VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:VEL - US92262D1019 - Common Stock
19.21 USD
+0.29 (+1.53%)
VEL gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 98 industry peers in the Financial Services industry. VEL scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. VEL has both an excellent growth and valuation score. This means it is growing and it is still cheap. This is a rare combination!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
VEL had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year VEL had a positive cash flow from operations.
VEL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years VEL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
VEL has a Return On Assets (1.24%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
VEL's Return On Equity of 13.43% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VEL outperforms 70.41% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 4.93%, VEL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.31% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for VEL is below the industry average of 8.20%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.93%) for VEL is above the 3 year average (4.55%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.24% | ||
| ROE | 13.43% | ||
| ROIC | 4.93% |
ROA(3y)1.08%
ROA(5y)0.5%
ROE(3y)11.12%
ROE(5y)5.87%
ROIC(3y)4.55%
ROIC(5y)4.48%
1.3 Margins
VEL has a Profit Margin of 16.49%. This is in the better half of the industry: VEL outperforms 62.24% of its industry peers.
VEL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
VEL's Operating Margin of 88.39% is amongst the best of the industry. VEL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
VEL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
VEL has a better Gross Margin (88.82%) than 91.84% of its industry peers.
VEL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 88.39% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.49% | ||
| GM | 88.82% |
OM growth 3Y2.96%
OM growth 5Y2.4%
PM growth 3Y14.34%
PM growth 5Y8.7%
GM growth 3Y-2.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.17%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VEL is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for VEL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
VEL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for VEL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
VEL has an Altman-Z score of 0.35. This is a bad value and indicates that VEL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.35, VEL is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.94% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of VEL is 224.95, which is on the high side as it means it would take VEL, 224.95 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
VEL's Debt to FCF ratio of 224.95 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VEL is outperformed by 67.35% of its industry peers.
VEL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 9.55. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
VEL has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (9.55) than 85.71% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 9.55 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 224.95 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.35 |
ROIC/WACC0.9
WACC5.49%
2.3 Liquidity
VEL has a Current Ratio of 0.25. This is a bad value and indicates that VEL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.25, VEL is doing worse than 69.39% of the companies in the same industry.
VEL has a Quick Ratio of 0.25. This is a bad value and indicates that VEL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of VEL (0.25) is worse than 69.39% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.25 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.25 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 35.98% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 15.62% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, VEL shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 30.65%.
VEL shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 20.82% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)35.98%
EPS 3Y27.91%
EPS 5Y15.62%
EPS Q2Q%46.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)30.65%
Revenue growth 3Y29.96%
Revenue growth 5Y20.82%
Sales Q2Q%54.24%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.68% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, VEL will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 16.85% on average per year.
EPS Next Y24.38%
EPS Next 2Y12.64%
EPS Next 3Y11.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.54%
Revenue Next 2Y15.88%
Revenue Next 3Y16.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 7.47, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of VEL.
83.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VEL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
VEL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.98, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.46 indicates a rather cheap valuation of VEL.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VEL is valued a bit cheaper than 72.45% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 35.79. VEL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.46 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of VEL is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of VEL is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 29.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.97 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
VEL's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
VEL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.31
PEG (5Y)0.48
EPS Next 2Y12.64%
EPS Next 3Y11.68%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for VEL!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
NYSE:VEL (11/26/2025, 1:12:54 PM)
19.21
+0.29 (+1.53%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryFinancial Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners62.62%
Inst Owner Change0.73%
Ins Owners2.91%
Ins Owner Change0.02%
Market Cap738.43M
Revenue(TTM)416.78M
Net Income(TTM)80.31M
Analysts77.14
Price Target22.1 (15.04%)
Short Float %1.41%
Short Ratio4.18
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.79%
Min EPS beat(2)4.06%
Max EPS beat(2)35.52%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)14.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.05%
Max EPS beat(4)35.52%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)15.38%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)11.57%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)13.8%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)35.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-40.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)110.96%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)25.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)-40.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)110.96%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)19.16%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)37.12%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)57.91%
PT rev (1m)1.56%
PT rev (3m)1.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)9.01%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.38%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.46 | ||
| P/S | 1.52 | ||
| P/FCF | 29.1 | ||
| P/OCF | 27.45 | ||
| P/B | 1.24 | ||
| P/tB | 1.25 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.97 |
EPS(TTM)2.57
EY13.38%
EPS(NY)2.58
Fwd EY13.41%
FCF(TTM)0.66
FCFY3.44%
OCF(TTM)0.7
OCFY3.64%
SpS12.67
BVpS15.55
TBVpS15.38
PEG (NY)0.31
PEG (5Y)0.48
Graham Number29.99
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.24% | ||
| ROE | 13.43% | ||
| ROCE | 7.2% | ||
| ROIC | 4.93% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.99% | ||
| ROICexgc | 5.1% | ||
| OM | 88.39% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.49% | ||
| GM | 88.82% | ||
| FCFM | 5.21% |
ROA(3y)1.08%
ROA(5y)0.5%
ROE(3y)11.12%
ROE(5y)5.87%
ROIC(3y)4.55%
ROIC(5y)4.48%
ROICexc(3y)4.6%
ROICexc(5y)4.52%
ROICexgc(3y)4.66%
ROICexgc(5y)4.58%
ROCE(3y)6.64%
ROCE(5y)6.4%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.27%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.46%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.05%
OM growth 3Y2.96%
OM growth 5Y2.4%
PM growth 3Y14.34%
PM growth 5Y8.7%
GM growth 3Y-2.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.17%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.08
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 9.55 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 224.95 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 13.24 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 218.39% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.31% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.46 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 6.24% | ||
| Profit Quality | 31.6% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.25 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.25 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.35 |
F-Score4
WACC5.49%
ROIC/WACC0.9
Cap/Depr(3y)327.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)228.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.68%
Profit Quality(3y)96.08%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)35.98%
EPS 3Y27.91%
EPS 5Y15.62%
EPS Q2Q%46.81%
EPS Next Y24.38%
EPS Next 2Y12.64%
EPS Next 3Y11.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)30.65%
Revenue growth 3Y29.96%
Revenue growth 5Y20.82%
Sales Q2Q%54.24%
Revenue Next Year3.54%
Revenue Next 2Y15.88%
Revenue Next 3Y16.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y35.8%
EBIT growth 3Y33.8%
EBIT growth 5Y23.72%
EBIT Next Year33.79%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-62.59%
FCF growth 3Y-17.04%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-60.44%
OCF growth 3Y-13.14%
OCF growth 5YN/A
VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC / VEL FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to VEL.
What is the valuation status of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) stock?
VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the valuation of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) is 7.47 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.24.
What is the financial health of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) stock?
The financial health rating of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) is 0 / 10.