UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

AMS:UMG • NL0015000IY2

Current stock price

18.79 EUR
-1.08 (-5.44%)
Last:

This UMG.AS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. UMG.AS Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year UMG was profitable.
  • In the past year UMG had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years UMG has been profitable.
  • UMG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
UMG.AS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFUMG.AS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • UMG has a better Return On Assets (8.38%) than 93.33% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 31.43%, UMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 13.14%, UMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.38%
ROE 31.43%
ROIC 13.14%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
UMG.AS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICUMG.AS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80

1.3 Margins

  • UMG has a better Profit Margin (12.26%) than 82.22% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of UMG has declined.
  • UMG has a Operating Margin of 15.98%. This is amongst the best in the industry. UMG outperforms 86.67% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of UMG has remained more or less at the same level.
  • UMG has a worse Gross Margin (42.46%) than 60.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of UMG has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.98%
PM (TTM) 12.26%
GM 42.46%
OM growth 3Y1.07%
OM growth 5Y-1.02%
PM growth 3Y17.46%
PM growth 5Y-7.78%
GM growth 3Y-1.45%
GM growth 5Y-2.13%
UMG.AS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsUMG.AS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

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3

2. UMG.AS Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • UMG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for UMG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
UMG.AS Yearly Shares OutstandingUMG.AS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B
UMG.AS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsUMG.AS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.32, we must say that UMG is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.32, UMG is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of UMG is 2.24, which is a good value as it means it would take UMG, 2.24 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of UMG (2.24) is better than 82.22% of its industry peers.
  • UMG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54. This is a neutral value indicating UMG is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • UMG's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.54 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. UMG outperforms 62.22% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 2.24
Altman-Z 0.32
ROIC/WACC1.84
WACC7.15%
UMG.AS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFUMG.AS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.63 indicates that UMG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.63, UMG is not doing good in the industry: 60.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • UMG has a Quick Ratio of 0.63. This is a bad value and indicates that UMG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of UMG (0.60) is worse than 60.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.63
Quick Ratio 0.6
UMG.AS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesUMG.AS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. UMG.AS Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • UMG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.29%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.05% on average over the past years.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.69% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 10.97% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.29%
EPS 3Y24.51%
EPS 5Y2.05%
EPS Q2Q%5.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y6.55%
Revenue growth 5Y10.97%
Sales Q2Q%5.04%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, UMG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.47% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.65% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y7.28%
EPS Next 2Y8.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.3%
EPS Next 5Y9.47%
Revenue Next Year9.58%
Revenue Next 2Y8.53%
Revenue Next 3Y8.27%
Revenue Next 5Y6.65%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
UMG.AS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesUMG.AS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B
UMG.AS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesUMG.AS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5

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4

4. UMG.AS Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 18.24, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of UMG.
  • 75.56% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than UMG, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.91. UMG is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • UMG is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.05.
  • 75.56% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than UMG, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • UMG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.24
Fwd PE 17.05
UMG.AS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsUMG.AS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, UMG is valued a bit cheaper than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.65
EV/EBITDA N/A
UMG.AS Per share dataUMG.AS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • UMG has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.51
PEG (5Y)8.91
EPS Next 2Y8.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.3%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. UMG.AS Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • UMG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.34%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.02, UMG pays a better dividend. On top of this UMG pays more dividend than 91.11% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • UMG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.34%

5.2 History

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years4
UMG.AS Yearly Dividends per shareUMG.AS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 62.17% of the earnings are spent on dividend by UMG. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP62.17%
EPS Next 2Y8.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.3%
UMG.AS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendUMG.AS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
UMG.AS Dividend Payout.UMG.AS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.UMG.AS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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UMG.AS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV

AMS:UMG (4/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

18.79

-1.08 (-5.44%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryEntertainment
Earnings (Last)03-05
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners37.86%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners18.51%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap34.46B
Revenue(TTM)12.51B
Net Income(TTM)1.53B
Analysts77.14
Price Target25.99 (38.32%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.34%
Yearly Dividend0.51
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP62.17%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-8.11%
PT rev (3m)-9.66%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.42%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.08%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.02%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.24
Fwd PE 17.05
P/S 2.76
P/FCF 20.65
P/OCF 19.82
P/B 7.07
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.03
EY5.48%
EPS(NY)1.1
Fwd EY5.86%
FCF(TTM)0.91
FCFY4.84%
OCF(TTM)0.95
OCFY5.05%
SpS6.82
BVpS2.66
TBVpS-1.16
PEG (NY)2.51
PEG (5Y)8.91
Graham Number7.85
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.38%
ROE 31.43%
ROCE 17.96%
ROIC 13.14%
ROICexc 13.79%
ROICexgc 40.4%
OM 15.98%
PM (TTM) 12.26%
GM 42.46%
FCFM 13.34%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y1.07%
OM growth 5Y-1.02%
PM growth 3Y17.46%
PM growth 5Y-7.78%
GM growth 3Y-1.45%
GM growth 5Y-2.13%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.68
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 2.24
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales 0.56%
Interest Coverage 95.14
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 108.87%
Current Ratio 0.63
Quick Ratio 0.6
Altman-Z 0.32
F-Score5
WACC7.15%
ROIC/WACC1.84
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)0.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.44%
Profit Quality(3y)111.54%
Profit Quality(5y)135.82%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.29%
EPS 3Y24.51%
EPS 5Y2.05%
EPS Q2Q%5.77%
EPS Next Y7.28%
EPS Next 2Y8.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.3%
EPS Next 5Y9.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y6.55%
Revenue growth 5Y10.97%
Sales Q2Q%5.04%
Revenue Next Year9.58%
Revenue Next 2Y8.53%
Revenue Next 3Y8.27%
Revenue Next 5Y6.65%
EBIT growth 1Y12.56%
EBIT growth 3Y7.69%
EBIT growth 5Y9.83%
EBIT Next Year39.63%
EBIT Next 3Y18.83%
EBIT Next 5Y15.03%
FCF growth 1Y0.3%
FCF growth 3Y-0.59%
FCF growth 5Y13.22%
OCF growth 1Y-0.91%
OCF growth 3Y0.13%
OCF growth 5Y13.43%

UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV / UMG.AS Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to UMG.AS.


What is the valuation status for UMG stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV?

UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV?

The financial health rating of UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) is 3 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for UMG stock?

The dividend rating of UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 62.17%.