VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:VEL - US92262D1019 - Common Stock
18.62 USD
+0.27 (+1.47%)
18.62 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, VEL scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. VEL was compared to 98 industry peers in the Financial Services industry. While VEL belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are concerns on its financial health. VEL has both an excellent growth and valuation score. This means it is growing and it is still cheap. This is a rare combination!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
VEL had positive earnings in the past year.
VEL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
VEL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years VEL had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
VEL has a Return On Assets (1.29%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
VEL has a Return On Equity of 14.15%. This is in the better half of the industry: VEL outperforms 73.47% of its industry peers.
VEL's Return On Invested Capital of 4.05% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VEL outperforms 57.14% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for VEL is below the industry average of 8.44%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.29% | ||
| ROE | 14.15% | ||
| ROIC | 4.05% |
ROA(3y)1.08%
ROA(5y)0.5%
ROE(3y)11.12%
ROE(5y)5.87%
ROIC(3y)4.55%
ROIC(5y)4.48%
1.3 Margins
VEL has a Profit Margin of 20.70%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VEL outperforms 80.61% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of VEL has grown nicely.
VEL has a Operating Margin of 87.86%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VEL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VEL has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 86.20%, VEL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.80% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VEL has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 87.86% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 20.7% | ||
| GM | 86.2% |
OM growth 3Y2.96%
OM growth 5Y2.4%
PM growth 3Y14.34%
PM growth 5Y8.7%
GM growth 3Y-2.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.17%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
VEL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
VEL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for VEL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
VEL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
VEL has an Altman-Z score of 0.30. This is a bad value and indicates that VEL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
VEL's Altman-Z score of 0.30 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VEL outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
VEL has a debt to FCF ratio of 110.82. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as VEL would need 110.82 years to pay back of all of its debts.
VEL has a Debt to FCF ratio of 110.82. This is in the lower half of the industry: VEL underperforms 65.31% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 9.70 is on the high side and indicates that VEL has dependencies on debt financing.
VEL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 9.70. This is amonst the worse of the industry: VEL underperforms 84.69% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 9.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 110.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.3 |
ROIC/WACC0.7
WACC5.83%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.29 indicates that VEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
VEL has a worse Current ratio (0.29) than 65.31% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.29 indicates that VEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.29, VEL is not doing good in the industry: 65.31% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.29 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
VEL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 35.98%, which is quite impressive.
VEL shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.62% yearly.
VEL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 11.61%.
Measured over the past years, VEL shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 20.82% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)35.98%
EPS 3Y27.91%
EPS 5Y15.62%
EPS Q2Q%46.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.61%
Revenue growth 3Y29.96%
Revenue growth 5Y20.82%
Sales Q2Q%54.24%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.68% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
VEL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 16.85% yearly.
EPS Next Y27.37%
EPS Next 2Y13.01%
EPS Next 3Y11.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.29%
Revenue Next 2Y15.78%
Revenue Next 3Y16.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 7.25, the valuation of VEL can be described as very cheap.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of VEL indicates a rather cheap valuation: VEL is cheaper than 83.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
VEL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.18, the valuation of VEL can be described as very cheap.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VEL indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: VEL is cheaper than 76.53% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VEL to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.92), we can say VEL is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.25 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.18 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as VEL.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, VEL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.37% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.05 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.95 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
VEL's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
VEL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)0.46
EPS Next 2Y13.01%
EPS Next 3Y11.68%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for VEL!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
18.62
+0.27 (+1.47%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryFinancial Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners62.47%
Inst Owner Change-0.02%
Ins Owners2.84%
Ins Owner Change-0.08%
Market Cap724.32M
Revenue(TTM)433.35M
Net Income(TTM)89.72M
Analysts77.14
Price Target22.1 (18.69%)
Short Float %1.38%
Short Ratio5.14
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)24.22%
Min EPS beat(2)12.92%
Max EPS beat(2)35.52%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)18.9%
Min EPS beat(4)4.06%
Max EPS beat(4)35.52%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)16.55%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)12.95%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)13.53%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)103.33%
Min Revenue beat(2)95.7%
Max Revenue beat(2)110.96%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)48.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-40.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)110.96%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)28.83%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)34.35%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)56.62%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)8.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.94%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.69%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.25 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.18 | ||
| P/S | 1.67 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.05 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.95 | ||
| P/B | 1.14 | ||
| P/tB | 1.15 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.95 |
EPS(TTM)2.57
EY13.8%
EPS(NY)2.59
Fwd EY13.92%
FCF(TTM)1.43
FCFY7.66%
OCF(TTM)1.44
OCFY7.72%
SpS11.14
BVpS16.3
TBVpS16.13
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)0.46
Graham Number30.71
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.29% | ||
| ROE | 14.15% | ||
| ROCE | 5.9% | ||
| ROIC | 4.05% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.11% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.2% | ||
| OM | 87.86% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 20.7% | ||
| GM | 86.2% | ||
| FCFM | 12.81% |
ROA(3y)1.08%
ROA(5y)0.5%
ROE(3y)11.12%
ROE(5y)5.87%
ROIC(3y)4.55%
ROIC(5y)4.48%
ROICexc(3y)4.6%
ROICexc(5y)4.52%
ROICexgc(3y)4.66%
ROICexgc(5y)4.58%
ROCE(3y)6.64%
ROCE(5y)6.4%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.27%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.46%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.05%
OM growth 3Y2.96%
OM growth 5Y2.4%
PM growth 3Y14.34%
PM growth 5Y8.7%
GM growth 3Y-2.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.17%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.06
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 9.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 110.82 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 16.18 | ||
| Cap/Depr | -82.23% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.1% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.2 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 14.71% | ||
| Profit Quality | 61.86% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.29 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.3 |
F-Score4
WACC5.83%
ROIC/WACC0.7
Cap/Depr(3y)327.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)228.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.68%
Profit Quality(3y)96.08%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)35.98%
EPS 3Y27.91%
EPS 5Y15.62%
EPS Q2Q%46.81%
EPS Next Y27.37%
EPS Next 2Y13.01%
EPS Next 3Y11.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.61%
Revenue growth 3Y29.96%
Revenue growth 5Y20.82%
Sales Q2Q%54.24%
Revenue Next Year5.29%
Revenue Next 2Y15.78%
Revenue Next 3Y16.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y12.08%
EBIT growth 3Y33.8%
EBIT growth 5Y23.72%
EBIT Next Year40.63%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-11.28%
FCF growth 3Y-17.04%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-10.79%
OCF growth 3Y-13.14%
OCF growth 5YN/A
VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC / VEL FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to VEL.
What is the valuation status for VEL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) stock?
VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) is expected to grow by 27.37% in the next year.