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Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:VSTO - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US9283771007 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

44.63  +0.24 (+0.54%)

After market: 44.63 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

6

We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to VSTO. VSTO was compared to 30 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. VSTO is in great health and has no worries on liquidiy or solvency at all, but the profibility rating is only average. VSTO is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination! These ratings could make VSTO a good candidate for value investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

VSTO had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year VSTO had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years VSTO reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years VSTO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
VSTO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVSTO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M -600M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of VSTO (-0.39%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
VSTO has a Return On Equity (-0.74%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 9.38%, VSTO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.42% of the companies in the same industry.
VSTO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 17.20%. This is significantly above the industry average of 8.27%.
The 3 year average ROIC (17.20%) for VSTO is well above the current ROIC(9.38%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.39%
ROE -0.74%
ROIC 9.38%
ROA(3y)6.39%
ROA(5y)4.62%
ROE(3y)13.58%
ROE(5y)8.36%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)13.87%
VSTO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVSTO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

VSTO's Operating Margin of 8.75% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VSTO outperforms 77.42% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VSTO has grown nicely.
VSTO has a Gross Margin (31.49%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VSTO has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.75%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 31.49%
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y80.05%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y9.15%
VSTO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVSTO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

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7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VSTO is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for VSTO has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for VSTO has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for VSTO has been reduced compared to a year ago.
VSTO Yearly Shares OutstandingVSTO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
VSTO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVSTO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 3.15 indicates that VSTO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
VSTO has a better Altman-Z score (3.15) than 64.52% of its industry peers.
VSTO has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.70. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.70 years to pay back of all of its debts.
VSTO's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.70 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VSTO outperforms 74.19% of its industry peers.
VSTO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
VSTO has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.48) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 1.7
Altman-Z 3.15
ROIC/WACC1.15
WACC8.19%
VSTO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVSTO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.90 indicates that VSTO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 2.90, VSTO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.52% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.26 indicates that VSTO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of VSTO (1.26) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.9
Quick Ratio 1.26
VSTO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVSTO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for VSTO have decreased strongly by -13.45% in the last year.
VSTO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 91.86% yearly.
VSTO shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.27%.
VSTO shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.93% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.45%
EPS 3Y2.14%
EPS 5Y91.86%
EPS Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.27%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y5.93%
Sales Q2Q%-1.61%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, VSTO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.99% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.38% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y0.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
VSTO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVSTO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B
VSTO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVSTO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6 8

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8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.56 indicates a reasonable valuation of VSTO.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, VSTO is valued cheaper than 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
VSTO is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 30.30, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.06 indicates a reasonable valuation of VSTO.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VSTO indicates a rather cheap valuation: VSTO is cheaper than 87.10% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.06, VSTO is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.56
Fwd PE 9.06
VSTO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVSTO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, VSTO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.42% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, VSTO is valued cheaper than 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.53
EV/EBITDA 9.54
VSTO Per share dataVSTO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of VSTO may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)0.13
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for VSTO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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Vista Outdoor Inc

NYSE:VSTO (11/26/2024, 7:08:32 PM)

After market: 44.63 0 (0%)

44.63

+0.24 (+0.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)01-29 2025-01-29/amc
Inst Owners90.38%
Inst Owner Change-98.79%
Ins Owners2.74%
Ins Owner Change-73.07%
Market Cap2.61B
Analysts73.33
Price Target43.67 (-2.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.79%
Min EPS beat(2)3.5%
Max EPS beat(2)6.07%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.41%
Max EPS beat(4)6.1%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.25%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.65%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)19.37%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.06%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.06%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.73%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.11%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.98%
PT rev (1m)0.71%
PT rev (3m)2.32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.14%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.56
Fwd PE 9.06
P/S 0.97
P/FCF 7.53
P/OCF 6.97
P/B 2.12
P/tB 8.34
EV/EBITDA 9.54
EPS(TTM)3.86
EY8.65%
EPS(NY)4.93
Fwd EY11.04%
FCF(TTM)5.93
FCFY13.29%
OCF(TTM)6.4
OCFY14.34%
SpS45.97
BVpS21.08
TBVpS5.35
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)0.13
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.39%
ROE -0.74%
ROCE 11.87%
ROIC 9.38%
ROICexc 9.56%
ROICexgc 18.13%
OM 8.75%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 31.49%
FCFM 12.9%
ROA(3y)6.39%
ROA(5y)4.62%
ROE(3y)13.58%
ROE(5y)8.36%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)13.87%
ROICexc(3y)17.6%
ROICexc(5y)14.78%
ROICexgc(3y)34.86%
ROICexgc(5y)27.4%
ROCE(3y)21.77%
ROCE(5y)17.56%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-9.25%
ROICexcg growth 5Y83.53%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16%
ROICexc growth 5Y78.35%
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y80.05%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y9.15%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.14
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 1.7
Debt/EBITDA 1.77
Cap/Depr 28.55%
Cap/Sales 1.02%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 112.92%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.9
Quick Ratio 1.26
Altman-Z 3.15
F-Score6
WACC8.19%
ROIC/WACC1.15
Cap/Depr(3y)44.03%
Cap/Depr(5y)42.7%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.45%
EPS 3Y2.14%
EPS 5Y91.86%
EPS Q2Q%7.29%
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.27%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y5.93%
Sales Q2Q%-1.61%
Revenue Next Year-1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y0.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-28.88%
EBIT growth 3Y0.26%
EBIT growth 5Y90.73%
EBIT Next Year31.39%
EBIT Next 3Y16.84%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-5.09%
FCF growth 3Y5.52%
FCF growth 5Y46.28%
OCF growth 1Y-8.01%
OCF growth 3Y5.09%
OCF growth 5Y32.68%