UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:UNP • US9078181081

Current stock price

244.71 USD
+1.59 (+0.65%)
At close:
244.71 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This UNP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

9

1. UNP Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • UNP had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year UNP had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • UNP had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • UNP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
UNP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFUNP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

1.2 Ratios

  • UNP has a better Return On Assets (10.24%) than 90.48% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of UNP (38.65%) is better than 97.62% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 11.77%, UNP belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for UNP is above the industry average of 7.15%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (11.77%) for UNP is above the 3 year average (11.70%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.24%
ROE 38.65%
ROIC 11.77%
ROA(3y)9.9%
ROA(5y)10.13%
ROE(3y)40.58%
ROE(5y)45.07%
ROIC(3y)11.7%
ROIC(5y)12.08%
UNP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICUNP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of UNP (29.12%) is better than 95.24% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of UNP has remained more or less at the same level.
  • UNP has a Operating Margin of 40.17%. This is amongst the best in the industry. UNP outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of UNP has remained more or less at the same level.
  • The Gross Margin of UNP (79.53%) is better than 90.48% of its industry peers.
  • UNP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 40.17%
PM (TTM) 29.12%
GM 79.53%
OM growth 3Y0.25%
OM growth 5Y0.03%
PM growth 3Y1.16%
PM growth 5Y1.24%
GM growth 3Y1.37%
GM growth 5Y-0.95%
UNP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsUNP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80

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3

2. UNP Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • UNP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for UNP has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • UNP has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, UNP has an improved debt to assets ratio.
UNP Yearly Shares OutstandingUNP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M
UNP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsUNP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

  • The Debt to FCF ratio of UNP is 5.79, which is a neutral value as it means it would take UNP, 5.79 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • UNP has a Debt to FCF ratio of 5.79. This is in the better half of the industry: UNP outperforms 73.81% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.64 is on the high side and indicates that UNP has dependencies on debt financing.
  • UNP has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.64) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.64
Debt/FCF 5.79
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC1.17
WACC10.04%
UNP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFUNP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.91 indicates that UNP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • UNP's Current ratio of 0.91 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. UNP is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • UNP has a Quick Ratio of 0.91. This is a bad value and indicates that UNP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of UNP (0.91) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.91
Quick Ratio 0.91
UNP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesUNP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

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5

3. UNP Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • UNP shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 4.76%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.34% on average over the past years.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.07% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.64% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.76%
EPS 3Y0.9%
EPS 5Y7.34%
EPS Q2Q%-3.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.49%
Revenue growth 5Y4.64%
Sales Q2Q%-0.59%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.41% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, UNP will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.75% on average per year.
EPS Next Y7.96%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y8.74%
EPS Next 5Y12.41%
Revenue Next Year3.06%
Revenue Next 2Y3.9%
Revenue Next 3Y4.09%
Revenue Next 5Y10.75%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
UNP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesUNP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 10B 20B 30B 40B
UNP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesUNP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5 10 15 20

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4

4. UNP Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • UNP is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.97.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, UNP is valued a bit cheaper than 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.60. UNP is around the same levels.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.42 indicates a rather expensive valuation of UNP.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, UNP is valued cheaper than 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.84. UNP is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.97
Fwd PE 19.42
UNP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsUNP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • UNP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, UNP is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.43% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 26.41
EV/EBITDA 14.28
UNP Per share dataUNP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates UNP does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The excellent profitability rating of UNP may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.63
PEG (5Y)2.86
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y8.74%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

8

5. UNP Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • UNP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.31%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.71, UNP pays a better dividend. On top of this UNP pays more dividend than 95.24% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • UNP's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.88.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.31%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of UNP grows each year by 7.01%, which is quite nice.
  • UNP has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • UNP has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.01%
Div Incr Years18
Div Non Decr Years26
UNP Yearly Dividends per shareUNP Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3 4 5

5.3 Sustainability

  • UNP pays out 45.33% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of UNP is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP45.33%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y8.74%
UNP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendUNP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
UNP Dividend Payout.UNP Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.UNP Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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UNP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

