UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

AMS:UMG • NL0015000IY2

Current stock price

16.185 EUR
+0.63 (+4.05%)
Last:

This UMG.AS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. UMG.AS Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • UMG had positive earnings in the past year.
  • UMG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years UMG has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years UMG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
UMG.AS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFUMG.AS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 8.38%, UMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • UMG has a Return On Equity of 31.43%. This is amongst the best in the industry. UMG outperforms 91.30% of its industry peers.
  • UMG's Return On Invested Capital of 13.14% is amongst the best of the industry. UMG outperforms 84.78% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.38%
ROE 31.43%
ROIC 13.14%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
UMG.AS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICUMG.AS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80

1.3 Margins

  • UMG has a better Profit Margin (12.26%) than 78.26% of its industry peers.
  • UMG's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 15.98%, UMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.96% of the companies in the same industry.
  • UMG's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • UMG has a worse Gross Margin (42.46%) than 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of UMG has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.98%
PM (TTM) 12.26%
GM 42.46%
OM growth 3Y1.07%
OM growth 5Y-1.02%
PM growth 3Y17.46%
PM growth 5Y-7.78%
GM growth 3Y-1.45%
GM growth 5Y-2.13%
UMG.AS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsUMG.AS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

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3

2. UMG.AS Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • UMG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for UMG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
UMG.AS Yearly Shares OutstandingUMG.AS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B
UMG.AS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsUMG.AS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • UMG has an Altman-Z score of -0.04. This is a bad value and indicates that UMG is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -0.04, UMG is doing worse than 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • UMG has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.24. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as UMG would need 2.24 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of UMG (2.24) is better than 78.26% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54 indicates that UMG is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • UMG has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.54. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: UMG outperforms 56.52% of its industry peers.
  • Although UMG's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 2.24
Altman-Z -0.04
ROIC/WACC1.85
WACC7.09%
UMG.AS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFUMG.AS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.63 indicates that UMG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.63, UMG is not doing good in the industry: 63.04% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • UMG has a Quick Ratio of 0.63. This is a bad value and indicates that UMG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • UMG's Quick ratio of 0.60 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. UMG is outperformed by 63.04% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.63
Quick Ratio 0.6
UMG.AS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesUMG.AS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. UMG.AS Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • UMG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.29%.
  • UMG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 2.05% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, UMG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.69% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, UMG shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.97% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.29%
EPS 3Y24.51%
EPS 5Y2.05%
EPS Q2Q%5.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y6.55%
Revenue growth 5Y10.97%
Sales Q2Q%5.04%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, UMG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.47% on average per year.
  • UMG is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.65% yearly.
EPS Next Y7.28%
EPS Next 2Y8.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.3%
EPS Next 5Y9.47%
Revenue Next Year7.35%
Revenue Next 2Y7.19%
Revenue Next 3Y6.84%
Revenue Next 5Y6.65%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
UMG.AS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesUMG.AS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B
UMG.AS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesUMG.AS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5

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5

4. UMG.AS Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 15.71, the valuation of UMG can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, UMG is valued cheaply inside the industry as 84.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 24.89. UMG is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.69, the valuation of UMG can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, UMG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.91% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of UMG to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.19), we can say UMG is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.71
Fwd PE 14.69
UMG.AS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsUMG.AS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, UMG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.74% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 17.79
EV/EBITDA N/A
UMG.AS Per share dataUMG.AS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates UMG does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • UMG has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.16
PEG (5Y)7.67
EPS Next 2Y8.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.3%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. UMG.AS Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • UMG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.34%.
  • In the last 3 months the price of UMG has falen by -29.39%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
  • UMG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.06. UMG pays more dividend than 91.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, UMG pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.34%

5.2 History

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
UMG.AS Yearly Dividends per shareUMG.AS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 62.17% of the earnings are spent on dividend by UMG. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP62.17%
EPS Next 2Y8.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.3%
UMG.AS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendUMG.AS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
UMG.AS Dividend Payout.UMG.AS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.UMG.AS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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UMG.AS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV

AMS:UMG (3/30/2026, 5:36:15 PM)

16.185

+0.63 (+4.05%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryEntertainment
Earnings (Last)03-05
Earnings (Next)04-27
Inst Owners37.86%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners18.51%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap29.69B
Revenue(TTM)12.51B
Net Income(TTM)1.53B
Analysts76.3
Price Target25.99 (60.58%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.34%
Yearly Dividend0.51
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP62.17%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-8.93%
PT rev (3m)-9.66%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.44%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.42%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.06%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.71
Fwd PE 14.69
P/S 2.37
P/FCF 17.79
P/OCF 17.07
P/B 6.09
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.03
EY6.36%
EPS(NY)1.1
Fwd EY6.81%
FCF(TTM)0.91
FCFY5.62%
OCF(TTM)0.95
OCFY5.86%
SpS6.82
BVpS2.66
TBVpS-1.16
PEG (NY)2.16
PEG (5Y)7.67
Graham Number7.85
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.38%
ROE 31.43%
ROCE 17.96%
ROIC 13.14%
ROICexc 13.79%
ROICexgc 40.4%
OM 15.98%
PM (TTM) 12.26%
GM 42.46%
FCFM 13.34%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y1.07%
OM growth 5Y-1.02%
PM growth 3Y17.46%
PM growth 5Y-7.78%
GM growth 3Y-1.45%
GM growth 5Y-2.13%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.68
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 2.24
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales 0.56%
Interest Coverage 95.14
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 108.87%
Current Ratio 0.63
Quick Ratio 0.6
Altman-Z -0.04
F-Score5
WACC7.09%
ROIC/WACC1.85
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)0.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.44%
Profit Quality(3y)111.54%
Profit Quality(5y)135.82%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.29%
EPS 3Y24.51%
EPS 5Y2.05%
EPS Q2Q%5.77%
EPS Next Y7.28%
EPS Next 2Y8.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.3%
EPS Next 5Y9.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y6.55%
Revenue growth 5Y10.97%
Sales Q2Q%5.04%
Revenue Next Year7.35%
Revenue Next 2Y7.19%
Revenue Next 3Y6.84%
Revenue Next 5Y6.65%
EBIT growth 1Y12.56%
EBIT growth 3Y7.69%
EBIT growth 5Y9.83%
EBIT Next Year39.63%
EBIT Next 3Y18.83%
EBIT Next 5Y15.03%
FCF growth 1Y0.3%
FCF growth 3Y-0.59%
FCF growth 5Y13.22%
OCF growth 1Y-0.91%
OCF growth 3Y0.13%
OCF growth 5Y13.43%

UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV / UMG.AS Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to UMG.AS.


What is the valuation status of UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) stock?

UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for UMG stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) is 15.71 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 6.09.


Is the dividend of UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV sustainable?

The dividend rating of UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 62.17%.