UNITED FIRE GROUP INC (UFCS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:UFCS • US9103401082
Current stock price
40.15 USD
+0.19 (+0.48%)
At close:
40.15 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This UFCS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. UFCS Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- UFCS had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year UFCS had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Of the past 5 years UFCS 4 years were profitable.
- UFCS had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- UFCS's Return On Assets of 3.08% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. UFCS outperforms 59.18% of its industry peers.
- UFCS's Return On Equity of 12.56% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. UFCS outperforms 60.54% of its industry peers.
- UFCS's Return On Invested Capital of 3.48% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. UFCS outperforms 61.22% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.08% | ||
| ROE | 12.56% | ||
| ROIC | 3.48% |
ROA(3y)1.3%
ROA(5y)1.42%
ROE(3y)5.48%
ROE(5y)5.53%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.52%, UFCS is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.34% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of UFCS has grown nicely.
- UFCS has a Operating Margin of 11.48%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: UFCS outperforms 46.94% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of UFCS has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.52% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y94.5%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y77.28%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. UFCS Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), UFCS is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, UFCS has more shares outstanding
- UFCS has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for UFCS is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- The Debt to FCF ratio of UFCS is 0.56, which is an excellent value as it means it would take UFCS, only 0.56 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- UFCS has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.56. This is in the better half of the industry: UFCS outperforms 76.19% of its industry peers.
- UFCS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.16. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- UFCS's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.16 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. UFCS outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.16 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.56 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
ROIC/WACC0.4
WACC8.74%
2.3 Liquidity
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | N/A | ||
| Quick Ratio | N/A |
3. UFCS Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 80.39% over the past year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 62.10% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- Looking at the last year, UFCS shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 10.62% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.35% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)80.39%
EPS 3Y62.1%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%20%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.62%
Revenue growth 3Y12.25%
Revenue growth 5Y5.35%
Sales Q2Q%9.62%
3.2 Future
- UFCS is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -9.06% yearly.
- UFCS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 10.53% yearly.
EPS Next Y-20.51%
EPS Next 2Y-9.06%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year12.32%
Revenue Next 2Y10.53%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. UFCS Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 8.73 indicates a reasonable valuation of UFCS.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, UFCS is valued a bit cheaper than 65.31% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of UFCS to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.42), we can say UFCS is valued rather cheaply.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.98, which indicates a very decent valuation of UFCS.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as UFCS.
- UFCS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.24, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.73 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.98 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of UFCS indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: UFCS is cheaper than 73.47% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, UFCS is valued a bit cheaper than 73.47% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 3.91 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.96 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- A cheap valuation may be justified as UFCS's earnings are expected to decrease with -9.06% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-9.06%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. UFCS Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- UFCS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.03%.
- UFCS's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 2.37.
- UFCS's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.03% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of UFCS decreases each year by -10.85%.
- UFCS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- UFCS has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.85%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
- UFCS pays out 13.80% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- The Dividend Rate of UFCS has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP13.8%
EPS Next 2Y-9.06%
EPS Next 3YN/A
UFCS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
40.15
+0.19 (+0.48%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)02-10 2026-02-10/amc
Earnings (Next)05-12 2026-05-12
Inst Owners67.79%
Inst Owner Change0.12%
Ins Owners17.83%
Ins Owner Change3.22%
Market Cap1.03B
Revenue(TTM)1.39B
Net Income(TTM)118.19M
Analysts80
Price Target41.31 (2.89%)
Short Float %1.4%
Short Ratio2.4
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.03% |
Yearly Dividend0.64
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.85%
DP13.8%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date02-24 2026-02-24 (0.2)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)87.81%
Min EPS beat(2)62.5%
Max EPS beat(2)113.13%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)61.56%
Min EPS beat(4)7.23%
Max EPS beat(4)113.13%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)-125.97%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)321.51%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)236.01%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.92%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.91%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.91%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.46%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.1%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.08%
PT rev (1m)2.53%
PT rev (3m)8%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.1%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.54%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)8.7%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.73 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.98 | ||
| P/S | 0.74 | ||
| P/FCF | 3.91 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.81 | ||
| P/B | 1.09 | ||
| P/tB | 1.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.96 |
EPS(TTM)4.6
EY11.46%
EPS(NY)3.66
Fwd EY9.11%
FCF(TTM)10.28
FCFY25.61%
OCF(TTM)10.53
OCFY26.23%
SpS54.14
BVpS36.75
TBVpS36.63
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number61.6736 (53.61%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.08% | ||
| ROE | 12.56% | ||
| ROCE | 4.34% | ||
| ROIC | 3.48% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.63% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.12% | ||
| OM | 11.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.52% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 18.99% |
ROA(3y)1.3%
ROA(5y)1.42%
ROE(3y)5.48%
ROE(5y)5.53%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y100.19%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y99.05%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y94.5%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y77.28%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.16 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.56 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.86 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 59.85% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.46% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 14.13 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 158.7% | ||
| Profit Quality | 222.77% | ||
| Current Ratio | N/A | ||
| Quick Ratio | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
F-Score8
WACC8.74%
ROIC/WACC0.4
Cap/Depr(3y)90.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.34%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.8%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.79%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)80.39%
EPS 3Y62.1%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%20%
EPS Next Y-20.51%
EPS Next 2Y-9.06%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.62%
Revenue growth 3Y12.25%
Revenue growth 5Y5.35%
Sales Q2Q%9.62%
Revenue Next Year12.32%
Revenue Next 2Y10.53%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y88.82%
EBIT growth 3Y118.32%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-19.83%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y63.55%
OCF growth 1Y-20.73%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y45.48%
UNITED FIRE GROUP INC / UFCS Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for UFCS stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to UFCS.
Can you provide the valuation status for UNITED FIRE GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to UNITED FIRE GROUP INC (UFCS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is UNITED FIRE GROUP INC (UFCS) stock?
UNITED FIRE GROUP INC (UFCS) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of UNITED FIRE GROUP INC (UFCS) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for UNITED FIRE GROUP INC (UFCS) is 8.73 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.09.
Is the dividend of UNITED FIRE GROUP INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of UNITED FIRE GROUP INC (UFCS) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 13.8%.