VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV (VIST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:VIST - US92837L1098 - ADR
47.14 USD
+0.56 (+1.2%)
47.99 USD
+0.85 (+1.8%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to VIST. VIST was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While VIST belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are concerns on its financial health. VIST is evaluated to be cheap and growing strongly. This does not happen too often!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
VIST had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year VIST had a positive cash flow from operations.
VIST had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years VIST had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
VIST has a better Return On Assets (10.85%) than 90.95% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of VIST (30.36%) is better than 92.86% of its industry peers.
VIST's Return On Invested Capital of 13.74% is amongst the best of the industry. VIST outperforms 91.43% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for VIST is in line with the industry average of 21.09%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (13.74%) for VIST is well below the 3 year average (20.83%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that VIST had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.85% | ||
| ROE | 30.36% | ||
| ROIC | 13.74% |
ROA(3y)13.26%
ROA(5y)7.06%
ROE(3y)31.07%
ROE(5y)16.4%
ROIC(3y)20.83%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
VIST has a better Profit Margin (32.83%) than 90.00% of its industry peers.
VIST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 44.41%, VIST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VIST has grown nicely.
VIST's Gross Margin of 47.20% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VIST outperforms 56.67% of its industry peers.
VIST's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 44.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 32.83% | ||
| GM | 47.2% |
OM growth 3Y7.76%
OM growth 5Y60.73%
PM growth 3Y55.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.68%
GM growth 5Y18.64%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VIST is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, VIST has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for VIST has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, VIST has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.77, we must say that VIST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
VIST's Altman-Z score of 1.77 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VIST outperforms 63.81% of its industry peers.
VIST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.00, VIST is not doing good in the industry: 68.57% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.77 |
ROIC/WACC1.14
WACC12.06%
2.3 Liquidity
VIST has a Current Ratio of 0.62. This is a bad value and indicates that VIST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.62, VIST is not doing good in the industry: 78.57% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
VIST has a Quick Ratio of 0.62. This is a bad value and indicates that VIST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.61, VIST is not doing good in the industry: 70.48% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.61 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 30.57% over the past year.
VIST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 104.34% yearly.
VIST shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 46.35%.
The Revenue has been growing by 31.69% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.57%
EPS 3Y104.34%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%77.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)46.35%
Revenue growth 3Y36.2%
Revenue growth 5Y31.69%
Sales Q2Q%52.72%
3.2 Future
VIST is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 26.02% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 14.57% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y37.2%
EPS Next 2Y7.77%
EPS Next 3Y26.02%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year44.27%
Revenue Next 2Y30.48%
Revenue Next 3Y26.91%
Revenue Next 5Y14.57%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 10.48 indicates a reasonable valuation of VIST.
VIST's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. VIST is cheaper than 77.62% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.50. VIST is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 9.01, which indicates a very decent valuation of VIST.
79.05% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VIST, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VIST to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.93), we can say VIST is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.01 |
4.2 Price Multiples
78.10% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VIST, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.62 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
VIST has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
VIST's earnings are expected to grow with 26.02% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.28
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y7.77%
EPS Next 3Y26.02%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
VIST does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
47.14
+0.56 (+1.2%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners12.82%
Inst Owner Change3.6%
Ins Owners8.09%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.91B
Revenue(TTM)2.23B
Net Income(TTM)731.02M
Analysts82.22
Price Target75.72 (60.63%)
Short Float %3.63%
Short Ratio2.88
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)15.33%
PT rev (3m)9.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)17.78%
EPS NY rev (3m)20.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.26%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.88%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.01 | ||
| P/S | 2.21 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 6.73 | ||
| P/B | 2.04 | ||
| P/tB | 2.07 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.62 |
EPS(TTM)4.5
EY9.55%
EPS(NY)5.23
Fwd EY11.09%
FCF(TTM)-6.74
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)7.01
OCFY14.86%
SpS21.36
BVpS23.09
TBVpS22.75
PEG (NY)0.28
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number48.35
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.85% | ||
| ROE | 30.36% | ||
| ROCE | 17.89% | ||
| ROIC | 13.74% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.58% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.68% | ||
| OM | 44.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 32.83% | ||
| GM | 47.2% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)13.26%
ROA(5y)7.06%
ROE(3y)31.07%
ROE(5y)16.4%
ROIC(3y)20.83%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)23.46%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)23.92%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)27.11%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y1.27%
ROICexgc growth 5Y66.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y67.51%
OM growth 3Y7.76%
OM growth 5Y60.73%
PM growth 3Y55.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.68%
GM growth 5Y18.64%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.33
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.47 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 219.26% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 64.35% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 9.25 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 44.48% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.77 |
F-Score4
WACC12.06%
ROIC/WACC1.14
Cap/Depr(3y)253.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)206.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)59.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)57.1%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.57%
EPS 3Y104.34%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%77.15%
EPS Next Y37.2%
EPS Next 2Y7.77%
EPS Next 3Y26.02%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)46.35%
Revenue growth 3Y36.2%
Revenue growth 5Y31.69%
Sales Q2Q%52.72%
Revenue Next Year44.27%
Revenue Next 2Y30.48%
Revenue Next 3Y26.91%
Revenue Next 5Y14.57%
EBIT growth 1Y47.03%
EBIT growth 3Y46.76%
EBIT growth 5Y111.68%
EBIT Next Year278.99%
EBIT Next 3Y54.69%
EBIT Next 5Y28.61%
FCF growth 1Y-2071.77%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y25.78%
OCF growth 3Y33.69%
OCF growth 5Y48.18%
VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV / VIST FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for VIST stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to VIST.
What is the valuation status of VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV (VIST) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV (VIST). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of VIST stock?
VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV (VIST) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the valuation of VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV (VIST) is 10.48 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.04.
What is the expected EPS growth for VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV (VIST) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV (VIST) is expected to grow by 37.2% in the next year.