UNION PACIFIC CORP

NYSE:UNP (4/2/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 244.71 0 (0%)

244.71

+1.59 (+0.65%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)01-27
Earnings (Next)04-23
Inst Owners88.71%
Inst Owner Change1.39%
Ins Owners0.11%
Ins Owner Change4.75%
Market Cap145.21B
Revenue(TTM)24.51B
Net Income(TTM)7.14B
Analysts78.06
Price Target276.95 (13.17%)
Short Float %4.48%
Short Ratio7.44
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.31%
Yearly Dividend5.41
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.01%
DP45.33%
Div Incr Years18
Div Non Decr Years26
Ex-Date02-27
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.26%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.36%
Max EPS beat(2)1.88%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)0.2%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.76%
Max EPS beat(4)3.06%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)1.27%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)0.84%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)0.61%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.54%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.01%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.4%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.01%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.35%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.37%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.9%
PT rev (1m)2.31%
PT rev (3m)3.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.2%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.04%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.31%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.21%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.69%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.97
Fwd PE 19.42
P/S 5.92
P/FCF 26.41
P/OCF 15.63
P/B 7.86
P/tB 7.86
EV/EBITDA 14.28
EPS(TTM)11.67
EY4.77%
EPS(NY)12.6
Fwd EY5.15%
FCF(TTM)9.27
FCFY3.79%
OCF(TTM)15.66
OCFY6.4%
SpS41.31
BVpS31.12
TBVpS31.12
PEG (NY)2.63
PEG (5Y)2.86
Graham Number90.4
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.24%
ROE 38.65%
ROCE 15.22%
ROIC 11.77%
ROICexc 12%
ROICexgc 12%
OM 40.17%
PM (TTM) 29.12%
GM 79.53%
FCFM 22.44%
ROA(3y)9.9%
ROA(5y)10.13%
ROE(3y)40.58%
ROE(5y)45.07%
ROIC(3y)11.7%
ROIC(5y)12.08%
ROICexc(3y)11.91%
ROICexc(5y)12.29%
ROICexgc(3y)11.91%
ROICexgc(5y)12.29%
ROCE(3y)15.14%
ROCE(5y)15.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.66%
ROICexgc growth 5Y2.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.66%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.24%
OM growth 3Y0.25%
OM growth 5Y0.03%
PM growth 3Y1.16%
PM growth 5Y1.24%
GM growth 3Y1.37%
GM growth 5Y-0.95%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.35
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.64
Debt/FCF 5.79
Debt/EBITDA 2.46
Cap/Depr 153.79%
Cap/Sales 15.47%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 75.46%
Profit Quality 77.04%
Current Ratio 0.91
Quick Ratio 0.91
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score8
WACC10.04%
ROIC/WACC1.17
Cap/Depr(3y)151.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)149.49%
Cap/Sales(3y)14.88%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.53%
Profit Quality(3y)79.74%
Profit Quality(5y)82.95%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.76%
EPS 3Y0.9%
EPS 5Y7.34%
EPS Q2Q%-3.38%
EPS Next Y7.96%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y8.74%
EPS Next 5Y12.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.49%
Revenue growth 5Y4.64%
Sales Q2Q%-0.59%
Revenue Next Year3.06%
Revenue Next 2Y3.9%
Revenue Next 3Y4.09%
Revenue Next 5Y10.75%
EBIT growth 1Y1.37%
EBIT growth 3Y-0.24%
EBIT growth 5Y4.68%
EBIT Next Year31.99%
EBIT Next 3Y13.89%
EBIT Next 5Y17.65%
FCF growth 1Y-6.7%
FCF growth 3Y-1.43%
FCF growth 5Y-0.41%
OCF growth 1Y-0.6%
OCF growth 3Y-0.26%
OCF growth 5Y1.7%

UNION PACIFIC CORP / UNP Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to UNP.


What is the valuation status of UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of UNP stock?

UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What is the financial health of UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) stock?

The financial health rating of UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) is 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) is expected to grow by 7.96% in the next year.