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Vmware Inc (VMW) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:VMW - US9285634021 - Common Stock

142.48 USD
-7.43 (-4.96%)
Last: 11/21/2023, 8:04:00 PM
143 USD
+0.52 (+0.36%)
Pre-Market: 11/22/2023, 7:28:31 AM
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to VMW. VMW was compared to 278 industry peers in the Software industry. VMW scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. VMW is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year VMW was profitable.
In the past year VMW had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years VMW has been profitable.
In the past 5 years VMW always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
VMW Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVMW Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B 6B

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 4.43%, VMW belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.92% of the companies in the same industry.
VMW has a Return On Equity of 55.99%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VMW outperforms 97.86% of its industry peers.
VMW has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.86%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VMW outperforms 85.05% of its industry peers.
VMW had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 9.40%. This is in line with the industry average of 10.78%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.43%
ROE 55.99%
ROIC 7.86%
ROA(3y)5.88%
ROA(5y)10.66%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)9.4%
ROIC(5y)10.41%
VMW Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVMW Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100 -100 200 -200

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of VMW (10.48%) is better than 84.70% of its industry peers.
VMW's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
VMW has a better Operating Margin (14.00%) than 84.70% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VMW has declined.
VMW has a better Gross Margin (81.19%) than 86.83% of its industry peers.
VMW's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14%
PM (TTM) 10.48%
GM 81.19%
OM growth 3Y2.65%
OM growth 5Y-7.92%
PM growth 3Y-45.05%
PM growth 5Y3.26%
GM growth 3Y-0.79%
GM growth 5Y-0.97%
VMW Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVMW Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40 60 80

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VMW is destroying value.
VMW has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for VMW has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
VMW has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
VMW Yearly Shares OutstandingVMW Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M
VMW Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVMW Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

VMW has an Altman-Z score of 1.85. This is not the best score and indicates that VMW is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.85, VMW is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.40% of the companies in the same industry.
VMW has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.25. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as VMW would need 2.25 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.25, VMW is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.67% of the companies in the same industry.
VMW has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.73. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
VMW's Debt to Equity ratio of 3.73 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VMW is outperformed by 87.19% of its industry peers.
Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for VMW, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.73
Debt/FCF 2.25
Altman-Z 1.85
ROIC/WACC0.77
WACC10.18%
VMW Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVMW Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.87 indicates that VMW may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
VMW has a worse Current ratio (0.87) than 82.56% of its industry peers.
VMW has a Quick Ratio of 0.87. This is a bad value and indicates that VMW is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.87, VMW is doing worse than 81.49% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.87
Quick Ratio 0.87
VMW Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVMW Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

VMW shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 3.90%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.63% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.56% in the past year.
VMW shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.17% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.9%
EPS 3Y0.31%
EPS 5Y4.63%
EPS Q2Q%11.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.56%
Revenue growth 3Y7.28%
Revenue growth 5Y11.17%
Sales Q2Q%2.16%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.04% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, VMW will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.40% on average per year.
EPS Next Y9.9%
EPS Next 2Y12.07%
EPS Next 3Y8.72%
EPS Next 5Y7.04%
Revenue Next Year4.52%
Revenue Next 2Y5.39%
Revenue Next 3Y5.55%
Revenue Next 5Y8.4%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
VMW Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVMW Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
VMW Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVMW Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5 10 15

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

VMW is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.59.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, VMW is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.77% of the companies are valued more expensively.
VMW's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.39.
VMW is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.40.
VMW's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. VMW is cheaper than 85.41% of the companies in the same industry.
VMW's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.84.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.59
Fwd PE 17.4
VMW Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVMW Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, VMW is valued cheaper than 85.41% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, VMW is valued cheaply inside the industry as 92.53% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.2
EV/EBITDA 20.29
VMW Per share dataVMW EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates VMW does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The excellent profitability rating of VMW may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.08
PEG (5Y)4.45
EPS Next 2Y12.07%
EPS Next 3Y8.72%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

VMW does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

Vmware Inc

NYSE:VMW (11/21/2023, 8:04:00 PM)

Premarket: 143 +0.52 (+0.36%)

142.48

-7.43 (-4.96%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)11-30 2023-11-30/amc
Earnings (Next)02-29 2024-02-29/amc
Inst Owners0.21%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.31%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap61.52B
Revenue(TTM)13.61B
Net Income(TTM)1.43B
Analysts53.33
Price Target169.22 (18.77%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.18%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.43%
Max EPS beat(2)5.79%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)0.57%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.68%
Max EPS beat(4)9.61%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.27%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.34%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)9.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.55%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.66%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.59
Fwd PE 17.4
P/S 4.52
P/FCF 13.2
P/OCF 12.08
P/B 24.15
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 20.29
EPS(TTM)6.92
EY4.86%
EPS(NY)8.19
Fwd EY5.75%
FCF(TTM)10.8
FCFY7.58%
OCF(TTM)11.79
OCFY8.28%
SpS31.52
BVpS5.9
TBVpS-17.18
PEG (NY)2.08
PEG (5Y)4.45
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.43%
ROE 55.99%
ROCE 9.79%
ROIC 7.86%
ROICexc 12.08%
ROICexgc 56.72%
OM 14%
PM (TTM) 10.48%
GM 81.19%
FCFM 34.25%
ROA(3y)5.88%
ROA(5y)10.66%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)9.4%
ROIC(5y)10.41%
ROICexc(3y)12.19%
ROICexc(5y)13.94%
ROICexgc(3y)39.61%
ROICexgc(5y)182.58%
ROCE(3y)11.7%
ROCE(5y)12.97%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.41%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y8.25%
ROICexc growth 5Y-17.26%
OM growth 3Y2.65%
OM growth 5Y-7.92%
PM growth 3Y-45.05%
PM growth 5Y3.26%
GM growth 3Y-0.79%
GM growth 5Y-0.97%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.42
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.73
Debt/FCF 2.25
Debt/EBITDA 2.95
Cap/Depr 32.82%
Cap/Sales 3.16%
Interest Coverage 6.23
Cash Conversion 158.38%
Profit Quality 326.93%
Current Ratio 0.87
Quick Ratio 0.87
Altman-Z 1.85
F-Score6
WACC10.18%
ROIC/WACC0.77
Cap/Depr(3y)34.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)34.05%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.06%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.88%
Profit Quality(3y)236.48%
Profit Quality(5y)194.34%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.9%
EPS 3Y0.31%
EPS 5Y4.63%
EPS Q2Q%11.59%
EPS Next Y9.9%
EPS Next 2Y12.07%
EPS Next 3Y8.72%
EPS Next 5Y7.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.56%
Revenue growth 3Y7.28%
Revenue growth 5Y11.17%
Sales Q2Q%2.16%
Revenue Next Year4.52%
Revenue Next 2Y5.39%
Revenue Next 3Y5.55%
Revenue Next 5Y8.4%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.59%
EBIT growth 3Y10.12%
EBIT growth 5Y2.37%
EBIT Next Year34.25%
EBIT Next 3Y19.61%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y13.1%
FCF growth 3Y2.33%
FCF growth 5Y5.43%
OCF growth 1Y14.56%
OCF growth 3Y3.56%
OCF growth 5Y5.97%

Vmware Inc / VMW FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of Vmware Inc (VMW) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to VMW.


What is the valuation status of Vmware Inc (VMW) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to Vmware Inc (VMW). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of VMW stock?

Vmware Inc (VMW) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for VMW stock?

The financial health rating of Vmware Inc (VMW) is 3 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for VMW stock?

The dividend rating of Vmware Inc (VMW) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.