MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLD (VAC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:VAC • US57164Y1073

Current stock price

67.75 USD
-3.34 (-4.7%)
Last:

This VAC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. VAC Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year VAC was profitable.
  • VAC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • VAC had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years VAC always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
VAC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVAC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -3.16%, VAC is not doing good in the industry: 73.02% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • VAC has a worse Return On Equity (-15.45%) than 61.90% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.46%, VAC is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.44% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for VAC is significantly below the industry average of 10.60%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -3.16%
ROE -15.45%
ROIC 4.46%
ROA(3y)0.56%
ROA(5y)1.25%
ROE(3y)1.38%
ROE(5y)4.29%
ROIC(3y)4.53%
ROIC(5y)4.78%
VAC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVAC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • VAC has a Operating Margin of 11.01%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VAC outperforms 56.35% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VAC has grown nicely.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 50.16%, VAC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.14% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VAC's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.01%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 50.16%
OM growth 3Y-13.68%
OM growth 5Y57.29%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2%
GM growth 5Y4.8%
VAC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVAC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

2

2. VAC Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • VAC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for VAC has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, VAC has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for VAC is higher compared to a year ago.
VAC Yearly Shares OutstandingVAC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M 40M
VAC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVAC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

  • VAC has an Altman-Z score of 1.02. This is a bad value and indicates that VAC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of VAC (1.02) is worse than 65.08% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.85 is on the high side and indicates that VAC has dependencies on debt financing.
  • VAC has a Debt to Equity ratio of 2.85. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VAC outperforms 42.06% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.85
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.02
ROIC/WACC0.7
WACC6.35%
VAC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVAC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • VAC has a Current Ratio of 1.60. This is a normal value and indicates that VAC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of VAC (1.60) is better than 73.02% of its industry peers.
  • VAC has a Quick Ratio of 1.60. This is a bad value and indicates that VAC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.88, VAC is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.41% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.6
Quick Ratio 0.88
VAC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVAC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

4

3. VAC Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • VAC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 9.30%, which is quite good.
  • VAC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -11.46% yearly.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.31% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 11.76% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.3%
EPS 3Y-11.46%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.31%
Revenue growth 3Y2.62%
Revenue growth 5Y11.76%
Sales Q2Q%-35.49%

3.2 Future

  • VAC is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.26% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.75% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-2.42%
EPS Next 2Y4%
EPS Next 3Y5.26%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.98%
Revenue Next 2Y2.02%
Revenue Next 3Y1.75%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
VAC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVAC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
VAC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVAC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4 6 8 10

5

4. VAC Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • VAC is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.45.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, VAC is valued cheaper than 89.68% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VAC's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.73.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.68, the valuation of VAC can be described as very reasonable.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VAC indicates a rather cheap valuation: VAC is cheaper than 88.10% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • VAC is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.72, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.45
Fwd PE 9.68
VAC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVAC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • VAC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.95
VAC Per share dataVAC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4%
EPS Next 3Y5.26%

6

5. VAC Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.84%, VAC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • VAC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.12. VAC pays more dividend than 96.03% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, VAC pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.84%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of VAC grows each year by 23.98%, which is quite nice.
  • VAC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • VAC has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.98%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
VAC Yearly Dividends per shareVAC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of VAC are negative and hence is the payout ratio. VAC will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
  • VAC's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-35.71%
EPS Next 2Y4%
EPS Next 3Y5.26%
VAC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendVAC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M

VAC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLD

NYSE:VAC (3/20/2026, 11:28:08 AM)

67.75

-3.34 (-4.7%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-25
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners93.04%
Inst Owner Change-2.99%
Ins Owners1.57%
Ins Owner Change16.1%
Market Cap2.31B
Revenue(TTM)5.03B
Net Income(TTM)-308.00M
Analysts68
Price Target64.26 (-5.15%)
Short Float %8.07%
Short Ratio3.96
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.84%
Yearly Dividend3.19
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.98%
DP-35.71%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-04
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)10.33%
Min EPS beat(2)3.36%
Max EPS beat(2)17.3%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.24%
Min EPS beat(4)3.36%
Max EPS beat(4)17.3%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)4.46%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)0.44%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)3.48%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-19.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-34.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.54%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-9.94%
Min Revenue beat(4)-34.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.73%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-8.87%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.02%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4%
PT rev (1m)1.76%
PT rev (3m)-1.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)7.47%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.54%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.54%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.92%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.45
Fwd PE 9.68
P/S 0.46
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 82.56
P/B 1.16
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.95
EPS(TTM)7.17
EY10.58%
EPS(NY)7
Fwd EY10.33%
FCF(TTM)-0.85
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.82
OCFY1.21%
SpS147.48
BVpS58.41
TBVpS-49.12
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number97.07
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -3.16%
ROE -15.45%
ROCE 6.29%
ROIC 4.46%
ROICexc 4.68%
ROICexgc 9.8%
OM 11.01%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 50.16%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)0.56%
ROA(5y)1.25%
ROE(3y)1.38%
ROE(5y)4.29%
ROIC(3y)4.53%
ROIC(5y)4.78%
ROICexc(3y)4.68%
ROICexc(5y)4.99%
ROICexgc(3y)9.72%
ROICexgc(5y)10.6%
ROCE(3y)6.39%
ROCE(5y)6.74%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-13.41%
ROICexgc growth 5Y68.78%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.34%
ROICexc growth 5Y71.91%
OM growth 3Y-13.68%
OM growth 5Y57.29%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2%
GM growth 5Y4.8%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.85
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 8.08
Cap/Depr 38.26%
Cap/Sales 1.13%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 3.98%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.6
Quick Ratio 0.88
Altman-Z 1.02
F-Score6
WACC6.35%
ROIC/WACC0.7
Cap/Depr(3y)66.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.08%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.93%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.68%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.3%
EPS 3Y-11.46%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-2.42%
EPS Next 2Y4%
EPS Next 3Y5.26%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.31%
Revenue growth 3Y2.62%
Revenue growth 5Y11.76%
Sales Q2Q%-35.49%
Revenue Next Year1.98%
Revenue Next 2Y2.02%
Revenue Next 3Y1.75%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.28%
EBIT growth 3Y-11.42%
EBIT growth 5Y75.79%
EBIT Next Year45.11%
EBIT Next 3Y15.04%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-129.59%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-86.34%
OCF growth 3Y-62.29%
OCF growth 5Y-37.73%

MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLD / VAC Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for VAC stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to VAC.


What is the valuation status of MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLD (VAC) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLD (VAC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLD?

MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLD (VAC) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLD?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLD (VAC) is expected to decline by -2.42% in the next year.


Is the dividend of MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLD sustainable?

The dividend rating of MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLD (VAC) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -35.71%.