UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:USAP • US9138371003

Current stock price

44.99 USD
+0.41 (+0.92%)
At close:
44.9925 USD
+0 (+0.01%)
After Hours:

This USAP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. USAP Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • USAP had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year USAP had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years USAP reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: USAP reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
USAP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFUSAP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10M -10M 20M -20M

1.2 Ratios

  • USAP has a Return On Assets of 7.17%. This is amongst the best in the industry. USAP outperforms 81.38% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 10.52%, USAP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • USAP has a Return On Invested Capital of 9.28%. This is amongst the best in the industry. USAP outperforms 82.76% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.17%
ROE 10.52%
ROIC 9.28%
ROA(3y)-0.36%
ROA(5y)-1.24%
ROE(3y)-0.62%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
USAP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICUSAP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2 -2 4 -4 -6 -8

1.3 Margins

  • USAP's Profit Margin of 8.14% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. USAP outperforms 78.62% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of USAP has declined.
  • USAP's Operating Margin of 11.59% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. USAP outperforms 68.28% of its industry peers.
  • USAP's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 21.62%, USAP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.93% of the companies in the same industry.
  • USAP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.59%
PM (TTM) 8.14%
GM 21.62%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-16.31%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
USAP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsUSAP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 10 -10

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6

2. USAP Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), USAP is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, USAP has more shares outstanding
  • USAP has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
USAP Yearly Shares OutstandingUSAP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2M 4M 6M 8M
USAP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsUSAP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.44 indicates that USAP is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • USAP has a Altman-Z score of 4.44. This is in the better half of the industry: USAP outperforms 66.90% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of USAP is 3.64, which is a good value as it means it would take USAP, 3.64 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.64, USAP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.26 indicates that USAP is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.26, USAP is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.38% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.64
Altman-Z 4.44
ROIC/WACC0.83
WACC11.17%
USAP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFUSAP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 4.38 indicates that USAP has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • USAP's Current ratio of 4.38 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. USAP outperforms 77.93% of its industry peers.
  • USAP has a Quick Ratio of 1.35. This is a normal value and indicates that USAP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • USAP has a Quick ratio (1.35) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.38
Quick Ratio 1.35
USAP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesUSAP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M

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6

3. USAP Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • USAP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 1694.12%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, USAP shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -16.94% on average per year.
  • USAP shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 24.80%.
  • USAP shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.24% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1694.12%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-16.94%
EPS Q2Q%455%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.8%
Revenue growth 3Y16.75%
Revenue growth 5Y2.24%
Sales Q2Q%22.47%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 156.90% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, USAP will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.33% on average per year.
EPS Next Y546%
EPS Next 2Y156.9%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year16.33%
Revenue Next 2Y6.33%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
USAP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesUSAP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
USAP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesUSAP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1 -1 2 3

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6

4. USAP Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.60, USAP is valued correctly.
  • 73.10% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than USAP, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.91, USAP is valued a bit cheaper.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.37, USAP is valued correctly.
  • USAP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. USAP is cheaper than 67.59% of the companies in the same industry.
  • USAP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.68.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.6
Fwd PE 13.37
USAP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsUSAP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • USAP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. USAP is cheaper than 66.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 75.17% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than USAP, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.03
EV/EBITDA 8.35
USAP Per share dataUSAP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • USAP's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as USAP's earnings are expected to grow with 156.90% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y156.9%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. USAP Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • USAP does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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USAP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY

NASDAQ:USAP (1/22/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 44.9925 +0 (+0.01%)

44.99

+0.41 (+0.92%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)01-22
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners66.11%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners6.18%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap418.86M
Revenue(TTM)327.43M
Net Income(TTM)26.65M
Analysts43.33
Price Target46.92 (4.29%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)38.19%
Min EPS beat(2)6.69%
Max EPS beat(2)69.68%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)22.71%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.28%
Max EPS beat(4)69.68%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)31.78%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)11.84%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)11.48%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.54%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.47%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.54%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.96%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.51%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.25%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)43.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.26%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.6
Fwd PE 13.37
P/S 1.28
P/FCF 22.03
P/OCF 11.39
P/B 1.65
P/tB 1.65
EV/EBITDA 8.35
EPS(TTM)2.71
EY6.02%
EPS(NY)3.37
Fwd EY7.48%
FCF(TTM)2.04
FCFY4.54%
OCF(TTM)3.95
OCFY8.78%
SpS35.17
BVpS27.2
TBVpS27.2
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.17%
ROE 10.52%
ROCE 11.74%
ROIC 9.28%
ROICexc 9.28%
ROICexgc 9.28%
OM 11.59%
PM (TTM) 8.14%
GM 21.62%
FCFM 5.81%
ROA(3y)-0.36%
ROA(5y)-1.24%
ROE(3y)-0.62%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.38%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.38%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-16.31%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.64
Debt/EBITDA 1.12
Cap/Depr 86.51%
Cap/Sales 5.43%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 62.9%
Profit Quality 71.33%
Current Ratio 4.38
Quick Ratio 1.35
Altman-Z 4.44
F-Score8
WACC11.17%
ROIC/WACC0.83
Cap/Depr(3y)62.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)64.96%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.98%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1694.12%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-16.94%
EPS Q2Q%455%
EPS Next Y546%
EPS Next 2Y156.9%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.8%
Revenue growth 3Y16.75%
Revenue growth 5Y2.24%
Sales Q2Q%22.47%
Revenue Next Year16.33%
Revenue Next 2Y6.33%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y555.2%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-3.1%
EBIT Next Year348.63%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y154.35%
FCF growth 3Y-5.9%
FCF growth 5Y58.5%
OCF growth 1Y289.52%
OCF growth 3Y1.95%
OCF growth 5Y8.72%

UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY / USAP Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to USAP.


Can you provide the valuation status for UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY?

UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) is 16.6 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.65.


What is the earnings growth outlook for UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) is expected to grow by 546% in the next year.