TWILIO INC - A (TWLO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:TWLO • US90138F1021
Current stock price
148.06 USD
+7.15 (+5.07%)
At close:
178.65 USD
+30.59 (+20.66%)
Pre-Market:
This TWLO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. TWLO Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- TWLO had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year TWLO had a positive cash flow from operations.
- TWLO had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: TWLO reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of TWLO (0.35%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- TWLO's Return On Equity of 0.43% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TWLO outperforms 52.81% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of TWLO (1.17%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.35% | ||
| ROE | 0.43% | ||
| ROIC | 1.17% |
ROA(3y)-3.17%
ROA(5y)-5.36%
ROE(3y)-3.79%
ROE(5y)-6.38%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of TWLO (0.67%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- TWLO has a Operating Margin of 3.35%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TWLO outperforms 48.31% of its industry peers.
- TWLO has a better Gross Margin (48.92%) than 73.03% of its industry peers.
- TWLO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.35% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.67% | ||
| GM | 48.92% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.06%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
2. TWLO Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TWLO is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for TWLO remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
- TWLO has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for TWLO is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- TWLO has an Altman-Z score of 6.62. This indicates that TWLO is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- TWLO has a better Altman-Z score (6.62) than 86.52% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of TWLO is 1.05, which is an excellent value as it means it would take TWLO, only 1.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- TWLO has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.05) than 79.78% of its industry peers.
- TWLO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.13. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.13, TWLO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.42% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.13 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.62 |
ROIC/WACC0.11
WACC10.46%
2.3 Liquidity
- TWLO has a Current Ratio of 4.03. This indicates that TWLO is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 4.03, TWLO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.27% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 4.03 indicates that TWLO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 4.03, TWLO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.27% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.03 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 4.03 |
3. TWLO Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- TWLO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 30.77%, which is quite impressive.
- TWLO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 84.45% yearly.
- TWLO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 13.66%.
- Measured over the past years, TWLO shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 23.53% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.77%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y84.45%
EPS Q2Q%31.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.66%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y23.53%
Sales Q2Q%20%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, TWLO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 14.16% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 9.20% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y12.43%
EPS Next 2Y15%
EPS Next 3Y15.05%
EPS Next 5Y14.16%
Revenue Next Year13.24%
Revenue Next 2Y10.7%
Revenue Next 3Y9.82%
Revenue Next 5Y9.2%
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. TWLO Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 28.09, the valuation of TWLO can be described as expensive.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of TWLO is on the same level as its industry peers.
- TWLO is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.77, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- TWLO is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.80.
- TWLO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- TWLO is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.75, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.09 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.8 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of TWLO is on the same level as its industry peers.
- TWLO's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 23.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 52.51 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as TWLO's earnings are expected to grow with 15.05% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.26
PEG (5Y)0.33
EPS Next 2Y15%
EPS Next 3Y15.05%
5. TWLO Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for TWLO!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
TWLO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
148.06
+7.15 (+5.07%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Industry Strength66.46
Industry Growth76.4
Earnings (Last)04-30 2026-04-30/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners94.51%
Inst Owner Change0.13%
Ins Owners0.12%
Ins Owner Change1.13%
Market Cap22.43B
Revenue(TTM)5.07B
Net Income(TTM)33.83M
Analysts78.89
Price Target152.39 (2.92%)
Short Float %4.44%
Short Ratio2.95
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.26%
Min EPS beat(2)5.47%
Max EPS beat(2)13.05%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)12.12%
Min EPS beat(4)5.47%
Max EPS beat(4)18.47%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)14.26%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)34.8%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)58.37%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.58%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.67%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.35%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.67%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.74%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.91%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.65%
PT rev (1m)1.45%
PT rev (3m)0.23%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.55%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.47%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.19%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.09%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.09 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.8 | ||
| P/S | 4.43 | ||
| P/FCF | 23.73 | ||
| P/OCF | 22.36 | ||
| P/B | 2.87 | ||
| P/tB | 9.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 52.51 |
EPS(TTM)5.27
EY3.56%
EPS(NY)6.49
Fwd EY4.39%
FCF(TTM)6.24
FCFY4.21%
OCF(TTM)6.62
OCFY4.47%
SpS33.44
BVpS51.62
TBVpS15.76
PEG (NY)2.26
PEG (5Y)0.33
Graham Number78.2388 (-47.16%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.35% | ||
| ROE | 0.43% | ||
| ROCE | 1.91% | ||
| ROIC | 1.17% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.62% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.63% | ||
| OM | 3.35% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.67% | ||
| GM | 48.92% | ||
| FCFM | 18.66% |
ROA(3y)-3.17%
ROA(5y)-5.36%
ROE(3y)-3.79%
ROE(5y)-6.38%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.06%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.13 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.72 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 29.58% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.14% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 274.85% | ||
| Profit Quality | 2794.31% | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.03 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 4.03 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.62 |
F-Score6
WACC10.46%
ROIC/WACC0.11
Cap/Depr(3y)25.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)27.94%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.79%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.77%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y84.45%
EPS Q2Q%31.58%
EPS Next Y12.43%
EPS Next 2Y15%
EPS Next 3Y15.05%
EPS Next 5Y14.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.66%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y23.53%
Sales Q2Q%20%
Revenue Next Year13.24%
Revenue Next 2Y10.7%
Revenue Next 3Y9.82%
Revenue Next 5Y9.2%
EBIT growth 1Y519.38%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year31.63%
EBIT Next 3Y18.35%
EBIT Next 5Y6.77%
FCF growth 1Y43.8%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y40.07%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y98.38%
TWILIO INC - A / TWLO Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TWILIO INC - A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TWLO.
Can you provide the valuation status for TWILIO INC - A?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to TWILIO INC - A (TWLO). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is TWILIO INC - A (TWLO) stock?
TWILIO INC - A (TWLO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for TWLO stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TWILIO INC - A (TWLO) is expected to grow by 12.43% in the next year.