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UMB FINANCIAL CORP (UMBF) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:UMBF - Nasdaq - US9027881088 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

106.91  -3.05 (-2.77%)

After market: 106.91 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

3

UMBF gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 405 industry peers in the Banks industry. While UMBF is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. UMBF has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year UMBF was profitable.
In the past year UMBF had a positive cash flow from operations.
UMBF had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Of the past 5 years UMBF 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
UMBF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFUMBF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

UMBF has a Return On Assets of 0.83%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: UMBF outperforms 53.88% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 11.09%, UMBF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.20% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.83%
ROE 11.09%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)0.91%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)12.9%
ROE(5y)11.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
UMBF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICUMBF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

With a decent Profit Margin value of 25.05%, UMBF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.41% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of UMBF has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for UMBF so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 25.05%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y2.57%
PM growth 5Y4.39%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
UMBF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsUMBF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15 20 25

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

UMBF does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
UMBF has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
UMBF Yearly Shares OutstandingUMBF Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M
UMBF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsUMBF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

The Debt to FCF ratio of UMBF is 8.93, which is on the high side as it means it would take UMBF, 8.93 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 8.93, UMBF is doing worse than 70.93% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.91 indicates that UMBF is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.91, UMBF is doing worse than 85.96% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.91
Debt/FCF 8.93
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC12.46%
UMBF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFUMBF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
UMBF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesUMBF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 25.49% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, UMBF shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 12.68% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)25.49%
EPS 3Y7.51%
EPS 5Y12.68%
EPS Q2Q%68.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%17.1%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, UMBF will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.22% on average per year.
UMBF is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 21.48% yearly.
EPS Next Y6.43%
EPS Next 2Y13.05%
EPS Next 3Y11.22%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year54.87%
Revenue Next 2Y30.04%
Revenue Next 3Y21.48%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
UMBF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesUMBF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
UMBF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesUMBF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6 8 10

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 11.87, the valuation of UMBF can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, UMBF is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 61.40% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of UMBF to the average of the S&P500 Index (29.63), we can say UMBF is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.15 indicates a reasonable valuation of UMBF.
UMBF's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.68, UMBF is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.87
Fwd PE 11.15
UMBF Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsUMBF Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

68.92% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than UMBF, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 21.54
EV/EBITDA N/A
UMBF Per share dataUMBF EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates UMBF does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)1.85
PEG (5Y)0.94
EPS Next 2Y13.05%
EPS Next 3Y11.22%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

UMBF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.46%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
UMBF's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 3.18.
UMBF's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.27.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.46%

5.2 History

The dividend of UMBF has a limited annual growth rate of 5.48%.
UMBF has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
UMBF has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.48%
Div Incr Years29
Div Non Decr Years29
UMBF Yearly Dividends per shareUMBF Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

UMBF pays out 19.52% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of UMBF is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP19.52%
EPS Next 2Y13.05%
EPS Next 3Y11.22%
UMBF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendUMBF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M
UMBF Dividend Payout.UMBF Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.UMBF Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

UMB FINANCIAL CORP

NASDAQ:UMBF (2/21/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 106.91 0 (0%)

106.91

-3.05 (-2.77%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupBanks
GICS IndustryBanks
Earnings (Last)01-28 2025-01-28/amc
Earnings (Next)04-28 2025-04-28/amc
Inst Owners71.82%
Inst Owner Change-84.96%
Ins Owners5.83%
Ins Owner Change13.36%
Market Cap7.74B
Analysts82.67
Price Target141.21 (32.08%)
Short Float %6.03%
Short Ratio6.09
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.46%
Yearly Dividend1.54
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.48%
DP19.52%
Div Incr Years29
Div Non Decr Years29
Ex-Date03-10 2025-03-10 (0.4)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)0.66%
Min EPS beat(2)0.32%
Max EPS beat(2)1.01%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.74%
Min EPS beat(4)-19.41%
Max EPS beat(4)25.03%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)1.47%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)4.45%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)2.95%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.43%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.67%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.19%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.53%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.67%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.2%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.84%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.11%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.31%
PT rev (1m)-0.32%
PT rev (3m)6.5%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.51%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.11%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.79%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.11%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.11%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.87
Fwd PE 11.15
P/S 4.94
P/FCF 21.54
P/OCF 20.52
P/B 2.19
P/tB 2.37
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)9.01
EY8.43%
EPS(NY)9.59
Fwd EY8.97%
FCF(TTM)4.96
FCFY4.64%
OCF(TTM)5.21
OCFY4.87%
SpS21.62
BVpS48.83
TBVpS45.06
PEG (NY)1.85
PEG (5Y)0.94
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.83%
ROE 11.09%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 25.05%
GM N/A
FCFM 22.95%
ROA(3y)0.91%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)12.9%
ROE(5y)11.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y2.57%
PM growth 5Y4.39%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.03
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.91
Debt/FCF 8.93
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 32.92%
Cap/Sales 1.14%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 91.63%
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score5
WACC12.46%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)67.36%
Cap/Depr(5y)85.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.85%
Profit Quality(3y)145.13%
Profit Quality(5y)130.93%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)25.49%
EPS 3Y7.51%
EPS 5Y12.68%
EPS Q2Q%68.28%
EPS Next Y6.43%
EPS Next 2Y13.05%
EPS Next 3Y11.22%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%17.1%
Revenue Next Year54.87%
Revenue Next 2Y30.04%
Revenue Next 3Y21.48%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-52.06%
FCF growth 3Y12.46%
FCF growth 5Y13.25%
OCF growth 1Y-52.67%
OCF growth 3Y8.15%
OCF growth 5Y9.73%