UNITED NATURAL FOODS INC (UNFI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:UNFI - US9111631035 - Common Stock
33.78 USD
+0.04 (+0.12%)
33.78 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to UNFI. UNFI was compared to 38 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. UNFI may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. UNFI is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year UNFI was profitable.
UNFI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: UNFI reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years UNFI had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
UNFI has a worse Return On Assets (-1.34%) than 71.05% of its industry peers.
UNFI has a worse Return On Equity (-6.53%) than 71.05% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of UNFI (2.90%) is worse than 63.16% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for UNFI is significantly below the industry average of 28.32%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.90%) for UNFI is above the 3 year average (2.42%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.34% | ||
| ROE | -6.53% | ||
| ROIC | 2.9% |
ROA(3y)-0.91%
ROA(5y)0.5%
ROE(3y)-4.35%
ROE(5y)2.13%
ROIC(3y)2.42%
ROIC(5y)3.62%
1.3 Margins
With a Operating Margin value of 0.58%, UNFI is not doing good in the industry: 68.42% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
UNFI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
UNFI has a Gross Margin of 13.38%. This is in the lower half of the industry: UNFI underperforms 76.32% of its industry peers.
UNFI's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 13.38% |
OM growth 3Y-27.09%
OM growth 5Y-17.78%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.78%
GM growth 5Y-1.93%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so UNFI is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, UNFI has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for UNFI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, UNFI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.83 indicates that UNFI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
UNFI has a Altman-Z score of 4.83. This is in the better half of the industry: UNFI outperforms 73.68% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of UNFI is 5.63, which is a neutral value as it means it would take UNFI, 5.63 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
UNFI has a Debt to FCF ratio (5.63) which is in line with its industry peers.
UNFI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.25. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.25, UNFI is not doing good in the industry: 76.32% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.25 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.63 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.83 |
ROIC/WACC0.34
WACC8.58%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.38 indicates that UNFI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
UNFI's Current ratio of 1.38 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. UNFI outperforms 71.05% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.50 indicates that UNFI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of UNFI (0.50) is worse than 63.16% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.38 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.5 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
UNFI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 226.47%, which is quite impressive.
UNFI shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -24.53% yearly.
Looking at the last year, UNFI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.45% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.66% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)226.47%
EPS 3Y-45.84%
EPS 5Y-24.53%
EPS Q2Q%250%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.45%
Revenue growth 3Y3.19%
Revenue growth 5Y3.66%
Sales Q2Q%-0.39%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 36.84% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, UNFI will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.07% on average per year.
EPS Next Y210.31%
EPS Next 2Y98.66%
EPS Next 3Y67.69%
EPS Next 5Y36.84%
Revenue Next Year0.44%
Revenue Next 2Y1.29%
Revenue Next 3Y1.63%
Revenue Next 5Y2.07%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 30.43 indicates a quite expensive valuation of UNFI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of UNFI indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: UNFI is more expensive than 60.53% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.25, UNFI is valued at the same level.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.06 indicates a correct valuation of UNFI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of UNFI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: UNFI is cheaper than 78.95% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.98, UNFI is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.06 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, UNFI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.05% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, UNFI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 92.11% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.98 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.86 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
UNFI's earnings are expected to grow with 67.69% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y98.66%
EPS Next 3Y67.69%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
UNFI does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
33.78
+0.04 (+0.12%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners99.39%
Inst Owner Change1.09%
Ins Owners2.02%
Ins Owner Change9.31%
Market Cap2.06B
Revenue(TTM)31.75B
Net Income(TTM)-101.00M
Analysts72.5
Price Target41.31 (22.29%)
Short Float %6.07%
Short Ratio3.85
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)37.37%
Min EPS beat(2)32.52%
Max EPS beat(2)42.23%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)48.22%
Min EPS beat(4)16.24%
Max EPS beat(4)101.92%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)257.02%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)174.01%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)130.7%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.84%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.22%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.5%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.84%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.51%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.67%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.18%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.03%
PT rev (1m)-0.92%
PT rev (3m)34.44%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.49%
EPS NQ rev (3m)25.42%
EPS NY rev (1m)6.4%
EPS NY rev (3m)50.93%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.86%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.27%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.51%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.06 | ||
| P/S | 0.06 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.98 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.8 | ||
| P/B | 1.33 | ||
| P/tB | 2.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.86 |
EPS(TTM)1.11
EY3.29%
EPS(NY)2.8
Fwd EY8.3%
FCF(TTM)5.65
FCFY16.71%
OCF(TTM)8.9
OCFY26.33%
SpS521.14
BVpS25.39
TBVpS15.92
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number25.18
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.34% | ||
| ROE | -6.53% | ||
| ROCE | 3.68% | ||
| ROIC | 2.9% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.93% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.31% | ||
| OM | 0.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 13.38% | ||
| FCFM | 1.08% |
ROA(3y)-0.91%
ROA(5y)0.5%
ROE(3y)-4.35%
ROE(5y)2.13%
ROIC(3y)2.42%
ROIC(5y)3.62%
ROICexc(3y)2.44%
ROICexc(5y)3.65%
ROICexgc(3y)2.81%
ROICexgc(5y)4.33%
ROCE(3y)3.06%
ROCE(5y)4.58%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-24.92%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-15.46%
ROICexc growth 3Y-23.68%
ROICexc growth 5Y-14.02%
OM growth 3Y-27.09%
OM growth 5Y-17.78%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.78%
GM growth 5Y-1.93%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover4.2
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.25 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.63 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.83 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 62.26% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.62% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.29 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 107.75% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.38 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.5 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.83 |
F-Score4
WACC8.58%
ROIC/WACC0.34
Cap/Depr(3y)95.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)96.64%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.99%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)226.47%
EPS 3Y-45.84%
EPS 5Y-24.53%
EPS Q2Q%250%
EPS Next Y210.31%
EPS Next 2Y98.66%
EPS Next 3Y67.69%
EPS Next 5Y36.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.45%
Revenue growth 3Y3.19%
Revenue growth 5Y3.66%
Sales Q2Q%-0.39%
Revenue Next Year0.44%
Revenue Next 2Y1.29%
Revenue Next 3Y1.63%
Revenue Next 5Y2.07%
EBIT growth 1Y7.56%
EBIT growth 3Y-24.77%
EBIT growth 5Y-14.77%
EBIT Next Year281.93%
EBIT Next 3Y63.97%
EBIT Next 5Y36.45%
FCF growth 1Y13.91%
FCF growth 3Y44.02%
FCF growth 5Y-3.38%
OCF growth 1Y-14.24%
OCF growth 3Y12.4%
OCF growth 5Y0.58%
UNITED NATURAL FOODS INC / UNFI FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for UNFI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to UNFI.
What is the valuation status of UNITED NATURAL FOODS INC (UNFI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to UNITED NATURAL FOODS INC (UNFI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for UNITED NATURAL FOODS INC?
UNITED NATURAL FOODS INC (UNFI) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for UNFI stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of UNITED NATURAL FOODS INC (UNFI) is expected to grow by 210.31% in the next year.