UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:USAP • US9138371003

Current stock price

44.99 USD
+0.41 (+0.92%)
At close:
44.9925 USD
+0 (+0.01%)
After Hours:

This USAP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. USAP Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • USAP had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year USAP had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: USAP reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: USAP reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
USAP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFUSAP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10M -10M 20M -20M

1.2 Ratios

  • USAP has a better Return On Assets (7.17%) than 81.38% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of USAP (10.52%) is better than 78.62% of its industry peers.
  • USAP's Return On Invested Capital of 9.28% is amongst the best of the industry. USAP outperforms 82.76% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.17%
ROE 10.52%
ROIC 9.28%
ROA(3y)-0.36%
ROA(5y)-1.24%
ROE(3y)-0.62%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
USAP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICUSAP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2 -2 4 -4 -6 -8

1.3 Margins

  • USAP's Profit Margin of 8.14% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. USAP outperforms 78.62% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of USAP has declined.
  • USAP has a Operating Margin of 11.59%. This is in the better half of the industry: USAP outperforms 68.28% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of USAP has declined.
  • USAP has a Gross Margin of 21.62%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: USAP outperforms 57.93% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of USAP has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.59%
PM (TTM) 8.14%
GM 21.62%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-16.31%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
USAP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsUSAP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 10 -10

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6

2. USAP Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • USAP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for USAP has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, USAP has an improved debt to assets ratio.
USAP Yearly Shares OutstandingUSAP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2M 4M 6M 8M
USAP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsUSAP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • USAP has an Altman-Z score of 4.44. This indicates that USAP is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 4.44, USAP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • USAP has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.64. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as USAP would need 3.64 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.64, USAP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • USAP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.26. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • USAP has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.26) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.64
Altman-Z 4.44
ROIC/WACC0.83
WACC11.17%
USAP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFUSAP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 4.38 indicates that USAP has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • USAP has a Current ratio of 4.38. This is in the better half of the industry: USAP outperforms 77.93% of its industry peers.
  • USAP has a Quick Ratio of 1.35. This is a normal value and indicates that USAP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.35, USAP is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.21% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.38
Quick Ratio 1.35
USAP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesUSAP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M

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6

3. USAP Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • USAP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 1694.12%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, USAP shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -16.94% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 24.80% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.24% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1694.12%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-16.94%
EPS Q2Q%455%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.8%
Revenue growth 3Y16.75%
Revenue growth 5Y2.24%
Sales Q2Q%22.47%

3.2 Future

  • USAP is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 156.90% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, USAP will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.33% on average per year.
EPS Next Y546%
EPS Next 2Y156.9%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year16.33%
Revenue Next 2Y6.33%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
USAP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesUSAP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
USAP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesUSAP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1 -1 2 3

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6

4. USAP Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • USAP is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.60.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of USAP indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: USAP is cheaper than 73.10% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of USAP to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.91), we can say USAP is valued slightly cheaper.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.37 indicates a correct valuation of USAP.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, USAP is valued a bit cheaper than 67.59% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.99, USAP is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.6
Fwd PE 13.37
USAP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsUSAP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, USAP is valued a bit cheaper than 66.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 75.17% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than USAP, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.03
EV/EBITDA 8.35
USAP Per share dataUSAP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as USAP's earnings are expected to grow with 156.90% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y156.9%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. USAP Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for USAP!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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USAP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY

NASDAQ:USAP (1/22/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 44.9925 +0 (+0.01%)

44.99

+0.41 (+0.92%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Industry Strength77.64
Industry Growth50.31
Earnings (Last)01-22
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners66.11%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners6.18%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap418.86M
Revenue(TTM)327.43M
Net Income(TTM)26.65M
Analysts43.33
Price Target46.92 (4.29%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)38.19%
Min EPS beat(2)6.69%
Max EPS beat(2)69.68%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)22.71%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.28%
Max EPS beat(4)69.68%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)31.78%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)11.84%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)11.48%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.54%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.47%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.54%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.96%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.51%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.25%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)43.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.26%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.6
Fwd PE 13.37
P/S 1.28
P/FCF 22.03
P/OCF 11.39
P/B 1.65
P/tB 1.65
EV/EBITDA 8.35
EPS(TTM)2.71
EY6.02%
EPS(NY)3.37
Fwd EY7.48%
FCF(TTM)2.04
FCFY4.54%
OCF(TTM)3.95
OCFY8.78%
SpS35.17
BVpS27.2
TBVpS27.2
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.17%
ROE 10.52%
ROCE 11.74%
ROIC 9.28%
ROICexc 9.28%
ROICexgc 9.28%
OM 11.59%
PM (TTM) 8.14%
GM 21.62%
FCFM 5.81%
ROA(3y)-0.36%
ROA(5y)-1.24%
ROE(3y)-0.62%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.38%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.38%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-16.31%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.64
Debt/EBITDA 1.12
Cap/Depr 86.51%
Cap/Sales 5.43%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 62.9%
Profit Quality 71.33%
Current Ratio 4.38
Quick Ratio 1.35
Altman-Z 4.44
F-Score8
WACC11.17%
ROIC/WACC0.83
Cap/Depr(3y)62.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)64.96%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.98%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1694.12%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-16.94%
EPS Q2Q%455%
EPS Next Y546%
EPS Next 2Y156.9%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.8%
Revenue growth 3Y16.75%
Revenue growth 5Y2.24%
Sales Q2Q%22.47%
Revenue Next Year16.33%
Revenue Next 2Y6.33%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y555.2%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-3.1%
EBIT Next Year348.63%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y154.35%
FCF growth 3Y-5.9%
FCF growth 5Y58.5%
OCF growth 1Y289.52%
OCF growth 3Y1.95%
OCF growth 5Y8.72%

UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY / USAP Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to USAP.


Can you provide the valuation status for UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY?

UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) is 16.6 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.65.


What is the earnings growth outlook for UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) is expected to grow by 546% in the next year.