VISTRA CORP (VST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:VST - US92840M1027 - Common Stock
211.33 USD
+1.4 (+0.67%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to VST. VST was compared to 20 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. VST has an average financial health and profitability rating. VST has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
VST had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year VST had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: VST reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years VST 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
VST has a Return On Assets of 5.76%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VST outperforms 95.00% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of VST (45.53%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
VST has a Return On Invested Capital of 9.26%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VST outperforms 95.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | 45.53% | ||
| ROIC | 9.26% |
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of VST (11.87%) is better than 75.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of VST has grown nicely.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 19.72%, VST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
VST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.87% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), VST is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for VST has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, VST has less shares outstanding
VST has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.03 indicates that VST is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
VST has a Altman-Z score of 2.03. This is in the better half of the industry: VST outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
VST has a debt to FCF ratio of 48.90. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as VST would need 48.90 years to pay back of all of its debts.
VST's Debt to FCF ratio of 48.90 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VST outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
VST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.81. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
VST has a Debt to Equity ratio of 3.81. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VST outperforms 45.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 48.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.03 |
ROIC/WACC1.17
WACC7.93%
2.3 Liquidity
VST has a Current Ratio of 0.90. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.90, VST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.80 indicates that VST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
VST has a Quick ratio (0.80) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.8 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
VST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 350.00%, which is quite impressive.
VST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 30.49% yearly.
Looking at the last year, VST shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 31.61%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.84% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)350%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-21.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.61%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%10.53%
3.2 Future
VST is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.92% yearly.
VST is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.96% yearly.
EPS Next Y-6.28%
EPS Next 2Y11.94%
EPS Next 3Y12.31%
EPS Next 5Y14.92%
Revenue Next Year20.21%
Revenue Next 2Y14.97%
Revenue Next 3Y12.66%
Revenue Next 5Y7.96%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 34.53, the valuation of VST can be described as expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, VST is valued a bit cheaper than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.41. VST is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.09 indicates a rather expensive valuation of VST.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VST indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: VST is cheaper than 80.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VST to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.88), we can say VST is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.53 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.09 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as VST.
VST's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. VST is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 181.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.26 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of VST may justify a higher PE ratio.
VST's earnings are expected to grow with 12.31% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.13
EPS Next 2Y11.94%
EPS Next 3Y12.31%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
VST has a yearly dividend return of 0.44%, which is pretty low.
VST's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 4.70.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.38, VST's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.44% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of VST grows each year by 22.79%, which is quite nice.
VST has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
VST has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
22.81% of the earnings are spent on dividend by VST. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
VST's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.81%
EPS Next 2Y11.94%
EPS Next 3Y12.31%
NYSE:VST (9/19/2025, 3:51:08 PM)
211.33
+1.4 (+0.67%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners82.18%
Inst Owner Change4.9%
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner Change-0.32%
Market Cap71.60B
Analysts82.73
Price Target211.97 (0.3%)
Short Float %2.2%
Short Ratio1.62
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.44% |
Yearly Dividend1.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
DP22.81%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-142.51%
Min EPS beat(2)-242.54%
Max EPS beat(2)-42.47%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)3.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-242.54%
Max EPS beat(4)346.48%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-203.88%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)470.52%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)262.9%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.47%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.38%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.18%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)24.2%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.88%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.2%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-9.57%
PT rev (1m)10.33%
PT rev (3m)23.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.62%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.12%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.24%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.39%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.53 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.09 | ||
| P/S | 3.87 | ||
| P/FCF | 181.73 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.94 | ||
| P/B | 14.85 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.26 |
EPS(TTM)6.12
EY2.9%
EPS(NY)8.77
Fwd EY4.15%
FCF(TTM)1.16
FCFY0.55%
OCF(TTM)12.47
OCFY5.9%
SpS54.62
BVpS14.23
TBVpS-0.71
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.13
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | 45.53% | ||
| ROCE | 12.71% | ||
| ROIC | 9.26% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.4% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.29% | ||
| OM | 19.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.87% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 2.13% |
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y8.13%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y9.82%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 48.9 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.77 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 128.25% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 20.7% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.4 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 63.66% | ||
| Profit Quality | 17.94% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.03 |
F-Score7
WACC7.93%
ROIC/WACC1.17
Cap/Depr(3y)131.08%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)350%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-21.11%
EPS Next Y-6.28%
EPS Next 2Y11.94%
EPS Next 3Y12.31%
EPS Next 5Y14.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.61%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%10.53%
Revenue Next Year20.21%
Revenue Next 2Y14.97%
Revenue Next 3Y12.66%
Revenue Next 5Y7.96%
EBIT growth 1Y99.45%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y15.41%
EBIT Next Year65.2%
EBIT Next 3Y26.04%
EBIT Next 5Y19.06%
FCF growth 1Y-71.26%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-5.84%
OCF growth 1Y0.14%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y10.77%