  • 67.48% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VVV, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of VVV to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.88), we can say VVV is valued inline with the index average.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 16.49, which indicates a correct valuation of VVV.
  • VVV's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. VVV is cheaper than 65.85% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VVV to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.19), we can say VVV is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.5
Fwd PE 16.49
VVV Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVVV Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • VVV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as VVV.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 73.62
EV/EBITDA 15.19
VVV Per share dataVVV EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates VVV does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The decent profitability rating of VVV may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • VVV's earnings are expected to grow with 15.58% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.38
PEG (5Y)15.58
EPS Next 2Y13.26%
EPS Next 3Y15.58%

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3

5. VVV Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.43%, VVV has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • VVV's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.76.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, VVV is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.43%

5.2 History

  • VVV has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
VVV Yearly Dividends per shareVVV Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y13.26%
EPS Next 3Y15.58%
VVV Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendVVV Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B

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VVV Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

VALVOLINE INC

NYSE:VVV (3/27/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 33.42 0 (0%)

33.42

-1.23 (-3.55%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners117.34%
Inst Owner Change2.07%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change4.91%
Market Cap4.26B
Revenue(TTM)1.76B
Net Income(TTM)86.30M
Analysts79.05
Price Target42.86 (28.25%)
Short Float %9.35%
Short Ratio5.86
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.43%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.76%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.75%
Max EPS beat(2)12.27%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.04%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.75%
Max EPS beat(4)12.27%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.07%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)0.92%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.44%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.64%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.66%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-12.55%
PT rev (1m)7.01%
PT rev (3m)6.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.63%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.36%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.03%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.5
Fwd PE 16.49
P/S 2.42
P/FCF 73.62
P/OCF 13.26
P/B 13.83
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 15.19
EPS(TTM)1.63
EY4.88%
EPS(NY)2.03
Fwd EY6.06%
FCF(TTM)0.45
FCFY1.36%
OCF(TTM)2.52
OCFY7.54%
SpS13.81
BVpS2.42
TBVpS-7.83
PEG (NY)2.38
PEG (5Y)15.58
Graham Number9.41
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.54%
ROE 28.06%
ROCE 8.91%
ROIC 6.64%
ROICexc 6.8%
ROICexgc 12.13%
OM 15.39%
PM (TTM) 4.91%
GM 38.58%
FCFM 3.29%
ROA(3y)21.9%
ROA(5y)18.26%
ROE(3y)291.62%
ROE(5y)265.15%
ROIC(3y)11.31%
ROIC(5y)9.35%
ROICexc(3y)12.73%
ROICexc(5y)10.28%
ROICexgc(3y)19.68%
ROICexgc(5y)15.39%
ROCE(3y)15.17%
ROCE(5y)12.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y25.94%
ROICexgc growth 5Y22.17%
ROICexc growth 3Y22.53%
ROICexc growth 5Y20.78%
OM growth 3Y6.87%
OM growth 5Y6.08%
PM growth 3Y-28.93%
PM growth 5Y-22.32%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.44%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.31
Debt/FCF 28.8
Debt/EBITDA 4.13
Cap/Depr 210.57%
Cap/Sales 14.96%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 81.11%
Profit Quality 66.98%
Current Ratio 0.7
Quick Ratio 0.57
Altman-Z 1.7
F-Score6
WACC7.69%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)210.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)194.73%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.88%
EPS 3Y-9.48%
EPS 5Y1.32%
EPS Q2Q%15.62%
EPS Next Y8.6%
EPS Next 2Y13.26%
EPS Next 3Y15.58%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.9%
Revenue growth 3Y11.43%
Revenue growth 5Y18.66%
Sales Q2Q%11.47%
Revenue Next Year19.5%
Revenue Next 2Y14.94%
Revenue Next 3Y13.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-16.35%
EBIT growth 3Y19.09%
EBIT growth 5Y25.88%
EBIT Next Year53.47%
EBIT Next 3Y24.86%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y129.63%
FCF growth 3Y-37.03%
FCF growth 5Y-29.68%
OCF growth 1Y2729.51%
OCF growth 3Y1.5%
OCF growth 5Y-4.39%

VALVOLINE INC / VVV Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for VALVOLINE INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to VVV.


What is the valuation status of VALVOLINE INC (VVV) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to VALVOLINE INC (VVV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for VALVOLINE INC?

VALVOLINE INC (VVV) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for VALVOLINE INC (VVV) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VALVOLINE INC (VVV) is expected to grow by 8.6% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for VVV stock?

The dividend rating of VALVOLINE INC (VVV) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.