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VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV (VIST) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:VIST - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US92837L1098 - ADR - Currency: USD

53.26  +0.46 (+0.87%)

Premarket: 53.29 +0.03 (+0.06%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, VIST scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. VIST was compared to 212 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. VIST has an excellent profitability rating, but there are concerns on its financial health. VIST is growing strongly while it is still valued neutral. This is a good combination!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year VIST was profitable.
VIST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years VIST reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years VIST always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
VIST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVIST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

VIST's Return On Assets of 14.84% is amongst the best of the industry. VIST outperforms 86.89% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 33.99%, VIST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.81% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 18.48%, VIST belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.81% of the companies in the same industry.
VIST had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 17.30%. This is significantly below the industry average of 28.73%.
The 3 year average ROIC (17.30%) for VIST is below the current ROIC(18.48%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.84%
ROE 33.99%
ROIC 18.48%
ROA(3y)10.5%
ROA(5y)4.33%
ROE(3y)24.24%
ROE(5y)9.42%
ROIC(3y)17.3%
ROIC(5y)N/A
VIST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVIST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 33.96%, VIST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.47% of the companies in the same industry.
VIST has a Operating Margin of 44.20%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VIST outperforms 84.95% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VIST has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of VIST (49.71%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VIST has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 44.2%
PM (TTM) 33.96%
GM 49.71%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y27.97%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y284.75%
GM growth 5Y7.13%
VIST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVIST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

VIST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
VIST has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for VIST has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
VIST has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
VIST Yearly Shares OutstandingVIST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M
VIST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVIST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

VIST has an Altman-Z score of 2.92. This is not the best score and indicates that VIST is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
VIST's Altman-Z score of 2.92 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VIST outperforms 73.79% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.50 indicates that VIST is not too dependend on debt financing.
VIST has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.50) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.5
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.92
ROIC/WACC1.35
WACC13.67%
VIST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVIST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.59 indicates that VIST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
VIST has a Current ratio of 0.59. This is amonst the worse of the industry: VIST underperforms 83.98% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.59 indicates that VIST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of VIST (0.59) is worse than 79.61% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.59
Quick Ratio 0.59
VIST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVIST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

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8

3. Growth

3.1 Past

VIST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 59.49%, which is quite impressive.
Looking at the last year, VIST shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 34.41%.
VIST shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 28.67% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)59.49%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%28.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.41%
Revenue growth 3Y62.19%
Revenue growth 5Y28.67%
Sales Q2Q%59.61%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, VIST will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 20.07% on average per year.
VIST is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 20.51% yearly.
EPS Next Y32.49%
EPS Next 2Y5.16%
EPS Next 3Y20.07%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year39.48%
Revenue Next 2Y34.5%
Revenue Next 3Y28.91%
Revenue Next 5Y20.51%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
VIST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVIST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 1B 2B 3B
VIST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVIST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 2 4 6

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6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 9.83, the valuation of VIST can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, VIST is valued a bit cheaper than 67.96% of the companies in the same industry.
VIST's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.47.
VIST is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.02.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VIST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 61.65% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 92.74, VIST is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.83
Fwd PE 12.02
VIST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVIST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, VIST is valued a bit cheaper than 65.05% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.55
VIST Per share dataVIST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

VIST's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of VIST may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as VIST's earnings are expected to grow with 20.07% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.3
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y5.16%
EPS Next 3Y20.07%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for VIST!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV

NYSE:VIST (2/4/2025, 8:14:27 PM)

Premarket: 53.29 +0.03 (+0.06%)

53.26

+0.46 (+0.87%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-23 2024-10-23/amc
Earnings (Next)02-18 2025-02-18/amc
Inst Owners14.06%
Inst Owner Change-2.9%
Ins Owners8.09%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap5.07B
Analysts82.5
Price Target71.66 (34.55%)
Short Float %2.07%
Short Ratio1.82
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)46.17%
Min EPS beat(2)20.31%
Max EPS beat(2)72.03%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.23%
Min Revenue beat(2)2%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.47%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-0.04%
PT rev (3m)-92.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-27.41%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-28.06%
EPS NY rev (1m)7.43%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.47%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.18%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.18%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.61%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.61%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.83
Fwd PE 12.02
P/S 3.33
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 5.42
P/B 3.33
P/tB 3.41
EV/EBITDA 5.55
EPS(TTM)5.42
EY10.18%
EPS(NY)4.43
Fwd EY8.32%
FCF(TTM)-0.78
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)9.83
OCFY18.47%
SpS15.98
BVpS15.97
TBVpS15.62
PEG (NY)0.3
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.84%
ROE 33.99%
ROCE 27.38%
ROIC 18.48%
ROICexc 20.63%
ROICexgc 20.95%
OM 44.2%
PM (TTM) 33.96%
GM 49.71%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)10.5%
ROA(5y)4.33%
ROE(3y)24.24%
ROE(5y)9.42%
ROIC(3y)17.3%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)20.34%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)20.84%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)25.64%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y37.94%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y38.43%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y27.97%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y284.75%
GM growth 5Y7.13%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.5
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.72
Cap/Depr 268.07%
Cap/Sales 66.45%
Interest Coverage 26.95
Cash Conversion 89.2%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.59
Quick Ratio 0.59
Altman-Z 2.92
F-Score6
WACC13.67%
ROIC/WACC1.35
Cap/Depr(3y)228.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)190.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)54.56%
Cap/Sales(5y)55.95%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)59.49%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%28.68%
EPS Next Y32.49%
EPS Next 2Y5.16%
EPS Next 3Y20.07%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.41%
Revenue growth 3Y62.19%
Revenue growth 5Y28.67%
Sales Q2Q%59.61%
Revenue Next Year39.48%
Revenue Next 2Y34.5%
Revenue Next 3Y28.91%
Revenue Next 5Y20.51%
EBIT growth 1Y13.31%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y64.66%
EBIT Next Year89.42%
EBIT Next 3Y43.8%
EBIT Next 5Y29.14%
FCF growth 1Y-137.37%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y52.67%
OCF growth 3Y96.55%
OCF growth 5Y42.13%