UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:UPBD • US76009N1000
Current stock price
18.57 USD
+1.36 (+7.9%)
At close:
18.57 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This UPBD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. UPBD Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year UPBD was profitable.
- In the past year UPBD had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Of the past 5 years UPBD 4 years were profitable.
- UPBD had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- UPBD's Return On Assets of 2.24% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. UPBD outperforms 56.91% of its industry peers.
- UPBD's Return On Equity of 10.53% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. UPBD outperforms 67.48% of its industry peers.
- UPBD has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.40%) than 74.80% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for UPBD is below the industry average of 13.47%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.24% | ||
| ROE | 10.53% | ||
| ROIC | 8.4% |
ROA(3y)2.24%
ROA(5y)2.33%
ROE(3y)9.74%
ROE(5y)11.58%
ROIC(3y)9.97%
ROIC(5y)10.71%
1.3 Margins
- UPBD's Profit Margin of 1.56% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. UPBD outperforms 58.54% of its industry peers.
- UPBD's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- UPBD has a Operating Margin of 6.38%. This is in the better half of the industry: UPBD outperforms 74.80% of its industry peers.
- UPBD's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- UPBD has a Gross Margin of 48.39%. This is in the better half of the industry: UPBD outperforms 73.98% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of UPBD has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.56% | ||
| GM | 48.39% |
OM growth 3Y-1.87%
OM growth 5Y-6.51%
PM growth 3Y74.8%
PM growth 5Y-26.74%
GM growth 3Y-0.41%
GM growth 5Y-4.03%
2. UPBD Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- UPBD has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for UPBD has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, UPBD has more shares outstanding
- UPBD has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.70 indicates that UPBD is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- UPBD has a Altman-Z score of 2.70. This is in the better half of the industry: UPBD outperforms 65.85% of its industry peers.
- UPBD has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.58. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as UPBD would need 6.58 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- UPBD's Debt to FCF ratio of 6.58 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. UPBD outperforms 58.54% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.26 is on the high side and indicates that UPBD has dependencies on debt financing.
- UPBD's Debt to Equity ratio of 2.26 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. UPBD is outperformed by 69.11% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.26 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.7 |
ROIC/WACC1.25
WACC6.74%
2.3 Liquidity
- UPBD has a Current Ratio of 1.99. This is a normal value and indicates that UPBD is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a decent Current ratio value of 1.99, UPBD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.05% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.39 indicates that UPBD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- UPBD has a worse Quick ratio (0.39) than 61.79% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 |
3. UPBD Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- UPBD shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.83%.
- UPBD shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 3.13% yearly.
- UPBD shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 8.67%.
- UPBD shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.78% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.83%
EPS 3Y3.83%
EPS 5Y3.13%
EPS Q2Q%-3.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.67%
Revenue growth 3Y3.41%
Revenue growth 5Y10.78%
Sales Q2Q%10.86%
3.2 Future
- UPBD is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.51% yearly.
- UPBD is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.79% yearly.
EPS Next Y4.98%
EPS Next 2Y10.53%
EPS Next 3Y8.28%
EPS Next 5Y8.51%
Revenue Next Year4.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.7%
Revenue Next 3Y3.88%
Revenue Next 5Y3.79%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. UPBD Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 4.50, the valuation of UPBD can be described as very cheap.
- UPBD's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. UPBD is cheaper than 97.56% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.23. UPBD is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
- UPBD is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 4.28.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of UPBD indicates a rather cheap valuation: UPBD is cheaper than 99.19% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- UPBD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.42.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.5 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.28 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 83.74% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than UPBD, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- 94.31% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than UPBD, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.52 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.64 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.9
PEG (5Y)1.44
EPS Next 2Y10.53%
EPS Next 3Y8.28%
5. UPBD Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- UPBD has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 9.06%, which is a nice return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.79, UPBD pays a better dividend. On top of this UPBD pays more dividend than 96.75% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- UPBD's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 9.06% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of UPBD grows each year by 6.14%, which is quite nice.
