Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:VSTO • US9283771007

Current stock price

44.63 USD
+0.24 (+0.54%)
At close:
44.63 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This VSTO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. VSTO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • VSTO had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year VSTO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years VSTO reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years VSTO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
VSTO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVSTO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M -600M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -0.39%, VSTO is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VSTO's Return On Equity of -0.74% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VSTO outperforms 54.84% of its industry peers.
  • VSTO's Return On Invested Capital of 9.38% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VSTO outperforms 77.42% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for VSTO is significantly above the industry average of 7.45%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (17.20%) for VSTO is well above the current ROIC(9.38%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.39%
ROE -0.74%
ROIC 9.38%
ROA(3y)6.39%
ROA(5y)4.62%
ROE(3y)13.58%
ROE(5y)8.36%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)13.87%
VSTO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVSTO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

  • VSTO has a Operating Margin of 8.75%. This is in the better half of the industry: VSTO outperforms 77.42% of its industry peers.
  • VSTO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • VSTO has a Gross Margin (31.49%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VSTO has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.75%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 31.49%
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y80.05%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y9.15%
VSTO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVSTO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

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7

2. VSTO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • VSTO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for VSTO has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, VSTO has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for VSTO has been reduced compared to a year ago.
VSTO Yearly Shares OutstandingVSTO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
VSTO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVSTO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.15 indicates that VSTO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.15, VSTO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.52% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of VSTO is 1.70, which is an excellent value as it means it would take VSTO, only 1.70 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.70, VSTO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.19% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VSTO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • VSTO has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.48) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 1.7
Altman-Z 3.15
ROIC/WACC1.15
WACC8.19%
VSTO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVSTO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.90 indicates that VSTO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • VSTO has a Current ratio of 2.90. This is in the better half of the industry: VSTO outperforms 64.52% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.26 indicates that VSTO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.26, VSTO is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.16% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.9
Quick Ratio 1.26
VSTO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVSTO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. VSTO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for VSTO have decreased strongly by -13.45% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, VSTO shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 91.86% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -6.27% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, VSTO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.93% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.45%
EPS 3Y2.14%
EPS 5Y91.86%
EPS Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.27%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y5.93%
Sales Q2Q%-1.61%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.99% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • VSTO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.38% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y0.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
VSTO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVSTO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B
VSTO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVSTO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6 8

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8

4. VSTO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.56 indicates a reasonable valuation of VSTO.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of VSTO indicates a rather cheap valuation: VSTO is cheaper than 93.55% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.54, VSTO is valued rather cheaply.
  • VSTO is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.06.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VSTO is valued cheaper than 87.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VSTO is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.56
Fwd PE 9.06
VSTO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVSTO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 77.42% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VSTO, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of VSTO indicates a rather cheap valuation: VSTO is cheaper than 93.55% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.53
EV/EBITDA 9.54
VSTO Per share dataVSTO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of VSTO may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)0.13
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. VSTO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • VSTO does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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VSTO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Vista Outdoor Inc

NYSE:VSTO (11/26/2024, 7:08:32 PM)

After market: 44.63 0 (0%)

44.63

+0.24 (+0.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)11-06
Earnings (Next)01-29
Inst Owners90.38%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.74%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.61B
Revenue(TTM)2.69B
Net Income(TTM)-9.11M
Analysts73.33
Price Target43.67 (-2.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.79%
Min EPS beat(2)3.5%
Max EPS beat(2)6.07%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.41%
Max EPS beat(4)6.1%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.25%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.65%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)19.37%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.06%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.06%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.73%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.11%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.98%
PT rev (1m)0.71%
PT rev (3m)2.32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.14%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.56
Fwd PE 9.06
P/S 0.97
P/FCF 7.53
P/OCF 6.97
P/B 2.12
P/tB 8.34
EV/EBITDA 9.54
EPS(TTM)3.86
EY8.65%
EPS(NY)4.93
Fwd EY11.04%
FCF(TTM)5.93
FCFY13.29%
OCF(TTM)6.4
OCFY14.34%
SpS45.97
BVpS21.08
TBVpS5.35
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)0.13
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.39%
ROE -0.74%
ROCE 11.87%
ROIC 9.38%
ROICexc 9.56%
ROICexgc 18.13%
OM 8.75%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 31.49%
FCFM 12.9%
ROA(3y)6.39%
ROA(5y)4.62%
ROE(3y)13.58%
ROE(5y)8.36%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)13.87%
ROICexc(3y)17.6%
ROICexc(5y)14.78%
ROICexgc(3y)34.86%
ROICexgc(5y)27.4%
ROCE(3y)21.77%
ROCE(5y)17.56%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.25%
ROICexgc growth 5Y83.53%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16%
ROICexc growth 5Y78.35%
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y80.05%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y9.15%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.14
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 1.7
Debt/EBITDA 1.77
Cap/Depr 28.55%
Cap/Sales 1.02%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 112.92%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.9
Quick Ratio 1.26
Altman-Z 3.15
F-Score6
WACC8.19%
ROIC/WACC1.15
Cap/Depr(3y)44.03%
Cap/Depr(5y)42.7%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.45%
EPS 3Y2.14%
EPS 5Y91.86%
EPS Q2Q%7.29%
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.27%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y5.93%
Sales Q2Q%-1.61%
Revenue Next Year-1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y0.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-28.88%
EBIT growth 3Y0.26%
EBIT growth 5Y90.73%
EBIT Next Year31.39%
EBIT Next 3Y16.84%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-5.09%
FCF growth 3Y5.52%
FCF growth 5Y46.28%
OCF growth 1Y-8.01%
OCF growth 3Y5.09%
OCF growth 5Y32.68%

Vista Outdoor Inc / VSTO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for VSTO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to VSTO.


What is the valuation status of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for Vista Outdoor Inc?

Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is Vista Outdoor Inc?

The financial health rating of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) is 7 / 10.


Is the dividend of Vista Outdoor Inc sustainable?

The dividend rating of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.