VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:VLO • US91913Y1001

Current stock price

251.3 USD
+11.03 (+4.59%)
At close:
251.91 USD
+0.61 (+0.24%)
After Hours:

This VLO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. VLO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year VLO was profitable.
  • In the past year VLO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • VLO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years VLO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
VLO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVLO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of VLO (4.03%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Return On Equity of VLO (9.85%) is better than 60.29% of its industry peers.
  • VLO's Return On Invested Capital of 7.67% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VLO outperforms 70.33% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for VLO is significantly below the industry average of 22.52%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.03%
ROE 9.85%
ROIC 7.67%
ROA(3y)7.53%
ROA(5y)8.61%
ROE(3y)18.19%
ROE(5y)21.67%
ROIC(3y)11.41%
ROIC(5y)13.3%
VLO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVLO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

  • VLO has a worse Profit Margin (1.91%) than 60.29% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of VLO has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 3.51%, VLO is doing worse than 65.07% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VLO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • VLO has a Gross Margin of 4.43%. This is in the lower half of the industry: VLO underperforms 76.56% of its industry peers.
  • VLO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.51%
PM (TTM) 1.91%
GM 4.43%
OM growth 3Y-26.71%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-33.58%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-22.49%
GM growth 5YN/A
VLO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVLO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2 -2 4 6 8

More info and screens

ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

7

2. VLO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • VLO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • VLO has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for VLO has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, VLO has a worse debt to assets ratio.
VLO Yearly Shares OutstandingVLO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M
VLO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVLO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.97 indicates that VLO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of VLO (4.97) is better than 88.04% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of VLO is 2.11, which is a good value as it means it would take VLO, 2.11 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.11, VLO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.69% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.41 indicates that VLO is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • VLO has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.41) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF 2.11
Altman-Z 4.97
ROIC/WACC0.92
WACC8.34%
VLO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVLO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.65 indicates that VLO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • VLO has a better Current ratio (1.65) than 70.33% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.11 indicates that VLO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • VLO's Quick ratio of 1.11 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VLO outperforms 55.98% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.11
VLO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVLO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. VLO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 28.16% over the past year.
  • The earnings per share for VLO have been decreasing by -28.61% on average. This is quite bad
  • Looking at the last year, VLO shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -5.54% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, VLO shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 13.58% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)28.16%
EPS 3Y-28.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%496.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.54%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.4%
Revenue growth 5Y13.58%
Sales Q2Q%-1.25%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, VLO will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 24.70% on average per year.
  • VLO is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.98% yearly.
EPS Next Y75.31%
EPS Next 2Y24.06%
EPS Next 3Y15.26%
EPS Next 5Y24.7%
Revenue Next Year4.13%
Revenue Next 2Y0.56%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.43%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.98%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
VLO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVLO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 50B 100B 150B
VLO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVLO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 10 20 30

More info and screens

Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

5

4. VLO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 23.60, VLO is valued on the expensive side.
  • VLO's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of VLO to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.91), we can say VLO is valued inline with the index average.
  • VLO is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.46.
  • 69.38% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VLO, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.99, VLO is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.6
Fwd PE 13.46
VLO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVLO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of VLO is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of VLO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: VLO is cheaper than 70.81% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.94
EV/EBITDA 10.41
VLO Per share dataVLO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 100 200 300 400

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as VLO's earnings are expected to grow with 15.26% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.31
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.06%
EPS Next 3Y15.26%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. VLO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • VLO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.05%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.22, VLO has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, VLO has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.05%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of VLO has a limited annual growth rate of 3.17%.
  • VLO has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • VLO has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.17%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years15
VLO Yearly Dividends per shareVLO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

  • VLO pays out 60.09% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • VLO's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP60.09%
EPS Next 2Y24.06%
EPS Next 3Y15.26%
VLO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendVLO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
VLO Dividend Payout.VLO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.VLO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

VLO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

VALERO ENERGY CORP

NYSE:VLO (4/29/2026, 4:42:56 PM)

