TWILIO INC - A (TWLO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:TWLO • US90138F1021

Current stock price

133.057 USD
+2.11 (+1.61%)
Last:

This TWLO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. TWLO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • TWLO had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year TWLO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • TWLO had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In multiple years TWLO reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
TWLO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTWLO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of TWLO (0.35%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • TWLO has a Return On Equity of 0.43%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TWLO outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of TWLO (1.17%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.35%
ROE 0.43%
ROIC 1.17%
ROA(3y)-3.17%
ROA(5y)-5.36%
ROE(3y)-3.79%
ROE(5y)-6.38%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
TWLO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTWLO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25

1.3 Margins

  • TWLO has a Profit Margin (0.67%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • TWLO has a Operating Margin of 3.35%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TWLO outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 48.92%, TWLO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TWLO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.35%
PM (TTM) 0.67%
GM 48.92%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.06%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
TWLO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTWLO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

8

2. TWLO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TWLO is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for TWLO remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for TWLO has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for TWLO is higher compared to a year ago.
TWLO Yearly Shares OutstandingTWLO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
TWLO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTWLO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • TWLO has an Altman-Z score of 5.82. This indicates that TWLO is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 5.82, TWLO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TWLO has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.05. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.05 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • TWLO's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.05 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TWLO outperforms 78.41% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.13 indicates that TWLO is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • TWLO has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.13. This is in the better half of the industry: TWLO outperforms 68.18% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.13
Debt/FCF 1.05
Altman-Z 5.82
ROIC/WACC0.13
WACC9.22%
TWLO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTWLO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • TWLO has a Current Ratio of 4.03. This indicates that TWLO is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 4.03, TWLO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TWLO has a Quick Ratio of 4.03. This indicates that TWLO is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • TWLO has a Quick ratio of 4.03. This is amongst the best in the industry. TWLO outperforms 82.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.03
Quick Ratio 4.03
TWLO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTWLO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

8

3. TWLO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • TWLO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 33.06%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, TWLO shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 84.45% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 13.66% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • Measured over the past years, TWLO shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 23.53% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)33.06%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y84.45%
EPS Q2Q%33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.66%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y23.53%
Sales Q2Q%14.32%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.16% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • TWLO is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.50% yearly.
EPS Next Y12.44%
EPS Next 2Y15.01%
EPS Next 3Y15.06%
EPS Next 5Y14.16%
Revenue Next Year13.24%
Revenue Next 2Y10.7%
Revenue Next 3Y9.82%
Revenue Next 5Y8.5%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
TWLO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTWLO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B 8B
TWLO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTWLO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 0 5 10

2

4. TWLO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 27.10, the valuation of TWLO can be described as expensive.
  • TWLO's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.17. TWLO is around the same levels.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.10, TWLO is valued on the expensive side.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TWLO is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.05, TWLO is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.1
Fwd PE 24.1
TWLO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTWLO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as TWLO.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of TWLO is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 21.32
EV/EBITDA 45.41
TWLO Per share dataTWLO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates TWLO does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • TWLO's earnings are expected to grow with 15.06% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.18
PEG (5Y)0.32
EPS Next 2Y15.01%
EPS Next 3Y15.06%

0

5. TWLO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for TWLO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

TWLO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

TWILIO INC - A

NYSE:TWLO (4/6/2026, 12:40:09 PM)

133.057

+2.11 (+1.61%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)02-12
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners93.67%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.13%
Ins Owner Change1.81%
Market Cap20.16B
Revenue(TTM)5.07B
Net Income(TTM)33.83M
Analysts78.89
Price Target146.35 (9.99%)
Short Float %3.88%
Short Ratio2.31
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.26%
Min EPS beat(2)5.47%
Max EPS beat(2)13.05%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)12.12%
Min EPS beat(4)5.47%
Max EPS beat(4)18.47%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)14.26%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)34.8%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)58.37%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.58%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.67%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.35%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.67%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.74%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.91%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.65%
PT rev (1m)0.54%
PT rev (3m)3.54%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.56%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.22%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.1
Fwd PE 24.1
P/S 3.98
P/FCF 21.32
P/OCF 20.09
P/B 2.58
P/tB 8.44
EV/EBITDA 45.41
EPS(TTM)4.91
EY3.69%
EPS(NY)5.52
Fwd EY4.15%
FCF(TTM)6.24
FCFY4.69%
OCF(TTM)6.62
OCFY4.98%
SpS33.44
BVpS51.62
TBVpS15.76
PEG (NY)2.18
PEG (5Y)0.32
Graham Number75.52
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.35%
ROE 0.43%
ROCE 1.91%
ROIC 1.17%
ROICexc 1.62%
ROICexgc 10.63%
OM 3.35%
PM (TTM) 0.67%
GM 48.92%
FCFM 18.66%
ROA(3y)-3.17%
ROA(5y)-5.36%
ROE(3y)-3.79%
ROE(5y)-6.38%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.06%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.13
Debt/FCF 1.05
Debt/EBITDA 2.72
Cap/Depr 29.58%
Cap/Sales 1.14%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 274.85%
Profit Quality 2794.31%
Current Ratio 4.03
Quick Ratio 4.03
Altman-Z 5.82
F-Score6
WACC9.22%
ROIC/WACC0.13
Cap/Depr(3y)25.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)27.94%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.79%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)33.06%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y84.45%
EPS Q2Q%33%
EPS Next Y12.44%
EPS Next 2Y15.01%
EPS Next 3Y15.06%
EPS Next 5Y14.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.66%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y23.53%
Sales Q2Q%14.32%
Revenue Next Year13.24%
Revenue Next 2Y10.7%
Revenue Next 3Y9.82%
Revenue Next 5Y8.5%
EBIT growth 1Y519.38%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year31.63%
EBIT Next 3Y18.35%
EBIT Next 5Y6.77%
FCF growth 1Y43.8%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y40.07%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y98.38%

TWILIO INC - A / TWLO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TWILIO INC - A?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TWLO.


Can you provide the valuation status for TWILIO INC - A?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to TWILIO INC - A (TWLO). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is TWILIO INC - A (TWLO) stock?

TWILIO INC - A (TWLO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for TWLO stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TWILIO INC - A (TWLO) is expected to grow by 12.44% in the next year.