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VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:VEL - US92262D1019 - Common Stock

20.15 USD
-0.26 (-1.27%)
Last: 1/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM
20.15 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 1/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Overall VEL gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated VEL against 97 industry peers in the Financial Services industry. VEL has an excellent profitability rating, but there are concerns on its financial health. VEL is evaluated to be cheap and growing strongly. This does not happen too often!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year VEL was profitable.
  • VEL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years VEL 4 years were profitable.
  • In the past 5 years VEL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
VEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • VEL's Return On Assets of 1.29% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VEL outperforms 52.58% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 14.15%, VEL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.20% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VEL has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.05%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VEL outperforms 57.73% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for VEL is below the industry average of 8.46%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.29%
ROE 14.15%
ROIC 4.05%
ROA(3y)1.08%
ROA(5y)0.5%
ROE(3y)11.12%
ROE(5y)5.87%
ROIC(3y)4.55%
ROIC(5y)4.48%
VEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 10 -10

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of VEL (20.70%) is better than 81.44% of its industry peers.
  • VEL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • VEL's Operating Margin of 87.86% is amongst the best of the industry. VEL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VEL has grown nicely.
  • VEL has a better Gross Margin (86.20%) than 89.69% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VEL has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 87.86%
PM (TTM) 20.7%
GM 86.2%
OM growth 3Y2.96%
OM growth 5Y2.4%
PM growth 3Y14.34%
PM growth 5Y8.7%
GM growth 3Y-2.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.17%
VEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60 80

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VEL is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, VEL has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, VEL has more shares outstanding
  • VEL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
VEL Yearly Shares OutstandingVEL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M
VEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.31, we must say that VEL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • VEL's Altman-Z score of 0.31 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VEL outperforms 47.42% of its industry peers.
  • VEL has a debt to FCF ratio of 110.82. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as VEL would need 110.82 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • VEL has a worse Debt to FCF ratio (110.82) than 65.98% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 9.70 is on the high side and indicates that VEL has dependencies on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 9.70, VEL is doing worse than 85.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 9.7
Debt/FCF 110.82
Altman-Z 0.31
ROIC/WACC0.68
WACC5.96%
VEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.29 indicates that VEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.29, VEL is doing worse than 65.98% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.29 indicates that VEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.29, VEL is doing worse than 65.98% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.29
Quick Ratio 0.29
VEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M

8

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • VEL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 35.98%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, VEL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 15.62% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, VEL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 11.61% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 20.82% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)35.98%
EPS 3Y27.91%
EPS 5Y15.62%
EPS Q2Q%46.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.61%
Revenue growth 3Y29.96%
Revenue growth 5Y20.82%
Sales Q2Q%54.24%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.68% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • VEL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 16.85% yearly.
EPS Next Y27.37%
EPS Next 2Y13.01%
EPS Next 3Y11.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.29%
Revenue Next 2Y15.78%
Revenue Next 3Y16.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
VEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 100M 200M 300M 400M
VEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.84, the valuation of VEL can be described as very cheap.
  • 78.35% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VEL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • VEL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.87.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.77, the valuation of VEL can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VEL is valued a bit cheaper than 72.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VEL to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.96), we can say VEL is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.84
Fwd PE 7.77
VEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • VEL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • 65.98% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VEL, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.12
EV/EBITDA 17.13
VEL Per share dataVEL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of VEL may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.29
PEG (5Y)0.5
EPS Next 2Y13.01%
EPS Next 3Y11.68%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for VEL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC / VEL FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to VEL.


What is the valuation status for VEL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) stock?

VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) is expected to grow by 27.37% in the next year.