VISTRA CORP (VST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:VST • US92840M1027
158.35 USD
-4.23 (-2.6%)
At close: Jan 30, 2026
158.05 USD
-0.3 (-0.19%)
After Hours: 1/30/2026, 8:23:43 PM
Taking everything into account, VST scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. VST was compared to 20 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. VST has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. While showing a medium growth rate, VST is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- VST had positive earnings in the past year.
- VST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In multiple years VST reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- Of the past 5 years VST 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- VST has a Return On Assets of 2.52%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VST outperforms 85.00% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 18.43%, VST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 5.32%, VST belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.52% | ||
| ROE | 18.43% | ||
| ROIC | 5.32% |
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- VST has a Profit Margin (5.58%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- VST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- The Operating Margin of VST (12.24%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- VST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.58% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- VST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, VST has less shares outstanding
- VST has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, VST has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- VST has an Altman-Z score of 1.61. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- With a decent Altman-Z score value of 1.61, VST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- VST has a debt to FCF ratio of 44.74. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as VST would need 44.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 44.74, VST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- VST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.42. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 3.42, VST is not doing good in the industry: 60.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 44.74 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.61 |
ROIC/WACC0.67
WACC7.89%
2.3 Liquidity
- VST has a Current Ratio of 0.99. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.99, VST is in line with its industry, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.88 indicates that VST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.88, VST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- VST shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -55.17%.
- Measured over the past years, VST shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 30.49% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, VST shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.69% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.84% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-55.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-67.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%-20.94%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 13.74% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.72% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-24.3%
EPS Next 2Y13.15%
EPS Next 3Y16.62%
EPS Next 5Y13.74%
Revenue Next Year13.69%
Revenue Next 2Y15.33%
Revenue Next 3Y12.61%
Revenue Next 5Y6.72%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 64.11, which means the current valuation is very expensive for VST.
- VST's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. VST is cheaper than 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of VST to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.32), we can say VST is valued expensively.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.67 indicates a rather expensive valuation of VST.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VST is valued a bit cheaper than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 25.57. VST is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 64.11 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.67 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of VST is on the same level as its industry peers.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of VST indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: VST is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 128.05 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.92 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- VST's earnings are expected to grow with 16.62% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.1
EPS Next 2Y13.15%
EPS Next 3Y16.62%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- VST has a yearly dividend return of 0.56%, which is pretty low.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.34, VST pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- With a Dividend Yield of 0.56, VST pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.83.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.56% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of VST grows each year by 22.79%, which is quite nice.
- VST has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
- As VST did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
- 51.67% of the earnings are spent on dividend by VST. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- VST's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP51.67%
EPS Next 2Y13.15%
EPS Next 3Y16.62%
VISTRA CORP / VST FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for VISTRA CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to VST.
Can you provide the valuation status for VISTRA CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to VISTRA CORP (VST). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is VISTRA CORP (VST) stock?
VISTRA CORP (VST) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is VISTRA CORP?
The financial health rating of VISTRA CORP (VST) is 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for VISTRA CORP (VST) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VISTRA CORP (VST) is expected to decline by -24.3% in the next year.