33.3 USD
-0.05 (-0.15%)
33.34 USD
+0.04 (+0.12%)
TWNK gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. TWNK has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. TWNK is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- TWNK had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year TWNK had a positive cash flow from operations.
1.2 Ratios
- TWNK has a Return On Assets of 4.83%. This is in the better half of the industry: TWNK outperforms 63.44% of its industry peers.
- TWNK has a Return On Equity of 9.18%. This is in the better half of the industry: TWNK outperforms 64.52% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of TWNK (5.38%) is better than 63.44% of its industry peers.
- TWNK had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.37%. This is significantly below the industry average of 27.80%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (5.38%) for TWNK is above the 3 year average (4.37%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.83% | ||
| ROE | 9.18% | ||
| ROIC | 5.38% |
ROA(3y)3.36%
ROA(5y)2.84%
ROE(3y)6.69%
ROE(5y)5.91%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)3.94%
1.3 Margins
- TWNK has a Profit Margin of 12.28%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TWNK outperforms 90.32% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TWNK has declined.
- TWNK has a Operating Margin of 16.91%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TWNK outperforms 94.62% of its industry peers.
- TWNK's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- TWNK has a better Gross Margin (34.99%) than 87.10% of its industry peers.
- TWNK's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.28% | ||
| GM | 34.99% |
OM growth 3Y3.8%
OM growth 5Y-7.44%
PM growth 3Y20.25%
PM growth 5Y-15.96%
GM growth 3Y1.25%
GM growth 5Y-4.03%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TWNK is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, TWNK has less shares outstanding
- TWNK has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- TWNK has an Altman-Z score of 2.54. This is not the best score and indicates that TWNK is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- TWNK has a Altman-Z score of 2.54. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TWNK outperforms 58.06% of its industry peers.
- TWNK has a debt to FCF ratio of 9.63. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as TWNK would need 9.63 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 9.63, TWNK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.44% of the companies in the same industry.
- TWNK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.53. This is a neutral value indicating TWNK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.53, TWNK is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.39% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.63 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.54 |
ROIC/WACC0.68
WACC7.88%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.80 indicates that TWNK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 1.80, TWNK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.84% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.47 indicates that TWNK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- TWNK has a better Quick ratio (1.47) than 74.19% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.47 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- TWNK shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 9.47%, which is quite good.
- Measured over the past 5 years, TWNK shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 7.36% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, TWNK shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 10.00% in the last year.
- TWNK shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.84% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.47%
EPS 3Y17.37%
EPS 5Y7.36%
EPS Q2Q%27.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10%
Revenue growth 3Y14.38%
Revenue growth 5Y11.84%
Sales Q2Q%3.49%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.80% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, TWNK will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.32% on average per year.
EPS Next Y18%
EPS Next 2Y13.51%
EPS Next 3Y11.36%
EPS Next 5Y8.8%
Revenue Next Year5.6%
Revenue Next 2Y5.07%
Revenue Next 3Y4.87%
Revenue Next 5Y4.32%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- TWNK is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 32.02.
- TWNK's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.47. TWNK is around the same levels.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.64, TWNK can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- TWNK's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- TWNK's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 24.26.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.64 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- TWNK's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of TWNK is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 42.86 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.97 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- TWNK's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.78
PEG (5Y)4.35
EPS Next 2Y13.51%
EPS Next 3Y11.36%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for TWNK!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
33.3
-0.05 (-0.15%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)11-07 2023-11-07/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-19 2024-02-19/amc
Inst Owners0%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners19.27%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap4.42B
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)169.94M
Analysts70
Price Target34.74 (4.32%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.59%
Min EPS beat(2)2.05%
Max EPS beat(2)5.14%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)3.97%
Min EPS beat(4)1.05%
Max EPS beat(4)7.63%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.6%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.06%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.6%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.27%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.74%
PT rev (3m)16.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.48%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.88%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.87%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.66%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.62%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.64 | ||
| P/S | 3.2 | ||
| P/FCF | 42.86 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.7 | ||
| P/B | 2.39 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.97 |
EPS(TTM)1.04
EY3.12%
EPS(NY)1.25
Fwd EY3.75%
FCF(TTM)0.78
FCFY2.33%
OCF(TTM)1.88
OCFY5.65%
SpS10.41
BVpS13.94
TBVpS-5.91
PEG (NY)1.78
PEG (5Y)4.35
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.83% | ||
| ROE | 9.18% | ||
| ROCE | 7.06% | ||
| ROIC | 5.38% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.54% | ||
| ROICexgc | 30.86% | ||
| OM | 16.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.28% | ||
| GM | 34.99% | ||
| FCFM | 7.46% |
ROA(3y)3.36%
ROA(5y)2.84%
ROE(3y)6.69%
ROE(5y)5.91%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)3.94%
ROICexc(3y)4.63%
ROICexc(5y)4.2%
ROICexgc(3y)35.07%
ROICexgc(5y)36.04%
ROCE(3y)5.74%
ROCE(5y)5.17%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.58%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-14.6%
ROICexc growth 3Y12.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.38%
OM growth 3Y3.8%
OM growth 5Y-7.44%
PM growth 3Y20.25%
PM growth 5Y-15.96%
GM growth 3Y1.25%
GM growth 5Y-4.03%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.63 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.32 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 235.98% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.61% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.78 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 84.43% | ||
| Profit Quality | 60.75% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.47 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.54 |
F-Score8
WACC7.88%
ROIC/WACC0.68
Cap/Depr(3y)149.99%
Cap/Depr(5y)132.08%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.24%
Profit Quality(3y)114.45%
Profit Quality(5y)131.78%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.47%
EPS 3Y17.37%
EPS 5Y7.36%
EPS Q2Q%27.27%
EPS Next Y18%
EPS Next 2Y13.51%
EPS Next 3Y11.36%
EPS Next 5Y8.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10%
Revenue growth 3Y14.38%
Revenue growth 5Y11.84%
Sales Q2Q%3.49%
Revenue Next Year5.6%
Revenue Next 2Y5.07%
Revenue Next 3Y4.87%
Revenue Next 5Y4.32%
EBIT growth 1Y12.2%
EBIT growth 3Y18.73%
EBIT growth 5Y3.52%
EBIT Next Year45.07%
EBIT Next 3Y18.06%
EBIT Next 5Y17.33%
FCF growth 1Y-21.87%
FCF growth 3Y4.56%
FCF growth 5Y-1.62%
OCF growth 1Y34.54%
OCF growth 3Y20%
OCF growth 5Y8.73%
HOSTESS BRANDS INC / TWNK FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TWNK.
Can you provide the valuation status for HOSTESS BRANDS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of TWNK stock?
HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK) stock?
The financial health rating of HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK) is 5 / 10.