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VSE CORP (VSEC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:VSEC - Nasdaq - US9182841000 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

108.19  -1.9 (-1.73%)

After market: 107.73 -0.46 (-0.43%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall VSEC gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated VSEC against 83 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. The financial health of VSEC is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. While showing a medium growth rate, VSEC is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year VSEC was profitable.
In the past year VSEC has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years VSEC 4 years were profitable.
In multiple years VSEC reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
VSEC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVSEC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M

1.2 Ratios

VSEC has a Return On Assets (0.88%) which is in line with its industry peers.
VSEC has a Return On Equity of 1.55%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VSEC outperforms 49.40% of its industry peers.
VSEC's Return On Invested Capital of 5.21% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VSEC outperforms 51.81% of its industry peers.
VSEC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.73%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.77%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.88%
ROE 1.55%
ROIC 5.21%
ROA(3y)2.2%
ROA(5y)1.36%
ROE(3y)4.72%
ROE(5y)2.92%
ROIC(3y)5.73%
ROIC(5y)5.23%
VSEC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVSEC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of VSEC (1.42%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
VSEC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of VSEC (9.08%) is better than 66.27% of its industry peers.
VSEC's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
VSEC has a worse Gross Margin (11.66%) than 84.34% of its industry peers.
VSEC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.08%
PM (TTM) 1.42%
GM 11.66%
OM growth 3Y45.15%
OM growth 5Y2.81%
PM growth 3Y10.02%
PM growth 5Y-22.01%
GM growth 3Y26.16%
GM growth 5Y0.93%
VSEC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVSEC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2 4 6 8 10

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VSEC is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, VSEC has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for VSEC has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
VSEC has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
VSEC Yearly Shares OutstandingVSEC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5M 10M 15M 20M
VSEC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVSEC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

VSEC has an Altman-Z score of 3.33. This indicates that VSEC is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
VSEC has a better Altman-Z score (3.33) than 67.47% of its industry peers.
VSEC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.40. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
VSEC has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.40) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.4
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.33
ROIC/WACC0.6
WACC8.61%
VSEC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVSEC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

VSEC has a Current Ratio of 3.10. This indicates that VSEC is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of VSEC (3.10) is better than 85.54% of its industry peers.
VSEC has a Quick Ratio of 1.06. This is a normal value and indicates that VSEC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
VSEC's Quick ratio of 1.06 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VSEC is outperformed by 65.06% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.1
Quick Ratio 1.06
VSEC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVSEC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

VSEC shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -8.77%.
VSEC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -23.99% yearly.
Looking at the last year, VSEC shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 25.52%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.49% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.77%
EPS 3Y10.22%
EPS 5Y-23.99%
EPS Q2Q%5.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)25.52%
Revenue growth 3Y12.88%
Revenue growth 5Y7.49%
Sales Q2Q%27.07%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 26.65% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
VSEC is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.65% yearly.
EPS Next Y-3.5%
EPS Next 2Y24.68%
EPS Next 3Y26.65%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.83%
Revenue Next 2Y4.88%
Revenue Next 3Y6.89%
Revenue Next 5Y3.65%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
VSEC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVSEC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
VSEC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVSEC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 34.68, which means the current valuation is very expensive for VSEC.
VSEC's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
VSEC's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 28.29.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 35.94, the valuation of VSEC can be described as expensive.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as VSEC.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.08, VSEC is valued quite expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 34.68
Fwd PE 35.94
VSEC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVSEC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

62.65% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than VSEC, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 20.8
VSEC Per share dataVSEC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

VSEC's earnings are expected to grow with 26.65% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.68%
EPS Next 3Y26.65%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.37%, VSEC is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.58, VSEC pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.37, VSEC pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.52.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.37%

5.2 History

The dividend of VSEC has a limited annual growth rate of 2.67%.
VSEC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
VSEC has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.67%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years34
VSEC Yearly Dividends per shareVSEC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 0 0 0 0

5.3 Sustainability

46.07% of the earnings are spent on dividend by VSEC. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of VSEC is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP46.07%
EPS Next 2Y24.68%
EPS Next 3Y26.65%
VSEC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendVSEC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M 40M -40M
VSEC Dividend Payout.VSEC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.VSEC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

VSE CORP

NASDAQ:VSEC (4/17/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 107.73 -0.46 (-0.43%)

108.19

-1.9 (-1.73%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-26 2025-02-26/amc
Earnings (Next)05-06 2025-05-06/amc
Inst Owners109.34%
Inst Owner Change-0.05%
Ins Owners1.98%
Ins Owner Change1.81%
Market Cap2.24B
Analysts83.33
Price Target141.9 (31.16%)
Short Float %10.71%
Short Ratio8.49
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.37%
Yearly Dividend0.39
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.67%
DP46.07%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date05-01 2025-05-01 (0.1)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.32%
Min EPS beat(2)15.76%
Max EPS beat(2)22.89%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)13.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.77%
Max EPS beat(4)22.89%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)16.96%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)15.2%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)11.43%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.93%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.07%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.93%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.84%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.17%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.93%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.63%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.99%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.34%
PT rev (1m)3.82%
PT rev (3m)3.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.06%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-20.24%
EPS NY rev (1m)-30.84%
EPS NY rev (3m)-33.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.24%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-14.71%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-11.42%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-22.74%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 34.68
Fwd PE 35.94
P/S 2.07
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 2.26
P/tB 7.47
EV/EBITDA 20.8
EPS(TTM)3.12
EY2.88%
EPS(NY)3.01
Fwd EY2.78%
FCF(TTM)-2.5
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-1.5
OCFYN/A
SpS52.26
BVpS47.81
TBVpS14.49
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.88%
ROE 1.55%
ROCE 6.75%
ROIC 5.21%
ROICexc 5.31%
ROICexgc 10.29%
OM 9.08%
PM (TTM) 1.42%
GM 11.66%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.2%
ROA(5y)1.36%
ROE(3y)4.72%
ROE(5y)2.92%
ROIC(3y)5.73%
ROIC(5y)5.23%
ROICexc(3y)5.78%
ROICexc(5y)5.26%
ROICexgc(3y)10.59%
ROICexgc(5y)10.1%
ROCE(3y)7.42%
ROCE(5y)6.77%
ROICexcg growth 3Y31.62%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-9.39%
ROICexc growth 3Y31.63%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.64%
OM growth 3Y45.15%
OM growth 5Y2.81%
PM growth 3Y10.02%
PM growth 5Y-22.01%
GM growth 3Y26.16%
GM growth 5Y0.93%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.62
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.4
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 3.16
Cap/Depr 71.98%
Cap/Sales 1.92%
Interest Coverage 2.64
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.1
Quick Ratio 1.06
Altman-Z 3.33
F-Score3
WACC8.61%
ROIC/WACC0.6
Cap/Depr(3y)65.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)51%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.76%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.47%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.77%
EPS 3Y10.22%
EPS 5Y-23.99%
EPS Q2Q%5.88%
EPS Next Y-3.5%
EPS Next 2Y24.68%
EPS Next 3Y26.65%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)25.52%
Revenue growth 3Y12.88%
Revenue growth 5Y7.49%
Sales Q2Q%27.07%
Revenue Next Year-1.83%
Revenue Next 2Y4.88%
Revenue Next 3Y6.89%
Revenue Next 5Y3.65%
EBIT growth 1Y11.75%
EBIT growth 3Y63.86%
EBIT growth 5Y10.52%
EBIT Next Year80.46%
EBIT Next 3Y41.64%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-27.77%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-42.18%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A