UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:USAP • US9138371003

44.99 USD
+0.41 (+0.92%)
At close: Jan 22, 2025
44.9925 USD
+0 (+0.01%)
After Hours: 1/22/2025, 8:00:02 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership News

This USAP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall USAP gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated USAP against 157 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of USAP get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. USAP is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. USAP Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • USAP had positive earnings in the past year.
  • USAP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: USAP reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In multiple years USAP reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
USAP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFUSAP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10M -10M 20M -20M

1.2 Ratios

  • USAP has a better Return On Assets (7.17%) than 81.38% of its industry peers.
  • USAP's Return On Equity of 10.52% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. USAP outperforms 78.62% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 9.28%, USAP belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.76% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.17%
ROE 10.52%
ROIC 9.28%
ROA(3y)-0.36%
ROA(5y)-1.24%
ROE(3y)-0.62%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
USAP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICUSAP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2 -2 4 -4 -6 -8

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.14%, USAP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • USAP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 11.59%, USAP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.28% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of USAP has declined.
  • USAP has a Gross Margin (21.62%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • USAP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.59%
PM (TTM) 8.14%
GM 21.62%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-16.31%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
USAP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsUSAP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 10 -10

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6

2. USAP Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • USAP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, USAP has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for USAP has been reduced compared to a year ago.
USAP Yearly Shares OutstandingUSAP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2M 4M 6M 8M
USAP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsUSAP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • USAP has an Altman-Z score of 4.44. This indicates that USAP is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • USAP has a better Altman-Z score (4.44) than 66.90% of its industry peers.
  • USAP has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.64. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as USAP would need 3.64 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • USAP's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.64 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. USAP outperforms 72.41% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.26 indicates that USAP is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • USAP has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.26) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.64
Altman-Z 4.44
ROIC/WACC0.83
WACC11.17%
USAP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFUSAP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

  • USAP has a Current Ratio of 4.38. This indicates that USAP is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 4.38, USAP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.93% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.35 indicates that USAP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • USAP's Quick ratio of 1.35 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. USAP outperforms 46.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.38
Quick Ratio 1.35
USAP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesUSAP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. USAP Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • USAP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 1694.12%, which is quite impressive.
  • USAP shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -16.94% yearly.
  • The Revenue has grown by 24.80% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • USAP shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.24% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1694.12%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-16.94%
EPS Q2Q%455%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.8%
Revenue growth 3Y16.75%
Revenue growth 5Y2.24%
Sales Q2Q%22.47%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, USAP will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 156.90% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.33% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y546%
EPS Next 2Y156.9%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year16.33%
Revenue Next 2Y6.33%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
USAP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesUSAP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
USAP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesUSAP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1 -1 2 3

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6

4. USAP Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 16.60, the valuation of USAP can be described as correct.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of USAP indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: USAP is cheaper than 73.10% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • USAP is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.25, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 13.37, which indicates a correct valuation of USAP.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of USAP indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: USAP is cheaper than 67.59% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of USAP to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.39), we can say USAP is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.6
Fwd PE 13.37
USAP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsUSAP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, USAP is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.90% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • 75.17% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than USAP, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.03
EV/EBITDA 8.35
USAP Per share dataUSAP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as USAP's earnings are expected to grow with 156.90% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y156.9%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. USAP Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • USAP does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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USAP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY

NASDAQ:USAP (1/22/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 44.9925 +0 (+0.01%)

44.99

+0.41 (+0.92%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)01-22
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners66.11%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners6.18%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap418.86M
Revenue(TTM)327.43M
Net Income(TTM)26.65M
Analysts43.33
Price Target46.92 (4.29%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)38.19%
Min EPS beat(2)6.69%
Max EPS beat(2)69.68%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)22.71%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.28%
Max EPS beat(4)69.68%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)31.78%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)11.84%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)11.48%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.54%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.47%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.54%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.96%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.51%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.25%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)43.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.26%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.6
Fwd PE 13.37
P/S 1.28
P/FCF 22.03
P/OCF 11.39
P/B 1.65
P/tB 1.65
EV/EBITDA 8.35
EPS(TTM)2.71
EY6.02%
EPS(NY)3.37
Fwd EY7.48%
FCF(TTM)2.04
FCFY4.54%
OCF(TTM)3.95
OCFY8.78%
SpS35.17
BVpS27.2
TBVpS27.2
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.17%
ROE 10.52%
ROCE 11.74%
ROIC 9.28%
ROICexc 9.28%
ROICexgc 9.28%
OM 11.59%
PM (TTM) 8.14%
GM 21.62%
FCFM 5.81%
ROA(3y)-0.36%
ROA(5y)-1.24%
ROE(3y)-0.62%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.38%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.38%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-16.31%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.64
Debt/EBITDA 1.12
Cap/Depr 86.51%
Cap/Sales 5.43%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 62.9%
Profit Quality 71.33%
Current Ratio 4.38
Quick Ratio 1.35
Altman-Z 4.44
F-Score8
WACC11.17%
ROIC/WACC0.83
Cap/Depr(3y)62.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)64.96%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.98%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1694.12%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-16.94%
EPS Q2Q%455%
EPS Next Y546%
EPS Next 2Y156.9%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.8%
Revenue growth 3Y16.75%
Revenue growth 5Y2.24%
Sales Q2Q%22.47%
Revenue Next Year16.33%
Revenue Next 2Y6.33%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y555.2%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-3.1%
EBIT Next Year348.63%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y154.35%
FCF growth 3Y-5.9%
FCF growth 5Y58.5%
OCF growth 1Y289.52%
OCF growth 3Y1.95%
OCF growth 5Y8.72%

UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY / USAP FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to USAP.


What is the valuation status for USAP stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) stock?

UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for USAP stock?

The financial health rating of UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) is 6 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) is expected to grow by 546% in the next year.