VINCE HOLDING CORP (VNCE)

US92719W2070 - Common Stock

4  -1 (-20%)

Premarket: 4.12 +0.12 (+3%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Overall VNCE gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated VNCE against 50 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. VNCE may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. VNCE has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.



3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year VNCE was profitable.
In the past year VNCE had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: VNCE reported negative net income in multiple years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: VNCE reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.

1.2 Ratios

VNCE has a Return On Assets (1.82%) which is in line with its industry peers.
VNCE has a better Return On Equity (8.11%) than 62.00% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of VNCE (1.28%) is worse than 70.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.82%
ROE 8.11%
ROIC 1.28%
ROA(3y)-1.7%
ROA(5y)-3.28%
ROE(3y)-52.49%
ROE(5y)-46.66%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

VNCE's Profit Margin of 1.60% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VNCE outperforms 48.00% of its industry peers.
VNCE's Operating Margin of 1.10% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VNCE is outperformed by 70.00% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 48.22%, VNCE is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VNCE has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.1%
PM (TTM) 1.6%
GM 48.22%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.14%
GM growth 5Y-0.57%

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

VNCE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, VNCE has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for VNCE has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, VNCE has an improved debt to assets ratio.

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -4.45, we must say that VNCE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -4.45, VNCE is doing worse than 94.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of VNCE is 4.66, which is a neutral value as it means it would take VNCE, 4.66 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 4.66, VNCE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.00% of the companies in the same industry.
VNCE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.89. This is a neutral value indicating VNCE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of VNCE (0.89) is worse than 78.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.89
Debt/FCF 4.66
Altman-Z -4.45
ROIC/WACC0.14
WACC8.86%

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.74 indicates that VNCE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
VNCE has a worse Current ratio (1.74) than 66.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.64 indicates that VNCE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
VNCE has a Quick ratio of 0.64. This is amonst the worse of the industry: VNCE underperforms 92.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.74
Quick Ratio 0.64

1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for VNCE have decreased strongly by -76.18% in the last year.
VNCE shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.50%.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -4.13% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%335.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.5%
Revenue growth 3Y10.03%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.13%
Sales Q2Q%0%

3.2 Future

VNCE is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -41.03% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.88% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-98%
EPS Next 2Y-76.02%
EPS Next 3Y-41.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year0.09%
Revenue Next 2Y2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y2.88%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.11, the valuation of VNCE can be described as very reasonable.
VNCE's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. VNCE is cheaper than 84.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.54. VNCE is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 34.10, which means the current valuation is very expensive for VNCE.
66.00% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than VNCE, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.99, VNCE is valued a bit more expensive.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.11
Fwd PE 34.1

4.2 Price Multiples

VNCE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of VNCE indicates a rather cheap valuation: VNCE is cheaper than 96.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 4.64
EV/EBITDA 13.38

4.3 Compensation for Growth

VNCE's earnings are expected to decrease with -41.03% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-76.02%
EPS Next 3Y-41.03%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for VNCE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

VINCE HOLDING CORP

NYSE:VNCE (12/24/2024, 7:44:28 PM)

Premarket: 4.12 +0.12 (+3%)

4

-1 (-20%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)12-10 2024-12-10/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners15.77%
Inst Owner Change1.92%
Ins Owners3.62%
Ins Owner Change2.94%
Market Cap50.44M
Analysts82.5
Price Target3.06 (-23.5%)
Short Float %0.71%
Short Ratio1.72
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.58%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-60%
EPS NY rev (3m)300%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.39%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.33%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.11
Fwd PE 34.1
P/S 0.17
P/FCF 4.64
P/OCF 3.57
P/B 0.88
P/tB 2.01
EV/EBITDA 13.38
EPS(TTM)0.36
EY9%
EPS(NY)0.12
Fwd EY2.93%
FCF(TTM)0.86
FCFY21.54%
OCF(TTM)1.12
OCFY28.01%
SpS22.9
BVpS4.53
TBVpS1.99
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.82%
ROE 8.11%
ROCE 1.62%
ROIC 1.28%
ROICexc 1.28%
ROICexgc 1.53%
OM 1.1%
PM (TTM) 1.6%
GM 48.22%
FCFM 3.76%
ROA(3y)-1.7%
ROA(5y)-3.28%
ROE(3y)-52.49%
ROE(5y)-46.66%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.14%
GM growth 5Y-0.57%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.13
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.89
Debt/FCF 4.66
Debt/EBITDA 6.76
Cap/Depr 75.89%
Cap/Sales 1.13%
Interest Coverage 1.58
Cash Conversion 188.78%
Profit Quality 234.62%
Current Ratio 1.74
Quick Ratio 0.64
Altman-Z -4.45
F-Score6
WACC8.86%
ROIC/WACC0.14
Cap/Depr(3y)46.93%
Cap/Depr(5y)47.72%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.13%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%335.41%
EPS Next Y-98%
EPS Next 2Y-76.02%
EPS Next 3Y-41.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.5%
Revenue growth 3Y10.03%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.13%
Sales Q2Q%0%
Revenue Next Year0.09%
Revenue Next 2Y2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y2.88%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y157.12%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year954.81%
EBIT Next 3Y180.51%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y138.94%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y156.83%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-8.94%