33.3 USD
-0.05 (-0.15%)
33.34 USD
+0.04 (+0.12%)
Taking everything into account, TWNK scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. TWNK was compared to 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. TWNK has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. While showing a medium growth rate, TWNK is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year TWNK was profitable.
TWNK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years TWNK has been profitable.
In the past 5 years TWNK always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 4.83%, TWNK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.44% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of TWNK (9.18%) is better than 64.52% of its industry peers.
TWNK has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.38%. This is in the better half of the industry: TWNK outperforms 63.44% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TWNK is significantly below the industry average of 28.25%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.38%) for TWNK is above the 3 year average (4.37%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.83% | ||
| ROE | 9.18% | ||
| ROIC | 5.38% |
ROA(3y)3.36%
ROA(5y)2.84%
ROE(3y)6.69%
ROE(5y)5.91%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)3.94%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 12.28%, TWNK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.32% of the companies in the same industry.
TWNK's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
TWNK has a better Operating Margin (16.91%) than 94.62% of its industry peers.
TWNK's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
TWNK's Gross Margin of 34.99% is amongst the best of the industry. TWNK outperforms 87.10% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TWNK has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.28% | ||
| GM | 34.99% |
OM growth 3Y3.8%
OM growth 5Y-7.44%
PM growth 3Y20.25%
PM growth 5Y-15.96%
GM growth 3Y1.25%
GM growth 5Y-4.03%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
TWNK has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
TWNK has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The debt/assets ratio for TWNK has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.54 indicates that TWNK is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
TWNK has a Altman-Z score (2.54) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TWNK is 9.63, which is on the high side as it means it would take TWNK, 9.63 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
TWNK has a better Debt to FCF ratio (9.63) than 63.44% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.53 indicates that TWNK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of TWNK (0.53) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.63 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.54 |
ROIC/WACC0.68
WACC7.88%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.80 indicates that TWNK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.80, TWNK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.84% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.47 indicates that TWNK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
TWNK has a better Quick ratio (1.47) than 74.19% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.47 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 9.47% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.36% on average over the past years.
TWNK shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 10.00%.
TWNK shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.84% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.47%
EPS 3Y17.37%
EPS 5Y7.36%
EPS Q2Q%27.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10%
Revenue growth 3Y14.38%
Revenue growth 5Y11.84%
Sales Q2Q%3.49%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.80% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
TWNK is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.32% yearly.
EPS Next Y18%
EPS Next 2Y13.51%
EPS Next 3Y11.36%
EPS Next 5Y8.8%
Revenue Next Year5.6%
Revenue Next 2Y5.07%
Revenue Next 3Y4.87%
Revenue Next 5Y4.32%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 32.02, TWNK can be considered very expensive at the moment.
TWNK's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.22, TWNK is valued a bit more expensive.
TWNK is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.64.
TWNK's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.58. TWNK is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.64 |
4.2 Price Multiples
TWNK's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of TWNK is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 42.86 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.97 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of TWNK may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.78
PEG (5Y)4.35
EPS Next 2Y13.51%
EPS Next 3Y11.36%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
TWNK does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
33.3
-0.05 (-0.15%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners0%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners19.27%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap4.42B
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)169.94M
Analysts70
Price Target34.74 (4.32%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.59%
Min EPS beat(2)2.05%
Max EPS beat(2)5.14%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)3.97%
Min EPS beat(4)1.05%
Max EPS beat(4)7.63%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.6%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.06%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.6%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.27%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.74%
PT rev (3m)16.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.48%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.88%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.87%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.66%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.62%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.64 | ||
| P/S | 3.2 | ||
| P/FCF | 42.86 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.7 | ||
| P/B | 2.39 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.97 |
EPS(TTM)1.04
EY3.12%
EPS(NY)1.25
Fwd EY3.75%
FCF(TTM)0.78
FCFY2.33%
OCF(TTM)1.88
OCFY5.65%
SpS10.41
BVpS13.94
TBVpS-5.91
PEG (NY)1.78
PEG (5Y)4.35
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.83% | ||
| ROE | 9.18% | ||
| ROCE | 7.06% | ||
| ROIC | 5.38% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.54% | ||
| ROICexgc | 30.86% | ||
| OM | 16.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.28% | ||
| GM | 34.99% | ||
| FCFM | 7.46% |
ROA(3y)3.36%
ROA(5y)2.84%
ROE(3y)6.69%
ROE(5y)5.91%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)3.94%
ROICexc(3y)4.63%
ROICexc(5y)4.2%
ROICexgc(3y)35.07%
ROICexgc(5y)36.04%
ROCE(3y)5.74%
ROCE(5y)5.17%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.58%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-14.6%
ROICexc growth 3Y12.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.38%
OM growth 3Y3.8%
OM growth 5Y-7.44%
PM growth 3Y20.25%
PM growth 5Y-15.96%
GM growth 3Y1.25%
GM growth 5Y-4.03%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.63 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.32 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 235.98% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.61% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.78 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 84.43% | ||
| Profit Quality | 60.75% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.47 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.54 |
F-Score8
WACC7.88%
ROIC/WACC0.68
Cap/Depr(3y)149.99%
Cap/Depr(5y)132.08%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.24%
Profit Quality(3y)114.45%
Profit Quality(5y)131.78%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.47%
EPS 3Y17.37%
EPS 5Y7.36%
EPS Q2Q%27.27%
EPS Next Y18%
EPS Next 2Y13.51%
EPS Next 3Y11.36%
EPS Next 5Y8.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10%
Revenue growth 3Y14.38%
Revenue growth 5Y11.84%
Sales Q2Q%3.49%
Revenue Next Year5.6%
Revenue Next 2Y5.07%
Revenue Next 3Y4.87%
Revenue Next 5Y4.32%
EBIT growth 1Y12.2%
EBIT growth 3Y18.73%
EBIT growth 5Y3.52%
EBIT Next Year45.07%
EBIT Next 3Y18.06%
EBIT Next 5Y17.33%
FCF growth 1Y-21.87%
FCF growth 3Y4.56%
FCF growth 5Y-1.62%
OCF growth 1Y34.54%
OCF growth 3Y20%
OCF growth 5Y8.73%
HOSTESS BRANDS INC / TWNK FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TWNK.
What is the valuation status for TWNK stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of TWNK stock?
HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK) stock?
The financial health rating of HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK) is 5 / 10.