UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:UPBD • US76009N1000
Current stock price
17.21 USD
-0.01 (-0.06%)
At close:
17.26 USD
+0.05 (+0.29%)
After Hours:
This UPBD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. UPBD Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- UPBD had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year UPBD had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Of the past 5 years UPBD 4 years were profitable.
- In the past 5 years UPBD always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of UPBD (2.24%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- UPBD's Return On Equity of 10.53% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. UPBD outperforms 68.00% of its industry peers.
- UPBD has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.40%. This is in the better half of the industry: UPBD outperforms 74.40% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for UPBD is below the industry average of 13.47%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.24% | ||
| ROE | 10.53% | ||
| ROIC | 8.4% |
ROA(3y)2.24%
ROA(5y)2.33%
ROE(3y)9.74%
ROE(5y)11.58%
ROIC(3y)9.97%
ROIC(5y)10.71%
1.3 Margins
- With a Profit Margin value of 1.56%, UPBD perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.20% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of UPBD has declined.
- The Operating Margin of UPBD (6.38%) is better than 74.40% of its industry peers.
- UPBD's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- UPBD has a better Gross Margin (48.39%) than 74.40% of its industry peers.
- UPBD's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.56% | ||
| GM | 48.39% |
OM growth 3Y-1.87%
OM growth 5Y-6.51%
PM growth 3Y74.8%
PM growth 5Y-26.74%
GM growth 3Y-0.41%
GM growth 5Y-4.03%
2. UPBD Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so UPBD is still creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, UPBD has more shares outstanding
- UPBD has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, UPBD has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.70 indicates that UPBD is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.70, UPBD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of UPBD is 6.58, which is on the high side as it means it would take UPBD, 6.58 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- UPBD's Debt to FCF ratio of 6.58 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. UPBD outperforms 59.20% of its industry peers.
- UPBD has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.26. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- UPBD has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (2.26) than 68.80% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.26 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.7 |
ROIC/WACC0.91
WACC9.28%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.99 indicates that UPBD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- UPBD's Current ratio of 1.99 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. UPBD outperforms 77.60% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.39 indicates that UPBD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- UPBD's Quick ratio of 0.39 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. UPBD is outperformed by 61.60% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 |
3. UPBD Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.83% over the past year.
- Measured over the past 5 years, UPBD shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 3.13% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, UPBD shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.67% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 10.78% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.83%
EPS 3Y3.83%
EPS 5Y3.13%
EPS Q2Q%-3.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.67%
Revenue growth 3Y3.41%
Revenue growth 5Y10.78%
Sales Q2Q%10.86%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.51% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- UPBD is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.79% yearly.
EPS Next Y4.98%
EPS Next 2Y10.53%
EPS Next 3Y8.28%
EPS Next 5Y8.51%
Revenue Next Year4.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.7%
Revenue Next 3Y3.88%
Revenue Next 5Y3.79%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. UPBD Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- UPBD is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 4.17.
- 97.60% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than UPBD, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.23. UPBD is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 3.97, the valuation of UPBD can be described as very cheap.
- 99.20% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than UPBD, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of UPBD to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.42), we can say UPBD is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 3.97 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, UPBD is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.20% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of UPBD indicates a rather cheap valuation: UPBD is cheaper than 94.40% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.19 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.64 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- UPBD's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.84
PEG (5Y)1.33
EPS Next 2Y10.53%
EPS Next 3Y8.28%
5. UPBD Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 9.06%, UPBD is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.79, UPBD pays a better dividend. On top of this UPBD pays more dividend than 96.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- UPBD's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 9.06% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of UPBD is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 6.14%!
- UPBD has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- UPBD has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.14%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- UPBD pays out 119.97% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- UPBD's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP119.97%
EPS Next 2Y10.53%
EPS Next 3Y8.28%
UPBD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
17.21
-0.01 (-0.06%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-19 2026-02-19/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners89.73%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners7.96%
Ins Owner Change18.36%
Market Cap1.00B
Revenue(TTM)4.70B
Net Income(TTM)73.24M
Analysts83.08
Price Target29.73 (72.75%)
Short Float %9.1%
Short Ratio6.11
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 9.06% |
Yearly Dividend1.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.14%
DP119.97%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.31%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.28%
Max EPS beat(2)1.66%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.28%
Max EPS beat(4)3.99%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)0.83%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.77%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)7.23%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.37%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.04%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.37%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.29%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.51%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.2%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.09%
PT rev (1m)2%
PT rev (3m)-8.93%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.54%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.72%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.56%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.18%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 3.97 | ||
| P/S | 0.21 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.19 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.27 | ||
| P/B | 1.44 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.64 |
EPS(TTM)4.13
EY24%
EPS(NY)4.34
Fwd EY25.19%
FCF(TTM)4.11
FCFY23.86%
OCF(TTM)5.26
OCFY30.55%
SpS80.78
BVpS11.97
TBVpS-2.44
PEG (NY)0.84
PEG (5Y)1.33
Graham Number33.35
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.24% | ||
| ROE | 10.53% | ||
| ROCE | 12.24% | ||
| ROIC | 8.4% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.83% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.84% | ||
| OM | 6.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.56% | ||
| GM | 48.39% | ||
| FCFM | 5.08% |
ROA(3y)2.24%
ROA(5y)2.33%
ROE(3y)9.74%
ROE(5y)11.58%
ROIC(3y)9.97%
ROIC(5y)10.71%
ROICexc(3y)10.4%
ROICexc(5y)11.26%
ROICexgc(3y)15.23%
ROICexgc(5y)16.7%
ROCE(3y)14.52%
ROCE(5y)15.6%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-3.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-8.81%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.86%
ROICexc growth 5Y-14.94%
OM growth 3Y-1.87%
OM growth 5Y-6.51%
PM growth 3Y74.8%
PM growth 5Y-26.74%
GM growth 3Y-0.41%
GM growth 5Y-4.03%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.26 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.58 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.62 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 49.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.42% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.85 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 70.39% | ||
| Profit Quality | 325.92% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.7 |
F-Score5
WACC9.28%
ROIC/WACC0.91
Cap/Depr(3y)45.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)44%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.35%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.37%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.83%
EPS 3Y3.83%
EPS 5Y3.13%
EPS Q2Q%-3.81%
EPS Next Y4.98%
EPS Next 2Y10.53%
EPS Next 3Y8.28%
EPS Next 5Y8.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.67%
Revenue growth 3Y3.41%
Revenue growth 5Y10.78%
Sales Q2Q%10.86%
Revenue Next Year4.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.7%
Revenue Next 3Y3.88%
Revenue Next 5Y3.79%
EBIT growth 1Y-5.8%
EBIT growth 3Y1.48%
EBIT growth 5Y3.57%
EBIT Next Year44.55%
EBIT Next 3Y16.75%
EBIT Next 5Y11.72%
FCF growth 1Y392.73%
FCF growth 3Y-16.3%
FCF growth 5Y3.4%
OCF growth 1Y191.8%
OCF growth 3Y-13.28%
OCF growth 5Y5.26%
UPBOUND GROUP INC / UPBD Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for UPBD stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to UPBD.
Can you provide the valuation status for UPBOUND GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) stock?
UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for UPBD stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) is expected to grow by 4.98% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for UPBD stock?
The dividend rating of UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 119.97%.