VISTRA CORP (VST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:VST • US92840M1027
158.35 USD
-4.23 (-2.6%)
At close: Jan 30, 2026
158.05 USD
-0.3 (-0.19%)
After Hours: 1/30/2026, 8:23:43 PM
Taking everything into account, VST scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. VST was compared to 20 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. There are concerns on the financial health of VST while its profitability can be described as average. VST is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year VST was profitable.
- In the past year VST had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In multiple years VST reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- Of the past 5 years VST 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- VST's Return On Assets of 2.52% is amongst the best of the industry. VST outperforms 85.00% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of VST (18.43%) is better than 90.00% of its industry peers.
- VST's Return On Invested Capital of 5.32% is amongst the best of the industry. VST outperforms 85.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.52% | ||
| ROE | 18.43% | ||
| ROIC | 5.32% |
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- VST has a Profit Margin of 5.58%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VST outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of VST has grown nicely.
- The Operating Margin of VST (12.24%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- VST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.58% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), VST is destroying value.
- VST has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, VST has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, VST has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- VST has an Altman-Z score of 1.64. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- VST has a Altman-Z score of 1.64. This is in the better half of the industry: VST outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
- VST has a debt to FCF ratio of 44.74. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as VST would need 44.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- VST's Debt to FCF ratio of 44.74 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VST outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.42 is on the high side and indicates that VST has dependencies on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of VST (3.42) is worse than 60.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 44.74 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.64 |
ROIC/WACC0.67
WACC7.89%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.99 indicates that VST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- VST has a Current ratio (0.99) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- VST has a Quick Ratio of 0.99. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- VST's Quick ratio of 0.88 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VST outperforms 55.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for VST have decreased strongly by -55.17% in the last year.
- VST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 30.49% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, VST shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.69% in the last year.
- VST shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.84% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-55.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-67.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%-20.94%
3.2 Future
- VST is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 13.74% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, VST will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.72% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-24.3%
EPS Next 2Y13.15%
EPS Next 3Y16.62%
EPS Next 5Y13.74%
Revenue Next Year13.69%
Revenue Next 2Y15.33%
Revenue Next 3Y12.61%
Revenue Next 5Y6.72%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 64.11, the valuation of VST can be described as expensive.
- 65.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VST, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- VST is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.30, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.67, VST is valued on the expensive side.
- 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VST, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VST to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.57), we can say VST is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 64.11 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.67 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- VST's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
- VST's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. VST is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 128.05 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.2 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- VST's earnings are expected to grow with 16.62% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.1
EPS Next 2Y13.15%
EPS Next 3Y16.62%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.57%, VST is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- VST's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.36.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, VST's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.57% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of VST grows each year by 22.79%, which is quite nice.
- VST has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
- As VST did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
- 51.67% of the earnings are spent on dividend by VST. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- The dividend of VST is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP51.67%
EPS Next 2Y13.15%
EPS Next 3Y16.62%
VISTRA CORP / VST FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for VISTRA CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to VST.
Can you provide the valuation status for VISTRA CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to VISTRA CORP (VST). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is VISTRA CORP (VST) stock?
VISTRA CORP (VST) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is VISTRA CORP?
The financial health rating of VISTRA CORP (VST) is 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for VISTRA CORP (VST) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VISTRA CORP (VST) is expected to decline by -24.3% in the next year.