VALVOLINE INC (VVV) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:VVVUS92047W1018

Current stock price

32.61 USD
-0.62 (-1.87%)
At close:
32.61 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This VVV fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. VVV Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year VVV was profitable.
  • VVV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • VVV had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years VVV 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
VVV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVVV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of VVV (2.54%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Return On Equity of VVV (28.06%) is better than 84.55% of its industry peers.
  • VVV's Return On Invested Capital of 6.64% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VVV outperforms 62.60% of its industry peers.
  • VVV had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 11.31%. This is in line with the industry average of 13.24%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (11.31%) for VVV is well above the current ROIC(6.64%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.54%
ROE 28.06%
ROIC 6.64%
ROA(3y)21.9%
ROA(5y)18.26%
ROE(3y)291.62%
ROE(5y)265.15%
ROIC(3y)11.31%
ROIC(5y)9.35%
VVV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVVV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200 -200 400 -400 600

1.3 Margins

  • VVV's Profit Margin of 4.91% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VVV outperforms 77.24% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of VVV has declined.
  • VVV's Operating Margin of 15.39% is amongst the best of the industry. VVV outperforms 93.50% of its industry peers.
  • VVV's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 38.58%, VVV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.28% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VVV's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.39%
PM (TTM) 4.91%
GM 38.58%
OM growth 3Y6.87%
OM growth 5Y6.08%
PM growth 3Y-28.93%
PM growth 5Y-22.32%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.44%
VVV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVVV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80

2

2. VVV Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VVV is still creating some value.
  • VVV has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • VVV has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • VVV has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
VVV Yearly Shares OutstandingVVV Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
VVV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVVV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.66, we must say that VVV is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • VVV has a Altman-Z score of 1.66. This is in the lower half of the industry: VVV underperforms 62.60% of its industry peers.
  • VVV has a debt to FCF ratio of 28.80. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as VVV would need 28.80 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 28.80, VVV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.28% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VVV has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.31. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • VVV has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (5.31) than 79.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.31
Debt/FCF 28.8
Altman-Z 1.66
ROIC/WACC0.87
WACC7.64%
VVV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVVV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • VVV has a Current Ratio of 0.70. This is a bad value and indicates that VVV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • VVV has a worse Current ratio (0.70) than 91.06% of its industry peers.
  • VVV has a Quick Ratio of 0.70. This is a bad value and indicates that VVV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of VVV (0.57) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.7
Quick Ratio 0.57
VVV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVVV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

6

3. VVV Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.88% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.32% on average over the past years.
  • VVV shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.90%.
  • Measured over the past years, VVV shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.66% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.88%
EPS 3Y-9.48%
EPS 5Y1.32%
EPS Q2Q%15.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.9%
Revenue growth 3Y11.43%
Revenue growth 5Y18.66%
Sales Q2Q%11.47%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, VVV will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.58% on average per year.
  • VVV is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.13% yearly.
EPS Next Y8.69%
EPS Next 2Y13.26%
EPS Next 3Y15.58%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year19.56%
Revenue Next 2Y14.94%
Revenue Next 3Y13.13%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
VVV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVVV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
VVV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVVV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5 2

4

4. VVV Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • VVV is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.01.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of VVV indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: VVV is cheaper than 68.29% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.64. VVV is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • VVV is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.09.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VVV is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VVV to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.36), we can say VVV is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.01
Fwd PE 16.09
VVV Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVVV Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of VVV is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • VVV's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 71.83
EV/EBITDA 14.73
VVV Per share dataVVV EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of VVV may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • VVV's earnings are expected to grow with 15.58% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.3
PEG (5Y)15.2
EPS Next 2Y13.26%
EPS Next 3Y15.58%

3

5. VVV Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.43%, VVV has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • VVV's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.82.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, VVV is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.43%

5.2 History

  • VVV has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
VVV Yearly Dividends per shareVVV Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y13.26%
EPS Next 3Y15.58%
VVV Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendVVV Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B

