URBAN OUTFITTERS INC (URBN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:URBN - US9170471026 - Common Stock
63.9 USD
+1.37 (+2.19%)
63.9 USD
0 (0%)
Overall URBN gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated URBN against 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. URBN scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. URBN scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. These ratings would make URBN suitable for value and quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year URBN was profitable.
URBN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
URBN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years URBN always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
URBN has a Return On Assets of 10.09%. This is amongst the best in the industry. URBN outperforms 83.47% of its industry peers.
URBN has a Return On Equity of 18.42%. This is in the better half of the industry: URBN outperforms 78.51% of its industry peers.
URBN has a better Return On Invested Capital (12.00%) than 80.17% of its industry peers.
URBN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 9.01%. This is below the industry average of 11.82%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (12.00%) for URBN is above the 3 year average (9.01%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.09% | ||
| ROE | 18.42% | ||
| ROIC | 12% |
ROA(3y)6.75%
ROA(5y)5.69%
ROE(3y)12.94%
ROE(5y)11.34%
ROIC(3y)9.01%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of URBN (8.15%) is better than 83.47% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of URBN has grown nicely.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 9.54%, URBN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.99% of the companies in the same industry.
URBN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
URBN has a Gross Margin (35.67%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of URBN has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.54% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.15% | ||
| GM | 35.67% |
OM growth 3Y-1.37%
OM growth 5Y5.69%
PM growth 3Y2.02%
PM growth 5Y11.44%
GM growth 3Y1.94%
GM growth 5Y2.02%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
URBN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
URBN has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, URBN has less shares outstanding
There is no outstanding debt for URBN. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.12 indicates that URBN is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of URBN (4.12) is better than 82.64% of its industry peers.
URBN has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.12 |
ROIC/WACC1.3
WACC9.25%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.48 indicates that URBN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
URBN has a better Current ratio (1.48) than 60.33% of its industry peers.
URBN has a Quick Ratio of 1.48. This is a bad value and indicates that URBN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
URBN has a better Quick ratio (0.84) than 68.59% of its industry peers.
The current and quick ratio evaluation for URBN is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.48 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.84 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
URBN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 39.03%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 15.50% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, URBN shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 9.63% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, URBN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.86% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)39.03%
EPS 3Y9.26%
EPS 5Y15.5%
EPS Q2Q%27.42%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.63%
Revenue growth 3Y6.86%
Revenue growth 5Y6.86%
Sales Q2Q%11.3%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.01% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, URBN will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.61% on average per year.
EPS Next Y32.62%
EPS Next 2Y18.59%
EPS Next 3Y15.83%
EPS Next 5Y10.01%
Revenue Next Year9.75%
Revenue Next 2Y8.29%
Revenue Next 3Y7.65%
Revenue Next 5Y7.61%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.09, which indicates a correct valuation of URBN.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, URBN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.51% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of URBN to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.83), we can say URBN is valued slightly cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.16, which indicates a very decent valuation of URBN.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of URBN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: URBN is cheaper than 76.86% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of URBN to the average of the S&P500 Index (32.68), we can say URBN is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.09 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.16 |
4.2 Price Multiples
URBN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. URBN is cheaper than 71.90% of the companies in the same industry.
76.86% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than URBN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.37 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.94 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
URBN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of URBN may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as URBN's earnings are expected to grow with 15.83% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.4
PEG (5Y)0.84
EPS Next 2Y18.59%
EPS Next 3Y15.83%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
URBN does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
63.9
+1.37 (+2.19%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners79.53%
Inst Owner Change-0.59%
Ins Owners28.53%
Ins Owner Change-0.18%
Market Cap5.73B
Revenue(TTM)5.83B
Net Income(TTM)475.42M
Analysts75.79
Price Target80.07 (25.31%)
Short Float %17.52%
Short Ratio5.45
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)20.26%
Min EPS beat(2)4.86%
Max EPS beat(2)35.67%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)18.08%
Min EPS beat(4)4.86%
Max EPS beat(4)35.67%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)15.31%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)15.1%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)8.44%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.45%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.28%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.18%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.18%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.6%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.46%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.86%
PT rev (1m)-0.19%
PT rev (3m)8.38%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.25%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.28%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.89%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.26%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.09 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.16 | ||
| P/S | 0.98 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.37 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.71 | ||
| P/B | 2.22 | ||
| P/tB | 2.22 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.94 |
EPS(TTM)4.88
EY7.64%
EPS(NY)5.72
Fwd EY8.96%
FCF(TTM)4.45
FCFY6.96%
OCF(TTM)6.58
OCFY10.29%
SpS65.02
BVpS28.77
TBVpS28.77
PEG (NY)0.4
PEG (5Y)0.84
Graham Number56.2
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.09% | ||
| ROE | 18.42% | ||
| ROCE | 15.4% | ||
| ROIC | 12% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.5% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.5% | ||
| OM | 9.54% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.15% | ||
| GM | 35.67% | ||
| FCFM | 6.84% |
ROA(3y)6.75%
ROA(5y)5.69%
ROE(3y)12.94%
ROE(5y)11.34%
ROIC(3y)9.01%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
ROICexc(3y)10.7%
ROICexc(5y)9.26%
ROICexgc(3y)10.7%
ROICexgc(5y)9.26%
ROCE(3y)11.56%
ROCE(5y)9.99%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-0.78%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.78%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.78%
OM growth 3Y-1.37%
OM growth 5Y5.69%
PM growth 3Y2.02%
PM growth 5Y11.44%
GM growth 3Y1.94%
GM growth 5Y2.02%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.24
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 159.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.28% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 87.17% | ||
| Profit Quality | 83.88% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.48 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.12 |
F-Score8
WACC9.25%
ROIC/WACC1.3
Cap/Depr(3y)182.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)189.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.34%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)39.03%
EPS 3Y9.26%
EPS 5Y15.5%
EPS Q2Q%27.42%
EPS Next Y32.62%
EPS Next 2Y18.59%
EPS Next 3Y15.83%
EPS Next 5Y10.01%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.63%
Revenue growth 3Y6.86%
Revenue growth 5Y6.86%
Sales Q2Q%11.3%
Revenue Next Year9.75%
Revenue Next 2Y8.29%
Revenue Next 3Y7.65%
Revenue Next 5Y7.61%
EBIT growth 1Y36.11%
EBIT growth 3Y5.4%
EBIT growth 5Y12.93%
EBIT Next Year57.35%
EBIT Next 3Y21.77%
EBIT Next 5Y13.16%
FCF growth 1Y86.96%
FCF growth 3Y48.96%
FCF growth 5Y41.48%
OCF growth 1Y53.03%
OCF growth 3Y11.86%
OCF growth 5Y12.92%
URBAN OUTFITTERS INC / URBN FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for URBAN OUTFITTERS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to URBN.
What is the valuation status of URBAN OUTFITTERS INC (URBN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to URBAN OUTFITTERS INC (URBN). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of URBN stock?
URBAN OUTFITTERS INC (URBN) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for URBAN OUTFITTERS INC (URBN) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of URBAN OUTFITTERS INC (URBN) is expected to grow by 32.62% in the next year.