UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

AMS:UMG • NL0015000IY2

Current stock price

19.38 EUR
-0.02 (-0.08%)
Last:

This UMG.AS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. UMG.AS Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • UMG had positive earnings in the past year.
  • UMG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years UMG has been profitable.
  • UMG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
UMG.AS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFUMG.AS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 8.78%, UMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 33.74%, UMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 14.20%, UMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.11% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.78%
ROE 33.74%
ROIC 14.2%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
UMG.AS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICUMG.AS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 12.26%, UMG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.72% of the companies in the same industry.
  • UMG's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • UMG has a better Operating Margin (15.98%) than 85.11% of its industry peers.
  • UMG's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of UMG (42.46%) is worse than 65.96% of its industry peers.
  • UMG's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.98%
PM (TTM) 12.26%
GM 42.46%
OM growth 3Y1.07%
OM growth 5Y-1.02%
PM growth 3Y17.46%
PM growth 5Y-7.78%
GM growth 3Y-1.45%
GM growth 5Y-2.13%
UMG.AS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsUMG.AS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

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4

2. UMG.AS Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • UMG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • UMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
UMG.AS Yearly Shares OutstandingUMG.AS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B
UMG.AS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsUMG.AS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • UMG has an Altman-Z score of 0.25. This is a bad value and indicates that UMG is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.25, UMG is doing worse than 68.09% of the companies in the same industry.
  • UMG has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.04. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as UMG would need 2.04 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 2.04, UMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.98% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.63 indicates that UMG is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • UMG has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.63) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for UMG, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.63
Debt/FCF 2.04
Altman-Z 0.25
ROIC/WACC1.98
WACC7.16%
UMG.AS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFUMG.AS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • UMG has a Current Ratio of 0.63. This is a bad value and indicates that UMG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • UMG's Current ratio of 0.63 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. UMG is outperformed by 61.70% of its industry peers.
  • UMG has a Quick Ratio of 0.63. This is a bad value and indicates that UMG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.60, UMG is not doing good in the industry: 63.83% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.63
Quick Ratio 0.6
UMG.AS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesUMG.AS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. UMG.AS Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • UMG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.29%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.98% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, UMG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.69% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 10.97% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.29%
EPS 3Y24.37%
EPS 5Y1.98%
EPS Q2Q%5.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y6.55%
Revenue growth 5Y10.97%
Sales Q2Q%5.04%

3.2 Future

  • UMG is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.47% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.66% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y3.59%
EPS Next 2Y7.08%
EPS Next 3Y8%
EPS Next 5Y9.47%
Revenue Next Year10.03%
Revenue Next 2Y8.51%
Revenue Next 3Y8.3%
Revenue Next 5Y7.66%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
UMG.AS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesUMG.AS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B
UMG.AS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesUMG.AS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5

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4

4. UMG.AS Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 18.82, the valuation of UMG can be described as rather expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, UMG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.72% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of UMG to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.54), we can say UMG is valued slightly cheaper.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 18.21, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of UMG.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of UMG indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: UMG is cheaper than 70.21% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • UMG is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.82
Fwd PE 18.21
UMG.AS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsUMG.AS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • UMG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of UMG indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: UMG is cheaper than 70.21% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 21.35
EV/EBITDA 15.73
UMG.AS Per share dataUMG.AS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of UMG may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)5.24
PEG (5Y)9.5
EPS Next 2Y7.08%
EPS Next 3Y8%

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4

5. UMG.AS Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.62%, UMG has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • UMG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.13. UMG pays more dividend than 89.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, UMG pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.62%

5.2 History

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years4
UMG.AS Yearly Dividends per shareUMG.AS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • UMG pays out 62.17% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP62.17%
EPS Next 2Y7.08%
EPS Next 3Y8%
UMG.AS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendUMG.AS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
UMG.AS Dividend Payout.UMG.AS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.UMG.AS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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UMG.AS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV

AMS:UMG (4/29/2026, 5:36:15 PM)

19.38

-0.02 (-0.08%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryEntertainment
Industry Strength35.14
Industry Growth39.33
Earnings (Last)03-05
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners40.01%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners18.51%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap35.63B
Revenue(TTM)12.51B
Net Income(TTM)1.53B
Analysts77.14
Price Target25.11 (29.57%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.62%
Yearly Dividend0.51
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP62.17%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-11.23%
PT rev (3m)-12.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.43%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.49%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.43%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.82
Fwd PE 18.21
P/S 2.85
P/FCF 21.35
P/OCF 20.49
P/B 7.84
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 15.73
EPS(TTM)1.03
EY5.31%
EPS(NY)1.06
Fwd EY5.49%
FCF(TTM)0.91
FCFY4.68%
OCF(TTM)0.95
OCFY4.88%
SpS6.8
BVpS2.47
TBVpS-1.37
PEG (NY)5.24
PEG (5Y)9.5
Graham Number7.56739 (-60.95%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.78%
ROE 33.74%
ROCE 19.49%
ROIC 14.2%
ROICexc 14.91%
ROICexgc 52.84%
OM 15.98%
PM (TTM) 12.26%
GM 42.46%
FCFM 13.34%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y1.07%
OM growth 5Y-1.02%
PM growth 3Y17.46%
PM growth 5Y-7.78%
GM growth 3Y-1.45%
GM growth 5Y-2.13%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.72
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.63
Debt/FCF 2.04
Debt/EBITDA 1.17
Cap/Depr 15.7%
Cap/Sales 0.56%
Interest Coverage 95.14
Cash Conversion 71.15%
Profit Quality 108.87%
Current Ratio 0.63
Quick Ratio 0.6
Altman-Z 0.25
F-Score5
WACC7.16%
ROIC/WACC1.98
Cap/Depr(3y)16.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)12.74%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.44%
Profit Quality(3y)111.54%
Profit Quality(5y)135.82%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.29%
EPS 3Y24.37%
EPS 5Y1.98%
EPS Q2Q%5.77%
EPS Next Y3.59%
EPS Next 2Y7.08%
EPS Next 3Y8%
EPS Next 5Y9.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y6.55%
Revenue growth 5Y10.97%
Sales Q2Q%5.04%
Revenue Next Year10.03%
Revenue Next 2Y8.51%
Revenue Next 3Y8.3%
Revenue Next 5Y7.66%
EBIT growth 1Y12.56%
EBIT growth 3Y7.69%
EBIT growth 5Y9.83%
EBIT Next Year35.6%
EBIT Next 3Y17.81%
EBIT Next 5Y13.07%
FCF growth 1Y0.3%
FCF growth 3Y-0.59%
FCF growth 5Y13.22%
OCF growth 1Y-0.91%
OCF growth 3Y0.13%
OCF growth 5Y13.43%

UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV / UMG.AS Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to UMG.AS.


What is the valuation status for UMG stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV?

UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV?

The financial health rating of UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) is 4 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for UMG stock?

The dividend rating of UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 62.17%.