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VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:VEL - US92262D1019 - Common Stock

19.72 USD
+0.17 (+0.87%)
Last: 12/26/2025, 11:23:44 AM
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, VEL scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. VEL was compared to 99 industry peers in the Financial Services industry. While VEL has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. An interesting combination arises when we look at growth and value: VEL is growing strongly while it also seems undervalued.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

VEL had positive earnings in the past year.
VEL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
VEL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years VEL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
VEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

VEL has a Return On Assets (1.29%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 14.15%, VEL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.74% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of VEL (4.05%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for VEL is below the industry average of 8.44%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.29%
ROE 14.15%
ROIC 4.05%
ROA(3y)1.08%
ROA(5y)0.5%
ROE(3y)11.12%
ROE(5y)5.87%
ROIC(3y)4.55%
ROIC(5y)4.48%
VEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 10 -10

1.3 Margins

VEL has a Profit Margin of 20.70%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VEL outperforms 80.81% of its industry peers.
VEL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
VEL has a Operating Margin of 87.86%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VEL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VEL has grown nicely.
VEL has a Gross Margin of 86.20%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VEL outperforms 89.90% of its industry peers.
VEL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 87.86%
PM (TTM) 20.7%
GM 86.2%
OM growth 3Y2.96%
OM growth 5Y2.4%
PM growth 3Y14.34%
PM growth 5Y8.7%
GM growth 3Y-2.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.17%
VEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60 80

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), VEL is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for VEL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
VEL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for VEL is higher compared to a year ago.
VEL Yearly Shares OutstandingVEL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M
VEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.31, we must say that VEL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.31, VEL is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.49% of the companies in the same industry.
VEL has a debt to FCF ratio of 110.82. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as VEL would need 110.82 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 110.82, VEL is doing worse than 65.66% of the companies in the same industry.
VEL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 9.70. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
VEL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 9.70. This is amonst the worse of the industry: VEL underperforms 85.86% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 9.7
Debt/FCF 110.82
Altman-Z 0.31
ROIC/WACC0.73
WACC5.52%
VEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.29 indicates that VEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.29, VEL is doing worse than 68.69% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.29 indicates that VEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
VEL's Quick ratio of 0.29 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VEL is outperformed by 68.69% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.29
Quick Ratio 0.29
VEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M

8

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 35.98% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, VEL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 15.62% on average per year.
VEL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 11.61%.
Measured over the past years, VEL shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 20.82% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)35.98%
EPS 3Y27.91%
EPS 5Y15.62%
EPS Q2Q%46.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.61%
Revenue growth 3Y29.96%
Revenue growth 5Y20.82%
Sales Q2Q%54.24%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, VEL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.68% on average per year.
VEL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 16.85% yearly.
EPS Next Y27.37%
EPS Next 2Y13.01%
EPS Next 3Y11.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.29%
Revenue Next 2Y15.78%
Revenue Next 3Y16.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
VEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 100M 200M 300M 400M
VEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 7.67, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of VEL.
VEL's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. VEL is cheaper than 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of VEL to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.59), we can say VEL is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.61 indicates a rather cheap valuation of VEL.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VEL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.74% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.03. VEL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.67
Fwd PE 7.61
VEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

VEL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, VEL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.66% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.82
EV/EBITDA 17.04
VEL Per share dataVEL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

VEL's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
VEL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.28
PEG (5Y)0.49
EPS Next 2Y13.01%
EPS Next 3Y11.68%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

VEL does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC

NYSE:VEL (12/26/2025, 11:23:44 AM)

19.72

+0.17 (+0.87%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryFinancial Services
Earnings (Last)11-06 2025-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)03-04 2026-03-04/amc
Inst Owners62.3%
Inst Owner Change0.73%
Ins Owners2.87%
Ins Owner Change-0.04%
Market Cap767.11M
Revenue(TTM)433.35M
Net Income(TTM)89.72M
Analysts77.14
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %1.69%
Short Ratio6.48
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)24.22%
Min EPS beat(2)12.92%
Max EPS beat(2)35.52%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)18.9%
Min EPS beat(4)4.06%
Max EPS beat(4)35.52%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)16.55%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)12.95%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)13.53%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)103.33%
Min Revenue beat(2)95.7%
Max Revenue beat(2)110.96%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)48.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-40.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)110.96%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)28.83%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)34.35%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)56.62%
PT rev (1m)1.56%
PT rev (3m)1.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)6.35%
EPS NQ rev (3m)7.2%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.4%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.94%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.69%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.69%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.67
Fwd PE 7.61
P/S 1.77
P/FCF 13.82
P/OCF 13.72
P/B 1.21
P/tB 1.22
EV/EBITDA 17.04
EPS(TTM)2.57
EY13.03%
EPS(NY)2.59
Fwd EY13.15%
FCF(TTM)1.43
FCFY7.24%
OCF(TTM)1.44
OCFY7.29%
SpS11.14
BVpS16.3
TBVpS16.13
PEG (NY)0.28
PEG (5Y)0.49
Graham Number30.71
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.29%
ROE 14.15%
ROCE 5.9%
ROIC 4.05%
ROICexc 4.11%
ROICexgc 4.2%
OM 87.86%
PM (TTM) 20.7%
GM 86.2%
FCFM 12.81%
ROA(3y)1.08%
ROA(5y)0.5%
ROE(3y)11.12%
ROE(5y)5.87%
ROIC(3y)4.55%
ROIC(5y)4.48%
ROICexc(3y)4.6%
ROICexc(5y)4.52%
ROICexgc(3y)4.66%
ROICexgc(5y)4.58%
ROCE(3y)6.64%
ROCE(5y)6.4%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.27%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.46%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.05%
OM growth 3Y2.96%
OM growth 5Y2.4%
PM growth 3Y14.34%
PM growth 5Y8.7%
GM growth 3Y-2.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.17%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.06
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 9.7
Debt/FCF 110.82
Debt/EBITDA 16.18
Cap/Depr -82.23%
Cap/Sales 0.1%
Interest Coverage 1.2
Cash Conversion 14.71%
Profit Quality 61.86%
Current Ratio 0.29
Quick Ratio 0.29
Altman-Z 0.31
F-Score4
WACC5.52%
ROIC/WACC0.73
Cap/Depr(3y)327.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)228.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.68%
Profit Quality(3y)96.08%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)35.98%
EPS 3Y27.91%
EPS 5Y15.62%
EPS Q2Q%46.81%
EPS Next Y27.37%
EPS Next 2Y13.01%
EPS Next 3Y11.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.61%
Revenue growth 3Y29.96%
Revenue growth 5Y20.82%
Sales Q2Q%54.24%
Revenue Next Year5.29%
Revenue Next 2Y15.78%
Revenue Next 3Y16.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y12.08%
EBIT growth 3Y33.8%
EBIT growth 5Y23.72%
EBIT Next Year40.63%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-11.28%
FCF growth 3Y-17.04%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-10.79%
OCF growth 3Y-13.14%
OCF growth 5YN/A

VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC / VEL FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to VEL.


What is the valuation status of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) stock?

VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the valuation of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) is 7.67 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.21.


What is the financial health of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) stock?

The financial health rating of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) is 0 / 10.