UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:UNP • US9078181081
Current stock price
251.15 USD
+2.04 (+0.82%)
At close:
251.15 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This UNP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. UNP Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- UNP had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year UNP had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years UNP has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years UNP had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- With an excellent Return On Assets value of 10.24%, UNP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.48% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Equity of UNP (38.65%) is better than 97.62% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 11.77%, UNP belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
- UNP had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 11.70%. This is above the industry average of 7.15%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (11.77%) for UNP is above the 3 year average (11.70%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.24% | ||
| ROE | 38.65% | ||
| ROIC | 11.77% |
ROA(3y)9.9%
ROA(5y)10.13%
ROE(3y)40.58%
ROE(5y)45.07%
ROIC(3y)11.7%
ROIC(5y)12.08%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 29.12%, UNP belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.24% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of UNP has remained more or less at the same level.
- UNP has a better Operating Margin (40.17%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
- UNP's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- UNP has a Gross Margin of 79.53%. This is amongst the best in the industry. UNP outperforms 90.48% of its industry peers.
- UNP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 40.17% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 29.12% | ||
| GM | 79.53% |
OM growth 3Y0.25%
OM growth 5Y0.03%
PM growth 3Y1.16%
PM growth 5Y1.24%
GM growth 3Y1.37%
GM growth 5Y-0.95%
2. UNP Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), UNP is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for UNP has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- UNP has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for UNP has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- The Debt to FCF ratio of UNP is 5.79, which is a neutral value as it means it would take UNP, 5.79 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- UNP has a better Debt to FCF ratio (5.79) than 73.81% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.64 is on the high side and indicates that UNP has dependencies on debt financing.
- UNP's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.64 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. UNP is outperformed by 83.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
ROIC/WACC1.18
WACC10.01%
2.3 Liquidity
- UNP has a Current Ratio of 0.91. This is a bad value and indicates that UNP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of UNP (0.91) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
- UNP has a Quick Ratio of 0.91. This is a bad value and indicates that UNP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- UNP's Quick ratio of 0.91 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. UNP is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.91 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.91 |
3. UNP Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.76% over the past year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.34% on average over the past years.
- UNP shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.07%.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.64% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.76%
EPS 3Y0.9%
EPS 5Y7.34%
EPS Q2Q%-3.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.49%
Revenue growth 5Y4.64%
Sales Q2Q%-0.59%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.41% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.75% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y7.96%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y8.74%
EPS Next 5Y12.41%
Revenue Next Year3.51%
Revenue Next 2Y4.15%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5Y10.75%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. UNP Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 21.52 indicates a rather expensive valuation of UNP.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, UNP is valued a bit cheaper than 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.91, UNP is valued a bit cheaper.
- UNP is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.93.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, UNP is valued cheaper than 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.68, UNP is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.93 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- UNP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of UNP indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: UNP is cheaper than 73.81% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 27.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.59 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates UNP does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- The excellent profitability rating of UNP may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.7
PEG (5Y)2.93
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y8.74%
5. UNP Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.31%, UNP has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- UNP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.72. UNP pays more dividend than 95.24% of the companies in the same industry.
- UNP's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.31% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of UNP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.01%!
- UNP has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- UNP has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.01%
Div Incr Years19
Div Non Decr Years27
5.3 Sustainability
- 45.33% of the earnings are spent on dividend by UNP. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- The dividend of UNP is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP45.33%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y8.74%
UNP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
251.15
+2.04 (+0.82%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)01-27 2026-01-27/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-23 2026-04-23/bmo
Inst Owners88.71%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.11%
Ins Owner Change4.76%
Market Cap149.03B
Revenue(TTM)24.51B
Net Income(TTM)7.14B
Analysts79.35
Price Target276.95 (10.27%)
Short Float %4.48%
Short Ratio7.44
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.31% |
Yearly Dividend5.41
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.01%
DP45.33%
Div Incr Years19
Div Non Decr Years27
Ex-Date02-27 2026-02-27 (1.38)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.26%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.36%
Max EPS beat(2)1.88%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)0.2%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.76%
Max EPS beat(4)3.06%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)1.27%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)0.84%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)0.61%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.54%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.01%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.4%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.01%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.35%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.37%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.9%
PT rev (1m)2.31%
PT rev (3m)3.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.27%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.04%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.36%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.16%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.44%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.26%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.93 | ||
| P/S | 6.08 | ||
| P/FCF | 27.1 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.04 | ||
| P/B | 8.07 | ||
| P/tB | 8.07 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.59 |
EPS(TTM)11.67
EY4.65%
EPS(NY)12.6
Fwd EY5.02%
FCF(TTM)9.27
FCFY3.69%
OCF(TTM)15.66
OCFY6.23%
SpS41.31
BVpS31.12
TBVpS31.12
PEG (NY)2.7
PEG (5Y)2.93
Graham Number90.4
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.24% | ||
| ROE | 38.65% | ||
| ROCE | 15.22% | ||
| ROIC | 11.77% | ||
| ROICexc | 12% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12% | ||
| OM | 40.17% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 29.12% | ||
| GM | 79.53% | ||
| FCFM | 22.44% |
ROA(3y)9.9%
ROA(5y)10.13%
ROE(3y)40.58%
ROE(5y)45.07%
ROIC(3y)11.7%
ROIC(5y)12.08%
ROICexc(3y)11.91%
ROICexc(5y)12.29%
ROICexgc(3y)11.91%
ROICexgc(5y)12.29%
ROCE(3y)15.14%
ROCE(5y)15.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.66%
ROICexgc growth 5Y2.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.66%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.24%
OM growth 3Y0.25%
OM growth 5Y0.03%
PM growth 3Y1.16%
PM growth 5Y1.24%
GM growth 3Y1.37%
GM growth 5Y-0.95%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.35
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.46 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 153.79% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 15.47% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 75.46% | ||
| Profit Quality | 77.04% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.91 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.91 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
F-Score8
WACC10.01%
ROIC/WACC1.18
Cap/Depr(3y)151.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)149.49%
Cap/Sales(3y)14.88%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.53%
Profit Quality(3y)79.74%
Profit Quality(5y)82.95%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.76%
EPS 3Y0.9%
EPS 5Y7.34%
EPS Q2Q%-3.38%
EPS Next Y7.96%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y8.74%
EPS Next 5Y12.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.49%
Revenue growth 5Y4.64%
Sales Q2Q%-0.59%
Revenue Next Year3.51%
Revenue Next 2Y4.15%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5Y10.75%
EBIT growth 1Y1.37%
EBIT growth 3Y-0.24%
EBIT growth 5Y4.68%
EBIT Next Year31.99%
EBIT Next 3Y13.89%
EBIT Next 5Y17.65%
FCF growth 1Y-6.7%
FCF growth 3Y-1.43%
FCF growth 5Y-0.41%
OCF growth 1Y-0.6%
OCF growth 3Y-0.26%
OCF growth 5Y1.7%
UNION PACIFIC CORP / UNP Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to UNP.
What is the valuation status of UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of UNP stock?
UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What is the financial health of UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) stock?
The financial health rating of UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) is 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) is expected to grow by 7.96% in the next year.