VISTRA CORP (VST) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:VST • US92840M1027

158.65 USD
-8.75 (-5.23%)
At close: Mar 6, 2026
158.5 USD
-0.15 (-0.09%)
After Hours: 3/6/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership News

This VST fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, VST scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. VST was compared to 20 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. There are concerns on the financial health of VST while its profitability can be described as average. VST has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. VST Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • VST had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year VST had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years VST reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • VST had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
VST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • VST has a Return On Assets of 2.52%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VST outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
  • VST has a better Return On Equity (18.43%) than 90.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of VST (5.32%) is better than 85.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.52%
ROE 18.43%
ROIC 5.32%
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
VST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 200 300

1.3 Margins

  • VST's Profit Margin of 5.58% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VST outperforms 65.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of VST has grown nicely.
  • VST's Operating Margin of 12.24% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VST outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VST has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.24%
PM (TTM) 5.58%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
VST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 200 300 400

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

3

2. VST Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VST is destroying value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for VST. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
VST Yearly Shares OutstandingVST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M
VST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • VST has an Altman-Z score of 1.66. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • VST has a Altman-Z score of 1.66. This is amongst the best in the industry. VST outperforms 85.00% of its industry peers.
  • VST has a debt to FCF ratio of 44.74. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as VST would need 44.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • VST's Debt to FCF ratio of 44.74 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VST outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.42 is on the high side and indicates that VST has dependencies on debt financing.
  • VST has a Debt to Equity ratio of 3.42. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VST outperforms 45.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.42
Debt/FCF 44.74
Altman-Z 1.66
ROIC/WACC0.68
WACC7.8%
VST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • VST has a Current Ratio of 0.99. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • VST has a Current ratio (0.99) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • VST has a Quick Ratio of 0.99. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • VST's Quick ratio of 0.88 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VST outperforms 55.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.99
Quick Ratio 0.88
VST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. VST Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • VST shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -70.43%.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, VST shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 6.65% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-70.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y6.65%
EPS Q2Q%-42.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%23.36%

3.2 Future

  • VST is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 56.82% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, VST will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.68% on average per year.
EPS Next Y330.84%
EPS Next 2Y131.94%
EPS Next 3Y82.99%
EPS Next 5Y56.82%
Revenue Next Year17.46%
Revenue Next 2Y12.66%
Revenue Next 3Y7.82%
Revenue Next 5Y5.68%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
VST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
VST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 10 15

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5

4. VST Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • VST is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 76.64.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as VST.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.29. VST is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.79, the valuation of VST can be described as rather expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 80.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • VST's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.57.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 76.64
Fwd PE 17.79
VST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100 150

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as VST.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, VST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 75.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 127.58
EV/EBITDA 14.46
VST Per share dataVST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • VST's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of VST may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as VST's earnings are expected to grow with 82.99% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)11.52
EPS Next 2Y131.94%
EPS Next 3Y82.99%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. VST Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.57%, VST is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.32, VST pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.57, VST pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.57%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of VST grows each year by 22.79%, which is quite nice.
  • VST has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • VST has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
VST Yearly Dividends per shareVST Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

  • 51.67% of the earnings are spent on dividend by VST. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of VST is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP51.67%
EPS Next 2Y131.94%
EPS Next 3Y82.99%
VST Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendVST Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B 20B
VST Dividend Payout.VST Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.VST Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

VST Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

VISTRA CORP

NYSE:VST (3/6/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 158.5 -0.15 (-0.09%)

158.65

-8.75 (-5.23%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners92.41%
Inst Owner Change1.49%
Ins Owners0.56%
Ins Owner Change0.92%
Market Cap53.46B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)960.00M
Analysts83.33
Price Target226.49 (42.76%)
Short Float %3.05%
Short Ratio1.79
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.57%
Yearly Dividend1.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
DP51.67%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date03-20
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-30.06%
Min EPS beat(2)-42.47%
Max EPS beat(2)-17.64%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-87.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-242.54%
Max EPS beat(4)-17.64%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-203.41%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)469.5%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)267.99%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-15.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)-19.33%
Max Revenue beat(2)-12.57%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.33%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.46%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.74%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.89%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-8.22%
PT rev (1m)-3.19%
PT rev (3m)-4.03%
EPS NQ rev (1m)6.33%
EPS NQ rev (3m)9.98%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.66%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)8.04%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.66%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.64%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 76.64
Fwd PE 17.79
P/S 3.11
P/FCF 127.58
P/OCF 13.39
P/B 10.26
P/tB 176.43
EV/EBITDA 14.46
EPS(TTM)2.07
EY1.3%
EPS(NY)8.92
Fwd EY5.62%
FCF(TTM)1.24
FCFY0.78%
OCF(TTM)11.84
OCFY7.47%
SpS51.02
BVpS15.46
TBVpS0.9
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)11.52
Graham Number26.84
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.52%
ROE 18.43%
ROCE 7.11%
ROIC 5.32%
ROICexc 5.42%
ROICexgc 6.47%
OM 12.24%
PM (TTM) 5.58%
GM N/A
FCFM 2.44%
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y8.13%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y9.82%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.45
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.42
Debt/FCF 44.74
Debt/EBITDA 3.51
Cap/Depr 120.47%
Cap/Sales 20.78%
Interest Coverage 2.02
Cash Conversion 78.73%
Profit Quality 43.65%
Current Ratio 0.99
Quick Ratio 0.88
Altman-Z 1.66
F-Score5
WACC7.8%
ROIC/WACC0.68
Cap/Depr(3y)131.08%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-70.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y6.65%
EPS Q2Q%-42.55%
EPS Next Y330.84%
EPS Next 2Y131.94%
EPS Next 3Y82.99%
EPS Next 5Y56.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%23.36%
Revenue Next Year17.46%
Revenue Next 2Y12.66%
Revenue Next 3Y7.82%
Revenue Next 5Y5.68%
EBIT growth 1Y-41.29%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y15.41%
EBIT Next Year63.68%
EBIT Next 3Y30.98%
EBIT Next 5Y20.45%
FCF growth 1Y-79.8%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-5.84%
OCF growth 1Y-19.62%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y10.77%

VISTRA CORP / VST FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for VISTRA CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to VST.


Can you provide the valuation status for VISTRA CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to VISTRA CORP (VST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is VISTRA CORP (VST) stock?

VISTRA CORP (VST) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is VISTRA CORP?

The financial health rating of VISTRA CORP (VST) is 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for VISTRA CORP (VST) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VISTRA CORP (VST) is expected to grow by 330.84% in the next year.