VISTRA CORP (VST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:VST - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US92840M1027 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
VST gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 19 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. VST has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. VST is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year VST was profitable.
In the past year VST had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years VST reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years VST 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
VST has a better Return On Assets (5.84%) than 89.47% of its industry peers.
VST has a Return On Equity of 46.30%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VST outperforms 94.74% of its industry peers.
VST's Return On Invested Capital of 10.21% is amongst the best of the industry. VST outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.84% | ||
| ROE | 46.3% | ||
| ROIC | 10.21% |
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 12.34%, VST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
VST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
VST has a better Operating Margin (21.41%) than 73.68% of its industry peers.
VST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.34% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
VST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, VST has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for VST has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, VST has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
VST has an Altman-Z score of 1.93. This is not the best score and indicates that VST is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
VST has a better Altman-Z score (1.93) than 84.21% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of VST is 17.77, which is on the high side as it means it would take VST, 17.77 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
VST's Debt to FCF ratio of 17.77 is amongst the best of the industry. VST outperforms 84.21% of its industry peers.
VST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.60. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
VST has a Debt to Equity ratio (3.60) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.6 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.77 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.93 |
ROIC/WACC1.25
WACC8.18%
2.3 Liquidity
VST has a Current Ratio of 0.86. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
VST's Current ratio of 0.86 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VST is outperformed by 63.16% of its industry peers.
VST has a Quick Ratio of 0.86. This is a bad value and indicates that VST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
VST's Quick ratio of 0.77 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VST is outperformed by 68.42% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.86 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.77 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
VST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 287.12%, which is quite impressive.
VST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 30.49% yearly.
Looking at the last year, VST shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 35.03%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.84% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)287.12%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-287.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)35.03%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%28.78%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.92% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, VST will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.49% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-8.22%
EPS Next 2Y9.97%
EPS Next 3Y9.44%
EPS Next 5Y15.92%
Revenue Next Year18.9%
Revenue Next 2Y13.84%
Revenue Next 3Y11.81%
Revenue Next 5Y7.49%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 30.93, the valuation of VST can be described as expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, VST is valued a bit cheaper than 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of VST to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.41), we can say VST is valued inline with the index average.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 23.06, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of VST.
VST's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. VST is cheaper than 78.95% of the companies in the same industry.
VST's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 35.19.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.06 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, VST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.42% of the companies are valued more expensively.
89.47% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VST, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 62.07 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.5 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
VST has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.01
EPS Next 2Y9.97%
EPS Next 3Y9.44%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
VST has a yearly dividend return of 0.46%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.59, VST has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.35, VST's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.46% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of VST grows each year by 22.79%, which is quite nice.
VST has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
VST has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
VST pays out 22.61% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
VST's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.61%
EPS Next 2Y9.97%
EPS Next 3Y9.44%
NYSE:VST (7/14/2025, 3:34:06 PM)
195.175
-1.41 (-0.71%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners82.31%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner Change0.3%
Market Cap66.23B
Analysts81.9
Price Target181.97 (-6.77%)
Short Float %1.96%
Short Ratio1.14
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.46% |
Yearly Dividend1.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.79%
DP22.61%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-144.27%
Min EPS beat(2)-242.54%
Max EPS beat(2)-45.99%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)5.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-242.54%
Max EPS beat(4)346.48%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-193.42%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)411.77%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)260.09%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)5.46%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)24.2%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.12%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.21%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-10.24%
PT rev (1m)5.71%
PT rev (3m)2.61%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.45%
EPS NQ rev (3m)19.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.52%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)7.6%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)9.46%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.28%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.99%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.06 | ||
| P/S | 3.66 | ||
| P/FCF | 62.07 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.66 | ||
| P/B | 13.73 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.5 |
EPS(TTM)6.31
EY3.23%
EPS(NY)8.47
Fwd EY4.34%
FCF(TTM)3.14
FCFY1.61%
OCF(TTM)14.29
OCFY7.32%
SpS53.35
BVpS14.22
TBVpS-0.9
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.01
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.84% | ||
| ROE | 46.3% | ||
| ROCE | 13.61% | ||
| ROIC | 10.21% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.4% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.64% | ||
| OM | 21.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.34% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 5.89% |
ROA(3y)2.14%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)13.84%
ROE(5y)6.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y8.13%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y9.82%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y12.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.6 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.77 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.58 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 132.83% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 20.9% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.94 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 72.14% | ||
| Profit Quality | 47.76% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.86 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.77 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.93 |
F-Score7
WACC8.18%
ROIC/WACC1.25
Cap/Depr(3y)131.08%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)287.12%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y30.49%
EPS Q2Q%-287.5%
EPS Next Y-8.22%
EPS Next 2Y9.97%
EPS Next 3Y9.44%
EPS Next 5Y15.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)35.03%
Revenue growth 3Y12.56%
Revenue growth 5Y7.84%
Sales Q2Q%28.78%
Revenue Next Year18.9%
Revenue Next 2Y13.84%
Revenue Next 3Y11.81%
Revenue Next 5Y7.49%
EBIT growth 1Y140.24%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y15.41%
EBIT Next Year65.5%
EBIT Next 3Y24.08%
EBIT Next 5Y19.54%
FCF growth 1Y180.17%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-5.84%
OCF growth 1Y264.94%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y10.77%