VISTRA CORP (VST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:VST - US92840M1027 - Common Stock
161.495 USD
-0.47 (-0.29%)
Taking everything into account, VST scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. VST was compared to 20 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. There are concerns on the financial health of VST while its profitability can be described as average. VST is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
VST had positive earnings in the past year.
VST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years VST reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
VST had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
VST has a Return On Assets of 2.52%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VST outperforms 85.00% of its industry peers.
VST has a Return On Equity of 18.43%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VST outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of VST (5.32%) is better than 85.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.52% | ||
| ROE | 18.43% | ||
| ROIC | 5.32% |
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
VST's Profit Margin of 5.58% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VST outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
VST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
VST's Operating Margin of 12.24% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VST outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
VST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.58% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VST is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for VST has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
VST has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for VST is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.63, we must say that VST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.63, VST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
VST has a debt to FCF ratio of 44.74. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as VST would need 44.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 44.74, VST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.42 is on the high side and indicates that VST has dependencies on debt financing.
VST's Debt to Equity ratio of 3.42 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VST outperforms 45.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 44.74 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.63 |
ROIC/WACC0.68
WACC7.82%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.99 indicates that VST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.99, VST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.88 indicates that VST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.88, VST is in line with its industry, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for VST have decreased strongly by -55.17% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 30.49% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.69% in the past year.
VST shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.84% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-55.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-67.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%-20.94%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, VST will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 14.93% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, VST will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.30% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-19.95%
EPS Next 2Y13.15%
EPS Next 3Y14.68%
EPS Next 5Y14.93%
Revenue Next Year15.38%
Revenue Next 2Y14.66%
Revenue Next 3Y12.01%
Revenue Next 5Y7.3%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 65.38, which means the current valuation is very expensive for VST.
VST's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. VST is cheaper than 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.59, VST is valued quite expensively.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.02, the valuation of VST can be described as rather expensive.
85.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VST, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
VST's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.03.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 65.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.02 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of VST is on the same level as its industry peers.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, VST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 130.59 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.16 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A more expensive valuation may be justified as VST's earnings are expected to grow with 14.68% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.14
EPS Next 2Y13.15%
EPS Next 3Y14.68%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.52%, VST is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
The stock price of VST dropped by -21.84% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
VST's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.46.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.88, VST's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.52% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of VST grows each year by 22.79%, which is quite nice.
VST has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As VST did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
VST pays out 51.67% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
VST's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP51.67%
EPS Next 2Y13.15%
EPS Next 3Y14.68%
NYSE:VST (12/26/2025, 9:40:06 AM)
161.495
-0.47 (-0.29%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners92.39%
Inst Owner Change-0.95%
Ins Owners0.47%
Ins Owner Change0.14%
Market Cap54.72B
Revenue(TTM)17.19B
Net Income(TTM)960.00M
Analysts81.54
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %2.31%
Short Ratio1.76
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.52% |
Yearly Dividend1.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
DP51.67%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-30.06%
Min EPS beat(2)-42.47%
Max EPS beat(2)-17.64%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-87.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-242.54%
Max EPS beat(4)-17.64%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-203.41%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)469.5%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)267.99%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-15.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)-19.33%
Max Revenue beat(2)-12.57%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.33%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.46%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.74%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.89%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-8.22%
PT rev (1m)1.3%
PT rev (3m)10.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)7.43%
EPS NQ rev (3m)28.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.09%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.29%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.02%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 65.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.02 | ||
| P/S | 3.18 | ||
| P/FCF | 130.59 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.71 | ||
| P/B | 10.5 | ||
| P/tB | 180.59 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.16 |
EPS(TTM)2.47
EY1.53%
EPS(NY)8.96
Fwd EY5.55%
FCF(TTM)1.24
FCFY0.77%
OCF(TTM)11.78
OCFY7.29%
SpS50.74
BVpS15.38
TBVpS0.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.14
Graham Number29.23
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.52% | ||
| ROE | 18.43% | ||
| ROCE | 7.11% | ||
| ROIC | 5.32% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.42% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.47% | ||
| OM | 12.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.58% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 2.44% |
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y8.13%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y9.82%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.45
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 44.74 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.51 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 120.47% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 20.78% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.02 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.73% | ||
| Profit Quality | 43.65% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.63 |
F-Score5
WACC7.82%
ROIC/WACC0.68
Cap/Depr(3y)131.08%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-55.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-67.59%
EPS Next Y-19.95%
EPS Next 2Y13.15%
EPS Next 3Y14.68%
EPS Next 5Y14.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%-20.94%
Revenue Next Year15.38%
Revenue Next 2Y14.66%
Revenue Next 3Y12.01%
Revenue Next 5Y7.3%
EBIT growth 1Y-41.29%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y15.41%
EBIT Next Year64.48%
EBIT Next 3Y29.08%
EBIT Next 5Y20.29%
FCF growth 1Y-79.8%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-5.84%
OCF growth 1Y-19.62%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y10.77%
VISTRA CORP / VST FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for VST stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to VST.
What is the valuation status for VST stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to VISTRA CORP (VST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is VISTRA CORP (VST) stock?
VISTRA CORP (VST) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for VST stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for VISTRA CORP (VST) is 65.38 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 10.5.
Can you provide the financial health for VST stock?
The financial health rating of VISTRA CORP (VST) is 3 / 10.