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VINCE HOLDING CORP (VNCE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:VNCE - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US92719W2070 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

3.515  +0.25 (+7.49%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Overall VNCE gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated VNCE against 50 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. Both the profitability and financial health of VNCE have multiple concerns. VNCE is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year VNCE was profitable.
VNCE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years VNCE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: VNCE reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
VNCE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVNCE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M -100M -150M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of 1.82%, VNCE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.98% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 8.11%, VNCE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.22% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of VNCE (1.28%) is worse than 69.39% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.82%
ROE 8.11%
ROIC 1.28%
ROA(3y)-1.7%
ROA(5y)-3.28%
ROE(3y)-52.49%
ROE(5y)-46.66%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
VNCE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVNCE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 400 600 800 1K

1.3 Margins

VNCE's Profit Margin of 1.60% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VNCE outperforms 48.98% of its industry peers.
With a Operating Margin value of 1.10%, VNCE is not doing good in the industry: 69.39% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
VNCE has a Gross Margin (48.22%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
VNCE's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.1%
PM (TTM) 1.6%
GM 48.22%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.14%
GM growth 5Y-0.57%
VNCE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVNCE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 -60

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), VNCE is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for VNCE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for VNCE has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for VNCE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
VNCE Yearly Shares OutstandingVNCE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M
VNCE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVNCE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

VNCE has an Altman-Z score of -4.48. This is a bad value and indicates that VNCE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
VNCE has a Altman-Z score of -4.48. This is amonst the worse of the industry: VNCE underperforms 93.88% of its industry peers.
VNCE has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.66. This is a neutral value as VNCE would need 4.66 years to pay back of all of its debts.
VNCE has a Debt to FCF ratio (4.66) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.89 indicates that VNCE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of VNCE (0.89) is worse than 77.55% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.89
Debt/FCF 4.66
Altman-Z -4.48
ROIC/WACC0.15
WACC8.54%
VNCE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVNCE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.74 indicates that VNCE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.74, VNCE is not doing good in the industry: 67.35% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
VNCE has a Quick Ratio of 1.74. This is a bad value and indicates that VNCE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
VNCE has a worse Quick ratio (0.64) than 93.88% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.74
Quick Ratio 0.64
VNCE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVNCE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

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1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for VNCE have decreased strongly by -76.18% in the last year.
Looking at the last year, VNCE shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -6.50% in the last year.
VNCE shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -4.13% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%335.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.5%
Revenue growth 3Y10.03%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.13%
Sales Q2Q%0%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -41.03% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.88% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-98%
EPS Next 2Y-76.02%
EPS Next 3Y-41.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.23%
Revenue Next 2Y2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y2.88%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
VNCE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVNCE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 100M 200M 300M
VNCE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVNCE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 -2 4 6 8

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.76, the valuation of VNCE can be described as very reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of VNCE indicates a rather cheap valuation: VNCE is cheaper than 87.76% of the companies listed in the same industry.
VNCE is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.58, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 29.97 indicates a quite expensive valuation of VNCE.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VNCE indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: VNCE is more expensive than 61.22% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.47, VNCE is valued a bit more expensive.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.76
Fwd PE 29.97
VNCE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVNCE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, VNCE is valued a bit cheaper than 63.27% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of VNCE indicates a rather cheap valuation: VNCE is cheaper than 95.92% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 4.08
EV/EBITDA 12.15
VNCE Per share dataVNCE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as VNCE's earnings are expected to decrease with -41.03% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-76.02%
EPS Next 3Y-41.03%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

VNCE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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VINCE HOLDING CORP

NYSE:VNCE (1/27/2025, 2:18:26 PM)

3.515

+0.25 (+7.49%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)12-10 2024-12-10/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners15.77%
Inst Owner Change-1.33%
Ins Owners3.62%
Ins Owner Change-10.67%
Market Cap44.32M
Analysts82.5
Price Target3.06 (-12.94%)
Short Float %1.59%
Short Ratio0.26
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.58%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)300%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.32%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.71%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.76
Fwd PE 29.97
P/S 0.15
P/FCF 4.08
P/OCF 3.14
P/B 0.78
P/tB 1.76
EV/EBITDA 12.15
EPS(TTM)0.36
EY10.24%
EPS(NY)0.12
Fwd EY3.34%
FCF(TTM)0.86
FCFY24.51%
OCF(TTM)1.12
OCFY31.87%
SpS22.9
BVpS4.53
TBVpS1.99
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.82%
ROE 8.11%
ROCE 1.62%
ROIC 1.28%
ROICexc 1.28%
ROICexgc 1.53%
OM 1.1%
PM (TTM) 1.6%
GM 48.22%
FCFM 3.76%
ROA(3y)-1.7%
ROA(5y)-3.28%
ROE(3y)-52.49%
ROE(5y)-46.66%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.14%
GM growth 5Y-0.57%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.13
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.89
Debt/FCF 4.66
Debt/EBITDA 6.76
Cap/Depr 75.89%
Cap/Sales 1.13%
Interest Coverage 1.58
Cash Conversion 188.78%
Profit Quality 234.62%
Current Ratio 1.74
Quick Ratio 0.64
Altman-Z -4.48
F-Score6
WACC8.54%
ROIC/WACC0.15
Cap/Depr(3y)46.93%
Cap/Depr(5y)47.72%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.13%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%335.41%
EPS Next Y-98%
EPS Next 2Y-76.02%
EPS Next 3Y-41.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.5%
Revenue growth 3Y10.03%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.13%
Sales Q2Q%0%
Revenue Next Year-0.23%
Revenue Next 2Y2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y2.88%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y157.12%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year935.22%
EBIT Next 3Y180.51%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y138.94%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y156.83%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-8.94%