ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:UGP ⢠US90400P1012
Current stock price
5.65 USD
+0.03 (+0.53%)
At close:
5.7 USD
+0.05 (+0.88%)
After Hours:
This UGP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. UGP Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year UGP was profitable.
- In the past year UGP had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years UGP has always been profitable.
- UGP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- UGP's Return On Assets of 5.01% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. UGP outperforms 71.77% of its industry peers.
- UGP's Return On Equity of 15.79% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. UGP outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of UGP (8.91%) is better than 77.42% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for UGP is below the industry average of 13.35%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.01% | ||
| ROE | 15.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.91% |
ROA(3y)5.77%
ROA(5y)4.89%
ROE(3y)16.44%
ROE(5y)14.63%
ROIC(3y)10.47%
ROIC(5y)8.8%
1.3 Margins
- UGP's Profit Margin of 1.74% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. UGP outperforms 59.68% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of UGP has grown nicely.
- The Operating Margin of UGP (3.47%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of UGP has grown nicely.
- UGP's Gross Margin of 6.57% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. UGP is outperformed by 89.52% of its industry peers.
- UGP's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.47% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.74% | ||
| GM | 6.57% |
OM growth 3Y16.36%
OM growth 5Y14.21%
PM growth 3Y11.19%
PM growth 5Y7.4%
GM growth 3Y8.67%
GM growth 5Y4%
2. UGP Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so UGP is still creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, UGP has less shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for UGP has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- UGP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- UGP has an Altman-Z score of 4.19. This indicates that UGP is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- UGP has a better Altman-Z score (4.19) than 82.26% of its industry peers.
- UGP has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.33. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as UGP would need 6.33 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- UGP has a better Debt to FCF ratio (6.33) than 60.48% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.10 is on the high side and indicates that UGP has dependencies on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of UGP (1.10) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.33 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.19 |
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC10.12%
2.3 Liquidity
- UGP has a Current Ratio of 1.62. This is a normal value and indicates that UGP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- UGP's Current ratio of 1.62 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. UGP outperforms 67.74% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.26 indicates that UGP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- UGP's Quick ratio of 1.26 is amongst the best of the industry. UGP outperforms 83.06% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.26 |
3. UGP Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- UGP shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 6.92%.
- UGP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 22.13% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, UGP shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.64% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, UGP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 13.96% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.92%
EPS 3Y10.78%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%-57.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.29%
Revenue growth 5Y13.96%
Sales Q2Q%7.2%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, UGP will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.49% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.02% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-6.32%
EPS Next 2Y8.49%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.97%
Revenue Next 2Y5.22%
Revenue Next 3Y4.49%
Revenue Next 5Y3.02%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. UGP Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.45, which indicates a correct valuation of UGP.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, UGP is valued a bit cheaper than 76.61% of the companies in the same industry.
- UGP's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.21.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.24, UGP is valued correctly.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, UGP is valued a bit cheaper than 70.16% of the companies in the same industry.
- UGP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.13.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.24 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of UGP indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: UGP is cheaper than 77.42% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, UGP is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.06% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.08 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.44 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of UGP may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.61
EPS Next 2Y8.49%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. UGP Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- UGP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.59%, which is a nice return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.06, UGP pays a better dividend. On top of this UGP pays more dividend than 88.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- UGP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.59% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of UGP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 50.49%!
- UGP has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- The dividend of UGP decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)50.49%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- 87.78% of the earnings are spent on dividend by UGP. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of UGP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP87.78%
EPS Next 2Y8.49%
EPS Next 3YN/A
UGP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
5.65
+0.03 (+0.53%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)03-04 2026-03-04/amc
Earnings (Next)05-06 2026-05-06
Inst Owners41.05%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap6.04B
Revenue(TTM)142.37B
Net Income(TTM)2.47B
Analysts78.1
Price Target5.04 (-10.8%)
Short Float %0.28%
Short Ratio0.74
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.59% |
Yearly Dividend0.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)50.49%
DP87.78%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-25.82%
Max EPS beat(2)25.23%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)42.14%
Min EPS beat(4)-25.82%
Max EPS beat(4)185.16%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)29.43%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)34.85%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)58.77%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.92%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.94%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.43%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.92%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.1%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.65%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.12%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)6.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)6.81%
EPS NQ rev (3m)10.93%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.98%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)10.97%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)15.9%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.39%
Revenue NY rev (3m)7.35%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.24 | ||
| P/S | 0.22 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.08 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.74 | ||
| P/B | 2 | ||
| P/tB | 2.53 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.44 |
EPS(TTM)0.42
EY7.43%
EPS(NY)0.4
Fwd EY7.02%
FCF(TTM)0.62
FCFY11.02%
OCF(TTM)0.98
OCFY17.43%
SpS25.71
BVpS2.83
TBVpS2.23
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.61
Graham Number5.17
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.01% | ||
| ROE | 15.79% | ||
| ROCE | 13.19% | ||
| ROIC | 8.91% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.96% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.3% | ||
| OM | 3.47% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.74% | ||
| GM | 6.57% | ||
| FCFM | 2.42% |
ROA(3y)5.77%
ROA(5y)4.89%
ROE(3y)16.44%
ROE(5y)14.63%
ROIC(3y)10.47%
ROIC(5y)8.8%
ROICexc(3y)12.98%
ROICexc(5y)11.07%
ROICexgc(3y)14.48%
ROICexgc(5y)12.33%
ROCE(3y)15.5%
ROCE(5y)13.03%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-3.53%
ROICexgc growth 5Y19.25%
ROICexc growth 3Y-3.51%
ROICexc growth 5Y18.81%
OM growth 3Y16.36%
OM growth 5Y14.21%
PM growth 3Y11.19%
PM growth 5Y7.4%
GM growth 3Y8.67%
GM growth 5Y4%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover2.88
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.33 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 126.42% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.41% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.6 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 83.47% | ||
| Profit Quality | 139.31% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.19 |
F-Score5
WACC10.12%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)128.42%
Cap/Depr(5y)128.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.15%
Profit Quality(3y)109.33%
Profit Quality(5y)105.5%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.92%
EPS 3Y10.78%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%-57.5%
EPS Next Y-6.32%
EPS Next 2Y8.49%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.29%
Revenue growth 5Y13.96%
Sales Q2Q%7.2%
Revenue Next Year5.97%
Revenue Next 2Y5.22%
Revenue Next 3Y4.49%
Revenue Next 5Y3.02%
EBIT growth 1Y0.92%
EBIT growth 3Y16.02%
EBIT growth 5Y30.16%
EBIT Next Year56.76%
EBIT Next 3Y14.32%
EBIT Next 5Y14.04%
FCF growth 1Y76.93%
FCF growth 3Y62.87%
FCF growth 5Y11.65%
OCF growth 1Y45.96%
OCF growth 3Y39.59%
OCF growth 5Y11.68%
ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR / UGP Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to UGP.
Can you provide the valuation status for ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) stock?
ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR?
The financial health rating of ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) is 6 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for UGP stock?
The dividend rating of ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 87.78%.