URBAN OUTFITTERS INC (URBN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:URBN - US9170471026 - Common Stock
61.46 USD
-1.74 (-2.75%)
61.9702 USD
+0.51 (+0.83%)
Overall URBN gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated URBN against 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. URBN gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on URBN. This makes URBN very considerable for value and quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year URBN was profitable.
In the past year URBN had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years URBN has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years URBN had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 10.09%, URBN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.61% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 18.42%, URBN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.51% of the companies in the same industry.
URBN's Return On Invested Capital of 12.00% is amongst the best of the industry. URBN outperforms 80.33% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for URBN is below the industry average of 11.81%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (12.00%) for URBN is above the 3 year average (9.01%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.09% | ||
| ROE | 18.42% | ||
| ROIC | 12% |
ROA(3y)6.75%
ROA(5y)5.69%
ROE(3y)12.94%
ROE(5y)11.34%
ROIC(3y)9.01%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 8.15%, URBN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.61% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of URBN has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 9.54%, URBN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.15% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of URBN has grown nicely.
URBN has a Gross Margin of 35.67%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: URBN outperforms 47.54% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of URBN has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.54% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.15% | ||
| GM | 35.67% |
OM growth 3Y-1.37%
OM growth 5Y5.69%
PM growth 3Y2.02%
PM growth 5Y11.44%
GM growth 3Y1.94%
GM growth 5Y2.02%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so URBN is still creating some value.
URBN has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for URBN has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
URBN has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
URBN has an Altman-Z score of 4.09. This indicates that URBN is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 4.09, URBN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.79% of the companies in the same industry.
There is no outstanding debt for URBN. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.09 |
ROIC/WACC1.29
WACC9.27%
2.3 Liquidity
URBN has a Current Ratio of 1.48. This is a normal value and indicates that URBN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of URBN (1.48) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.84 indicates that URBN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of URBN (0.84) is better than 68.03% of its industry peers.
The current and quick ratio evaluation for URBN is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.48 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.84 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 39.03% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 15.50% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, URBN shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 9.63% in the last year.
URBN shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.86% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)39.03%
EPS 3Y9.26%
EPS 5Y15.5%
EPS Q2Q%27.42%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.63%
Revenue growth 3Y6.86%
Revenue growth 5Y6.86%
Sales Q2Q%11.3%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.01% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, URBN will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.61% on average per year.
EPS Next Y31.16%
EPS Next 2Y18.92%
EPS Next 3Y16.08%
EPS Next 5Y10.01%
Revenue Next Year10.46%
Revenue Next 2Y8.68%
Revenue Next 3Y7.57%
Revenue Next 5Y7.61%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 12.59, which indicates a correct valuation of URBN.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, URBN is valued a bit cheaper than 78.69% of the companies in the same industry.
URBN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.89.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.68, the valuation of URBN can be described as very reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of URBN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: URBN is cheaper than 79.51% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.59, URBN is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.59 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.68 |
4.2 Price Multiples
URBN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. URBN is cheaper than 71.31% of the companies in the same industry.
77.05% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than URBN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.79 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of URBN may justify a higher PE ratio.
URBN's earnings are expected to grow with 16.08% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.4
PEG (5Y)0.81
EPS Next 2Y18.92%
EPS Next 3Y16.08%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
URBN does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
61.46
-1.74 (-2.75%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners79.53%
Inst Owner Change-1.43%
Ins Owners28.53%
Ins Owner Change-0.18%
Market Cap5.51B
Revenue(TTM)5.83B
Net Income(TTM)475.42M
Analysts75.79
Price Target80.07 (30.28%)
Short Float %17.52%
Short Ratio5.45
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)20.26%
Min EPS beat(2)4.86%
Max EPS beat(2)35.67%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)18.08%
Min EPS beat(4)4.86%
Max EPS beat(4)35.67%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)15.31%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)15.1%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)8.44%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.45%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.28%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.18%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.18%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.6%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.46%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.86%
PT rev (1m)-0.58%
PT rev (3m)4.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.13%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.11%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.75%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.64%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.91%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.59 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.68 | ||
| P/S | 0.95 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.82 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.34 | ||
| P/B | 2.14 | ||
| P/tB | 2.14 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.79 |
EPS(TTM)4.88
EY7.94%
EPS(NY)5.76
Fwd EY9.36%
FCF(TTM)4.45
FCFY7.23%
OCF(TTM)6.58
OCFY10.7%
SpS65.02
BVpS28.77
TBVpS28.77
PEG (NY)0.4
PEG (5Y)0.81
Graham Number56.2
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.09% | ||
| ROE | 18.42% | ||
| ROCE | 15.4% | ||
| ROIC | 12% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.5% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.5% | ||
| OM | 9.54% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.15% | ||
| GM | 35.67% | ||
| FCFM | 6.84% |
ROA(3y)6.75%
ROA(5y)5.69%
ROE(3y)12.94%
ROE(5y)11.34%
ROIC(3y)9.01%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
ROICexc(3y)10.7%
ROICexc(5y)9.26%
ROICexgc(3y)10.7%
ROICexgc(5y)9.26%
ROCE(3y)11.56%
ROCE(5y)9.99%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-0.78%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.78%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.78%
OM growth 3Y-1.37%
OM growth 5Y5.69%
PM growth 3Y2.02%
PM growth 5Y11.44%
GM growth 3Y1.94%
GM growth 5Y2.02%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.24
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 159.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.28% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 87.17% | ||
| Profit Quality | 83.88% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.48 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.09 |
F-Score8
WACC9.27%
ROIC/WACC1.29
Cap/Depr(3y)182.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)189.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.34%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)39.03%
EPS 3Y9.26%
EPS 5Y15.5%
EPS Q2Q%27.42%
EPS Next Y31.16%
EPS Next 2Y18.92%
EPS Next 3Y16.08%
EPS Next 5Y10.01%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.63%
Revenue growth 3Y6.86%
Revenue growth 5Y6.86%
Sales Q2Q%11.3%
Revenue Next Year10.46%
Revenue Next 2Y8.68%
Revenue Next 3Y7.57%
Revenue Next 5Y7.61%
EBIT growth 1Y36.11%
EBIT growth 3Y5.4%
EBIT growth 5Y12.93%
EBIT Next Year57.35%
EBIT Next 3Y22.19%
EBIT Next 5Y13.16%
FCF growth 1Y86.96%
FCF growth 3Y48.96%
FCF growth 5Y41.48%
OCF growth 1Y53.03%
OCF growth 3Y11.86%
OCF growth 5Y12.92%
URBAN OUTFITTERS INC / URBN FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for URBAN OUTFITTERS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to URBN.
What is the valuation status of URBAN OUTFITTERS INC (URBN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to URBAN OUTFITTERS INC (URBN). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of URBN stock?
URBAN OUTFITTERS INC (URBN) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for URBAN OUTFITTERS INC (URBN) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of URBAN OUTFITTERS INC (URBN) is expected to grow by 31.16% in the next year.