VISTRA CORP (VST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:VST - US92840M1027 - Common Stock
189.39 USD
+3.65 (+1.97%)
188.768 USD
-0.62 (-0.33%)
Taking everything into account, VST scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. VST was compared to 20 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. VST has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. VST is showing excellent growth while it is valued at reasonable prices. Keep and eye on this one!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year VST was profitable.
In the past year VST had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: VST reported negative net income in multiple years.
VST had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.76%, VST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 45.53%, VST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 9.26%, VST belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | 45.53% | ||
| ROIC | 9.26% |
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
VST has a Profit Margin of 11.87%. This is in the better half of the industry: VST outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
VST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
VST's Operating Margin of 19.72% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VST outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VST has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.87% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
VST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
VST has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
VST has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, VST has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
VST has an Altman-Z score of 1.88. This is not the best score and indicates that VST is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 1.88, VST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
VST has a debt to FCF ratio of 48.90. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as VST would need 48.90 years to pay back of all of its debts.
VST has a better Debt to FCF ratio (48.90) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.81 is on the high side and indicates that VST has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 3.81, VST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 48.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
ROIC/WACC1.17
WACC7.89%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.90 indicates that VST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
VST has a Current ratio (0.90) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.80 indicates that VST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
VST has a Quick ratio (0.80) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.8 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
VST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 350.00%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, VST shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 30.49% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, VST shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 31.61%.
Measured over the past years, VST shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.84% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)350%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-21.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.61%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%10.53%
3.2 Future
VST is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.37% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.49% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-15.38%
EPS Next 2Y12.53%
EPS Next 3Y13.99%
EPS Next 5Y16.37%
Revenue Next Year18.84%
Revenue Next 2Y14.82%
Revenue Next 3Y12.65%
Revenue Next 5Y8.49%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 30.95, the valuation of VST can be described as expensive.
VST's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. VST is cheaper than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.13, VST is valued at the same level.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 21.37, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of VST.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 80.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
VST's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 22.35.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.95 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.37 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, VST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of VST indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: VST is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 162.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.02 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
VST has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
VST's earnings are expected to grow with 13.99% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.01
EPS Next 2Y12.53%
EPS Next 3Y13.99%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.48%, VST is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
VST's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 4.69.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.48, VST pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.39.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.48% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of VST grows each year by 22.79%, which is quite nice.
VST has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As VST did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
VST pays out 22.81% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of VST is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.81%
EPS Next 2Y12.53%
EPS Next 3Y13.99%
189.39
+3.65 (+1.97%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners93.08%
Inst Owner Change-0.41%
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner Change-0.11%
Market Cap64.17B
Revenue(TTM)18.51B
Net Income(TTM)2.20B
Analysts82.5
Price Target232.19 (22.6%)
Short Float %2.03%
Short Ratio1.57
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.48% |
Yearly Dividend1.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
DP22.81%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-142.51%
Min EPS beat(2)-242.54%
Max EPS beat(2)-42.47%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)3.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-242.54%
Max EPS beat(4)346.48%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-203.88%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)470.52%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)262.9%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.47%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.38%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.18%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)24.2%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.88%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.2%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-9.57%
PT rev (1m)9.54%
PT rev (3m)27.91%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-18.14%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-28%
EPS NY rev (1m)-8.57%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-11.95%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-13.9%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.98%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.09%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.95 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.37 | ||
| P/S | 3.47 | ||
| P/FCF | 162.87 | ||
| P/OCF | 15.18 | ||
| P/B | 13.3 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.02 |
EPS(TTM)6.12
EY3.23%
EPS(NY)8.86
Fwd EY4.68%
FCF(TTM)1.16
FCFY0.61%
OCF(TTM)12.47
OCFY6.59%
SpS54.62
BVpS14.23
TBVpS-0.71
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.01
Graham Number44.27
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | 45.53% | ||
| ROCE | 12.71% | ||
| ROIC | 9.26% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.4% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.29% | ||
| OM | 19.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.87% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 2.13% |
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y8.13%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y9.82%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 48.9 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.77 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 128.25% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 20.7% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.4 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 63.66% | ||
| Profit Quality | 17.94% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
F-Score7
WACC7.89%
ROIC/WACC1.17
Cap/Depr(3y)131.08%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)350%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-21.11%
EPS Next Y-15.38%
EPS Next 2Y12.53%
EPS Next 3Y13.99%
EPS Next 5Y16.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.61%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%10.53%
Revenue Next Year18.84%
Revenue Next 2Y14.82%
Revenue Next 3Y12.65%
Revenue Next 5Y8.49%
EBIT growth 1Y99.45%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y15.41%
EBIT Next Year65.12%
EBIT Next 3Y27.55%
EBIT Next 5Y19.69%
FCF growth 1Y-71.26%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-5.84%
OCF growth 1Y0.14%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y10.77%
VISTRA CORP / VST FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for VST stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to VST.
What is the valuation status for VST stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to VISTRA CORP (VST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is VISTRA CORP (VST) stock?
VISTRA CORP (VST) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for VST stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for VISTRA CORP (VST) is 30.95 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 13.3.
Can you provide the financial health for VST stock?
The financial health rating of VISTRA CORP (VST) is 4 / 10.