VVV Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

VALVOLINE INC

NYSE:VVV (5/1/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 32.61 0 (0%)

32.61

-0.62 (-1.87%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Industry Strength37.27
Industry Growth54.04
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners116.97%
Inst Owner Change0.34%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change5.12%
Market Cap4.15B
Revenue(TTM)1.76B
Net Income(TTM)86.30M
Analysts79.05
Price Target42.62 (30.7%)
Short Float %11.66%
Short Ratio8.29
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.43%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.76%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.75%
Max EPS beat(2)12.27%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.04%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.75%
Max EPS beat(4)12.27%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.07%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)0.92%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.44%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.64%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.66%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-12.55%
PT rev (1m)-0.24%
PT rev (3m)6.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.25%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.08%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.97%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.38%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.01
Fwd PE 16.09
P/S 2.36
P/FCF 71.83
P/OCF 12.94
P/B 13.5
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.73
EPS(TTM)1.63
EY5%
EPS(NY)2.03
Fwd EY6.22%
FCF(TTM)0.45
FCFY1.39%
OCF(TTM)2.52
OCFY7.73%
SpS13.81
BVpS2.42
TBVpS-7.83
PEG (NY)2.3
PEG (5Y)15.2
Graham Number9.41304 (-71.13%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.54%
ROE 28.06%
ROCE 8.91%
ROIC 6.64%
ROICexc 6.8%
ROICexgc 12.13%
OM 15.39%
PM (TTM) 4.91%
GM 38.58%
FCFM 3.29%
ROA(3y)21.9%
ROA(5y)18.26%
ROE(3y)291.62%
ROE(5y)265.15%
ROIC(3y)11.31%
ROIC(5y)9.35%
ROICexc(3y)12.73%
ROICexc(5y)10.28%
ROICexgc(3y)19.68%
ROICexgc(5y)15.39%
ROCE(3y)15.17%
ROCE(5y)12.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y25.94%
ROICexgc growth 5Y22.17%
ROICexc growth 3Y22.53%
ROICexc growth 5Y20.78%
OM growth 3Y6.87%
OM growth 5Y6.08%
PM growth 3Y-28.93%
PM growth 5Y-22.32%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.44%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.31
Debt/FCF 28.8
Debt/EBITDA 4.13
Cap/Depr 210.57%
Cap/Sales 14.96%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 81.11%
Profit Quality 66.98%
Current Ratio 0.7
Quick Ratio 0.57
Altman-Z 1.66
F-Score6
WACC7.64%
ROIC/WACC0.87
Cap/Depr(3y)210.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)194.73%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.88%
EPS 3Y-9.48%
EPS 5Y1.32%
EPS Q2Q%15.62%
EPS Next Y8.69%
EPS Next 2Y13.26%
EPS Next 3Y15.58%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.9%
Revenue growth 3Y11.43%
Revenue growth 5Y18.66%
Sales Q2Q%11.47%
Revenue Next Year19.56%
Revenue Next 2Y14.94%
Revenue Next 3Y13.13%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-16.35%
EBIT growth 3Y19.09%
EBIT growth 5Y25.88%
EBIT Next Year53.62%
EBIT Next 3Y24.16%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y129.63%
FCF growth 3Y-37.03%
FCF growth 5Y-29.68%
OCF growth 1Y2729.51%
OCF growth 3Y1.5%
OCF growth 5Y-4.39%

VALVOLINE INC / VVV Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for VALVOLINE INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to VVV.


What is the valuation status of VALVOLINE INC (VVV) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to VALVOLINE INC (VVV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of VVV stock?

VALVOLINE INC (VVV) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for VVV stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for VALVOLINE INC (VVV) is 20.01 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 13.5.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for VVV stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VALVOLINE INC (VVV) is expected to grow by 8.69% in the next year.