TWILIO INC - A (TWLO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:TWLO • US90138F1021

Current stock price

130.54 USD
+6.54 (+5.27%)
Last:

This TWLO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. TWLO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year TWLO was profitable.
  • TWLO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • TWLO had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In multiple years TWLO reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
TWLO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTWLO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.35%, TWLO is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Equity of TWLO (0.43%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of TWLO (1.17%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.35%
ROE 0.43%
ROIC 1.17%
ROA(3y)-3.17%
ROA(5y)-5.36%
ROE(3y)-3.79%
ROE(5y)-6.38%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
TWLO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTWLO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25

1.3 Margins

  • With a Profit Margin value of 0.67%, TWLO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.14% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 3.35%, TWLO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TWLO has a better Gross Margin (48.92%) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
  • TWLO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.35%
PM (TTM) 0.67%
GM 48.92%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.06%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
TWLO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTWLO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

8

2. TWLO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TWLO is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, TWLO has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • TWLO has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for TWLO is higher compared to a year ago.
TWLO Yearly Shares OutstandingTWLO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
TWLO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTWLO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 5.49 indicates that TWLO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 5.49, TWLO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of TWLO is 1.05, which is an excellent value as it means it would take TWLO, only 1.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • TWLO's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.05 is amongst the best of the industry. TWLO outperforms 80.68% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.13 indicates that TWLO is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.13, TWLO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.05% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.13
Debt/FCF 1.05
Altman-Z 5.49
ROIC/WACC0.12
WACC9.88%
TWLO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTWLO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • TWLO has a Current Ratio of 4.03. This indicates that TWLO is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • TWLO has a better Current ratio (4.03) than 84.09% of its industry peers.
  • TWLO has a Quick Ratio of 4.03. This indicates that TWLO is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • TWLO's Quick ratio of 4.03 is amongst the best of the industry. TWLO outperforms 84.09% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.03
Quick Ratio 4.03
TWLO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTWLO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

8

3. TWLO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 33.06% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, TWLO shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 84.45% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 13.66% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • TWLO shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 23.53% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)33.06%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y84.45%
EPS Q2Q%33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.66%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y23.53%
Sales Q2Q%14.32%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, TWLO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 14.16% on average per year.
  • TWLO is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.50% yearly.
EPS Next Y12.43%
EPS Next 2Y15%
EPS Next 3Y15.05%
EPS Next 5Y14.16%
Revenue Next Year13.24%
Revenue Next 2Y10.7%
Revenue Next 3Y9.82%
Revenue Next 5Y8.5%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
TWLO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTWLO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B 8B
TWLO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTWLO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 0 5 10

2

4. TWLO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 26.59, TWLO can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • TWLO's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • TWLO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.33.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.65 indicates a rather expensive valuation of TWLO.
  • TWLO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.16, TWLO is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.59
Fwd PE 23.65
TWLO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTWLO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as TWLO.
  • TWLO's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.92
EV/EBITDA 42.52
TWLO Per share dataTWLO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as TWLO's earnings are expected to grow with 15.05% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.14
PEG (5Y)0.31
EPS Next 2Y15%
EPS Next 3Y15.05%

0

5. TWLO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for TWLO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

TWLO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

TWILIO INC - A

NYSE:TWLO (4/15/2026, 10:12:08 AM)

130.54

+6.54 (+5.27%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)02-12
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners94.51%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.12%
Ins Owner Change1.13%
Market Cap19.78B
Revenue(TTM)5.07B
Net Income(TTM)33.83M
Analysts78.89
Price Target147.67 (13.12%)
Short Float %4.12%
Short Ratio2.44
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.26%
Min EPS beat(2)5.47%
Max EPS beat(2)13.05%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)12.12%
Min EPS beat(4)5.47%
Max EPS beat(4)18.47%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)14.26%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)34.8%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)58.37%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.58%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.67%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.35%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.67%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.74%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.91%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.65%
PT rev (1m)1.45%
PT rev (3m)4.48%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.59
Fwd PE 23.65
P/S 3.9
P/FCF 20.92
P/OCF 19.71
P/B 2.53
P/tB 8.28
EV/EBITDA 42.52
EPS(TTM)4.91
EY3.76%
EPS(NY)5.52
Fwd EY4.23%
FCF(TTM)6.24
FCFY4.78%
OCF(TTM)6.62
OCFY5.07%
SpS33.44
BVpS51.62
TBVpS15.76
PEG (NY)2.14
PEG (5Y)0.31
Graham Number75.5192 (-42.15%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.35%
ROE 0.43%
ROCE 1.91%
ROIC 1.17%
ROICexc 1.62%
ROICexgc 10.63%
OM 3.35%
PM (TTM) 0.67%
GM 48.92%
FCFM 18.66%
ROA(3y)-3.17%
ROA(5y)-5.36%
ROE(3y)-3.79%
ROE(5y)-6.38%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.06%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.13
Debt/FCF 1.05
Debt/EBITDA 2.72
Cap/Depr 29.58%
Cap/Sales 1.14%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 274.85%
Profit Quality 2794.31%
Current Ratio 4.03
Quick Ratio 4.03
Altman-Z 5.49
F-Score6
WACC9.88%
ROIC/WACC0.12
Cap/Depr(3y)25.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)27.94%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.79%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)33.06%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y84.45%
EPS Q2Q%33%
EPS Next Y12.43%
EPS Next 2Y15%
EPS Next 3Y15.05%
EPS Next 5Y14.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.66%
Revenue growth 3Y9.82%
Revenue growth 5Y23.53%
Sales Q2Q%14.32%
Revenue Next Year13.24%
Revenue Next 2Y10.7%
Revenue Next 3Y9.82%
Revenue Next 5Y8.5%
EBIT growth 1Y519.38%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year31.63%
EBIT Next 3Y18.35%
EBIT Next 5Y6.77%
FCF growth 1Y43.8%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y40.07%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y98.38%

TWILIO INC - A / TWLO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TWILIO INC - A?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TWLO.


Can you provide the valuation status for TWILIO INC - A?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to TWILIO INC - A (TWLO). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is TWILIO INC - A (TWLO) stock?

TWILIO INC - A (TWLO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for TWLO stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TWILIO INC - A (TWLO) is expected to grow by 12.43% in the next year.