UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:UPBD • US76009N1000
Current stock price
18.33 USD
-0.13 (-0.7%)
At close:
18.0262 USD
-0.3 (-1.66%)
After Hours:
This UPBD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. UPBD Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year UPBD was profitable.
- UPBD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- UPBD had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- UPBD had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- UPBD has a Return On Assets (2.24%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of UPBD (10.53%) is better than 67.48% of its industry peers.
- UPBD's Return On Invested Capital of 8.40% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. UPBD outperforms 74.80% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for UPBD is below the industry average of 13.21%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.24% | ||
| ROE | 10.53% | ||
| ROIC | 8.4% |
ROA(3y)2.24%
ROA(5y)2.33%
ROE(3y)9.74%
ROE(5y)11.58%
ROIC(3y)9.97%
ROIC(5y)10.71%
1.3 Margins
- UPBD has a Profit Margin of 1.56%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: UPBD outperforms 58.54% of its industry peers.
- UPBD's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- UPBD has a Operating Margin of 6.38%. This is in the better half of the industry: UPBD outperforms 74.80% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of UPBD has declined.
- UPBD has a Gross Margin of 48.39%. This is in the better half of the industry: UPBD outperforms 73.98% of its industry peers.
- UPBD's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.56% | ||
| GM | 48.39% |
OM growth 3Y-1.87%
OM growth 5Y-6.51%
PM growth 3Y74.8%
PM growth 5Y-26.74%
GM growth 3Y-0.41%
GM growth 5Y-4.03%
2. UPBD Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so UPBD is still creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, UPBD has more shares outstanding
- UPBD has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- UPBD has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.72 indicates that UPBD is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.72, UPBD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.04% of the companies in the same industry.
- UPBD has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.58. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as UPBD would need 6.58 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- UPBD's Debt to FCF ratio of 6.58 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. UPBD outperforms 58.54% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.26 is on the high side and indicates that UPBD has dependencies on debt financing.
- UPBD has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (2.26) than 69.11% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.26 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.72 |
ROIC/WACC1.25
WACC6.7%
2.3 Liquidity
- UPBD has a Current Ratio of 1.99. This is a normal value and indicates that UPBD is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of UPBD (1.99) is better than 78.05% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.39 indicates that UPBD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- UPBD has a worse Quick ratio (0.39) than 61.79% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 |
3. UPBD Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- UPBD shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.83%.
- Measured over the past 5 years, UPBD shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 3.13% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, UPBD shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.67% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 10.78% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.83%
EPS 3Y3.83%
EPS 5Y3.13%
EPS Q2Q%-3.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.67%
Revenue growth 3Y3.41%
Revenue growth 5Y10.78%
Sales Q2Q%10.86%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, UPBD will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.51% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, UPBD will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.79% on average per year.
EPS Next Y4.98%
EPS Next 2Y10.53%
EPS Next 3Y8.28%
EPS Next 5Y8.51%
Revenue Next Year4.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.7%
Revenue Next 3Y3.88%
Revenue Next 5Y3.79%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. UPBD Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 4.44, the valuation of UPBD can be described as very cheap.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, UPBD is valued cheaper than 97.56% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.61. UPBD is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 4.23, the valuation of UPBD can be described as very cheap.
- UPBD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. UPBD is cheaper than 99.19% of the companies in the same industry.
- UPBD is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.79, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.44 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.23 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, UPBD is valued cheaply inside the industry as 80.49% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, UPBD is valued cheaper than 93.50% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.81 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- UPBD's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.89
PEG (5Y)1.42
EPS Next 2Y10.53%
EPS Next 3Y8.28%
5. UPBD Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 9.06%, UPBD is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.79, UPBD pays a better dividend. On top of this UPBD pays more dividend than 96.75% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- UPBD's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 9.06% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of UPBD is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 6.14%!
- UPBD has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- UPBD has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.14%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- 119.97% of the earnings are spent on dividend by UPBD. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- UPBD's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP119.97%
EPS Next 2Y10.53%
EPS Next 3Y8.28%
UPBD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
18.33
-0.13 (-0.7%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-19 2026-02-19/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners89.73%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners7.96%
Ins Owner Change18.36%
Market Cap1.07B
Revenue(TTM)4.70B
Net Income(TTM)73.24M
Analysts83.08
Price Target29.73 (62.19%)
Short Float %9.1%
Short Ratio6.11
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 9.06% |
Yearly Dividend1.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.14%
DP119.97%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.31%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.28%
Max EPS beat(2)1.66%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.28%
Max EPS beat(4)3.99%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)0.83%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.77%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)7.23%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.37%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.04%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.37%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.29%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.51%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.2%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.09%
PT rev (1m)2%
PT rev (3m)-8.93%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.54%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.72%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.56%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.18%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.44 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.23 | ||
| P/S | 0.23 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.46 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.49 | ||
| P/B | 1.53 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.81 |
EPS(TTM)4.13
EY22.53%
EPS(NY)4.34
Fwd EY23.65%
FCF(TTM)4.11
FCFY22.41%
OCF(TTM)5.26
OCFY28.68%
SpS80.78
BVpS11.97
TBVpS-2.44
PEG (NY)0.89
PEG (5Y)1.42
Graham Number33.35
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.24% | ||
| ROE | 10.53% | ||
| ROCE | 12.24% | ||
| ROIC | 8.4% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.83% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.84% | ||
| OM | 6.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.56% | ||
| GM | 48.39% | ||
| FCFM | 5.08% |
ROA(3y)2.24%
ROA(5y)2.33%
ROE(3y)9.74%
ROE(5y)11.58%
ROIC(3y)9.97%
ROIC(5y)10.71%
ROICexc(3y)10.4%
ROICexc(5y)11.26%
ROICexgc(3y)15.23%
ROICexgc(5y)16.7%
ROCE(3y)14.52%
ROCE(5y)15.6%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-3.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-8.81%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.86%
ROICexc growth 5Y-14.94%
OM growth 3Y-1.87%
OM growth 5Y-6.51%
PM growth 3Y74.8%
PM growth 5Y-26.74%
GM growth 3Y-0.41%
GM growth 5Y-4.03%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.26 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.58 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.62 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 49.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.42% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.85 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 70.39% | ||
| Profit Quality | 325.92% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.72 |
F-Score5
WACC6.7%
ROIC/WACC1.25
Cap/Depr(3y)45.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)44%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.35%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.37%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.83%
EPS 3Y3.83%
EPS 5Y3.13%
EPS Q2Q%-3.81%
EPS Next Y4.98%
EPS Next 2Y10.53%
EPS Next 3Y8.28%
EPS Next 5Y8.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.67%
Revenue growth 3Y3.41%
Revenue growth 5Y10.78%
Sales Q2Q%10.86%
Revenue Next Year4.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.7%
Revenue Next 3Y3.88%
Revenue Next 5Y3.79%
EBIT growth 1Y-5.8%
EBIT growth 3Y1.48%
EBIT growth 5Y3.57%
EBIT Next Year44.55%
EBIT Next 3Y16.75%
EBIT Next 5Y11.72%
FCF growth 1Y392.73%
FCF growth 3Y-16.3%
FCF growth 5Y3.4%
OCF growth 1Y191.8%
OCF growth 3Y-13.28%
OCF growth 5Y5.26%
UPBOUND GROUP INC / UPBD Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for UPBD stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to UPBD.
Can you provide the valuation status for UPBOUND GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) stock?
UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for UPBD stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) is expected to grow by 4.98% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for UPBD stock?
The dividend rating of UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 119.97%.