ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:UGP ⢠US90400P1012
Current stock price
6.08 USD
+0.06 (+1%)
At close:
6.12 USD
+0.04 (+0.66%)
After Hours:
This UGP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. UGP Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- UGP had positive earnings in the past year.
- UGP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years UGP has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years UGP had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- UGP has a better Return On Assets (5.01%) than 71.31% of its industry peers.
- UGP's Return On Equity of 15.79% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. UGP outperforms 73.77% of its industry peers.
- UGP's Return On Invested Capital of 8.91% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. UGP outperforms 76.23% of its industry peers.
- UGP had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.47%. This is below the industry average of 13.64%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.01% | ||
| ROE | 15.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.91% |
ROA(3y)5.77%
ROA(5y)4.89%
ROE(3y)16.44%
ROE(5y)14.63%
ROIC(3y)10.47%
ROIC(5y)8.8%
1.3 Margins
- UGP has a Profit Margin (1.74%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of UGP has grown nicely.
- The Operating Margin of UGP (3.47%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of UGP has grown nicely.
- With a Gross Margin value of 6.57%, UGP is not doing good in the industry: 90.98% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- UGP's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.47% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.74% | ||
| GM | 6.57% |
OM growth 3Y16.36%
OM growth 5Y14.21%
PM growth 3Y11.19%
PM growth 5Y7.4%
GM growth 3Y8.67%
GM growth 5Y4%
2. UGP Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so UGP is still creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for UGP has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- UGP has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, UGP has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- UGP has an Altman-Z score of 4.21. This indicates that UGP is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- UGP's Altman-Z score of 4.21 is amongst the best of the industry. UGP outperforms 84.43% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of UGP is 6.33, which is on the high side as it means it would take UGP, 6.33 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- UGP has a Debt to FCF ratio (6.33) which is in line with its industry peers.
- UGP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.10. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- UGP has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.10. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: UGP outperforms 41.80% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.33 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.21 |
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC10.3%
2.3 Liquidity
- UGP has a Current Ratio of 1.62. This is a normal value and indicates that UGP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- UGP has a Current ratio of 1.62. This is in the better half of the industry: UGP outperforms 66.39% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.26 indicates that UGP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- UGP has a Quick ratio of 1.26. This is amongst the best in the industry. UGP outperforms 81.97% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.26 |
3. UGP Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.92% over the past year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 22.13% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- UGP shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.64%.
- Measured over the past years, UGP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 13.96% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.92%
EPS 3Y10.78%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%-57.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.29%
Revenue growth 5Y13.96%
Sales Q2Q%7.2%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 13.22% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, UGP will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.02% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-2.41%
EPS Next 2Y10.11%
EPS Next 3Y13.22%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.97%
Revenue Next 2Y5.22%
Revenue Next 3Y4.49%
Revenue Next 5Y3.02%
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. UGP Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.14, UGP is valued correctly.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, UGP is valued a bit cheaper than 77.05% of the companies in the same industry.
- UGP is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.18, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 14.35, which indicates a correct valuation of UGP.
- 73.77% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than UGP, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 37.96, UGP is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.35 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- UGP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. UGP is cheaper than 74.59% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, UGP is valued cheaper than 82.79% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.53 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.66 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of UGP may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as UGP's earnings are expected to grow with 13.22% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.64
EPS Next 2Y10.11%
EPS Next 3Y13.22%
5. UGP Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- UGP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.37%, which is a nice return.
- UGP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.39. UGP pays more dividend than 88.52% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, UGP pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.37% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of UGP grows each year by 50.49%, which is quite nice.
- UGP has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- UGP has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)50.49%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- UGP pays out 87.78% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of UGP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP87.78%
EPS Next 2Y10.11%
EPS Next 3Y13.22%
UGP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
6.08
+0.06 (+1%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)03-04 2026-03-04/amc
Earnings (Next)05-06 2026-05-06
Inst Owners41.94%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap6.50B
Revenue(TTM)142.37B
Net Income(TTM)2.47B
Analysts78.1
Price Target5.73 (-5.76%)
Short Float %0.28%
Short Ratio0.74
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.37% |
Yearly Dividend0.39
Dividend Growth(5Y)50.49%
DP87.78%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-25.82%
Max EPS beat(2)25.23%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)42.14%
Min EPS beat(4)-25.82%
Max EPS beat(4)185.16%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)29.43%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)34.85%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)58.77%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.92%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.94%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.43%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.92%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.1%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.65%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.12%
PT rev (1m)13.74%
PT rev (3m)21.15%
EPS NQ rev (1m)6.61%
EPS NQ rev (3m)10.93%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.17%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)10.97%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)15.9%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.39%
Revenue NY rev (3m)7.35%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.35 | ||
| P/S | 0.23 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.53 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.02 | ||
| P/B | 2.1 | ||
| P/tB | 2.66 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.66 |
EPS(TTM)0.43
EY7.07%
EPS(NY)0.42
Fwd EY6.97%
FCF(TTM)0.64
FCFY10.5%
OCF(TTM)1.01
OCFY16.6%
SpS26.36
BVpS2.9
TBVpS2.29
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.64
Graham Number5.3
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.01% | ||
| ROE | 15.79% | ||
| ROCE | 13.19% | ||
| ROIC | 8.91% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.96% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.3% | ||
| OM | 3.47% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.74% | ||
| GM | 6.57% | ||
| FCFM | 2.42% |
ROA(3y)5.77%
ROA(5y)4.89%
ROE(3y)16.44%
ROE(5y)14.63%
ROIC(3y)10.47%
ROIC(5y)8.8%
ROICexc(3y)12.98%
ROICexc(5y)11.07%
ROICexgc(3y)14.48%
ROICexgc(5y)12.33%
ROCE(3y)15.5%
ROCE(5y)13.03%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-3.53%
ROICexgc growth 5Y19.25%
ROICexc growth 3Y-3.51%
ROICexc growth 5Y18.81%
OM growth 3Y16.36%
OM growth 5Y14.21%
PM growth 3Y11.19%
PM growth 5Y7.4%
GM growth 3Y8.67%
GM growth 5Y4%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover2.88
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.33 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 126.42% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.41% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.6 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 83.47% | ||
| Profit Quality | 139.31% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.21 |
F-Score5
WACC10.3%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)128.42%
Cap/Depr(5y)128.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.15%
Profit Quality(3y)109.33%
Profit Quality(5y)105.5%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.92%
EPS 3Y10.78%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%-57.5%
EPS Next Y-2.41%
EPS Next 2Y10.11%
EPS Next 3Y13.22%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.29%
Revenue growth 5Y13.96%
Sales Q2Q%7.2%
Revenue Next Year5.97%
Revenue Next 2Y5.22%
Revenue Next 3Y4.49%
Revenue Next 5Y3.02%
EBIT growth 1Y0.92%
EBIT growth 3Y16.02%
EBIT growth 5Y30.16%
EBIT Next Year60.36%
EBIT Next 3Y21.93%
EBIT Next 5Y14.04%
FCF growth 1Y76.93%
FCF growth 3Y62.87%
FCF growth 5Y11.65%
OCF growth 1Y45.96%
OCF growth 3Y39.59%
OCF growth 5Y11.68%
ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR / UGP Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to UGP.
Can you provide the valuation status for ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) stock?
ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR?
The financial health rating of ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for UGP stock?
The dividend rating of ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 87.78%.