After market: 251.91 +0.61 (+0.24%)

251.3

+11.03 (+4.59%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Industry Strength89.44
Industry Growth90.68
Earnings (Last)01-29
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners87.68%
Inst Owner Change0.28%
Ins Owners0.35%
Ins Owner Change1.5%
Market Cap75.13B
Revenue(TTM)122.69B
Net Income(TTM)2.34B
Analysts74.62
Price Target243.27 (-3.2%)
Short Float %2.98%
Short Ratio2.34
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.05%
Yearly Dividend4.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.17%
DP60.09%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years15
Ex-Date02-05
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)17.3%
Min EPS beat(2)15.8%
Max EPS beat(2)18.81%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)43.51%
Min EPS beat(4)15.8%
Max EPS beat(4)109.4%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)130.41%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)90%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)72.02%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.91%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.24%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.5%
Min Revenue beat(4)4.47%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.72%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.48%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.47%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.43%
PT rev (1m)20.4%
PT rev (3m)28.24%
EPS NQ rev (1m)42.16%
EPS NQ rev (3m)65.78%
EPS NY rev (1m)53.73%
EPS NY rev (3m)54.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.16%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)9.68%
Revenue NY rev (1m)10.59%
Revenue NY rev (3m)16.36%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.6
Fwd PE 13.46
P/S 0.61
P/FCF 14.94
P/OCF 12.89
P/B 3.17
P/tB 3.22
EV/EBITDA 10.41
EPS(TTM)10.65
EY4.24%
EPS(NY)18.67
Fwd EY7.43%
FCF(TTM)16.83
FCFY6.7%
OCF(TTM)19.49
OCFY7.75%
SpS410.39
BVpS79.36
TBVpS78.08
PEG (NY)0.31
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number137.902 (-45.12%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.03%
ROE 9.85%
ROCE 9.83%
ROIC 7.67%
ROICexc 8.58%
ROICexgc 8.67%
OM 3.51%
PM (TTM) 1.91%
GM 4.43%
FCFM 4.1%
ROA(3y)7.53%
ROA(5y)8.61%
ROE(3y)18.19%
ROE(5y)21.67%
ROIC(3y)11.41%
ROIC(5y)13.3%
ROICexc(3y)12.86%
ROICexc(5y)14.97%
ROICexgc(3y)12.99%
ROICexgc(5y)15.11%
ROCE(3y)14.62%
ROCE(5y)17.05%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-35.29%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.36%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-26.71%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-33.58%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-22.49%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover2.12
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF 2.11
Debt/EBITDA 1.29
Cap/Depr 25.21%
Cap/Sales 0.65%
Interest Coverage 8.09
Cash Conversion 77.99%
Profit Quality 215.14%
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.11
Altman-Z 4.97
F-Score6
WACC8.34%
ROIC/WACC0.92
Cap/Depr(3y)30.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)45.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.88%
Profit Quality(3y)172.81%
Profit Quality(5y)213.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)28.16%
EPS 3Y-28.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%496.87%
EPS Next Y75.31%
EPS Next 2Y24.06%
EPS Next 3Y15.26%
EPS Next 5Y24.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.54%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.4%
Revenue growth 5Y13.58%
Sales Q2Q%-1.25%
Revenue Next Year4.13%
Revenue Next 2Y0.56%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.43%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.98%
EBIT growth 1Y14.83%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.06%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year198.37%
EBIT Next 3Y38.47%
EBIT Next 5Y27.29%
FCF growth 1Y-12.92%
FCF growth 3Y-22.71%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-12.82%
OCF growth 3Y-22.62%
OCF growth 5Y43.78%

VALERO ENERGY CORP / VLO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for VALERO ENERGY CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to VLO.


What is the valuation status of VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO) stock?

VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for VLO stock?

The financial health rating of VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO) is 7 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for VALERO ENERGY CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO) is expected to grow by 75.31% in the next year.