VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:VEL • US92262D1019

Current stock price

17.72 USD
+0.49 (+2.84%)
At close:
17.72 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This VEL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. VEL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • VEL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • VEL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years VEL 4 years were profitable.
  • Of the past 5 years VEL 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
VEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of VEL (1.29%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • VEL has a better Return On Equity (14.15%) than 74.49% of its industry peers.
  • VEL's Return On Invested Capital of 4.05% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VEL outperforms 57.14% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for VEL is below the industry average of 8.22%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.29%
ROE 14.15%
ROIC 4.05%
ROA(3y)1.08%
ROA(5y)0.5%
ROE(3y)11.12%
ROE(5y)5.87%
ROIC(3y)4.55%
ROIC(5y)4.48%
VEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 10 -10

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 20.70%, VEL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.59% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VEL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • VEL has a better Operating Margin (87.86%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • VEL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 86.20%, VEL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.82% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VEL has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 87.86%
PM (TTM) 20.7%
GM 86.2%
OM growth 3Y2.96%
OM growth 5Y2.4%
PM growth 3Y14.34%
PM growth 5Y8.7%
GM growth 3Y-2.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.17%
VEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60 80

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1

2. VEL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • VEL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • VEL has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
VEL Yearly Shares OutstandingVEL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M
VEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

  • VEL has an Altman-Z score of 0.30. This is a bad value and indicates that VEL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 0.30, VEL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.96% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VEL has a debt to FCF ratio of 110.82. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as VEL would need 110.82 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 110.82, VEL is not doing good in the industry: 65.31% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • VEL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 9.70. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of VEL (9.70) is worse than 83.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 9.7
Debt/FCF 110.82
Altman-Z 0.3
ROIC/WACC0.7
WACC5.78%
VEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • VEL has a Current Ratio of 0.29. This is a bad value and indicates that VEL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.29, VEL is not doing good in the industry: 66.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.29 indicates that VEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of VEL (0.29) is worse than 65.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.29
Quick Ratio 0.29
VEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. VEL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • VEL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 42.86%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, VEL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 30.04% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)42.86%
EPS 3Y33.1%
EPS 5Y30.04%
EPS Q2Q%55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-27.48%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, VEL will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -1.25% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, VEL will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 23.10% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-10.61%
EPS Next 2Y-1.25%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year27.31%
Revenue Next 2Y23.1%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
VEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 100M 200M 300M 400M
VEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

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6

4. VEL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.11, the valuation of VEL can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, VEL is valued cheaper than 86.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VEL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.11, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.84, the valuation of VEL can be described as very cheap.
  • 79.59% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VEL, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • VEL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.12, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.11
Fwd PE 6.84
VEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • VEL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, VEL is valued a bit cheaper than 72.45% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.53
EV/EBITDA 16.82
VEL Per share dataVEL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • VEL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.2
EPS Next 2Y-1.25%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. VEL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • VEL does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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VEL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC

NYSE:VEL (3/17/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 17.72 0 (0%)

17.72

+0.49 (+2.84%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryFinancial Services
Earnings (Last)03-11
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners63.63%
Inst Owner Change1.43%
Ins Owners3.06%
Ins Owner Change1.51%
Market Cap695.33M
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)89.72M
Analysts77.14
Price Target22.1 (24.72%)
Short Float %4.14%
Short Ratio7.57
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)24.22%
Min EPS beat(2)12.92%
Max EPS beat(2)35.52%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)18.9%
Min EPS beat(4)4.06%
Max EPS beat(4)35.52%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)16.55%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)12.95%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)13.53%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)103.33%
Min Revenue beat(2)95.7%
Max Revenue beat(2)110.96%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)48.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-40.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)110.96%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)28.83%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)34.35%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)56.62%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.11
Fwd PE 6.84
P/S 1.6
P/FCF 12.53
P/OCF 12.43
P/B 1.1
P/tB 1.11
EV/EBITDA 16.82
EPS(TTM)2.9
EY16.37%
EPS(NY)2.59
Fwd EY14.63%
FCF(TTM)1.41
FCFY7.98%
OCF(TTM)1.43
OCFY8.04%
SpS11.04
BVpS16.16
TBVpS15.99
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.2
Graham Number32.48
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.29%
ROE 14.15%
ROCE 5.9%
ROIC 4.05%
ROICexc 4.11%
ROICexgc 4.2%
OM 87.86%
PM (TTM) 20.7%
GM 86.2%
FCFM 12.81%
ROA(3y)1.08%
ROA(5y)0.5%
ROE(3y)11.12%
ROE(5y)5.87%
ROIC(3y)4.55%
ROIC(5y)4.48%
ROICexc(3y)4.6%
ROICexc(5y)4.52%
ROICexgc(3y)4.66%
ROICexgc(5y)4.58%
ROCE(3y)6.64%
ROCE(5y)6.4%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.27%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.46%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.05%
OM growth 3Y2.96%
OM growth 5Y2.4%
PM growth 3Y14.34%
PM growth 5Y8.7%
GM growth 3Y-2.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.17%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.06
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 9.7
Debt/FCF 110.82
Debt/EBITDA 16.18
Cap/Depr -82.23%
Cap/Sales 0.1%
Interest Coverage 1.2
Cash Conversion 14.71%
Profit Quality 61.86%
Current Ratio 0.29
Quick Ratio 0.29
Altman-Z 0.3
F-Score4
WACC5.78%
ROIC/WACC0.7
Cap/Depr(3y)327.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)228.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.68%
Profit Quality(3y)96.08%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)42.86%
EPS 3Y33.1%
EPS 5Y30.04%
EPS Q2Q%55%
EPS Next Y-10.61%
EPS Next 2Y-1.25%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-27.48%
Revenue Next Year27.31%
Revenue Next 2Y23.1%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y12.08%
EBIT growth 3Y33.8%
EBIT growth 5Y23.72%
EBIT Next Year40.63%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-11.28%
FCF growth 3Y-17.04%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-10.79%
OCF growth 3Y-13.14%
OCF growth 5YN/A

VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC / VEL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to VEL.


What is the valuation status for VEL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) stock?

VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VELOCITY FINANCIAL INC (VEL) is expected to decline by -10.61% in the next year.