ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:UGP • US90400P1012

Current stock price

5.62 USD
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This UGP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. UGP Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • UGP had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year UGP had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • UGP had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years UGP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
UGP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFUGP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

1.2 Ratios

  • UGP has a Return On Assets of 5.01%. This is in the better half of the industry: UGP outperforms 71.54% of its industry peers.
  • UGP has a Return On Equity of 15.79%. This is in the better half of the industry: UGP outperforms 74.80% of its industry peers.
  • UGP has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.91%) than 78.05% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for UGP is below the industry average of 13.27%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.01%
ROE 15.79%
ROIC 8.91%
ROA(3y)5.77%
ROA(5y)4.89%
ROE(3y)16.44%
ROE(5y)14.63%
ROIC(3y)10.47%
ROIC(5y)8.8%
UGP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICUGP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • UGP has a Profit Margin of 1.74%. This is in the better half of the industry: UGP outperforms 60.16% of its industry peers.
  • UGP's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 3.47%, UGP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • UGP's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of UGP (6.57%) is worse than 89.43% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of UGP has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.47%
PM (TTM) 1.74%
GM 6.57%
OM growth 3Y16.36%
OM growth 5Y14.21%
PM growth 3Y11.19%
PM growth 5Y7.4%
GM growth 3Y8.67%
GM growth 5Y4%
UGP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsUGP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8

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6

2. UGP Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • UGP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for UGP has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • UGP has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • UGP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
UGP Yearly Shares OutstandingUGP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
UGP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsUGP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.19 indicates that UGP is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • UGP has a better Altman-Z score (4.19) than 84.55% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of UGP is 6.33, which is on the high side as it means it would take UGP, 6.33 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 6.33, UGP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.10 is on the high side and indicates that UGP has dependencies on debt financing.
  • UGP has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.10) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.1
Debt/FCF 6.33
Altman-Z 4.19
ROIC/WACC0.87
WACC10.18%
UGP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFUGP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.62 indicates that UGP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.62, UGP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.26 indicates that UGP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Quick ratio value of 1.26, UGP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.93% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 1.26
UGP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesUGP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

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5

3. UGP Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.92% over the past year.
  • UGP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 22.13% yearly.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.64% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 13.96% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.92%
EPS 3Y10.78%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%-57.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.29%
Revenue growth 5Y13.96%
Sales Q2Q%7.2%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.49% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • UGP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.02% yearly.
EPS Next Y-6.32%
EPS Next 2Y8.49%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year0.56%
Revenue Next 2Y3.19%
Revenue Next 3Y6.22%
Revenue Next 5Y3.02%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
UGP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesUGP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 50B 100B 150B
UGP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesUGP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

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5

4. UGP Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.38, which indicates a correct valuation of UGP.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, UGP is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 76.42% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.60. UGP is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.17, the valuation of UGP can be described as correct.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of UGP indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: UGP is cheaper than 69.92% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.84, UGP is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.38
Fwd PE 14.17
UGP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsUGP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, UGP is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.24% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • 84.55% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than UGP, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 9.03
EV/EBITDA 6.44
UGP Per share dataUGP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • UGP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.6
EPS Next 2Y8.49%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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6

5. UGP Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • UGP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.56%, which is a nice return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.75, UGP pays a better dividend. On top of this UGP pays more dividend than 89.43% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • UGP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.88.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.56%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of UGP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 50.49%!
  • UGP has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • UGP has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)50.49%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
UGP Yearly Dividends per shareUGP Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

  • 87.78% of the earnings are spent on dividend by UGP. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • UGP's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP87.78%
EPS Next 2Y8.49%
EPS Next 3YN/A
UGP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendUGP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B
UGP Dividend Payout.UGP Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.UGP Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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UGP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR

NYSE:UGP (4/2/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 5.62 0 (0%)

5.62

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)03-04
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners41.05%
Inst Owner Change-4.88%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap6.01B
Revenue(TTM)142.37B
Net Income(TTM)2.47B
Analysts76.19
Price Target5.04 (-10.32%)
Short Float %0.28%
Short Ratio0.74
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.56%
Yearly Dividend0.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)50.49%
DP87.78%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-25.82%
Max EPS beat(2)25.23%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)42.14%
Min EPS beat(4)-25.82%
Max EPS beat(4)185.16%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)29.43%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)34.85%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)58.77%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.92%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.94%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.43%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.92%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.1%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.65%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.12%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)6.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.03%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)7.69%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)12.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.43%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.86%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.38
Fwd PE 14.17
P/S 0.22
P/FCF 9.03
P/OCF 5.71
P/B 1.99
P/tB 2.52
EV/EBITDA 6.44
EPS(TTM)0.42
EY7.47%
EPS(NY)0.4
Fwd EY7.06%
FCF(TTM)0.62
FCFY11.08%
OCF(TTM)0.98
OCFY17.52%
SpS25.71
BVpS2.83
TBVpS2.23
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.6
Graham Number5.17
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.01%
ROE 15.79%
ROCE 13.19%
ROIC 8.91%
ROICexc 10.96%
ROICexgc 12.3%
OM 3.47%
PM (TTM) 1.74%
GM 6.57%
FCFM 2.42%
ROA(3y)5.77%
ROA(5y)4.89%
ROE(3y)16.44%
ROE(5y)14.63%
ROIC(3y)10.47%
ROIC(5y)8.8%
ROICexc(3y)12.98%
ROICexc(5y)11.07%
ROICexgc(3y)14.48%
ROICexgc(5y)12.33%
ROCE(3y)15.5%
ROCE(5y)13.03%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-3.53%
ROICexgc growth 5Y19.25%
ROICexc growth 3Y-3.51%
ROICexc growth 5Y18.81%
OM growth 3Y16.36%
OM growth 5Y14.21%
PM growth 3Y11.19%
PM growth 5Y7.4%
GM growth 3Y8.67%
GM growth 5Y4%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover2.88
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.1
Debt/FCF 6.33
Debt/EBITDA 2.64
Cap/Depr 126.42%
Cap/Sales 1.41%
Interest Coverage 2.6
Cash Conversion 83.47%
Profit Quality 139.31%
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 1.26
Altman-Z 4.19
F-Score5
WACC10.18%
ROIC/WACC0.87
Cap/Depr(3y)128.42%
Cap/Depr(5y)128.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.15%
Profit Quality(3y)109.33%
Profit Quality(5y)105.5%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.92%
EPS 3Y10.78%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%-57.5%
EPS Next Y-6.32%
EPS Next 2Y8.49%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.29%
Revenue growth 5Y13.96%
Sales Q2Q%7.2%
Revenue Next Year0.56%
Revenue Next 2Y3.19%
Revenue Next 3Y6.22%
Revenue Next 5Y3.02%
EBIT growth 1Y0.92%
EBIT growth 3Y16.02%
EBIT growth 5Y30.16%
EBIT Next Year56.76%
EBIT Next 3Y14.32%
EBIT Next 5Y14.04%
FCF growth 1Y76.93%
FCF growth 3Y62.87%
FCF growth 5Y11.65%
OCF growth 1Y45.96%
OCF growth 3Y39.59%
OCF growth 5Y11.68%

ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR / UGP Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to UGP.


Can you provide the valuation status for ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) stock?

ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR?

The financial health rating of ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) is 6 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for UGP stock?

The dividend rating of ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 87.78%.