VISTRA CORP (VST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:VST - US92840M1027 - Common Stock
166.37 USD
+15.77 (+10.47%)
167.33 USD
+0.96 (+0.58%)
VST gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 20 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. VST has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. VST has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year VST was profitable.
VST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: VST reported negative net income in multiple years.
VST had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
VST has a Return On Assets of 2.52%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VST outperforms 85.00% of its industry peers.
VST has a Return On Equity of 18.43%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VST outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of VST (5.32%) is better than 85.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.52% | ||
| ROE | 18.43% | ||
| ROIC | 5.32% |
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 5.58%, VST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of VST has grown nicely.
VST has a Operating Margin of 12.24%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VST outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VST has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.58% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
VST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
VST has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
VST has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, VST has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
VST has an Altman-Z score of 1.66. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 1.66, VST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
VST has a debt to FCF ratio of 44.74. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as VST would need 44.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of VST (44.74) is better than 70.00% of its industry peers.
VST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.42. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
VST's Debt to Equity ratio of 3.42 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VST outperforms 45.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 44.74 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.66 |
ROIC/WACC0.68
WACC7.86%
2.3 Liquidity
VST has a Current Ratio of 0.99. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 0.99, VST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.88 indicates that VST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
VST has a Quick ratio of 0.88. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VST outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
VST shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -55.17%.
Measured over the past years, VST shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 30.49% on average per year.
VST shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.69%.
VST shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.84% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-55.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-67.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%-20.94%
3.2 Future
VST is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 13.74% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, VST will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.72% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-19.91%
EPS Next 2Y13.08%
EPS Next 3Y14.76%
EPS Next 5Y13.74%
Revenue Next Year14.85%
Revenue Next 2Y14.92%
Revenue Next 3Y12.19%
Revenue Next 5Y6.72%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 67.36 indicates a quite expensive valuation of VST.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, VST is valued a bit cheaper than 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.19. VST is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
VST is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.59.
85.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VST, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
VST's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.88.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 67.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.59 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of VST is on the same level as its industry peers.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, VST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 134.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
VST's earnings are expected to grow with 14.76% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.21
EPS Next 2Y13.08%
EPS Next 3Y14.76%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.60%, VST is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.42, VST pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.90, VST's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of VST grows each year by 22.79%, which is quite nice.
VST has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
VST has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
51.67% of the earnings are spent on dividend by VST. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
VST's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP51.67%
EPS Next 2Y13.08%
EPS Next 3Y14.76%
166.37
+15.77 (+10.47%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners92.62%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.47%
Ins Owner Change0.14%
Market Cap56.37B
Revenue(TTM)17.19B
Net Income(TTM)960.00M
Analysts81.6
Price Target236.13 (41.93%)
Short Float %2.11%
Short Ratio1.57
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
Yearly Dividend1.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
DP51.67%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-30.06%
Min EPS beat(2)-42.47%
Max EPS beat(2)-17.64%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-87.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-242.54%
Max EPS beat(4)-17.64%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-203.41%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)469.5%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)267.99%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-15.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)-19.33%
Max Revenue beat(2)-12.57%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.33%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.46%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.74%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.89%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-8.22%
PT rev (1m)0.39%
PT rev (3m)7.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)38.9%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.04%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.3%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.21%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.46%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.31%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 67.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.59 | ||
| P/S | 3.28 | ||
| P/FCF | 134.54 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.12 | ||
| P/B | 10.82 | ||
| P/tB | 186.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.46 |
EPS(TTM)2.47
EY1.48%
EPS(NY)8.95
Fwd EY5.38%
FCF(TTM)1.24
FCFY0.74%
OCF(TTM)11.78
OCFY7.08%
SpS50.74
BVpS15.38
TBVpS0.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.21
Graham Number29.23
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.52% | ||
| ROE | 18.43% | ||
| ROCE | 7.11% | ||
| ROIC | 5.32% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.42% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.47% | ||
| OM | 12.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.58% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 2.44% |
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y8.13%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y9.82%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.45
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 44.74 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.51 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 120.47% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 20.78% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.02 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.73% | ||
| Profit Quality | 43.65% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.66 |
F-Score5
WACC7.86%
ROIC/WACC0.68
Cap/Depr(3y)131.08%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-55.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-67.59%
EPS Next Y-19.91%
EPS Next 2Y13.08%
EPS Next 3Y14.76%
EPS Next 5Y13.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%-20.94%
Revenue Next Year14.85%
Revenue Next 2Y14.92%
Revenue Next 3Y12.19%
Revenue Next 5Y6.72%
EBIT growth 1Y-41.29%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y15.41%
EBIT Next Year63.76%
EBIT Next 3Y29.11%
EBIT Next 5Y19.88%
FCF growth 1Y-79.8%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-5.84%
OCF growth 1Y-19.62%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y10.77%
VISTRA CORP / VST FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for VISTRA CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to VST.
Can you provide the valuation status for VISTRA CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to VISTRA CORP (VST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is VISTRA CORP (VST) stock?
VISTRA CORP (VST) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is VISTRA CORP?
The financial health rating of VISTRA CORP (VST) is 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for VISTRA CORP (VST) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VISTRA CORP (VST) is expected to decline by -19.91% in the next year.