33.3 USD
-0.05 (-0.15%)
33.34 USD
+0.04 (+0.12%)
TWNK gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. TWNK has an average financial health and profitability rating. While showing a medium growth rate, TWNK is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year TWNK was profitable.
- TWNK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
1.2 Ratios
- TWNK has a better Return On Assets (4.83%) than 63.44% of its industry peers.
- TWNK has a Return On Equity of 9.18%. This is in the better half of the industry: TWNK outperforms 64.52% of its industry peers.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 5.38%, TWNK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.44% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TWNK is significantly below the industry average of 27.80%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (5.38%) for TWNK is above the 3 year average (4.37%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.83% | ||
| ROE | 9.18% | ||
| ROIC | 5.38% |
ROA(3y)3.36%
ROA(5y)2.84%
ROE(3y)6.69%
ROE(5y)5.91%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)3.94%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 12.28%, TWNK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.32% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TWNK has declined.
- The Operating Margin of TWNK (16.91%) is better than 94.62% of its industry peers.
- TWNK's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Gross Margin value of 34.99%, TWNK belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.10% of the companies in the same industry.
- TWNK's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.28% | ||
| GM | 34.99% |
OM growth 3Y3.8%
OM growth 5Y-7.44%
PM growth 3Y20.25%
PM growth 5Y-15.96%
GM growth 3Y1.25%
GM growth 5Y-4.03%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TWNK is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for TWNK has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for TWNK has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.54 indicates that TWNK is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of TWNK (2.54) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- TWNK has a debt to FCF ratio of 9.63. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as TWNK would need 9.63 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 9.63, TWNK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.44% of the companies in the same industry.
- TWNK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.53. This is a neutral value indicating TWNK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- TWNK has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.53. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TWNK outperforms 48.39% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.63 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.54 |
ROIC/WACC0.68
WACC7.88%
2.3 Liquidity
- TWNK has a Current Ratio of 1.80. This is a normal value and indicates that TWNK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of TWNK (1.80) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- TWNK has a Quick Ratio of 1.47. This is a normal value and indicates that TWNK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of TWNK (1.47) is better than 74.19% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.47 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- TWNK shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 9.47%, which is quite good.
- Measured over the past 5 years, TWNK shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 7.36% on average per year.
- The Revenue has grown by 10.00% in the past year. This is quite good.
- Measured over the past years, TWNK shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.84% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.47%
EPS 3Y17.37%
EPS 5Y7.36%
EPS Q2Q%27.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10%
Revenue growth 3Y14.38%
Revenue growth 5Y11.84%
Sales Q2Q%3.49%
3.2 Future
- TWNK is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.80% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.32% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y18%
EPS Next 2Y13.51%
EPS Next 3Y11.36%
EPS Next 5Y8.8%
Revenue Next Year5.6%
Revenue Next 2Y5.07%
Revenue Next 3Y4.87%
Revenue Next 5Y4.32%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 32.02, TWNK can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- TWNK's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of TWNK to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.30), we can say TWNK is valued inline with the index average.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 26.64, which means the current valuation is very expensive for TWNK.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as TWNK.
- TWNK is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.04, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.64 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of TWNK is on the same level as its industry peers.
- TWNK's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 42.86 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.97 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- TWNK's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.78
PEG (5Y)4.35
EPS Next 2Y13.51%
EPS Next 3Y11.36%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for TWNK!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
33.3
-0.05 (-0.15%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)11-07 2023-11-07/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-19 2024-02-19/amc
Inst Owners0%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners19.27%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap4.42B
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)169.94M
Analysts70
Price Target34.74 (4.32%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.59%
Min EPS beat(2)2.05%
Max EPS beat(2)5.14%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)3.97%
Min EPS beat(4)1.05%
Max EPS beat(4)7.63%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.6%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.06%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.6%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.27%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.74%
PT rev (3m)16.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.48%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.88%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.87%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.66%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.62%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.64 | ||
| P/S | 3.2 | ||
| P/FCF | 42.86 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.7 | ||
| P/B | 2.39 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.97 |
EPS(TTM)1.04
EY3.12%
EPS(NY)1.25
Fwd EY3.75%
FCF(TTM)0.78
FCFY2.33%
OCF(TTM)1.88
OCFY5.65%
SpS10.41
BVpS13.94
TBVpS-5.91
PEG (NY)1.78
PEG (5Y)4.35
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.83% | ||
| ROE | 9.18% | ||
| ROCE | 7.06% | ||
| ROIC | 5.38% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.54% | ||
| ROICexgc | 30.86% | ||
| OM | 16.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.28% | ||
| GM | 34.99% | ||
| FCFM | 7.46% |
ROA(3y)3.36%
ROA(5y)2.84%
ROE(3y)6.69%
ROE(5y)5.91%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)3.94%
ROICexc(3y)4.63%
ROICexc(5y)4.2%
ROICexgc(3y)35.07%
ROICexgc(5y)36.04%
ROCE(3y)5.74%
ROCE(5y)5.17%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.58%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-14.6%
ROICexc growth 3Y12.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.38%
OM growth 3Y3.8%
OM growth 5Y-7.44%
PM growth 3Y20.25%
PM growth 5Y-15.96%
GM growth 3Y1.25%
GM growth 5Y-4.03%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.63 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.32 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 235.98% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.61% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.78 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 84.43% | ||
| Profit Quality | 60.75% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.47 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.54 |
F-Score8
WACC7.88%
ROIC/WACC0.68
Cap/Depr(3y)149.99%
Cap/Depr(5y)132.08%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.24%
Profit Quality(3y)114.45%
Profit Quality(5y)131.78%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.47%
EPS 3Y17.37%
EPS 5Y7.36%
EPS Q2Q%27.27%
EPS Next Y18%
EPS Next 2Y13.51%
EPS Next 3Y11.36%
EPS Next 5Y8.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10%
Revenue growth 3Y14.38%
Revenue growth 5Y11.84%
Sales Q2Q%3.49%
Revenue Next Year5.6%
Revenue Next 2Y5.07%
Revenue Next 3Y4.87%
Revenue Next 5Y4.32%
EBIT growth 1Y12.2%
EBIT growth 3Y18.73%
EBIT growth 5Y3.52%
EBIT Next Year45.07%
EBIT Next 3Y18.06%
EBIT Next 5Y17.33%
FCF growth 1Y-21.87%
FCF growth 3Y4.56%
FCF growth 5Y-1.62%
OCF growth 1Y34.54%
OCF growth 3Y20%
OCF growth 5Y8.73%
HOSTESS BRANDS INC / TWNK FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TWNK.
Can you provide the valuation status for HOSTESS BRANDS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of TWNK stock?
HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK) stock?
The financial health rating of HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK) is 5 / 10.