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VINCE HOLDING CORP (VNCE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:VNCE - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US92719W2070 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

1.78  +0.02 (+1.14%)

Fundamental Rating

2

VNCE gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 49 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. VNCE has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. VNCE has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

VNCE had positive earnings in the past year.
VNCE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years VNCE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: VNCE reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
VNCE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVNCE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M -100M -150M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of VNCE (1.82%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
VNCE's Return On Equity of 8.11% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VNCE outperforms 55.10% of its industry peers.
VNCE has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.28%. This is in the lower half of the industry: VNCE underperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.82%
ROE 8.11%
ROIC 1.28%
ROA(3y)-1.7%
ROA(5y)-3.28%
ROE(3y)-52.49%
ROE(5y)-46.66%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
VNCE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVNCE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 400 600 800 1K

1.3 Margins

VNCE has a Profit Margin of 1.60%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VNCE outperforms 44.90% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 1.10%, VNCE is doing worse than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
The Gross Margin of VNCE (48.22%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
VNCE's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.1%
PM (TTM) 1.6%
GM 48.22%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.14%
GM growth 5Y-0.57%
VNCE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVNCE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 -60

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VNCE is destroying value.
VNCE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for VNCE has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, VNCE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
VNCE Yearly Shares OutstandingVNCE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M
VNCE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVNCE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -4.54, we must say that VNCE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
VNCE's Altman-Z score of -4.54 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VNCE is outperformed by 93.88% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of VNCE is 4.66, which is a neutral value as it means it would take VNCE, 4.66 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 4.66, VNCE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.94% of the companies in the same industry.
VNCE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.89. This is a neutral value indicating VNCE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
VNCE's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.89 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VNCE is outperformed by 69.39% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.89
Debt/FCF 4.66
Altman-Z -4.54
ROIC/WACC0.15
WACC8.59%
VNCE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVNCE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M

2.3 Liquidity

VNCE has a Current Ratio of 1.74. This is a normal value and indicates that VNCE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.74, VNCE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.90% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.64 indicates that VNCE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
VNCE has a worse Quick ratio (0.64) than 89.80% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.74
Quick Ratio 0.64
VNCE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVNCE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for VNCE have decreased strongly by -76.18% in the last year.
The Revenue has decreased by -6.50% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, VNCE shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -4.13% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.5%
Revenue growth 3Y10.03%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.13%
Sales Q2Q%0%

3.2 Future

VNCE is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -41.03% yearly.
VNCE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.88% yearly.
EPS Next Y-83.24%
EPS Next 2Y-68.77%
EPS Next 3Y-41.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.23%
Revenue Next 2Y2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y2.88%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
VNCE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVNCE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 100M 200M 300M
VNCE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVNCE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2020 2021 2022 2023 2025 2026 2027 0 2 -2 4 6 8

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 4.94, the valuation of VNCE can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, VNCE is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.96% of the companies are valued more expensively.
VNCE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.98.
VNCE is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.95.
VNCE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. VNCE is cheaper than 87.76% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.38, VNCE is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.94
Fwd PE 8.95
VNCE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVNCE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of VNCE is on the same level as its industry peers.
VNCE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. VNCE is cheaper than 97.96% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 2.07
EV/EBITDA 9.61
VNCE Per share dataVNCE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

VNCE's earnings are expected to decrease with -41.03% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-68.77%
EPS Next 3Y-41.03%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

VNCE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

VINCE HOLDING CORP

NYSE:VNCE (4/29/2025, 6:40:00 PM)

1.78

+0.02 (+1.14%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)12-10 2024-12-10/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-02 2025-05-02/amc
Inst Owners7.68%
Inst Owner Change-0.42%
Ins Owners3.63%
Ins Owner Change-1.59%
Market Cap22.45M
Analysts82.5
Price Target6.63 (272.47%)
Short Float %2.72%
Short Ratio2.35
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)61.89%
Min EPS beat(2)4.17%
Max EPS beat(2)119.61%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.58%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)116.67%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-18.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)737.5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.94
Fwd PE 8.95
P/S 0.08
P/FCF 2.07
P/OCF 1.59
P/B 0.39
P/tB 0.89
EV/EBITDA 9.61
EPS(TTM)0.36
EY20.22%
EPS(NY)0.2
Fwd EY11.17%
FCF(TTM)0.86
FCFY48.4%
OCF(TTM)1.12
OCFY62.94%
SpS22.9
BVpS4.53
TBVpS1.99
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.82%
ROE 8.11%
ROCE 1.62%
ROIC 1.28%
ROICexc 1.28%
ROICexgc 1.53%
OM 1.1%
PM (TTM) 1.6%
GM 48.22%
FCFM 3.76%
ROA(3y)-1.7%
ROA(5y)-3.28%
ROE(3y)-52.49%
ROE(5y)-46.66%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.14%
GM growth 5Y-0.57%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.13
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.89
Debt/FCF 4.66
Debt/EBITDA 6.76
Cap/Depr 75.89%
Cap/Sales 1.13%
Interest Coverage 1.58
Cash Conversion 188.78%
Profit Quality 234.62%
Current Ratio 1.74
Quick Ratio 0.64
Altman-Z -4.54
F-Score6
WACC8.59%
ROIC/WACC0.15
Cap/Depr(3y)46.93%
Cap/Depr(5y)47.72%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.13%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-83.24%
EPS Next 2Y-68.77%
EPS Next 3Y-41.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.5%
Revenue growth 3Y10.03%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.13%
Sales Q2Q%0%
Revenue Next Year-0.23%
Revenue Next 2Y2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y2.88%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y157.12%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year935.22%
EBIT Next 3Y180.51%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y138.94%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y156.83%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-8.94%