VISTRA CORP (VST) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:VST • US92840M1027

171.49 USD
+8.39 (+5.14%)
At close: Feb 13, 2026
171.45 USD
-0.04 (-0.02%)
After Hours: 2/13/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, VST scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. VST was compared to 20 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. While VST is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. VST is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year VST was profitable.
  • VST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years VST reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years VST 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
VST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • VST has a better Return On Assets (2.52%) than 85.00% of its industry peers.
  • VST has a better Return On Equity (18.43%) than 90.00% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 5.32%, VST belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.52%
ROE 18.43%
ROIC 5.32%
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
VST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 200 300

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 5.58%, VST is in line with its industry, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of VST has grown nicely.
  • VST has a Operating Margin (12.24%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • VST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.24%
PM (TTM) 5.58%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
VST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 200 300 400

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), VST is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, VST has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, VST has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for VST is higher compared to a year ago.
VST Yearly Shares OutstandingVST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M
VST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.64, we must say that VST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.64, VST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VST has a debt to FCF ratio of 44.74. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as VST would need 44.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 44.74, VST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.42. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • VST has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (3.42) than 60.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.42
Debt/FCF 44.74
Altman-Z 1.64
ROIC/WACC0.68
WACC7.78%
VST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.99 indicates that VST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.99, VST is in line with its industry, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.88 indicates that VST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • VST's Quick ratio of 0.88 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VST outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.99
Quick Ratio 0.88
VST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • VST shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -55.17%.
  • VST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 30.49% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, VST shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.69% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, VST shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.84% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-55.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-67.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%-20.94%

3.2 Future

  • VST is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 13.74% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, VST will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.72% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-23.8%
EPS Next 2Y12.92%
EPS Next 3Y16.42%
EPS Next 5Y13.74%
Revenue Next Year13.69%
Revenue Next 2Y15.33%
Revenue Next 3Y12.61%
Revenue Next 5Y6.72%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
VST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
VST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 10 15

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • VST is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 69.43.
  • 70.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VST, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.97, VST is valued quite expensively.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.21, VST is valued on the expensive side.
  • 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VST, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • VST is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 27.96, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 69.43
Fwd PE 19.21
VST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100 150

4.2 Price Multiples

  • VST's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, VST is valued a bit cheaper than 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 138.68
EV/EBITDA 14.24
VST Per share dataVST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as VST's earnings are expected to grow with 16.42% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.28
EPS Next 2Y12.92%
EPS Next 3Y16.42%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • VST has a yearly dividend return of 0.53%, which is pretty low.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.29, VST pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.53, VST pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.84.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.53%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of VST grows each year by 22.79%, which is quite nice.
  • VST has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • VST has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
VST Yearly Dividends per shareVST Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

  • 51.67% of the earnings are spent on dividend by VST. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • VST's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP51.67%
EPS Next 2Y12.92%
EPS Next 3Y16.42%
VST Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendVST Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B 20B
VST Dividend Payout.VST Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.VST Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

VISTRA CORP

NYSE:VST (2/13/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 171.45 -0.04 (-0.02%)

171.49

+8.39 (+5.14%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)11-06
Earnings (Next)02-26
Inst Owners92.62%
Inst Owner Change-1.86%
Ins Owners0.47%
Ins Owner Change0.15%
Market Cap58.11B
Revenue(TTM)17.19B
Net Income(TTM)960.00M
Analysts80.83
Price Target227.29 (32.54%)
Short Float %2.68%
Short Ratio1.79
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.53%
Yearly Dividend1.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
DP51.67%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-30.06%
Min EPS beat(2)-42.47%
Max EPS beat(2)-17.64%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-87.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-242.54%
Max EPS beat(4)-17.64%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-203.41%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)469.5%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)267.99%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-15.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)-19.33%
Max Revenue beat(2)-12.57%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.33%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.46%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.74%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.89%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-8.22%
PT rev (1m)-3.74%
PT rev (3m)-2.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)5.38%
EPS NQ rev (3m)10.62%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.86%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.18%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.68%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.73%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 69.43
Fwd PE 19.21
P/S 3.38
P/FCF 138.68
P/OCF 14.56
P/B 11.15
P/tB 191.77
EV/EBITDA 14.24
EPS(TTM)2.47
EY1.44%
EPS(NY)8.93
Fwd EY5.2%
FCF(TTM)1.24
FCFY0.72%
OCF(TTM)11.78
OCFY6.87%
SpS50.74
BVpS15.38
TBVpS0.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.28
Graham Number29.23
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.52%
ROE 18.43%
ROCE 7.11%
ROIC 5.32%
ROICexc 5.42%
ROICexgc 6.47%
OM 12.24%
PM (TTM) 5.58%
GM N/A
FCFM 2.44%
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y8.13%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y9.82%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.45
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.42
Debt/FCF 44.74
Debt/EBITDA 3.51
Cap/Depr 120.47%
Cap/Sales 20.78%
Interest Coverage 2.02
Cash Conversion 78.73%
Profit Quality 43.65%
Current Ratio 0.99
Quick Ratio 0.88
Altman-Z 1.64
F-Score5
WACC7.78%
ROIC/WACC0.68
Cap/Depr(3y)131.08%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-55.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-67.59%
EPS Next Y-23.8%
EPS Next 2Y12.92%
EPS Next 3Y16.42%
EPS Next 5Y13.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%-20.94%
Revenue Next Year13.69%
Revenue Next 2Y15.33%
Revenue Next 3Y12.61%
Revenue Next 5Y6.72%
EBIT growth 1Y-41.29%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y15.41%
EBIT Next Year63.6%
EBIT Next 3Y30.55%
EBIT Next 5Y19.88%
FCF growth 1Y-79.8%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-5.84%
OCF growth 1Y-19.62%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y10.77%

VISTRA CORP / VST FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for VISTRA CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to VST.


Can you provide the valuation status for VISTRA CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to VISTRA CORP (VST). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is VISTRA CORP (VST) stock?

VISTRA CORP (VST) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


How financially healthy is VISTRA CORP?

The financial health rating of VISTRA CORP (VST) is 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for VISTRA CORP (VST) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VISTRA CORP (VST) is expected to decline by -23.8% in the next year.