Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:VSTO - US9283771007 - Common Stock
44.63 USD
+0.24 (+0.54%)
44.63 USD
0 (0%)
Overall VSTO gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated VSTO against 31 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. While VSTO has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. VSTO is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination! These ratings could make VSTO a good candidate for value investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
VSTO had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year VSTO had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years VSTO reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
VSTO had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
VSTO has a Return On Assets of -0.39%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VSTO outperforms 54.84% of its industry peers.
VSTO's Return On Equity of -0.74% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VSTO outperforms 54.84% of its industry peers.
VSTO's Return On Invested Capital of 9.38% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VSTO outperforms 77.42% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for VSTO is significantly above the industry average of 7.16%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (9.38%) for VSTO is well below the 3 year average (17.20%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that VSTO had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.39% | ||
| ROE | -0.74% | ||
| ROIC | 9.38% |
ROA(3y)6.39%
ROA(5y)4.62%
ROE(3y)13.58%
ROE(5y)8.36%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)13.87%
1.3 Margins
VSTO has a Operating Margin of 8.75%. This is in the better half of the industry: VSTO outperforms 77.42% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VSTO has grown nicely.
VSTO has a Gross Margin (31.49%) which is in line with its industry peers.
VSTO's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.75% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 31.49% |
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y80.05%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y9.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VSTO is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, VSTO has more shares outstanding
VSTO has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
VSTO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
VSTO has an Altman-Z score of 3.15. This indicates that VSTO is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 3.15, VSTO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.52% of the companies in the same industry.
VSTO has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.70. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.70 years to pay back of all of its debts.
VSTO's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.70 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VSTO outperforms 74.19% of its industry peers.
VSTO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
VSTO has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.48. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VSTO outperforms 41.94% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.7 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.15 |
ROIC/WACC1.15
WACC8.19%
2.3 Liquidity
VSTO has a Current Ratio of 2.90. This indicates that VSTO is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
VSTO's Current ratio of 2.90 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VSTO outperforms 64.52% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.26 indicates that VSTO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
VSTO has a Quick ratio (1.26) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.26 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for VSTO have decreased strongly by -13.45% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, VSTO shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 91.86% on average per year.
VSTO shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.27%.
Measured over the past years, VSTO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.93% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.45%
EPS 3Y2.14%
EPS 5Y91.86%
EPS Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.27%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y5.93%
Sales Q2Q%-1.61%
3.2 Future
VSTO is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 11.99% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, VSTO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.38% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y0.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 11.56, the valuation of VSTO can be described as reasonable.
93.55% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VSTO, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
VSTO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.61.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 9.06, which indicates a very decent valuation of VSTO.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VSTO indicates a rather cheap valuation: VSTO is cheaper than 87.10% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.01. VSTO is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.06 |
4.2 Price Multiples
77.42% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VSTO, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, VSTO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.55% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.53 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.54 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
VSTO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)0.13
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
VSTO does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
44.63
+0.24 (+0.54%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.38%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.74%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.61B
Revenue(TTM)2.69B
Net Income(TTM)-9.11M
Analysts73.33
Price Target43.67 (-2.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.79%
Min EPS beat(2)3.5%
Max EPS beat(2)6.07%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.41%
Max EPS beat(4)6.1%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.25%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.65%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)19.37%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.06%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.06%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.73%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.11%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.98%
PT rev (1m)0.71%
PT rev (3m)2.32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.14%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.06 | ||
| P/S | 0.97 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.53 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.97 | ||
| P/B | 2.12 | ||
| P/tB | 8.34 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.54 |
EPS(TTM)3.86
EY8.65%
EPS(NY)4.93
Fwd EY11.04%
FCF(TTM)5.93
FCFY13.29%
OCF(TTM)6.4
OCFY14.34%
SpS45.97
BVpS21.08
TBVpS5.35
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)0.13
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.39% | ||
| ROE | -0.74% | ||
| ROCE | 11.87% | ||
| ROIC | 9.38% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.56% | ||
| ROICexgc | 18.13% | ||
| OM | 8.75% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 31.49% | ||
| FCFM | 12.9% |
ROA(3y)6.39%
ROA(5y)4.62%
ROE(3y)13.58%
ROE(5y)8.36%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)13.87%
ROICexc(3y)17.6%
ROICexc(5y)14.78%
ROICexgc(3y)34.86%
ROICexgc(5y)27.4%
ROCE(3y)21.77%
ROCE(5y)17.56%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.25%
ROICexgc growth 5Y83.53%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16%
ROICexc growth 5Y78.35%
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y80.05%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y9.15%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.14
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.7 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.77 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 28.55% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 112.92% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.15 |
F-Score6
WACC8.19%
ROIC/WACC1.15
Cap/Depr(3y)44.03%
Cap/Depr(5y)42.7%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.45%
EPS 3Y2.14%
EPS 5Y91.86%
EPS Q2Q%7.29%
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.27%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y5.93%
Sales Q2Q%-1.61%
Revenue Next Year-1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y0.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-28.88%
EBIT growth 3Y0.26%
EBIT growth 5Y90.73%
EBIT Next Year31.39%
EBIT Next 3Y16.84%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-5.09%
FCF growth 3Y5.52%
FCF growth 5Y46.28%
OCF growth 1Y-8.01%
OCF growth 3Y5.09%
OCF growth 5Y32.68%
Vista Outdoor Inc / VSTO FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for VSTO stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to VSTO.
Can you provide the valuation status for Vista Outdoor Inc?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for Vista Outdoor Inc?
Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for VSTO stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) is expected to grow by 11.68% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) stock?
The dividend rating of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.