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VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE:VEL - US92262D1019 - Common Stock

18.22 USD
-0.08 (-0.44%)
Last: 11/19/2025, 2:01:57 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, VEL scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. VEL was compared to 99 industry peers in the Financial Services industry. VEL scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. VEL is evaluated to be cheap and growing strongly. This does not happen too often!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

VEL had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year VEL had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years VEL 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years VEL had a positive operating cash flow.
VEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

VEL has a Return On Assets (1.24%) which is in line with its industry peers.
VEL has a Return On Equity of 13.43%. This is in the better half of the industry: VEL outperforms 69.70% of its industry peers.
VEL's Return On Invested Capital of 4.93% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VEL outperforms 65.66% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for VEL is below the industry average of 8.15%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.93%) for VEL is above the 3 year average (4.55%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.24%
ROE 13.43%
ROIC 4.93%
ROA(3y)1.08%
ROA(5y)0.5%
ROE(3y)11.12%
ROE(5y)5.87%
ROIC(3y)4.55%
ROIC(5y)4.48%
VEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 10 -10

1.3 Margins

With a decent Profit Margin value of 16.49%, VEL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
VEL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
VEL has a better Operating Margin (88.39%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
VEL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
VEL has a Gross Margin of 88.82%. This is amongst the best in the industry. VEL outperforms 91.92% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VEL has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 88.39%
PM (TTM) 16.49%
GM 88.82%
OM growth 3Y2.96%
OM growth 5Y2.4%
PM growth 3Y14.34%
PM growth 5Y8.7%
GM growth 3Y-2.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.17%
VEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60 80

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

VEL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for VEL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for VEL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
VEL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
VEL Yearly Shares OutstandingVEL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M
VEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

VEL has an Altman-Z score of 0.35. This is a bad value and indicates that VEL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
VEL has a Altman-Z score (0.35) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
VEL has a debt to FCF ratio of 224.95. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as VEL would need 224.95 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 224.95, VEL is not doing good in the industry: 62.63% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
VEL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 9.55. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of VEL (9.55) is worse than 84.85% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 9.55
Debt/FCF 224.95
Altman-Z 0.35
ROIC/WACC0.92
WACC5.38%
VEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

VEL has a Current Ratio of 0.25. This is a bad value and indicates that VEL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.25, VEL is doing worse than 68.69% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.25 indicates that VEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
VEL's Quick ratio of 0.25 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VEL is outperformed by 68.69% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.25
Quick Ratio 0.25
VEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M

8

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 35.98% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, VEL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 15.62% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, VEL shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 30.65%.
VEL shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 20.82% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)35.98%
EPS 3Y27.91%
EPS 5Y15.62%
EPS Q2Q%46.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)30.65%
Revenue growth 3Y29.96%
Revenue growth 5Y20.82%
Sales Q2Q%-12.13%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.68% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, VEL will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 16.85% on average per year.
EPS Next Y24.38%
EPS Next 2Y12.64%
EPS Next 3Y11.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.54%
Revenue Next 2Y15.88%
Revenue Next 3Y16.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
VEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 100M 200M 300M 400M
VEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 7.09, the valuation of VEL can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, VEL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.84% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.51, VEL is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 7.07, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of VEL.
70.71% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VEL, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.98, VEL is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.09
Fwd PE 7.07
VEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as VEL.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of VEL is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.6
EV/EBITDA 13.92
VEL Per share dataVEL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
VEL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.29
PEG (5Y)0.45
EPS Next 2Y12.64%
EPS Next 3Y11.68%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for VEL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC

NYSE:VEL (11/19/2025, 2:01:57 PM)

18.22

-0.08 (-0.44%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryFinancial Services
Earnings (Last)11-06 2025-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)03-04 2026-03-04/amc
Inst Owners62.62%
Inst Owner Change0.68%
Ins Owners2.91%
Ins Owner Change0.08%
Market Cap700.38M
Revenue(TTM)416.78M
Net Income(TTM)80.31M
Analysts77.14
Price Target21.76 (19.43%)
Short Float %1.41%
Short Ratio4.18
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.79%
Min EPS beat(2)4.06%
Max EPS beat(2)35.52%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)14.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.05%
Max EPS beat(4)35.52%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)15.38%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)11.57%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)13.8%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)35.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-40.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)110.96%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)25.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)-40.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)110.96%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)19.16%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)37.12%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)57.91%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)6.76%
EPS NY rev (1m)6.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)12.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)8.73%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.09
Fwd PE 7.07
P/S 1.44
P/FCF 27.6
P/OCF 26.04
P/B 1.17
P/tB 1.18
EV/EBITDA 13.92
EPS(TTM)2.57
EY14.11%
EPS(NY)2.58
Fwd EY14.14%
FCF(TTM)0.66
FCFY3.62%
OCF(TTM)0.7
OCFY3.84%
SpS12.67
BVpS15.55
TBVpS15.38
PEG (NY)0.29
PEG (5Y)0.45
Graham Number29.99
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.24%
ROE 13.43%
ROCE 7.2%
ROIC 4.93%
ROICexc 4.99%
ROICexgc 5.1%
OM 88.39%
PM (TTM) 16.49%
GM 88.82%
FCFM 5.21%
ROA(3y)1.08%
ROA(5y)0.5%
ROE(3y)11.12%
ROE(5y)5.87%
ROIC(3y)4.55%
ROIC(5y)4.48%
ROICexc(3y)4.6%
ROICexc(5y)4.52%
ROICexgc(3y)4.66%
ROICexgc(5y)4.58%
ROCE(3y)6.64%
ROCE(5y)6.4%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.27%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.46%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.05%
OM growth 3Y2.96%
OM growth 5Y2.4%
PM growth 3Y14.34%
PM growth 5Y8.7%
GM growth 3Y-2.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.17%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.08
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 9.55
Debt/FCF 224.95
Debt/EBITDA 13.24
Cap/Depr 218.39%
Cap/Sales 0.31%
Interest Coverage 1.46
Cash Conversion 6.24%
Profit Quality 31.6%
Current Ratio 0.25
Quick Ratio 0.25
Altman-Z 0.35
F-Score4
WACC5.38%
ROIC/WACC0.92
Cap/Depr(3y)327.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)228.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.68%
Profit Quality(3y)96.08%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)35.98%
EPS 3Y27.91%
EPS 5Y15.62%
EPS Q2Q%46.81%
EPS Next Y24.38%
EPS Next 2Y12.64%
EPS Next 3Y11.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)30.65%
Revenue growth 3Y29.96%
Revenue growth 5Y20.82%
Sales Q2Q%-12.13%
Revenue Next Year3.54%
Revenue Next 2Y15.88%
Revenue Next 3Y16.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y35.8%
EBIT growth 3Y33.8%
EBIT growth 5Y23.72%
EBIT Next Year33.79%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-62.59%
FCF growth 3Y-17.04%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-60.44%
OCF growth 3Y-13.14%
OCF growth 5YN/A

VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC / VEL FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to VEL.


What is the valuation status of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) stock?

VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the valuation of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) is 7.09 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.17.


What is the financial health of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) stock?

The financial health rating of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) is 0 / 10.