- UPBD has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- UPBD has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.14%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- UPBD pays out 119.97% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of UPBD is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP119.97%
EPS Next 2Y10.53%
EPS Next 3Y8.28%
UPBD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
18.57
+1.36 (+7.9%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-19 2026-02-19/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners89.73%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners7.96%
Ins Owner Change18.36%
Market Cap1.08B
Revenue(TTM)4.70B
Net Income(TTM)73.24M
Analysts83.08
Price Target29.73 (60.1%)
Short Float %9.1%
Short Ratio6.11
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 9.06% |
Yearly Dividend1.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.14%
DP119.97%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.31%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.28%
Max EPS beat(2)1.66%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.28%
Max EPS beat(4)3.99%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)0.83%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.77%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)7.23%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.37%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.04%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.37%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.29%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.51%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.2%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.09%
PT rev (1m)2%
PT rev (3m)-8.93%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.54%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.72%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.56%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.18%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.5 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.28 | ||
| P/S | 0.23 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.52 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.53 | ||
| P/B | 1.55 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.64 |
EPS(TTM)4.13
EY22.24%
EPS(NY)4.34
Fwd EY23.35%
FCF(TTM)4.11
FCFY22.12%
OCF(TTM)5.26
OCFY28.31%
SpS80.78
BVpS11.97
TBVpS-2.44
PEG (NY)0.9
PEG (5Y)1.44
Graham Number33.35
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.24% | ||
| ROE | 10.53% | ||
| ROCE | 12.24% | ||
| ROIC | 8.4% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.83% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.84% | ||
| OM | 6.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.56% | ||
| GM | 48.39% | ||
| FCFM | 5.08% |
ROA(3y)2.24%
ROA(5y)2.33%
ROE(3y)9.74%
ROE(5y)11.58%
ROIC(3y)9.97%
ROIC(5y)10.71%
ROICexc(3y)10.4%
ROICexc(5y)11.26%
ROICexgc(3y)15.23%
ROICexgc(5y)16.7%
ROCE(3y)14.52%
ROCE(5y)15.6%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-3.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-8.81%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.86%
ROICexc growth 5Y-14.94%
OM growth 3Y-1.87%
OM growth 5Y-6.51%
PM growth 3Y74.8%
PM growth 5Y-26.74%
GM growth 3Y-0.41%
GM growth 5Y-4.03%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.26 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.58 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.62 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 49.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.42% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.85 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 70.39% | ||
| Profit Quality | 325.92% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.7 |
F-Score5
WACC6.74%
ROIC/WACC1.25
Cap/Depr(3y)45.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)44%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.35%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.37%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.83%
EPS 3Y3.83%
EPS 5Y3.13%
EPS Q2Q%-3.81%
EPS Next Y4.98%
EPS Next 2Y10.53%
EPS Next 3Y8.28%
EPS Next 5Y8.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.67%
Revenue growth 3Y3.41%
Revenue growth 5Y10.78%
Sales Q2Q%10.86%
Revenue Next Year4.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.7%
Revenue Next 3Y3.88%
Revenue Next 5Y3.79%
EBIT growth 1Y-5.8%
EBIT growth 3Y1.48%
EBIT growth 5Y3.57%
EBIT Next Year44.55%
EBIT Next 3Y16.75%
EBIT Next 5Y11.72%
FCF growth 1Y392.73%
FCF growth 3Y-16.3%
FCF growth 5Y3.4%
OCF growth 1Y191.8%
OCF growth 3Y-13.28%
OCF growth 5Y5.26%
UPBOUND GROUP INC / UPBD Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for UPBD stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to UPBD.
Can you provide the valuation status for UPBOUND GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) stock?
UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for UPBD stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) is expected to grow by 4.98% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for UPBD stock?
The dividend rating of UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 119.97%.