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UNITED NATURAL FOODS INC (UNFI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:UNFI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US9111631035 - Common Stock

27.39  -0.85 (-3.01%)

Fundamental Rating

3

UNFI gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 41 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. Both the profitability and financial health of UNFI have multiple concerns. While showing a medium growth rate, UNFI is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year UNFI was profitable.
UNFI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: UNFI reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years UNFI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
UNFI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFUNFI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

UNFI has a worse Return On Assets (-1.49%) than 67.50% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -6.83%, UNFI is doing worse than 67.50% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of UNFI (2.34%) is worse than 67.50% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for UNFI is below the industry average of 8.38%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.49%
ROE -6.83%
ROIC 2.34%
ROA(3y)0.7%
ROA(5y)0.09%
ROE(3y)2.8%
ROE(5y)-1.14%
ROIC(3y)3.42%
ROIC(5y)4.16%
UNFI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICUNFI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

UNFI's Operating Margin of 0.49% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. UNFI is outperformed by 70.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of UNFI has declined.
The Gross Margin of UNFI (13.56%) is worse than 82.50% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of UNFI has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.49%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 13.56%
OM growth 3Y-27.27%
OM growth 5Y-14.68%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.47%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
UNFI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsUNFI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so UNFI is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, UNFI has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for UNFI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
UNFI has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
UNFI Yearly Shares OutstandingUNFI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
UNFI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsUNFI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.73 indicates that UNFI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
UNFI has a Altman-Z score of 4.73. This is in the better half of the industry: UNFI outperforms 65.00% of its industry peers.
UNFI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.28. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.28, UNFI is doing worse than 77.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.28
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 4.73
ROIC/WACC0.29
WACC8.19%
UNFI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFUNFI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

UNFI has a Current Ratio of 1.44. This is a normal value and indicates that UNFI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.44, UNFI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.52 indicates that UNFI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.52, UNFI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 0.52
UNFI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesUNFI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for UNFI have decreased strongly by -66.99% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, UNFI shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -41.71% on average per year.
UNFI shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.34%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.76% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-66.99%
EPS 3Y-66.96%
EPS 5Y-41.71%
EPS Q2Q%500%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.34%
Revenue growth 3Y4.75%
Revenue growth 5Y6.76%
Sales Q2Q%4.22%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 57.75% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.72% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y407.57%
EPS Next 2Y206.57%
EPS Next 3Y138.52%
EPS Next 5Y57.75%
Revenue Next Year1.18%
Revenue Next 2Y1.2%
Revenue Next 3Y0.91%
Revenue Next 5Y0.72%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
UNFI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesUNFI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 10B 20B 30B
UNFI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesUNFI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3 4

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 80.56 indicates a quite expensive valuation of UNFI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of UNFI indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: UNFI is more expensive than 70.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
UNFI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.29.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.82 indicates a rather expensive valuation of UNFI.
UNFI's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.44, UNFI is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 80.56
Fwd PE 20.82
UNFI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsUNFI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

UNFI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. UNFI is cheaper than 67.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.96
UNFI Per share dataUNFI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 100 200 300 400 500

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as UNFI's earnings are expected to grow with 138.52% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.2
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y206.57%
EPS Next 3Y138.52%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

UNFI does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

UNITED NATURAL FOODS INC

NYSE:UNFI (1/22/2025, 2:47:29 PM)

27.39

-0.85 (-3.01%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)12-10 2024-12-10/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners92.18%
Inst Owner Change-0.05%
Ins Owners1.58%
Ins Owner Change9.84%
Market Cap1.64B
Analysts55.29
Price Target27.69 (1.1%)
Short Float %6.47%
Short Ratio5.19
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)158.26%
Min EPS beat(2)110.14%
Max EPS beat(2)206.37%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)244.77%
Min EPS beat(4)87.3%
Max EPS beat(4)575.26%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)115%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)82.94%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)66.45%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.18%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.64%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.87%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.19%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.64%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.84%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.25%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.77%
PT rev (1m)30.14%
PT rev (3m)95.88%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-60%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)22.22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.71%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 80.56
Fwd PE 20.82
P/S 0.05
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 6.49
P/B 1
P/tB 1.69
EV/EBITDA 7.96
EPS(TTM)0.34
EY1.24%
EPS(NY)1.32
Fwd EY4.8%
FCF(TTM)-1.54
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.22
OCFY15.42%
SpS517.02
BVpS27.39
TBVpS16.24
PEG (NY)0.2
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.49%
ROE -6.83%
ROCE 2.96%
ROIC 2.34%
ROICexc 2.36%
ROICexgc 2.71%
OM 0.49%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 13.56%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)0.7%
ROA(5y)0.09%
ROE(3y)2.8%
ROE(5y)-1.14%
ROIC(3y)3.42%
ROIC(5y)4.16%
ROICexc(3y)3.45%
ROICexc(5y)4.19%
ROICexgc(3y)4.06%
ROICexgc(5y)5.05%
ROCE(3y)4.33%
ROCE(5y)5.27%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-25.98%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-13.26%
ROICexc growth 3Y-24.44%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.28%
OM growth 3Y-27.27%
OM growth 5Y-14.68%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.47%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover4.12
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.28
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 4.43
Cap/Depr 108.15%
Cap/Sales 1.11%
Interest Coverage 0.96
Cash Conversion 53.6%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 0.52
Altman-Z 4.73
F-Score3
WACC8.19%
ROIC/WACC0.29
Cap/Depr(3y)100.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.51%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.97%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-66.99%
EPS 3Y-66.96%
EPS 5Y-41.71%
EPS Q2Q%500%
EPS Next Y407.57%
EPS Next 2Y206.57%
EPS Next 3Y138.52%
EPS Next 5Y57.75%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.34%
Revenue growth 3Y4.75%
Revenue growth 5Y6.76%
Sales Q2Q%4.22%
Revenue Next Year1.18%
Revenue Next 2Y1.2%
Revenue Next 3Y0.91%
Revenue Next 5Y0.72%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.16%
EBIT growth 3Y-23.81%
EBIT growth 5Y-8.91%
EBIT Next Year278.9%
EBIT Next 3Y60.3%
EBIT Next 5Y44.82%
FCF growth 1Y-130.56%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-59.46%
OCF growth 3Y-25.59%
OCF growth 5Y-2.32%