ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:UGP ⢠US90400P1012
Current stock price
5.51 USD
+0.17 (+3.18%)
At close:
5.51 USD
0 (0%)
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This UGP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. UGP Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- UGP had positive earnings in the past year.
- UGP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years UGP has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years UGP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- UGP has a better Return On Assets (5.01%) than 71.54% of its industry peers.
- UGP's Return On Equity of 15.79% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. UGP outperforms 74.80% of its industry peers.
- UGP's Return On Invested Capital of 8.91% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. UGP outperforms 78.05% of its industry peers.
- UGP had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.47%. This is below the industry average of 13.27%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.01% | ||
| ROE | 15.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.91% |
ROA(3y)5.77%
ROA(5y)4.89%
ROE(3y)16.44%
ROE(5y)14.63%
ROIC(3y)10.47%
ROIC(5y)8.8%
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 1.74%, UGP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.16% of the companies in the same industry.
- UGP's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- UGP's Operating Margin of 3.47% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. UGP outperforms 58.54% of its industry peers.
- UGP's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 6.57%, UGP is doing worse than 89.43% of the companies in the same industry.
- UGP's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.47% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.74% | ||
| GM | 6.57% |
OM growth 3Y16.36%
OM growth 5Y14.21%
PM growth 3Y11.19%
PM growth 5Y7.4%
GM growth 3Y8.67%
GM growth 5Y4%
2. UGP Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so UGP is still creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for UGP has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for UGP has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for UGP is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- UGP has an Altman-Z score of 4.17. This indicates that UGP is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- UGP has a Altman-Z score of 4.17. This is amongst the best in the industry. UGP outperforms 85.37% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of UGP is 6.33, which is on the high side as it means it would take UGP, 6.33 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 6.33, UGP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.16% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.10 is on the high side and indicates that UGP has dependencies on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of UGP (1.10) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.33 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.17 |
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC10.09%
2.3 Liquidity
- UGP has a Current Ratio of 1.62. This is a normal value and indicates that UGP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- UGP has a Current ratio of 1.62. This is in the better half of the industry: UGP outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.26 indicates that UGP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- UGP's Quick ratio of 1.26 is amongst the best of the industry. UGP outperforms 82.93% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.26 |
3. UGP Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.92% over the past year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 22.13% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- Looking at the last year, UGP shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.64% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 13.96% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.92%
EPS 3Y10.78%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%-57.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.29%
Revenue growth 5Y13.96%
Sales Q2Q%7.2%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.49% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.02% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-6.32%
EPS Next 2Y8.49%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year0.56%
Revenue Next 2Y3.19%
Revenue Next 3Y6.22%
Revenue Next 5Y3.02%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. UGP Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.12, UGP is valued correctly.
- 78.05% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than UGP, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- UGP is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.05 indicates a correct valuation of UGP.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, UGP is valued a bit cheaper than 70.73% of the companies in the same industry.
- UGP is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.61, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.12 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.05 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 76.42% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than UGP, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of UGP indicates a rather cheap valuation: UGP is cheaper than 84.55% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.95 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.26 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- UGP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.59
EPS Next 2Y8.49%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. UGP Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.56%, UGP is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.75, UGP pays a better dividend. On top of this UGP pays more dividend than 89.43% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- UGP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.56% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of UGP grows each year by 50.49%, which is quite nice.
- UGP has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- UGP has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)50.49%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- 87.78% of the earnings are spent on dividend by UGP. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- UGP's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP87.78%
EPS Next 2Y8.49%
EPS Next 3YN/A
UGP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
5.51
+0.17 (+3.18%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)03-04 2026-03-04/amc
Earnings (Next)05-06 2026-05-06
Inst Owners41.05%
Inst Owner Change-4.88%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap5.89B
Revenue(TTM)142.37B
Net Income(TTM)2.47B
Analysts76.19
Price Target5.04 (-8.53%)
Short Float %0.28%
Short Ratio0.74
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.56% |
Yearly Dividend0.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)50.49%
DP87.78%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-25.82%
Max EPS beat(2)25.23%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)42.14%
Min EPS beat(4)-25.82%
Max EPS beat(4)185.16%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)29.43%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)34.85%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)58.77%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.92%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.94%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.43%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.92%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.1%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.65%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.12%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)6.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.03%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)7.69%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)12.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.43%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.86%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.12 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.05 | ||
| P/S | 0.22 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.95 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.66 | ||
| P/B | 1.97 | ||
| P/tB | 2.5 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.26 |
EPS(TTM)0.42
EY7.62%
EPS(NY)0.39
Fwd EY7.12%
FCF(TTM)0.62
FCFY11.17%
OCF(TTM)0.97
OCFY17.67%
SpS25.42
BVpS2.8
TBVpS2.21
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.59
Graham Number5.14
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.01% | ||
| ROE | 15.79% | ||
| ROCE | 13.19% | ||
| ROIC | 8.91% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.96% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.3% | ||
| OM | 3.47% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.74% | ||
| GM | 6.57% | ||
| FCFM | 2.42% |
ROA(3y)5.77%
ROA(5y)4.89%
ROE(3y)16.44%
ROE(5y)14.63%
ROIC(3y)10.47%
ROIC(5y)8.8%
ROICexc(3y)12.98%
ROICexc(5y)11.07%
ROICexgc(3y)14.48%
ROICexgc(5y)12.33%
ROCE(3y)15.5%
ROCE(5y)13.03%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-3.53%
ROICexgc growth 5Y19.25%
ROICexc growth 3Y-3.51%
ROICexc growth 5Y18.81%
OM growth 3Y16.36%
OM growth 5Y14.21%
PM growth 3Y11.19%
PM growth 5Y7.4%
GM growth 3Y8.67%
GM growth 5Y4%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover2.88
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.33 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 126.42% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.41% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.6 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 83.47% | ||
| Profit Quality | 139.31% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.17 |
F-Score5
WACC10.09%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)128.42%
Cap/Depr(5y)128.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.15%
Profit Quality(3y)109.33%
Profit Quality(5y)105.5%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.92%
EPS 3Y10.78%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%-57.5%
EPS Next Y-6.32%
EPS Next 2Y8.49%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.29%
Revenue growth 5Y13.96%
Sales Q2Q%7.2%
Revenue Next Year0.56%
Revenue Next 2Y3.19%
Revenue Next 3Y6.22%
Revenue Next 5Y3.02%
EBIT growth 1Y0.92%
EBIT growth 3Y16.02%
EBIT growth 5Y30.16%
EBIT Next Year56.76%
EBIT Next 3Y14.32%
EBIT Next 5Y14.04%
FCF growth 1Y76.93%
FCF growth 3Y62.87%
FCF growth 5Y11.65%
OCF growth 1Y45.96%
OCF growth 3Y39.59%
OCF growth 5Y11.68%
ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR / UGP Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to UGP.
Can you provide the valuation status for ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) stock?
ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR?
The financial health rating of ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) is 6 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for UGP stock?
The dividend rating of ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 87.78%.