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VENTAS INC (VTR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:VTR - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US92276F1003 - REIT - Currency: USD

59.43  -0.33 (-0.55%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, VTR scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. VTR was compared to 129 industry peers in the Diversified REITs industry. VTR may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. While showing a medium growth rate, VTR is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

VTR had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year VTR had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: VTR reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years VTR had a positive operating cash flow.
VTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of VTR (-0.26%) is worse than 64.29% of its industry peers.
VTR has a worse Return On Equity (-0.66%) than 62.70% of its industry peers.
VTR has a Return On Invested Capital (2.36%) which is in line with its industry peers.
VTR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.12%. This is in line with the industry average of 3.11%.
The 3 year average ROIC (2.12%) for VTR is below the current ROIC(2.36%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.26%
ROE -0.66%
ROIC 2.36%
ROA(3y)-0.05%
ROA(5y)0.68%
ROE(3y)-0.14%
ROE(5y)1.56%
ROIC(3y)2.12%
ROIC(5y)2.48%
VTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

The Operating Margin of VTR (14.80%) is worse than 67.46% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VTR has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 42.61%, VTR is doing worse than 84.92% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VTR has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14.8%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 42.61%
OM growth 3Y-11.98%
OM growth 5Y-13.43%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.15%
GM growth 5Y-4.73%
VTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20 30 40 50

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), VTR is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for VTR has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for VTR has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, VTR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
VTR Yearly Shares OutstandingVTR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M
VTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.87, we must say that VTR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 0.87, VTR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.46% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of VTR is 24.48, which is on the high side as it means it would take VTR, 24.48 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
VTR has a better Debt to FCF ratio (24.48) than 70.63% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.35 is on the high side and indicates that VTR has dependencies on debt financing.
VTR has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.35) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.35
Debt/FCF 24.48
Altman-Z 0.87
ROIC/WACC0.33
WACC7.17%
VTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

VTR has a Current Ratio of 0.72. This is a bad value and indicates that VTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of VTR (0.72) is worse than 73.81% of its industry peers.
VTR has a Quick Ratio of 0.72. This is a bad value and indicates that VTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.72, VTR is not doing good in the industry: 69.84% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.72
Quick Ratio 0.72
VTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for VTR have decreased strongly by -128.57% in the last year.
The Revenue has grown by 9.50% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.73% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-128.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%127.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.5%
Revenue growth 3Y5.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.73%
Sales Q2Q%7.52%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, VTR will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 55.43% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, VTR will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 9.12% on average per year.
EPS Next Y147.84%
EPS Next 2Y97.56%
EPS Next 3Y68.64%
EPS Next 5Y55.43%
Revenue Next Year9.12%
Revenue Next 2Y8.92%
Revenue Next 3Y8.51%
Revenue Next 5Y9.12%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
VTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2B 4B 6B
VTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 1 2 3

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

VTR reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
VTR is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 164.36.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as VTR.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 94.48, VTR is valued quite expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 164.36
VTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 100 -100 -200 -300

4.2 Price Multiples

76.19% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than VTR, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as VTR.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 44.64
EV/EBITDA 18
VTR Per share dataVTR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

VTR's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
VTR's earnings are expected to grow with 68.64% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y97.56%
EPS Next 3Y68.64%

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3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

VTR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.97%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 18.77, VTR's dividend is way lower than its industry peers. On top of this 80.95% of the companies listed in the same industry pay a better dividend than VTR!
VTR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.30.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.97%

5.2 History

The dividend of VTR decreases each year by -10.61%.
VTR has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.61%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
VTR Yearly Dividends per shareVTR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

VTR has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-1101.78%
EPS Next 2Y97.56%
EPS Next 3Y68.64%
VTR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendVTR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B

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VENTAS INC

NYSE:VTR (2/11/2025, 1:41:07 PM)

59.43

-0.33 (-0.55%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)10-30 2024-10-30/amc
Earnings (Next)02-12 2025-02-12/amc
Inst Owners96.45%
Inst Owner Change-10.94%
Ins Owners0.5%
Ins Owner Change2.29%
Market Cap24.93B
Analysts81.67
Price Target73.1 (23%)
Short Float %2.87%
Short Ratio4.43
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.97%
Yearly Dividend1.8
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.61%
DP-1101.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)211.2%
Min EPS beat(2)170.08%
Max EPS beat(2)252.32%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)113.47%
Min EPS beat(4)-59.4%
Max EPS beat(4)252.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-1091.59%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-772.79%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-549.29%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.21%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.42%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.84%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.42%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.21%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.87%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.36%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.61%
PT rev (1m)0.94%
PT rev (3m)7.25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)75%
EPS NQ rev (3m)200%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.65%
EPS NY rev (3m)1000%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.92%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.41%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.57%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 164.36
P/S 5.19
P/FCF 44.64
P/OCF 20.19
P/B 2.47
P/tB 2.76
EV/EBITDA 18
EPS(TTM)-0.16
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.36
Fwd EY0.61%
FCF(TTM)1.33
FCFY2.24%
OCF(TTM)2.94
OCFY4.95%
SpS11.45
BVpS24.05
TBVpS21.54
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.26%
ROE -0.66%
ROCE 2.99%
ROIC 2.36%
ROICexc 2.47%
ROICexgc 2.63%
OM 14.8%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 42.61%
FCFM 11.63%
ROA(3y)-0.05%
ROA(5y)0.68%
ROE(3y)-0.14%
ROE(5y)1.56%
ROIC(3y)2.12%
ROIC(5y)2.48%
ROICexc(3y)2.14%
ROICexc(5y)2.51%
ROICexgc(3y)2.28%
ROICexgc(5y)2.67%
ROCE(3y)2.68%
ROCE(5y)3.14%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-8.06%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-11.46%
ROICexc growth 3Y-7.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.44%
OM growth 3Y-11.98%
OM growth 5Y-13.43%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.15%
GM growth 5Y-4.73%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.19
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.35
Debt/FCF 24.48
Debt/EBITDA 6.51
Cap/Depr 49.04%
Cap/Sales 14.09%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 59.08%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.72
Quick Ratio 0.72
Altman-Z 0.87
F-Score4
WACC7.17%
ROIC/WACC0.33
Cap/Depr(3y)40.08%
Cap/Depr(5y)44.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)13%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-128.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%127.78%
EPS Next Y147.84%
EPS Next 2Y97.56%
EPS Next 3Y68.64%
EPS Next 5Y55.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.5%
Revenue growth 3Y5.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.73%
Sales Q2Q%7.52%
Revenue Next Year9.12%
Revenue Next 2Y8.92%
Revenue Next 3Y8.51%
Revenue Next 5Y9.12%
EBIT growth 1Y14.85%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.86%
EBIT growth 5Y-10.2%
EBIT Next Year290.86%
EBIT Next 3Y67.43%
EBIT Next 5Y39.61%
FCF growth 1Y-23.28%
FCF growth 3Y-19.72%
FCF growth 5Y-12.29%
OCF growth 1Y10.4%
OCF growth 3Y-8.26%
OCF growth 5Y-4.11%