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UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:USAP - Nasdaq - US9138371003 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

44.99  +0.41 (+0.92%)

After market: 44.9925 +0 (+0.01%)

Fundamental Rating

5

USAP gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. USAP has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. USAP has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year USAP was profitable.
In the past year USAP had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years USAP reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In multiple years USAP reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
USAP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFUSAP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10M -10M 20M -20M

1.2 Ratios

USAP's Return On Assets of 7.17% is amongst the best of the industry. USAP outperforms 81.38% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of USAP (10.52%) is better than 78.62% of its industry peers.
USAP has a Return On Invested Capital of 9.28%. This is amongst the best in the industry. USAP outperforms 82.76% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.17%
ROE 10.52%
ROIC 9.28%
ROA(3y)-0.36%
ROA(5y)-1.24%
ROE(3y)-0.62%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
USAP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICUSAP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -5 -10

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.14%, USAP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.62% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of USAP has declined.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 11.59%, USAP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.28% of the companies in the same industry.
USAP's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 21.62%, USAP is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.93% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of USAP has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.59%
PM (TTM) 8.14%
GM 21.62%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-16.31%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
USAP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsUSAP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 10 -10

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so USAP is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for USAP has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, USAP has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, USAP has an improved debt to assets ratio.
USAP Yearly Shares OutstandingUSAP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2M 4M 6M 8M
USAP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsUSAP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.44 indicates that USAP is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of USAP (4.44) is better than 66.90% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of USAP is 3.64, which is a good value as it means it would take USAP, 3.64 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.64, USAP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.41% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.26 indicates that USAP is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of USAP (0.26) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.64
Altman-Z 4.44
ROIC/WACC0.83
WACC11.17%
USAP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFUSAP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

USAP has a Current Ratio of 4.38. This indicates that USAP is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 4.38, USAP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.93% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.35 indicates that USAP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
USAP has a Quick ratio (1.35) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.38
Quick Ratio 1.35
USAP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesUSAP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 1694.12% over the past year.
USAP shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -16.94% yearly.
USAP shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 24.80%.
USAP shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.24% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1694.12%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-16.94%
EPS Q2Q%455%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.8%
Revenue growth 3Y16.75%
Revenue growth 5Y2.24%
Sales Q2Q%22.47%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 156.90% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
USAP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.33% yearly.
EPS Next Y546%
EPS Next 2Y156.9%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year16.33%
Revenue Next 2Y6.33%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
USAP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesUSAP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
USAP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesUSAP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1 -1 2 3

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 16.60 indicates a correct valuation of USAP.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, USAP is valued a bit cheaper than 73.10% of the companies in the same industry.
USAP is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.45, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
USAP is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.37.
67.59% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than USAP, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of USAP to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.90), we can say USAP is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.6
Fwd PE 13.37
USAP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsUSAP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

USAP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. USAP is cheaper than 66.90% of the companies in the same industry.
75.17% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than USAP, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.03
EV/EBITDA 8.35
USAP Per share dataUSAP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

USAP's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
USAP's earnings are expected to grow with 156.90% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y156.9%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

USAP does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY

NASDAQ:USAP (1/22/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 44.9925 +0 (+0.01%)

44.99

+0.41 (+0.92%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)01-22 2025-01-22/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners66.11%
Inst Owner Change-88.93%
Ins Owners6.18%
Ins Owner Change-529.12%
Market Cap418.86M
Analysts43.33
Price Target46.92 (4.29%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)38.19%
Min EPS beat(2)6.69%
Max EPS beat(2)69.68%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)22.71%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.28%
Max EPS beat(4)69.68%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)31.78%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)11.84%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)11.48%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.54%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.47%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.54%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.96%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.51%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.25%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)43.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.26%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.6
Fwd PE 13.37
P/S 1.28
P/FCF 22.03
P/OCF 11.39
P/B 1.65
P/tB 1.65
EV/EBITDA 8.35
EPS(TTM)2.71
EY6.02%
EPS(NY)3.37
Fwd EY7.48%
FCF(TTM)2.04
FCFY4.54%
OCF(TTM)3.95
OCFY8.78%
SpS35.17
BVpS27.2
TBVpS27.2
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.17%
ROE 10.52%
ROCE 11.74%
ROIC 9.28%
ROICexc 9.28%
ROICexgc 9.28%
OM 11.59%
PM (TTM) 8.14%
GM 21.62%
FCFM 5.81%
ROA(3y)-0.36%
ROA(5y)-1.24%
ROE(3y)-0.62%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-4.38%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.38%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-16.31%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.64
Debt/EBITDA 1.12
Cap/Depr 86.51%
Cap/Sales 5.43%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 62.9%
Profit Quality 71.33%
Current Ratio 4.38
Quick Ratio 1.35
Altman-Z 4.44
F-Score8
WACC11.17%
ROIC/WACC0.83
Cap/Depr(3y)62.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)64.96%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.98%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1694.12%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-16.94%
EPS Q2Q%455%
EPS Next Y546%
EPS Next 2Y156.9%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.8%
Revenue growth 3Y16.75%
Revenue growth 5Y2.24%
Sales Q2Q%22.47%
Revenue Next Year16.33%
Revenue Next 2Y6.33%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y555.2%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-3.1%
EBIT Next Year348.63%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y154.35%
FCF growth 3Y-5.9%
FCF growth 5Y58.5%
OCF growth 1Y289.52%
OCF growth 3Y1.95%
OCF growth 5Y8.72%