Vmware Inc (VMW) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:VMWUS9285634021

Current stock price

142.48 USD
-7.43 (-4.96%)
At close:
143 USD
+0.52 (+0.36%)
Pre-Market:

This VMW fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. VMW Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • VMW had positive earnings in the past year.
  • VMW had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years VMW has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years VMW always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
VMW Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVMW Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B 6B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.43%, VMW belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.92% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 55.99%, VMW belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VMW has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.86%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VMW outperforms 85.05% of its industry peers.
  • VMW had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 9.40%. This is in line with the industry average of 10.99%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.43%
ROE 55.99%
ROIC 7.86%
ROA(3y)5.88%
ROA(5y)10.66%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)9.4%
ROIC(5y)10.41%
VMW Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVMW Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100 -100 200 -200

1.3 Margins

  • VMW's Profit Margin of 10.48% is amongst the best of the industry. VMW outperforms 84.70% of its industry peers.
  • VMW's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • VMW has a Operating Margin of 14.00%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VMW outperforms 84.70% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VMW has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 81.19%, VMW belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.83% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VMW has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14%
PM (TTM) 10.48%
GM 81.19%
OM growth 3Y2.65%
OM growth 5Y-7.92%
PM growth 3Y-45.05%
PM growth 5Y3.26%
GM growth 3Y-0.79%
GM growth 5Y-0.97%
VMW Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVMW Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40 60 80

3

2. VMW Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VMW is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for VMW has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, VMW has an improved debt to assets ratio.
VMW Yearly Shares OutstandingVMW Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M
VMW Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVMW Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 1.85 indicates that VMW is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • VMW's Altman-Z score of 1.85 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VMW outperforms 48.40% of its industry peers.
  • VMW has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.25. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as VMW would need 2.25 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • VMW's Debt to FCF ratio of 2.25 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VMW outperforms 73.67% of its industry peers.
  • VMW has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.73. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 3.73, VMW is not doing good in the industry: 87.19% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • Although VMW's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.73
Debt/FCF 2.25
Altman-Z 1.85
ROIC/WACC0.77
WACC10.18%
VMW Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVMW Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • VMW has a Current Ratio of 0.87. This is a bad value and indicates that VMW is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • VMW's Current ratio of 0.87 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VMW is outperformed by 82.56% of its industry peers.
  • VMW has a Quick Ratio of 0.87. This is a bad value and indicates that VMW is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • VMW's Quick ratio of 0.87 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VMW is outperformed by 81.49% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.87
Quick Ratio 0.87
VMW Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVMW Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

5

3. VMW Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • VMW shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 3.90%.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, VMW shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.63% on average per year.
  • VMW shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.56%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 11.17% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.9%
EPS 3Y0.31%
EPS 5Y4.63%
EPS Q2Q%11.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.56%
Revenue growth 3Y7.28%
Revenue growth 5Y11.17%
Sales Q2Q%2.16%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.04% on average over the next years.
  • VMW is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.40% yearly.
EPS Next Y9.9%
EPS Next 2Y12.07%
EPS Next 3Y8.72%
EPS Next 5Y7.04%
Revenue Next Year4.52%
Revenue Next 2Y5.39%
Revenue Next 3Y5.55%
Revenue Next 5Y8.4%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
VMW Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVMW Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
VMW Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVMW Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5 10 15

6

4. VMW Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 20.59, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of VMW.
  • 85.77% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VMW, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.91, VMW is valued a bit cheaper.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.40, VMW is valued on the expensive side.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VMW is valued cheaper than 85.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VMW's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.68.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.59
Fwd PE 17.4
VMW Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVMW Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • VMW's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. VMW is cheaper than 85.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of VMW indicates a rather cheap valuation: VMW is cheaper than 92.53% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.2
EV/EBITDA 20.29
VMW Per share dataVMW EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of VMW may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.08
PEG (5Y)4.45
EPS Next 2Y12.07%
EPS Next 3Y8.72%

0

5. VMW Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • VMW does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

VMW Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Vmware Inc

NYSE:VMW (11/21/2023, 8:04:00 PM)

Premarket: 143 +0.52 (+0.36%)

142.48

-7.43 (-4.96%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)11-30
Earnings (Next)02-29
Inst Owners0.21%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.31%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap61.52B
Revenue(TTM)13.61B
Net Income(TTM)1.43B
Analysts53.33
Price Target169.22 (18.77%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.18%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.43%
Max EPS beat(2)5.79%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)0.57%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.68%
Max EPS beat(4)9.61%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.27%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.34%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)9.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.55%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.66%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.59
Fwd PE 17.4
P/S 4.52
P/FCF 13.2
P/OCF 12.08
P/B 24.15
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 20.29
EPS(TTM)6.92
EY4.86%
EPS(NY)8.19
Fwd EY5.75%
FCF(TTM)10.8
FCFY7.58%
OCF(TTM)11.79
OCFY8.28%
SpS31.52
BVpS5.9
TBVpS-17.18
PEG (NY)2.08
PEG (5Y)4.45
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.43%
ROE 55.99%
ROCE 9.79%
ROIC 7.86%
ROICexc 12.08%
ROICexgc 56.72%
OM 14%
PM (TTM) 10.48%
GM 81.19%
FCFM 34.25%
ROA(3y)5.88%
ROA(5y)10.66%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)9.4%
ROIC(5y)10.41%
ROICexc(3y)12.19%
ROICexc(5y)13.94%
ROICexgc(3y)39.61%
ROICexgc(5y)182.58%
ROCE(3y)11.7%
ROCE(5y)12.97%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.41%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y8.25%
ROICexc growth 5Y-17.26%
OM growth 3Y2.65%
OM growth 5Y-7.92%
PM growth 3Y-45.05%
PM growth 5Y3.26%
GM growth 3Y-0.79%
GM growth 5Y-0.97%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.42
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.73
Debt/FCF 2.25
Debt/EBITDA 2.95
Cap/Depr 32.82%
Cap/Sales 3.16%
Interest Coverage 6.23
Cash Conversion 158.38%
Profit Quality 326.93%
Current Ratio 0.87
Quick Ratio 0.87
Altman-Z 1.85
F-Score6
WACC10.18%
ROIC/WACC0.77
Cap/Depr(3y)34.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)34.05%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.06%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.88%
Profit Quality(3y)236.48%
Profit Quality(5y)194.34%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.9%
EPS 3Y0.31%
EPS 5Y4.63%
EPS Q2Q%11.59%
EPS Next Y9.9%
EPS Next 2Y12.07%
EPS Next 3Y8.72%
EPS Next 5Y7.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.56%
Revenue growth 3Y7.28%
Revenue growth 5Y11.17%
Sales Q2Q%2.16%
Revenue Next Year4.52%
Revenue Next 2Y5.39%
Revenue Next 3Y5.55%
Revenue Next 5Y8.4%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.59%
EBIT growth 3Y10.12%
EBIT growth 5Y2.37%
EBIT Next Year34.25%
EBIT Next 3Y19.61%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y13.1%
FCF growth 3Y2.33%
FCF growth 5Y5.43%
OCF growth 1Y14.56%
OCF growth 3Y3.56%
OCF growth 5Y5.97%

Vmware Inc / VMW Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of Vmware Inc (VMW) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to VMW.


What is the valuation status for VMW stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to Vmware Inc (VMW). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is Vmware Inc (VMW) stock?

Vmware Inc (VMW) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for VMW stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Vmware Inc (VMW) is 20.59 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 24.15.


Is the dividend of Vmware Inc sustainable?

The dividend rating of Vmware Inc (VMW) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.