VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV (VIST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:VIST - US92837L1098 - ADR
34.74 USD
-1.93 (-5.26%)
35.4 USD
+0.66 (+1.9%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to VIST. VIST was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. VIST scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. VIST is evaluated to be cheap and growing strongly. This does not happen too often!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year VIST was profitable.
In the past year VIST had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years VIST 4 years were profitable.
VIST had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
VIST has a better Return On Assets (9.52%) than 85.24% of its industry peers.
VIST has a better Return On Equity (27.17%) than 90.48% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 10.90%, VIST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.38% of the companies in the same industry.
VIST had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 20.83%. This is in line with the industry average of 21.66%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (10.90%) for VIST is well below the 3 year average (20.83%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that VIST had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.52% | ||
| ROE | 27.17% | ||
| ROIC | 10.9% |
ROA(3y)13.26%
ROA(5y)7.06%
ROE(3y)31.07%
ROE(5y)16.4%
ROIC(3y)20.83%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
VIST has a better Profit Margin (29.12%) than 85.24% of its industry peers.
VIST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
VIST has a better Operating Margin (32.31%) than 78.57% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VIST has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 47.72%, VIST is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.19% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VIST has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 32.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 29.12% | ||
| GM | 47.72% |
OM growth 3Y7.76%
OM growth 5Y60.73%
PM growth 3Y55.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.68%
GM growth 5Y18.64%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), VIST is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, VIST has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for VIST has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for VIST is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
VIST has an Altman-Z score of 1.37. This is a bad value and indicates that VIST is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of VIST (1.37) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
VIST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.92. This is a neutral value indicating VIST is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.92, VIST is doing worse than 67.14% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.92 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.37 |
ROIC/WACC0.89
WACC12.23%
2.3 Liquidity
VIST has a Current Ratio of 0.41. This is a bad value and indicates that VIST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.41, VIST is not doing good in the industry: 89.05% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.41 indicates that VIST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.41, VIST is not doing good in the industry: 88.57% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.41 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 26.33% over the past year.
VIST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 104.34% yearly.
VIST shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 47.01%.
VIST shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 31.69% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.33%
EPS 3Y104.34%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-60.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)47.01%
Revenue growth 3Y36.2%
Revenue growth 5Y31.69%
Sales Q2Q%53.9%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 27.85% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 14.57% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y13.82%
EPS Next 2Y12.17%
EPS Next 3Y27.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year40.23%
Revenue Next 2Y28.66%
Revenue Next 3Y21.6%
Revenue Next 5Y14.57%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 8.79, the valuation of VIST can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, VIST is valued cheaper than 80.48% of the companies in the same industry.
VIST is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.41, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 6.12, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of VIST.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VIST is valued cheaper than 89.52% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.88. VIST is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.79 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.12 |
4.2 Price Multiples
76.19% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VIST, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.12 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of VIST may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as VIST's earnings are expected to grow with 27.85% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.64
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.17%
EPS Next 3Y27.85%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
VIST does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
34.74
-1.93 (-5.26%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners14.35%
Inst Owner Change2.04%
Ins Owners8.09%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.62B
Analysts82.22
Price Target68.85 (98.19%)
Short Float %2.41%
Short Ratio2.16
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-0.28%
PT rev (3m)-3.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)13.19%
EPS NY rev (3m)22.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.31%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.79 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.12 | ||
| P/S | 1.83 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 5.32 | ||
| P/B | 1.71 | ||
| P/tB | 1.74 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.12 |
EPS(TTM)3.95
EY11.37%
EPS(NY)5.68
Fwd EY16.34%
FCF(TTM)-7.14
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)6.53
OCFY18.8%
SpS19
BVpS20.36
TBVpS20.02
PEG (NY)0.64
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.52% | ||
| ROE | 27.17% | ||
| ROCE | 14.19% | ||
| ROIC | 10.9% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.38% | ||
| OM | 32.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 29.12% | ||
| GM | 47.72% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)13.26%
ROA(5y)7.06%
ROE(3y)31.07%
ROE(5y)16.4%
ROIC(3y)20.83%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)23.46%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)23.92%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)27.11%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y1.27%
ROICexcg growth 5Y66.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y67.51%
OM growth 3Y7.76%
OM growth 5Y60.73%
PM growth 3Y55.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.68%
GM growth 5Y18.64%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.33
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.92 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.63 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 255.93% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 71.93% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 6.54 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 56.88% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.37 |
F-Score4
WACC12.23%
ROIC/WACC0.89
Cap/Depr(3y)253.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)206.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)59.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)57.1%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.33%
EPS 3Y104.34%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-60.43%
EPS Next Y13.82%
EPS Next 2Y12.17%
EPS Next 3Y27.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)47.01%
Revenue growth 3Y36.2%
Revenue growth 5Y31.69%
Sales Q2Q%53.9%
Revenue Next Year40.23%
Revenue Next 2Y28.66%
Revenue Next 3Y21.6%
Revenue Next 5Y14.57%
EBIT growth 1Y1.55%
EBIT growth 3Y46.76%
EBIT growth 5Y111.68%
EBIT Next Year144.46%
EBIT Next 3Y47.44%
EBIT Next 5Y28.61%
FCF growth 1Y-1416.29%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y3.32%
OCF growth 3Y33.69%
OCF growth 5Y48.18%